VA Statewide Survey Crosstabs 091913

7/29/2019 VA Statewide Survey Crosstabs 091913

1/28

Survey of Likely Virginia General Election Voters

September 19, 2013 n=400 Margin of Error +/- 5.00%

TotalVery

LikelySomewhat

LikelyNot Very

Likely Republican Democrat Libertarian Independent Other

348 348 0 0 127 112 11 89 9

87.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 89.4% 91.8% 73.3% 80.2% 90.0%

34 0 34 0 11 6 2 15 0

8.5% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 7.7% 4.9% 13.3% 13.5% 0.0%

18 0 0 18 4 4 2 7 1

4.5% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 2.8% 3.3% 13.3% 6.3% 10.0%

When thinking about the upcoming

elections in November, would you

say the likelihood of you voting in

these elections is - very likely,

somewhat likely, not very likely or

not voting?

Very Likely

Somewhat

Likely

Not Very

Likely

Likelihood to Vote Party

Page 1


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Total

348

87.0%

34

8.5%

18

4.5%






not voting?

Very Likely

Somewhat

Likely

Not Very

Likely

KenCuccinelli

TerryMcAuliffe

RobertSarvis Undecided

E.W.Jackson

RalphNortham Undecided

129 134 34 51 100 121 127

92.1% 94.4% 79.1% 68.0% 87.7% 96.8% 78.9%

7 7 6 14 8 2 24

5.0% 4.9% 14.0% 18.7% 7.0% 1.6% 14.9%

4 1 3 10 6 2 10

2.9% .7% 7.0% 13.3% 5.3% 1.6% 6.2%

Governor Ballot Lt. Governor Ballot

Page 2


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Total

348

87.0%

34

8.5%

18

4.5%






not voting?

Very Likely

Somewhat

Likely

Not Very

Likely

MarkObenshain

MarkHerring Undecided Male Female

126 89 133 159 189

88.1% 90.8% 83.6% 82.8% 90.9%

10 5 19 19 15

7.0% 5.1% 11.9% 9.9% 7.2%

7 4 7 14 4

4.9% 4.1% 4.4% 7.3% 1.9%

GenderAttorney General Ballot

Page 3


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Total

348

87.0%

34

8.5%

18

4.5%






not voting?

Very Likely

Somewhat

Likely

Not Very

Likely

01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11

37 29 30 30 34 29 38 35 26 29 31

94.9% 87.9% 88.2% 81.1% 89.5% 82.9% 92.7% 94.6% 78.8% 76.3% 88.6%

2 2 2 5 2 2 3 2 5 5 4

5.1% 6.1% 5.9% 13.5% 5.3% 5.7% 7.3% 5.4% 15.2% 13.2% 11.4%

0 2 2 2 2 4 0 0 2 4 0

0.0% 6.1% 5.9% 5.4% 5.3% 1 1.4% 0.0% 0.0% 6.1% 1 0.5% 0.0%

Congressional District

Page 4


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TotalVery

LikelySomewhat

LikelyNot Very



142 127 11 4 142 0 0 0 0

35.5% 36.5% 32.4% 22.2% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

122 112 6 4 0 122 0 0 0

30.5% 32.2% 17.6% 22.2% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

15 11 2 2 0 0 15 0 0

3.8% 3.2% 5.9% 11.1% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0%

111 89 15 7 0 0 0 111 0

27.8% 25.6% 44.1% 38.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0%

10 9 0 1 0 0 0 0 10

2.5% 2.6% 0.0% 5.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0%

Do you consider yourself to be a

Republican, a Democrat,

Libertarian or an Independent?

Republican

Democrat

Libertarian

Independent

Other

Page 5


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Total

142

35.5%

122

30.5%

15

3.8%

111

27.8%

10

2.5%




Republican

Democrat

Libertarian

Independent

Other

KenCuccinelli

TerryMcAuliffe


E.W.Jackson



96 14 14 18 75 19 48

68.6% 9.9% 32.6% 24.0% 65.8% 15.2% 29.8%

8 86 6 22 8 68 46

5.7% 60.6% 14.0% 29.3% 7.0% 54.4% 28.6%

6 2 4 3 6 4 5

4.3% 1.4% 9.3% 4.0% 5.3% 3.2% 3.1%

28 36 19 28 23 30 58

20.0% 25.4% 44.2% 37.3% 20.2% 24.0% 36.0%

2 4 0 4 2 4 4

1.4% 2.8% 0.0% 5.3% 1.8% 3.2% 2.5%

Page 6


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Total

142

35.5%

122

30.5%

15

3.8%

111

27.8%

10

2.5%




Republican

Democrat

Libertarian

Independent

Other

MarkObenshain



80 12 50 72 70

55.9% 12.2% 31.4% 37.5% 33.7%

19 59 44 44 78

13.3% 60.2% 27.7% 22.9% 37.5%

6 1 8 7 8

4.2% 1.0% 5.0% 3.6% 3.8%

35 24 52 65 46

24.5% 24.5% 32.7% 33.9% 22.1%

3 2 5 4 6

2.1% 2.0% 3.1% 2.1% 2.9%

Page 7


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9/28



TotalVery

LikelySomewhat

LikelyNot Very



140 129 7 4 96 8 6 28 2

35.0% 37.1% 20.6% 22.2% 67.6% 6.6% 40.0% 25.2% 20.0%

142 134 7 1 14 86 2 36 4

35.5% 38.5% 20.6% 5.6% 9.9% 70.5% 13.3% 32.4% 40.0%

43 34 6 3 14 6 4 19 0

10.8% 9.8% 17.6% 16.7% 9.9% 4.9% 26.7% 17.1% 0.0%

75 51 14 10 18 22 3 28 4

18.8% 14.7% 41.2% 55.6% 12.7% 18.0% 20.0% 25.2% 40.0%

If the election for Governor were

held today, would you vote for Ken

Cuccinelli, Terry McAuliffe or

Robert Sarvis?

Ken

Cuccinelli

Terry

McAuliffe

Robert Sarvis

Undecided

Page 9


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Total

140

35.0%

142

35.5%

43

10.8%

75

18.8%




Robert Sarvis?

Ken

Cuccinelli

Terry

McAuliffe

Robert Sarvis

Undecided

KenCuccinelli

TerryMcAuliffe


E.W.Jackson



140 0 0 0 88 12 40

100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 77.2% 9.6% 24.8%

0 142 0 0 8 95 39

0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 7.0% 76.0% 24.2%

0 0 43 0 14 12 17

0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 12.3% 9.6% 10.6%

0 0 0 75 4 6 65

0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 3.5% 4.8% 40.4%

Page 10


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Total

140

35.0%

142

35.5%

43

10.8%

75

18.8%




Robert Sarvis?

Ken

Cuccinelli

Terry

McAuliffe

Robert Sarvis

Undecided

MarkObenshain



98 5 37 83 57

68.5% 5.1% 23.3% 43.2% 27.4%

20 79 43 58 84

14.0% 80.6% 27.0% 30.2% 40.4%

16 9 18 22 21

11.2% 9.2% 11.3% 11.5% 10.1%

9 5 61 29 46

6.3% 5.1% 38.4% 15.1% 22.1%

Page 11


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Total

140

35.0%

142

35.5%

43

10.8%

75

18.8%




Robert Sarvis?

Ken

Cuccinelli

Terry

McAuliffe

Robert Sarvis

Undecided

01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11


20 13 7 10 11 12 19 9 13 14 12

51.3% 39.4% 20.6% 27.0% 28.9% 34.3% 46.3% 24.3% 39.4% 36.8% 34.3%

14 14 14 9 11 11 13 21 6 13 16

35.9% 42.4% 41.2% 24.3% 28.9% 31.4% 31.7% 56.8% 18.2% 34.2% 45.7%

3 3 1 9 8 3 4 1 6 2 3

7.7% 9.1% 2.9% 24.3% 21.1% 8.6% 9.8% 2.7% 18.2% 5.3% 8.6%

2 3 12 9 8 9 5 6 8 9 4

5.1% 9.1% 35.3% 24.3% 21.1% 25.7% 12.2% 16.2% 24.2% 23.7% 11.4%

Page 12


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TotalVery

LikelySomewhat

LikelyNot Very



114 100 8 6 75 8 6 23 2

28.5% 28.7% 23.5% 33.3% 52.8% 6.6% 40.0% 20.7% 20.0%

125 121 2 2 19 68 4 30 4

31.3% 34.8% 5.9% 11.1% 13.4% 55.7% 26.7% 27.0% 40.0%

161 127 24 10 48 46 5 58 4

40.3% 36.5% 70.6% 55.6% 33.8% 37.7% 33.3% 52.3% 40.0%

If the election for Lt. Governor

were held today, would you vote

for E.W. Jackson or Ralph

Northam?

E.W. Jackson

Ralph

Northam

Undecided

Page 13


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Total

114

28.5%

125

31.3%

161

40.3%




Northam?

E.W. Jackson

Ralph

Northam

Undecided

KenCuccinelli

TerryMcAuliffe


E.W.Jackson



88 8 14 4 114 0 0

62.9% 5.6% 32.6% 5.3% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0%

12 95 12 6 0 125 0

8.6% 66.9% 27.9% 8.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0%

40 39 17 65 0 0 161

28.6% 27.5% 39.5% 86.7% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0%

Page 14


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Total

114

28.5%

125

31.3%

161

40.3%




Northam?

E.W. Jackson

Ralph

Northam

Undecided

MarkObenshain



91 9 14 69 45

63.6% 9.2% 8.8% 35.9% 21.6%

26 80 19 58 67

18.2% 81.6% 11.9% 30.2% 32.2%

26 9 126 65 96

18.2% 9.2% 79.2% 33.9% 46.2%

Page 15


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Total

114

28.5%

125

31.3%

161

40.3%




Northam?

E.W. Jackson

Ralph

Northam

Undecided

01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11


18 8 5 14 12 10 14 7 8 10 8

46.2% 24.2% 14.7% 37.8% 31.6% 28.6% 34.1% 18.9% 24.2% 26.3% 22.9%

10 16 12 7 12 8 11 18 7 10 14

25.6% 48.5% 35.3% 18.9% 31.6% 22.9% 26.8% 48.6% 21.2% 26.3% 40.0%

11 9 17 16 14 17 16 12 18 18 13

28.2% 27.3% 50.0% 43.2% 36.8% 48.6% 39.0% 32.4% 54.5% 47.4% 37.1%

Page 16


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TotalVery

LikelySomewhat

LikelyNot Very



143 126 10 7 80 19 6 35 3

35.8% 36.2% 29.4% 38.9% 56.3% 15.6% 40.0% 31.5% 30.0%

98 89 5 4 12 59 1 24 2

24.5% 25.6% 14.7% 22.2% 8.5% 48.4% 6.7% 21.6% 20.0%

159 133 19 7 50 44 8 52 5

39.8% 38.2% 55.9% 38.9% 35.2% 36.1% 53.3% 46.8% 50.0%

In the race for Attorney General,

would you vote for Mark

Obenshain or Mark Herring?

Mark

Obenshain

Mark Herring

Undecided

Page 17


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Total

143

35.8%

98

24.5%

159

39.8%




Mark

Obenshain

Mark Herring

Undecided

KenCuccinelli

TerryMcAuliffe


E.W.Jackson



98 20 16 9 91 26 26

70.0% 14.1% 37.2% 12.0% 79.8% 20.8% 16.1%

5 79 9 5 9 80 9

3.6% 55.6% 20.9% 6.7% 7.9% 64.0% 5.6%

37 43 18 61 14 19 126

26.4% 30.3% 41.9% 81.3% 12.3% 15.2% 78.3%

Page 18


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Total

143

35.8%

98

24.5%

159

39.8%




Mark

Obenshain

Mark Herring

Undecided

MarkObenshain



143 0 0 78 65

100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 40.6% 31.3%

0 98 0 50 48

0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 26.0% 23.1%

0 0 159 64 95

0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 33.3% 45.7%

Page 19


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Total

143

35.8%

98

24.5%

159

39.8%




Mark

Obenshain

Mark Herring

Undecided

01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11


17 12 7 13 14 19 17 8 13 13 10

43.6% 36.4% 20.6% 35.1% 36.8% 54.3% 41.5% 21.6% 39.4% 34.2% 28.6%

9 8 12 8 9 5 6 13 5 10 13

23.1% 24.2% 35.3% 21.6% 23.7% 14.3% 14.6% 35.1% 15.2% 26.3% 37.1%

13 13 15 16 15 11 18 16 15 15 12

33.3% 39.4% 44.1% 43.2% 39.5% 31.4% 43.9% 43.2% 45.5% 39.5% 34.3%

Page 20


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TotalVery

LikelySomewhat

LikelyNot Very



192 159 19 14 72 44 7 65 4

48.0% 45.7% 55.9% 77.8% 50.7% 36.1% 46.7% 58.6% 40.0%

208 189 15 4 70 78 8 46 6

52.0% 54.3% 44.1% 22.2% 49.3% 63.9% 53.3% 41.4% 60.0%

Gender Male

Female

Page 21


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Total

192

48.0%

208

52.0%

Gender Male

Female

KenCuccinelli

TerryMcAuliffe


E.W.Jackson



83 58 22 29 69 58 65

59.3% 40.8% 51.2% 38.7% 60.5% 46.4% 40.4%

57 84 21 46 45 67 96

40.7% 59.2% 48.8% 61.3% 39.5% 53.6% 59.6%

Page 22


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Total

192

48.0%

208

52.0%

Gender Male

Female

MarkObenshain



78 50 64 192 0

54.5% 51.0% 40.3% 100.0% 0.0%

65 48 95 0 208

45.5% 49.0% 59.7% 0.0% 100.0%

Page 23


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Total

192

48.0%

208

52.0%

Gender Male

Female

01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11


19 15 17 16 18 17 19 18 17 19 17

48.7% 45.5% 50.0% 43.2% 47.4% 48.6% 46.3% 48.6% 51.5% 50.0% 48.6%

20 18 17 21 20 18 22 19 16 19 18

51.3% 54.5% 50.0% 56.8% 52.6% 51.4% 53.7% 51.4% 48.5% 50.0% 51.4%

Page 24


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TotalVery

LikelySomewhat

LikelyNot Very



39 37 2 0 18 11 1 9 0

9.8% 10.6% 5.9% 0.0% 12.7% 9.0% 6.7% 8.1% 0.0%

33 29 2 2 13 11 1 6 2

8.3% 8.3% 5.9% 11.1% 9.2% 9.0% 6.7% 5.4% 20.0%

34 30 2 2 4 19 1 9 1

8.5% 8.6% 5.9% 11.1% 2.8% 15.6% 6.7% 8.1% 10.0%

37 30 5 2 18 9 0 8 2

9.3% 8.6% 14.7% 11.1% 12.7% 7.4% 0.0% 7.2% 20.0%

38 34 2 2 14 11 4 9 0

9.5% 9.8% 5.9% 11.1% 9.9% 9.0% 26.7% 8.1% 0.0%

35 29 2 4 13 8 2 12 0

8.8% 8.3% 5.9% 22.2% 9.2% 6.6% 13.3% 10.8% 0.0%

41 38 3 0 18 10 1 12 0

10.3% 10.9% 8.8% 0.0% 12.7% 8.2% 6.7% 10.8% 0.0%

37 35 2 0 7 19 1 9 1

9.3% 10.1% 5.9% 0.0% 4.9% 15.6% 6.7% 8.1% 10.0%

33 26 5 2 11 5 3 13 1

8.3% 7.5% 14.7% 11.1% 7.7% 4.1% 20.0% 11.7% 10.0%

38 29 5 4 13 8 1 15 1

9.5% 8.3% 14.7% 22.2% 9.2% 6.6% 6.7% 13.5% 10.0%

35 31 4 0 13 11 0 9 2

8.8% 8.9% 11.8% 0.0% 9.2% 9.0% 0.0% 8.1% 20.0%

10

11

Congressional District 01

02

03

04

05

06

07

08

09

Page 25


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Total

39

9.8%

33

8.3%

34

8.5%

37

9.3%

38

9.5%

35

8.8%

41

10.3%

37

9.3%

33

8.3%

38

9.5%

35

8.8%

10

11


02

03

04

05

06

07

08

09

KenCuccinelli TerryMcAuliffe RobertSarvis Undecided E.W.Jackson RalphNortham Undecided


20 14 3 2 18 10 11

14.3% 9.9% 7.0% 2.7% 15.8% 8.0% 6.8%

13 14 3 3 8 16 9

9.3% 9.9% 7.0% 4.0% 7.0% 12.8% 5.6%

7 14 1 12 5 12 17

5.0% 9.9% 2.3% 16.0% 4.4% 9.6% 10.6%

10 9 9 9 14 7 16

7.1% 6.3% 20.9% 12.0% 12.3% 5.6% 9.9%

11 11 8 8 12 12 14

7.9% 7.7% 18.6% 10.7% 10.5% 9.6% 8.7%

12 11 3 9 10 8 17

8.6% 7.7% 7.0% 12.0% 8.8% 6.4% 10.6%

19 13 4 5 14 11 16

13.6% 9.2% 9.3% 6.7% 12.3% 8.8% 9.9%

9 21 1 6 7 18 12

6.4% 14.8% 2.3% 8.0% 6.1% 14.4% 7.5%

13 6 6 8 8 7 18

9.3% 4.2% 14.0% 10.7% 7.0% 5.6% 11.2%

14 13 2 9 10 10 18

10.0% 9.2% 4.7% 12.0% 8.8% 8.0% 11.2%

12 16 3 4 8 14 13

8.6% 11.3% 7.0% 5.3% 7.0% 11.2% 8.1%

Page 26


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Total

39

9.8%

33

8.3%

34

8.5%

37

9.3%

38

9.5%

35

8.8%

41

10.3%

37

9.3%

33

8.3%

38

9.5%

35

8.8%

10

11


02

03

04

05

06

07

08

09

MarkObenshain MarkHerring Undecided Male Female


17 9 13 19 20

11.9% 9.2% 8.2% 9.9% 9.6%

12 8 13 15 18

8.4% 8.2% 8.2% 7.8% 8.7%

7 12 15 17 17

4.9% 12.2% 9.4% 8.9% 8.2%

13 8 16 16 21

9.1% 8.2% 10.1% 8.3% 10.1%

14 9 15 18 20

9.8% 9.2% 9.4% 9.4% 9.6%

19 5 11 17 18

13.3% 5.1% 6.9% 8.9% 8.7%

17 6 18 19 22

11.9% 6.1% 11.3% 9.9% 10.6%

8 13 16 18 19

5.6% 13.3% 10.1% 9.4% 9.1%

13 5 15 17 16

9.1% 5.1% 9.4% 8.9% 7.7%

13 10 15 19 19

9.1% 10.2% 9.4% 9.9% 9.1%

10 13 12 17 18

7.0% 13.3% 7.5% 8.9% 8.7%

Page 27


28/28



Total

39

9.8%

33

8.3%

34

8.5%

37

9.3%

38

9.5%

35

8.8%

41

10.3%

37

9.3%

33

8.3%

38

9.5%

35

8.8%

10

11


02

03

04

05

06

07

08

09

01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11


39 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

0 33 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

0 0 34 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

0 0 0 37 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

0 0 0 0 38 0 0 0 0 0 0

0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

0 0 0 0 0 35 0 0 0 0 0

0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

0 0 0 0 0 0 41 0 0 0 0

0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 37 0 0 0

0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 33 0 0

0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0%

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 38 0

0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0%

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 35

0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0%

Page 28

Documents

VA Statewide Survey Crosstabs 091913