Upload
varghese-john
View
230
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
8/7/2019 V2020 FINAL
1/37
INTERNATIONAL ISSUES
8/7/2019 V2020 FINAL
2/37
Terrorism
8/7/2019 V2020 FINAL
3/37
Terrorism of the Foreseeable Future..
Intensified Ideological Extremism
Enhanced perational Capabilities
Expanded Transnational AssociationsFlexible rganizational Networks
Emergent Independent Actors
Increased Weapon System Lethality
Targeted Economic Disruption
Exploited Mass Media Marketing
8/7/2019 V2020 FINAL
4/37
Disarmament
8/7/2019 V2020 FINAL
5/37
Possi le Scenarios In 2020
N clear, c emical, io wea ons contin e to roliferate.
Terrorism will contin e
Increasing violence and olitical infl ence y non-state actors.
Proliferation of rimitive as well as modern wea ons/systems.
Disarmament of India y 2020 wo ld e diffic lt.
In s ort of a non-discriminatory, verifia le FM T(Fissile Material t-off Treaty )
8/7/2019 V2020 FINAL
6/37
8/7/2019 V2020 FINAL
7/37
Foreseea le Indias F t re
IT will el India overtake ina as t e fastest growing economyand ecome t e 3rd ranked economy
Internet access will increase 6-10 times
Every Indian will ave a UID (vs. none today)
300 M+ will ave access to electronic f nd transfer
India will ave 2nd largest electronic ayments vol me.
Indian IT and Telecom com anies will e glo al layers
India will e t e major IT rod ct market
8/7/2019 V2020 FINAL
8/37
8/7/2019 V2020 FINAL
9/37
Possi le Scenarios In 2020
Skills S ortage & U iq ito s Data
ver 2200 Indi n c p ni s are projecte to open operationso tsi e t e co ntry over t e next fifteen years.
as & carry an s pper market mo el will e more prominent
Me ical to rism/glo al ealt care.
Tele-me ication in r ral an r an area.
9-10 percent expecte growt in infrastr ct re.
Glo al infrastr ct re investment in In ia expecte to increaseconsi era ly in t e next 10 years.
8/7/2019 V2020 FINAL
10/37
8/7/2019 V2020 FINAL
11/37
BRI IN 2020
ina and India dominant s lier of man fact red goods and
services
Brazil and R ssia dominant s lier of raw materials
BRI maintain economic growt y trading wit eac ot er
BRI investment in infrastr ct re rojected over $22 tn
Growt of middle class in India and ina,rising incomes will ave
m c greater im act on glo al demand
So t Africa and Indonesia are t e otential additions to t eBRI , forming it a 6 nation congregation
8/7/2019 V2020 FINAL
12/37
International Financial Instit tions
8/7/2019 V2020 FINAL
13/37
Indias orrowing likely to red ce y 2020 so rce f nding
t ro g ot er means.
Poorest co ntries African need more f nding.
Domestic f nds
International F nds
Innovative a roac es to raise ca ital
Domestic instit tions forced to com ete wit t e FIIs; Str ct raliss es will come to t e fore wit a lain message: reform ordes air.
8/7/2019 V2020 FINAL
14/37
INTERNATIONAL TRADE
8/7/2019 V2020 FINAL
15/37
INTERNATIONAL TRADE BARRIERS
onflict etween
US & UK
S sides forolitical or
economicalreasons
Removal of
internal s sidies
Str ct ral
adj stment
Piracy in glo al
trade
ontroversial
monetary aid
8/7/2019 V2020 FINAL
16/37
GLOBAL TRADING SYSTEM
8/7/2019 V2020 FINAL
17/37
GLOBAL TRADING SYSTEM
T e economic develo ment of ina.
An initiative for Asia Pacific Free Trade Area makes concrete rogress.
2020 ossi ility of FTAA, African common market and E ro- Mediterranean Free trade
Area in existence.
Smaller gro ings wit closer integration mig t co-exist.
It moves mainly towards regional trade agreements.
T e olitical differences etween India ave led Pakistan.
world moving to region-wide economic gro ings.
8/7/2019 V2020 FINAL
18/37
UNITED NATION
8/7/2019 V2020 FINAL
19/37
RELEVAN E OF UNITED NATIONS
risis revention and recovery
HIV and develo ment
Poverty red ction
onservation energy and revention
Mitigation lans for crisis management
VISION FOR 2020:
8/7/2019 V2020 FINAL
20/37
ERADI ATE
EXTREME
POVERTY AND
HUNGER
A HIEVE
UNIVERSALPRIMARY
EDU ATION
OMBAT HIV
AND OTHER
DISEASES
REDU E
HILD
MORTALITY
IMPROVE
MATERNALHEALTH
PROMOTE
GENDER
EQUALITY
ENSURE
ENVIRONMENT
ALSUSTAINABILITY
GLOBAL
PARTNERSHIP
8/7/2019 V2020 FINAL
21/37
TAXATION IN INTERDEPENDENT WORLD
8/7/2019 V2020 FINAL
22/37
TAXATION IN INTERDEPENDENT
WORLD
Double
taxatio
Not
com letely
automatic
Gov., ee
revam e
Gov., ee
tra s are cy
Realistic
olicy
For E-commerce
8/7/2019 V2020 FINAL
23/37
LOGISTI S
8/7/2019 V2020 FINAL
24/37
LOGISTI MANAGEMENT
TODAYSSCM
WEEKLY WEEKLY THE VISION DAILY BASIS
SOUR E MAKE DELIVARY SOUR E MAKE DELIVARY
ISSUES IN INTERNATIONAL
Fluctuation rate, government policies, local collaborators
ultimately become competitors, danger of foreign government.
LocalA tonomy
entralcontrol
Internationalrod ct
Domesticrod ct
8/7/2019 V2020 FINAL
25/37
8/7/2019 V2020 FINAL
26/37
WTO in 2020
LEGITIMA Y
JUSTI E
LAWMAKING
ATTENTION TO POVERTY
PASCAL LAMYDIRECTOR GENERAL WTO
OPTIMISTIC APPROACH
8/7/2019 V2020 FINAL
27/37
WTO - 2020
o ntries decide to ll o t
Decision making and conflict of interest
Pessimistic Approach
8/7/2019 V2020 FINAL
28/37
By 2020.
Worl Peace Orga izatio
Foc s of UN towards maintaining world
eace ot wit in t e co ntries andworld wide.
Incl ding t e Rog e States as an
integral art.
UN UN TerraUN Universal
8/7/2019 V2020 FINAL
29/37
By 2020.
Wea o Reserves
N clear wea ons created and o erated from
Moon.
Extended se of t e ISS for military.
O erations from IDC ( International Defense
Centre ) w ic wo ld e in t e geo-
sync rono s or it of lanet Eart
8/7/2019 V2020 FINAL
30/37
POVERTY
8/7/2019 V2020 FINAL
31/37
POVERTY
In 2020,
Poverty related to monetary
enefits will s rely come
down
Poverty may get a new face
of recognition (ot er t an
money).
It is a relative rocess and
will exist.
8/7/2019 V2020 FINAL
32/37
POVERTY - 2020
(a)Co siste t ApproachWhichI clu es Participatio Of People
Of Faith Gover me t And
Business .
(B) Protect HumanDignity.
(C) Avoiding Disparity
BetweenThe Rich And Poor.
8/7/2019 V2020 FINAL
33/37
MULTI NATIONAL COMPANIES
8/7/2019 V2020 FINAL
34/37
FACE OF INDIAN MNCS IN 2020
Indian com anies rogress over t e next 20 years will e
intimately linked to events wit in t e region as well as aro ndt e world.
Bot o ort nities and c allenges will arise as t e res lt oftransformations in t e regional and glo al olitical and sec rity
environments.
8/7/2019 V2020 FINAL
35/37
8/7/2019 V2020 FINAL
36/37
FACTORS THAT WILL LEAD TO FURTHER
GROWTH OF MNCS
Po lation Growt
Economic Ex ansion
Growt of World Trade
Growt of Services Sector
Ca ital Flows
Tec nology & Infrastr ct re
Ex ansion of software market
8/7/2019 V2020 FINAL
37/37
Presented By
Sowmya P(1021452)
Samuel Norman(1020759)
Varghese John(1021035)