V2020 FINAL

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    INTERNATIONAL ISSUES

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    Terrorism

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    Terrorism of the Foreseeable Future..

    Intensified Ideological Extremism

    Enhanced perational Capabilities

    Expanded Transnational AssociationsFlexible rganizational Networks

    Emergent Independent Actors

    Increased Weapon System Lethality

    Targeted Economic Disruption

    Exploited Mass Media Marketing

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    Disarmament

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    Possi le Scenarios In 2020

    N clear, c emical, io wea ons contin e to roliferate.

    Terrorism will contin e

    Increasing violence and olitical infl ence y non-state actors.

    Proliferation of rimitive as well as modern wea ons/systems.

    Disarmament of India y 2020 wo ld e diffic lt.

    In s ort of a non-discriminatory, verifia le FM T(Fissile Material t-off Treaty )

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    Foreseea le Indias F t re

    IT will el India overtake ina as t e fastest growing economyand ecome t e 3rd ranked economy

    Internet access will increase 6-10 times

    Every Indian will ave a UID (vs. none today)

    300 M+ will ave access to electronic f nd transfer

    India will ave 2nd largest electronic ayments vol me.

    Indian IT and Telecom com anies will e glo al layers

    India will e t e major IT rod ct market

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    Possi le Scenarios In 2020

    Skills S ortage & U iq ito s Data

    ver 2200 Indi n c p ni s are projecte to open operationso tsi e t e co ntry over t e next fifteen years.

    as & carry an s pper market mo el will e more prominent

    Me ical to rism/glo al ealt care.

    Tele-me ication in r ral an r an area.

    9-10 percent expecte growt in infrastr ct re.

    Glo al infrastr ct re investment in In ia expecte to increaseconsi era ly in t e next 10 years.

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    BRI IN 2020

    ina and India dominant s lier of man fact red goods and

    services

    Brazil and R ssia dominant s lier of raw materials

    BRI maintain economic growt y trading wit eac ot er

    BRI investment in infrastr ct re rojected over $22 tn

    Growt of middle class in India and ina,rising incomes will ave

    m c greater im act on glo al demand

    So t Africa and Indonesia are t e otential additions to t eBRI , forming it a 6 nation congregation

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    International Financial Instit tions

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    Indias orrowing likely to red ce y 2020 so rce f nding

    t ro g ot er means.

    Poorest co ntries African need more f nding.

    Domestic f nds

    International F nds

    Innovative a roac es to raise ca ital

    Domestic instit tions forced to com ete wit t e FIIs; Str ct raliss es will come to t e fore wit a lain message: reform ordes air.

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    INTERNATIONAL TRADE

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    INTERNATIONAL TRADE BARRIERS

    onflict etween

    US & UK

    S sides forolitical or

    economicalreasons

    Removal of

    internal s sidies

    Str ct ral

    adj stment

    Piracy in glo al

    trade

    ontroversial

    monetary aid

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    GLOBAL TRADING SYSTEM

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    GLOBAL TRADING SYSTEM

    T e economic develo ment of ina.

    An initiative for Asia Pacific Free Trade Area makes concrete rogress.

    2020 ossi ility of FTAA, African common market and E ro- Mediterranean Free trade

    Area in existence.

    Smaller gro ings wit closer integration mig t co-exist.

    It moves mainly towards regional trade agreements.

    T e olitical differences etween India ave led Pakistan.

    world moving to region-wide economic gro ings.

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    UNITED NATION

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    RELEVAN E OF UNITED NATIONS

    risis revention and recovery

    HIV and develo ment

    Poverty red ction

    onservation energy and revention

    Mitigation lans for crisis management

    VISION FOR 2020:

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    ERADI ATE

    EXTREME

    POVERTY AND

    HUNGER

    A HIEVE

    UNIVERSALPRIMARY

    EDU ATION

    OMBAT HIV

    AND OTHER

    DISEASES

    REDU E

    HILD

    MORTALITY

    IMPROVE

    MATERNALHEALTH

    PROMOTE

    GENDER

    EQUALITY

    ENSURE

    ENVIRONMENT

    ALSUSTAINABILITY

    GLOBAL

    PARTNERSHIP

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    TAXATION IN INTERDEPENDENT WORLD

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    TAXATION IN INTERDEPENDENT

    WORLD

    Double

    taxatio

    Not

    com letely

    automatic

    Gov., ee

    revam e

    Gov., ee

    tra s are cy

    Realistic

    olicy

    For E-commerce

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    LOGISTI S

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    LOGISTI MANAGEMENT

    TODAYSSCM

    WEEKLY WEEKLY THE VISION DAILY BASIS

    SOUR E MAKE DELIVARY SOUR E MAKE DELIVARY

    ISSUES IN INTERNATIONAL

    Fluctuation rate, government policies, local collaborators

    ultimately become competitors, danger of foreign government.

    LocalA tonomy

    entralcontrol

    Internationalrod ct

    Domesticrod ct

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    WTO in 2020

    LEGITIMA Y

    JUSTI E

    LAWMAKING

    ATTENTION TO POVERTY

    PASCAL LAMYDIRECTOR GENERAL WTO

    OPTIMISTIC APPROACH

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    WTO - 2020

    o ntries decide to ll o t

    Decision making and conflict of interest

    Pessimistic Approach

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    By 2020.

    Worl Peace Orga izatio

    Foc s of UN towards maintaining world

    eace ot wit in t e co ntries andworld wide.

    Incl ding t e Rog e States as an

    integral art.

    UN UN TerraUN Universal

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    By 2020.

    Wea o Reserves

    N clear wea ons created and o erated from

    Moon.

    Extended se of t e ISS for military.

    O erations from IDC ( International Defense

    Centre ) w ic wo ld e in t e geo-

    sync rono s or it of lanet Eart

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    POVERTY

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    POVERTY

    In 2020,

    Poverty related to monetary

    enefits will s rely come

    down

    Poverty may get a new face

    of recognition (ot er t an

    money).

    It is a relative rocess and

    will exist.

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    POVERTY - 2020

    (a)Co siste t ApproachWhichI clu es Participatio Of People

    Of Faith Gover me t And

    Business .

    (B) Protect HumanDignity.

    (C) Avoiding Disparity

    BetweenThe Rich And Poor.

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    MULTI NATIONAL COMPANIES

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    FACE OF INDIAN MNCS IN 2020

    Indian com anies rogress over t e next 20 years will e

    intimately linked to events wit in t e region as well as aro ndt e world.

    Bot o ort nities and c allenges will arise as t e res lt oftransformations in t e regional and glo al olitical and sec rity

    environments.

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    FACTORS THAT WILL LEAD TO FURTHER

    GROWTH OF MNCS

    Po lation Growt

    Economic Ex ansion

    Growt of World Trade

    Growt of Services Sector

    Ca ital Flows

    Tec nology & Infrastr ct re

    Ex ansion of software market

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    Presented By

    Sowmya P(1021452)

    Samuel Norman(1020759)

    Varghese John(1021035)