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© GSMA 2015
UTILISING THE DIGITAL DIVIDEND
IN EUROPE Creating a sustainable future for mobile broadband
Wladimir Bocquet, Head of Policy Planning,
Government & Regulatory Affairs, GSMA
June 2015
SPECTRUM FOR MOBILE
© GSMA 2015
GSMA BY THE NUMBERS
SPECTRUM FOR MOBILE
© GSMA 2015
A MOBILE BROADBAND REVOLUTION
SOURCE: MOBILE ECONOMY, GSMA 2014
SPECTRUM FOR MOBILE
© GSMA 2015
MAJOR RECENT GLOBAL MOBILE DATA GROWTH
SOURCE: ERICSSON MOBILITY REPORT FEB 2015
ALMOST 20X DATA GROWTH IN ONLY 5 YEARS (PB/PER MONTH)
SPECTRUM FOR MOBILE
© GSMA 2015
SIGNIFICANT GROWTH TO CONTINUE…
Exa
byte
s of
dat
a (p
er a
nnum
glo
bally
)
Sources
Analysys Mason, Global Mobile Network Traffic, Oct 2014
ABI Research, Mobile Data Traffic & Usage, Oct 2014
Cisco VNI Mobile Forecast, Jan 2015
Ericsson Mobility Report, Feb 2015
GROWTH FROM 2014-2019 EXPECTED TO BE 6-10X
SPECTRUM FOR MOBILE
© GSMA 2015
HOW CAN THIS DATA BE SUPPORTED?
FOUR MAIN WAYS MOBILE NETWORKS CAN SUPPORT RISING DATA
Increasingly spectrum efficient technologies (e.g. 3G to 4G to 5G)
Denser networks (e.g. more cell sites inc. small cells)
Wi-Fi offload (i.e. shifting data on to Wi-Fi networks as much as possible)
Using more mobile spectrum
SPECTRUM FOR MOBILE
© GSMA 2015
THE DIGITAL DIVIDEND
<700MHz
700MHz 800MHz
2100MHz
Cell radius
5800MHz
THE FREED SPECTRUM IN THE UHF BAND CAN BE USED TO
TRANSFORM MOBILE BROADBAND
Connect more people in more
places: Extend good value, and faster,
mobile services more widely - including
covering remote areas at a reasonable
cost
Better service quality, fewer
blackspots
Propagation benefits mean better quality
coverage including deep inside buildings
The 2.1GHz band needs 4x more base stations and 3x the network
CAPEX to deliver the same coverage as the 700MHz band
SPECTRUM FOR MOBILE
© GSMA 2015
TIMELY RELEASE OF THE 700MHz BAND
- Satisfying the exploding demand for mobile broadband
- Ensuring all citizens, whether in metropolitan or rural areas, benefit from the key
socio-economic benefits of broadband connectivity
RATIONALE
EU DIGITAL
AGENDA
Alongside the 800 MHz band, this would give the EU a powerful opportunity to
deliver on the Digital Agenda objective of universal high-speed broadband access
(i.e. 30Mbit/s for all EU citizens by 2020)
TIMELY
DECISION
- A timely decision to begin this process would allow Member States to release
the 700MHz band to the market, preferably, between 2018 and 2020 and
potentially earlier in some countries
- Finalised at the latest by the end of 2017 cross-border coordination
agreements, including transitional arrangements
SPECTRUM FOR MOBILE
© GSMA 2015
DIGITAL DIVIDEND 2: 700MHz
WRC-15 will finalise the conditions for IMT in 694-790MHz in Region 1 (EMEA)
– Involves agreeing a common band plan and out of band emissions – Europe has agreed both
– Germany is the first European country to auction the 700MHz band in May 2015
Why does harmonisation with the Asia Pacific 700MHz band plan matter?
– Creates a nearly-global band plan, enabling economies of scale for lower cost devices and roaming
– The APT700 band plan is dominant globally BUT its upper duplexer clashes with the 800MHz plan
REGION 1: 800 MHz BAND PLAN
APT700MHz BAND PLAN
791MHz 832 862MHz 790
821
703MHz 733 788MHz 758
718MHz 773 748 803MHz
Upper APT duplexer
Lower APT duplexer
SPECTRUM FOR MOBILE
© GSMA 2015
NEAR TO GLOBAL HARMONISATION
Adopted or leaning towards
APT Band plan (Population)
Afghanistan 30M
Australia 23M
Bangladesh 161M
Bhutan 0.7M
Brunei 0.4M
India 1,2B
Indonesia 249M
Japan 127M
Malaysia 29M
Maldives 0.4M
Nepal 30M
Pakistan 190M
Papua New Guinea 7M
Singapore 5M
Sri Lanka 21M
Tonga 0.1
Taiwan 23M
New Zealand 4M
TOTAL 2 Billion Pop
Adopted or committed to
APT Band Plan
Slow Progress
Band not allocated to mobile
No information
Momentum in Asia Pacific
SPECTRUM FOR MOBILE
© GSMA 2015
NEAR TO GLOBAL HARMONISATION
Momentum in LatAm
Leaning towards APT Band Plan
Adopted APT Band Plan
Adopted US Band Plan
Colombia
May. 2012
Costa Rica
Mar. 2012
Chile
Feb. 2013
Uruguay
Dec. 2011
Mexico
Sep. 2012
Panama
Oct. 2012
Ecuador
Oct. 2012
Bolivia
Dec. 2012
Argentina
Dec. 2012
Brazil
Feb. 2013
Nicaragua
Venezuela
Apr. 2013
Dominican Rep
Apr. 2013 Adopted or leaning towards APT
Band plan (Population)
Brazil 195M
Mexico 117M
Colombia 47M
Argentina 41M
Peru 30M
Venezuela 30M
Chile 17M
Ecuador 16M
Dominican Rep. 10M
Costa Rica 5M
Panama 3M
Uruguay 3M
TOTAL 514 Million Pop
SPECTRUM FOR MOBILE
© GSMA 2015
PREFERRED BAND PLAN – 700MHz BAND
2x30MHz
- Consist of 703-733MHz (uplink) paired with 758–788MHz (downlink) as the preferred
700MHz band plan
- Harmonise the regulatory and technical conditions for the 700MHz band plan with the
Asia Pacific band plan to maximise economies of scale
733-758MHz
- Support, when implementing the preferred band plan for the 700MHz and 800MHz
bands, that the duplex gap be used for public commercial mobile networks
(supplemental downlink)
- Recognize, however, that some governments may want to consider another option –
use of the duplex gap for Public Protection/Disaster Relief (PPDR) mobile broadband
applications
703 758 733 788 MHz
791 832 862 MHz 821 694
700MHz band 800 MHz band
Source: http://www.gsma.com/spectrum/wp-content/uploads/2014/05/GSMA-Recommended-Band-Plan-for-
Digital-Dividend-2-in-ITU-Region-1.pdf
SPECTRUM FOR MOBILE
© GSMA 2015
TV content consumption is changing with a shift from terrestrial TV delivery
to broadband, cable and satellite delivery in many European countries
VARIATION IN BROADCAST USE MEANS REGULATORS SHOULD HAVE
FLEXIBILITY TO USE THE BAND ACCORDING TO NATIONAL PRIORITIES
CURRENT UHF USAGE (470-694MHz):
Recent data, published by the European Commission (Source: Eurobarometer), shows
– The number of European households with a TV using terrestrial TV has fallen by 10% since 2011
– There are only five EU countries where the majority of people use DTT
• DTT subscriptions in the Netherlands dropped from 11% to 8% between Q1 2013 and Q1
2014 with the latest quarter the first ever when fiber has a bigger market share than DTT
HOW TO ACCOMMODATE MOBILE IN A PORTION:
Terrestrial TV is vital today, and in future, but on-demand, HD and mobile are changing the market
Broadcast evolution means more can squeeze into less spectrum
Potential for more DTT use in VHF (e.g. 174-230MHz) creating possibilities in the UHF band for mobile
– Terrestrial TV services in Finland, Sweden and Russia use some VHF so it is feasible
– Option is dependent on how much DTT spectrum is required
EVOLUTION OF CONSUMPTION TRENDS
SPECTRUM FOR MOBILE
© GSMA 2015
EVOLUTION OF CONSUMPTION TRENDS
Significant mobile data traffic is already video as content providers increasingly use mobile apps
- Ericsson’s TV and Media study highlights that 72% of people surveyed use mobile devices at
least weekly to view videos and 42% do this outside the home
- Younger viewers are increasingly choosing to consume TV content over the Internet, and
consume half as much traditional TV as older viewers (Ofcom TV trends survey), indicating a
major shift in the future of audio-visual content delivery
- Older viewers are also increasingly consuming on-demand content and this will likely continue
as smart TV and smartphone adoption grows
Forecasts of evolving linear and nonlinear viewing trends must measure all device platforms
(TV, PC, tablet or mobile) – not just large TV screens –
Ericsson predicts half of all TV consumption will be on-demand by 2020 in Western Europe
Mobile devices are also becoming a major way to consume audio-visual content and
generational differences in content consumption means the trend is towards IPTV
SPECTRUM FOR MOBILE
© GSMA 2015
SUB-700MHz BAND AND CONVERGENCE
- The differing use of terrestrial broadcast and IPTV, and the availability of low cost,
high speed broadband, around Europe means there is unlikely to be a single ‘one-
size-fits-all’ solution so requires a more flexible approach
DIVERSITY
ACROSS
EUROPE
CONVERGEN
CE IN
EUROPE
- Conduct analysis including convergence between mobile broadband and broadcast
in the sub-700MHz band under the remit of the existing EU research projects
- Conduct a review of the sub-700MHz band no later than 2020 to ensure Europe can
respond to fast changing mobile and media markets
PREPARING
CONVERGEN
CE
- Incorporate the results of the research on convergence as well as the other work
being conducted as part of the WRC-15
- Support a co-primary allocation in the sub-700MHz band at WRC-15 (subject to
possible provisions in the Radio Regulations)
SPECTRUM FOR MOBILE
© GSMA 2015
SUMMARY
Address the 700MHz and sub-700MHz bands as two distinct issues
Allow swift progress on the release of the 700MHz band
Review of the sub-700MHz band no later than 2020 considering the differing needs of the EU
Member States and the evolving nature of the broadcast and mobile broadband markets
Timely release of the 700MHz band is critical
A timely decision to begin this process would allow Member States to release the 700MHz band to the
market, preferably, between 2018 and 2020 and potentially allow for earlier release in some countries
Need for a clear roadmap detailing the different actions to be taken to minimise the transition time for
the change of use
Long term approach to address the sub-700MHz band
Ensuring broadcast and mobile broadband services share a co-primary allocation in the sub-700MHz
band (i.e. 470-694MHz) at WRC-15 gives Member States the ability to react to the rapidly evolving
mobile and media markets rather than being constrained by the current Radio Regulations
SPECTRUM FOR MOBILE
© GSMA 2015
GSMA RESOURCES
Digital Dividend Toolkit www.gsma.com/digitaldividendtoolkit
An online resource offering the latest policies,
perspectives and best practices for securing
and implementing Digital Dividend spectrum
for mobile broadband.
Digital Switchover Guide www.gsma.com/spectrum/digital-switchover
An interactive tool that describes how to
manage the conversion to digital television
and release Digital Dividend spectrum
for mobile.
Mobile Policy Handbook www.gsma.com/publicpolicy/handbook
A portal to GSMA positions on mobile policy
issues, including spectrum management and
licensing.
GSMA Spectrum Resources www.gsma.com/spectrum/resources
Our library of research, reports, case studies
and collateral.
© GSMA 2015
THANK YOU