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Utah Valley Executive Summit
October 4, 2019
Utah County:
A View into the Future
Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute D A V I D E C C L E S S C H O O L O F B U S I N E S S U N I V E R S I T Y O F U T A H
Source: U.S. Census Bureau Vintage 2018 Population
Estimates
Population Change: 2017 to 2018
Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute D A V I D E C C L E S S C H O O L O F B U S I N E S S U N I V E R S I T Y O F U T A H
Utah Population Growth by
County2017-2018
Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute D A V I D E C C L E S S C H O O L O F B U S I N E S S U N I V E R S I T Y O F U T A H
Utah Population Growth by
County2017-2018
Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute D A V I D E C C L E S S C H O O L O F B U S I N E S S U N I V E R S I T Y O F U T A H
Utah’s population is shifting south
Utah Mean Centerof Population
Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute D A V I D E C C L E S S C H O O L O F B U S I N E S S U N I V E R S I T Y O F U T A H
• 1 in 5 Utahns live in Utah County (7/1/2018)
• From 2010 to 2018, Utah County Contributed • 29% of population growth
• 23% of Births
• 14% of Deaths
• 28% Natural Increase
• 31% Net In-Migration
• Without Utah County, Utah’s population growth ranking falls from 1 to 4
Utah County Population Growth: 2010-2018
Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute D A V I D E C C L E S S C H O O L O F B U S I N E S S U N I V E R S I T Y O F U T A H
Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute D A V I D E C C L E S S C H O O L O F B U S I N E S S U N I V E R S I T Y O F U T A H
Utah County
Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute D A V I D E C C L E S S C H O O L O F B U S I N E S S U N I V E R S I T Y O F U T A H
Utah County
Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute D A V I D E C C L E S S C H O O L O F B U S I N E S S U N I V E R S I T Y O F U T A H
Utah County
Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute D A V I D E C C L E S S C H O O L O F B U S I N E S S U N I V E R S I T Y O F U T A H
Utah County Generates JobsJob Change by County: July 2009 – July 2019
Statewide:+36.3%
Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute D A V I D E C C L E S S C H O O L O F B U S I N E S S U N I V E R S I T Y O F U T A H
Travel & Tourism-Generated Local Sales Tax Revenue
Utah County(in millions of dollars)
Source: Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute analysis of Utah State Tax Commission data
$13.0$14.1
$15.6
$17.2$18.2
FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18
Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute D A V I D E C C L E S S C H O O L O F B U S I N E S S U N I V E R S I T Y O F U T A H
Local Sales Tax Revenue, FY2018
Utah County
($216.8 Million)
Travel and Tourism
Generated Portion
($18.2M), 8.4%
Source: Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute analysis of Utah State Tax Commission data
Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute D A V I D E C C L E S S C H O O L O F B U S I N E S S U N I V E R S I T Y O F U T A H
Year-Over-Year Change in Private Employment
Leisure & Hospitality vs. All Other Sectors
Utah County
5.9%
8.1%
6.5%
3.8%
6.4%
4.6%
7.1%
5.9%5.4%
5.7%
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Leisure & Hospitality All Other Sectors
Source: Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute analysis of Utah Department of Workforce Services data
Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute D A V I D E C C L E S S C H O O L O F B U S I N E S S U N I V E R S I T Y O F U T A H
Out-Commuting from Utah County, by Destination County of Origin
Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute D A V I D E C C L E S S C H O O L O F B U S I N E S S U N I V E R S I T Y O F U T A H
Out-Commuting from Utah County, by Destination County of Origin
Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute D A V I D E C C L E S S C H O O L O F B U S I N E S S U N I V E R S I T Y O F U T A H
Out-Commuting from Utah County, by Destination County of Origin
Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute D A V I D E C C L E S S C H O O L O F B U S I N E S S U N I V E R S I T Y O F U T A H
Out-Commuting from Utah County, by Destination County of Origin
Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute D A V I D E C C L E S S C H O O L O F B U S I N E S S U N I V E R S I T Y O F U T A H
In-Commuting to Utah County, by County of Origin
Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute D A V I D E C C L E S S C H O O L O F B U S I N E S S U N I V E R S I T Y O F U T A H
In-Commuting to Utah County, by County of Origin
Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute D A V I D E C C L E S S C H O O L O F B U S I N E S S U N I V E R S I T Y O F U T A H
In-Commuting to Utah County, by County of Origin
Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute D A V I D E C C L E S S C H O O L O F B U S I N E S S U N I V E R S I T Y O F U T A H
In-Commuting to Utah County, by County of Origin
Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute D A V I D E C C L E S S C H O O L O F B U S I N E S S U N I V E R S I T Y O F U T A H
Net Commuting in relation to Utah County
Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute D A V I D E C C L E S S C H O O L O F B U S I N E S S U N I V E R S I T Y O F U T A H
Net Commuting in relation to Utah County
Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute D A V I D E C C L E S S C H O O L O F B U S I N E S S U N I V E R S I T Y O F U T A H
Net Commuting in relation to Utah County
Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute D A V I D E C C L E S S C H O O L O F B U S I N E S S U N I V E R S I T Y O F U T A H
Net Commuting in relation to Utah County
Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute D A V I D E C C L E S S C H O O L O F B U S I N E S S U N I V E R S I T Y O F U T A H
Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, DemographyUTAH Population Committee, Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute Projections
Utah County Population Pyramid: 2010
Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute D A V I D E C C L E S S C H O O L O F B U S I N E S S U N I V E R S I T Y O F U T A H
Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, DemographyUTAH Population Committee, Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute Projections
Utah County Population Pyramid: 2065
Where Utahns live, 2017 and 2065
Source: Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute, 2015-2065 population projections
Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute D A V I D E C C L E S S C H O O L O F B U S I N E S S U N I V E R S I T Y O F U T A H
The New Utah
Thank you
Pamela S. Perlich, Ph.D.
Director, Demographic Research
Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute, University of Utah
gardner.utah.edu • [email protected]
Voice: 801.581.3358
Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute D A V I D E C C L E S S C H O O L O F B U S I N E S S U N I V E R S I T Y O F U T A H
Facebook.com/gardnerpolicyinstitute
Twitter.com/KemGardnerInst
Kem C. Gardner Policy InstituteDavid Eccles School of Business | 411 E. South Temple StreetSalt Lake City, UT 84111 | 801-585-5618 | gardner.utah.edu
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