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Chris Holmes
Sr. Project Manager May 15, 2013
Using AMI Data for DR M&V Webcast
2 © 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Our 40 Year History Our Future
Control Switch
•No override
•No adjustability
= Predictable utility value
Smart Communicating Devices
•Event override
•Customer adjustable
= Variable utility value
Context for the Study: Transition to Smart Residential Devices
3 © 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Context for the Study: Third Party Entities and M&V Challenges
4 © 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Using AMI Data to Determine DR Participation ( 161 D and 170 A Joint Collaborative Project)
Objectives • Investigate the ability and accuracy of
measuring demand response impacts using whole-home interval meter data.
Processing of AMI data appears to be a viable approach for assessing DR participation for common managed load types.
Key Lessons Learned • AMI meter data correlate approximately
70% of load events for large, simple loads (water heaters and HVAC)
• When direct measurement is not possible, AMI data may be used to infer receipt and response to DR events, given proper baselines.
• Higher resolution AMI data provides improved results.
How to Apply Results • Incorporate into strategy for future
DR programs involving smart, communicating appliances with customer-defined responses.
Product ID: 1025415
5 © 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Generic Demand Response Categories
Demand Response Evaluation, Measurement, and Verification: A Synthesis of Evolving Protocols and practices. EPRI, Palo Alto, CA: 2008, 1018194
6 © 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
2012 Case Study – Using AMI Data for M&V
Joint project between 161D (IntelliGrid) and 170A (Energy Efficiency and Demand Response) to investigate under what conditions and end-uses customer variable response may be measured at the premise meter (measurement and verification)
– Utilize the laboratory residential load bank to test detection of customer load response
– Alternative end-uses i.e. water heaters, thermostat settings, etc.
– Variable load response, full/partial/combined – Periods of usage integration i.e. sixty minute, fifteen
minute, five minute, one minute
7 © 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Residential Load Bank Features Call out
Description
1 Operator Interface
2 Control Circuit Interface – E-Stop Switch (Emergency Power Off), Power On, Control Power On/Off
3 Indication Lamps L1-N, L2-N (Green) - Input power phase loss Control/Hardware Healthy (Green) – System ready to run Test In Progress (Yellow) – Indication of system running in auto mode. Fault (Red) – Hardware or Software error.
4 Indication Lights – Receptacle energized indication lights
5 Meter Socket (Milbank 200A single-phase) 6 Main Input Power Access – Terminal block
located inside bottom right, accessible through knock out.
8 © 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Features
To ensure that .
Call Out
Description
7 Four Auxiliary Contacts (AC-1, AC-2, AC-3, AC-4) - Dry contacts 15A, 250VAC. Contacts, available to operator to program and switch the contacts in the same manner as power is switched to the receptacles.
8 Sixteen NEMA 5-15R 15A switched receptacles
9 Four 240V receptacles (Two NEMA 14-30R 30A) and (Two NEMA 14-50R 50A) switched receptacles
10 200A Load Center (200A Main Circuit Breaker, 24ckt)
9 © 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Approach: Laboratory Assessment Laboratory Assessment • Laboratory set up with residential
loads • Configurable AMI meter (1-min., 5-
min., 15-min., 60-min. whole premise reads)
• Four loads of interest air conditioner (HVAC), water heater, pool pump and refrigerator for DR.
• Correlations assume “perfect” baseline
• Linear multivariate restricted maximum likelihood (REML) estimation model in SAS
• Implied verifiability for the four loads estimated using 1-min., 5- min., 15-min., 60-min. whole premise reads
10 © 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Laboratory Assessment Results
60-min. 15-min. 5-min. 1-min. HVAC 0.6751 0.7292 0.778 0.7908 Water Heater 0.5878 0.6267 0.6901 0.6312 Pool Pump 0.1428 0.1023 0.131 0.0828 Refrigerator 0.1836 0.029 0.0288 0.0286
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oad
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d Correlation Estimates for the All Periods
11 © 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Laboratory Assessment Results (2)
Week day periods from 2 PM to 8 PM which represents typical summer on-peak periods when DR events are likely to occur
60-min. 15-min. 5-min. 1-min. HVAC 0.6815 0.7144 0.7281 0.7634 Water Heater 0.5529 0.549 0.6123 0.638 Pool Pump 0.1434 0.1789 0.1939 0.2592 Refrigerator 0.1424 0.1731 0.1821 0.1984
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oad
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Correlation Estimates for the Summer On-peak Period
12 © 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Minnesota Valley Electric Co-op HVAC Cycling Events in Summer 2012
13 © 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Minnesota Valley Electric Co-op. Interruptible Load Correlations for Alternative Baselines (Interruption Date, June 27, 2012)
14 © 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Results
The following results were derived from the study • Laboratory Assessment
– Higher measurement resolutions improve the ability to implicitly verify end-use loads
– 67% of the HVAC load, 58% of the water heater load, 24% of pool pump load and18% of refrigerator load reduction can be verified using 60-minute AMI measurements
– Larger loads show higher correlation while multi-state loads show poor correlation
• Field Assessment using Minnesota Valley Electric Coop. (MVEC) data – HVAC DR event data showed 72% correlation – Other sources of error exist – baseline errors, behavioral effects, cross-
correlational effects – May still require the socialization of the impact
Further research required to evaluate NILM for DR Measurement
&Verification (M&V).
15 © 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
M&V using NILM (Non-Intrusive Load Monitoring) Technology What is NILM ? • Analytical methods or technology that
measures an aggregate quantity such as whole premise energy consumption (kWh), voltage, current at the premise to determine consumption (kWh) of individual loads within the premise.
• Originally developed by Dr. G.W.Hart at MIT in the 1980s funded by EPRI.
• Multiple hardware and software products available today.
• Potential benefits : Real-time whole premise and end use energy and cost feedback, load research, energy management and equipment diagnostics.
Key benefits • Non-intrusive : Permits measuring
individual end use loads without entering customer premises
• Cost of Implementation: Low compared to submetering.
Concept
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NILM Evaluation Objectives
Measurement Accuracy
• Interval Usage (1 min, 5 min, 15 min, 60 min)
• Daily Usage
• Weekly Usage
Disaggregation Performance
• Loads isolated (#)
• Energy Coverage (%)
• Repeatability of Isolation
Cost
• Initial
• Installation
• O &M
17 © 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Laboratory Evaluation (Metered Reference)
Load Control & Measurement
Residential Loads
Metered Whole Premise Load
Metered End Use Loads
NILM Product
A
NILM Product
B
NILM Product
C
NILM Product
D
18 © 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Results & Conclusions
• NILM can be used for DR M&V, though with additional cost and inaccuracy burdens.
• Non-intrusive load monitoring is an evolving technology. • Best-available NILM disaggregation accuracies in the 85-90% range
observed in laboratory evaluations. • Advanced algorithms, technologies are being commercialized,
accuracies expected to improve. • Gaps: Utility-targeted applications, performance metrics, standards
development, industry-accepted protocols for evaluating NILM. Next Steps • Round II testing • Field evaluation of NILM technologies in Summer – Fall 2013
comparing with direct measurements. • NREL workshop scheduled for summer 2013 to address product
specifications, standards and metrics development.
19 © 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Questions?
20 © 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
For More Information Contact:
Chris Holmes 865-218-8116 [email protected]
Brian Seal 865-218-8181 [email protected]
Krish Gomatom 865-218-8070 [email protected]
21 © 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved. Image from NASA Visible Earth