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Use of Emergency Engines for Emergency DR Is Good Policy June 24, 2013

Use of Emergency Engines for Emergency DR Is Good Policy June 24, 2013

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Page 1: Use of Emergency Engines for Emergency DR Is Good Policy June 24, 2013

Use of Emergency Engines for Emergency DRIs Good Policy

June 24, 2013

Page 2: Use of Emergency Engines for Emergency DR Is Good Policy June 24, 2013

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Outline

• Emergency demand response (DR) versus non-emergency

• EPA found no correlation between emergency DR and high ozone

• NESCAUM analysis not representative

• Compliance costs for strict limits are prohibitive

• Strict limits will cost MD consumers much more

Page 3: Use of Emergency Engines for Emergency DR Is Good Policy June 24, 2013

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Use of engines in demand response

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Emergency Demand Response (DR)

• Used as measure of last resort• Only PJM can call event and must follow NERC EEA Level 2 Procedures• Program called by PJM just prior to voltage reductions when no other options

are available• PJM – Emergency Load Response Program (ELRP)

Non-Emergency DR or Peak Shaving

• Dispatched for non-emergency (e.g., economic) reasons and site can decide when to operate

Page 4: Use of Emergency Engines for Emergency DR Is Good Policy June 24, 2013

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Ozone exceedances do not correlate with emergency DR

• Analysis of Emergency DR events and measured ozone concentrations• 2005 – 2011

• PJM, ISO NE, NYISO, and ERCOT

• No correlation between emergency DR and high ozone concentrations

• Although some emergency DR events are called during high ozone days, many DR events occur on non-exceedance ozone days and many more have high ozone alerts but no DR events

• Data does not show that use of emergency engines during DR events causes high ozone • In many instances the ozone concentrations are high or higher on the days preceding an event

Page 5: Use of Emergency Engines for Emergency DR Is Good Policy June 24, 2013

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Emergency DR events do not correlate with high ozone daysSee Analysis of Emergency DR and Ozone Concentrations; February, 2012

Date Geographic Extent Duration (Hours) High O3 Day? Notes

May 26, 2011 Norfolk portion of Dominion

2 Yes in MD, No in DE Only 1 out of 17 monitors in MD showed a slight exceedance (76 ppb)

May 31, 2011 Mid Atlantic and Dominion

2 Yes in MD, No in DE

July 22, 2011 Mid Atlantic (subset) 6 (BGE, PECO, DPL, DLCO); 5 (JCPL, METED)

Yes Highest observed O3 for July was on July 2 which was not a DR event

September 24, 2010 Mid Atlantic (subset) 6 Yes Three MD monitors only exceeded std by 2 ppb

September 23, 2010 Mid Atlantic (subset) 5.5-6 depending on zone

Yes in MD, No in DE One MD monitor only exceeded std by 1 ppb

August 11, 2010 DC portion of Pepco 6 Yes Ozone concentrations higher previous day

July 7, 2010 Mid Atlantic (subset) 4-5.5 depending on zone

Yes July 5-6 recorded higher concentrations

June 11, 2010 Pepco Only 4.2 No

May 26, 2010 Pepco Only (DC Only)

2.7 No

August 8, 2007 Mid Atlantic 4-5 depending on zone

No August 6 and 7 had exceedances

August 2, 2006 Mid Atlantic 4 No in MD, Yes in DE

August 3, 2006 Mid Atlantic 5 No in MD, Yes in DE

July 27, 2005 Mid Atlantic and Dominion

4 Yes July 25-26 recorded higher concentrations

August 4, 2005 Mid Atlantic 3 Yes

Page 6: Use of Emergency Engines for Emergency DR Is Good Policy June 24, 2013

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Monitored ozone concentrations in MDNeed to examine days prior to ELRP events

• July 7, 2010; ERLP Event in Mid Atlantic (subset); 4 to 5.5 hours depending on zone

• August 11, 2010; ELRP Event in DC Portion of Pepco; 6 hours

• July 27, 2005; ELRP Event in Mid Atlantic and Dominion; 4 Hours

Page 7: Use of Emergency Engines for Emergency DR Is Good Policy June 24, 2013

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EPA found no correlation between emergency DR and high O3

EPA Response to Comments; January 14, 2013 NESHAP Docket Memo

• “This robust and comprehensive study concluded that there is no correlation between emergency DR and high ozone concentration.”

• “While EPA acknowledges that emergency DR may be called during HEDD in the summer when days are especially warm and ozone is problematic, the use of emergency DR at such times cannot be directly correlated as causing or contributing to the ozone exceedances.”

• “The EPA does not agree that emissions of diesel exhaust are likely to go up significantly compared to the estimates used in the original rule, given the very limited usage of such engines in emergency DR. It is worth noting that the circumstances during which these engines will be permitted to run under the rule are in circumstances that would prevent blackouts, which, if not prevented, would mean the use of all emergency engines in the affected area, which would create substantially greater emissions from diesel engines than if these limited emergency DR engines are used for a short period of time.”

• “Further, in the event of blackouts, people’s health and safety are jeopardized. During a blackout, there are human health effects that can result from extreme weather temperatures, hot or cold, that become uncontrollable during the loss of electricity. …. in a study published by NIH, it was found that during the blackout of 2003 New York City put people in greater health peril.”

Page 8: Use of Emergency Engines for Emergency DR Is Good Policy June 24, 2013

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Use of generators on High Electric Demand Days (HEDD)As noted by EPA in the Federal Register Notice (January 30, 2013)

• “While the EPA is sensitive to these concerns, the availability of these engines for a more tailored response to emergencies may be preferable in terms of air quality impacts than relying on other generation, including coal-fired spinning reserve generation.”

• “While EPA acknowledges that emergency DR may be called during HEDD in the summer when days are especially warm and ozone is problematic, the use of emergency DR at such times cannot be directly correlated as causing or contributing to the ozone exceedances. Also, the fact is that many DR events occur on days when ozone standards were not exceeded and in many cases ozone levels are high or higher on days before a DR event, according to available data.”

Page 9: Use of Emergency Engines for Emergency DR Is Good Policy June 24, 2013

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NESCAUM analysis is not representative

From EPA’s Response to Comments

• “The EPA finds that analysis to be limited based on a very brief analysis period (2 days) and may not be representative and justified in supporting a conclusion that emergency generators clearly contribute to HEDD events and the EPA does not know what those estimates are based on from that study. “

• “The EPA does not believe NESCAUM can conclude without a doubt that emergency DR correlates with high ozone days. Again, the analysis was only over 2 days.”

• “Also, in the alternative, the EPA does not know what those backup engines would have been replaced with. The results of the analysis conducted for the report are only applicable for areas with capacity market and may be dependent upon fuel price assumptions. Further, other studies spanning for a longer time looking at many events over many years in different areas of the United States shows a different result .”

Page 10: Use of Emergency Engines for Emergency DR Is Good Policy June 24, 2013

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Compliance costs for strict limits are prohibitive

• Caterpillar Quote to upgrade non-tier rated 2 MW diesel engine to Tier 4 emission limits:• Parts (including SCR and DPF): $261,772

• Labor: $101,000

• Total: $362,772 plus additional annual operating costs

• Best Available Control Technology (BACT) is typically $10,000/ton or less

DR Operation Hours

NOx Removed ($/ton)

100 $221,200

60 $368,700

8.8 (Avg of 2005-2011)

$2,513,664

Page 11: Use of Emergency Engines for Emergency DR Is Good Policy June 24, 2013

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Engines will be withdrawn which will cost consumers

• 99%+ generators participating in emergency DR in MD will drop out of the ELRP if MDE imposes stricter limits• Companies participate in DR because they do not need to do anything to their engines

• Not a single engine in non-emergency DR programs in EnerNOC’s portfolio is planning to upgrade for non-emergency NESHAP compliance and the costs are much lower ($60K per engine)

• Very few engines participate in ELRP in NJ and DE due to high costs of controls

• Without generators participating in MD in ELRP, electricity costs will increase by over $200M per year

Page 12: Use of Emergency Engines for Emergency DR Is Good Policy June 24, 2013

Don DiCristofaro ; Air Quality Meteorologist Consultant

[email protected]; 617-834-8408