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U.S.- MEXICO CHAMBER OF COMMERCE DALLAS, TX SEPTEMBER 23, 2008

U.S.- MEXICO CHAMBER OF COMMERCE

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U.S.- MEXICO CHAMBER OF COMMERCE. DALLAS, TX SEPTEMBER 23, 2008. INDEX. 1.-National Development Plan 2.-CFE Background National Electric System Energy Demand - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: U.S.- MEXICO CHAMBER OF COMMERCE

U.S.- MEXICO CHAMBER OF COMMERCE

DALLAS, TX SEPTEMBER 23, 2008

Page 2: U.S.- MEXICO CHAMBER OF COMMERCE

INDEX 1.-National Development Plan

2.-CFE Background

National Electric System Energy Demand Investment opportunities

3.-PEMEX

Reforms Investment opportunities Gas, LPG pipelines Cogeneration

4.-Private Industry

5.-Conclusions

SEPTEMBER 2008

Page 3: U.S.- MEXICO CHAMBER OF COMMERCE

Mexico’s National Development Plan establishes the basis of using natural resources for actual generations without affecting future generations.

Development shall be from now on clean, preserving environment and with the reconstruction of ecological systems.Objective is to achieve a human and social development in harmony with nature.

Main strategy is to stop and revert water, air and soil contamination.According to these principles SEMARNAT(Ministery of Environmental) together with CFE, PEMEX and private companies have been working in a project of new environmental norms to be applied to current and any new industrial installations.

PEMEX, CFE and private industry will develop future projects and those related to existing plants accordingly.

Page 4: U.S.- MEXICO CHAMBER OF COMMERCE

2. CFE

Background

Two vertical integrated companies comprise the Mexican industry. CFE and Luz y Fuerza del Centro (LFC) have traditional held control over electricity production, transmission, distribution and sale to the public, as set forth in the Constitution.

Page 5: U.S.- MEXICO CHAMBER OF COMMERCE

Over several decades, a State monopoly was the most adequate scheme for integrating the country’s electricity grid and expanding coverage throughout the national territory. The available technology and the scale of projects, as well as the required sources of investment, called for the centralization of the electricity industry in the public sector as the natural foundation for the consolidation of infrastructure. Under these conditions, the electricity industry became a strategic area exclusively run by the State.

Page 6: U.S.- MEXICO CHAMBER OF COMMERCE

The 1992 amendments to the Ley del Servicio Publico de Energía Eléctrica (Public Electricity Service Act) provided for limited private domestic and International participation in the sector. This change came about as a result of the need to add private efforts to the government’s in order to increase electricity supply in view of budgetary constrains. As a result of these reforms, the private sector participates in electricity generation under the following modalities:

Page 7: U.S.- MEXICO CHAMBER OF COMMERCE

Self-supply. The generation of electricity to meet an industrial facility’s own energy needs.

Cogeneration. Electricity generated simultaneously with steam or other types of secondary thermal energy to be used in an industrial process, or the generations of electricity form the surplus thermal energy of an industrial process.

Independent power producer (IPP). Generation of electricity to be sold to CFE under a power purchase agreement (PPA).

Small production. Generation of a capacity under 30 MW to be sold to CFE in its entirety.

Page 8: U.S.- MEXICO CHAMBER OF COMMERCE

Export of electricity produced under the cogeneration, IPP or small production modalities.

Import of electricity exclusively for self-supply purposes.

Emergency electricity generation during public service breakdowns.

The State still holds the exclusive right to generate electricity for public service; the private sector is not allowed to sell energy to end

users.

Page 9: U.S.- MEXICO CHAMBER OF COMMERCE

NATIONAL ELECTRIC SYSTEM

TOTAL INSTALLED CAPACITY

Page 10: U.S.- MEXICO CHAMBER OF COMMERCE
Page 11: U.S.- MEXICO CHAMBER OF COMMERCE

Termoelectric

44.87%

Nuclear

2.73%

IPP

22.95%Eolic

0.171%Hydroelectric

22.14%

Coal

5.21%

Geothermal

1.93%

Total Installed Capacity Operated by CFE

Page 12: U.S.- MEXICO CHAMBER OF COMMERCE

Total Installed Capacity Operated by CFE

Termoelectric 22,404.69 MW

Hydroelectric 11,054.90 MW

Coal 2,600.00 MW

Geothermal 964.50 MW

Eolic 85.48 MW

Nuclear 1,364.88 MW

IPP 11,456,90 MW

Total 49,931,34 MW

Page 13: U.S.- MEXICO CHAMBER OF COMMERCE

ENERGY DEMAND-INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES

Expected growth in energy demand during period 2007-2016 will be 4.8% yearly. Nevertheless in the period 2006 – 2007 was lower.

From December 2006 to December 2017 total installed capacity will grow form 48,759 MW to 69,004 MW. (These figures doesn’t include auto supply and Cogeneration) (Privates)

Page 14: U.S.- MEXICO CHAMBER OF COMMERCE

CFE will install in that period 63 new generation plants with a total capacity of 24,775 MW Investment will de 20,000 MMUSD.

CFE will invest an average of 5,000 MMUSD per year during the next ten years in electrical infrastructure.

CFE will try to have no more of 40% of electrical capacity based in natural gas. Following years will use conventional technologies, like combined cycles using natural gas and coal plants. Some eolic plants will be added.

Page 15: U.S.- MEXICO CHAMBER OF COMMERCE

CFE (National Power Company) has an installed generation capacity in excess.

The generation installed capacity has growth above the power demand.

Nevertheless currently five new power plants and a LNG Terminal are under construction:

La Yesca (Hydroelectric)- 750 MWPacifico II (coal)- 651 MWPlanta Norte (Durango)- 450 MWBaja California-272 MWSan Lorenzo (conversion to CC)-116 MW

The above due to following reasons:

Some power plants are coming to the end of useful life

Increase of use of natural gas in those plants using fuel oil.

Page 16: U.S.- MEXICO CHAMBER OF COMMERCE

CFE will also invest in emission control projects in Mazatlan, Guaymas, Tula and Tuxpan.

This after the Punta Prieta emission control project was a success.

Page 17: U.S.- MEXICO CHAMBER OF COMMERCE

3. PEMEX

New Generation of Reforms.

The natural gas reform initiated during 1995 was aimed mainly at establishing adequate conditions to promote private investment in storage, transportation and distribution activities. For that purpose, restrictions to foreign trade were eliminated, and marketing activities were opened to private participation not subject to regulation due to its competitive potential.

Although the reform was successful in this regard since the private sector is now the prime participant in Mexico’s infrastructure development significant drawbacks still prevail due to Pemex’s dominating position in the market.

Page 18: U.S.- MEXICO CHAMBER OF COMMERCE

Marketing. Pemex currently exerts a legal monopoly over natural gas production and a natural monopoly with respect to the National Pipeline System (SNG).

Page 19: U.S.- MEXICO CHAMBER OF COMMERCE

Transportation. Although the development of natural gas transportation infrastructure is open to private participation, Pemex has continued to build transportation pipelines, primarily related to electricity projects.

Page 20: U.S.- MEXICO CHAMBER OF COMMERCE

Investment Opportunities

Page 21: U.S.- MEXICO CHAMBER OF COMMERCE

PEMEX will bid following projectsduring 2008-2009

Natural Gas Pipelines.Next projects:

Punta Piedra-Poza Rica-Santa Ana Tamazunchale-San Luis de La Paz. Manzanillo-Guadalajara. San Isidro-Chihuahua.

LPG Pipelines.Next Projects:

Juárez-Chihuahua. Chihuahua- La Laguna. Abasolo. Poza Rica-Atotonilco.

Page 22: U.S.- MEXICO CHAMBER OF COMMERCE

Besides the project in progress Reconfiguration of Minatitlán Refinery, Pemex has already published bid for the project “Clean Gasolines” for Tula and Salamanca refineries.

Also a new refinery is planed for Tuxpan or a site in the Pacific coast along with the reconfiguration of Salina Cruz refinery probably for 2009.

Page 23: U.S.- MEXICO CHAMBER OF COMMERCE

Cogeneration.

Congress approved cogeneration reform in January 2006 allowing PEMEX to develop cogeneration projects for self supply.

First project announced by PEMEX was Nuevo Pemex to be build in the complex with the same name in state of Tabasco located southeast México. Bid is due January 2009.

Potential of cogeneration projects in PEMEX is around 3,000 MW.

Page 24: U.S.- MEXICO CHAMBER OF COMMERCE

COGENERATION PROJECTS PEMEX

Page 25: U.S.- MEXICO CHAMBER OF COMMERCE

Nuevo Pemex 300 MW

Salamanca 350 MW

Salina Cruz 350 MW

Tula 350 MW

Cangrejera 400 MW

Morelos 350 MW

Madero 350 MW

Cadereyta 350 MW

Atasta 100 MW

PLANT CAPACITY

Page 26: U.S.- MEXICO CHAMBER OF COMMERCE

Prívate Industry

Opportunities are found mainly in mining sector, bererages, food, steel manufacturing.

Page 27: U.S.- MEXICO CHAMBER OF COMMERCE

CONCLUSION

Mexican market offers a wide spectrum of investment or project execution opportunities in fields like power generation, oil exploration, oil refining, gas pipelines etc.

Decline of oil production from Cantarell opens an opportunity to enter to deep waters exploration. We expect the energy reform that has heen studied in the Congress will be approved during 2009.

International companies working in power generation.

Page 28: U.S.- MEXICO CHAMBER OF COMMERCE

like Iberdrola, Abener, Isolux, Union Fenosa,Techin, etc. have been working in the country since several years.

Other companies like Petrobras, Sinopec, have joined with mexican companies (Diavaz, parent company) to develop projects in PEP(Pemex Exploration Production).

Current situation in Mexico is similar to that in Brasil some years ago