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U.S. Monthly Drought Outlook Drought Tendency During the Valid Period
Valid fo r December 31, 2013 Released November 0, 2013
,<:J
\ ~-/1)~ Removal /
Improvement
KEY:
-
Drought persists or Intensifies
Drought remains but Depicts large-scale trends based on subjectively derived probabilities guided by short- and
Improves :;n-::ea~t~~~ati~~ ~r:cd~~~~=J~o;~c;~~ ~=;~t;~e:v:~~~~ u~:~~~~:~~~;v!:~~:~~:ss -
-
- such as crops - that can be affected by such events. •ongoing• drought areas are Drought remova l likely approximated from tho Drought Monitor (01 to 04 intensity). For weekly drought updates,
see the latest U.S. Drought Monitor.
-
Drought development NOTE: The tan areas imply at least a 1-category improvement in the likely Drought Monitor intensity levels by the end of the period although drought wil l remain .
The green areas i'npty drought removal by the end of the period (DO or none)
1
U.S. Drought Monitor
California December 3, 2013
(Released Thursday, Dec. 5, 2013)
V.lld 7 a.m. EST
Drought Cond1t10ns (Percent Area)
None 00 01 02
Current 261 l24 11 .62 5494 2759 000
laSI W8ek 261 l24 11.62 54.94 2759 000
3UonthsAgo 000 "" <15 91 .58 11.36 000
start or ClriendarYear 31.75 1293 3282 22.50 000 000
"""'' Start of WttarYear 263 1 42 11 83 n.n 11.36 0.00
OneYearAoo 23.15 1749 "'76 25.54 005 000
lnlens1tv:
00.Abnormal '°f Ory - D3Extreme01t1u91lt
0 1 WoderateOro1,19ht - D•Exc:eplionaJDrought
- 02Severe0ro11ght
The DrouQht Mooitor focuses oo t:road-scale condlions. ux:a/ conditions msy vary see accompanymg text summsry rorrorecast.statements.
Author: Michael Brew er NC DC/NOAA
http ://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/
California Drought Index
0 0 4
• 03
• 02
• DI
• DD
• Nothins
2
• l ;
·~-"" THREE-MONTH OUTLDO~ PRECIPITATlON PROBABILITY !.:! MONTH LEAD VALlD JfM 201"1 HADE 21 NOV 2013
California Snow Water Content
PERCEIH OF APRIL 1 AVERAGE, DECH BER 06, 2013 .. > Northern Section - Trinity t hrough Feather & Truckee = 2so~~~~~~~~~~..--r~~~~~~~~..--r~~~~~~~~..--.-~r---.-... ... ..; ... .. -- - -- ...
\ k 200tt--t~-t---1f---t-~+--t~-t-~f---t-~+--.t~-t-~f---t-~+--t~-t'c~f---t-~+--t~-t-~f---HI = ~ .. I \... 'c; , ~.\ ~ 15011--+~+--+~+--+~+--+,r---+--+~-+--+~-+---+~+---+~-+---+~+---'"t~-+---+~-+---+t---H
~ I ~
- - Drg 76-77 - - Met 82-83 - ·- Prov 12-13 - Curr 13•14 '"""'Averaiie
3
:::.: ~-------------------------------------------!~~~!:! 72 .00
66.00
1200.0 if ii. 1080.0 .. C> g 960.0
: 840.0 E ::i
~ 720.0
~ -l 600 .0 ~
! 4 80.0 ~
360.0
240 .0
120 .0
°" 01 0 .0 ~2 3tlfw!
x
'-x
'==
I Normal I 60 .00
54 .00
48.00
42 .00
36.00
30 .00
24 .00
I Grit Dry I 18.00
12 .00
6 .00
0 .00
10/01 11/01 12 /01 01/01 02/01 03/01 04/01 05101 06/01 07/0 1 08.101 09101 09130
Waler Year 2014 - Day (mm/dd)
Forecast WY Percent of Average: 73 % Observed WY lo Dale Percent of Average: 23 %
:ll Year WY>t>lumeAverage - WY'.o Date Obs -WY t,o DateA-.g Dai ly Obs - ESP WY>blume Forecast X
Crea1ed : 121W2l13 al 11 :J2AM PST (ID= CEGC 1) NOAA/ NWS I Calibrnia Nevada River Foreca51 Cen&r
c .. ~ 0 :I .. i Q.
~ ~ .. .. -C> C> C> .. l: ~
4
bbreviated Restoration Flow Release
purpose of this document is to improve TRRP ReltOBtiC>n Flow ttydrosr-.ph Recomm!ndKions
~11nnin1 writh wate r year 20H . by prOYidina;an abbr~ted portfof10of pest hydr~ Orlty a brie 5Ummary of e1<h hydroeraph Is provided; these may be m<We tw~lydocumented In future years
~ portfoUo ln1tlallv includes thow hydrotraphs thAt kaYr bu n e ructrd, «Mtina wtth W.tar YH r j ~004, ~us some hydroaraphs nt:ver enacted. but ~~loped under prior flow sd1edulin1
(roces.sesand have some dearee of •nalyses comp~ted
p>ms>ile d by Eric Pe te rson
~ saw:d 9/ 23/2013 3 SO PM by Enc Pe tenon
ntents t.ndMdTables
ttre mely We t Yu r Hydro•• phs
ROD, Extremely Wet
I l!t Yu r HVdrotraphs _
ROD. W e t
llOOOck We t(WY20'11 )..
lmal "" Hvd•<>v•Ph>
ROD, Normal _ _ __
~I Modified Normal (W'\'2008 ) RipM r.anDescendinaumb, Normal(WY2012) ___ _
R1panan/W11dl ife PeMi: plus Monit.orln&. Normal CW\'2010)
OOOds Mode l cal ibration, Nor11181 (WY200S) _ _ _
Joint Physlca l·Rlparlan, Normal _ _ -· _
Year Hydrocraphs -
I
ROD Ory (WV2007) _
Monitorin& BeM:hes l>l'Y (WY2009)
Sprlna Habitat &ern:h. Ory (WY2013)
I Joint Physical-Ripar.-n Alt l . Dry
Joint Physic.al-Riparia n Att 2, Ory
fritiully Ory Hydroiraphs
tROO, CriDC~ly Dry _ _ __
nstralne d Hydrorraphs. _ ·-
lnfrastructJJre Constraine d, Extremely Wd IWY2006~ - ___ _
Volume Constraine d. Normal (WY2004 _
5
~ § ii:
Extremely Wet-ROD Extremely Wet-Riparian Initiation Wet-ROD
Normal-Multi-peak 1 Normal-Multi-peak 2 Normal-Joint Physical-Riparian Initiation Dry-ROD Dry-Multi-peak Dry-Joint Physical-Riparian Initiation Alt 2 Extremely Dry-ROD
ROD James Lee ROD Andreas Krause Andreas Krause Seth Naman Seth Naman
ROD Seth Naman Seth Naman Krause-Lee ROD Seth Naman
Flow Schedule Proposals (Grit Dry) 12,000
10,000
8,000
6,000
4,000
2,000
A ~ · - · -
0
t ~ t ~ ~
ury JPRl Alt 2
- Wet
- - ~'Ob& Wet
2014 Flow Scheduler
-------,--
t- - - ~ · - - -- --
,, ,, ! ~
00
ury Mull:i-Peak
- Wet
,, ~ ~
,, ,,
! m ~ ,.. ~
~ ob
· Normal JPRl Wet
..., ._ c
1
- - ~'Ob- - - . ~&l'f~m..11
-c
~
---- 0Drtlf'RIA1t2 0ROOExWot Oo.-,M<dl!-Peak
0 FlOOW" Q Nonnal lf'R!
0 R00 No<mal 0 1"""1al Mult>-Peak t
0 R00 Ort 0 Nonna! Mulb-Peak 2
0 R0001tDrt OwetAltt
0wetAA2
OwerMulrt-Peak l
0 Wet Molt1-P.e,ak 2
OexwinRiplntt
- t ·-_ __ __ __ _ _) __ __ __ __ _ _
c ~ "" ,..
::i "'
·Nonna! Multi -Peak 1 Wet
- ~l'!li-b,\ak 2
· Norma1 Multi-Peak 2 Ex Wet
- . - ~eb"&t Dry
6
Flow Schedule Proposals (Dry) 12 ,000
10 ,000
8,000
6,000
4,000
2,000
JPRI Alt 2 --Wet
- · - ~'bbEx Wet.
2014 Flow Scheduler
Peak Increase - Os Multi-Peak - Os, mimic Met
>. iD' iD' >. >. <:
j ::< ~ ~ i -'!
<h >b
"' ry onn Multi -Peak JPRI
--Wet Wet
<:
~
- -~b- - · - · ~l\ti\'~~1
<:
~
0ROOExWol
ROOWll
ROD Hormel
0 oryJPR1M:2
0•>'1-o--0-........... , o-......... ,
ROOerto..y Ow11tA111
<: "! 1 1 1 ol "' ~ "'
Multi-Peak 1 Wet
- · - ~l'ill·ti.ial<2
Ow"""' 0 Wet Mult-PHt I o---, Dex_...,,,.
1 1 ~ "'
0
~ Mulb-Peak 2 Ex Wet
- - IIBbnibit Dry
Flow Schedule Proposals (Normal) 12,000
10,000
8,000
2,000
0
.? ! .? ~ ~
JPRI Al 2 --Wet
- - ~'bb Ex. We<
2014 Flow Scheduler
Peak Increase - Q s
Multi-Peak - Os, mimic Met
>. >. >. >. iD' <:
~ ~ ~ "' -'! ~ ~ >b <h 'f! ~
ry or PAull-Peak JPRI
--Wet Wet
<:
~
- . - ~'bbWel - - ~1111·~~1
Qoooexw .. D•oo-0000""'""' ORODllr/
D•oocrtt..,
===jl Oo>'/JPR1AJt2
O°"'...., ... ,, 0 Normal JPRI
0 Normal Multt-Pek 1
0 Normal Multt-Pek 2
Ow"""' ow .. Alt2
D Wet Nulb-Pel!lt. l
0 Wet MutJ-f•eok. 2
0ExW.t:Rlplnit
Descending Limb <-0.1ft/day stage@ NFH
-<: c "! 1 ~ 1 1 ~ 1 1 ol 0 ~ ;:; ~ ~
or MultJ-Peak 1 Mul1-Peak 2 Wet Ex Wet.
- - - ~111\W' 2 - - IIBb"'bit Dr/
7
~ § u:
~ Ii u:
Flow Schedule Proposals (Wet) 2014 Flow Scheduler
12,000
10000
8,000
6,000
4,000
2,000
0
~ ~ ~ "' "' "' "' ~
.. " .. ::; ~ ~
~ 11; <b '£2 :::: "' c c .. -'! 1 ~ J, "' ~ "' ry ry ormo
JPRI Alt2 Multi-Peak JPRI --Wet --Wet Wet
- · - ~bbEx. Wet - . - ~bbw.t - . - Wi'il'i'~~~~I
~ c
1 :tl
::j ,.,,
ormo
r QROOExWe< ~ ROOWet
OROONormal QROOD<y
D •oocnto.y
~ ~ ~
Multi -Peak 1 Wet
- · - ~i'i!'i·'O;r2
Dfy .JPRlAll 2
Nomlal~flreak l
0 .................. , 0wetAlll
0wetAJt2
0 Wet Multi-Peak 1
(!]Wet Multi-Peak 2
O<xwet..,,Jnk
~ ~ /(, ;:;
ormo
"' i Multi-Peak 2 Ex Wet
- . - ~i!30n&;t D.y
Flow Schedule Proposals (Ex Wet) 12 ,000
10,000
8,000
6000
4,000
2,000
·- J--~ ! ~ ~ /(,
"' JPRI Alt2 --Wet
- · - ~bbEx. Wet
2014 Flow Scheduler
r l - l
"' "' ~ .. " i ::; ~ <b
"' f.tult1-Peak --Wet
- · - ~bbw.t
I
i I
"' ~
l, I \ I I
\
orma JPRI Wet
\
- - Wi'i!'i·~~~I
\ \
-0 RODExWet
D •oowet O ROO,Wmal 0 ROOD<y
0 ROOOttD<y
....... . ..L
orma Multi-Peak 1 Wet
- · - ~i'iMiW 2
' ...... .
Oo..,JPRJA/t2 Oo.y...., ..... 0 Normal JPRJ
CJ Hormol Multl·Peok 1
0 Normal Multi·Peok 2
QwetAlll 0wetAlt2
OwetMull:t-Peakl
0wetMulb-Peali:2
{!) Ex Wet Rip JnFt
0
Multi-Peak 2 Ex Wet
- · - ~80°&.t D.y
8
9
.. t I •
UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF THE INTERIOR U.S. BUREAU OF RECLAMATION-CENTRAL VALLEY PROJECT-CALIFORNIA
DAILY CVP WATER SUPPLY REPORT DECEMBER 9, 2013 RUN DATE: December 10, 2013
RESERVOIR RELEASES IN CUBIC FEET/SECOND
RESERVOIR DAM WY 2013 WY 2014
TRINITY LEWISTON 322 317
SACRAMENTO KESWICK 4,616 3,974
FEATHER OROVILLE (SWP) 2,075 1,250 +--
AMERICAN NIMBUS 1,914 1,266 --+-
STANISLAUS GOODWIN 278 205
SAN JOAQUIN FRIANT 351 1 0 --~
STORAGE IN MAJOR RESERVOIRS IN THOUSANDS OF ACRE-FEET
RESERVOIR CAPACITY 15YRAVG WY 2013 WY 2014
TRINITY 2,448 1,529 1,900 1,206 ---+- -
SHASTA 4,552 2,557 _i__
3,015 1,687
OROVILLE (SWP)
---+-- 3,538 1,810 2,277 1,373 --r-
FOLSOM 977 413 584 221 +-- r--
NEWMELONES 2,420 '·~f 1,542 1,040
FED. SAN LUIS --+ 295 966 561 588 -+- -t--
MILLERTON 520 230 263 0 t +-
TOT. N. CVP 11,360 6,563 7,629 4,449
15YR MEDIAN
300
4 ,616
2,000
1,914
%OF 15 YR AVG
79
66
76
53
69
53
0
68
ACCUMULATED INFLOW FOR WATER YEAR TO DATE IN THOUSANDS OF ACRE-FEET
RESERVOIR CURRENT DRIEST WETTEST 15 YR %OF 15 WY 2014 WY 1977 WY 1983 AVG YR AVG
TRINITY 18 21 123 71
~ + SHASTA 403 531 773 636 63
FOLSOM 68 94 601 183 37 -+--
NEWMELONES 69 0 262 96 72
+-MILLERTON 33 58 323 117 28
ACCUMULATED PRECIPITATION FOR WATER YEAR TO DATE IN INCHES
CURRENT DRIEST WETTEST AVG %OF LAST RESERVOIR WY 2014 WY 1977 WY 1983 (N YRS) AVG 24HRS
TRINITY AT 1.87 1.25 11.94 8.23 23 0.00 FISH HATCHERY
51 ) -1-SACRAMENTO AT 2.53 1.63 16.17 14.38 18 0.00 SHASTA DAM
56 ) ---+-
AMERICAN AT 5.61 3.27 27.02 14.84 38 0.00 BLUE CANYON
38 ) STANISLAUS AT
_,_ --=-+- -NEWMELONES
2.32 0.00 11 .21 j 5.58 42 0.00
2.07 J 35} t 0.00 J SAN JOAQUIN AT 1.80 19.80 8.00 26
HUNTINGTON LK ~