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AURORA LPG First quarter 2015 presentation May 27, 2015 CEO Børge Johansen & CFO Nikolai Jebsen

URORA LPG · 2015-05-27 · this presentation nor any copy of it may be transmitted or distributed, directly or indirectly, into united states, canada, japan or australia. the presentation

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Page 1: URORA LPG · 2015-05-27 · this presentation nor any copy of it may be transmitted or distributed, directly or indirectly, into united states, canada, japan or australia. the presentation

AURORA LPG

First quarter 2015

presentation

May 27, 2015

CEO Børge Johansen

&

CFO Nikolai Jebsen

Page 2: URORA LPG · 2015-05-27 · this presentation nor any copy of it may be transmitted or distributed, directly or indirectly, into united states, canada, japan or australia. the presentation

© Aurora LPG2

DISCLAIMER

THE PRESENTATION AND ITS APPENDICES (JOINTLY THE “PRESENTATION”) HAVE BEEN PREPARED BY AURORA LPG HOLDING ASA (THE “COMPANY”) FOR INFORMATION PURPOSES ONLY. THE RECEIPT OF THIS PRESENTATION IS PERSONAL, AND THE PRESENTATION MAY NOT REPRODUCED, REDISTRIBUTED OR PASSED ON, IN WHOLE OR IN PART, TO ANY OTHER PERSON.

THE PRESENTATION DOES NOT CONSTITUTE OR FORM PART OF AN OFFER TO SELL OR A SOLICITATION OF AN OFFER TO PURCHASE OR ACQUIRE ANY SHARES OR OTHER SECURITIES OR FINANCIAL INSTRUMENTS. THE PRESENTATION HAS NOT BEEN REVIEWED OR REGISTERED WITH, OR APPROVED BY, ANY PUBLIC AUTHORITY, STOCK EXCHANGE OR REGULATED MARKET PLACE.

THE CONTENTS OF THE PRESENTATION ARE NOT TO BE CONSTRUED AS LEGAL, BUSINESS, INVESTMENT OR TAX ADVICE. EACH RECIPIENT SHOULD CONSULT WITH ITS OWN PROFESSIONAL ADVISORS FOR ANY SUCH MATTERS AND ADVICE.

THE PRESENTATION DOES NOT GIVE A COMPLETE ACCOUNT OF THE COMPANY, ITS AFFAIRS, FINANCIAL STATUS OR OTHERWISE, OR THE SECURITIES ISSUED BY THE COMPANY. THE COMPANY IS NOT MAKING ANY REPRESENTATION OR WARRANTY, EXPRESSED OR IMPLIED, AS TO THE ACCURACY, RELIABILITY OR COMPLETENESS OF THE PRESENTATION, AND NEITHER THE COMPANY, NOR ANY OF ITS DIRECTORS, OFFICERS OR EMPLOYEES, WILL HAVE ANY LIABILITY TO YOU OR ANY OTHER PERSONS RESULTING FROM YOUR USE OF THE INFORMATION IN THE PRESENTATION. NO PART OF THIS PRESENTATION SHOULD FORM THE BASIS OF OR BE RELIED UPON IN CONNECTION WITH ANY INVESTMENT DECISION OR ANY CONTRACT OR COMMITMENT TO PURCHASE OR SUBSCRIBE FOR ANY SECURITIES.

THERE MAY HAVE BEEN CHANGES IN MATTERS THAT AFFECT THE COMPANY SUBSEQUENT OR PRIOR TO THE DATE OF THE PRESENTATION. NEITHER THE ISSUE NOR DELIVERY OF THE PRESENTATION SHALL UNDER ANY CIRCUMSTANCE CREATE ANY IMPLICATION THAT THE INFORMATION CONTAINED HEREIN IS CORRECT AS OF ANY TIME SUBSEQUENT OR PRIOR TO THE DATE HEREOF OR THAT THE AFFAIRS OF THE COMPANY HAVE NOT SINCE OR PRIOR CHANGED. THE COMPANY DOES NOT INTEND, AND DOES NOT ASSUME ANY OBLIGATION, TO UPDATE OR CORRECT ANY INFORMATION INCLUDED HEREIN.

AN INVESTMENT IN THE COMPANY INVOLVES RISK, AND SEVERAL FACTORS COULD CAUSE THE ACTUAL RESULTS, PERFORMANCE OR ACHIEVEMENTS OF THE COMPANY TO BE MATERIALLY DIFFERENT FROM ANY FUTURE RESULTS, PERFORMANCE OR ACHIEVEMENTS THAT MAY BE EXPRESSED OR IMPLIED BY STATEMENTS AND INFORMATION IN THIS PRESENTATION. FURTHERMORE, THE PRESENTATION INCLUDES AND IS BASED ON, AMONG OTHER THINGS, FORWARD-LOOKING INFORMATION AND STATEMENTS. SUCH FORWARD-LOOKING INFORMATION AND STATEMENTS ARE BASED ON THE CURRENT EXPECTATIONS, ESTIMATES AND PROJECTIONS OF THE COMPANY OR ASSUMPTIONS BASED ON INFORMATION AVAILABLE TO THE COMPANY. SUCH FORWARD-LOOKING INFORMATION AND STATEMENTS REFLECT CURRENT VIEWS WITH RESPECT TO FUTURE EVENTS AND ARE SUBJECT TO RISKS, UNCERTAINTIES AND ASSUMPTIONS. THE COMPANY CANNOT GIVE ANY ASSURANCE AS TO THE CORRECTNESS OF SUCH INFORMATION AND STATEMENTS.

THE DISTRIBUTION OF THE PRESENTATION, AS WELL AS ANY PURCHASE, SALE OR TRANSFER OF SECURITIES ISSUED BY THE COMPANY, MAY IN CERTAIN JURISDICTIONS BE RESTRICTED BY LAW, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO THE UNITED STATES, CANADA, JAPAN, UNITED KINGDM AND AUSTRALIA. PERSONS INTO WHOSE POSSESSION THIS PRESENTATION MAY COME ARE REQUIRED TO INFORM THEMSELVES ABOUT AND TO COMPLY WITH ALL APPLICABLE LAWS AND REGULATIONS IN FORCE IN ANY JURISDICTION IN OR FROM WHICH IT INVESTS OR RECEIVES OR POSSESSES THIS PRESENTATION. THE PRESENTATION IS NOT DIRECTED TO, OR INTENDED FOR DISTRIBUTION TO OR USE BY, ANY PERSON OR ENTITY THAT IS A CITIZEN, RESIDENT OR LOCATED IN ANY JURISDICTION WHERE SUCH DISTRIBUTION, PUBLICATION OR USE WOULD BE CONTRARY TO LAW OR REGULATION OR WHICH WOULD REQUIRE ANY REGISTRATION OR LICENSING WITHIN SUCH JURISDICTION. IN PARTICULAR, NEITHER THIS PRESENTATION NOR ANY COPY OF IT MAY BE TRANSMITTED OR DISTRIBUTED, DIRECTLY OR INDIRECTLY, INTO UNITED STATES, CANADA, JAPAN OR AUSTRALIA.

THE PRESENTATION IS SUBJECT TO NORWEGIAN LAW, AND ANY DISPUTE ARISING IN RESPECT OF THIS PRESENTATION IS SUBJECT TO THE EXCLUSIVE JURISDICTION OF NORWEGIAN COURTS.

Page 3: URORA LPG · 2015-05-27 · this presentation nor any copy of it may be transmitted or distributed, directly or indirectly, into united states, canada, japan or australia. the presentation

© Aurora LPG3

Time Charter Equivalent Revenue USD 18.4 million or USD 68,500 / day

EBITDA USD 16.6 million

Net Income USD 13.9 million

Earnings per share USD 0.47

Cash and net operating/financial assets USD 38.7 million

Net debt USD 72.8 million and Net debt/EBITDA ratio of <1.1x

Dividend of US 10 cents per share, ex date expected on or about June 29, 2015

Share repurchase repurchase program of USD 10M valid through 2015

Mandated banks in connection with new build financing

Q1 SUMMARY

Page 4: URORA LPG · 2015-05-27 · this presentation nor any copy of it may be transmitted or distributed, directly or indirectly, into united states, canada, japan or australia. the presentation

© Aurora LPG4

USD 21.7 million revenue

USD 18.4 million TCE revenue

Ship Opex USD 7,060 / day

Administrative expenses at USD 1,860 / day

EBITDA USD 16.6 million

Net Income USD 13.9 million

US 47 cents per share

Dividend US 10 cents

PROFIT & LOSS

Q1 2015 Q1 2014 2014

Voyage revenue 15 521 - 68 460

Time Charter revenue 6 140 - 10 615

Total revenue 21 661 - 79 076

Voyage expenses -3 234 - -14 615

Ship Operating expenses -1 906 - -4 455

Commercial management expenses -211 - -1 298

Loss on receivables - - -3 952

Administrative expenses -501 -437 -3 433

Depreciation -2 196 -1 -5 104

Total operating expenses -8 047 -438 -32 858

Other gain 784 - -

Operating profit 14 398 -438 46 218

Finance income 140 33 239

Finance expenses -614 -1 135 -2 705

Profit before income tax expense 13 924 -1 540 43 753

Tax expense - - -

Net income 13 924 -1 540 43 753

Earnings per share (basic) 0.47 -0.09 1.74

Earnings per share (diluted) 0.47 -0.09 1.74

Page 5: URORA LPG · 2015-05-27 · this presentation nor any copy of it may be transmitted or distributed, directly or indirectly, into united states, canada, japan or australia. the presentation

© Aurora LPG5

Increased working capital due to voyage in progress

USD 2.6 million debt repayments

Transfer between liquid assets and cash impacted cash from financing

Cash end quarter USD 25.3 million

CASH FLOW

Q1 2015 Q1 2014 2014

Operating activities

Profit before income tax expense 13 782 -1 540 43 753

Other gain -784

Depreciation 2 196 - 5 104

Other non-cash 155 - 1 076

Amortization fees 155 - 196

Share based payment - - 880

Other -80 - -

Change in working capital -1 952 -11 447

Inventories 907 - -2 219

Voyage in progress -6 083 - -397

Receivables and other current assets 6 963 -207 -14 084

Accounts payable -1 499 10 1 547

Deferred revenue -1 774 - 1 774

Other current liabilities -467 664 1 932

Net cash from operating activities 13 459 -1 073 38 482

Investing activities

Investment in restricted cash - -84 553 -

Investment in subsidiaries, net of cash acquired - -35 -

Investment in available-for-sale financial assets - - -4 454

Proceeds from sale of available-for-sale financial assets 5 235 - -

Purchase of vessels and equipment -27 -13 -237 490

Additions to newbuildings -926 -30 895 -94 666

Net cash from investing activities 4 285 -115 496 -336 610

Financing activities

Equity issuance net - 145 590 194 525

Repayment of long term debt -2 642 - -4 347

Net proceeds from issuance of debt - - 118 148

Net cash from financing activities -2 642 145 590 308 327

Net increase (decrease) in cash and cash equivalents 15 102 29 020 10 198

Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of period 10 198 - -

Cash and cash equivalents at the end of period 25 301 29 020 10 198

Page 6: URORA LPG · 2015-05-27 · this presentation nor any copy of it may be transmitted or distributed, directly or indirectly, into united states, canada, japan or australia. the presentation

© Aurora LPG6

Book value of sailing fleet USD 76.7 million on average per vessel

USD 95.6 million invested in newbuilds

Cash and net operating/financial assets USD 38.7 million

Gross debt USD 111.5 million

Net debt USD 72.8 million

Book equity USD 239.3 million or 69% of total assets

BALANCE SHEET

Notes Q1 2015 Q1 2014 2014

ASSETS

Newbuildings 3 95 592 30 895 94 666

Vessels and equipment 3 230 039 - 232 232

Restricted cash - 84 553 -

Other non-current assets 181 49 158

Total non-current assets 325 812 115 497 327 056

Cash and cash equivalents 25 301 29 020 10 198

Derivative financial asset 80 - -

Available-for-sale financial assets - - 4 596

Inventories 1 312 - 2 219

Voyage in progress 6 479 - 397

Accounts receivable 2 942 - 13 321

Pool receivable 2 525

Other current assets 1 654 207 762

Total current assets 40 294 29 227 31 494

Total assets 366 105 144 724 358 550

EQUITY AND LIABILITIES

Share capital 482 376 482

Share premium 194 922 145 214 194 922

Retained earnings 57 676 -1 540 43 894

Total equity 253 080 144 050 239 298

Borrowings 100 943 - 103 430

Total non-current liabilities 100 943 103 430

Borrowings, current portion 10 568 - 10 568

Accounts payable 48 10 1 547

Deferred revenues - - 1 774

Other current liabilities 1 465 664 1 932

Total current liabilities 12 082 674 15 821

Total equity and liabilities 366 105 144 724 358 550

Page 7: URORA LPG · 2015-05-27 · this presentation nor any copy of it may be transmitted or distributed, directly or indirectly, into united states, canada, japan or australia. the presentation

© Aurora LPG7

LPG MARKET IN DRAMATIC CHANGE

Unprecedented well productivity in PADD3 and Marcellus regions will increase LPG production over the next 3-5 years

Ethane pushing LPGs out of the petchem mix Methane (slowly) subsititing residential demand for

LPGs Causing a large oversupply of LPGs

Source: EIA

Page 8: URORA LPG · 2015-05-27 · this presentation nor any copy of it may be transmitted or distributed, directly or indirectly, into united states, canada, japan or australia. the presentation

© Aurora LPG8

Forecast

LPG SURPLUS 300KBPD LARGER YOY

Forecast

Source: EIA, Company research

Page 9: URORA LPG · 2015-05-27 · this presentation nor any copy of it may be transmitted or distributed, directly or indirectly, into united states, canada, japan or australia. the presentation

© Aurora LPG9

RIG COUNT IS DOWN DRAMATICALLY

Source: EIA

Page 10: URORA LPG · 2015-05-27 · this presentation nor any copy of it may be transmitted or distributed, directly or indirectly, into united states, canada, japan or australia. the presentation

© Aurora LPG10

WELL PRODUCTIVITY INCREASING RAPIDLY

Source: EIA

Page 11: URORA LPG · 2015-05-27 · this presentation nor any copy of it may be transmitted or distributed, directly or indirectly, into united states, canada, japan or australia. the presentation

© Aurora LPG

US PROPANE INVENTORIES REACHING

UNPRECEDENTED LEVELS

Page 12: URORA LPG · 2015-05-27 · this presentation nor any copy of it may be transmitted or distributed, directly or indirectly, into united states, canada, japan or australia. the presentation

© Aurora LPG12

INCREASING SHIPPING INTENSITY ON US EXPORTS

Source: EIA

3,0 3,5 4,0 4,5 5,0 5,5

17,5 53 61 70 79 88 96

20,0 60 70 80 90 100 110

22,5 68 79 90 101 113 124

25,0 75 88 100 113 125 138

27,5 83 96 110 124 138 151

30,0 90 105 120 135 150 165

32,5 98 114 130 146 163 179

35,0 105 123 140 158 175 193

Shipping intensity (vessels per 1 million MT)

US

LPG

exp

ort

s M

T

Page 13: URORA LPG · 2015-05-27 · this presentation nor any copy of it may be transmitted or distributed, directly or indirectly, into united states, canada, japan or australia. the presentation

© Aurora LPG13

Address

Aurora LPG Holding ASA

Dronningen 1

0287 Oslo

Norway

Contact

CEO: Børge F. Johansen mobile +47 41 41 44 44 [email protected]

CFO: Nikolai C.H. Jebsen mobile +47 46 28 22 22 [email protected]

COO: Sujoy K. Seal mobile +47 94 81 66 76 [email protected]

AURORA LPG HOLDING ASA