372
1 Updated: September 2006 The Battle Deaths Dataset, 1946−2005, Version 2.0 1 Documentation of Coding Decisions For use with Uppsala/PRIO Armed Conflict Dataset, 1946−2005, Version 4-2006 Dataset by: Bethany Lacina Update for 2003− 05 by: Bethany Lacina, Patrick Meier, 2 & Martin Schüepp 3 Centre for the Study of Civil War (CSCW) International Peace Research Institute, Oslo (PRIO) This document contains information on the sources used in compiling the Battle Deaths Dataset. To obtain that dataset and the accompanying codebook, please visit www.prio.no/cscw/datasets/ . Versions of the dataset are also available for use with the Uppsala/PRIO Armed Conflict Dataset, version 4-2006 (Harbom, Högbladh & in collaboration with Halvard Buhaug, 2006); the Correlates of War Dataset on Inter-, Intra-, and Extra-state War, version 3.0 (Sarkees, 2000); and the Fearon & Laitin dataset on civil conflict (Fearon & Laitin, 2001). 1 Bethany Lacina ([email protected] ) and Nils Petter Gleditsch ([email protected] ) are co-authors of an article that describes this dataset in full: Lacina, Bethany & Nils Petter Gleditsch, 2005. ‘Monitoring Trends in Global Combat: A New Dataset of Battle Deaths.’ European Journal of Population: 21(2–3): 145–166. Please cite this article when making use of the battle deaths data. The data and article are available at www.prio.no/cscw/cross/battledeaths . Bethany Lacina is a Graduate Fellow at the Stanford University Department of Political Science and a Research Associate at the Centre for the Study of Civil War, PRIO. Nils Petter Gleditsch is a Research Professor at the International Peace Research Institute, Oslo, Editor of the Journal of Peace Research, and Professor of Political Science at the Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Trondheim. 2 Patrick Meier is a Graduate Fellow at The Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy based at Tufts University. He updated this project as a research assistant at the Center for the Study of Civil War, PRIO. 3 Martin Schüepp recently received his MALD from The Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy and his Licence from the Graduate Institute of International Studies (HEI) in Geneva, Switzerland.

Updated: September 2006 on & Laitin dataset · 1 Updated: September 2006 The Battle Deaths Dataset, 1946−2005, Version 2.0 1 Documentation of Coding Decisions For use with Uppsala/PRIO

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  • 1

    Upd

    ated: S

    eptember 20

    06

    The Battle Deaths Dataset, 1946−2005, Version 2.0

    1

    Docu

    mentation of Coding Decisions

    For use with Upp

    sala/PRIO

    Arm

    ed Con

    flict D

    ataset, 1

    946−

    2005

    , Version 4-200

    6

    Dataset by:

    Bethany Lacina

    Upd

    ate for 20

    03− 05 by:

    Bethany Lacina, Patrick M

    eier,2 &

    Martin Schüepp

    3

    Centre for the Study of Civil W

    ar (CSCW)

    International P

    eace Research Institute, Oslo (PRIO

    )

    This do

    cument contains inform

    ation on

    the sources used in

    com

    piling th

    e Battle Deaths Dataset. T

    o ob

    tain th

    at dataset and th

    e accompanying codebo

    ok, p

    lease visit

    www.prio.no/cscw/datasets/. Versions of th

    e dataset are also available for use with the Upp

    sala/PRIO

    Arm

    ed Con

    flict D

    ataset, version 4-200

    6 (H

    arbom, H

    ögbladh & in

    collaboration with Halvard Buhaug, 200

    6); the Correlates of W

    ar Dataset on Inter-, Intra-, and Extra-state W

    ar, version 3.0 (Sarkees, 2

    000); and th

    e Fearon & Laitin dataset

    on civil con

    flict (Fearon & Laitin, 200

    1).

    1 Bethany Lacina ([email protected]

    ) and Nils Petter Gleditsch ([email protected]) are co-authors of an article that describes th

    is dataset in

    full: Lacina, Bethany &

    Nils Petter Gleditsch, 2005.

    ‘Mon

    itoring Trend

    s in Global Com

    bat: A New

    Dataset of Battle Deaths.’ Euro

    pea

    n J

    ourn

    al of Popula

    tion: 21(2–3

    ): 145–166

    . Please cite this article when making use of the battle deaths data.

    The data and article are available at www.prio.no/cscw/cross/battledeaths.

    Bet

    hany

    Laci

    na is a Gradu

    ate Fellow at the Stanford University Departm

    ent o

    f Political Science and a Research Associate at the Centre for the Study of Civil W

    ar, P

    RIO

    . N

    ils

    Pet

    ter

    Gle

    ditsc

    h is a Research Professor at the International Peace Research Institute, O

    slo, Editor of the J

    ourn

    al of Pea

    ce R

    esea

    rch, and Professor of Political Science at the Norwegian

    University of Science and

    Techn

    ology, Trond

    heim

    . 2 Patr

    ick

    Mei

    er is a Gradu

    ate Fellow at The Fletcher Schoo

    l of Law

    and

    Diplomacy based at Tufts University. He up

    dated this project as a research assistant at the Center for the Study of Civil

    War, P

    RIO

    . 3

    Mart

    in S

    chüep

    p recently received his M

    ALD from T

    he Fletcher School of L

    aw and

    Diplomacy and his

    Lic

    ence

    from the G

    radu

    ate Institute of Internation

    al Studies (HEI) in Geneva,

    Switzerland.

  • 2

    Acknowledgements and a Note on Citations and Copyrights

    The work repo

    rted here has been carried out in

    collabo

    ration with a nu

    mber of colleagues at th

    e Centre for the Study

    of Civil W

    ar, the Upp

    sala Con

    flict D

    ata Project, and th

    e Centre for Hum

    an Security, Liu Centre for Global Issues, University of British Colum

    bia.

    Users of the battle deaths dataset should cite th

    e article in which th

    e data are presented:

    Bethany Lacina & Nils Petter Gleditsch, 2

    005. ‘Monitoring Trends in Global C

    ombat: A New

    Dataset of Battle Deaths.’ Euro

    pea

    n J

    ourn

    al of Popula

    tion: 21(2–3): 145

    –166

    . The data are available at www.prio.no/cscw/cross/battledeaths

    Add

    itional analysis of th

    e data presented here can be fou

    nd in

    : Bethany Lacina, 200

    6. ‘Explaining the Severity of Civil W

    ars.’ Jo

    urn

    al of Conflic

    t Res

    olu

    tion: 50(2): 276

    −28

    9.

    Bethany Lacina, Nils Petter Gleditsch, &

    Bruce Russett, 2

    006. ‘The Declining Risk of Death in

    Battle.’ In

    tern

    ational Stu

    die

    s Q

    uarter

    ly 50(3): 6

    73−680.

    Users of this data should contact Bethany Lacina ([email protected]) with comments or corrections so th

    at th

    is dataset m

    ay be im

    proved in

    further versions. This work

    has been funded mainly by th

    e Research Cou

    ncil of Norway, w

    ith additional contributions from th

    e Centre for Hum

    an Security.

    For permission to

    make extensive use of th

    eir materials would like to

    thank the Centre for Hum

    an Security, Liu Centre for Global Issues, University of British Colum

    bia;

    Project Ploughshares; Juan Fernando Giraldo

    ; Enric M

    artínez−

    Herrera, Jorge Restrepo; M

    ichael Spagat; th

    e Stockholm

    International Peace Research Institute; th

    e Upp

    sala

    University Con

    flict D

    ata Project; and Juan F. V

    argas. The cop

    yrights to th

    e materials produced by th

    ese and all o

    f sources are retained by their original authors and

    publishers. T

    hese excerpts presented here should not b

    e used as a basis for quotation, reproduction, or distribution of the included m

    aterials. U

    sers m

    ust contact th

    e original

    authors and/or publishers if th

    ey wish to gain perm

    ission

    for such activities. In a few cases, m

    anuscripts and other works-in-progress have been cited. U

    sers should be aware

    that th

    ey m

    ust con

    tact th

    e original authors to

    obtain the most u

    p-to-date versions of those do

    cuments, and th

    at th

    e authors’ lang

    uage or findings m

    ay have changed somew

    hat

    when these do

    cuments app

    ear as published works.

  • 3

    Table of Contents

    Inform

    ation for Users Interested in W

    ar Deaths.......................................................................................................................................................................................................1

    Afghanistan...............................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................3

    Algeria......................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................8

    Angola....................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................14

    Argentina

    ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................20

    Azerbaijan...............................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................23

    Balkans

    ...................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................26

    Bangladesh.............................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................30

    Bolivia....................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................32

    Brunei.....................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................34

    Burkina Faso...........................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................35

    Burma (M

    yanm

    ar)..................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................36

    Burundi...................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................47

    Cam

    bodia................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................52

    Cam

    eroo

    n...............................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................58

    Central African Republic........................................................................................................................................................................................................................................60

    Chad........................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................62

    Chile.......................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................67

    China &

    the Taiwan Strait......................................................................................................................................................................................................................................68

    Colom

    bia................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................82

    Com

    oros

    .................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................85

    Con

    go (Brazzaville)................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................86

    Costa Rica...............................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................89

    Cote D’Ivoire..........................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................90

    Cuba........................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................92

    Cyprus.....................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................94

    Dem

    ocratic Republic of Con

    go (Zaire)..................................................................................................................................................................................................................96

    Djibo

    uti.................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................101

    Dom

    inican Republic.............................................................................................................................................................................................................................................10

    2 Ecuador.................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................10

    3 Egypt.....................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................10

    5 El S

    alvado

    r...........................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................10

    6 Equitorial G

    uinea..................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................109

    Eritrea

    ...................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................110

  • 4

    Ethiopia.................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................112

    Gabon

    ...................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................123

    Gam

    bia.................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................12

    4 Georgia.................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................12

    5 Ghana....................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................12

    8 Greece...................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................13

    0 Grenada.................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................13

    1 Guatemala.............................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................13

    2 Guinea...................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................13

    6 Guinea-Bissau.......................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................13

    7 Haiti......................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................139

    Honduras...............................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................14

    1 Hungary................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................142

    India & Pakistan...................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................14

    3 Indo

    china..............................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................17

    1 Indo

    nesia...............................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................17

    3 Iran........................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................18

    2 Iraq........................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................18

    9 Israel &

    Palestine

    ..................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................19

    9 Kenya....................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................20

    7 Korean Peninsula..................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................20

    9 Laos......................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................213

    Lebanon

    ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................216

    Lesotho

    .................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................21

    9 Liberia...................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................220

    Madagascar...........................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................223

    Malaysia...............................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................22

    5 Mali.......................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................22

    8 Mexico..................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................22

    9 Moldo

    va................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................230

    Morocco................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................231

    Mozam

    bique.........................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................23

    4 Nam

    ibia................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................237

    Nepal.....................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................23

    8 Nicaragua..............................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................24

    1 Niger.....................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................24

    3

  • 5

    Nigeria..................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................24

    5 Oman

    ....................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................24

    7 Panam

    a.................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................24

    9 Papua New

    Guinea...............................................................................................................................................................................................................................................25

    1 Paraguay...............................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................25

    2 Peru.......................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................254

    Philipp

    ines............................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................25

    7 Puerto Rico...........................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................26

    5 Rhodesia (Zim

    babw

    e)...........................................................................................................................................................................................................................................266

    Rom

    ania................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................267

    Russia...................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................268

    Rwanda

    .................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................27

    3 Saudi Arabia.........................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................27

    5 Senegal.................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................27

    6 Sierra Leone..........................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................278

    Som

    alia.................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................28

    0 South Africa..........................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................28

    5 Spain.....................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................28

    7 Sri Lanka

    ..............................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................28

    9 Sudan

    ....................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................29

    5 Suez......................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................303

    Surinam

    e...............................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................30

    5 Syria......................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................306

    Tajikistan..............................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................30

    8 Thailand................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................310

    Togo......................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................31

    4 Trinidad and Tobago............................................................................................................................................................................................................................................31

    5 Tunisia..................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................31

    6 Turkey...................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................31

    8 Uganda..................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................32

    3 Union of Soviet S

    ocialist Republics.....................................................................................................................................................................................................................33

    0 United Kingdom

    ...................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................33

    3 United States of America......................................................................................................................................................................................................................................335

    Uruguay

    ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................338

    Uzbekistan............................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................33

    9 Venezuela.............................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................340

  • 6

    Vietnam

    ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................341

    Yem

    en...................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................346

    References............................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................35

    1

  • Definition of Battle Deaths

    Our definition of battle deaths closely follow

    s from

    the definition

    of conflict used to create the Upp

    sala/PRIO

    Arm

    ed Con

    flict D

    ataset, v

    ersion

    4-200

    6 (H

    arbo

    m,

    Hög

    bladh & in

    collabo

    ration with Halvard Buhaug, 2006). A

    ccording

    to cod

    eboo

    k for the Upp

    sala/PRIO

    dataset (Harbo

    m et al., 200

    6)

    ‘An armed con

    flict is a con

    tested incom

    patibility that concerns governm

    ent and/or territory w

    here the use of armed force between tw

    o parties, of which at least

    one is th

    e go

    vernment o

    f a state, results in

    at least 25 battle-related deaths.

    The separate elem

    ents of the definition are operatio

    nalized as follows:

    Use of armed force: u

    se of arms in order to

    promote the parties’ general position in

    the conflict, resulting in

    deaths.

    Arm

    s: any m

    aterial m

    eans, e.g. m

    anufactured weapo

    ns but also sticks, stones, fire, water, etc.

    25 deaths: A m

    inim

    um of 25

    battle-related deaths per year and per incompatibility.

    Party: A

    gov

    ernm

    ent o

    f a state or any opp

    osition organizatio

    n or alliance of opp

    osition organizatio

    ns.

    Gov

    ernm

    ent: The party con

    trolling

    the capital o

    f the state.

    Opp

    osition organization

    : Any non

    -gov

    ernm

    ental g

    roup

    of peop

    le having anno

    unced a name for their grou

    p and using armed force.

    State: A

    state is:

    an in

    ternationally recogn

    ized sovereign

    gov

    ernm

    ent con

    trolling a specified territo

    ry, o

    r an in

    ternationally un

    recogn

    ized gov

    ernm

    ent con

    trolling a specified territo

    ry who

    se sov

    ereignty is not dispu

    ted by ano

    ther in

    ternationally recogn

    ized sov

    ereign

    go

    vernment p

    reviou

    sly controlling the same territory.

    Incompatibility con

    cerning go

    vernment and

    /or territory: The in

    compatibility, as stated by the parties, m

    ust con

    cern gov

    ernm

    ent and

    /or territo

    ry.

    Incompatibility: the stated generally incompatib

    le positions.

    Incompatibility con

    cerning go

    vernment: Incom

    patibility con

    cerning type of po

    litical system, the replacement o

    f the central g

    overnm

    ent, or th

    e change of its

    compo

    sitio

    n.

    Incompatibility con

    cerning territory: Incom

    patibility concerning the status of a territory, e.g. the chang

    e of th

    e state in con

    trol of a certain territory (interstate

    conflict), secession

    , or autonomy (internal con

    flict).’

    The Lacina & Gleditsch dataset defines b

    attle

    dea

    ths as deaths resulting directly from violence inflicted through the use of arm

    ed force by a party to an armed

    conflict during

    conte

    sted

    com

    bat.

    Conte

    sted

    com

    bat is use of arm

    ed force by a party to an armed conflict against any person or target during which th

    e perpetrator faces the im

    mediate th

    reat of lethal force being

    used by ano

    ther party to

    the conflict against him

    /her and

    /or allied fighters. C

    ontested com

    bat excludes

    the sustained destruction of soldiers or civilians ou

    tside of th

    e context o

    f any reciprocal th

    reat of lethal force (e.g. execution

    of prison

    ers of war).

    Tim

    efra

    me: W

    e have collected ann

    ual b

    attle deaths data which in

    clud

    es both deaths during combat and deaths from

    wou

    nds received in

    com

    bat. Som

    e of th

    ose

    considered dead of wou

    nds may have died in

    a year follo

    wing that in

    which com

    bat actually took

    place, especially in th

    e case of battles taking

    place late in

    the

    calend

    ar year. These deaths were includ

    ed, h

    owever, if they were the direct and im

    mediate result o

    f injuries sustained during combat v

    iolence. Lon

    g term

    redu

    ction in life exp

    ectancy because of wou

    nds or disability was not in

    clud

    ed.

  • 1

    Inform

    ation for Users Interested

    in W

    ar Deaths

    It is quite difficult to

    obtain inform

    ation on

    war-related deaths for many conflicts. H

    owever, the following list alerts users to con

    flicts th

    at are kno

    wn to have

    caused significant num

    bers of deaths th

    at are not battle-related according to th

    e definition used here. T

    he list m

    ay be of particular in

    terest for users who

    do no

    t wish to exclude one-sided violence or in

    tracom

    mun

    al violence from

    their data. T

    hose in

    terested non

    -battle violence sho

    uld also con

    sult th

    e estimates of one-

    sided and intra-commun

    al deaths by

    the Upp

    sala Departm

    ent o

    f Peace and

    Con

    flict R

    esearch, pub

    lished in

    the

    Hum

    an S

    ecuri

    ty R

    eport, and

    Eck &

    Hultm

    an (Eck,

    2007

    ).

    Conflic

    ts w

    ith a

    Sig

    nific

    ant D

    isparity

    bet

    wee

    n V

    iole

    nt and N

    on-V

    iole

    nt D

    eath

    s:

    Afghanistan civil war, 1

    978−

    2002

    Algerian war of independ

    ence, 1

    954−

    62

    Ang

    olan civil war, 1

    975−

    2002

    Burma (M

    yanm

    ar) civil w

    ar, 1

    948−

    2002

    Cam

    bodia civil w

    ar, 1

    967−

    75 &

    197

    9−98

    Dem

    ocratic Republic of Con

    go, civil war 199

    8−20

    01

    East T

    imor, w

    ar with Indo

    nesia from

    197

    5−98

    Ethiopia, civil war 197

    6−91

    , civil war in

    Ogaden 19

    60−20

    02, civil war in

    Eritrea 196

    2−91

    French Indo

    chinese war, 1

    946−

    54

    Indo

    nesian war of independence, 1

    946−

    9 Korean War, 1

    950−

    3 Laos, civil war 195

    9−73

    Liberia, civil war 198

    9−96

    & 200

    0−02

    Madagascar, war of independ

    ence 194

    7 Mozam

    bique, civil war 197

    6−92

    Nigeria, civil war in

    Biafra 19

    67−70

    Pakistan, civil war 197

    1 Philipp

    ines, insurgency in M

    indanao 19

    70−20

    02

    Sierra Leone, civil war 199

    1−20

    00

    Som

    alia, civil war 198

    1−96

    Sud

    an, civil war 196

    3−72

    Sud

    an, 1

    983−

    2002

    Vietnam

    War, 1

    955−

    75

    Conflic

    ts w

    ith S

    ignific

    ant In

    traco

    mm

    unal/U

    norg

    anized

    /Non-p

    olitica

    l Vio

    lence

    :

    Algerian war of independ

    ence, 1

    954−

    62 (intra-Algerian figh

    ting

    after in

    dependence is not defined as a war by Upp

    sala/PRIO

    ) Colum

    bia, civil war from 196

    5−20

    02

    Ethiopia, civil war in

    Eritrea 196

    2−91

    Haiti, cou

    p activ

    ity in 199

    1 India, civil conflict in

    Pun

    jab/Khalistan in

    198

    3−93

    India, civil conflict in

    Tripu

    ra in

    198

    0

  • 2

    Iranian revo

    lutio

    n and subsequent con

    flict, 19

    79−2002

    Gulf War, 1

    990−

    1 (post-war attacks on Palestinians in Kuw

    ait are not in

    clud

    ed as battle deaths)

    Som

    alia, civil war 200

    1−2

    Sou

    th Africa, civil war 198

    1−8 (violence between the ANC and

    Inkatha)

    Conflic

    ts w

    ith S

    ignific

    ant O

    ne-

    sided

    Vio

    lence

    :

    Argentina civil war, 1

    973−

    7 (‘Disappeared’ person

    s are no

    t con

    sidered battle-related deaths)

    Bosnia-Herzego

    vina civil war, 1

    992−

    5 (see Balkans)

    Bangladesh, Chittagon

    g Hills Tracts insurgency 197

    4−92

    Burundi civil wars, 196

    5, 1990−

    2002

    Cam

    bodia civil w

    ar, 1

    967−

    75 (The Cam

    bodian genocide is not in

    clud

    ed in

    the Upp

    sala/PRIO

    cod

    ing)

    Chad, civil war from 196

    5−94

    Chile, m

    ilitary coup

    in 197

    3 (The ‘Dirty W

    ar’ of disappearances was excluded)

    China, rebellion in Taiwan in

    194

    7 China, rebellion

    in Tibet in

    195

    9 Dem

    ocratic Republic of Con

    go/Zaire, civil war 199

    6−7

    Dem

    ocratic Republic of Con

    go, civil war 199

    8−20

    01

    East T

    imor, w

    ar with Indo

    nesia from

    197

    5−98

    El S

    alvado

    r, civil war 197

    9−91

    Greece, civil war 194

    6−9

    Guatemala, civil war 196

    5−95

    Indo

    nesian war of independence, 1

    946−

    9 Iranian revo

    lutio

    n and subsequent con

    flict, 19

    79−2001

    Nigeria, civil war in

    Biafra 19

    67−70

    (massacres in

    196

    6 no

    t included)

    Pakistan, civil war 197

    1 Rwanda, civil war 199

    0−4 (R

    wandan geno

    cide is not in

    clud

    ed)

    Som

    alia, civil war 198

    1−96

    Ugand

    a, attem

    pted coup in 197

    7 (There was significant one-sided violence throug

    hout Idi Amin’s con

    trol of Ugand

    a 19

    71−9)

    Ugand

    a, civil war 198

    1−91

    Ugand

    a, civil war 199

    4−20

    02

  • 3

    Afghanistan

    The Upp

    sala/PRIO

    Arm

    ed Con

    flict D

    ataset cod

    es th

    e follow

    ing conflicts in

    Afghanistan:

    ID

    ID

    _Old

    Side A

    Side B

    Years

    137

    2370

    Afghanistan

    Various Organizations

    1978

    −20

    01

    137

    2370

    Afghanistan

    Taleban

    2003

    −05

    N.B

    .: F

    or in

    form

    ation o

    n c

    onflic

    t in

    Afg

    hanista

    n b

    etwee

    n the U

    S, Afg

    hanista

    n, and a

    llie

    s again

    st a

    l-Q

    aid

    a, se

    e bel

    ow u

    nder

    ‘U

    nited S

    tate

    s’

    Fata

    lities

    info

    rmation for co

    nflic

    t #137, ci

    vil war in

    Afg

    hanista

    n a

    nd S

    ovi

    et inva

    sion fro

    m 1

    978−

    89:

    Correlates of W

    ar Dataset (Sa

    rkees, 200

    0):

    Con

    flict n

    umber 69

    8, ‘Afghanistan vs. M

    ujahedin, 1

    978−

    92, 1

    ,045,000 Afghan states deaths, 14,45

    4 Soviet d

    eaths, 1,300

    ,000

    total d

    eaths.

    (Leitenb

    erg, 200

    3):

    1978

    −89 civil w

    ar/Sov

    iet intervention: 1 m

    illion

    total w

    ar-related deaths.

    (Eckhardt, 19

    96):

    1978

    −92 ‘U

    SSR in

    tervenes in

    civil war:’ 1 m

    illion civilian war-related deaths, 500

    ,000 m

    ilitary war-related deaths, 1.5 m

    illio

    n total w

    ar-related deaths.

    (Bercovitch & Jackson

    , 199

    7):

    P. 1

    87: ‘The Afghanistan con

    flict cost 1

    .5 m

    illion

    lives − m

    ost o

    f them

    civilian. The Sov

    iets lo

    st app

    roximately fifteen thou

    sand

    military personnel, w

    hile

    Afghan troo

    p losses were two to th

    ree times greater.’

    (Sliwinski, 19

    89):

    Gives estim

    ates of the yearly lo

    ss of Afghan life th

    roug

    h 19

    89 based on surveys cond

    ucted am

    ong refugees from Afghanistan in

    Pakistan. The study

    includes

    deaths due to

    factors such as ‘exhaustion

    ’ and ‘m

    iscellaneous’, as well as violent d

    eaths. The to

    tals have also been adjusted upw

    ard to in

    clud

    e an in

    creased rate

    of in

    fant m

    ortality am

    ong infants in refug

    ee cam

    ps (p. 42−

    43, 4

    5).

    P. 3

    9: th

    e nu

    mber killed from April 197

    8 to 198

    9 is app

    roximately 1.25

    million, w

    ith a high estim

    ate of 1.5 m

    illion

    and

    a lo

    w estim

    ate of 1 m

    illion

    . (B

    rogan, 1998):

    p. 647: 1

    978−

    continuing, 6

    00,000

    deaths.

    P. 1

    23−24

    : ‘Estim

    ates vary wildly. In the war against th

    e Com

    mun

    ist g

    overnm

    ent and

    the So

    viet occup

    ation, 197

    9−92

    , guesses ranged from

    100

    ,000

    to 1

    million

    , the figure favo

    ured by the American gov

    ernm

    ent, certainly too high

    even if it is taken to in

    clud

    e those who died of disease or starvation

    . A better

    estimate wou

    ld be 40

    0,00

    0. The Sov

    iets lo

    st abo

    ut 150

    ,000

    killed, 3

    11 m

    issing

    and

    35,00

    0 wou

    nded. P

    erhaps ano

    ther 200

    ,000

    have been killed since 19

    89 in

    fighting

    between Mujaheddin grou

    ps and in

    the civil w

    ar between the Taliban and

    its op

    ponents since 19

    94. R

    elief agencies estim

    ate that 2 m

    illion people have

    been permanently disabled by the figh

    ting

    , land-mines and

    disease.’

    (Clodfelter, 200

    2):

    P. 6

    72: ‘[Sov

    iet] battle deaths had to

    taled 11

    ,897

    (9,511 KIA

    and

    2,386 DOW), 817

    Soviets had died of disease, and 1,739

    had died of all other causes.

  • 4

    P. 6

    72: ‘In M

    arch 198

    9 the biggest b

    attle yet o

    f the war com

    menced when the Mujahideen op

    ened what all assum

    ed would be the final trium

    phant o

    ffensive th

    at

    wou

    ld end

    with the liberation

    of Kabul. …

    At least 5,000

    lives were lost in

    the siege…

    ’ P. 6

    72: ‘By 19

    90 Afghanistan was a devastated coun

    try. Half of th

    e nation

    ’s 30,00

    0 villages had been destroyed. As many as 1.3 m

    illion

    Afghans had died from

    causes directly related to th

    e war…

    P. 6

    72: ‘Kabul was shelled and

    rocketed for 13

    mon

    ths, January 199

    4−February 19

    95, w

    ith 8,00

    0 peop

    le killed there and 30

    ,000

    wou

    nded. …

    the Taliban arose in

    the south and sw

    ept forward to Kabul to

    capture th

    e city on September 27

    , 199

    6…Three−fourths of Kabul was in

    ruins by then and 50,00

    0 peop

    le had died in th

    e city since 199

    2 because of th

    e continuing chaos.’

    SIPRI Yearboo

    ks

    (Goo

    se, 1

    987): G

    ov and

    USSR vs. M

    ujahideen since 19

    78. >

    200,00

    0 fatalities.

    (Wilson & W

    allensteen, 1

    988): G

    ov and

    USSR vs. Afghan Mujahideen since 19

    78. 1

    978−

    87: 1

    00,000

    −150,000 military, >35

    0,000 civilian.

    (Lindg

    ren, W

    ilson & W

    allensteen, 1

    989): G

    ov and

    USS

    R vs. Afghan Mujahideen since 19

    78. 1

    978−

    88: >

    150,000 military, >30

    0,00

    0 civilian.

    (Lindg

    ren et al., 199

    0): G

    ov and

    USSR vs. Afghan Mujahideen since 19

    78. 197

    8−87

    : 1 m

    illion. 1

    989: >15

    ,000

    . Note saying th

    is figure prob

    ably in

    clud

    es all

    war-related deaths rather th

    an only battle deaths.

    Inte

    rpre

    tation:

    Altho

    ugh Sliwinski’s metho

    dology is not entirely clear, his figure of 1.3 m

    illion deaths has been taken in m

    ost sou

    rces as total w

    ar-related deaths. For battle-

    related deaths, the Brogan figu

    re of 40

    0,00

    0 dead and

    the SIPRI figu

    re of 45

    0,00

    0 agree closely, and m

    atch fairly well w

    ith the mid-w

    ar estim

    ate by

    Clodfelter.

    Ann

    ual d

    eath rates provided by Sliwinski w

    ere used to

    trend the SIPRI estimate of 450

    ,000

    deaths from

    197

    8−87

    ; 198

    8 violence based on a de-escalation from

    19

    87 figure; and 198

    9 estimated with 15

    ,000

    battle deaths, following SIPRI.

    In th

    e COW Participant F

    ile Sov

    iet losses were set at 1

    4,45

    3 military KIA

    , per Clodfelter, rem

    aining lo

    sses cod

    ed as Afghan.

    Fata

    lities

    info

    rmation for co

    nflic

    t #137, ci

    vil war in

    Afg

    hanista

    n fro

    m 1

    990−

    2001:

    (Eckhardt, 19

    96):

    1991

    −95 ‘fighting between factions:’ civilian and

    military deaths not available, 5

    0,00

    0 total w

    ar-related deaths

    (Brogan, 1998):

    P. 1

    23−24

    : Estim

    ates 200

    ,000 killed since 198

    9 (Internation

    al Institute for Strategic Studies, 2

    003): E

    stim

    ate 54

    ,000 to

    tal d

    eaths from

    199

    7−20

    03.

    (Leitenb

    erg, 200

    3): 1

    990−

    2000

    civil war: 1

    million

    total w

    ar-related deaths.

  • 5

    (Project Ploughshares, 200

    3):

    ‘At least 1,500

    people were killed in

    the figh

    ting

    this year [200

    2]. M

    ost o

    f those killed were Taliban and

    al Q

    aeda soldiers. How

    ever, civilians also fell victim to

    fighting

    between rival faction

    s, and between the coalition forces and

    Taliban and

    al Q

    aeda com

    batants.

    …At least 1,000

    con

    flict-related deaths occurred during th

    e year [20

    01]. Prior to

    the beginn

    ing of th

    e US bom

    bing

    cam

    paign, th

    ere were repo

    rts of at least 300

    deaths. A

    fter th

    e bo

    mbing began, estim

    ates of civilian deaths ranged from 600

    to 5,000

    . Likely hu

    ndreds of Taliban soldiers were also killed.

    …It is likely th

    at hun

    dreds died th

    is year [200

    0] in

    the on

    going figh

    ting or as a result of widespread hu

    man rights abuses.

    …Spring and summer fighting left hundreds, likely th

    ousand

    s, of civilians and combatants dead [in 199

    9].

    …With

    estim

    ates ranging upw

    ard from

    3,000

    , there was a sharp in

    crease in

    civilian deaths in 199

    8.

    …There were repo

    rts of as many as 3,000

    Taliban killed du

    ring and

    after a M

    ay battle [in 199

    7].

    … Rocket attacks and

    troo

    p clashes killed hun

    dreds in 199

    6. In addition

    , malnutrition and disease arising from

    war sho

    rtages m

    ay have killed 250

    ,000

    children.

    …‘ [In 19

    94 alone], 8000 Kabulis have been killed and 10

    0,00

    0 more have been injured. The Red Cross estim

    ates th

    at m

    ore peop

    le are dying

    here than in

    any

    other war in

    the world, y

    et th

    e country's plight has been all b

    ut forgo

    tten, p

    articularly by

    the UN which pulled ou

    t in Janu

    ary’. T

    he Observer, 20 Nov

    ember,

    1994

    ’’

    SIPRI Yearboo

    ks:

    (Lindg

    ren et al., 199

    1): G

    ov and

    USSR vs. Afghan Mujahideen since 19

    78. 197

    8−90

    : 1 m

    illio

    n. 199

    0: unk

    nown. Note saying th

    is figure prob

    ably in

    clud

    es all

    war-related deaths no

    t only battle-related deaths.

    (Heldt, W

    allensteen &

    Nordq

    uist, 1

    992): G

    ov and USSR vs. Afghan Mujahideen since 19

    78. 1

    978−

    91: 1

    million. 1

    991: unk

    nown. Note saying th

    is figure

    prob

    ably in

    clud

    es all war-related deaths no

    t only battle-related deaths.

    (Amer et al., 199

    3): N

    ote saying th

    at it is no longer possible to disting

    uish sides or go

    vernment. Con

    flict includes Mujahideen and military factions. D

    irect and

    indirect deaths 19

    78−90

    : 1 m

    illion. 1

    992: unk

    nown.

    (Wallensteen &

    Axell, 1

    994): G

    ovt. vs. H

    ezb-i-Islami, Hezb-i-Wahdat (since 19

    78) vs. U

    zbek m

    ilitia (1992

    ). Deaths includ

    ing 19

    93 >1 million. A

    pril

    1992

    −Decem

    ber 19

    93: >

    10,000

    . Deaths in 199

    3: 2,000

    −3,000.

    (Sollenb

    erg & W

    allensteen, 1

    995): G

    ovt. vs. H

    ezb-i-Islami (19

    78), Hezb-i-Wahdat (since 19

    90) vs. U

    zbek m

    ilitia (199

    2). D

    eaths includ

    ing 19

    94 >14

    ,000

    . Deaths in 199

    4: 4,000

    −10

    ,000.

    (Sollenb

    erg & W

    allensteen, 1

    996): G

    ovt. vs. H

    ezb-i-Islami (19

    78), Hezb-i-Wahdat (since 19

    90) vs. N

    IM (19

    92). Deaths includ

    ing 19

    95 >15

    ,000

    . Deaths in

    1995

    : 1,000.

    (Sollenb

    erg & W

    allensteen, 1

    997): G

    ovt. vs. Jum

    bish-i M

    illi-ye Islami (19

    92) and vs. T

    aleban (19

    94). All con

    flicts 199

    2−96

    : >20

    ,000. D

    eaths in 199

    6 >1,00

    0.

    (Sollenb

    erg & W

    allensteen, 1

    998): G

    ovt. vs. Jum

    bish-i M

    illi-ye Islami (19

    92), Jam

    iat-I-Islami (19

    78) vs. H

    ezb-I-Wahdat (19

    90). All conflicts 19

    92−97

    : >20

    ,000

    . Deaths in 199

    7 >20

    00.

  • 6

    (Sollenb

    erg, W

    allensteen &

    Jato, 199

    9): G

    ovt. vs. Jum

    bish-i M

    illi-ye Islam

    i, Jamiat-I-Islami, Hezb-I-Wahdat all since 199

    2. Total fatalities unk

    nown. Deaths in

    1998

    >20

    00.

    (Seybo

    lt &

    Upp

    sala Con

    flict D

    ata Project, 2

    000): G

    ov vs. UIFSA since 199

    2. Total deaths un

    know

    n. Total in

    199

    9 >2,00

    0.

    (Seybo

    lt, 2

    001): G

    ov vs. UIFSA since 199

    2. Total deaths un

    know

    n. Total in

    200

    0 >3,000.

    Inte

    rpre

    tation:

    Year

    Estim

    ate

    Commen

    ts

    1990

    7,00

    0 Sub

    sequ

    ent y

    ear taken to be representative

    1991

    7,00

    0 Sub

    sequ

    ent y

    ear taken to be representative

    1992

    7,00

    0 From SIPRI total for April 199

    2 to Decem

    ber 19

    93

    1993

    3,00

    0 SIPRI Yearboo

    ks

    1994

    10

    ,000

    SIPRI: 8,000

    is Project Ploughshare’s estim

    ate for Kabul only, and

    Clodfelter cites a similar figure for Jan 19

    94 to

    Feb 199

    5 19

    95

    5,00

    0 Harpv

    iken suggests >1,00

    0; Amnesty estimates 25,00

    0 civilians killed 199

    2 to 199

    5; to

    tal h

    ere for those years is 25,00

    0

    1996

    5,00

    0 Harpv

    iken suggests >1,00

    0 in SIPRI; year of m

    ajor Taliban offensive

    1997

    3,00

    0 SIPRI reports >2,00

    0; 3,000

    Taliban dead in Project Ploughshares

    1998

    7,00

    0 Low

    figure in Amnesty Report

    1999

    2,00

    0 SIPRI; sup

    ported by inform

    ation in Project Ploughshares

    2000

    4,00

    0 SIPRI; Harpv

    iken

    2001

    prior to

    US-led

    invasion

    1,00

    0 1,00

    0 minim

    um im

    plied by

    Upp

    sala cod

    ing; 300

    is m

    inim

    um in

    Project Ploughshares

    Total

    60,300

    Fata

    lities

    info

    rmation for co

    nflic

    t #137, Taliban c

    onflic

    t in

    Afg

    hanista

    n fro

    m 2

    003−

    05:

    2003

    : (IISS, 200

    6): > 1,200

    (Ploughshares, 200

    6): >

    1,200

    (C

    ERAC, 2

    006): 8

    97 killed (civilians on

    ly)

    (iCasualties, 200

    6): U

    S forces: 1

    8; Rom

    ania: 2

    ; Germany: 5; C

    anada: 2.

    2004

    :

  • 7

    (IISS, 200

    6): >1,00

    0 (Ploughshares, 200

    6): > 250

    (CERAC, 2

    006): 8

    22 th

    rough 1 Aug

    ust (civilians only)

    (iCasualties, 200

    6): U

    S forces: 2

    4; UK: 1

    ; Norway: 1

    ; Canada: 1

    2005

    : (IISS, 200

    6): <

    1,400

    (Ploughshares, 200

    6): 1

    ,000

    (SIPRI Yearboo

    ks): < 1,300

    (iCasualties, 200

    6): U

    S forces: 6

    7; UK: 1

    ; Sweden: 2

    ; Rom

    ania: 1

    ; Portugal: 1; G

    ermany: 1; F

    rance: 1.

    Inte

    rpre

    tation:

    Year

    Low

    High

    Best

    Notes

    2003

    89

    7 1,20

    0 1,20

    0 Low

    = CERAC, H

    igh & Best =

    IISS, Ploughshares

    2004

    25

    0 1,00

    0

    1,00

    0 Low

    = Ploughshares, High & Best =

    IISS

    2005

    1,00

    0 1,40

    0 1,30

    0 Low

    = Ploughshares, High = IISS, B

    est =

    SIPRI

  • 8

    Algeria

    The Upp

    sala/PRIO

    Arm

    ed Con

    flict D

    ataset cod

    es th

    e follow

    ing conflicts in

    Algeria:

    ID

    ID

    _Old

    Side A

    Side B

    Years

    49

    1490

    France

    FLN, M

    NA

    1954

    −62

    73

    1730

    France

    OAS

    1961

    −62

    81

    1810

    Algeria

    Morocco

    1963

    19

    1 29

    30

    Algeria

    FIS, Various Islam

    ist insurgent group

    s 19

    91−2

    002

    Fata

    lities

    info

    rmation for co

    nflic

    t #49, Alg

    eria

    n w

    ar of in

    dep

    enden

    ce v

    ersu

    s th

    e Fre

    nch

    fro

    m 1

    954 to 1

    962, and c

    onflic

    t #73, Fre

    nch

    conflic

    t with the

    OAS fro

    m

    1961−

    2:

    Correlates of W

    ar Project (Sarkees, 2

    000): C

    onflict #

    432, Franco-Algerian War from 195

    4−62

    : 18,00

    0 state deaths and

    100

    ,000

    total d

    eaths.

    (Eckhardt, 19

    96):

    1952

    −62 & 196

    2−63, ‘France intervenes in

    civil war; R

    ebel leaders vs. G

    overnm

    ent:’ 83

    ,000

    civilian war-related deaths, 19,00

    0 military war-related deaths,

    102,00

    0 total w

    ar-related deaths.

    (Leitenb

    erg, 200

    3):

    1954

    −62 ‘ind

    ependence struggle vs. France:’ 1 millio

    n total war-related deaths.

    1962

    −63 ‘rebels leaders vs. g

    overnm

    ent:’ 1,00

    0 military, 1,000

    civilian, and

    2,000

    total w

    ar-related deaths.

    (Rum

    mel, 1

    997, Table 14.1, line 630

    ): Total war dead 19

    54−62

    estim

    ated as: 100

    ,000

    (low), 611

    ,000

    (middle), 1

    .003

    million

    (high). Add

    ition

    al lo

    w estim

    ate of

    13,000

    killed in OAS dem

    ocide from

    196

    1−62

    . (H

    arff &

    Gurr, 198

    8):

    Table of Genocides and

    Politicides since W

    WII.

    Algeria, July−

    Dec 196

    2. Victim

    ized group

    s: Harkis, OAS sup

    porters. Num

    ber of victims: 12,00

    0−60

    ,000

    . (B

    ercovitch & Jackson

    , 199

    7):

    P. 7

    8−9: ‘Fifteen th

    ousand French troo

    ps died during th

    e conflict, w

    hile tens of thou

    sand

    s of civilians, m

    ost o

    f them

    Algerians, w

    ere killed in

    terrorist attacks and

    reprisals.’

    (Brogan, 1998):

    p. 6: ‘60

    0,00

    0 peop

    le were killed in

    the War of Independence’

    pg 9: A

    lgerians cite figure of 1.5 million deaths in

    war of independence.

    P. 6

    45: ‘Algeria: colon

    ial insurrection’ 195

    4−62

    , 100

    ,000

    (C

    layton

    , 198

    8):

  • 9

    P. 1

    73−89

    : description

    of the conflic

    t.

    P. 1

    77: F

    rench forces in

    crease from 80,00

    0 by end

    195

    4, to

    100

    ,000

    in June 19

    55 to

    190

    ,000

    in M

    arch 195

    6 and to 390

    ,000

    in Aug

    ust 1

    956. Peak in late 195

    7 with Arm

    y alon

    e at 415

    ,000

    . P. 1

    79: F

    LN casualties April to

    Decem

    ber 19

    56 were ov

    er 13,00

    0.

    P. 1

    88−89

    : ‘The cam

    paign’s casualty figures can never be adequately recko

    ned. French estimates claim

    that 141

    ,000

    ALN were killed, a further 12,000 died in

    internal FLN purges, and

    som

    e 1,50

    0−2,00

    0 were killed by the Tunisian and Moroccan armies in efforts to

    maintain order. To these figu

    res must b

    e added

    several thousand more Moslems who

    died in th

    e grim

    con

    ditions of th

    e French regrou

    pment cam

    ps. In respect o

    f the French side of the equation

    , the French

    admitted 13

    ,000

    soldiers of Europ

    ean origin and

    3,500

    indigeno

    us killed in

    action, with further totals of 7,00

    0 and 1,00

    0 respectively killed in accidents and

    a

    further combined total o

    f 11

    ,000

    died from

    disease or suicide. Abo

    ut half of th

    ese deaths occurred after April 196

    1. To these totals m

    ust b

    e added 2,788

    Europ

    eans and

    13,29

    6 indigeno

    us disappeared, p

    resumed dead, figures all covering the pre−

    April 196

    1 period

    only. The activities of th

    e OAS and

    the measures

    necessary to repress th

    is organization caused m

    any further Europ

    ean and Moslem deaths. French estimates sug

    gest a further 50,00

    0 indigeno

    us disappeared

    between March 196

    1 and March 196

    2, with the likelihood

    of revenge killings of indigeno

    us after th

    e March cease-fire totaling at least 151

    ,000

    , alm

    ost certainly

    more. In addition

    over 4,00

    0 Algerians were killed in

    France during in

    ternal faction

    al strife. Nationalist claim

    s extend

    to to

    tals of 30

    0,000 indigeno

    us dead.’

    (Clodfelter, 200

    2):

    P. 6

    10: ‘By July 1, 1

    962, th

    e date th

    at Algerian independence was m

    andated, 2,360

    people had died and

    5,418

    had suffered wou

    nds in th

    e Secret A

    rmy’s

    campaign of terror.’

    P. 6

    10: ‘Postwar feuding

    between op

    posing faction

    s of th

    e FLN, m

    ostly pitting the ‘interior’ forces…

    against the ‘exterior’ forces…

    cost up to 150

    ,000

    lives.

    Ano

    ther 30,00

    0 Algerians, from th

    e 20

    0,00

    0 harkis who

    served with

    the French during

    the war, w

    ere massacred by the rebel v

    ictors. A

    ll to

    ld, there were 42

    ,090

    acts of terrorism com

    mitted by

    Algerian against F

    renchm

    an, F

    renchm

    an against Algerian, Algerian against A

    lgerian, and

    Frenchm

    an against Frenchm

    an. F

    rench

    and French Algerian civilian lo

    sses from th

    is terror to

    taled 2,78

    8 killed, 7

    ,541

    wou

    nded, 3

    75 m

    issing

    and believed dead. M

    uslim civilian casualties due to

    terrorism were 16

    ,738

    killed, 1

    3,61

    0 wou

    nded, and

    13,29

    6 missing and

    believed dead. In France another 4,30

    0 Muslim Algerians were killed and 9,00

    0 wou

    nded, m

    ostly in clashes between the FLN and

    the rival ind

    ependence organization

    , the M

    NA. …

    Milita

    ry casualties in th

    e guerilla con

    flict fou

    ght in the

    countryside were even heavier th

    an th

    ose of th

    e war in

    the cities. T

    he FLN lo

    st at least 141

    ,000

    killed. C

    ombined with civilian lo

    sses in

    the bled and

    Muslim

    deaths in

    the cities, the Arab Algerian death toll m

    ay have reached 30

    0,00

    0. The French military lo

    st 17,45

    6 killed…

    French records listed 5,966

    of the military

    fatalities as death by accident, b

    ut th

    is is suspiciou

    sly high

    …’

    Inte

    rpre

    tation:

    Estim

    ate total o

    f 25

    2,02

    6 battle deaths, based on the follow

    ing grou

    ps:

    13,000

    Europ

    ean soldiers KIA

    (Clayton

    ) 3,50

    0 no

    n-Europ

    ean French forces KIA

    (Clayton

    ) 14

    1,00

    0 FLN KIA

    (Clayton

    )

    2,78

    8 French deaths in

    terrorist incidents (Clodfelter)

    16,738

    Algerian deaths in

    terrorist incidents (Clodfelter)

    75,000

    Algerian civilians KIA

    (Based on 30

    0,00

    0 total ind

    igenou

    s dead from Clodfelter).

    Fata

    lities

    info

    rmation for co

    nflic

    t #81, bord

    er w

    ar bet

    wee

    n A

    lger

    ia a

    nd M

    oro

    cco in 1

    963:

    Militarized Internation

    al Dispu

    te Dataset (Ghosn &

    Palmer, 2

    003): B

    etween 12

    7 and 35

    0 deaths to

    tal, 101−

    250 for Algeria and

    26−

    100 for Morocco.

  • 10

    (Bercovitch & Jackson

    , 199

    7):

    P. 1

    16: ‘There were thou

    ght to be as many as a th

    ousand

    fatalities du

    ring th

    e conflict.’

    (Clodfelter, 200

    2):

    P. 6

    13: ‘cost Algeria 300

    dead and Morocco probably 20

    0 slain.’

    Inte

    rpre

    tation:

    Clodfelter estimates ju

    st sligh

    tly high

    er fatalities for each participant than the MID

    cod

    ing suggests. H

    is estim

    ate of 500

    total fatalities was accepted based on

    further inform

    ation on

    single battles in

    Clodfelter and the Bercovitch & Jackson

    sug

    gestion that th

    is was a relatively high

    intensity conflict. C

    OW Participant File

    also based on Clodfelter.

    Fata

    lities

    info

    rmation for co

    nflic

    t #191, ci

    vil war in

    Alg

    eria

    fro

    m 1

    991−

    2002:

    Correlates of W

    ar Dataset (Sa

    rkees, 200

    0): C

    onflict #

    739, Algeria vs. Islam

    ic Rebels from

    199

    2−on

    going (199

    7): 8

    0,000 state deaths, total deaths un

    know

    n.

    (Internation

    al Institute for Strategic Studies, 2

    003): >

    88,500

    com

    bat-deaths since 199

    2.

    (Eckhardt, 19

    96):

    1992

    −95, ‘Rebels leaders vs. G

    overnm

    ent:’ civilian and

    military war-related deaths no

    t available, 5

    0,000 total w

    ar-related deaths.

    (Brogan, 1998):

    p. 6: ‘Between 50

    ,000

    and

    100

    ,000

    have been killed in fighting betw

    een Islamic terrorists and

    the army since 19

    92.’

    (Leitenb

    erg, 200

    3):

    1990

    −95, ‘go

    vernment v

    s. M

    uslim extremists:’ 30,00

    0 total w

    ar-related deaths.

    1993

    −200

    0, ‘go

    vernment v

    s. M

    uslim extremists’: 100

    ,000

    total w

    ar-related deaths.

    These estim

    ates are based on private archives.

    (Clodfelter, 200

    2):

    P. 6

    18: ‘Algerian Civil W

    ar: 1

    992−

    ’ P. 6

    18: ‘In th

    e first eight m

    onths of 199

    7 at least 1

    ,500

    people died in

    the campaign of terror and

    counterterror. A

    ltho

    ugh the Islamic Salvatio

    n Arm

    y agreed to

    a

    cease-fire th

    at year, th

    e 3,00

    0-man Arm

    ed Islam

    ic Group

    continued to

    slaughter th

    ose who

    disagreed with their vision

    of a theocratic Algeria. ... Official

    government figures to

    the end of January 199

    8 listed 26,53

    6 security personn

    el and

    civilians killed and 21

    ,000

    injured, but other observers estim

    ated as many as

    100,00

    0 dead in

    the violence by June 199

    9.

    (Project Ploughshares, 200

    3):

    Total: A

    n estimated 130

    ,000

    people have been killed in

    the past 10 years.

    2002

    : According to

    independ

    ent m

    edia reports, app

    roximately 90

    0 peop

    le died in th

    e first eight m

    onths of 200

    2.

    2001

    : App

    roximately 1,65

    0 peop

    le died in 2001.

  • 11

    2000

    : More than 2,500

    people died in

    200

    0.

    1999

    : There were estimates th

    at as many as 3,000

    people, m

    ostly civilians, died in 199

    9.

    1998

    : Between 7,00

    0 and 10

    ,000

    people were killed in

    con

    flict d

    uring 19

    98, m

    arking a further in

    crease in

    casualties from

    the previous year’s already extrem

    e death toll.

    SIPRI Yearboo

    ks

    (Wallensteen &

    Axell, 1

    994): G

    ov vs. FIS since 199

    2 and vs. G

    IA since 199

    3. Deaths 19

    92−93

    : 1,700

    −3,00

    0. Deaths in 199

    3: 1,100

    −2,40

    0.

    (Sollenb

    erg & W

    allensteen, 1

    995): G

    ov vs. FIS since 199

    2 and vs. G

    IA since 199

    3. Deaths 19

    92−94

    : 10,00

    0−25

    ,000

    . Deaths in 199

    4: >5,00

    0.

    (Sollenb

    erg & W

    allensteen, 1

    996): G

    ov vs. FIS since 199

    2 and vs. G

    IA since 199

    3. Deaths 19

    92−95

    : 25,00

    0−45

    ,000

    . Deaths in 199

    5: >3,00

    0.

    (Sollenb

    erg & W

    allensteen, 1

    997): G

    ov vs. FIS since 199

    2 and vs. G

    IA since 199

    3. Deaths 19

    92−96

    : 30,00

    0−50

    ,000

    . Deaths in 199

    6: >2,00

    0.

    (Sollenb

    erg & W

    allensteen, 1

    998): G

    ov vs. FIS since 199

    2 and vs. G

    IA since 199

    3. Deaths 19

    92−97

    : 40,00

    0−80

    ,000

    . Deaths in 199

    7: >3,00

    0.

    (Sollenb

    erg, W

    allensteen &

    Jato, 199

    9): G

    ov vs. GIA

    since 199

    3. Conflict with

    all group

    s 19

    92−98

    : 40,00

    0−10

    0,00

    0. M

    inim

    um of >1,50

    0 military casualties,

    and >2,50

    0 civilian casualties in 199

    8.

    (Seybo

    lt &

    Upp

    sala Con

    flict D

    ata Project, 2

    000): G

    ov vs. GIA

    since 199

    3. Con

    flict w

    ith all g

    roup

    s 19

    92−99

    : 40,00

    0−10

    0,00

    0. 199

    9: >1,00

    0.

    (Seybo

    lt, 2

    001): G

    ov vs. GIA

    since 199

    3. Con

    flict w

    ith all g

    roup

    s 19

    92−99

    : 40,00

    0−10

    0,00

    0. 200

    0: >1,00

    0.

    (Seybo

    lt, 2

    002): G

    ov vs. GIA

    since 199

    3. Con

    flict w

    ith all g

    roup

    s 19

    92−20

    00: 4

    0,00

    0−10

    0,00

    0. 2001: >1,00

    0.

    (Wiharta &

    Antho

    ny, 2

    003): G

    ov vs. GIA

    since 199

    3. Con

    flict w

    ith all g

    roup

    s 19

    92−20

    02: 4

    0,000−

    100,00

    0. 2002: 150

    −35

    0.

    (Mack, 200

    4): B

    est &

    low estim

    ate of 150

    battle-related deaths, h

    igh estimate of 350

    In

    terp

    reta

    tion:

    Most sou

    rces prefer an estim

    ate of app

    roximately 10

    0,00

    0 battle deaths. S

    IPRI trend data has een used to obtain the follo

    wing high and

    low estim

    ates, and given

    preference to

    the estimate that to

    tals nearly 90

    ,000

    battle deaths. T

    his conflict in

    clud

    ed large am

    ounts of terrorist v

    iolence against civilians. These are con

    sidered

    battle deaths.

    Year

    Intensity

    Low

    High &

    Best

    19

    91

    1 10

    0 Intensity on

    e estimate

    100

    Intensity on

    e estimate; not in

    clud

    ed in

    other cod

    ers’ date rang

    e 19

    92

    1 60

    0 SIPRI

    600

    SIPRI

  • 12

    1993

    3 2,40

    0 SIPRI

    6,00

    0 SIPRI, tripled

    1994

    3 10

    ,000

    SIPRI estimate, dou

    bled

    30,000

    SIPRI, tripled

    1995

    3 6,00

    0 SIPRI estimate, dou

    bled

    12,000

    SIPRI, tripled

    1996

    3 4,00

    0 SIPRI estimate, dou

    bled

    12,000

    SIPRI, tripled

    1997

    3 6,00

    0 SIPRI estimate, dou

    bled

    12,000

    SIPRI, tripled

    1998

    3 7,00

    0 Project Ploughshares

    10,000

    Project Ploughshares

    1999

    3 3,00

    0 Project Ploughshares

    3,00

    0 Project Ploughshares

    2000

    3 2,50

    0 Project Ploughshares

    2,50

    0 Project Ploughshares

    2001

    3 1,65

    0 Project Ploughshares

    1,65

    0 Project Ploughshares

    Total

    1993

    −200

    1:

    42,750

    Subtotal o

    f 20

    150 from

    199

    7−20

    01 agrees with IISS

    89

    ,150

    Su

    btotal of 29

    ,150

    from 199

    7−20

    01 is slightly high

    er th

    an IISS

    2002

    2 15

    0 Hum

    an Security

    350

    Hum

    an Security

    Fata

    lities

    info

    rmation for co

    nflic

    t #49, ci

    vil war in

    Alg

    eria

    fro

    m 2

    003−

    2005:

    2003

    : (IISS, 200

    6): O

    ne report suggests < 1,500

    deaths, m

    ost d

    ue to

    fighting between security forces and GIA

    and

    GSPC. S

    econd repo

    rt th

    at 900

    total d

    ied and 43

    0 of

    those were Islamic extremists

    (Ploughshares, 200

    6): 1

    ,000

    (SIPRI Yearboo

    ks): < 50 in clashes with GIA

    (IISS, 200

    6): >

    500

    ; evenly split b

    etween security forces and militants with some civilian casualties

    (Ploughshares, 200

    6): 4

    29, o

    fficial d

    eath to

    ll; in

    most serious in

    cident, o

    ver 60

    com

    batants killed (GSPC reblels and

    Chadian soliders)

    (SIPRI Yearboo

    ks): < 25 in clashes with GIA

    (IISS, 200

    6): 4

    90

    (Ploughshares, 200

    6): 7

    6 civilians, 177

    security force mem

    bers, 2

    35 suspected terrorists = 488

    ; GIA

    respo

    nsible for at least 14 civilia

    n deaths

    (AI Report o

    n Algeria): som

    e 50

    0 killed according to press reports

    (June 10

    , Terrorism

    Mon

    itor, Vol. 2

    , Issue 11 20

    05): GSPC kills 15 Mauritanian soldiers in cross-border raid

  • 13

    Inte

    rpre

    tation:

    Year

    Low

    High

    Best

    Notes

    2003

    90

    0 1,50

    0 90

    0 Low

    = IISS; H

    igh = IISS; B

    est =

    low estim

    ate from

    IISS, w

    hich rou

    ghly

    agrees with Ploug

    hshares

    2004

    42

    9 50

    0 42

    9 Low

    = Ploughshares; High = IIS; O

    fficial estim

    ate used as best estim

    ate in

    absence of other in

    form

    ation

    2005

    48

    8 50

    0 48

    8

    Low

    = Ploughshares; High = AI Report; IISS, A

    I & Project Ploughshares all

    correspo

    nd. P

    roject Ploughshares inform

    ation taken as best estim

    ate because

    most specific

  • 14

    Angola

    The Upp

    sala/PRIO

    Arm

    ed Con

    flict D

    ataset cod

    es th

    e follow

    ing conflicts in

    Angola:

    ID

    ID_Old

    Side A

    Side B

    Territory

    Years

    66

    1660

    Portugal

    MPLA, F

    NLA, U

    NITA

    Ang

    ola

    1960

    −74

    131

    2310

    Ang

    ola

    UNITA

    19

    75−20

    02

    192

    2940

    Ang

    ola

    FLEC

    Cabinda

    1991

    1994

    1996

    −98

    20

    02

    20

    04

    Fata

    lities

    info

    rmation for co

    nflic

    t #66, Angola

    n w

    ar of in

    dep

    enden

    ce a

    gain

    st P

    ort

    ugal 1960−

    74:

    Correlates of W

    ar Dataset (Sa

    rkees, 200

    0): C

    onflict #

    434, ‘Angolan-Portugese W

    ar,’ 196

    1−75

    : 8,000

    state deaths and an unkno

    wn total n

    umber.

    (Brogan, 1998, 13): ‘Abo

    ut 90,00

    0 peop

    le were killed during the colonial war, 1

    961−

    75.’

    (Rum

    mel, 1

    997, Table 14.1, line 167

    6): E

    stim

    ates for th

    e period

    196

    1−75

    : 30,00

    0 (low

    ), 55,00

    0 (m

    iddle), 9

    0,00

    0 (high) to

    tal d

    ead.

    (Leitenb

    erg, 200

    3): 1

    961−

    75, ‘independ

    ence strug

    gle vs. P

    ortugal:’ 30

    0,00

    0 civilian, 3

    00,000

    military, and

    600

    ,000

    total w

    ar-related deaths.

    (Eckhardt, 19

    96): 1961−

    75, ‘Indep vs. P

    ort; USSR

    , S Af interv:’ 30,00

    0 civilian war-related deaths, 25,00

    0 military war-related deaths,

    55,000

    total.

    (Clodfelter, 200

    2, 620

    ): ‘Portuguese battle deaths by year up

    to Decem

    ber 1, 196

    8, were as follows: 196

    1−13

    4; 196

    2−11

    5; 196

    3−83

    ; 196

    4−10

    1; 196

    5−87

    ; 19

    66−9

    0; 196

    7−88

    ; 196

    8−10

    2. After tw

    elve years of war Portuguese military losses in

    Angola stoo

    d at 1,071

    KIA

    …Guerilla combat fatalities totaled more than

    10,000

    ….Estim

    ates of total v

    iolent deaths in th

    e colonial wars, 196

    1−74

    , were as follows: Portuguese military and

    civilian dead 4,000

    in Angola…

    guerilla dead

    25,000

    in Angola…

    African civilian dead 50,00

    0 in Ang

    ola’

    (Bercovitch & Jackson

    , 199

    7, 101

    ): ‘Guinea-Bissau form

    ally gained independ

    ence on September 10

    , 197

    4. M

    ozam

    biqu

    e completed th

    e transition to

    independ

    ence on June 25, 197

    5, and

    Angola on

    Nov

    ember 11

    , 197

    5. M

    ore than a hundred th

    ousand people were killed during the strugg

    le for in

    depend

    ence,

    including large nu

    mbers of civilians and Portuguese troo

    ps. A

    s many as five thou

    sand

    Portugu

    ese troo

    ps died in th

    e war…

    ’ (N

    ote: Unclear whether th

    ese figures refer to all three conflicts or only to Ang

    ola)

    Inte

    rpre

    tation:

  • 15

    Clodfelter’s figures are 4,00

    0 state deaths and

    75,00

    0 Ang

    olan deaths or 79,00

    0 in to

    tal. This falls within the rang

    e presented by

    Rum

    mel, and relatively close to

    figures presented by

    Brogan, COW, and Eckhardt. Leitenb

    erg’s figures seem

    to be a clear outlier. Because Clodfelter’s figures are based on

    detailed inform

    ation

    on Portuguese fatalities and because other higher figures pu

    rport to be to

    tal w

    ar-related deaths, Clodfelter’s figure was used as th

    e best estim

    ate.

    Estim

    ates:

    Low

    : 55,00