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Update Patrick Cummins September 26, 2006 WESTAR Council Meeting, Boise, ID

Update Patrick Cummins September 26, 2006 WESTAR Council Meeting, Boise, ID

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Update

Patrick CumminsSeptember 26, 2006

WESTAR Council Meeting, Boise, ID

Western Governors’ Association

WGA represents the Governors of 19 States and 3 U.S. Flag Pacific Islands

WGA Resolution on Regional and National Policies Regarding Global

Climate Change Western Governors support local, state,

regional, and national programs to reduce anthropogenic greenhouse gases in a manner that: Is consistent with the findings of scientific research Will not significantly harm the U.S. economy Encourages comparable action by major trading

partners and key contributors to global emissions

Global Climate Change Resolution Includes support for:

Continued research on global climate change

Carbon sequestration research and implementation

Cost-effective, market-based policies to reduce greenhouse gases

Consideration of state and regional GHG programs if/when a national regime is developed

A voluntary registry to document and track greenhouse gas emissions

Clean and Diversified Energy In 2004, the Governor’s called for the analysis of policy

recommendations that would: Bring 30,000 megawatts of new clean energy online by 2015 Increase energy efficiency 20% by 2020 Meet transmission needs over the next 25 years

The Clean and Diversified Energy Advisory Committee (CDEAC) and 8 task forces were formed to develop consensus, incentive based policies to reach these goals Over 250 diverse stakeholders participated Report presented to the governors in June 2006 The CDEAC made 51 incentive-based

recommendations

Clean and Diversified Energy Report conclusions:

The governors can meet and likely exceed their 2015 and 2020 goals Achieving these goals will require a combination of state, regional and federal

action

CDEAC recommendations included: Demonstrate IGCC projects in Western states at altitude Encourage federal tax credit extensions on renewables Reforms in the FERC Open Access Transmission Tariff to allow regional

transmission planning expansion Encourage the elimination of rate pancaking Implement and update energy efficiency standards on appliances and

buildings Support comprehensive integrated resource planning and procurement rules

States Leading the Way WGA is encouraging others to adopt the recommended policies and is

tracking progress toward the governors’ goals

Gov. Owens (CO) – Signed legislation to encourage IGCC within the state; Xcel Energy has since announced plans to build a 350 MW IGCC plant

Gov. Napolitano (AZ) – Issued an executive order on energy efficiency with the aim of reducing GHGs to 2000 levels by 2012

Gov. Huntsman (UT) -- Proposed legislation to set a 20% goal for energy efficiency in Utah by 2015

Govs. Schwarzenegger (CA) and Freudenthal (WY) signed an MOU on developing IGCC with carbon sequestration and renewable energy in Wyoming

Gov. Gregoire (WA) signed legislation that requires state schools and office buildings to be constructed in a manner that will conserve energy and minimize their environmental impact

Gov. Schwarzenegger (CA) signed the Million Solar Roofs Legislation in August 2006

Western Renewable Energy Generation Information System (WREGIS) Formed in 2004 as a joint effort between WGA and the

California Energy Commission

Will issue, track, and verify regional renewable electricity generation and certificates

Scheduled to come online in late 2007

Carbon Sequestration Partnerships WGA is assisting four regional carbon sequestration

partnerships Big Sky Plains Southwest West Coast

The partnerships are engaged in validating sequestration technologies, assessing repository potential, and identifying best management practices The Big Sky Partnership will inject several thousand tons of CO2 into the

Grande Ronde Basalt in eastern Washington as a demonstration project The Plains Partnership will be using 14.4 million tons of CO2 to test

terrestrial sequestration in the region’s wetlands

Future Transportation Fuels Initiative Resolution on Transportation Fuels for the Future passed

June, 2006 570 million gallons of oil are used each day by the nation’s transportation

sector Regional Task Force will develop a policy roadmap for western alternative

fuel development and distribution in the future Governor’s offices are currently gathering ideas for actions to take in the near,

mid, and long-term The roadmap will be refined by a broad range of stakeholders Fuels currently being considered include ethanol, bio-diesel, coal-to-liquids,

hydrogen, and electricity

Many states have already taken the lead Gov. Sebelius is chairing the Governors’ Ethanol Coalition Gov. Schweitzer is working to attract companies to Montana that are

committed to producing clean burning liquid fuel from coal

Climate Change Impacts on Water In 2006, WGA helped develop and adopted the Western

States Water Council Report, “Water Needs and Strategies for a Sustainable Future”

The report makes recommendations on Water policy and growth strategies Infrastructure needs Indian water rights and negotiated settlements Preparations for climate change impacts Coordination between researchers and policy-makers, particularly on

ESA

Mexico Emissions Inventory

First national EI for Mexico complete and published

Coordinated by WGA (Rich Halvey) with EPA funding

EI is for 1999 Next Steps

2004 update Special studies – mobile sources

Western Regional Air Partnership (WRAP) Voluntary association of 15 states, Western tribes, and

federal agencies

Assists Western states and tribes in developing regional haze plans for federal Class I Areas: State regional haze plans due to EPA in December 2007.

Currently working with 9 member states to develop GHG emission inventories and forecasts Final products are expected in early 2007 4 states already have developed GHG

inventories

Western Regional Air Partnership (WRAP) Participating with other states/regions to evaluate

options for a multi-state GHG registry

WRAP and Eastern states are leading the effort

Western and Mid-Western states and tribes participating

Building on California Climate Action Registry: ensure consistency and avoid multiple or different state registries

Goal: Operational by late 2007

Policy neutral system - states and tribes opt-in at their discretion

WRAP Funding HistoryAnnual Grant Amount vs. Annual Expenses

0

1

2

3

4

5

2000 2001 2002 2003 3004 2005 2006 2007

$ M

illio

ns p

er Y

ear

Funding

Expenses

WRAP Funding and Expenditures Summary (August 2006)

23.122.3

19.8

17.2

22.2

19.2

15.8

11.3

10

12

14

16

18

20

22

24

June 2004 June 2005 June 2006 June 2007

$ M

illi

on

s

WRAP Funding By Category (2003 - 2006)

Travel, Mtgs,Calls 7.5%

Overhead 4.5%

Staff8%

Technical60%

Policy20%

Non-ContractContracts

2018 Base Case Visibility Projections (deciviews)

Note: Fire & Dust emissions held constant

2000-04 Annual Average WRAP Region PM2.5 Emissions (13 States)(Does not include out-of-region sources)

0

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

700,000

Fires Wind-BlownDust

Fugitive Dust Area Point On Road Off Road Road Dust OffshoreShipping

PM2.

5 (to

ns/y

ear)

WRAP region EGU SO2 emissions

EGU SO2 Emissions Trend

0

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

700,000

800,000

900,000

1995 1998 2002 2005 2018b 2018 BART

SO

2 (tp

y)

11-States 13-States

Modeling Base Cases

Data Sources: 1995, 1998, and 2005 from EPA Clean Air Markets Division, 2002 emissions and 2018 projections by Eastern Research Group, and 2018 BART assuming presumptive limits in EPA BART rule on units > 200 MW

WRAP region NOx emissions by source category

Data Sources: WRAP Forums’ emissions inventories and biogenics from BEIS model

0

200,000

400,000

600,000

800,000

1,000,000

1,200,000

1,400,000

1,600,000

1,800,000

On Road Off Road Point Area Area O&G Fires OffshoreShipping

Biogenic

NOx

(tons

/yea

r)

2002 2018

BLM prepares for 13,000 new wells in Piceance Basin

Technical Support System Summary of key technical data to

support regional haze planning & implementation – version 1 on-line mid-October 2006

Supports consultation & interstate emissions/visibility tracking

Interactive data displays: Monitoring Emissions Modeling/Source Apportionment

Results Ancillary GIS information

To assess progress, provides tracking of: Periodic emissions inventories &

emissions reductions programs Visibility monitoring data Modeling/Source Apportionment

Results

          Getting Started with the TSS

          Attribution of Haze Results

          Regional Haze Planning Support

          Weight of Evidence Checklist

          User Defined Queries & Analyses

Welcome to the WRAP Technical Support System!

 

http://vista.cira.colostate.edu/tss/