UPDATE ON THE SOUTH CHINA SEA ISSUE - MAY 2015.pptx

7/24/2019 UPDATE ON THE SOUTH CHINA SEA ISSUE - MAY 2015.pptx

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REP. FRANCISCO ASHLEY Ace ACEDILLO

LAG-RAISING CEREMONY

UPDATES ON THE WEST PHILIPPINE SEA

Commission on Appointments P!s!" Cit

#$ne %% %&'(


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CHINA)S ACTI*ITIES

THE WEST PHILIPPIN

SEA


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It is very clear that our territorial disputes in the We

Philippine Sea have, in fact, overtaken all security

issues in our hierarchy of national security concerns

- Secretary Cesar Garcia

National Security Adviser


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WEST PHILIPPINE SEA

AO #29; 05 Sep 2012Luzon Sea

Bajo de Masinloc

Kalayaan Island Group

SOUTH CHINA SEA

China & Taiwan on the NorthPhilippines in the East

Vietnam, Malaysia, Indonesia & Brunei in the West & South

SouthC

hina

Sea

We

stP

hilip

pine

Sea

ASIAN FLASHPOIN


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SOME MAJOR INCIDENTS/EVENTS

ASIAN FLASHPOIN

2009: Submission of

Chinas 9-Dash Line

Map

2009-2010: Diplomatic

Protests from

Philippines, Vietnam,

Malaysia and Indonesia


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SOME MAJOR INCIDENTS/EVENTS

ASIAN FLASHPOIN

2012: Standoff bet Ch and Ph vessels

De facto Ch occupation of BDM

Ph filing of arbitration case before ITLOS

2013: Start of systematic reclamation

2014: Reclamation frenzy


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CHINESE OCCUPIED FEATURES IN KIG AND DISTANCECLOSEST TO PALAWANZAMORA (SUBI) REEF

KAGITINGAN (FIERY CROSS)REEF

CALDERON (CUARTERON)REEF

GAVEN REEF

CHIGUA (KENNAN) REEF

MABINI (JOHNSON) REEF

PANGANIBAN (MISCHIEF)REEF


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CHINESE OCCUPIED FEATURES IN KIG AND DISTANCECLOSEST TO PALAWANZAMORA (SUBI) REEF

!"".#N$ %&o' Latu( Pt) Ri*al


!+".,N$ %&o' Latu( Pt) Ri*alCALDERON (CUARTERON)

REEF!++.-N$ %&o' Latu( Pt) Ri*al

GAVEN REEF

!,./N$ %&o' Latu( Pt) Ri*al

CHIGUA (KENNA) REEF/0.+N$ %&o' Latu( Pt) Ri*al

MABINI (JOHNSON) REEF/01./N$ %&o' Latu( Pt) Ri*al

PANGANIBAN (MISCHIEF)REEF

/",N$ %&o' Sicu( Pt) Ri*al

Three () Ree!"&he PHL E

E-'-.% Z-

/00NM


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CHI23A 45ENNA

P&e7DoC an( Post7DoC

P&e78($P&e78($ an( Post78($

$A8INI 49OHNSON6 REEF

e7DoC an( Post7DoC

M-"& -! &he -r%1%'#* "&r+&+re" %' Ch%'e"e2-+3%e4 !e#"'4#r4 "e& -! e5+%3.e'&

2-3 naval guns

Light machine guns

Communications equipmen

Observation platforms

P

HsNAVALGUNS

LIGHT MACHINEGUN

COMS E6

OBSERVATIONPLATFORM


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M-"& -! &he -r%1%'#* "&r+&+re" %' Ch%'e"e2-+3%e4 !e#"'4#r4 "e& -! e5+%3.e'&

2-3 naval guns

Light machine guns

Communications equipmen

Observation platforms

P

Hs5A2IIN2AN 4FIERY CROSS6 REEF

P&e78($ an( PosP&e7DoC an( Post7DoC

PIER H



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AS OF MAY 078


($ Stan(o:!/!6

D-C (00)

otal &eclai'e( A&ea; A33r- 9:; Here"P&i'a&< 8uil(in=; A33r- ;< 7= "5. >--r #re# ? @2"&-reh%1h>e=etation; A33r- 70 &r-3%#* &ree"Po&t Facilit


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($ Stan(o:!/!6

D-C (00)

VEGETATION

otal &eclai'e( A&ea; A33r- 9:; Here"P&i'a&< 8uil(in=; A33r- ;< 7= "5. >--r #re# ? @2"&-reh%1h>e=etation; A33r- 70 &r-3%#* &ree"Po&t Facilit


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otal &eclai'e( A&ea; A33r- @:= Here"P&i'a&< 8uil(in=; A33r- ;< 7= "5. >--r #re# @2"&-reh%1h>e=etation; A33r- 700 &r-3%#* &ree"

D

8(4!

ORIGINALSTRUCTURE


AS OF MAY 078



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otal &eclai'e( A&ea; A33r- @:= Here"P&i'a&< 8uil(in=; A33r- ;< 7= "5. >--r #re# @2"&-reh%1h>e=etation; A33r- 700 &r-3%#* &ree"

D

8(4!


AS OF MAY 078

@ 2 STOREYBUILDING

ORIGINALSTRUCTURE

OCTAGONAL ANDRECTANGULARSTRUCTURES

GAVEN REEF


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GAVEN REEF

AS OF MAY 078

D

84!

ORIGINALSTRUCTURE

N

T-* re*#%.e4 Are# A33r- 9: Here"Pr%.#r B+%*4%'1 A33r- ;


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GAVEN REEF

AS OF MAY 078

D

84!

ORIGINALSTRUCTURE

N

GAVEN REEF


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GAVEN REEF

AS OF MAY 078

D

84!

N

@2STOREY BUILDING

CALDERON (CUARTERON)


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AS OF MAY 078

D

ORIGINALSTRUCTURE

T-* re*#%.e4 Are# A33r- 7Here"Pr%.#r B+%*4%'1 A33r- ;< 7= "5.

>--r #re# @2"&-re h%1hA,%#&%-' 7 he*%3#4P-r& F#%*%& 7 Je&&< 7Per.#'e'& P%er (#' &-

#&er &- # 702.e&er "h%3)

8(4!

CALDERON (CUARTERON)REEF AS OF MAY 078



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AS OF MAY 078

D



#&er &- # 702.e&er "h%3)

8(4!

ORIGINALSTRUCTURE

CALDERON (CUARTERON)REEF AS OF MAY 078



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AS OF MAY 078

D

8(4!

ORIGINALSTRUCTURE




#&er &- # 702.e&er "h%3)

PRE7FA8RICAEDRECAN23LAR7SHAPEDAND OCA2ONALSR3C3RES

AS OF MAY 078



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AS OF MAY 078

D

8(4!

ORIGINALSTRUCTURE




#&er &- # 702.e&er "h%3)

; 2 STOREYBUILDING

AS OF MAY 078

KAGITINGAN (FIERY CROSS)


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AS OF APRIL078


ORIGINALSTRUCTURE

D-C (00)

8($ Stan(o:4!/!6

otal Reclai'e( A&ea; AA@iation; App&o? !)/ai&st&ipPo&t Facilit


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AS OF 09 MAY078


ORIGINALSTRUCTURE

D-C (00)

8($ Stan(o:4!/!6

RECLAIMED AREA

PANGANIBAN (MISCHIEF) REEF


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PANGANIBAN (MISCHIEF) REEF

AS OF MAY 078

ORIGINALSTRUCTURE(S%&e )

otal Reclai'e( A&ea; App&o? #."Hecta&esPo&t Facilit< ; / 9ettN7China

INFORMATIONAL ACTIONSCHINA


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CHINA

South China Sea 4SCS6 as Chinas Co&e Inte&est

SANSHA CIY 4PRC (ecla&ation) 9ul< !/! 6

Re@isionist P&opa=an(a 4Ne /7line $ap) 9une/,6

Recla'ation P&oects as So@e&ei=n Ri=ht

7 De@elop'ents ithin ou& Bac


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Rapi( $ilita&< $o(e&ni*ation

7 PLA7Na@< Poe& P&oection; Ai&c&a%t Ca&&ie&GSuB'a&ine 8aseG South Sea Co''an(

A==&essi@e 'aneu@e&s at sea;

7 3SNS I'peccaBleG 3SS CospenG PLA7N J CC2C$S an(e' at WPS

7 White RoleG 2&a< Suppo&t St&ate=< 7 Sustaine( P&esence

8loca(e an( Ha&ass'ent o% PH &e7suppl< 'issions

De Facto Cont&ol o% 8ao (e $asinloc

Con(ucte( Ai&7E?e&cise at 8ashi Channel 7!/-

Fo&t&esses an( Runa


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China inte=&ate( its econo'< to Southeast Asia

ASEAN7China FA 4ACFA6

Chinas inc&e'ental (e@elop'ent ai( to the ASEANI'position o% econo'ic sanctions

7 i'poun(e( PH 8anana E?po&ts in $a< !/!6

"8illion China ASEAN Fun(

Chinas Ne Asian De@elop'ent 8an 4!/-6

7 Econo'ic J Secu&it< 8eneMts 4!8 loans6

Linin= o% econo'ic acti@ities to 'ilita&< pu&poses an( @

@e&sa

7 Fish ca=es in $ischie% Ree%

SO$E NE EFFECS


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SO$E NE EFFECS

Arms race in Asia

Power projection by China

Lack of ASEAN consensus on China threat

Increased tensions in ECS & SCS

Perceived lack of security guarantee from US

ASSESS$EN


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CHINESE F/V WITH GIANT CLAMS

OUR CHALLENGES AT SCS/WPS ARE COMPLEX:

Irregular, asymmetric, non-military in form

Combinations of multi-level approaches

Unrestricted, if translated to Chinas war strategy

The counter-strategy for such is not purely military. It

requires no less than a multi-agency, whole-of-nation, or

even a whole-of-region approach.

ASSESS$EN


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THE DEVELOPMENTS AT SCS/WPS:

Driven by Chinas broad and encompassing power strategy

For multi-purposes and ends (and military use, if necessary)

Grounded in Chinese belief of inviolable sovereignty and territ

claims

Irrespective of the DOC or COC or Phs arbitration case

The accelerated reclamation and construction of facilities inthe SCS/WPS are designed to serve as Chinas fait accompli.

i'plications %o& ph


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Dep&i@ation o% Li@elihoo(

En@i&on'ental De=&a(ation

Loss o% Ri=hts to $a&iti'e Resou&ces

Di'inution O% e&&ito&ial Inte=&it

Documents

UPDATE ON THE SOUTH CHINA SEA ISSUE - MAY 2015.pptx