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Unlocking Arctic Potential: Expanding
Our Global LNG Footprint to 2030Energy Affordability, Security & Sustainability
Mark Gyetvay, CFO & Deputy Chairman of the Management Board
CWC European Gas Webinar
17 June 2020
2
1.1 BLN BOE
Total proved
hydrocarbon addition
(SEC)
Fields and license
areas
NOVATEK at a Glance 2019
16.3 BLN BOE
Total proved hydrocarbon
reserves (SEC)
252%
Organic reserve
replacement rate
590 MLN BOE
Hydrocarbon
production
10.1 %
Share of natural gas
production in Russia
+8.6 %
Natural gas
production increase
12.1 MMT
Liquids production
65.7 BCM
Natural gas sales
in Russia
12.8 BCM
LNG sales
18.4 MMT
LNG offloaded from
Yamal LNG
16.4 MMT
Liquids sales
✔ Energy Affordability ✔ Energy Security ✔ Energy Sustainability
Significant Potential for Increased Gas
Consumption by Emerging Markets
✔ Energy Affordability ✔ Energy Security ✔ Energy Sustainability
3
Size of the circle depends on the population
Asia-
Pacific
Global LNG Demand – Stronger than Expected
Asia and Europe will account for 88% of incremental LNG demand
mmtpa
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040
Asia Pacific Europe Middle East North America South America Africa
Europe
>740
314
✔ Energy Affordability ✔ Energy Security ✔ Energy Sustainability
4
Source: NOVATEK’s interpretation of Wood Mackenzie data
5
LNG Demand Increase of around 10% YTD
Despite pandemic lockdowns the growth of LNG imports to China was 6% YOY
Increase Y-o-Y
Decrease Y-o-Y
Source: NOVATEK’s interpretation of IHS data
✔ Energy Affordability ✔ Energy Security ✔ Energy Sustainability
148
161
2.7
2.31.9
1.8
1.41.4
1.31.3 0.6 0.5
-1,3
Jan-May2019
S. Korea Turkey India UK China Other Spain Belgium Taiwan France Japan Jan-May2020
Import volumes increase/decrease in Jan-May 2020 vs 2019, mmt
6
Historical and expected global liquefaction
nominal capacity additions
115 capacity additions 110+ capacity additions
Source: NOVATEK’s interpretation of Wood Mackenzie data (includes only projects Operational and Under Construction)
✔ Energy Affordability ✔ Energy Security ✔ Energy Sustainability
17
32
27
39
28
11
5
13 11
2023
12
2
-1
-8-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
Asia Pacific Europe Middle East Africa North/South America
Delay of 200+ mmtpa projects due to lower prices and COVID-19 already in 2020
NOVATEK’s LNG Production Platform
✔ Energy Affordability ✔ Energy Security ✔ Energy Sustainability
7
TREKHBUGORNIY LA
BUKHARINSKIY LA
2027-30
2024-25
NOVATEK’s LNG Production Timeline
8
18.6mmt
19.6mmt
19.6mmt
26mmt
38mmt
44mmt
57-70mmt
9
LNG Logistical Scheme
9
Disclaimer – Forward Looking StatementMatters discussed in this presentation may constitute forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements include statements concerning plans, objectives, goals, strategies, future
events or performance, and underlying assumptions and other statements, which are other than statements of historical facts. The words "believe," "expect," "anticipate," "intends,"
"estimate," "forecast," "project," "will," "may," "should" and similar expressions identify forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements include statements regarding: strategies,
outlook and growth prospects; future plans and potential for future growth; liquidity, capital resources and capital expenditures; growth in demand for our products; economic outlook and
industry trends; developments of our markets; the impact of regulatory initiatives; and the strength of our competitors.
The forward-looking statements in this presentation are based upon various assumptions, many of which are based, in turn, upon further assumptions, including without limitation,
management's examination of historical operating trends, data contained in our records and other data available from third parties. Although we believe that these assumptions were
reasonable when made, these assumptions are inherently subject to significant uncertainties and contingencies which are difficult or impossible to predict and are beyond our control and
we may not achieve or accomplish these expectations, beliefs or projections. In addition, important factors that, in our view, could cause actual results to differ materially from those
discussed in the forward-looking statements include:
▪changes in the balance of oil and gas supply and demand in Russia, Europe, and Asia;
▪the effects of domestic and international oil and gas price volatility and changes in regulatory conditions, including prices and taxes;
▪the effects of competition in the domestic and export oil and gas markets;
▪our ability to successfully implement any of our business strategies;
▪the impact of our expansion on our revenue potential, cost basis and margins;
▪our ability to produce target volumes in the event, among other factors, of restrictions on the Company access to transportation infrastructure;
▪the effects of changes to our capital expenditure projections on the growth of our production;
▪inherent uncertainties in interpreting geophysical data;
▪commercial negotiations regarding oil and gas sales contracts;
▪changes to project schedules and estimated completion dates;
▪potentially lower production levels in the future than currently estimated by our management and/or independent petroleum reservoir engineers;
▪our ability to service our existing indebtedness;
▪our ability to fund our future operations and capital needs through borrowing or otherwise;
▪our success in identifying and managing risks to our businesses;
▪our ability to obtain necessary regulatory approvals for our businesses;
▪the effects of changes to the Russian legal framework concerning currently held and any newly acquired oil and gas production licenses;
▪changes in political, social, legal or economic conditions in Russia and the CIS;
▪the effects of, and changes in, the policies of the government of the Russian Federation, including the President and his administration, the Prime Minister, the Cabinet and the
Prosecutor General and his office;
▪the effects of international political events, including changes in the foreign countries’ and their governments’ policy towards the Russian Federation and Russian companies;
▪the effects of technological changes;
▪the effects of changes in accounting standards or practices; and
▪inflation, interest rate and exchange rate fluctuations.
This list of important factors is not exhaustive. When relying on forward-looking statements, you should carefully consider the foregoing factors and other uncertainties and events,
especially in light of the political, economic, social and legal environment in which we operate. Such forward-looking statements speak only as of the date on which they are made.
Accordingly, we do not undertake any obligation to update or revise any of them, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.
We do not make any representation, warranty or prediction that the results anticipated by such forward-looking statements will be achieved, and such forward-looking statements represent,
in each case, only one of many possible scenarios and should not be viewed as the most likely or standard scenario.
The information and opinions contained in this document are provided as at the date of this review and are subject to change without notice. In order to avoid inconsistency, any person who
made themselves acquainted with any information provided in this presentation shall rely on their own analysis of factors and figures that may be related to or may be linked with the facts,
phenomena or events described, and shall be guided by their own conclusions when making any decisions, including whether any investments are justified or not. By participating in this
presentation or by accepting any copy of this document, you agree to be bound by the foregoing limitations.