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UNIVERSITY OF CONNECTICUT UNIVERSITY OF CONNECTICUT Student Managed Fund Student Managed Fund December 3rd, 2004 December 3rd, 2004 Undergraduate Portfolio Undergraduate Portfolio Timur Braziler Jason Bliss Paul Dobrynin Gigi Gopalan Daniel Hey Ryan MacNeil Adam Poussard Nick Prastos Tanicka Ward Trevor Russo

UNIVERSITY OF CONNECTICUT Student Managed Fund December 3rd, 2004 Undergraduate Portfolio Timur BrazilerJason BlissPaul Dobrynin Gigi GopalanDaniel HeyRyan

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Page 1: UNIVERSITY OF CONNECTICUT Student Managed Fund December 3rd, 2004 Undergraduate Portfolio Timur BrazilerJason BlissPaul Dobrynin Gigi GopalanDaniel HeyRyan

UNIVERSITY OF UNIVERSITY OF CONNECTICUT Student CONNECTICUT Student

Managed FundManaged FundDecember 3rd, 2004December 3rd, 2004

Undergraduate PortfolioUndergraduate PortfolioTimur

BrazilerJason Bliss Paul

DobryninGigi Gopalan Daniel Hey Ryan

MacNeilAdam

PoussardNick Prastos

Tanicka Ward

Trevor Russo

Page 2: UNIVERSITY OF CONNECTICUT Student Managed Fund December 3rd, 2004 Undergraduate Portfolio Timur BrazilerJason BlissPaul Dobrynin Gigi GopalanDaniel HeyRyan

Mission

• To employ a systematic approach that consists of both quantitative and qualitative elements in order to identify companies to invest in

Page 3: UNIVERSITY OF CONNECTICUT Student Managed Fund December 3rd, 2004 Undergraduate Portfolio Timur BrazilerJason BlissPaul Dobrynin Gigi GopalanDaniel HeyRyan

Portfolio Objectives

• Outperform the S&P 500 index

• Develop a well-diversified portfolio within a fluctuating market environment

• Select holdings with low-medium risk

• Invest in companies with greater than 10% required rate of return over a 5-10 yr. period

Page 4: UNIVERSITY OF CONNECTICUT Student Managed Fund December 3rd, 2004 Undergraduate Portfolio Timur BrazilerJason BlissPaul Dobrynin Gigi GopalanDaniel HeyRyan

Current Status

• Starting funds = $382,960 (9/1/04)

• Current balance= $409,124.79 (12/2/04)

• Return to date: 6.83%

Page 5: UNIVERSITY OF CONNECTICUT Student Managed Fund December 3rd, 2004 Undergraduate Portfolio Timur BrazilerJason BlissPaul Dobrynin Gigi GopalanDaniel HeyRyan

S&P 500 vs. SMF

6.73% 6.83%

0123456789

10

S&P SMF

Page 6: UNIVERSITY OF CONNECTICUT Student Managed Fund December 3rd, 2004 Undergraduate Portfolio Timur BrazilerJason BlissPaul Dobrynin Gigi GopalanDaniel HeyRyan

Equity Allocation

LOW $22,132.00

6%

KCP$25,682.40

6%

KO $19,655.00

5%

AMGN $18,012.00

5%

MSFT $19,169.15

5%

VIA $26,677.50

7%

WMT $18,221.00

5%

CASH $31,410.10

7%

VFINX $217,083.22

54%

Page 7: UNIVERSITY OF CONNECTICUT Student Managed Fund December 3rd, 2004 Undergraduate Portfolio Timur BrazilerJason BlissPaul Dobrynin Gigi GopalanDaniel HeyRyan

Portfolio StatisticsTicker Date Quantity

Purchase Price

12/02 Close Change

Total Change

Current Value

KO 9/24 500 39.86 40.40 1.4 270.00 20,200.00

KCP 11/18 870 28.68 31.19* 8.8 2,183.70 27,135.30

AMGN 11/10 300 59.50 62.98 5.8 1044.00 18,894.00

LOW 11/01 400 56.50 57.72 2.2 488.00 23,088.00

VIA 10/04 750 35.80 37.03 3.4 922.5 27,772.50

MSFT 11/01 715 28.16 30.26* 7.5 1501.5 21,635.90

WMT 11/08 350 56.58 53.18 -6.0 -1190 18,613.00

VFINX 9/08 - 103.48 110.43 6.74 - 220,375.99

Cash - - - - - - 31,410.10

409,124.79*Include dividend yields to be realized.

Page 8: UNIVERSITY OF CONNECTICUT Student Managed Fund December 3rd, 2004 Undergraduate Portfolio Timur BrazilerJason BlissPaul Dobrynin Gigi GopalanDaniel HeyRyan

Portfolio Gains/LossesPercent Return

AMGN5.80%

KCP8.80%

KO1.4%

LOW2.20%

MSFT7.75%

VIA3.40%

WMT-6.00%

VFINX6.74%

.

Gai

ns/L

oss

Page 9: UNIVERSITY OF CONNECTICUT Student Managed Fund December 3rd, 2004 Undergraduate Portfolio Timur BrazilerJason BlissPaul Dobrynin Gigi GopalanDaniel HeyRyan

Procedures for Allocation

• Small team research efforts

• Selection of companies based on

potential growth and stability

• Screening of equities based on

qualitative and quantitative analysis

within the required objectives

Page 10: UNIVERSITY OF CONNECTICUT Student Managed Fund December 3rd, 2004 Undergraduate Portfolio Timur BrazilerJason BlissPaul Dobrynin Gigi GopalanDaniel HeyRyan

Quantitave Analysis

Monitor Portfolio

Investment Process: A Disciplined Bottom-Up Approach

Portfolio

Qualitative Analysis

Consensus

Company Analysis

Page 11: UNIVERSITY OF CONNECTICUT Student Managed Fund December 3rd, 2004 Undergraduate Portfolio Timur BrazilerJason BlissPaul Dobrynin Gigi GopalanDaniel HeyRyan

Equity Selection Criteria

• Perform a historical and current analysis of information disclosed in financial statements and analyst reports

• Financial Strength– Companies who generate excess cash– Companies who are repurchasing stock– Companies that operate with low debt

• Accounting Practices– Scrutinize accounting and reporting practices

• Probability of future projections

Page 12: UNIVERSITY OF CONNECTICUT Student Managed Fund December 3rd, 2004 Undergraduate Portfolio Timur BrazilerJason BlissPaul Dobrynin Gigi GopalanDaniel HeyRyan

EquityAnalysis

HistoricalInformation

Annual Reports

FutureProjections

FinancialStatements

Competition

EfficiencyRatio

AnalysisValue Analysis

Equity Analysis

Page 13: UNIVERSITY OF CONNECTICUT Student Managed Fund December 3rd, 2004 Undergraduate Portfolio Timur BrazilerJason BlissPaul Dobrynin Gigi GopalanDaniel HeyRyan

Management• Management objectives• Board of directors

– Invested interest

• Management• Capital Allocation Strategy

– Low debt

• Insider Trading• SEC Filings

Page 14: UNIVERSITY OF CONNECTICUT Student Managed Fund December 3rd, 2004 Undergraduate Portfolio Timur BrazilerJason BlissPaul Dobrynin Gigi GopalanDaniel HeyRyan

Financial Models• Value-line Model

– Estimate of FV of equity in 10 years, discounted using our required rate of return to find buy price

• Discounted Cash Flow Model– Growth is analyzed to determine today’s stock price based

on projected Cash Flows

• Earnings Yield Model– Measures yield power with earnings’ growth

Page 15: UNIVERSITY OF CONNECTICUT Student Managed Fund December 3rd, 2004 Undergraduate Portfolio Timur BrazilerJason BlissPaul Dobrynin Gigi GopalanDaniel HeyRyan

Monitor and Review

• Review– -10% , + 10%

• Stop loss– -15%

• Earning Announcements• Headline News• Market factors

Page 16: UNIVERSITY OF CONNECTICUT Student Managed Fund December 3rd, 2004 Undergraduate Portfolio Timur BrazilerJason BlissPaul Dobrynin Gigi GopalanDaniel HeyRyan

0

5

10

15

20

25S&PSMF

Industry allocation

Page 17: UNIVERSITY OF CONNECTICUT Student Managed Fund December 3rd, 2004 Undergraduate Portfolio Timur BrazilerJason BlissPaul Dobrynin Gigi GopalanDaniel HeyRyan

Looking Forward

• Diversify portfolio holdings

• Currently evaluating:– Nestle– Wrigley– Diageo– American Financial Realty

Page 18: UNIVERSITY OF CONNECTICUT Student Managed Fund December 3rd, 2004 Undergraduate Portfolio Timur BrazilerJason BlissPaul Dobrynin Gigi GopalanDaniel HeyRyan

Conclusion

• Stock Selection and Market Conditions

• Stability and confidence gained through extensive research and analysis

• Surpass the S & P 500

Page 19: UNIVERSITY OF CONNECTICUT Student Managed Fund December 3rd, 2004 Undergraduate Portfolio Timur BrazilerJason BlissPaul Dobrynin Gigi GopalanDaniel HeyRyan

Thank You

• The Steering Committee

• The Foundation

• The Advisory Board

• Faculty – Patrick Terrion– Chinmoy Ghosh

Page 20: UNIVERSITY OF CONNECTICUT Student Managed Fund December 3rd, 2004 Undergraduate Portfolio Timur BrazilerJason BlissPaul Dobrynin Gigi GopalanDaniel HeyRyan

QUESTIONS? &

COMMENTS?