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Approved by the World Agricultural Outlook Board/USDA
United States Department of Agriculture Foreign Agricultural Service July 2010
July 2010 Citrus Update Global Orange Production and Trade Drop Global production and trade which is estimated at 49.8 million metric ton (MMT) and 3.5 MMT, respectively are both down 5 percent from the January forecast. Production in Brazil declined 8 percent, from 17.8 MMT to 16.2 MMT, due to excessive rainfall during blossoming and fruit development. US orange trade is expected to continue to rise in response to strong demand from Canada and South Korea and larger exportable supplies. However, South African exports are expected to decline due to reduced exportable supplies and weaker demand from Russia and the Middle East. Global Orange Juice Production Unchanged Global production, at 2.2 MMT is unchanged from the January forecast. Even though less fruit is expected to be available for processing in Brazil production will be maintained as industrial yields are expected to be higher. Exports, estimated at 1.5 MMT, grew 4 percent with US trade holding steady and exports from Brazil expected to be up nearly 5 percent due to relatively stable world demand. Global Tangerine/Mandarin Trade Lower World production, forecast at 20.7 MMT, is unchanged. Trade, is estimated at 2.0 MMT, revised down 13 percent, with weaker demand from Indonesia, Malaysia, and Vietnam for Chinese product. For further information, please contact Reed Blauer at (202) 720-0898 or [email protected]
Citrus: World Markets and Trade
Brazil and the United StatesDominate 2009/10
Orange Juice Production
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
Brazil USA EU -27 Mexico Others
Mill
ion
Met
ric T
ons
(At 6
5 D
egre
es B
rix)
Brazil and the United StatesDominate 2009/10
Orange Juice Production
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
Brazil USA EU -27 Mexico Others
Mill
ion
Met
ric T
ons
(At 6
5 D
egre
es B
rix)
Oranges, Fresh: Production, Supply and Distribution in Selected Countries
(1,000 Metric Tons)
Country Mktg Year Production Imports Total Supply Exports Fresh Dom.
Consumption
For
Processing
Argentina
942 2385501542940 2007/08
901 1915701401900 2008/09
751 915501101750 2009/10
Australia
420 15016210817403 2007/08
446 13517713416430 2008/09
456 14118513016440 2009/10
Brazil
16,850 11,7915,01841016,850 2007/08
17,422 12,0365,36620017,422 2008/09
16,238 11,4654,75320016,238 2009/10
Canada
214 021402140 2007/08
177 017701770 2008/09
190 019001900 2009/10
China
5,512 2455,143124625,450 2007/08
6,066 1825,729155666,000 2008/09
6,430 2006,075155806,350 2009/10
Costa Rica
308 165140339269 2007/08
385 196183675310 2008/09
395 205185570325 2009/10
Egypt
2,759 501,85985002,759 2007/08
3,500 602,66677403,500 2008/09
3,570 702,70080003,570 2009/10
EU-27
7,532 1,5185,7722421,0406,492 2007/08
7,350 1,5955,5192368446,506 2008/09
7,002 1,4205,3422408006,202 2009/10
Guatemala
323 0323048275 2007/08
318 0318043275 2008/09
318 0318043275 2009/10
Hong Kong
177 0132451770 2007/08
176 0123531760 2008/09
190 0135551900 2009/10
Israel
125 4253300125 2007/08
155 5473280155 2008/09
160 6665290160 2009/10
Japan
108 01080999 2007/08
104 01040968 2008/09
101 01010956 2009/10
Korea, South
112 011201120 2007/08
71 0710710 2008/09
110 011001100 2009/10
Malaysia
98 09718612 2007/08
102 010119012 2008/09
92 09118012 2009/10
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
July 2010
Oranges, Fresh: Production, Supply and Distribution in Selected Countries (Continued)
(1,000 Metric Tons)
Country Mktg Year Production Imports Total Supply Exports Fresh Dom.
Consumption
For
Processing
Mexico
4,323 1,0003,29924264,297 2007/08
4,153 8003,33518134,140 2008/09
3,460 6752,76025103,450 2009/10
Morocco
732 64302960732 2007/08
790 64793050790 2008/09
815 66591500815 2009/10
Mozambique
64 06405014 2007/08
54 05404014 2008/09
54 05404014 2009/10
Norway
40 0400400 2007/08
38 0380380 2008/09
38 0380380 2009/10
Russia
518 0506125171 2007/08
437 043164361 2008/09
481 047564801 2009/10
Saudi Arabia
300 030003000 2007/08
290 029002900 2008/09
300 030003000 2009/10
Singapore
40 0364400 2007/08
42 0375420 2008/09
42 0375420 2009/10
South Africa
1,533 41215097171,526 2007/08
1,447 44413686721,445 2008/09
1,502 40215095021,500 2009/10
Switzerland
62 0620620 2007/08
61 0610610 2008/09
62 0620620 2009/10
Turkey
1,457 1001,202155301,427 2007/08
1,601 1001,245256411,560 2008/09
1,610 1001,310200301,580 2009/10
Ukraine
152 015201520 2007/08
118 011801180 2008/09
120 012001200 2009/10
United Arab Emirates
106 010601060 2007/08
132 013201320 2008/09
140 014001400 2009/10
United States
9,218 7,1991,406613779,141 2007/08
8,371 6,5801,297494908,281 2008/09
7,566 5,5851,331650757,491 2009/10
Vietnam
649 0649048601 2007/08
658 0658058600 2008/09
660 0660060600 2009/10
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
July 2010
Oranges, Fresh: Production, Supply and Distribution in Selected Countries (Continued)
(1,000 Metric Tons)
Country Mktg Year Production Imports Total Supply Exports Fresh Dom.
Consumption
For
Processing
Total Selected Orange Countries
54,674 22,91628,0853,6733,35151,323 2007/08
55,365 22,37929,4883,4983,01652,349 2008/09
52,853 20,42628,8963,5313,07449,779 2009/10
Split years refer to the harvest and marketing period, which corresponds roughly to
October-September in the Northern Hemisphere.
For the Southern Hemisphere, harvest occurs almost entirely during the second year shown and
the harvest and marketing period begins in the second year shown:
Argentina - January through December
South Africa - February through January
Australia - April through March
Brazil - July through June
Import and export totals may not equal due in part to reporting anomalies such as those listed
above.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
July 2010
Orange Juice: Production, Supply and Distribution in Selected Countries
(1,000 Metric Tons at 65 Degrees Brix)
Country Mktg Year Production Imports Total Supply Exports Domestic
Consumption
Ending
Stocks
Australia
43 14023012 2007/08
42 13923110 2008/09
45 14223311 2009/10
Brazil
1,481 172341,27501,315 2007/08
1,452 113341,30501,280 2008/09
1,443 88351,32001,330 2009/10
Canada
138 013441380 2007/08
112 010841120 2008/09
100 09731000 2009/10
China
79 126345118 2007/08
69 46054314 2008/09
64 05954416 2009/10
EU-27
909 1587915785114 2007/08
997 1597012880102 2008/09
948 1592112825108 2009/10
Israel
33 01617294 2007/08
32 01616275 2008/09
34 11617276 2009/10
Japan
86 10760690 2007/08
76 5710660 2008/09
70 5650650 2009/10
Korea, South
42 23902811 2007/08
33 2301237 2008/09
39 2351289 2009/10
Mexico
104 27961102 2007/08
83 2774180 2008/09
71 2762168 2009/10
Morocco
2 02021 2007/08
2 02011 2008/09
2 02011 2009/10
Russia
60 0600600 2007/08
44 0440440 2008/09
45 0450450 2009/10
South Africa
15 1410114 2007/08
21 1191020 2008/09
16 0016015 2009/10
Turkey
17 114179 2007/08
17 114179 2008/09
17 114179 2009/10
United States
1,392 46582998292830 2007/08
1,448 48887090228755 2008/09
1,369 44583886278603 2009/10
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
July 2010
Orange Juice: Production, Supply and Distribution in Selected Countries (Continued)
(1,000 Metric Tons at 65 Degrees Brix)
Country Mktg Year Production Imports Total Supply Exports Domestic
Consumption
Ending
Stocks
Total Orange Juice Countries
4,399 6812,1971,5211,4912,428 2007/08
4,426 6332,2831,5101,4622,284 2008/09
4,261 5602,1771,5241,4542,174 2009/10
One metric ton of 65 degrees brix equals 344.8 gallons at 42 degrees brix and 1,405.88 gallons
at single strength equivalent for 2006/2007 and earlier. For 2007/08 and after, one metric ton of
65 degrees brix equals 344.8 gallons at 42 degrees brix and 1,392.6 gallons at single strength
equivalent.
Split years refer to the harvest and marketing period, which corresponds roughly to
October-September in the Northern Hemisphere.
For the Southern Hemisphere, harvest occurs almost entirely during the second year shown and
the harvest and marketing period begins in the second year shown:
South Africa - February through January
Australia - April through March
Brazil - July through June
Import and export totals may not equal due in part to reporting anomalies such as those listed
above.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
July 2010
Tangerines/Mandarins, Fresh: Production, Supply and Distribution in Selected Countries
(1,000 Metric Tons)
Country Mktg Year Production Imports Total Supply Exports Fresh Dom.
Consumption
For
Processing
Argentina
410 105210950410 2007/08
400 971901130400 2008/09
300 501501000300 2009/10
Canada
117 011701170 2007/08
121 012101210 2008/09
130 013001300 2009/10
China
11,016 6809,8504861611,000 2007/08
12,661 55011,3717401112,650 2008/09
13,310 49012,1107101013,300 2009/10
EU-27
3,330 3082,7532693552,975 2007/08
3,535 2713,0062583753,160 2008/09
3,484 2602,9642604103,074 2009/10
Indonesia
104 010401040 2007/08
168 016801680 2008/09
180 018001800 2009/10
Israel
145 3065500145 2007/08
139 2658550139 2008/09
150 3055650150 2009/10
Japan
1,203 1331,0655101,193 2007/08
1,027 108916391,018 2008/09
1,111 1289803111,100 2009/10
Korea, South
746 13960340746 2007/08
593 8950310593 2008/09
700 11058730700 2009/10
Malaysia
88 0871880 2007/08
74 0740740 2008/09
72 0711720 2009/10
Morocco
471 01992720471 2007/08
532 02003320532 2008/09
585 02623230585 2009/10
Philippines
68 06804226 2007/08
75 07504926 2008/09
71 07104526 2009/10
Turkey
741 05172241740 2007/08
759 03773823756 2008/09
754 04243304750 2009/10
Russia
486 048424860 2007/08
520 051825200 2008/09
550 054915500 2009/10
South Africa
136 0241121135 2007/08
136 0211151135 2008/09
145 0201250145 2009/10
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
July 2010
Tangerines/Mandarins, Fresh: Production, Supply and Distribution in Selected Countries (Continued)
(1,000 Metric Tons)
Country Mktg Year Production Imports Total Supply Exports Fresh Dom.
Consumption
For
Processing
Ukraine
146 014601460 2007/08
113 011301130 2008/09
140 014001400 2009/10
United States
637 1794263297540 2007/08
580 11044129131449 2008/09
678 1554893495583 2009/10
Vietnam
134 013401340 2007/08
256 025602560 2008/09
220 022002200 2009/10
Total Selected Tangerine Countries
19,978 1,57416,8521,5521,59718,381 2007/08
21,689 1,25118,4082,0301,83119,858 2008/09
22,580 1,22319,4021,9551,86720,713 2009/10
Split years refer to the harvest and marketing period, which corresponds roughly to
October-September in the Northern Hemisphere and April-March in the Southern Hemisphere.
For the Southern Hemisphere, harvest occurs almost entirely during the second year shown.
Import and export totals may not equal due in part to reporting anomalies such as those listed
above.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
July 2010
Grapefruit, Fresh: Production, Supply and Distribution in Selected Countries
(1,000 Metric Tons)
Country Mktg Year Production Imports Total Supply Exports Fresh Dom.
Consumption
For
Processing
Argentina
242 11990332240 2007/08
239 13290172237 2008/09
202 10681152200 2009/10
Canada
51 0510510 2007/08
48 0480480 2008/09
45 0450450 2009/10
China
2,233 02,13210132,230 2007/08
2,526 02,42410262,520 2008/09
2,905 02,79011552,900 2009/10
EU-27
521 54952143091 2007/08
484 54582139985 2008/09
482 54572040082 2009/10
Hong Kong
12 0102120 2007/08
16 0124160 2008/09
14 0122140 2009/10
Israel
242 14417810242 2007/08
232 1425850232 2008/09
245 1596800245 2009/10
Japan
188 018801880 2007/08
180 018001800 2008/09
180 018001800 2009/10
Mexico
435 1003211410425 2007/08
404 1002931114390 2008/09
420 1003101010410 2009/10
Russia
95 0950950 2007/08
86 0860860 2008/09
110 011001100 2009/10
South Africa
344 14441964340 2007/08
379 16542109370 2008/09
354 15541959345 2009/10
Switzerland
8 08080 2007/08
8 08080 2008/09
8 08080 2009/10
Turkey
171 0381334167 2007/08
165 0371285160 2008/09
185 0401455180 2009/10
Ukraine
19 0190190 2007/08
18 0180180 2008/09
20 0200200 2009/10
United States
1,418 714434270141,404 2007/08
1,195 550398247121,183 2008/09
1,119 55032424591,110 2009/10
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
July 2010
Grapefruit, Fresh: Production, Supply and Distribution in Selected Countries (Continued)
(1,000 Metric Tons)
Country Mktg Year Production Imports Total Supply Exports Fresh Dom.
Consumption
For
Processing
Total Selected Grapefruit Countries
5,979 1,2263,9028518405,139 2007/08
5,980 1,0944,0618258035,177 2008/09
6,289 1,0754,3878278175,472 2009/10
Split years refer to the harvest and marketing period, which corresponds roughly to
October-September in the Northern Hemisphere and April-March in the Southern Hemisphere.
For the Southern Hemisphere, harvest occurs almost entirely during the second year shown.
Import and export totals may not equal due in part to reporting anomalies such as those listed
above.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
July 2010
Lemons and Limes, Fresh: Production, Supply and Distribution in Selected Countries
(1,000 Metric Tons)
Country Mktg Year Production Imports Total Supply Exports Fresh Dom.
Consumption
For
Processing
Argentina
1,360 9055540001,360 2007/08
1,405 1,1005525051,400 2008/09
1,007 7024526071,000 2009/10
Canada
58 0553580 2007/08
58 0535580 2008/09
58 0535580 2009/10
EU-27
1,654 1911,404595151,139 2007/08
1,667 3941,186874031,264 2008/09
1,558 2371,261604001,158 2009/10
Hong Kong
19 0154190 2007/08
27 0198270 2008/09
30 0228300 2009/10
Israel
35 3284035 2007/08
30 2253030 2008/09
55 4483055 2009/10
Japan
67 0670625 2007/08
57 0570525 2008/09
60 0600555 2009/10
Mexico
2,230 4001,33050012,229 2007/08
2,001 3201,22146012,000 2008/09
2,041 3271,24447012,040 2009/10
Morocco
15 0150015 2007/08
15 0150015 2008/09
15 0150015 2009/10
Russia
191 018651910 2007/08
203 019852030 2008/09
210 020552100 2009/10
Saudi Arabia
46 0460460 2007/08
125 012501250 2008/09
130 013001300 2009/10
South Africa
240 621216610230 2007/08
264 1101114350214 2008/09
305 1101518045260 2009/10
Turkey
656 124242204652 2007/08
683 303033503680 2008/09
681 402414001680 2009/10
Ukraine
55 0550550 2007/08
56 0560560 2008/09
55 0550550 2009/10
United Arab Emirates
51 0510510 2007/08
60 0600600 2008/09
65 0650650 2009/10
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
July 2010
Lemons and Limes, Fresh: Production, Supply and Distribution in Selected Countries (Continued)
(1,000 Metric Tons)
Country Mktg Year Production Imports Total Supply Exports Fresh Dom.
Consumption
For
Processing
United States
986 204625157424562 2007/08
1,225 36077293398827 2008/09
1,176 31077195400776 2009/10
Total Selected Lemon/Lime Countries
7,663 1,7774,3681,5181,4366,227 2007/08
7,876 2,3164,1561,4041,4416,435 2008/09
7,446 1,7304,2301,4861,4575,989 2009/10
Split years refer to the harvest and marketing period, which corresponds roughly to
October-September in the Northern Hemisphere and April-March in the Southern Hemisphere.
For the Southern Hemisphere, harvest occurs almost entirely during the second year shown. The
harvest of lemons often extends throughout the year.
Import and export totals may not equal due in part to reporting anomalies such as those listed
above.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis
July 2010