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12:00 P.M. United States Department of Agriculture National Agricultural Statistics Service May Crop Production Executive Summary Lance Honig, Chief Crops Branch May 10, 2018

United States Department of Agriculture National ... · Executive Summary Lance Honig, Chief Crops Branch May 10, 2018. USDA-NASS 5-10-18 ... Survey Type Farmer Reported Field Measurement

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Page 1: United States Department of Agriculture National ... · Executive Summary Lance Honig, Chief Crops Branch May 10, 2018. USDA-NASS 5-10-18 ... Survey Type Farmer Reported Field Measurement

12:00 P.M.

United States Department of Agriculture

National Agricultural Statistics Service

May Crop ProductionExecutive Summary

Lance Honig, Chief

Crops Branch

May 10, 2018

Page 2: United States Department of Agriculture National ... · Executive Summary Lance Honig, Chief Crops Branch May 10, 2018. USDA-NASS 5-10-18 ... Survey Type Farmer Reported Field Measurement

USDA-NASS

5-10-18

Field Crops Fruit & Nuts

Winter Wheat Citrus

Hay Stocks Peaches (CA)

Cotton Almonds (CA)

Spring Potatoes

Contents

Page 3: United States Department of Agriculture National ... · Executive Summary Lance Honig, Chief Crops Branch May 10, 2018. USDA-NASS 5-10-18 ... Survey Type Farmer Reported Field Measurement

USDA-NASS

5-10-18

Ag Yield Objective Yield

Survey Type Farmer Reported Field Measurement

Crops Included Winter and Durum Wheat,

Hay Stocks

Winter Wheat

States All except AK and HI KS, OK, TX

Sample Size 11,648 355

Collection Period Apr 28-May 7 Apr 24-May 1

Survey Overview

Page 4: United States Department of Agriculture National ... · Executive Summary Lance Honig, Chief Crops Branch May 10, 2018. USDA-NASS 5-10-18 ... Survey Type Farmer Reported Field Measurement

USDA-NASS

5-10-18

Page 5: United States Department of Agriculture National ... · Executive Summary Lance Honig, Chief Crops Branch May 10, 2018. USDA-NASS 5-10-18 ... Survey Type Farmer Reported Field Measurement

USDA-NASS

5-10-18

Page 6: United States Department of Agriculture National ... · Executive Summary Lance Honig, Chief Crops Branch May 10, 2018. USDA-NASS 5-10-18 ... Survey Type Farmer Reported Field Measurement

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit May Previous Previous

2018 Forecast Season

Wheat, Winter

Harvested Mil Ac 24.8 NA -2.1

Yield Bu/Ac 48.1 NA -4.2

Production Bil Bu 1.19 NA -6.1

USDA-NASS

5-10-18

May 2018 Crop Production

Page 7: United States Department of Agriculture National ... · Executive Summary Lance Honig, Chief Crops Branch May 10, 2018. USDA-NASS 5-10-18 ... Survey Type Farmer Reported Field Measurement

32.7

24.8

20.0

25.0

30.0

35.0

40.0

45.0

50.0

55.0

1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018

Million AcresWinter Wheat Acres

United States

Planted Harvested

USDA-NASS

5-10-18

Page 8: United States Department of Agriculture National ... · Executive Summary Lance Honig, Chief Crops Branch May 10, 2018. USDA-NASS 5-10-18 ... Survey Type Farmer Reported Field Measurement

USDA-NASS

5-10-18

Page 9: United States Department of Agriculture National ... · Executive Summary Lance Honig, Chief Crops Branch May 10, 2018. USDA-NASS 5-10-18 ... Survey Type Farmer Reported Field Measurement

48.1

30.0

35.0

40.0

45.0

50.0

55.0

60.0

1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018

Bushels per AcreWinter Wheat Yield

United States

Yield Linear (Yield)

USDA-NASS

5-10-18

Page 10: United States Department of Agriculture National ... · Executive Summary Lance Honig, Chief Crops Branch May 10, 2018. USDA-NASS 5-10-18 ... Survey Type Farmer Reported Field Measurement

USDA-NASS

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Page 11: United States Department of Agriculture National ... · Executive Summary Lance Honig, Chief Crops Branch May 10, 2018. USDA-NASS 5-10-18 ... Survey Type Farmer Reported Field Measurement

1.88

1.69

1.56

1.35

1.14

1.72

1.50 1.50

1.29

1.50

1.89

1.52

1.451.49

1.63

1.54

1.38 1.37

1.67

1.27

1.19

0.00

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

1.20

1.40

1.60

1.80

2.00

1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018

Billion BushelsWinter Wheat Production

United States

USDA-NASS

5-10-18

Page 12: United States Department of Agriculture National ... · Executive Summary Lance Honig, Chief Crops Branch May 10, 2018. USDA-NASS 5-10-18 ... Survey Type Farmer Reported Field Measurement

USDA-NASS

5-10-18

May 2018 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit May Previous Previous

2018 Estimate Season

All Hay

Stocks Mil Tons 15.7 NA -35.8

Page 13: United States Department of Agriculture National ... · Executive Summary Lance Honig, Chief Crops Branch May 10, 2018. USDA-NASS 5-10-18 ... Survey Type Farmer Reported Field Measurement

USDA-NASS

5-10-18

Page 14: United States Department of Agriculture National ... · Executive Summary Lance Honig, Chief Crops Branch May 10, 2018. USDA-NASS 5-10-18 ... Survey Type Farmer Reported Field Measurement

USDA-NASS

5-10-18

May 2018 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit May Previous Previous

2018 Forecast Season

Production

Oranges Mil Tons 3.89 -0.1 -23.5

Grapefruit Thou Tons 556 -0.4 -20.3

Tangerines &

MandarinsThou Tons 876 -0.1 -15.2

Page 15: United States Department of Agriculture National ... · Executive Summary Lance Honig, Chief Crops Branch May 10, 2018. USDA-NASS 5-10-18 ... Survey Type Farmer Reported Field Measurement

USDA-NASS

5-10-18

May 2018 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit May Previous Previous

2018 Forecast Season

Production

Spring Potatoes Mil Cwt 17.6 NA -11.3

Almonds (CA) Bil Lbs 2.30 NA +1.3

Peaches (CA) Thou Tons 495 NA -14.7

Page 16: United States Department of Agriculture National ... · Executive Summary Lance Honig, Chief Crops Branch May 10, 2018. USDA-NASS 5-10-18 ... Survey Type Farmer Reported Field Measurement

USDA-NASS

5-10-18

May 2018 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit Final Previous Previous

2017 Estimate Season

All Cotton

Planted Mil Ac 12.6 +<0.1 +25.2

Harvested Mil Ac 11.1 -2.2 +16.8

Yield Lb/Ac 905 +0.7 +4.4

Production Mil Bls 20.9 -1.6 +21.9

Cottonseed

Production Mil Tons 6.42 -4.5 +19.6

Page 17: United States Department of Agriculture National ... · Executive Summary Lance Honig, Chief Crops Branch May 10, 2018. USDA-NASS 5-10-18 ... Survey Type Farmer Reported Field Measurement

USDA-NASS

5-10-18

Page 18: United States Department of Agriculture National ... · Executive Summary Lance Honig, Chief Crops Branch May 10, 2018. USDA-NASS 5-10-18 ... Survey Type Farmer Reported Field Measurement

USDA-NASS

5-10-18

Release Date Report Title

May 10 Cotton County Estimates

May 25 Cattle on Feed

May 30 Agricultural Prices

June 1 CAIR: Cotton, Fats & Oil, and Grain Crushings

June 12 Crop Production

June 28 Hogs and Pigs

June 29

Acreage

Grain Stocks

Rice Stocks

Upcoming Reports

Page 19: United States Department of Agriculture National ... · Executive Summary Lance Honig, Chief Crops Branch May 10, 2018. USDA-NASS 5-10-18 ... Survey Type Farmer Reported Field Measurement

USDA-NASS

5-10-18

Page 20: United States Department of Agriculture National ... · Executive Summary Lance Honig, Chief Crops Branch May 10, 2018. USDA-NASS 5-10-18 ... Survey Type Farmer Reported Field Measurement

USDA-NASS

5-10-18

Page 21: United States Department of Agriculture National ... · Executive Summary Lance Honig, Chief Crops Branch May 10, 2018. USDA-NASS 5-10-18 ... Survey Type Farmer Reported Field Measurement

United States Department of Agriculture

National Agricultural Statistics Service

All Reports Available Atwww.nass.usda.gov

For Questions202-720-2127

800-727-9540

[email protected]