Unit 6 Business Decision Making Ultim Paul

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Unit 6 Business Decision Making Ultim Paul

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TASK1

Introduction

The purpose of this research is to know whether the chosen location of the second restaurant is good and if people in the area are interested in such a restaurant. The objectives for my research are to gather primary information for the research through survey with the help of a questionnaire, secondary information via publications, internet research, friends or family, etc.Newly opened in 2012 Mosfilo is situated in the busy restaurant row of Hatch End, Middlesex. "Our beautiful surroundings and authentic cuisine have already been enjoyed by many customers. Our popular Meze dishes, Greek themed ambiance and stunning decor cannot be missed." ( www.mosfilo.co.uk/aboutus.html). Mosfilo intend to extend by opening a second restaurant in a suitable area in London.

1.1 Primary and secondary data collection There are two main methods of collecting information:Primary data - the information is obtained directly from the field and are collected from: customers - consumers or users, suppliers, business partners, intermediaries, distributors, financial institutions, competitors, opinion leaders, etc.The advantages and disadvantages of primary sources of data:Advantages- Adequacy: in accordance with the purposes of research- Topicality: reflect reality- Confidentiality- Rigor: are produced by a professional staff using a scientific methodology- Uniqueness.

Disadvantages

- Time-consuming- Relatively high cost- Subjectivism: induced by staff involved and the behaviour of individuals from which collects information

Ways (methods) to obtain information from primary sources:

- Direct discussions with customers, retailers, opinion leaders - informal data - Meetings (type brainstorming, focus group): from which we obtain qualitative information

- Observation- Experiment - SimulationPlaces of collecting primary data may be: at home, in stores, on the street, exhibitions, special places, etc.

Secondary data is information obtained from other researches than the research in question (which are collected in a previous research).Advantages and disadvantages of secondary sources of data:Advantages- Cost and time to obtain - is low, are getting less expensive to primary sources of data

- AvailabilityDisadvantages- Accuracy of information- Relevant information- Information age.

Secondary sources of information are divided into two categories: internal and external sources:

Internal sources of information are:

- The accounting records of the company- Customer database

- Marketing information system

- Reports sales- Studies and previous research conducted by the company,

- Reports of internal experts

External sources of information:

- Publications of national statistical authority

- Government statistical publications

- Publications of organizations

- Academic publications and universities

- Reports of research institutes

- Database

- Media

Depending on the collection and its nature, research can be:- Quantitative - allows to obtain quantitative results (statistical) using a number of techniques: survey based questionnaire, etc.

- Quality - enables the identification of attitudes, perceptions and motivations of consumers, providing precise explanations of behaviour and decisions taken by them (the results are not directly measurable in terms of statistical). Choosing a location in London for the opening of the second restaurant is a very important decision to make. A marketing research should be done before choosing a suitable location. The right location should be in a crowded area with many people and with a standard of live above average. So it is vital to have information about the people who live there. I could research the internet about the best locations that match my interests then contact the agency that deals with finding of the commercial spaces. Also another source of information may be friends or family. I can ask about the locations that they know and they could recommend me something . I chose as location Pinner, because I think it is a perfect place for the opening of the second restaurant. Pinner is considered to be the wealthy side of the London Borough of Harrow, with wide tree-lined streets, large houses and flat conversions in attractive Edwardian buildings. Pinner also boasts the lowest crime rate of the whole of London, and the single-sex schools have a prestigious reputation, making it a popular area for affluent families. ("Pinner Guide". AllInLondon.co.uk. Retrieved 14 March 2012.)1.2 Survey methodology and sampling frame used

Once the location is chosen I will propose a questionnaire to know if people in the area are looking for the existence of such a restaurant.Questionnaire - it is the basic tool used in marketing research to collect primary data (statistical data, subject to further analysis). This is a written document (on computer), consisting of a set of questions open and / or closed (with single or multiple choice, tables, scales etc.) to which interviewees will respond according to their own opinion.

Questionnaire design requires much experience and caution, drafting the most difficult task during the survey.

Before drafting the questionnaire, identifying surveyed sample is essential. As shown in formulating the research topic, the population studied is composed of local Pinner residents. In this market research I'll use people over 30 years as sample. For financial reasons we reduced the sample to a total of 30 people.

I intend to present a questionnaire that gives the respondents a greater comfort, which can lead to getting information much easier:- from general to particular: so that the respondent can familiarize themselves with the subject debated the questionnaire,

- from easy to difficult: to not scare respondent, some considering themselves unable to give complex answers,- from the real to the abstract: not recommended to start discussing hypothetical situations which could lead to cessation of completing the questionnaire,- starting with closed questions: open questions have the disadvantage that it may discourage respondent because it is obligated to make one response,

- commencement of the relevant research questions, such as by placing important questions at the beginning of the questionnaire, we ensure that we have all necessary information.

2.1, 2.2 Measures of central tendency and results analyse The analysis of NUMERICAL (QUANTITATIVE) DATA is represented in mathematical terms.

The most common statistical terms include:

Measures of central tendency: Mean ,Median, Mode

Standard deviation

Frequency distribution

Q5Q7.AQ7.BQ7.CQ7.DQ 8Q 9Q 12

Mean24.66666672.72.11.833331.966674.166666674.03333333342

Median2532224438.5

Mode2533125431

Question 5. The average and most of the interviewed people will usually be prepared to spend around 25 when dine out. This means that people from this area are not price oriented but rather quality oriented the amount of money spent being above other areas when dine out. The restaurant should focus on delivering quality food to it's customers. Q 7. Most of the people in this area will chose a restaurant for it's authenticity in food range. Our Greek restaurant have specific food that are not commonly meet in other restaurants. Also the food taste and quality is widely admitted as being one of the best in the world. Live music of an restaurant also plays an important role in choosing a restaurant. Consider local's taste for uniqueness and the uniqueness of beautiful Greek music I consider that the authenticity of music will be a great advantage, customers will feel for a while that they are in Greece. Playground for children and promotion are not playing a very important role in choosing a restaurant but still it will be an advantages against other if they have this facilities and promotions

Q 8. Most of the locals are very happy with a Greek restaurant in Pinner. This shows that the locals are open to new experiences and it is encouraging for our business. Q 9. Most of the locals consider Greek food as almost one of the best in the world. So the Greek food has an important place in attracting the customers, but our restaurant must reach the local's high standards in order of not disappointing their customers.Q 12. In this case there is not a big difference between the mean (42.033) and mode (31) that usually means that there aren't lots of big and lots of small values. So in our case we will consider the median (38.5) as the average age value. The restaurant should mainly focus on two categories of customers: customers around the age of 30 and older customers 50+.

2.3 Measures of Dispersion Measures of dispersion tell us about variability in the data. We use:

Range Standard Deviation Variance Q 5. The standard deviation of the price paid when dine out is 8.9. Taking into account the mean value we can conclude that most of the people are willing to pay around 15.5 to 33.5. The range value(35) isn't very conclusive for the price analysed data because the dispensation of data is unequal (there is just one big value 45 which alter the results). Variance is high ( 79.19 ), which show as that the people interviewed are willing to pay different amount of many.Q5Q7.AQ7.BQ7.CQ7.DQ 8Q 9Q 12

STDEV8.899179870.5350.803010.833910.764890.874281310.96430547912.13430588

Range3522223449

Sample variation79.19540230.28620.644830.672220.585060.764367820.929885057147.2413793

2.4 Quartiles, Percentiles and Correlation coefficientQuartiles/ Percentiles are used together with median for asymmetrical value and together with media for compeering an individual value with a set of norms.Correlation coefficient between question 5 and question 12 is -0.3544541. If the correlation coefficient is closer to 0 than -1 or 1 it means that there is no correlation between the two compared data. So the amount of money spent is not correlated with the age. There is still a slightly incline to -1, that it may say that the older the person the less money he will spent, however the result is not too relevant so it is better not to draw any conclusion yet.Q5Q7.AQ7.BQ7.CQ7.DQ 8Q 9Q 12

Minimum Value1011111129

First Quartile16.252.251.25114432.25

Median Value2532224438.5

Third Quartile30332.752.755545.75

Maximum Value4533335578

Percentiles2032124434

Correlation coefficient between Q5 & Q12

3.1 Graphs using spreadsheets Q 1. The first question is a general question asked to check how often the locals eat at restaurant. The data collected showed that 37% of the people prefer to go out several times a week, 10% prefer to go out several times a month, 6% prefer every day and only 3% several times a year. I think that in this case the locals have already formed the habit of eating out. Taking into account the competition, the Greek restaurant must give authentic Greek food and high quality service to attract clients.

Q 2. Many people in this area prefer to go to the restaurant in weekends (70%). Greek restaurant should be focused on weekends with special menus, live music, offers, etc.

Q 3 The data collected showed that locals still prefer English food, this means that we must incite them in order to be able to change their habits. When customers go out for a meal, they want to get exactly what they ordered, completed with great service. But they also want their meal as soon as possible. This means that our Greek restaurant must be focused on fast and great service in order to compete with traditional English restaurants.

Q 4 The people who took part in the survey prefer to go to the restaurant for dinner, it is the most important meal for them. A variety of dishes at a fair price will attract them and maintain the customers.

Q 6. From the obtained data I can conclude that the respondents prefer to go to the restaurant with family, friends or colleagues. In this case, the Greek restaurant must create something more than just a dining room away from home. They must consider factors such as music, lighting, artwork and spacing combine to create comfort, intimacy and even romance.

Q 11. The question was asked to determine the ratio of gender of 30 people who had been part of this survey. The result showed out that of a population of 30 the ratio of men: women were 1:1.

Q 13. The 13 questions was asked to gather information about respondents status. Most of them are Employed - Contractor 19% that shows that they are looking for a quiet place, comfort and impeccable services.

The analysis of QUANTITATIVE DATA:

Q 10. This question is one of the most important because it generates qualitative data and it showed as well if the locals know about Greek food. They would like to have in main menu HTIPITI, TZATZIKI, GREEK FLATBREAD, TONIAS PRAWNS WITH FETA, GREEK SALAD, PORK BELLY, SOUVLAKI. This are very important information and our Greek restaurant will ensure that all those mentioned will be found in the menu.

3.2 Trend lines in spreadsheet The graphic of correlation coefficient between money spent and how much live music is preferred shows that people who spent more money in a restaurant prefers live music. This means that the cost of having live music in our restaurant will be cover because it will attract the customers which spends more money and it will also create a good name for our restaurant.

3.3 Presentation

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3.4 Report

Introduction

This report was elaborated to make important decisions about Mosfilo restaurant, namely the opening of the second restaurant in another location in London. This decision will not be taken, before making a full marketing research.

Methods and Findings We collected both secondary and primary data. Secondary data were obtained from sources like: census, published materials, computerized databases, trade, business and professional association. After analyzing secondary data we obtained very important information about Pinner and people who live here. Pinner is a crowded area, whit a high standard of living, with an average age of 42 which explains the large number of families. All these things listed above, shows that, Pinner can be a perfect location for our restaurant, but one of the drawbacks is that a large number of persons living there are born in England. We all know that they are the biggest fans of their food but this habit can be change. The source of our primary data is the population sample from which we collected the data. We collect the data from our sample population through questionnaire and observing. After analyzed the primary data we obtained vital information like: the interviewees will chose a restaurant for its authentic food, live music of a restaurant plays an important role, most of this people prefer to go to the restaurant in weekends, they prefer to go to the restaurant for dinner with family , friends or colleagues. They would like to have in main menu traditional Greek good like: HTIPITI, TZATZIKI, GREEK FLATBREAD, TONIAS PRAWNS WITH FETA, GREEK SALAD, PORK BELLY, SOUVLAKI. With all this information obtained from marketing research, Mosfilo restaurant, knows what to focus on.Conclusion

If the problem is known then it is easier to look appropriate solutions.

We come up with some ideas that could help to minimize the problem or remove it permanently through implementing a promotion strategy: happy hour, buy one get one free, shows, fundraising, etc. With all of it we conclude that, the Mosfilo restaurant have a great chance to succeed and the risk is minimize by acting in accordance with what they promised and with our help.

4.1 Management Informational Systems

Strategic management- establish long term businesses goals, through:

defining strategy, defining and determining organizational objectives.

Tactical management- achieving medium term objectives: turning strategies into operational systems, defining the criteria and services promoted by the company; processing indicators systems on how to implement the strategy; creating an operational structures in relation with the services identified and undertaken.

Operational management- ensuring optimal functional based on daily operations: comparing the quality of services provided with the services promised; checking and controlling the processes; monitoring the service providers; using information received from users and preparing a performance analysis; implementation of corrective action processes.

Some of the most important management tools implemented at operational, tactical and strategy level are:

1. MIS ( Management Informational System ) - takes the data from TPS ( Transaction Processing Systems ) and resume it into a series of reports, used by managers and many business professionals.

2. DSS ( Decision Support Systems ) - DSS collect important information with the help of tools/techniques/ analyze the options and alternatives

3. KMS ( Knowledge Management Systems ) - used to create and share information, for example: knowledge might be in Power Point, Spreadsheets, Word documents or internet, and for share (KMS) Knowledge Management Systems would use internet.

4. ( TPS )Transactions Processing Systems - for example: invoices using Billing Systems, Systems that calculate payroll/ tax payments.4.2 Activity and Critical path

B C

5 7

A D E

3 10 2

BB CC

3 5

ActivityDuration

( days)ESTLFTFree FloatTotal Float

A. Design a questionnaire30300

B. You get people to complete the questionnaire53800

BB. Collect Secondary data33822

C. Analyze primary data781500

CC. Analyze Secondary data581522

D. Prepare Report10152500

E. Conclusion2252700

Activity A is critical any delay will hold up the project

Activity B is critical, Activity BB can be delayed 2 weeks without delaying Activity B and the whole project

Activity C is critical, Activity CC can be delayed 2 weeks without delaying Activity C and the whole project

Activity D and Activity E are critical, any delay will hold up the project

4.3 Investment appraisal

Evaluation of capital investment project and their impact on financial results of the company is a necessity. The techniques used in determining the viability of projects take into account 3 variables: liquidity, the time factor and risk.

Types of investment appraisal: Payback Period, (ARR) Accounting Rate of Return, (IRR) Internal Rate of Return, Profitability Index, Net Present Value (discounted cash flow).

Payback Period- this period represents the number of years to recover the money. The main characteristics of this method are: advantage- easy to apply, indicates the level of risk that it involves each project, disadvantages- it doesn't differentiate projects by profit rate, it doesn't show profit arising after the recovery period, very abstract character.

Total cost estimates (1st years ) 198.000

Total benefit estimates 134.000/ year

Payback time: 198.000/ 134.000~ 1,47 that means 17 months Payback Period.

Conclusion

Our final conclusion is that the chance of success for Mosfilo restaurant are considerably. But success is more than just to stand as a restaurant and more than serve quality food and perfect services. For succeeding Mosfito restaurant should be made known through effective promotion strategies implementation. Social media websites like Google, Facebook, Twitter is a way to promote your restaurant in a more relaxed environment. Encourage your clients to give you great reviews on top review sites, such as WhereTheLocalsEat.com, Yellp.com, etc. With all of this Mosfilo restaurant will influence, reputation and relationship with the local community which is the way in succeeding.

Reference

www.mosfilo.co.uk/aboutus.html

Pinner Guide.AllinLondon.co.uk.Retrieved 14 March 2012

The Business Environment by Ian Worthington and Chris Britt on. Ion Worthington and Chris Britt on, 2009

Corporate Finance by Denzil Watson and Antony Head. Person Education Limited, 2010

Management Accounting for Decision Makers by Peter Atrill and Eddie McLaney, 2005

Management: An Introduction by David Body. Pearson Education Limited, 2002

Essential Business Statistics by Joanne Emailed and Angela McGrane. Person Education Limited, 2000

Research Methods for Business Students by Mark Saunders, Philip Lewis and Adrian Thornhill. Person Education Limited, 2007

Business Study Guide by Person Education Limited, 2011.

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