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Unit 1University of Sunderland COMM80 Risk Assessment of Systems Change
Risk Aspects and Context Risk Aspects and Context Covered in the ModuleCovered in the Module
COMM80: Risk Assessment of Systems Change
Unit 1
Unit 1University of Sunderland COMM80 Risk Assessment of Systems Change
Objectives of Objectives of Session CoverageSession Coverage
• To provide a matrix of the coverage intended.
• To outline the manner in which the topics of the module are covered.
Unit 1University of Sunderland COMM80 Risk Assessment of Systems Change
Matrix: Coverage in Matrix: Coverage in the modulethe module
Risk Perspective
Risk Lifecycle
Generic (A) Finance (B) Personnel (C) Business Fit (D) Infrastructure (E) SystemsIntegration
(F) SystemsDevelopment
IdentifyBrainstorming,interviewing,existing lists
Generic SSM,RAMESES
questionnaires
RAMESES Generic SERUM, Goals/requirements stuff,
RAMESES
TBQ,RAMESESspecification
Analyse Prioritisation,ranking
DCF, WeightedDecision, Cost
Benefit Analysis
SSM, CATWOE RAMESES
Decision point foraccepting risks
DCF, WD, CBAbased decision
making,RAMESES RiskGauges (partial)
Root Definition, RAMESES RiskGauges
Evolutionarydevelopment
approach
Plan mitigation Examples
Plan contingencies Examples
Track
ControlCharacteristics Financial
modellingAbility to
adapt/change,training,
recruitment issues
Map of system tobps, explicit
understanding ofbusiness
requirement
Examplese offeasibility ofsystem beingbased on the
existinginfrastructure:
network, o/s etc
Requirements tohave different
systemscommunicate,
Issues of data, etc
Availability ofdevelopment
team,development
approach used and“riskiness” of that.
Requirementsspecification,
Techniques DCF, WeightedDecision, Cost
Benefit Analysis
RAG,Goal/stakeholders,
GQM, …
TBQ,
Methods Riskit, Simulate RAMESES, SSM RAMESES RISKIT? SERUM SEI-SRE, RISKIT
Unit 1University of Sunderland COMM80 Risk Assessment of Systems Change
Unit 2:Unit 2:
Risk Perspective
Risk Lifecycle
Generic (A) Finance (B) Personnel (C) Business Fit (D) Infrastructure (E) SystemsIntegration
(F) SystemsDevelopment
• Systems Change and its attendant risks can be considered from a range of perspectives. Those we consider are:– (A) Finance– (B) Personnel– (C) Business Fit– (D) Infrastructure– (E) Systems Integration– (F) Systems Development
• Tutorial: Group activities focusing on systems change.
Introduce Systems Change and Its Perspectives.Introduce Systems Change and Its Perspectives.
Unit 1University of Sunderland COMM80 Risk Assessment of Systems Change
Unit 3:Unit 3:
• Risks.– Definition of risk– Facets of risk that need to be
considered – Generic Risk Life cycle
• Tutorial: student analysis of documented risks.
Introduction to Risk.Introduction to Risk.
Risk LifecycleIdentifyAnalyseDecision Point for accepting risksPlan MitigationPlan ContingenciesTrack Control
Unit 1University of Sunderland COMM80 Risk Assessment of Systems Change
Unit 4:Unit 4:
• Focus is initially on generic techniques for risk identification.
• Then introduce some specific techniques that fit well with particular perspectives– e,g, rich pictures, SEI’s TBQ.
• Tutorial: student practice on case study
Risk Perspective
Risk Lifecycle
Generic (A) Finance (B) Personnel (C) Business Fit (D) Infrastructure (E) SystemsIntegration
(F) SystemsDevelopment
IdentifyBrainstorming,interviewing,existing lists
Generic SSM,RAMESES
questionnaires
RAMESES Generic SERUM, Goals/requirements stuff,
RAMESES
TBQ,RAMESESspecification
Risk identification: generic techniques and perspectives.
Unit 1University of Sunderland COMM80 Risk Assessment of Systems Change
Unit 5:Unit 5:
• Continued focus on specific techniques and perspectives.– (Where do these fit in
a method)• Tutorial: student
practice on case study.
Risk Perspective
Risk Lifecycle
(B) Personnel
Identify SSM,RAMESES
questionnairesCharacteristics Ability to
adapt/change,training,
recruitment issuesMethods RAMESES, SSM
Risk identification
Unit 1University of Sunderland COMM80 Risk Assessment of Systems Change
Unit 6:Unit 6:
• Reasons why so important • Standard techniques: e.g. prioritisation, ranking.• Specific techniques: e.g. Discount Cash Flow, SSM’s
rich pictures• Tutorial: student presentation of “group activity” for
assignment 1.
Risk Perspective
Risk Lifecycle
Generic (A) Finance (B) Personnel (C) Business Fit (D) Infrastructure (E) SystemsIntegration
(F) SystemsDevelopment
IdentifyBrainstorming,interviewing,existing lists
Generic SSM,RAMESES
questionnaires
RAMESES Generic SERUM, Goals/requirements stuff,
RAMESES
TBQ,RAMESESspecification
Analyse Prioritisation,ranking.AHP, …
DCF, WeightedDecision, Cost
Benefit Analysis
SSM, CATWOE RAMESES
Methods Riskit, Simulate RAMESES, SSM RAMESES RISKIT? SERUM SEI-SRE, RISKIT
Risk assessment: generic concept
Unit 1University of Sunderland COMM80 Risk Assessment of Systems Change
Unit 7:Unit 7:
• Focus on Riskit Analysis Graph and relevant perspectives– (Where RAG fits in RISKIT)– Perspective: Infrastructure examples.
• Tutorial: student practice on case study.
Risk Perspective Risk Lifecycle
(D) Infrastructure
Analyse Characteristics Examples for feasibility of system being based on
the existing infrastructure: network, o/s etc
Techniques RAG, Goal/stakeholders, GQM, … Methods RISKIT suitable
Risk assessment: Riskit Analysis Graph
Unit 1University of Sunderland COMM80 Risk Assessment of Systems Change
Unit 8:Unit 8:
• Financial perspective • Introduce the idea of
comparative analysis:– what-if scenarios of DCF,
– other options such as AHP, Decision trees (students to investigate in self study):
• Tutorial: student practice on case study.
Risk Perspective
Risk Lifecycle
Generic (A) Finance
IdentifyBrainstorming,interviewing,existing lists
Generic
Analyse Prioritisation,ranking.AHP, …
DCF, WeightedDecision, Cost
Benefit Analysis
Methods Riskit, Simulate
Risk assessment: Discounted Cash Flow
Unit 1University of Sunderland COMM80 Risk Assessment of Systems Change
Unit 9:Unit 9:
• Focus on RAMESES Business Activity Maps
• Focus on perspective of fit of system to business.– Layers of information,
• current,
• proposed system
• Tutorial: consideration of usage.
Risk Perspective Risk Lifecycle
(C) Business Fit
Analyse RAMESES Business Activity
Maps Characteristics Map of system to
bps, explicit understanding of
business requirement
Techniques Business Activity Maps
Methods RAMESES
Risk Assessment: Business Activity Maps
Unit 1University of Sunderland COMM80 Risk Assessment of Systems Change
Unit 10:Unit 10:
• Tutorial: continue study of case study, group sessions to query for further information and make valid assumptions for the perspective they’re taking.
Risk Perspective
Risk Lifecycle
(A) Finance (C) Business Fit (E) SystemsIntegration
Decision point foraccepting risks
DCF, WD, CBAbased decision
making,RAMESES RiskGauges (partial)
RAMESES RiskGauges
Evolutionarydevelopment
approach
Characteristics Financialmodelling
Map of system tobps, explicit
understanding ofbusiness
requirement
Requirements tohave different
systemscommunicate,
Issues of data, etcTechniques DCF, Weighted
Decision, CostBenefit Analysis
Methods RAMESES SERUM
Continue or Abandon?
how to evaluate the impact?
Pareto ScenariosDCF and financial justification,
RAMESES risk gauges,
SERUM: evolutionary development concept.
Decision points.
Unit 1University of Sunderland COMM80 Risk Assessment of Systems Change
Unit 11:Unit 11:
• Techniques– RISKIT taxonomy– Risk RADAR
(documentation)
Risk Perspective Risk Lifecycle
(D) Infrastructure (F) Systems Development
Plan mitigation Example scenarios SEI approach Plan contingencies Example scenarios SEI approach Characteristics Example scenarios Availability of
development team,
development approach used and “riskiness” of that.
Requirements specification,
Techniques RAG, Goal/stakeholders,
GQM, Risk RADAR
documentation
TBQ, Risk RADAR
documentation
Tutorial: discussion of mitigation strategies and contingency options for case study organisations
Mitigation and Contingency Planning.
Unit 1University of Sunderland COMM80 Risk Assessment of Systems Change
Unit 12:Unit 12:
• Focus on Network and Systems Interaction– Examples of effective strategies, and failures.
• Tutorial: based on network issues.
Mitigation and Contingency Planning.
Unit 1University of Sunderland COMM80 Risk Assessment of Systems Change
Units 13, 14 and 15:Units 13, 14 and 15:
• Overview of different methods, chosen from (e.g.):– RISKIT, RAMESES, SERUM, Boehm’s win-win model.
• Tutorials: – Discussion of potential for application of methods in
context of systems change (reliant on student reading).– Consultation time for assignment.
Risk Perspective
Risk Lifecycle
Generic (A) Finance (B) Personnel (C) Business Fit (D) Infrastructure (E) SystemsIntegration
(F) SystemsDevelopment
Methods Riskit, Simulate RAMESES, SSM RAMESES RISKIT? SERUM SEI-SRE,RISKIT, Boehm’s
win-win model
Pulling It All Together