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Factoring in crisis times – an opportunity? Italian & Romanian Markets outlook
UNICREDIT FACTORING S.p.A. – ITALYUNICREDIT TIRIAC BANK - ROMANIA
Bucharest , October 6th, 2009
Alessandro Bertoldo – Head of International Dept. – UniCredit Factoring S.p.A. - Milan
Presentation for Bucharest Conference:“HOW TO FINANCE YOUR BUSINESS THROUGH FACTORING”
2
AGENDA
INTERNATIONAL FACTORING MARKET AND UNICREDIT GROUP
ABOUT ITALIAN FACTORING MARKET
ABOUT ROMANIAN FACTORING MARKET
PRODUCTS & SERVICES PROVIDED
3
INTERNATIONAL FACTORING MARKET AND UNICREDIT GROUP
ABOUT ITALIAN FACTORING MARKET
ABOUT ROMANIAN FACTORING MARKET
PRODUCTS & SERVICES PROVIDED
AGENDA
4
509 530587
684761
87082114 16
25
31
46
6268
115 105
110
136
141
150154
70 89
112
136
150
175 236
1620
26
30
36
44 47
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
The worldwide Factoring market is over to 1.300 Billions Euro, mainly focused on Europe
760
860
1.017
1.134
724
72% 72% 71% 70% 71%% CEE + Western Europe/Total
Western Europe
CEE*AsiaAmericaAfrica and Oceania
Turnover, Billions Euros, Percentage CAGR ’02-’08
9%17%
14%
4%
7%
*
Source: Factors Chain International
Croatia, Cyprus, Czech Rep., Estonia, Hungary, Lithuania, Poland, Latvia, Romania, Russia, Slovenia, Slovakia, Turkey, Ukraine, Bulgaria
72%
1.3021.325
25%
68%
5
106
100
231
128
135
888
188
***
Source: Factors Chain International
CAGR ’02-’08
Austria, Sweden, Portugal, Belgium, Finland, Norway, Denmark, Greece, Ireland, Luxemburg, IslandBulgaria, Croatia, Estonia, Lithuania, Latvia, Slovenia, Ukraine, Cyprus
Western Europe accounts for 92% of the total European market … but growth is concentrated in CEE
14,5
5,0
7,8
16,2
18,0
68,0
3,21,61,7
UK ItalyFrance Germany Spain Others* Total WE Turkey Russia Poland CzechRep.
Hungary SlovakiaRomania Others** Total CEE
3% 10% -1% 20% 18% 9% 7% 23% 92% 18% 17% 28% 42% 31% 20% 26%
2008, Market turnover, Billions of Euro, Percentage
Italy is the third biggest market in Western Europe …… while Turkey, Russia, Poland, and Czech Republic are the most relevant countries in CEE
6
Western Europe breakdown international vs. domestic factoring
CEE countries breakdown international vs. domestic factoring
International business is more important for CEE countries than for Western Europe
International
Domestic
274 113 107
65
79139
12 10 15
24
525
777
91
16,912,8
7,13,9
2,9
0,91,0
9,3
2,70,3
0,80,9
0,2
0,50,3
1,8
54,9
7,4
188 128 135 106 100 163 820
13%
UK Italy France Germany Spain Others* Total Western Europe
14%
18,0 16,2 7,8 5,0 3,2 1,6 1,7 14,4 67,9
Turkey Russia Poland CzechRep
Hungary Slovakia Romania Others** Total CEE
***
Austria, Sweden, Portugal, Belgium, Finland, Norway, Denmark, Greece, Ireland, Luxemburg, IslandBulgaria, Croatia, Estonia, Lithuania, Latvia, Slovenia, Ukraine, Cyprus
Source: Factors Chain International
2008, Market turnover, Billions of Euro, Percentage
7
Factoring Utilization Attitude by European Countries
Sources: FCI Statistics, Eurostat, UCG Internal research
8
8
Countries where UniCredit Group already has a FactorCountries where UniCredit has its own banking network
Russia
Turkey
Bulgaria
RomaniaItaly
Germany
Croatia
Austria
CzechRep.
Hungary
Slovakia
Poland
Slovenia
Ukraine
Serbia
Bosnia
FCI Reports
Market share on Assifact sample
FACTORBANK , Vienna, covers the German Market until German local operations will start.
*
**
(1)
Area Country Turnover2008 (Bn €) *
Italy**
Austria
18,5
1,3
Turkey 3,2
Poland 1,2
Czech Rep. 0,1
Hungary
Russia
0,2
0,5
Romania 0,71
Bulgaria
Ukraine
0,4
0,43
Slovenia <0,1
Mkt share 2008 / Rank *
17,6% - 3º
17,3% - 2º
17,7% - 1º
15,4% - 2º
3,6% - 7º
4,7% - 4º
3,1% - 3º
38,9% - 1º
72,0% - 1º
32,8% - 1º
NA
Western Europe
CEE
Sources: UniCredit Group internal ProjectFCI Statistics
HVB Lithuania
HVB Latvia
HVB Estonia
UniCredit LithuaniaUniCredit LatviaUniCredit EstoniaPekao Faktoring
Unicredit BankCzech Republic
Unicredit FactoringHungary
FactorBank (1)
Unicredit FactoringITALY
Zagrebacka Banka
UniCredit Bank Serbia
Unicredit Factoring Bulgaria
UniCredit Tiriac BankRomania
Yapi Kredi Faktoring
JSCB “Ukrsotsbank”UniCredit Bank
Unicredit BankSlovakia
UniCredit Group 2008Total Factoring Turnover: EUR 26,5/Bios
UniCredit Group footprint is like no other in Europe, with factoring operations characterized by excellent local risk assessment and operational capabilities.
9
AGENDA
INTERNATIONAL FACTORING MARKET AND UNICREDIT GROUP
ABOUT ITALIAN FACTORING MARKET
ABOUT ROMANIAN FACTORING MARKET
PRODUCTS & SERVICES PROVIDED
10
About Italian factoring market
85,4% 85%
14,6% 15%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
mar-08 mar-09
Factors from banking groups Captive
ITALY. Factoring market composition
Mar 08 Mar 09
� The cumulative Turnover in 2009 (Jan-Jun) was equal to Eur 56/Bios (-5,4% vs 2008 same period)
� The Receivables Outstanding as at 30.06.2009 was equal to Eur 39,7/Bios (+5,8%).
� The total Financial Exposures as at 30.06.2009 were equal to Eur 29,5/Bios (+11,3%)
� The Italian factoring market is dominated by factorsfrom banking groups (85,0% of the market)
� Unicredit Factoring, with a market share of 16,3%* , is the 3° factoring company on the market, having a significant increase, bothcompared to March 2008 (eg 12,7%), and December 2008 (15,2%)
� The domestic market is heavilyconcentrated, the first 4 competitorsregistering 67,5% of the total turnover, having increased 66,1% in December 2008
Source: Assifact
* As at 30 June 2009
MARKET SHARE AS AT 30.06.2009 Intesa Mediofactoring
22,4%
Ifitalia19,0%
UniCredit Factoring
16,3%
Factorit9,8%
Others32,5%
11
Totale clientela residente - Impieghi vivi (€ mld)
1.11
7
1.14
5
1.15
2
1.19
3
1.21
8
1.26
0
1.27
4
1.32
1
1.34
5
1.38
6
1.40
5
1.45
4
1.47
7
1.49
8
1.50
1
1.52
4
1.51
0
1.000
1.100
1.200
1.300
1.400
1.500
1.600
1.700
1.800
1.900
2.000
2.100
mar
-05
giu-
05
set-
05
dic-
05
mar
-06
giu-
06
set-
06
dic-
06
mar
-07
giu-
07
set-
07
dic-
07
mar
-08
giu-
08
set-
08
dic-
08
mar
-09
€ bl
n
0,0%
1,0%
2,0%
3,0%
4,0%
5,0%
6,0%
7,0%
8,0%
9,0%
10,0%
11,0%
Impieghi vivi Var. % A/A (Scala dx)
In Q1 2009 the banking loans underwriting growth kept on slowing down, although still in a positive trend
Italian financial system - Drill down ST vs MLT
Of which: <= 1 YEAR; 30,9%
Of which: > 1 YEAR; 69,1%
Of which: <= 1 YEAR Of which: > 1 YEAR
• As at March 2009 total loans amount to inland clientele was Eur 1.510/bios, with a growth of 2,2% Y/Y , although showing a constant decrease since the beginning of 2008
• The Loans to Corporates has a better growth rate (+3,5% as at March 2009), but showing a remarkable drop. They correspond to the 61% of the total loans granted by the Italian Banking System
• Factoring is identified as a Short Term facility (< one year) which as at March scored as the 30,9% of total loans granted by the Italian Banking System.
IMPIEGHI A CLIENTELA RESIDENTE - TASSI DI CRESCITA PER SETTORI
-7,5%
-5,0%
-2,5%
0,0%
2,5%
5,0%
7,5%
10,0%
12,5%
15,0%
17,5%
20,0%
22,5%
25,0%
set-
98
mar
-99
set-
99
mar
-00
set-
00
mar
-01
set-
01
mar
-02
set-
02
mar
-03
set-
03
mar
-04
set-
04
mar
-05
set-
05
mar
-06
set-
06
mar
-07
set-
07
mar
-08
set-
08
mar
-09
Pubblica Amministrazione Società finanziarieFamiglie e altro Soc. non fin. e fam. Prod..
Total loans – growth rate
Exposures % Var Y/Y (right)
Total loans to resident Corporate – growth rates per segment
12
The drop of the ST loans is mitigated by the self-liquidating component, mainly due to the Factoring activity
CLIENTELA RESIDENTE - ESPOSIZIONI AUTOLIQUIDANTI- CRESCITE ANNUE % -
-15,0%
-10,0%
-5,0%
0,0%
5,0%
10,0%
15,0%
20,0%
25,0%
30,0%
35,0%
giu-
99
dic-
99
giu-
00
dic-
00
giu-
01
dic-
01
giu-
02
dic-
02
giu-
03
dic-
03
giu-
04
dic-
04
giu-
05
dic-
05
giu-
06
dic-
06
giu-
07
dic-
07
giu-
08
dic-
08
Banks Factors banks & factors
IMPIEGHI TOTALI A CLIENTELA RESIDENTE - VAR % ANNUE -
-5,0%
-2,5%
0,0%
2,5%
5,0%
7,5%
10,0%
12,5%
15,0%
set-
99
mar
-00
set-
00
mar
-01
set-
01
mar
-02
set-
02
mar
-03
set-
03
mar
-04
set-
04
mar
-05
set-
05
mar
-06
set-
06
mar
-07
set-
07
mar
-08
set-
08
mar
-09
TOTALE RESIDENTI Di cui: ST Dfi cui: MLT
Until sep08 ST is considered <=1,5 Y and MLT is >1,5Y. Starting from dec08 ST is considered <1Y
C L IE N T E L A R E S ID E N T E - F IN A N Z IA M E N T I A U T O L IQ U ID A N T I (€ M L D )
-
1 5
3 0
4 5
6 0
7 5
9 0
1 0 5
1 2 0
1 3 5
1 5 0
1 6 5
1 8 0
1 9 5
2 1 0
2 2 5
2 4 0
2 5 5
2 7 0
mar
-04
giu-
04
set-
04
dic-
04
mar
-05
giu-
05
set-
05
dic-
05
mar
-06
giu-
06
set-
06
dic-
06
mar
-07
giu-
07
set-
07
dic-
07
mar
-08
giu-
08
set-
08
dic-
08
mar
-09
0 %
1 %
2 %
3 %
4 %
5 %
6 %
7 %
8 %
9 %
1 0 %
1 1 %
1 2 %
1 3 %
1 4 %
1 5 %
1 6 %
1 7 %
1 8 %
S e lf liq u id a t in g E xp o s u re s % g ra n te d b y fa c to rs
• As at March 2009 Short Term Lending shows aclear drop (-2,9%) while the MLT component still has a positive growth (+4,2%), although declining.
• Self-liquidating loans grow by the 1,3% mainly because of Factoring Companies impulse (+9,8%) while Banking System facilities are stagnant.
• The share market of the Factoring Sector in the self-liquidating lending keeps on growing. Aa at March 2009 they covered the 13,2% of the market (+1% compared to March 2008).
Total loans to resident Corporate – growth rates per segment
Total loans – self-liquidating lending growth ratesTotal loans – self-liquidating exposures (Euro Bios)
13
The credit insurance issueThe insolvency outlook
Source: National sources, Insurance Co. forecasts
Variation Y/Y 2009 2008The Netherland 75% 1%Hong Kong 71% 3%Norway 66% 28%Spain 58% 187%United Kingdom 56% 31%Ireland 55% 113%Slovakia 55% -27%Latvia 50% 21%USA 45% 54%Lithuania 40% 53%Danmark 40% 54%Estony 40% 112%Singapore 37% 25%EURO ZONE 35% 33%Sweden 35% 9%Insolvency Global Index 35% 27%Finland 32% 14%Italy 31% 45%Portugal 30% 67%Hungary 30% 15%Czech Rep. 28% -3%Poland 26% -10%France 25% 15%South Korea 25% 19%Germany 19% 0%Belgium 18% 10%Taiwan 18% -23%Switzerland 16% -2%Greece 15% 10%Japan 15% 11%Austria 15% 0%Luxemburg 15% -12%Canada 10% -2%China 10% 5%Brasil -8% -18%
DEFAULT RATE FORECAST� Due to the Global Crisis, the tremendous growth
of the default rate determined a upwards re-balancing of the pricing in the credit insurance market.
� In Italy in the first half 2009, the claims to Credit Insurance Companies increased by 52% compared to previous year, having negative consequences on policies price.
� UniCredit Factoring Credit Insurance recourse in 2009, deteriorated significantly (see below).
COMPARISON FIRST HALF 2008/2009
NUMBER AMOUNTS
REDUCTIONS + 20 TIMES + 41 TIMES
CANCELLATION +137% +460%
REFUSALS +64% +150%
NEW GRANTS
FULL +21% -17%
PARTIAL +214% +381%
REQUESTED
AMOUTS
GRANTED
AMOUT1H REDEMPTION
415.206.500 332.065.000 2008 79,98%
642.391.000 358.745.000 2009 55,85%
*
*) From Eur 44/mios to Eur 249/Mios
Amounts in Euro
14
AGENDA
INTERNATIONAL FACTORING MARKET AND UNICREDIT GROUP
ABOUT ITALIAN FACTORING MARKET
ABOUT ROMANIAN FACTORING MARKET
PRODUCTS & SERVICES PROVIDED
15
About Romanian factoring market
BRD28%
Compania de Factoring
10%
ING5%
UniCredit32%
BCR Erste11%
Raiffeisen6%
Sterling, Direct Factor &others
3%
RBS5%
• UniCredit Tiriac Bank , with a market share of 32%, is the 1st factoring company on the Romanian market . Regarding tranditional factoring volumes, August 2009 compared with same period in 2008 shows a significant increase of 41%.
• Romanian Market is still dominated by banks and heavily concentrated, the first 3 players registering 71% of the total turnover.
16
220300
500
1003
1841
10 13 20 23109
190238 230 198 215
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Domestic Import Export
About Romanian factoring market
Due to current market constraints (mainly related to real estate collaterals value drop and follow-up requirements), the companies’ access to traditional short term financing facilities has been limited this year. As a consequence, both Banks and companies turned to factoring products, characterized by flexibility in financing as well as by receivables and cash management services outsourcing, without the burden of identifying and evaluating additional collaterals.
17
AGENDA
INTERNATIONAL FACTORING MARKET AND UNICREDIT GROUP
ABOUT ITALIAN FACTORING MARKET
ABOUT ROMANIAN FACTORING MARKET
PRODUCTS & SERVICES PROVIDED
1818
UniCredit Factoring groupwide currently has a product portfolio covering all main product categories
Products Main characteristicsService Components
+
+
Financial � Working capital financing depends on value and quality of the debtors
Operational � Monitoring of debtors
� Management of payment collections
Risk Coverage(only in non recourse factoring)
� Coverage of debtors insolvency risk
Domestic factoring
Maturity factoring
Reverse factoring
Import factoring
Export factoring
Credit mgmt for state owned entities
Full factoring
Source: UniCredit Group internal project\
� Coverage of debtors insolvency risk (in non recourse)
� Financing for the buyer
� Payment of the supplier at a certain date (fixed) by the factor
� Post financing for the buyer
� Agreement with large corporate with many and continuous suppliers
� Recourse/non recourse credit line for the debtor� Financing of suppliers� Profit sharing with large corporates
� Non recourse credit line and for foreign supplier� Post financing for the Italian buyer
� Coverage of foreign debtors insolvency risk
� Generally non recourse� Days Sales Outstanding (DSO)
� Recourse/ non recourse, on the totality of receivables portfolio
19
4. Risk Protection(Coverage previously granted)
D
Factoring International transactions – Example of co-operation
Seller/Exporter
Buyer/Importer
1. Goods delivery
2. Receivables assignment
5. Collection
2. Export financing
3. Risk assessment
- Operating with factoring, the non-payment risk is on the import factor’s side
- The assignor receives financing deducted of factoring commissions and interests on advance financing
Non payment risk
A
C D
E
B
* Filing approval and financing could be performed by other UniCredit Group companies
Unicredit Factoring Local Units
20
Only few steps to benefit of international factoring
1. The seller contact the UCTB local factoring expert2. First assessment for the operation feasibility3. UCTB expert communicate to UCF (Milan or other entities) the operation details for deep assessment 4. UCF inform the UCTB expert about the results and after send a proposal to the Exporter5. In case of acceptance direct negotiation will start between UCTB and Romanian Exporter6. Start of operations (receivables assignment vs. financing
* Filing approval and financing could be performed by other UniCredit Group companies
1. First contact
2. Feasibility
3. Deep assessment
4. Proposal
5. Negotiation 6. Operations
..
. .
21
THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION
Alessandro Bertoldo Andreea MarinescuHead of International Department Director FactoringUniCredit Factoring Spa UniCredit Tiriac BankVia Albricci, 10 Strada Gheţarilor, nr. 23-2520122 Milan (Italy) Bucureşti – Sector 1+39-02-366 71024 +40-21-200 1690+39-335-619 8669 (mob) +40-728-132270