• D R I V I N G F O R R E S U L T S : S T R E N G T H E N I N G T H E S C I E N C E B A S I S A N D C A T A L Y T I C R O L E O F U N E P •

UNEP’s Early Warning Approach and UNEP’s Early Warning Approach and Strategy explained/“de-mystified”Strategy explained/“de-mystified”

Regional Environmental Information Regional Environmental Information Networking Meeting for the Caucasus and Networking Meeting for the Caucasus and Eastern Europe, Hotel Khreschatyk, Kyiv, Eastern Europe, Hotel Khreschatyk, Kyiv,

Ukraine, 3-5 November 2009Ukraine, 3-5 November 2009

• D R I V I N G F O R R E S U L T S : S T R E N G T H E N I N G T H E S C I E N C E B A S I S A N D C A T A L Y T I C R O L E O F U N E P •

UNEP’s Early Warning Mandate

is to provide leaderis to provide leadership and encourageship and encourage

Keep under review the world environmental situation, to assure

that emerging environmental problems of wide international

significance are given appropriate consideration by governments

(UN General Assessment, 1972)

• D R I V I N G F O R R E S U L T S : S T R E N G T H E N I N G T H E S C I E N C E B A S I S A N D C A T A L Y T I C R O L E O F U N E P •

Other UNEP Early Warning Mandates

“ “Monitor and assess existing and emerging environmental Monitor and assess existing and emerging environmental problems and alert policy-makers and the world public…”problems and alert policy-makers and the world public…”(UN Task Force on Environment and Human Settlements, 1998)(UN Task Force on Environment and Human Settlements, 1998)

The Nairobi Declaration (Feb. 1997) underlined the need to The Nairobi Declaration (Feb. 1997) underlined the need to catalyse cooperation and action, and provide a scientific/technical catalyse cooperation and action, and provide a scientific/technical base for UNEP’s early warning activities.base for UNEP’s early warning activities.

The Malmo Ministerial Declaration (May 2000) reiterated the The Malmo Ministerial Declaration (May 2000) reiterated the above statements, and emphasized the “need to raise awareness of above statements, and emphasized the “need to raise awareness of emerging issues from scientific research and other sources”.emerging issues from scientific research and other sources”.

• D R I V I N G F O R R E S U L T S : S T R E N G T H E N I N G T H E S C I E N C E B A S I S A N D C A T A L Y T I C R O L E O F U N E P •

UNEP Early Warning ~ Strategic Goals

Provide early warning on emerging environmental Provide early warning on emerging environmental issues and threats.issues and threats.

Contribute to scientific understanding for a wide Contribute to scientific understanding for a wide range of issues related to early warnings.range of issues related to early warnings.

Communicate, raise awareness and advise policy-Communicate, raise awareness and advise policy-makers on the likely consequences of environ-makers on the likely consequences of environ-mental change.mental change.

The E.W. Strategy is based on four principles: The E.W. Strategy is based on four principles: scientific credibility; policy relevance; internat’l scientific credibility; policy relevance; internat’l cooperation; and related capacity building.cooperation; and related capacity building.

• D R I V I N G F O R R E S U L T S : S T R E N G T H E N I N G T H E S C I E N C E B A S I S A N D C A T A L Y T I C R O L E O F U N E P •

Types of Early Warning Issues

Slow-onsetSlow-onset or “creeping” environmental issues (i.e. or “creeping” environmental issues (i.e. incremental but long-term and cumulative changes that incremental but long-term and cumulative changes that typically receive little attention: acid rain/air pollution, typically receive little attention: acid rain/air pollution, land degradation/soil erosion, biodiversity and ecosystem land degradation/soil erosion, biodiversity and ecosystem loss, pressure on marine resources, urban growth).loss, pressure on marine resources, urban growth).

Rapid/sudden-onset Rapid/sudden-onset natural & technological hazards.natural & technological hazards.

Unique but foreseeableUnique but foreseeable emerging issues (global emerging issues (global warming in the 1950s, tropical deforestation in the 1960s, warming in the 1950s, tropical deforestation in the 1960s, ozone depletion in the 1970s, ocean acidification today) ozone depletion in the 1970s, ocean acidification today) “not yet threatening, but could become so in future…“not yet threatening, but could become so in future…

• D R I V I N G F O R R E S U L T S : S T R E N G T H E N I N G T H E S C I E N C E B A S I S A N D C A T A L Y T I C R O L E O F U N E P •

A Schematic of the Early Warning process

• D R I V I N G F O R R E S U L T S : S T R E N G T H E N I N G T H E S C I E N C E B A S I S A N D C A T A L Y T I C R O L E O F U N E P •

Stages of the Early Warning Process

Observing, Monitoring and Research.Observing, Monitoring and Research.

Detection and Screening.Detection and Screening.

Analysis / Assessments.Analysis / Assessments.

The Early Warning “story”.The Early Warning “story”.

Awareness/ResponsesAwareness/Responsesand Actions.and Actions.

• D R I V I N G F O R R E S U L T S : S T R E N G T H E N I N G T H E S C I E N C E B A S I S A N D C A T A L Y T I C R O L E O F U N E P •

Partners for the Early Warning process

Global Observing Systems (GCOS, GOOS, GTOS).Global Observing Systems (GCOS, GOOS, GTOS). Group on Earth Observation and the Global Earth Group on Earth Observation and the Global Earth

Observing System of Systems (GEOSS).Observing System of Systems (GEOSS). National Space Agencies world-wide.National Space Agencies world-wide. UNEP Collaborating Centres network and others.UNEP Collaborating Centres network and others. Academic/university community and individual Academic/university community and individual

researchers from around the world.researchers from around the world. Other groups still to be identified…Other groups still to be identified…

• D R I V I N G F O R R E S U L T S : S T R E N G T H E N I N G T H E S C I E N C E B A S I S A N D C A T A L Y T I C R O L E O F U N E P •

Spasibo / Spasibo / Thanks for your Thanks for your

attention!attention!

• D R I V I N G F O R R E S U L T S : S T R E N G T H E N I N G T H E S C I E N C E B A S I S A N D C A T A L Y T I C R O L E O F U N E P •

Another vision of UNEP-Live

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Overview of UNEP’s Disasters and Overview of UNEP’s Disasters and Conflicts sub-programme for 2010-11 Conflicts sub-programme for 2010-11

(three E.A.s and 24 projects total)(three E.A.s and 24 projects total)

Regional Environmental Information Regional Environmental Information Networking Meeting for the Caucasus and Networking Meeting for the Caucasus and Eastern Europe, Hotel Khreschatyk, Kyiv, Eastern Europe, Hotel Khreschatyk, Kyiv,

Ukraine, 3-5 November 2009Ukraine, 3-5 November 2009

• D R I V I N G F O R R E S U L T S : S T R E N G T H E N I N G T H E S C I E N C E B A S I S A N D C A T A L Y T I C R O L E O F U N E P •

Three “Expected Accomplishments”

EA (a). Enhanced capacity of member states in EA (a). Enhanced capacity of member states in environmental management in order to contribute environmental management in order to contribute to natural and man-made disaster reduction.to natural and man-made disaster reduction.

EA (b). Rapid and reliable env’l assessments EA (b). Rapid and reliable env’l assessments following conflicts and disasters as requested.following conflicts and disasters as requested.

EA (c). The post-crisis assessment and recovery EA (c). The post-crisis assessment and recovery process contributes to improved env’l manage-process contributes to improved env’l manage-ment ment and sustainable use of natural resources.and sustainable use of natural resources.

• D R I V I N G F O R R E S U L T S : S T R E N G T H E N I N G T H E S C I E N C E B A S I S A N D C A T A L Y T I C R O L E O F U N E P •

Total of 6 proposed Projects for 2010-11

Under E.A. (a):Under E.A. (a):

Environmental Cooperation for Peace-building.Environmental Cooperation for Peace-building. Environment and Security (ENVSEC) Initiative.Environment and Security (ENVSEC) Initiative. Environmental Management for DRR.Environmental Management for DRR. National capacity development for improved National capacity development for improved

environmental emergency response.environmental emergency response. Building capacity for industrial risk reduction and Building capacity for industrial risk reduction and

emergency preparedness in developing countries.emergency preparedness in developing countries. (Programme Framework Support Project).(Programme Framework Support Project).

• D R I V I N G F O R R E S U L T S : S T R E N G T H E N I N G T H E S C I E N C E B A S I S A N D C A T A L Y T I C R O L E O F U N E P •

Total of 11 proposed Projects for 2010-11

Under E.A. (b) and (c ):Under E.A. (b) and (c ):

Coordination and mobilisation of international Coordination and mobilisation of international assistance to environmental emergencies.assistance to environmental emergencies.

Post-crisis environmental assessment.Post-crisis environmental assessment. Post-crisis environmental recovery.Post-crisis environmental recovery. Environment, humanitarian action & early recovery.Environment, humanitarian action & early recovery. (Country-specific projects in Afghanistan, China, (Country-specific projects in Afghanistan, China,

DRC, Iraq, Palestinian territories and Rwanda).DRC, Iraq, Palestinian territories and Rwanda). (Programme Framework Support Project).(Programme Framework Support Project).

• D R I V I N G F O R R E S U L T S : S T R E N G T H E N I N G T H E S C I E N C E B A S I S A N D C A T A L Y T I C R O L E O F U N E P •

Total of 7 proposed Projects for 2010-11

Projects continued from 2008-09:Projects continued from 2008-09:

Capacity building and institutional development Capacity building and institutional development programme for env’l management in Afghanistan.programme for env’l management in Afghanistan.

Sudan Integrated Recovery Programme.Sudan Integrated Recovery Programme. DRC Post-conflict Environment Assessment.DRC Post-conflict Environment Assessment. Environmental Survey of Ogoniland, Nigeria.Environmental Survey of Ogoniland, Nigeria. Nepal Env’l. Early Recovery Programme.Nepal Env’l. Early Recovery Programme. Development of an environmental quality monitoring Development of an environmental quality monitoring

system for Lebanon.system for Lebanon. Capacity building in cooperation with SBC for Capacity building in cooperation with SBC for

hazardous waste management in Cote d’Ivoire.hazardous waste management in Cote d’Ivoire.

• D R I V I N G F O R R E S U L T S : S T R E N G T H E N I N G T H E S C I E N C E B A S I S A N D C A T A L Y T I C R O L E O F U N E P •

Spasibo / Spasibo / Thanks for your Thanks for your

attention!attention!