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UNECE PPP Best Practice Guide for Road Sector Svetlana Maslova, Center for PPP Studies GSOM SPbU International PPP Forum: “Implementing the United Nations 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development through effective, people-first Public-Private Partnerships” Geneva 30 March - 1 April, 2016

UNECE PPP Best Practice Guide for Road Sector · indicators of the road . For Private Partner: • long-term business with public guaranteed fee . For Public Partner: • transfer

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Page 1: UNECE PPP Best Practice Guide for Road Sector · indicators of the road . For Private Partner: • long-term business with public guaranteed fee . For Public Partner: • transfer

UNECE PPP Best Practice Guide for Road Sector

Svetlana Maslova, Center for PPP Studies GSOM SPbU

International PPP Forum:

“Implementing the United Nations 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development through effective, people-first

Public-Private Partnerships”

Geneva 30 March - 1 April, 2016

Page 2: UNECE PPP Best Practice Guide for Road Sector · indicators of the road . For Private Partner: • long-term business with public guaranteed fee . For Public Partner: • transfer

Motivation

2

The United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), recently adopted by the UN General Assembly, identify Public-Private Partnerships (PPPs) as the key mechanism for its achieving. It implies the need to increase the quantity and quality of PPP projects in the road sector.

Many Governments face problems due to the lack of available information about PPP models and payment mechanisms, traffic forecasting and traffic risk allocation, which could lead to unsuccessful implementation of the project.

PPP Best Practice Guide for Road Sector based on review of extensive practice of successful and failed PPP projects in road sector will ensure:

• receiving of detailed and comprehensive information on projects, instruction for their structuring and implementation by Governments;

• no repetition of common mistakes in managing PPP projects in the road sector;

• increasing the number of sustainable PPP projects in the road sector and the private sector's interest to participate in them.

Page 3: UNECE PPP Best Practice Guide for Road Sector · indicators of the road . For Private Partner: • long-term business with public guaranteed fee . For Public Partner: • transfer

PPP Best Practice Guide: Structure

3

• Objective and Background • Way to Use the Guide • Selected PPP Projects in Road Sector

Introduction

• Evaluation and Analysis of the PPP Models in Road Sector • Financing models • Tariff and Technical Aspects of PPP Roads Operation • Optimal Allocation of Risks in PPP Projects in Road Sector

Section I

• Selected Countries PPP Experience inn Road Sector • Description of Selected PPP Projects in Road Sector Section II

• Table 1 “Features of Selected PPP Projects in Road Sector” • Table 2 “Financial Aspects” • Table 3 “Risks Matrix”

Annexes

Page 4: UNECE PPP Best Practice Guide for Road Sector · indicators of the road . For Private Partner: • long-term business with public guaranteed fee . For Public Partner: • transfer

Selected PPP Projects

1. A19 Dishforth to Tyne Tunnel, UK 2. А2 Motorway, Poland 3. Athens Ring Road - Attiki Odos, Greece 4. BA-093 Highway, Brazil 5. Dakar-Diamniadio Toll Highway, 6. Dushanbe-Chanak Toll Road, Tajikistan 7. E18 Grimstad-Kristiansand, Norway 8. Istrian Y Toll Motorway, Croatia 9. Jiyuan-Dongming Highway (Xinxiang-Changyuan), China 10. Lekki-Epe Expressway, Nigeria 11. M6 Toll BNRR, UK 12. M7 Motorway, Australia 13. M11 Moscow–St. Petersburg Highway (15-58 km), Russia 14. North South Expressway, Malaysia 15. Orlovski Tunnel under the Neva River, Russia 16. Rosario-Victoria Bridge, Argentina 17. Sea-to-Sky Highway, Canada 18. Roads in the residential area “Slavyanka”, Russia 19. Tuni Anakapalli Annuity Road, India 20. Western High-Speed Diameter, Russia

Page 5: UNECE PPP Best Practice Guide for Road Sector · indicators of the road . For Private Partner: • long-term business with public guaranteed fee . For Public Partner: • transfer

Selected Countries and PPP Projects in Road Sector

Page 6: UNECE PPP Best Practice Guide for Road Sector · indicators of the road . For Private Partner: • long-term business with public guaranteed fee . For Public Partner: • transfer

PPP Development in Selected Countries

PPP Project Country Level of PPP Development

PPP Public Policy

PPP Institutional Framework

PPP law

Rosario-Victoria Bridge Argentina Nascent NO √ √

M7 Australia Mature √ √ NO

BA-093 Brazil Mature √ √ √

Sea-to-Sky Canada Mature √ √ NO

Jiyuan-Dongming China Emerging √ √ NO

Istrian Croatia Developing √ √ √

Athens Ring Road Greece Developed √ √ √

Tuni Anakapalli India Developed √ √ NO

North South Malaysia Emerging √ √ NO

Lekki-Epe Nigeria Emerging √ √ √

E18 Grimstad-Kristiansand Norway Developed √ NO NO

А2 Poland Emerging NO √ √

M11 (15-58 km), Orlovski Tunnel,

Slavyanka Roads, WHSD

Russia Emerging NO √ √

Dakar-Diamniadio Senegal Emerging NO √ √

Dushanbe-Chanak Tajikistan Nascent NO √ √

M6 BNRR, A19 Dishforth -

Tyne Tunnel The UK Mature √ √ NO

PPP Policy

PPP Unit

PPP Law

PPP Market

Successful PPP Project

Rosario-Victoria Bridge Argentina Nascent NO √ √

M6 BNRR The UK Mature √ √ NO

Page 7: UNECE PPP Best Practice Guide for Road Sector · indicators of the road . For Private Partner: • long-term business with public guaranteed fee . For Public Partner: • transfer

PPP Models in Road Sector

8

4 4

2 1 1

0

2

4

6

8

10

BOT BTO DBFO BOOT DBFM O&M

PPP Models of Selected Projects

10

6

4

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

Greenfield Brownfield Mixed

Type of PPP Projects

• ВОТ (BOOT, BTO) Toll Roads,

• PFI – DBFM(O) Availability Payment Roads,

• DBFO(M) Roads with Performance-Based

Payment Mechanisms.

Page 8: UNECE PPP Best Practice Guide for Road Sector · indicators of the road . For Private Partner: • long-term business with public guaranteed fee . For Public Partner: • transfer

Potential Benefits and Losses of PPP Models

Benefits Models Losses

For Private Partner: • owner of the road→

- broad rights, - benefit to use the road as an asset in collateral agreements with the lenders

For Public Partner: • transfer of the traffic risk to the private partner • non-participation or limited participation in the project

financing

BO(O)T

For Private Partner: • potential serious problems with traffic risks in the

case of absence of risk mitigation mechanisms For Public Partner: • restrictions on his own right and limited participation

in the process of managing various operation indicators of the road

For Private Partner: • long-term business with public guaranteed fee For Public Partner: • transfer of the asset-based risks (including design,

construction, and operation) • public ownership of the road • provision of risk-free long-term road services of a

guaranteed standard by the private partner

DBFM

For Private Partner: • bearing of all key risks of PPP project For Public Partner: • need for full compensation of the private partner’s

investments by public partner • absence of user payments

For Private Partner: • dependence of revenues not only on tolls collected,

but also on the quality of services provided For Public Partner: • involvement in the process of managing various

operation indicators of the road • control over private partner’s activities

DBFO

For Private Partner: • financial risks associated with the possibility of short-

received revenue • control from the part of public partner For Public Partner: • need for detailed study and constant monitoring in

order to find the balance of motivation and remuneration of private partner

similar to benefits of DBFM and DBFO models + additional benefits For Society: • higher KPIs during operation and maintenance • financial incentives for the private partner • stricter requirements concerning operation of the

road and quality of services provided

DBFMO

Page 9: UNECE PPP Best Practice Guide for Road Sector · indicators of the road . For Private Partner: • long-term business with public guaranteed fee . For Public Partner: • transfer

Recent International Trends

PPP Trends

‘Trendy” PPP Model

General performance indicators

↓ Specific performance

indicators

Usage of positive incentives for private partners

BOT + direct toll + traffic risk managed by the private

partner ↓

DBFO(M) + availability & performance-based

payments

• Quality and technical conditions of the road

• Road capacity and number of open lanes

• Traffic speed • Presence of traffic

jams • Time and quality of toll

payment and other services for users

• Queues at payment terminals

• Satisfaction of road users

• road safety level • ecological conditions

• Incentives related to the term of the PPP agreement (a contract is prolonged in case of positive dynamics of safety or performance indicators)

• Financial incentives

(various bonuses – financial compensation or the possibility to increase toll rates – which are linked to certain safety or performance indicators)

Page 10: UNECE PPP Best Practice Guide for Road Sector · indicators of the road . For Private Partner: • long-term business with public guaranteed fee . For Public Partner: • transfer

Recommended PPP Models for Road Sector

• ВОТ with the Direct Toll mechanism, as well as with the shared traffic risk management by public and private partners

• DВFО(M) with Direct Toll and Performance-Based mechanisms

For Toll Road

• DBFM with Availability Payments

• DВFО with Shadow Toll mechanism For Free Road

?

PPP hybrid models in road sector (combination of DBFMO and toll roads)

General Recommendation

Page 11: UNECE PPP Best Practice Guide for Road Sector · indicators of the road . For Private Partner: • long-term business with public guaranteed fee . For Public Partner: • transfer

Choice of PPP Model for Road Sector

Criteria and factors affecting the choice of an appropriate model for a PPP road sector project: • The goals of the public partner and public needs;

• The level of the road construction complexity;

• Toll or toll free system of road operation;

• Forecast of traffic intensity;

• The preliminary calculation of tariffs;

• The suggested allocation of the traffic risks;

• Citizens’ ability and willingness to pay;

• Presence and number of alternative free passes and duplicating roads, and presence of infrastructure providing access

to the road;

• Presence of legislative constraints in the national, regional and local regulatory acts that prohibit transferring roads into

the private property;

• The cost of the project implementation;

• The accessibility of long-term commercial loans;

• The presence of requirements on sponsors’ side about the obligatory transfer of the road into the private property for the

time PPP contract has legal force (e.g. for insurance, bails, etc.);

• Interest in project of the key companies that execute construction and operation of roads, including PPP projects.

Page 12: UNECE PPP Best Practice Guide for Road Sector · indicators of the road . For Private Partner: • long-term business with public guaranteed fee . For Public Partner: • transfer

Financing Road PPP Projects

Budget size of PPP projects:

Small < $300M

Medium [$300M, $1B]

Free roads built under DBFO / DBFM model

Large > $1B

Toll roads built under DBFO / DBOM model

Toll roads built under B(O)OT / BTO model

DEBT EQUITY

Usually the most popular source – more than 45% in majority of projects

Types: commercal loans, loans from development banks, infrastructure bonds (in large projects)

Public Financing

In general, much smaller share (5-15%) than that of debt financing in order to achieve high leverage -> higher ROE

An extremely important source in developing economies (Russia, Argentina, Greece) – 30-60% of total funding

But almost no public financing in developed countries

Major sources of funding:

Page 13: UNECE PPP Best Practice Guide for Road Sector · indicators of the road . For Private Partner: • long-term business with public guaranteed fee . For Public Partner: • transfer

Payment mechanisms

Direct toll mechanism Availability payments

Used in large-scope B(R)(O)OT projects as well in some DBFO projects

Combined with revenue-sharing schemes and MRGs

Shadow toll mechanism Performance-based payments

Used instead of direct toll mechanism when DTs are inappropriate due to social or political risks (i.e., road should be free for users)

A recent trend to use PBPs in road PPP projects in order to create incentives for the private partner to improve performance and safety

Combinations of these mechanisms are sometimes used (direct tolls + performance-based payments; direct tolls + availability payments)

Often used both in free and toll DBFO(M) projects in case when the public partner bears a significant share of demand (traffic) risks

Page 14: UNECE PPP Best Practice Guide for Road Sector · indicators of the road . For Private Partner: • long-term business with public guaranteed fee . For Public Partner: • transfer

Technical Aspects of PPP Roads Operation

•Ta = Tb x Ch x Cf x Ce x Cvc x Ct x Nkm

Closed System

• Ta = Tb x Ch x Cf x Ce x Cvc x Ct

Open System

Mixed System

Toll

Col

lect

ion

Key Elements of Tolls

Nkm - actual travelled distance on toll road

Cvc – vehicle category;

Ce – using automatic and/or electronic

systems of toll collection;

Ch – weekend, holidays, and days

preceding them;

Cf – travel frequency;

Ct – time of a day (morning peak hour;

evening peak hour, etc.);

Tb – basic toll

o saved time

o distinction between toll roads and

their free alternatives

o customer’s desire and necessity

to use a particular road

Nkm

Page 15: UNECE PPP Best Practice Guide for Road Sector · indicators of the road . For Private Partner: • long-term business with public guaranteed fee . For Public Partner: • transfer

Traffic and Tariff Aspects of PPP Roads Operation

Accuracy of demand forecast: • positive deviation

• negative deviation

Right to define the tariff policy: • public partner

• private partner

Changes in the tariff: • increase

• decrease

political and social risks

30 30

70

100

45

80 100

150

020406080

100120140160

1 category(50%

increase)

2 category(167%

increase)

3 category(43%

increase)

4 category(50%

increase)

Increase in day fares of the WHSD section

"KAD -Blagodatnaya Street"

before increase after increase

10 10

30

50

20 30

40

60

010203040506070

1 category(100%

increase)

2 category(200%

increase)

3 category(33%

increase)

4 category(20%

increase)

Increase in night fares of the WHSD section

"KAD -Blagodatnaya Street"

before increase after increase

Page 16: UNECE PPP Best Practice Guide for Road Sector · indicators of the road . For Private Partner: • long-term business with public guaranteed fee . For Public Partner: • transfer

Risks in PPP Projects in Road Sector

Risks in PPP projects in road sector - potential events that may occur in the implementation of PPP in road sector and negatively affect the PPP project from the point of cost, time and quality.

Type of Risks

design

construction

operation & maintenance

financial

legal

political

social

environmental

special

Page 17: UNECE PPP Best Practice Guide for Road Sector · indicators of the road . For Private Partner: • long-term business with public guaranteed fee . For Public Partner: • transfer

Optimal Risks Allocation in PPP Projects in Road Sector

“Adequate risk allocation is essential to reducing project costs and to ensuring the successful implementation of the project. Conversely, an inappropriate allocation of project risks may compromise the project’s financial viability or hinder its efficient management, thus increasing the cost at which the service is provided” [UNCITRAL]

17

Identification Assessment Allocation Mitigation Monitoring

Main principles of risks allocation:

Risk is assigned to the party which is

able to better manage this risk

Risk should be borne by the party

that will have necessary resources

for risk management

It is important to have balance between the

desirable and the possible, because

‘imposed’ risks may destroy PPP project

in road sector

Parties of PPP project should not

avoid the joint decision making

process

Risks allocation and re-allocation can be

realized during implementation of PPP project in road

sector

Page 18: UNECE PPP Best Practice Guide for Road Sector · indicators of the road . For Private Partner: • long-term business with public guaranteed fee . For Public Partner: • transfer

Type of risks

Tota

lly P

rivat

e Pa

rtne

r

← →

Totally Public Partner

Risks mitigation Risk of design errors √ • granting necessary permissions by the government within determined period of

time, • compensations clauses for both parties

Risk of deviation of the road with technical and economic indicators √

Risk of delays in obtaining permits and approvals √

Risk of errors of geometric road √ Completion risk √ • providing contingency fund,

• lump sum turnkey contracts, • construction monitoring by the independent engineer, • penalties, • liquidated damages, • performance bonds, • compensations clauses for both parties

Risk of poor quality construction √ √ Archaeological risk √ Site risk Risk of latent defects √ Risk of building materials availability √ Project cost overrun √ Traffic risk √ • non-compete clauses,

• revenue sharing bands, • flexible-term contracts, • minimum revenue guarantee, • financial re-balancing

Tariff risk √

Revenue risk √

Risk of the deficit of qualified employees and managers √ • maintenance bonds, • lump sum and fixed time contracts, • performance bonds, • performance guarantees, • warranties, incentives, penalties, performance bonuses, • reliable and secure operation and toll collection technologies

Risk of failure to provide services √ Risk poor-quality services √ Unavailability of road risk √ Risk of changes in the structure of private partner √

Risk of deficit of necessary supplies √

Risk of changes in interest rates √ • interest rate guarantee • concession price and tariffs to be adjusted for inflation during operations, • compensations, • exchange rate guarantees

Currency exchange risk √ Inflation risk √ Risk of not receiving the project funding, including debt funding √

Risk of failure to reach the financial close √ Risk of changes in legislation, including road laws √

• budget compensations, • international institutes of disputes resolutions Risk of unavailability of judicial protection √

Tariff regulatory risk √ Risk of changes in the political situation or government structure √ • compensation clause in PPP agreement,

• government relation campaign, • early regulatory agency involvement in the project development Risk of strikes and riots √

War activities √ Nationalization risk √ Risk of corruption √ Risk of harm to an animal population or flora √ • implementation of valid ecological programs

Risk of social tensions √ • public relations campaign, • introduction of reduced payments for frequent users, • consistent improvement of road’s quality for better public perception Risk of strikes of users √

Risk of the poor condition of the road at return √ • bond guarantee • establishment of the control body • preliminary term of the road return Risk of no-transfer of documents or technology √

Risk of provision of free alternative route √ • performance bonds, • penalties for non-compliance with contractual criteria • non-compete clauses in agreement

Establishment of the freight vehicles routes √

Risk of the decrease of road safety √ Force majeure risk √ • comprehensive insurance coverage,

• compensations

Completion risk

Tota

lly P

rivat

e Pa

rtne

r

Totally Public Partner

• providing contingency fund, • lump-sum turnkey contracts, • construction monitoring by the

independent engineer, • penalties, • liquidated damages, • compensations clauses for both parties

Risk of poor quality construction √ √

Archaeological risk √

Site risk √

Risk of latent defects √

Risk of building materials availability √

Risk of design risks √

Traffic risk √

• non-compete clauses, • revenue sharing mechanisms, • flexible-term contracts, • minimum revenue guarantee, • financial re-balancing

Tariff risk √

Revenue risk √

Risk of provision of free alternative route

• non-compete clauses in agreement, • flexible conditions of PPP agreement, • penalties for non-compliance with

contractual criteria

Establishment of the freight vehicles routes √

Risk of the decrease of road safety √

Risk of harm to an animal population or flora √ • implementation of valid ecological programs

Risk of social tensions √ • public relations campaign, • introduction of reduced payments for

frequent users, • consistent improvement of road’s

quality for better public perception

Risk of strikes of users √

Risks Matrix

Page 19: UNECE PPP Best Practice Guide for Road Sector · indicators of the road . For Private Partner: • long-term business with public guaranteed fee . For Public Partner: • transfer

Russian PPP Projects in Road Sector

Western High-Speed Diameter (St. Petersburg, Russia)

M-11 Moscow – St Petersburg Highway (Russia)

Slavyanka Road (St. Petersburg, Russia)

19

Orlovski Tunnel (St. Petersburg, Russia)

Page 20: UNECE PPP Best Practice Guide for Road Sector · indicators of the road . For Private Partner: • long-term business with public guaranteed fee . For Public Partner: • transfer

M11 Moscow - St. Petersburg Highway (section 15-58 km), BTO Model

Legal Aspects ● Federal Law of the Russian Federation “On Concession Agreements” ● Grantor- Russian Highways (Avtodor) representing the Russian Federation; Concessionaire - North-West Concession Company ● Term of the PPP agreement – 30 years

Financial Aspects ● Payment mechanism – direct toll ● Total funding – 62 billion rubles ● Share of government financing – 39%

Features ● Part of the Moscow - St. Petersburg Highway, construction of which is carried out in several stages – independent investment projects

Risks ● Environmental risks ● Traffic risks ● Social risks: tariff reduction by 29-33% → traffic increase by 15-20%

M11 (section 15-58 km)

Page 21: UNECE PPP Best Practice Guide for Road Sector · indicators of the road . For Private Partner: • long-term business with public guaranteed fee . For Public Partner: • transfer

Orlovski Tunnel, BTO Model

Legal Aspects ● Federal Law of the Russian Federation “On Concession Agreements” ● Grantor- Federal Road Agency (later withdrew the project) and Government of St. Petersburg; Concessionaire - Nevskaya concession company ● Term of the PPP agreement – 30 years

Financial Aspects ● Payment mechanism – direct toll + availability payment based on availability of the road ● Total funding – 54,5 billion rubles ● Equal shares of financing - 33.3% of the investor, the city budget and the investment fund of the Russian Federation

Features ● Project cancellation ● Political risks realized ● Trial: public partner was ordered by Paris Arbitration pay the private partner compensation amounting to EUR 15 million for breach of the concession agreement. Russian Courts allowed not to implement these obligations.

Procurement Process ● Two stage, highly competitive procurement process based on two criteria: - technical criteria with value 0,2 - financial criteria with value 0,8

Orlovski Tunnel

Page 22: UNECE PPP Best Practice Guide for Road Sector · indicators of the road . For Private Partner: • long-term business with public guaranteed fee . For Public Partner: • transfer

Western High-Speed Diameter, BOOT Model

Legal Aspects ● St. Petersburg Regional Law on PPP ● Public partner - Government of St. Petersburg; Private partner - Northern Capital Highway; OJSC “Western High-Speed Diameter ● Term of the PPP agreement – 30 years

Financial Aspects ● Payment mechanism – direct toll mechanism + Minimum Revenue Guarantee ● Total funding – 120 billion rubles ● Debt/Equity ratio - 49%/7% ● Share of government financing – 44%

Features ● Trilateral agreement ● Tariff increase in May 2015 by 20-200% depending on the time of day and vehicle’s category ● Traffic level is above the forecasted level ● Complicated process of land acquisition and expropriation

Procurement Process ● Highly competitive procurement process with participation of 3 international consortia: Ltd. “Baltic Concession Company ‘ Magistral’”; LLC “Northern Capital Highway“; Samsung C&T Corporation (South Korea) ● two evaluation criteria: - legal criteria with value 20% - financial criteria with value 80%

WHSD

Page 23: UNECE PPP Best Practice Guide for Road Sector · indicators of the road . For Private Partner: • long-term business with public guaranteed fee . For Public Partner: • transfer

Roads in residential area “Slavyanka” in St. Petersburg, DBFM Model

Legal Aspects ● St. Petersburg Regional Law on PPP ● Public partner - Government of St. Petersburg; Private partner - “SlavDorService” LLC ● Term of the PPP agreement – 12 years

Financial Aspects ● Payment mechanism – availability payment: public partner pay principal payment + compensate the maintenance costs ● Total funding – 1,1 billion rubles

Features ● Buyout of roads by the public partner ● The first free road PPP project in Russia

Procurement Process ● Highly competitive procurement process with three participants: LLC "SlavDorServis“, LLC "NSC-Monolith“, JSC "General Construction Corporation“ ● Evaluation criteria: - amount of the principal payment - term of the construction - amount of maintenance costs - amount of rent

Slavyanka Roads

Page 24: UNECE PPP Best Practice Guide for Road Sector · indicators of the road . For Private Partner: • long-term business with public guaranteed fee . For Public Partner: • transfer

Features of Selected PPP Projects

PPP Project PPP

Model

Type of road

Payment mechanism Ownership Type of project Traffic risk Success

toll free Direct

toll Availability

Shadow toll

Performance based

Private Public Green field

Brown field

Private Public MRG Profitable

CSF Inter.

Awards

1. A19 Dishforth -Tyne Tunnel, UK DBFO √ √ ◊ √ √ √ √ √ 2. A2, Poland BOT √ √′ √ √ √ √ √ √ √

3. Athens Ring Road, Greece BOT √ √ √ √ √ √ √ 4. BA-093, Brazil BROT √ √ √ √ √ √ √ √ 5.Dakar-Diamniadio, Senegal BOT √ √ √ √ √ √ √ 6. Dushanbe-Chanak, Tajikistan O&M √ √ √ √ √ - - 7. E18 Grimstad-Kristiansand, Norway DBFO √ √′ √ * ◊ √ √ √* √* √ √

8. Istrian, Croatia BTO √ √ √ √ √ √ √ √× √ √ 9. Jiyuan-Dongming, China BOT √ √ √ √ √ - √ 10. Lekki-Epe, Nigeria: 1st section

BOT √ √ √ √ √ - -

2nd section √ √ √ √ √ - - 11. M6 BNRR, UK DBFO √ √ √ √ √ √ √ - - 12. M7, Australia BOOT √ √ √ √ √ √ √ √ 13. M11 (15-58 km), Russia BTO √ √ √ √ √ √ √ 14. North South, Malaysia BOT √ √ √ √ √ √ √ √ √ 15. Orlovski Tunnel, Russia BTO √ √ √ √ √ √ √ √ - - - 16. Rosario-Victoria Bridge, Argentina BTO √ √ √ √ √ √ √

17. Sea-to-Sky, Canada DBFO √ ** √ √ √ √** √ √ 18. Slavyanka Roads, Russia DBFM √ √ √ √ - - - √ √ 19. Tuni Anakapalli, India BOT

Annuity √ √ √ √ - - - √ √

20. WHSD, Russia BOOT √ √ √ √ √ √ √ √ √ √ ′ - toll revenues are transferred to public partner * - compensation to private partner for extra road wear should the traffic level exceed a certain level compared with those forecasted by the government ** - vehicle usage payments - a 1.2 per cent change in the payments to private partner if there is a 10 % variance in traffic volume (either increase or decrease) - Provincial Base Case traffic forecast in any given year revenues from tolls are not sufficient to cover project costs × - revenues from tolls are not sufficient to cover project costs, profitability is reached due to public contributions ◊ - performance based incentives for private partner

Page 25: UNECE PPP Best Practice Guide for Road Sector · indicators of the road . For Private Partner: • long-term business with public guaranteed fee . For Public Partner: • transfer

BOT Model

PPP Project PPP Model

Type of road Payment mechanism Ownership Type of project Traffic risk Success

toll free Direct toll

Avai

labi

lity

Shad

ow to

ll

Perfo

rman

ce b

ased

Private

Publ

ic

Greenfield Brownfield Private

Publ

ic

MR

G

Profitable CSF

Inte

r. Aw

ards

Athens Ring Road, Greece BOT √ √ √ √ √ √ √

BA-093, Brazil BROT √ √ √ √ √ √ √ √

Dakar-Diamniadio, Senegal

BOT √ √ √ √ √ √ √

Page 26: UNECE PPP Best Practice Guide for Road Sector · indicators of the road . For Private Partner: • long-term business with public guaranteed fee . For Public Partner: • transfer

BTO Model

PPP Project

PPP Model

Type of road Payment mechanism Ownership Type of project Traffic risk Success

toll free Direct toll

Avai

labi

lity

Shad

ow to

ll

Perfo

rman

ce b

ased

Priv

ate

Public Greenfield

Brow

nfie

ld

Private

Publ

ic

MR

G

Profitable CSF

Inte

r. Aw

ards

M11 (15-58 km), Russia BTO √ √ √ √ √ √ √

Rosario-Victoria bridge, Argentina

BTO √ √ √ √ √ √ √

Page 27: UNECE PPP Best Practice Guide for Road Sector · indicators of the road . For Private Partner: • long-term business with public guaranteed fee . For Public Partner: • transfer

DBFO Model

PPP Project PPP Model

Type of road Payment mechanism Ownership Type of project Traffic risk Success

toll free

Dire

ct to

ll

Avai

labi

lity

Shadow toll

Performance based Pr

ivat

e

Public

Gre

enfie

ld

Brownfield Private

Publ

ic

MR

G

Profitable CSF

Inte

r. Aw

ards

A19 Dishforth -Tyne Tunnel, UK

DBFO √ √ √ √ √ √ √

Sea-to-Sky, Canada DBFO √ ** √ √ √ √** √ √

PPP Project PPP Model

Type of road Payment mechanism Ownership Type of project Traffic risk Success

toll free Direct

toll Availability

Shadow toll

Perfo

rman

ce

base

d

Priv

ate

Public

Gre

enfie

ld

Brownfield Private Public

MR

G

Profitable CSF

Inte

r. Aw

ards

E18 Grimstad-Kristiansand, Norway

DBFO √ √′ √ * √ √ √* √* √ √

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DBFM Model

PPP Project

PPP Model

Type of road Payment mechanism Ownership Type of project Traffic risk Success

toll free

Dire

ct to

ll

Availability Sh

adow

toll

Perfo

rman

ce b

ased

Priv

ate

Public Greenfield

Brow

nfie

ld

Private Public MRG Profitable CSF

Inte

r. Aw

ards

Slavyanka Roads, Russia

DBFM √ √ √ √ - - - √ √

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Financing Models

Project Country Total cost Budget size Type of road Payment mechanism

(for private party) Debt / equity ratio (in % of total

funding) Share of government

financing toll free

1. A19 Dishforth -Tyne Tunnel UK GBP 30 mln. Low √ Shadow toll

2. A2 Poland EUR 1.6 bn. High √ Direct toll & availability payment 88%/12% -

3. Athens Ring Road Greece EUR 1.35 bn. High √ Direct toll 50%/12% 31%

4. BA-093 Brazil R$ 1.6 bn. Medium √ Direct toll …

5. Dakar-Diamniadio Senegal $ 0.26 bn. Low √ Direct toll

6. Dushanbe-Chanak Tajikistan √ Direct toll

7. E18 Grimstad-Kristiansand Norway EUR 0.35 bn. Medium √ Availability payment (with performance bonuses & penalties) 80% - debt -

8. Istrian Croatia EUR 1.2 bn. High √ Direct toll (with MRG and revenue sharing scheme) 85%/15% (1A) 65%/15% (1B)

0% (1A) 20% (1B)

9. Jiyuan-Dongming China CNY 2.6 bn. Medium √ Direct toll 65%/35% -

10. Lekki-Epe: 1st section Nigeria $ 0.45 bn. Medium

√ Direct toll 83%/17% -

2nd section √ Shadow toll

11. M6 BNRR UK GBP 0.9 bn. High √ Direct toll & availability payment 69% - debt -

12. M7 Australia $ 2.3 bn. High √ Direct toll (with revenue sharing scheme) 55%/45% -

13. M11 (15-58 km) Russia RUR 59.6 bn. High √ Direct toll 39%

14. North South Malaysia $ 3.2 bn. High √ Direct toll (with MRG) 49%/12% 39%

15. Orlovski Tunnel Russia RUR 54.6 bn. High √ Direct toll & availability payment 0%/33% 67%

16. Rosario-Victoria Bridge, Argentina Argentina $ 0.43 bn. Medium √ Direct toll 17%/35% 48%

17. Sea-to-Sky Canada $ 0.8 bn. Medium √ Availability payment (with performance incentive payments and vehicle usage payments)

18. Slavyanka Roads Russia RUR 1.1 bn. Low √ Availability payment

19. Tuni Anakapalli India $ 70 mln. Low √ Availability (annuity) payment 75%/25% -

20. WHSD Russia RUR 120 bn. High √ Direct toll (with MRG and revenue sharing scheme) 49%/7% 44%

[1] Using a typology similar to that of BENEFIT project (http://www.benefit4transport.eu/index.php/reports): Low (< EUR 300 mln.), Medium (EUR 300-1000 mln.), High (> EUR 1000 mln.) [2] Debt includes both loans of commercial banks and development banks (e.g., EIB, China Development Bank, etc.)

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ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS

Members of BENEFIT project and UNECE Team for PPP Standard Development: • Athena Roumboutsos • Alfredo Lucente • Rosario Macario • Naresh Bana • Suresh Mittal • Felix Villalba-Romero

Hong Kong Polytechnic University: • Prof. Albert Chan

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Thank you for your attention!

31

Center for PPP Studies GSOM SPbU [email protected]