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The Pennsylvania State University The Graduate School UNDERSTANDING INTERVENTION EFFECTS BY CONDUCTING MEDIATION ANALYSIS OF THE RESULTS OF A FACTORIAL OPTIMIZATION TRIAL A Thesis in Human Development and Family Studies by Jillian C. Strayhorn © 2019 Jillian C. Strayhorn Submitted in Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements for the Degree of Master of Science August 2019

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The Pennsylvania State University

The Graduate School

UNDERSTANDING INTERVENTION EFFECTS BY CONDUCTING MEDIATION

ANALYSIS OF THE RESULTS OF A FACTORIAL OPTIMIZATION TRIAL

A Thesis in

Human Development and Family Studies

by

Jillian C. Strayhorn

© 2019 Jillian C. Strayhorn

Submitted in Partial Fulfillment

of the Requirements

for the Degree of

Master of Science

August 2019

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The thesis of Jillian C. Strayhorn was reviewed and approved* by the following:

Linda M. Collins

Distinguished Professor of Human Development and Family Studies

Thesis Adviser

Timothy Brick

Assistant Professor of Human Development and Family Studies

Lisa Gatzke-Kopp

Professor of Human Development and Family Studies

Professor-In-Charge of the Graduate Program

*Signatures are on file in the Graduate School.

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Abstract

Introduction. Many behavior change interventions operate by identifying and then targeting

important mediators that are hypothesized to produce change in the outcome of interest

(MacKinnon, 2008). Mediation analysis of an intervention trial’s outcomes provides a way of

evaluating the hypotheses that link an intervention to a mediator and a mediator to an outcome.

In this thesis, we demonstrate a novel approach to mediation analysis that enables the evaluation

of hypotheses about individual intervention components. Using empirical data, we show how

mediation analysis of a factorial optimization trial conducted within the multiphase optimization

strategy framework (MOST; Collins, 2018) can provide insight into why intervention

components were or were not effective. We explore three research questions about mediation in

the factorial optimization trial of Opt-IN, a weight loss intervention for overweight adults

(Pellegrini et al., 2014; Pellegrini et al., 2015). First, can mediation analysis help explain the

significant main effect of Buddy Training in the Opt-IN trial? Second, can mediation analysis

help explain the non-significance of the “High” versus “Low” dose of Coaching Calls in Opt-IN?

Third, can mediation analysis help explain a three-way interaction effect that played an important

role in the Opt-IN decision making? Method. Mediation analyses were performed using

structural equation models with intervention component main effects and interaction effects as

independent variables, a social cognitive or supportive accountability variable as the mediator,

and weight loss as the outcome. Results. The intervention component with a significant main

effect, Buddy Training, had important indirect effects on Weight Change through each of its

target mediators: Self-Efficacy, Self-Regulation, and Facilitation. The intervention component

with a surprisingly non-significant main effect, Coaching Calls, did not appear to successfully

target any of the hypothesized mediators. The important interaction effect appeared to have an

indirect effect on Restraint; this indirect effect appeared to imply an interaction effect on the

mediator. Discussion. Implications for the continual optimization of the Opt-IN intervention are

considered.

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Table of Contents

List of Tables…………………………………………………….v

List of Figures……………………………………………………vi

Introduction………………………………………………………1

Methods…………………………………………………………..10

Results……………………………………………………………24

Discussion………………………………………………………..31

Appendix A: Full Table of Effect Codes, Opt-IN ………………55

Appendix B: All Mediation Analysis Results...…………………59

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List of Tables

Table 1. b weights for the effect of Coaching Calls on the putative mediators

Table 2. Means, standard deviations, and correlations: Individual Timepoints (month in

parentheses)

Table 3. b weights for social cognitive and supportive accountability variables as predictors of

weight change (6-month weight – baseline weight)

Table 4. b weights for the effect of Coaching Calls on the putative mediators

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List of Figures

Figure 1. Intervention model (adapted from MacKinnon, 2008, pg. 39)

Figure 2. Example single mediator model

Figure 3. Participant screening in Opt-IN (Source: Spring et al., presentation at DSMB meeting,

December 2017)

Figure 4. Opt-IN experimental conditions (adapted from Pellegrini et al., 2015)

Figure 5. Example single mediator model, Opt-IN

Figure 6. Buddy×PCP×Text Interaction: Outcome = Change in Restraint

Figure 7. Buddy×PCP×Text Interaction: Outcome = Weight Change

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Introduction

The persistence of behavior-related public health problems – tobacco use (CDC, 2012),

obesity (Ogden et al., 2014), depression and anxiety (Kessler, Chiu, & Demler, 2005), and

interpersonal violence (Acierno, Resnick, & Kilpatrick, 2016), among others – has motivated the

continued development of behavior change interventions. In the United States, the translation of

basic science findings into effective interventions capable of being successfully implemented and

disseminated is one of the priorities of the National Institutes of Health (NIH; Guastaferro &

Collins, 2019). Billions of dollars have been invested into the development of behavioral

interventions, and still there remains urgent need for interventions that are effective, efficient,

economical and immediately scalable (Collins, 2018).

Many behavior change interventions operate using a similar strategy: identifying and then

targeting important behavioral antecedents of the outcome of interest (Collins, Graham, &

Flaherty, 2010). Consider a hypothetical weight loss intervention that identifies self-efficacy for

dieting (Stich et al., 2009) as an important causal factor in weight loss. This intervention makes

the following assumption: participants who believe that they can resist diet-related temptations

will more successfully do so and will lose more weight. To produce the desired outcome,

therefore, the intervention targets—in other words, provides content hypothesized to increase—

self-efficacy for dieting. In this example, self-efficacy for dieting is a mediator of the

intervention’s effect on weight loss.

Testing the Hypotheses Underlying a Behavioral Intervention: Mediation Analysis

The described way of thinking about how a behavioral intervention produces effects is

depicted in Figure 1 (MacKinnon, 2008). Here, “Action Theory” refers to theory about how the

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intervention produces change in the mediator, and “Conceptual Theory” refers to theory about

how the mediator influences the outcome (Chen, 1990).

Mediation analysis offers a method of testing each of these links: the action theory link

and the conceptual theory link. Did the intervention produce change in the mediator (through the

action theory link) as hypothesized? Was the mediator associated with the outcome (through the

conceptual theory link), as hypothesized? An example single mediator model is depicted in

Figure 2. In mediation analysis with a single mediator, the total effect of the intervention

program on the outcome is parsed into: 1) an indirect effect from the intervention program (X) to

the outcome (Y) through the mediator (M), and 2) a direct effect from the intervention program

(X) to the outcome (Y) not through the mediator (M).

In this example, the indirect effect of the intervention on Weight Loss through Self-

Efficacy is the product of the a path (from the intervention to Self-Efficacy) and the b path (from

Self-Efficacy to Weight Loss). The effect of the intervention on Weight Loss not through Self-

Efficacy is the c’ path. In classic mediation terms, this c’ path is known as the direct effect

(MacKinnon, 2008). In the case of a behavior change intervention, a substantial c’ path likely

means that the intervention had some effect on the outcome through some other unmodeled (or

even unmeasured) mediator. The error terms e2 and e3 are the residual terms of two regression

equations: 1) the regression of Weight Loss on both the intervention and Self-Efficacy and 2) the

regression of Self-Efficacy on the intervention, respectively.

The Present Thesis

There is a substantial history behind mediation analysis of the results of randomized

control trials (RCTs; Kraemer & Fairburn, 2002). Performed on the results of an RCT, mediation

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analysis is well equipped to yield evidence about the functioning of an intervention package as a

whole. However, conclusions drawn about mediation of the effect of the intervention package as

a whole may have limited utility, particularly when an intervention contains multiple

intervention components, each targeting its own mediator. Recall the hypothetical weight loss

intervention above. Imagine that instead of targeting only self-efficacy for dieting this

intervention was expanded to include an intervention component targeting supportive

accountability (Mohr, Cujipers, & Lehmen, 2011). Now, one component of the intervention is

hypothesized to target self-efficacy for dieting and another component is hypothesized to target

supportive accountability. Mediation analysis of an RCT of this intervention package would not

be able to distinguish between these different causal pathways; such analysis could evaluate the

whole intervention’s effects on either of these mediators, but it could not evaluate the hypotheses

that connected a particular intervention component to a particular target mediator.

In this thesis, we will consider a novel approach to mediation analysis—one that is

capable of providing evidence at the level of the individual intervention component. In this

approach, which falls within the multiphase optimization strategy (MOST; Collins, 2018)

framework, mediation analysis is performed on the results of a factorial optimization trial of an

intervention, rather than on the results of an RCT. A factorial optimization trial yields one main

effect estimate for each intervention component and one interaction effect for each permutation

of two or more intervention components. Mediation analysis of the results of a factorial

optimization trial enables the evaluation of mediation of each main effect and each interaction

effect.

To our knowledge, mediation analysis of the results of a factorial optimization trial has

previously been considered only by Smith, Coffman, and Zhu (2018), who describe a case study

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of mediation analysis in a 24 factorial experiment. This thesis is intended to build upon the

foundation that Smith, Coffman, and Zhu (2018) provide. We demonstrate mediation analysis of

the results of a factorial optimization trial using the results of the 25 factorial optimization trial of

Opt-IN (Pellegrini et al., 2014; Pellegrini et al., 2015), a 6-month weight loss intervention for

overweight adults. We use these analyses to examine surprising results from the Opt-IN trial,

including: a significant main effect, a non-significant main effect, and an important interaction

effect.

There appears to have been particularly little work done in the study of mediation of

interaction effects in factorial optimization trials. In this thesis we draw upon the literature on

mediated moderation (Morgan-Lopez & MacKinnon, 2006) to explore what the mediation of a

factorial interaction effect might mean. Ultimately, we consider how mediation analysis of the

results of an optimization trial may yield conclusions relevant to the incremental improvement of

Opt-IN and of weight loss interventions more generally.

The Factorial Optimization Trial of Opt-IN

MOST consists of three phases: 1) Preparation, 2) Optimization, and 3) Evaluation. In the

Preparation phase, intervention components are identified and linked with target mediators in a

conceptual model. In the Optimization phase, an optimization trial is conducted to enable the

identification of the intervention components that have important main effects and/or interaction

effects on the outcome. The optimization trial may be carried out with a variety of experimental

designs (Collins, 2018); here, we limit our focus to the 2k factorial experiment. If the

optimization trial identifies a combination of components that meets the pre-defined optimization

criterion, then that set of components is defined as the optimized intervention. If the optimized

intervention is deemed effective enough, then it is tested by RCT in the Evaluation phase.

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One of the fundamental principles of MOST is the continual optimization principle, or

the idea that interventions should be improved systematically and iteratively (Collins, 2018). A

single optimization trial may motivate subsequent optimization trials—whether of the same

intervention, of the intervention supplemented with more components or updated components, or

of a single component within the intervention. From the perspective of the continual optimization

principle, the goal of a single optimization trial is not only to produce an optimized intervention

but also to contribute to the incremental improvement of intervention science more generally.

The decision to optimize Opt-IN was motivated by the fact that, though there are various

weight loss intervention packages that have been deemed effective in RCTs, these intervention

packages are too expensive to be disseminated in full (Pellegrini et al., 2014; Pellegrini et al.,

2015). If one of these prohibitively expensive intervention packages is implemented at all, it is

likely to be modified so that it is less expensive—for example, through the removal of a

component, the reduction of a component’s dosage, or the modification of a component’s

delivery mechanism. However, because the active ingredients of the intervention package are

unclear, any such ad hoc modifications risk altering the intervention to the point that it is no

longer effective. Thus, the primary goal of the Opt-IN project was to develop a weight loss

intervention that is both effective and scalable. The secondary goal was to test the theories

linking certain intervention components with certain target mediators. Both goals were believed

to have important potential to shape the continual optimization of Opt-IN and of other

interventions in the weight loss domain.

In the Preparation phase, the Opt-IN team drew upon both behavior change theory and

current practice to develop the Opt-IN intervention (Pellegrini et al., 2014). Four hypothesized

mediators were selected as targets for Opt-IN’s intervention components. Three of these were

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derived from social cognitive theory (Bandura, 1991): Self-Efficacy, or the belief in one’s

abilities to carry out certain behaviors; Self-Regulation, or the resisting of temptations and

impulses; and Facilitation, or the experience of being exposed to environmental factors that

facilitate certain behaviors. The fourth, Supportive Accountability, or social support that

promotes intervention adherence, was derived from a model of the same name (Mohr, Cujipers,

& Lehmen, 2011). Five experimental intervention components were developed to target these

four hypothesized mediators. Components, mediators, and the outcome, weight loss, were linked

in a conceptual model.

In the Optimization phase, Opt-IN’s five intervention components were operationalized

as two-level factors:

1) Coaching Calls, or telephone-based sessions with a weight-loss coach. These

coaching calls were hypothesized to target the Supportive Accountability mediator.

Given the consensus that holding more weight loss coaching sessions yields better

outcomes, whether coaching is done in person (Wadden et al., 2005) or by phone

(Sherwood et al., 2009), the Coaching Calls factor was constructed with the levels

“Low” and “High” (12 sessions and 24 sessions, respectively).

2) Text Messages, or regular text reminders about physical activity and weight loss

goals. Text messages were hypothesized to target each of the social cognitive

mediators: Self-Efficacy, Self-Regulation, and Facilitation. The Text Messages factor

was constructed with levels “Off” and “On.”

3) Buddy Training, or the provision of training for the weight loss buddies that all

participants selected from their existing social support systems. Buddy training was

hypothesized to target each of the social cognitive mediators: Self-Efficacy, Self-

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Regulation, and Facilitation. The Buddy Training factor was constructed with levels

“Off” and “On.”

4) Meal Replacement Recommendations (Meal), or the provision of meal samples and

recommendations to use meal replacements regularly. This component was

hypothesized to target the social cognitive mediators: Self-Efficacy, Self-Regulation,

and Facilitation. The Meal Replacements factor was constructed with levels “Off”

and “On.”

5) Contact with a Primary Care Physician (PCP), or the communication of updates

about participants’ weight loss goals to their primary care physicians. PCP Contact

was hypothesized to target all four mediators: Supportive Accountability, Self-

Efficacy, Self-Regulation, and Facilitation. The PCP factor was constructed with

levels “Off” and “On.”

These two-level factors were tested in a full 25 factorial optimization trial, which

produced estimates of the main effect of each component and the interactions involving two,

three, four, or all five components. The results were met with some surprise (Spring et al., In

preparation). First, contrary to the team’s expectations, only one of the five experimental

intervention components, Buddy Training, had a significant main effect on Weight Change;

participants who were in a condition with Buddy Training experienced greater weight loss, on

average. Second, there was no significant main effect for Coaching Calls; participants in a

condition with 24 calls performed no better than did participants in a condition with 12 calls.

Third, there was an important, statistically significant interaction effect—a three-way interaction

between Buddy Training, PCP, and Text Messages—that suggested that PCP Contact should be

included in the optimized intervention, even though it did not have a main effect. The resulting

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optimized intervention was: Buddy Training set to “On,” PCP set to “On,” Coaching Calls set to

“Low,” and Text Messages and Meal set to “Off.”

These surprising findings prompted questions about mediation in Opt-IN. Did Buddy

Training have the hypothesized effects on each of the social cognitive mediators? Did the “High”

versus “Low” level of Coaching Calls fail to successfully target supportive accountability—or

maybe, was supportive accountability not associated with weight loss as hypothesized? Can

mediation of the three-way interaction effect between Buddy Training, PCP, and Text Messages

help explain why this interaction played such an important role in the identification of the

optimized intervention?

Research Questions and Hypotheses

Research Question 1: Can the significant main effect of Buddy Training be

understood in terms of indirect effects through the social cognitive mediators? As noted

previously, the Buddy Training component was a priori theorized to target each of the social

cognitive mediators. To investigate these links, we test the following hypotheses:

Hypothesis 1(a): Buddy Training has a significant indirect effect on Weight Change

through Self-Efficacy.

Hypothesis 1(b): Buddy Training has a significant indirect effect on Weight Change

through Self-Regulation.

Hypothesis 1(c): Buddy Training has a significant indirect effect on Weight Change

through Facilitation.

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Research Question 2: Can the ineffectiveness of the “High” versus “Low” level of

Coaching Calls be understood in terms of a disruption in a mediation pathway from

Coaching Calls to Supportive Accountability to Weight Change? The Coaching Calls

component was a priori theorized to target Supportive Accountability. A disruption in a

mediation pathway from Coaching Calls to Supportive Accountability to Weight Change could

mean one of three things:

1) that the mediator, Supportive Accountability, was not associated with Weight Change

(disruption of the b path);

2) that Coaching Calls had no effect on Supportive Accountability (disruption of the a

path);

3) or both: that Coaching Calls had no effect on Supportive Accountability, which was

not associated with Weight Change (disruption of the a and b paths).

If there is no evidence of any such disruption, another possible reason for the relative

ineffectiveness of the “High” versus “Low” level of Coaching Calls is suppression, or the

presence of indirect and direct effects that, operating in opposing directions, cancel each other

out (such that a and b are not disrupted, but c’ is an opposing effect).

To investigate the possibility of disruption, we test the following hypotheses:

Hypothesis 2(a): Supportive Accountability is associated with Weight Change.

Hypothesis 2(b): Coaching Calls has a significant main effect on Supportive

Accountability.

We expect that one or both of these hypotheses will be falsified (suggesting disruption).

If neither is falsified we will also carry out exploratory analyses to investigate the possibility of

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suppression as an alternative explanation for the relative ineffectiveness of “High” versus “Low”

level of Coaching Calls.

Research Question 3: Can the important three-way interaction between Buddy

Training, PCP, and Text Messages be understood in terms of mediation? There were no a

priori hypotheses about the mediation of interaction effects. We have no reason to expect the

three-way interaction between Buddy Training, PCP, and Text Messages to be mediated by a

specific social cognitive or supportive accountability variable. Still, we expect that the three-way

interaction between Buddy Training, PCP, and Text Messages is mediated by at least one of the

putative mediators. We investigate this possibility and consider what mediation of the three-way

Buddy Training by PCP by Text Messages interaction might mean, conceptually and empirically.

Methods

Participants

The factorial optimization trial of Opt-IN included 562 weight stable adults (82%

females, n = 459) between ages 18 and 60 (M = 38.65; SD = 11.82), with baseline BMIs between

25 and 40 (M = 32.28; SD = 3.57). Baseline weight in BMI units was approximately normally

distributed. The majority of participants identified as White (74.2%, n = 417); the rest, as Black

or African American (15.5%, n = 87), more than one race (5%, n = 28), Asian (3%, n = 16),

American Indian or Alaska Native (<1%, n = 5), Native Hawaiian or Other Pacific Islander

(<1%, n = 1), or Unknown (1.5%, n = 8).

Participants were recruited for the trial via paper and online advertisements and then

screened via online, telephone, and finally in-person screeners. Individuals were screened out for

specific logistical or behavioral reasons, for example if they reported taking certain medications,

met criteria for bulimia or substance abuse (other than nicotine dependence), or reported suicidal

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ideation. Participants were required to obtain a physician’s permission to enroll in the study, and

were also required to nominate a buddy who could be called upon to participate, in person or

remotely. Figure 3 summarizes the participant screening and selection process.

Because of a change in experimental design that occurred part-way through recruitment,

participants were recruited in two cohorts. The original intention was to study the five

intervention components using a fractional factorial design (Pellegrini et al., 2014), a special case

of the factorial experiment that enables the estimation of key effects, including main effects and

lower-order interactions, using fewer experimental conditions (Collins, 2018). However, when

enrollment in the intended sixteen conditions was nearly half complete, it was discovered that,

due to a clerical error, the intended design was not in fact the design being implemented. As

described in Pellegrini et al. (2015), the decision was made to expand the design to a full 25

factorial. The remaining sixteen experimental conditions were added, and the remaining half of

participants were randomized to the new conditions. As a result, the time of randomization

differed across experimental conditions, thus defining the two participant cohorts. In the primary

analysis of the results of the Opt-IN trial (Spring et al., In Preparation), the effects of cohort

were considered and found to be non-significant; there were no apparent differences associated

with the time of randomization. As a result, cohort was not considered further in the following

analyses. The experimental design for the full 25 factorial appears in Figure 4.

In a 2k factorial trial the traditional approach is to code the two-level factors using effect

coding, in which the two levels of each main effect are coded with +1 and -1. Typical practice is

to let +1 represent the “High” or “On” level and -1, the “Low” or “Off” level. To code

interaction terms, the main effect vectors corresponding to the factors involved in the interaction

are multiplied. Effect coding has a number of advantages (Kugler, Dziak, and Trail, 2018); one

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of these is the fact that the thirty-one main and interaction effects from a 25 factorial experiment

are uncorrelated and orthogonal. A full table of effect codes for the design used in Opt-IN is

provided in Appendix A.

The main effect of each intervention component is calculated by comparing, component

by component, the mean of all conditions set at one factor level (in this case, “On” or “High”) to

the mean of all conditions set at the other factor level (“Off” or “Low”). For Coaching, for

example, the main effect is computed as the difference between two means: that of conditions 9

through 16 and 25 through 32 and that of conditions 1 through 8 and 17 through 24. As can be

seen in Figure 4, conditions 9 through 16 and 25 through 32 are those for which Coaching is set

to “High”; conditions 1 through 8 and 17 through 24 are those for which Coaching is set to

“Low.”

If the effect of one component varies depending on the factor level another component

was set to, there is a two-way interaction; two-way interactions between components are

calculated by comparing the differences in cell means when two components are set to “On” (or

“High”) and when two components are set to “Off” (or “Low”). If a two-way interaction differs

as a function of a third component, there is a three-way interaction. In a 25 factorial trial like that

of Opt-IN, up to a five-way interaction may be calculated. The full set of effects includes: five

main effects, ten two-way interactions, ten three-way interactions, five four-way interactions,

and one five-way interaction.

The following depicts the regression equation for the calculation of each of these main

and interaction effects. All thirty-one effects, the five main effects through the five-way

interaction effect, are included as independent variables.

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E(Weight Change) = b0 + b1(Buddy Training) + b2(Coaching Calls) + b3(PCP) +

b4(Text Messages) + b5(Meal) + b6(B×C) + b7(B×P) + b8(B×T) + b9(B×M)

+ b10(C×P) + … + b31(B×C×P×T×M)

Measures

Anthropometric Measures. Weight was assessed in person using a calibrated beam

balance scale; height, with a stadiometer. If a participant was not able to come in for an in-person

assessment, a self-report of weight was accepted instead. BMI was calculated using the

following formula: weight in pounds/(height in inches)2 x 704.5.

Self-Efficacy. Two types of self-efficacy were assessed: Self-Efficacy for Dieting and

Self-Efficacy for Exercise. Self-Efficacy for Dieting was quantified as the total score of the

Scenario-Based Dieting Self-Efficacy Scale (Stich et al., 2009), which has a reported α of 0.87

and a reported test-retest correlation of r = 0.83 over a 2- to 3-week interval (Stich et al., 2009).

This scale asks participants to rate how likely they are to resist food-related temptations in a

varied collection of scenarios.

Self-efficacy for Exercise was assessed using the 18-item Self-Efficacy of Exercise

Behavior Change measure (Marcus et al., 1992), which prompts participants to report how likely

they are to exercise even when “other things get in the way,” such as inclement weather or

depression.

Self-Regulation. Self-regulation in eating and dieting was measured using the Restraint

and Disinhibition factors of the Three Factor Eating Questionnaire (Stunkard & Messick, 1985).

Both of these factors are conceptualized as distinct but related features of dieting behavior; it is

theorized that “restrained eating” is associated with “counter-regulation” behavior in which a

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person eats more and not less after an indulgence, such as a milkshake. This is theorized to be

true particularly for those with higher disinhibition, for example due to dysphoric emotions, even

depression (Stunkard & Messick, 1985). Both factors, Restraint and Disinhibition, are

characterized by high internal consistency, with α = 0.90 and α = 0.87, respectively.

Autonomous versus Controlled motivation for self-regulation was assessed using the

subscales of the Treatment Self-Regulation Questionnaire (TSRQ). For the full Controlled

Motivation subscale, α = 0.79; for the full Autonomous Motivation subscale, α = 0.58 (Williams

et al., 1996). At baseline, Controlled Motivation was assessed with 12 items, including “I

decided to enter this weight loss program because people will like me better when I’m thin,” and

Autonomous Motivation was assessed with 6 items, including “I decided to enter this weight loss

program because I really want to makes some changes in my life.” Items were rated using a 7-

point Likert scale (1=not at all true; 7=very true). At follow-up, a shortened version of the TSRQ

specific to “Continued Program Participation” was used; in this version, Controlled Motivation

was assessed with 8 items and Autonomous Motivation was assessed with 5 items.

Supportive Accountability. Therapeutic Alliance was measured using the 20-item

Combined Alliance Short Form- Patient Version (CASF-P), which is reported to have internal

consistency of α =.93 (Hatcher & Barends, 1996). Items of the CASF-P included “I am confident

in my coach’s ability to help me” and “My coach and I are working towards mutually agreed

upon goals.”

Perceived Autonomy Support was measured using an adapted version of the Perceived

Autonomy Support Scale for Exercise Settings (PASSES; α = .92) (Hagger et al., 2007). This 12-

item scale was adapted to the coaching calls context, with items like “I am able to talk to my

coach about the active sports and/or exercise I do in my free time.”

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Facilitation. Facilitation was measured using three items that asked participants to rate

how much the study tools helped them to 1) “eat healthier,” 2) “be more physically active,” and

3) “lose weight.” Ratings were provided on a 5-point Likert scale (1=Not at all; 5=Very much).

A mean score was used to summarize the three items.

Occasions

Data was collected in three waves: at baseline, 3 months, and 6 months. Weight was

measured on all three occasions, as were 6 of the 9 potential mediators: Dieting Self-Efficacy,

Self-Efficacy for Exercise, Restraint, Disinhibition, Autonomous Motivation and Controlled

Motivation. The remaining 3 potential mediators, Therapeutic Alliance, Perceived Autonomy

Support, and Facilitation, were measured on the second and third occasions only, at 3- and 6-

month timepoints. Participants were offered financial incentives to complete the in-person

assessments at 3 and 6 months, including $20 per follow-up and reimbursement for parking.

Participants’ weight loss buddies did not participate in assessments, but those in training were

incentivized up to $40 for completion of trainings and webinars.

Data Analysis

Variables and Occasions. Because the 6-month weight outcome was deemed to have the

greatest relevance for public health (Spring et al., In preparation), this project focuses on

baseline-to-6-month Weight Change. We chose to operationalize our dependent variable as

“Weight Change”: 6-month weight minus baseline weight. As a result, negative Weight Change

indicates successful weight loss; if a person weighed 250 lbs at the beginning of the study and

235 lbs at the end of the study, then that person’s Weight Change was defined as -15.

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Six of the potential mediators were also defined as change scores: Self-Efficacy for

Dieting, Self-Efficacy for Exercise, Restraint, Disinhibition, Autonomous Motivation, and

Controlled Motivation. To compute these six change scores, we subtracted the baseline score

from the 3-month score; for these six mediator change scores, like the weight change score, a

negative sign implies loss and a positive sign implies gain. If that hypothetical person above

reported a Self-Efficacy for Dieting of 20 at baseline and 30 at the 3-month timepoint, then the

person’s Self-Efficacy for Dieting change score will be +10.

The remaining three potential mediators, Therapeutic Alliance, Perceived Autonomy

Support, and Facilitation, were operationalized using the 3-month measures themselves. These

three variables were not measured at baseline; they were specific to the study tools (the coaching,

the app, etc.) and therefore captured change from the pre-intervention timepoint without any

need for subtraction.

Defining the Putative Mediators. Nine social cognitive and supportive accountability

variables were considered as potential mediators. The first step to identifying any of these as a

mediator was to confirm that the variable did predict Weight Change in a regression like the one

that follows. In this example, the potential mediator is the Self-Efficacy for Dieting change score

(3-month score – baseline score). In this example equation, the effect of Self-Efficacy for Dieting

on the weight change score (6-month score – baseline score) is tested while controlling for the

thirty-one main effect and interaction effect terms.

Weight Change = i2 + c’1(Buddy Training) + c’2(Coaching Calls) + c’3(PCP) +

c’4(Text Messages) + c’5(Meal) + c’6(B×C) + c’7(B×P) + c’8(B×T) +

c’9(B×M) + c’10(C×P) + … + c’31(B×C×P×T×M) + b(Self-Efficacy for

Dieting) + e2

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Even if the potential mediator (in this example, Self-Efficacy for Dieting) is

found to predict Weight Change, the variable has still not been tested as a mediator. Only

a single pathway, the b path, has been confirmed. Therefore, if a variable was found to

predict Weight Change, we defined it as a putative mediator and continued to test it in

mediation analyses. If a variable was not found to predict Weight Change, we used that

particular variable as the outcome of a separate 25 factorial analysis to determine whether

it was affected by any of the components. We did not use that variable further as a

putative mediator. We chose to set alpha at 0.05 for the identification of putative

mediators; given the large number of associations to be tested in each single mediator

model, we wanted to err on the side of caution in identifying the mediators to be tested.

Model Selection. We chose to evaluate separate single mediator models for each of the

putative mediators. We included all thirty-one independent variables, the five main effects and

twenty-six interaction effects, in each model. The decision to include all thirty-one independent

variables was motivated by the goal of evaluating the mediation of both main effects and

interaction effects. An example model with Self-Efficacy for Dieting as the mediator is provided

in Figure 5.

The decision to set up separate single-mediator models instead of a multiple mediator

model was motivated by the overarching purpose of the analyses: to test hypotheses linking

specific intervention effects to specific putative mediators. A single mediator model considers

the following question: can change in a particular mediator (or a lack thereof) explain some of

the effects (or lack of effects) of a particular intervention component (or combination of

components)? A single mediator model does not take into account the possible interrelationships

among putative mediators. It cannot speak to the relative roles of different mediating constructs.

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Instead, a single mediator model provides an important check: did the intervention component

effect target the mediator or mediators it was intended to target?

Because the putative mediators are derived from the 3-month measures and the outcome

is derived from the 6-month measure, the resulting single-mediator models evaluate how change

that occurs over the first 3 months of the study is associated with Weight Change over the full 6

months. For a model with a change score mediator—say, Self-Efficacy for Dieting—mediation

analyses may speak to how a given component produces change in the mediator over 3 months

and how that change over 3 months is associated with Weight Change over the full 6 months. For

a model with a 3-month-score mediator—say, Therapeutic Alliance—mediation analyses may

speak to how a given component produces Therapeutic Alliance at 3 months and how that 3-

month Therapeutic Alliance is associated with Weight Change over the full 6 months. These

models do not take into account any subsequent changes in the mediators that may have occurred

from 3 to 6 months.

Guiding Principles. Given the inherent complexity of a model with thirty-one

independent variables, the following principle guided our analyses: The main and interaction

effects deemed scientifically interesting are those that were identified in the primary outcomes

analyses (Spring et al., In Preparation). We aimed first to replicate these findings, if only

approximately, as the primary outcomes analyses used an autoregressive model instead of

difference scores. We worried less about the possibility of Type I error, as we investigated not

every effect that meets a significance criterion but rather the effects that we previously had

decided were important. We continued to follow the principles that guided decision-making in

the primary outcomes process, including, for example, the idea that interaction effects are more

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likely to be worth considering if at least one of the components that interaction involves also has

a significant main effect—something Wu & Hamada (2009) referred to as the heredity principle.

Importantly, the mediation analyses that follow are exploratory analyses. Because their

purpose is to examine secondary hypotheses of relevance to decision-making within the

optimization phase, these analyses may be considered from a decision-priority perspective

(Collins, 2018). The priority from this perspective, in contrast to the conclusion-priority

perspective, is less about a statistical conclusion and more about a practical decision. Thus while

we observe hypothesis testing conventions in the analyses that follow, hypothesis testing is not

our primary purpose. Again, the following analyses are exploratory and intended to contribute

information that may be useful in the larger continual optimization process.

Missing Data. The optimization trial of Opt-IN was characterized by a level of attrition

typical of longitudinal intervention research (Hansen, Tobler, & Graham, 1990). At the 3-month

timepoint, participant retention was 90.6 percent; at the 6-month timepoint, 84.3 percent.

Missing data were assumed to be missing at random (MAR) and handled using FIML in the

approach advised by Graham (2003). In each single mediator model the other putative mediators

(not currently being modeled) were included as auxiliary variables; this way, each putative

mediator contributed to the missing data model that was used in all the analyses reported here.

Mediation Analyses. We carried out mediation analysis using the general approach

advised by MacKinnon (2008). Mathematically, the parsing of total, indirect, and direct effects is

accomplished using three general equations (MacKinnon, Fairchild, & Fritz, 2007):

1) Y = i1 + cX + e1

2) Y = i2 + c’X + bM + e2

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3) M = i3 + aX + e3

Equation 1) represents the total effect of X on Y, with intercept i1 and residual e1. In this

equation, the coefficient c quantifies the effect of X on the outcome. Equation 2) expresses Y as a

function of both X and the mediator, M, with intercept i2 and residual e2. In this equation, the

coefficient c’ quantifies the direct effect of X on the outcome, controlling for the mediator, and

the coefficient b quantifies the mediator’s effect on the outcome, controlling for the treatment

effect. Equation 3) expresses the effect of the treatment, X, on the mediator, M, with intercept i3

and residual e3. In this equation, the coefficient a quantifies the effect X on M. As discussed

previously, the indirect effect of X on Y through the M is the product of two paths: from X to M

and from M to Y, controlling for X, or the product ab. The direct effect is the c’ path, or the effect

of X on Y, controlling for M.

In each set of mediation analyses we used the Sobel test (Sobel, 1982) to evaluate the

significance of indirect effects. With this method the a and b paths are assumed to be

independent, and the sample variance estimator (or the multivariate delta method estimator) of

the product ab is sab2 = sa

2�̅�2 + sb2�̅�2 (MacKinnon, Warsi, & Dwyer, 1995). This is one of various

possible approaches to the calculation of indirect effect standard errors; we chose this approach

because it remains widely used and is generally conservative (MacKinnon, Warsi, & Dwyer,

1995).

For the mediation analyses we chose to set alpha at 0.1.

Mediated Moderation. The literature uses the phrase “mediated moderation” to describe

the phenomenon in which an interaction between two variables effects change in a mediator

(Morgan-Lopez & MacKinnon, 2006). In most cases of mediated moderation, one of the two

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variables in the interaction is a moderator variable that was not experimentally manipulated (for

example, a preexisting risk factor or a subgroup variable, like gender). This differs importantly

from the sort of mediated interaction effect we consider in this thesis—most notably, our

interaction effects result from factorial experimentation versus preexisting differences. Unlike

many interactions considered in the mediated moderation literature, the interaction effects in a

factorial experiment can be uncorrelated (Wu & Hamada, 2009). This occurs when the factorial

experiment is balanced and effect codes are used properly in the factorial ANOVA. Because

correlation among interaction effects has been found to be one of the greatest threats to the

detection of mediated moderation (Morgan-Lopez & MacKinnon, 2006), a factorial experiment

may represent a particularly good case study for the examination of mediated interaction effects.

For the calculation of indirect effects of interactions in this particular case we use the same

multivariate delta method estimator, as demonstrated in the mediated moderation literature

(Morgan-Lopez & MacKinnon, 2006).

Research Question 1

Hypothesis 1(a): . Buddy Training has a significant indirect effect on Weight

Change through Self-Efficacy. We tested this hypothesis by evaluating separate single mediator

models for each of the putative mediators within Self-Efficacy. These models were set up as

structural equation models using Mplus Version 8.0 (Muthén & Muthén, 2017). To investigate

Hypothesis 1(a), we focused specifically on the pathways originating from the Buddy Training

main effect (i.e., where X is Buddy Training). The regression equations of particular relevance to

Hypothesis 1(a) were the following:

1) Weight Change = i2 + c’1(Buddy Training) + c’2(Coaching Calls) + c’3(PCP)

+ c’4(Text Messages) + c’5(Meal) + c’6(B×C) + c’7(B×P) + c’8(B×T) +

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c’9(B×M) + c’10(C×P) + … + c’31(B×C×P×T×M) + b(Self-Efficacy for

Dieting) + e2

2) Self-Efficacy for Dieting = i3 + a1(Buddy Training) + a2(Coaching Calls) +

a3(PCP) + a4(Text Messages) + a5(Meal) + a6(B×C) + a7(B×P) + a8(B×T) +

a9(B×M) + a10(C×P) + … + a31(B×C×P×T×M) + e3

The coefficients of particular relevance to Hypothesis 1(a) are: c’1, a1, and b. The

intercepts (i2 and i3) and residuals (e2 and e3) are named to match those in the equations from

MacKinnon et al. (2007), above. In this model, as in the rest of the single-mediator models, the

remaining putative mediators were included as auxiliary variables, such that they were taken into

account in the missing data model (Graham, 2003). We considered Hypothesis 1(a) to be

confirmed if Buddy Training was found to have an indirect effect on any one of the putative

mediators within Self-Efficacy.

Hypothesis 1(b): Buddy Training has a significant indirect effect on Weight Change

through Self-Regulation. We tested this hypothesis using the same approach—this time, with

single mediator models for each of the putative mediators within Self-Regulation. We considered

Hypothesis 1(b) to be confirmed if Buddy Training was found to have an indirect effect on any

one of the putative mediators within Self-Regulation.

Hypothesis 1(c): Buddy Training has a significant indirect effect on Weight Change

through Facilitation. We tested this hypothesis by evaluating a single mediator model for each

putative mediator within Facilitation. Importantly, this is a maximum of just one model, with just

one putative mediator, as the mean-scored “Facilitation” variable is the only potential mediator

within Facilitation.

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Research Question 2

Hypothesis 2(a): Supportive Accountability is associated with Weight Change. As

has been discussed, a given social cognitive or supportive accountability variable was defined as

a putative mediator if it was found to be associated with Weight Change. The same analyses that

evaluated variables as putative mediators, therefore, could be used to evaluate this particular

hypothesis. We ran regression models for each of the variables within Supportive

Accountability: one regression of Weight Change on Therapeutic Alliance, controlling for the

thirty-one independent variables, and one regression of Weight Change on Perceived Autonomy

Support, controlling for the thirty-one independent variables.

Hypothesis 2(b): Coaching Calls has a significant main effect on Supportive

Accountability. We tested this hypothesis in two ways. First, if one of the supportive

accountability variables was not found to have an association with weight loss (as described in

Hypothesis 2(a)), we tested the main effect of Coaching Calls on that variable by conducting a 25

factorial analysis with that particular supportive accountability variable as the outcome. Second,

if one of the supportive accountability variables was found to be associated with weight loss

(again, Hypothesis 2(a)), we evaluated the significance of the a path from Coaching Calls to that

supportive accountability variable in a single mediator model.

In the event that Hypothesis 2(a) and Hypothesis 2(b) were both confirmed (and

therefore, there was no evidence of disruption), we planned also to carry out further exploratory

analyses to try to explain the relative ineffectiveness of the “High” versus “Low” level of

Coaching Calls. In particular, we planned to look for evidence of suppression (opposing ab and

c’ effects) in either of the supportive accountability single mediator models.

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Research Question 3

The mediation of the three-way interaction between Buddy Training, PCP and Text

Messages was investigated using the full set of single-mediator models: one for each of the

putative mediators. In these models we focused on the pathways originating from the Buddy

Training by PCP by Text Messages interaction effect. In particular, we investigated whether this

interaction had a significant indirect effect on Weight Change through any of the putative

mediators.

Results

Preliminary Analyses

Descriptive statistics for Weight Change and the 9 social cognitive and supportive

accountability change scores appear in Table 1. The average participant in Opt-IN lost weight;

the mean Weight Change was -11.08 pounds (SD = 10.57). For the 6 potential mediators that

represent change scores, the sign similarly indicates loss (negative sign) or gain (positive sign).

Notably, the average participant experienced gains and losses in different social cognitive

variables; for example, the mean change in Self-Efficacy for Dieting was +2.45 (SD = 8.31), but

the mean change in Self-Efficacy for Exercise was -4.08 (SD = 14.79).

Weight change was negatively correlated with most of the potential mediators, including

the social cognitive change scores and the supportive accountability variables (Table 1). The

correlation between change in Self-Efficacy for Dieting and Weight Change, for example, was r

= -0.24 (p < 0.05); there was a small but significant negative association between change in Self-

Efficacy for Dieting and Weight Change. The Weight Change data are coded such that more

successful weight loss is more negative. The most desirable outcome, therefore, is a negative

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number that is large in absolute value: as outcomes, -20 is better than -3; -3 is better than 0; 0 is

better than 3; and 3 is still better than 20. The Self-Efficacy data, meanwhile, are coded such that

positive growth in Self-Efficacy for Dieting is more positive (+20 is better than 0, which is better

than -20). Therefore, the correlation between Self-Efficacy for Dieting and Weight Change

implies that larger (more positive) change in Self-Efficacy for Dieting is associated with smaller

Weight Change. The same association exists between Weight Change and Facilitation (r = -0.36;

p < 0.05), Self-Efficacy for Exercise (r = -0.23; p < 0.05), and, to a still smaller degree,

Therapeutic Alliance (r = -0.17; p < 0.05) and Autonomous Motivation (r = -0.15; p < 0.05).

There was a small, positive association between change in Restraint and Weight Change (r =

0.19; p < 0.05).

The correlations among the single timepoint variables themselves—weight in pounds at 6

months and the social cognitive and supportive accountability variables at 3 months—are

provided in Table 2. The correlations between the 3-month social cognitive and supportive

accountability variables and 6-month weight are quite small; the largest were those for

Autonomous Motivation (r = -0.13; p < 0.05) and Facilitation (r = -0.13; p < 0.05). Still, these

correlations provide some confirmation as to the direction of the associations between these

social cognitive and supportive accountability constructs and weight.

As expected, most of potential mediators were positively correlated with each other

(Tables 1 and 2). The Self-Efficacy for Dieting and Self-Efficacy for Exercise change scores, for

example, had a correlation of r = 0.34 (p < 0.05); Facilitation and Therapeutic Alliance, of r =

0.51 (p < 0.05). The exceptions included Restraint and Controlled Motivation; Restraint, in

particular, was negatively correlated with each potential mediator other than Controlled

Motivation. The correlation between Restraint and the Self-Efficacy for Dieting change score,

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for example, was r = -0.22 (p < 0.05). The Controlled Motivation change score was negatively

correlated with certain potential mediators and positively correlated with others; most of these

correlations were quite small or nonsignificant, with the exception of the correlation between

Controlled and Autonomous Motivation change scores (r = 0.30, p < 0.05). Recall that

Controlled and Autonomous Motivation are the two subscales of the Treatment Self-Regulation

Questionnaire (TSRQ; Williams et al., 1996).

Putative Mediators

As discussed previously, a social cognitive or supportive accountability variable was

defined as a putative mediator if it was found to predict Weight Change but was otherwise

untested, so far, as a mediator. Seven putative mediators were identified: Self-Efficacy for

Dieting, Self-Efficacy for Exercise, Autonomous Motivation, Restraint, Therapeutic Alliance,

Perceived Autonomy Support and Facilitation. These seven were found to be statistically

significant predictors of Weight Change at α = 0.05, controlling for the thirty-one independent

variables. These results are presented in Table 3. The remaining two potential mediators,

Controlled Motivation and Disinhibition, did not predict Weight Change at α = 0.05 (see Table

3). In these two cases, therefore, there was a disruption of the b path; the supposed mediator, M,

did not in fact predict the outcome, Weight Change, Y.

Research Question 1: Can the significant main effect of Buddy Training be understood in

terms of indirect effects through the social cognitive mediators?

Hypothesis 1(a): Buddy Training has a significant indirect effect on Weight Change

through Self-Efficacy. Self-Efficacy contains two putative mediators: Self-Efficacy for Dieting

and Self-Efficacy for Exercise.

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Consistent with Hypothesis 1(a), the indirect effect of Buddy Training on Weight Change

through Self-Efficacy for Dieting was statistically significant: -0.284 (SE = 0.119), p = 0.017.

Buddy Training produced a significant increase in Self-Efficacy for Dieting: 0.961 (SE = 0.042),

p = 0.007; this represents the a path, or the effect of the Buddy Training on M. Self-Efficacy for

Dieting was strongly associated with weight loss -0.295 (SE = 0.058), p < 0.001; this represents

the b path, or the effect of M on Y. The effect of Buddy Training on Weight Change not through

this mediator, Self-Efficacy for Dieting, was non-significant: -0.644 (SE = 0.465), p=0.166; this

represents the c’ path.

Contrary to Hypothesis 1(a), the indirect effect of Buddy Training on Weight Change

through Self-Efficacy for Exercise was not significant (-0.037 (SE=0.111), p=0.738). Change in

Self-Efficacy for Exercise predicted Weight Change (the b path: -0.170 (SE = 0.032), p < 0.001)

but Buddy Training was not associated with growth in Self-Efficacy for Exercise (the a path:

0.227 (SE=0.656), p = 0.730). The effect of Buddy Training on Weight Change not through Self-

Efficacy for Exercise (the c’ path), however, was significant: -0.876 (SE = 0.471); p= 0.063.

Hypothesis 1(b): Buddy Training has a significant indirect effect on Weight Change

through Self-Regulation. Self-Regulation contains two putative mediators: Autonomous

Motivation and Restraint.

The indirect effect of Buddy Training on Weight Change through Autonomous

Motivation was significant: -0.130 (SE = 0.076), p=0.089. Autonomous Motivation was a strong

predictor of Weight Change (the b path): -1.425 (SE = 0.040); p < 0.001. Buddy Training, was

more moderately associated with growth in Autonomous Motivation (the a path): 0.091 (SE =

0.049); p=0.064. The effect of Buddy Training on Weight Change not through Autonomous

Motivation (the c’ path) was significant: -0.799 (SE = 0.469); p=0.088.

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The indirect effect of Buddy Training on Weight Change through Restraint was not

significant (0.039 (SE=0.092), p=0.669). Change in Restraint predicted Weight Change (the b

path: 0.813 (SE = 0.171), p < 0.001), but Buddy Training was not associated with change in

Restraint (the a path: -0.006 (SE=0.106), p = 0.957). The effect of Buddy Training on Weight

Change not through Restraint (the c’ path) was not statistically significant: 0.442 (SE = 0.469);

p= 0.345.

Hypothesis 1(c): Buddy Training has a significant indirect effect on Weight Change

through Facilitation.

Facilitation contains a single putative mediator. Consistent with Hypothesis 1(c), the

indirect effect of Buddy Training on Weight Change through this putative mediator, Facilitation,

was statistically significant: -0.377 (SE = 0.167), p=0.024. Buddy Training was associated with

greater Facilitation (the a path, or the effect of Buddy Training on M): 0.090 (SE = 0.039); p =

0.020. Facilitation was strongly associated with weight loss (the b path, or the effect of M on Y):

-4.174 (SE = 0.566); p < 0.001. The effect of Buddy Training on Weight Change not through this

mediator, Facilitation, (the c’ path) was non-significant: -0.552 (SE = 0.488), p=0.218.

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Research Question 2: Can the ineffectiveness of the “High” versus “Low” level of Coaching

Calls be understood in terms of a disruption in a mediation pathway from Coaching Calls

to Supportive Accountability to Weight Change?

Hypothesis 2(a): Supportive Accountability is associated with Weight Change. This

hypothesis was supported by the preliminary analyses—both constructs within supportive

accountability were found to be significantly associated with Weight Change. Therapeutic

Alliance was strongly associated with Weight Change: -0.164 (SE=0.047), p < 0.001. Perceived

Autonomy Support was also associated with Weight Change: -0.085 (SE = 0.040), p = 0.032.

Because this hypothesis was supported, there is no evidence of a disruption of the b path from

Supportive Accountability to Weight Change.

Hypothesis 2(b): Coaching Calls has a significant main effect on Supportive

Accountability. Because both Therapeutic Alliance and Perceived Autonomy Support were

found to be associated with Weight Change, we tested hypothesis 2(b) by evaluating the a paths

of single mediator models with Therapeutic Alliance and Perceived Autonomy Support as

mediators.

The a path from Coaching Calls to Therapeutic Alliance was not significant: 0.503 (SE =

0.447), p=0.261; neither was the indirect effect ab from Coaching Calls to Weight Change

through Therapeutic Alliance: -0.085 (SE = 0.077), p = 0.272. This suggests a disruption of the a

path: the “High” versus “Low” level of Coaching Calls was not associated with greater

Therapeutic Alliance at 3 months.

The a path from Coaching Calls to Perceived Autonomy Support, however, was

significant: 0.979 (SE = 0.511), p=0.056. It appears, however, that this effect was not large

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enough to produce a significant indirect effect; the indirect effect of Coaching Calls on Weight

Change through Perceived Autonomy Support was -0.082 (SE=0.0631), p=0.180. This also

suggests a disruption of the a path, in that the magnitude of the effect of Coaching Calls on

Perceived Autonomy Support was too small to produce an indirect effect.

Research Question 3: Can the important three-way interaction between Buddy Training,

PCP, and Text Messages be understood in terms of mediation?

The three-way interaction between Buddy Training, PCP, and Text Messages was

mediated by Restraint. For this interaction effect, the a path was significant: 0.209 (SE = 0.110),

p=0.057. The b path, the association between the Restraint change score and the weight change

score discussed previously, was significant: 0.813 (SE = 0.171), p<0.001. The indirect effect ab

of the Buddy Training by PCP by Text Messages interaction on weight change through Restraint

was also significant: 0.167 (SE=0.087); p=0.054. The c’ path, the Buddy Training by PCP by

Text Messages interaction effect on Weight Change not through Restraint, was also significant:

1.028 (SE=0.0474); p=0.03.

The meaning of some of these pathways changes when the independent variable in

question is an interaction effect. Notably, the a and c’ pathways are interaction effects. In this

case, the a path represents the three-way Buddy Training×PCP×Text Messages interaction effect

on Restraint—the same three-way interaction, but with Restraint as the outcome, not Weight

Change. The c’ path represents the three-way Buddy Training×PCP×Text Messages interaction

effect on Weight Change, controlling for Restraint. The indirect effect is the product of an

interaction effect (a) and the association between Restraint and Weight Change (b).

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The three-way Buddy Training×PCP×Text Messages interaction effect on Restraint, the a

path, can be interpreted through a visual depiction (Figure 6). First, the graph of the three-way

interaction on Restraint demonstrates the basic meaning of a three-way interaction: the two-way

interaction between Buddy Training and PCP differs as a function of whether Text Messages is

set to “Off” or “On.” Because Restraint is positively associated with Weight (Table 2), and

because the Restraint change score is positively associated with Weight Change (the b path;

Table 3), lower Restraint is better. The combination of factor levels that is associated with the

largest decrease in Restraint is: Buddy Training set to “ON,” PCP set to “ON,” and Text

Messages set to “OFF.”

The total three-way Buddy Training×PCP×Text Messages interaction effect on Weight

Change is depicted in Figure 7. In this case as well, the two-way interaction between Buddy

Training and PCP changes as a function of Text Messages. The changes are not precisely the

same as those seen in the interaction effect on Restraint. However, the largest decrease in weight

is still associated with the same three factor levels: Buddy Training set to “ON,” PCP set to

“ON,” and Text Messages set to “OFF.” It seems plausible that the three-way Buddy

Training×PCP×Text Messages interaction effect on Weight Change can be explained in part by

a) a similar interaction effect on Restraint and b) the association between Restraint and Weight

Change.

The complete set of mediation results appears in Appendix B.

Discussion

Mediation analysis of the results of a factorial optimization trial enables the evaluation of

hypotheses about the functioning of individual intervention components. In this thesis we

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demonstrated one approach to mediation analysis using the results of the optimization trial of

Opt-IN (Pellegrini, 2015; Pellegrini, 2014), a weight loss intervention for overweight adults.

Research Question 1

As hypothesized, Buddy Training had important indirect effects on at least one construct

within each of the social cognitive mediators: Self-Efficacy for Dieting, Autonomous

Motivation, and Facilitation. Buddy Training did not have a significant effect on either of the

remaining two putative social cognitive mediators, Self-Efficacy for Exercise or Restraint.

These results suggest that the Buddy Training component did function as it was

anticipated to function, at least in part. The putative mediators affected by Buddy Training, Self-

Efficacy for Dieting, Autonomous Motivation, and Facilitation, were particularly strongly

associated with weight loss (Table 3). The fact that Buddy Training was successfully able to

target each of these helps to explain its effectiveness.

Interestingly, in two separate cases—Self-Efficacy for Dieting and Facilitation—the

direct effect of Buddy Training on Weight Change became non-significant when the mediator

was included in the model. This finding is counterintuitive. In the traditional interpretation, a

non-significant direct effect means that the effect of Buddy Training on Weight Change not

through the mediator (say, Self-Efficacy for Dieting) is negligible. However, we find,

meanwhile, that the effect of Buddy Training on Weight Change through Facilitation is

significant. And the direct effect in the model with Facilitation as the mediator suggests that the

effect of Buddy Training on Weight Change not through Facilitation is negligible (something we

have already contradicted in the Self-Efficacy for Dieting model). The correlation between

Facilitation and the Self-Efficacy for Dieting change score is positive yet modest: r = 0.21 (p <

0.05). The two are certainly not identical constructs, but they may be importantly interrelated.

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Theory says little about the expected temporal pattern associated with Self-Efficacy and

Facilitation; perhaps growth in one precedes growth in the other. Subsequent analyses may better

flesh out such relationships. For Opt-IN, the conclusion remains: both Self-Efficacy for Dieting

and Facilitation seem to play important roles in explaining the effectiveness of Buddy Training.

Research Question 2

The fact that Hypothesis 2(a) was supported but Hypothesis 2(b) was not supported

suggests the following: Supportive Accountability is important in its association with Weight

Change, as expected, but the “High” versus “Low” level of the Coaching Calls component did

not increase Supportive Accountability enough to lead to weight loss.

Importantly, the fidelity of the Opt-IN coaches was measured very carefully (Spring et

al., In preparation). Calls were recorded and monitored closely. Therefore, these results cannot

be explained by the idea that coaches might not have stuck to the 12 versus 24 sessions or that

coaches varied in their session times.

To see whether a difference between the two levels of Coaching Calls emerged over the

full 6 months, we also checked whether Coaching Calls had a significant main effect on either of

the Supportive Accountability variables at 6 months; in each case, it did not. The time point at

which Supportive Accountability was measured also cannot provide an alternative explanation

for the results.

Research Question 3

The three-way Buddy Training by PCP by Text Messages interaction effect on Weight

Change suggests that the two-way interaction between Buddy Training and PCP differs as a

function of whether Text Messages is set to “On” or “Off.” In particular, Weight Change is

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noticeably more negative when both Buddy Training and PCP are set to “On” and Text

Messages is set to “Off.” There could be a number of possible explanations for this finding. For

example, each of the involved components employs some type of exterior social support (support

from a buddy, from a PCP, and from text message reminders); it could be that a certain

saturation point is reached. Perhaps when all three components are set to “On” participants feel

more burdened then supported.

In the described analyses, the three-way interaction between Buddy Training, PCP, and

Text Messages was found to have an indirect effect on Weight Change through Restraint. As

discussed previously, Restraint is a subscale of the Three Factor Eating Questionnaire (Stunkard

& Messick, 1985). It can be interpreted as a tendency toward overly restrictive dieting

behaviors—for example, the setting of rigid rules that, once broken, tend to be violated further

(in what is called “counter-regulation”). Restraint has been found, in this and in previous work

(Stunkard & Messick, 1985), to be associated with less weight loss or even weight gain. For Opt-

IN’s participants the desired change in Restraint over 3 months, therefore, is change in the more

negative direction.

For the three-way interaction between Buddy Training, PCP, and Text Messages, the

indirect effect meant that there was a similar interaction effect along the a path of the single-

mediator model. Interestingly, this interaction effect on Restraint was notably similar to the total

interaction effect on Weight Change. In this case as well, the most desirable outcome—here,

more negative Restraint change—was associated with the following combination of factor levels:

Buddy Training set to “On,” PCP set to “On,” and Text Messages set to “Off.” The three-way

interaction effect observed in the primary outcomes (Spring et al., In Preparation) may be due,

in part, to a) the similar interaction effect on Restraint and b) the association between Restraint

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and Weight Change. More research is necessary to further understand the range of possibilities

for the mediation of interaction effects.

Implications for Opt-IN

Buddy Training. One of the reasons that the singular effectiveness of Buddy Training

was surprising was the fact that only the training of buddies was manipulated in the Buddy

Training factor. All participants in Opt-IN nominated buddies from their existing social

networks, but training was offered only for the buddies of participants in a Buddy Training

condition. This training consisted of phone calls and webinars (Pellegrini et al., 2014), and

buddies participated to differing degrees. Not all buddies completed all of the training. Still, the

training buddies did receive was enough to produce important main effects on social cognitive

mediators of weight change: Self-Efficacy for Dieting, Autonomous Motivation, and Facilitation.

One possible conclusion, therefore, is that Buddy Training as-delivered was successful enough.

Another possible conclusion is that Buddy Training might more effectively target the

social cognitive mediators if it was successfully delivered at the full dose; a subsequent

optimization trial might test a method of supporting buddies in completing the full training. .

Such an optimization trial could test the Buddy Training component with fidelity components

intended to yield greater buddy participation.

Importantly, however, though these mediation analyses can help to explain why Buddy

Training was effective, the Buddy Training component itself has not been optimized. This

optimization trial does not provide direct evidence that this version of Buddy Training plus

something intended to help Buddy Training better target Self-Efficacy for Exercise would be

more effective. However, given the singular effectiveness of Buddy Training, an optimization

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trial aimed at improving Buddy Training may be worthwhile. This sort of trial would require

identifying the components that exist within the current version of Buddy Training, adding or

changing components as desired, and then carrying out a new experiment.

Coaching Calls. The finding that 12 sessions performed just as well as 24 stands in

marked contrast to the consensus in public health that higher doses of coaching are better

(Wadden et al., 2005; Sherwood et al., 2009). Continued exploration of this finding will be

useful. As with Buddy Training, one possible response to the findings about the Coaching Calls

factor is to carry out the version of Coaching Calls that this trial identified as best: a version with

12 sessions. The higher dose of Coaching Calls did not add enough to the either of the

Supportive Accountability variables, or to any of the other putative mediators. One possible

conclusion is: 12 sessions is enough.

Another possible response is to try adjusting the Coaching Calls component such that the

link with Supportive Accountability is strengthened. The link between Coaching Calls and

Perceived Autonomy Support, though not enough to yield a significant indirect effect on weight

loss, may mean that the Coaching Calls component could be strengthened such that the effect of

Coaching Calls was greater. However, comparison of the “High” versus “Low” dose of

Coaching Calls shows the potential for negative effects on other putative mediators, like Self-

Efficacy for Exercise (see Table 4). This suggests that the task of adjusting the Coaching Calls

component in the direction of more positive effects is not straightforward. If changes to the

Coaching Calls component were made, the adjusted component would have to be retested in

another optimization trial.

Because every participant in this trial of Opt-IN received at least 12 coaching calls, this

particular optimization trial is not capable of generating evidence about whether having any

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coaching calls (versus not having coaching calls) contributed to Supportive Accountability. If

this question is of interest in the continual optimization of Opt-IN, a subsequent optimization

trial could also include a factor in which the presence versus absence of Coaching Calls is

manipulated.

One possibility is that a higher dose is not better uniformly, for all types of coaching.

Time on task may be more important for versions of coaching that target certain mediators (like

knowledge or practice) versus other mediators (like supportive accountability). This is an

empirical question; mediation analysis of further optimization trials of interventions that contain

coaching could shed further light on this.

The interaction between Buddy Training, PCP, and Text Messages. The three-way

interaction effects on both Restraint and Weight Change raise the important possibility that

participants may be burdened (or may otherwise experience less success) when too many

components are set to “On.” This provides another important reminder that more is not always

better. When a given component does not function as intended—when it does not target its

intended mediators as expected—the appropriate response is not necessarily to add to the

component or to make it bigger, more complex, or more time-consuming. Still, it is curious that

the combination of Buddy Training and PCP seemed to contribute to participants’ success, both

in terms of Restraint and Weight Change, despite the fact that PCP had no significant main effect

on either Restraint or Weight Change. Subsequent studies should try to replicate this finding.

Implications for Future Analyses of Optimization Trials

A variety of important questions can be addressed through mediation analysis of the

results of a factorial optimization trial, and a variety of approaches may be taken. The approach

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we have used here—that of sequentially evaluating single-mediator models one-by-one—is a

relatively simple one not without its detractors (VanderWeele & Vansteelandt, 2014). One

objection sometimes raised is the fact that mediators may affect one another. In Opt-IN, most of

the putative mediators are not highly correlated with each other. More importantly, the purpose

of the exploratory mediation analysis of the results of Opt-IN was to perform a check of the

hypothesis that motivated the creation of a given intervention component. Buddy Training, as

has been discussed, was intended to target three categories of mediators: Self-Efficacy, Self-

Regulation, and Facilitation. The question of interest was not: how does Buddy Training

influence each of these, how do these influence each other, and what proportion of Buddy

Training is mediated by each? The question, instead, was: how much validity is there to the

hypothesis that Buddy Training targeted each of these mediators? Various other questions may

be worth considering; the particular sort of question we address in this thesis, we argue, may be

approached using single-mediator structural equation models as a first step.

Another valid approach to the present research questions would have been to use

autoregressive models instead of change score models—that is, to use 3-month and 6-month

measures of the mediator and weight, respectively, controlling for baseline measures. We chose

to use change scores for the mediators (when applicable) and for the outcome so that the results

would be interpretable in terms of change in its simplest meaning. For example, this enabled us

to conclude that Buddy Training produced a change in Self-Efficacy for Dieting, on average.

Another alternative would have been to pare down the number of independent variables

included in the models. For example, this might mean considering a mediation model with only

Buddy Training, Self-Efficacy for Dieting, and Weight Change. However, we chose to include

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all thirty-one variables in each model for the purpose of evaluating the mediation of multiple

effects, including important interaction effects.

Further work is needed to investigate the meaning of mediated interaction effects in

factorial optimization trials. In this case, the same combination of factor levels that yielded more

desirable Weight Change yielded more desirable change in the mediator, Restraint. This may or

may not be true for every significant a path of a mediated interaction effect. Simulations carried

out in this area may shed light on this and other important questions, like questions concerning

the stability of higher-order interaction effects.

Implications for the Design of Future Optimization Trials

Mediation is a process that unfolds over time (Collins, Graham, & Flaherty, 2010).

Mediation analysis, therefore, makes a number of temporal assumptions. One of these is that the

change that occurs in the mediator precedes the change that occurs in the outcome. Another is

that the measurement of both the mediator(s) and the outcome occurred at the appropriate time

longitudinally, or in a way that was informed by the rate of change in a given variable (e.g., self-

efficacy). A third assumption is that the appropriate number of measurements were taken to

accurately capture the change process. If the anticipated behavior change process is slower,

measurement that occurs less frequently or with fewer measurement occasions may be sufficient;

if the behavior change process is faster, infrequent or inadequate measurement may fail to

capture the change process (Collins et al., 2010).

If mediation analysis of the results of factorial optimization trials is to be maximally

informative, the temporal pattern associated with (or expected to be associated with) the

anticipated effects of each intervention component should be considered when the study is being

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designed. Just as each mediator should be measured with tools (scales, etc.) that are capable of

identifying and quantifying the hypothesized change, each mediator should also be measured on

enough occasions and with the right timing to accurately capture that change. Successfully

designing an experiment around a given theoretical model of change represents an important

challenge in all longitudinal research (Collins, 2006). However, in a factorial optimization trial

the presence of multiple intervention components, and therefore perhaps multiple theoretical

models of change, can yield important complexity. If two particular intervention components

operate on different timescales but their effects on their respective hypothesized mediators are

measured in the same way, with the same timing, the results may be misleading, for example

such that change is identified in one mediator but missed in the other.

Limitations

On the assessment of temporal processes. There is little consensus as to when or how

often weight should be measured, though it is well understood that weight varies day-to-day—

and even, that the degree of variability in a person’s weight during a weight loss intervention

may be associated with their long-term weight outcome (Feig & Lowe, 2017). Social cognitive

constructs like self-efficacy and self-regulation have also been found to vary, for example as a

function of feedback (Bernacki, Nokes-Malach, & Aleven, 2014). However, in the Opt-IN trial

there were, at most, three measurement occasions (and for some of the putative mediators, just

two). Measuring either weight or the putative mediators on three (or two) occasions is not

frequent enough to capture variability or any sort of non-linear trajectory. The change processes

that we observe in the results of Opt-IN are smoothed, probably considerably.

In the present mediation analyses, change in the mediator is modeled based on the

baseline to 3-month time period. Because the final weight outcome was assessed at 6 months, the

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3-month time point represents the sole midpoint measurement; we used these 3-month measures

to ensure temporal precedence. We acknowledge that participants’ weights at the 6-month

timepoint could be shaped by changes that occur in the mediators between 3 and 6 months; these

particular analyses cannot speak to that. Instead, these results can be interpreted only in terms of

early change in the mediator, for example: Buddy Training has an effect on changes in Self-

Efficacy for Dieting over the first 3 months of the trial, and these changes are associated with

weight loss. A conclusion like this one is appropriate regardless of the change that may occur in

the mediators from 3 to 6 months.

On confounders of the mediator-outcome relationship. Randomization ensures that

there is no confounding in the relationship between the intervention (X) and the mediator (M) or

between the intervention (X) and the outcome (Y), but it cannot ensure that there are no

confounders in the relationship between M and Y. If there are important confounders of the

mediator-outcome relationship that have not been accounted for, the estimates of indirect and

direct effects may be biased (Valeri & VanderWeele, 2013). This is a limitation of traditional

mediation analysis generally, but it is particularly important if indirect and direct effects are

assumed to explain the entirety of the relationship between the intervention and the outcome. We

do not make this assumption in these analyses.

On the limits of aggregate-level conclusions. It is likely that there is considerable

individual variation in the growth trajectories associated with weight change, supportive

accountability, and the social cognitive constructs. The findings discussed here do not apply to

every individual in the Opt-IN trial—for example, not every person in a Buddy Training

condition who lost weight first experienced growth in Self-Efficacy for Dieting. This is a widely

acknowledged limitation of analyses performed at an aggregate level. Though the results of these

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mediation analyses can provide important insights into the overall functioning of Opt-IN’s

intervention components, they should not be used to make individual-level predictions.

Future Directions

There is a growing body of work behind the use of a potential outcomes framework in

mediation analysis, particularly given the possibility of confounding in the mediator-outcome

relationship (Imai, Jo, & Stuart, 2011). The use of causal inference in mediation analysis of the

results of factorial optimization trials represents one important direction for future research.

As noted previously, another area for future work involves the continued exploration of

the meaning of mediated interaction effects. The potential to estimate interaction effects is one of

the primary advantages of the factorial experiment (Montgomery, 2013); in MOST, the

estimation of interaction effects among intervention components can contribute important

information not just about a single intervention, but also about the incremental improvement of

behavior change interventions more widely. Accomplishing a better understanding about the

mediation of interaction effects in factorial optimization trials will help intervention scientists

using MOST to derive more valuable information from the results of their optimization trials—

and perhaps, to construct a priori hypotheses about the mediation of interaction effects during the

Preparation Phase.

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Figures and Tables

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Condition Coaching Calls PCP Text Messages Meal Buddy Training

1 Low On Off Off Off

2 Low On Off On On

3 Low On On Off On

4 Low On On On Off

5 Low Off Off Off On

6 Low Off Off On Off

7 Low Off On Off Off

8 Low Off On On On

9 High On Off Off Off

10 High On Off On On

11 High On On Off On

12 High On On On Off

13 High Off Off Off On

14 High Off Off On Off

15 High Off On Off Off

16 High Off On On On

17 Low On Off Off Off

18 Low On Off On On

19 Low On On Off On

20 Low On On On Off

21 Low Off Off Off On

22 Low Off Off On Off

23 Low Off On Off Off

24 Low Off On On On

25 High On Off Off Off

26 High On Off On On

27 High On On Off On

28 High On On On Off

29 High Off Off Off On

30 High Off Off On Off

31 High Off On Off Off

32 High Off On On On

Figure 4. Opt-IN experimental conditions (adapted from Pellegrini et al., 2015).

Note. Shading emphasizes the contrast between the two levels of Coaching Calls, “Low” and “High.”

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Figure 5. Example single mediator model, Opt-IN.

Note. Shading emphasizes the mediation of Buddy Training.

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Table 1

Means, standard deviations, and correlations: Change Scores

Variable M SD 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

1. Weight

(Δ) -11.07 10.56

2. SE: Diet

(Δ) 2.45 8.31 -.24*

3. SE: Exer

(Δ) -4.08 14.79 -.24* .34*

4. Auton.

(Δ) 0.30 1.12 -.15* .11* .22*

5. Control.

(Δ) 0.45 1.17 .06 -.16* .01 .30*

6. Restraint

(Δ) -1.66 2.53 .20* -.22* -.09* -.16* .06

7. Disinhib

(Δ) 0.37 2.14 -.09 .36* .19* .05 -.11* -.09*

8. Ther.

Alliance 70.68 10.53 -.17* .18* .17* .28* -.01 -.11* .11*

9. Auton

Support. 71.86 12.09 -.11* .08 .15* .28* .01 -.08 .05 .74*

10. Facil. 3.84 0.90 -.36* .21* .29* .41* .11* -.17* .15* .51* .44*

Note. M and SD are used to represent mean and standard deviation, respectively. * indicates p < .05. SE: Diet = Self-

Efficacy for Dieting change score. SE: Exer. = Self-Efficacy for Exercise. Auton = Autonomous Motivation.

Control. = Controlled Motivation. Disinhib = Disinhibition. Ther Alliance = Therapeutic Alliance. Auton Support =

Perceived Autonomy Support. Facil = Facilitation. (Δ) indicates change score: 3-month score – baseline score.

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Table 2

Means, standard deviations, and correlations: Individual Timepoints (month in parentheses)

Note. M and SD are used to represent mean and standard deviation, respectively. * indicates p < .05. SE: Diet =

Self-Efficacy for Dieting. SE: Exer. = Self-Efficacy for Exercise. Auton = Autonomous Motivation. Control. =

Controlled Motivation. Disinhib = Disinhibition. Ther Alliance = Therapeutic Alliance. Auton Support = Perceived

Autonomy Support. Facil = Facilitation. (Month) of measurement shown in parentheses.

Variable M SD 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

1. Weight

(6) 186.30 30.53

2. SE: Diet

(3) 35.94 8.53 -.03

3. SE: Exer

(3) 58.41 15.04 -.10* .49*

4. Restraint

(3) 8.52 2.05 .14* -.25* -.15*

5. Disinhib

(3) 7.19 2.57 .02 .60* .30* -.08

6. Auton

(3) 6.11 0.91 -.13* .21* .26* -.13* .14*

7. Control

(3) 3.29 1.16 .10* -.16* -.09* .06 -.23* .18*

8. Ther

Alliance (3) 70.68 10.53 .03 .28* .25* -.14* .19* .48* .01

9. Auton

Support (3) 71.86 12.09 .03 .18* .25* -.10* .10* .41* .01 .74*

10. Facil

(3) 3.84 0.90 -.13* .39* .37* -.27* .27* .55* .04 .51* .44*

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Table 3

b weights for social cognitive and supportive accountability variables as predictors of weight change

(6-month weight – baseline weight)

Variable b SE b p

Self-Efficacy for Dieting (Δ) -0.295 0.058 <0.001

Self-Efficacy for Exercise (Δ) -0.170 0.032 <0.001

Autonomous Motivation (Δ) -1.425 0.040 0.001

Controlled Motivation (Δ) 0.503 0.430 0.242

Restraint (Δ) 0.813 0.171 <0.001

Disinhibition (Δ) -0.465 0.248 0.061

Therapeutic Alliance -0.164 0.047 0.001

Perceived Autonomy Support -0.085 0.040 0.032

Facilitation -4.174 0.566 <0.001

Note. (Δ) indicates change score: 3-month score – baseline score.

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Table 4

b weights for the effect of Coaching Calls on the putative mediators

Variable b SE b p

Self-Efficacy for Dieting (Δ) -0.416 0.356 0.243

Self-Efficacy for Exercise (Δ) -1.147 0.638 0.072

Autonomous Motivation (Δ) 0.002 0.049 0.970

Restraint (Δ) 0.126 0.107 0.238

Therapeutic Alliance 0.518 0.447 0.247

Perceived Autonomy Support 0.979 0.511 0.056

Facilitation 0.050 0.039 0.194

Note. * indicates p < 0.05. (Δ) indicates change score: 3-month score – baseline score.

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Appendix A. Full Table of Effect Codes, Opt-IN

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Condition Coaching PCP Text Meal Buddy CxP CxT CxM CxB PxT PxM PxT TxM TxB MxB

1 -1 1 -1 -1 -1 -1 1 1 1 -1 -1 -1 1 1 1

2 -1 1 -1 1 1 -1 1 -1 -1 -1 1 1 -1 -1 1

3 -1 1 1 -1 1 -1 -1 1 -1 1 -1 1 -1 1 -1

4 -1 1 1 1 -1 -1 -1 -1 1 1 1 -1 1 -1 -1

5 -1 -1 -1 -1 1 1 1 1 -1 1 1 -1 1 -1 -1

6 -1 -1 -1 1 -1 1 1 -1 1 1 -1 1 -1 1 -1

7 -1 -1 1 -1 -1 1 -1 1 1 -1 1 1 -1 -1 1

8 1 -1 1 1 1 -1 1 1 1 -1 -1 -1 1 1 1

9 1 1 -1 -1 -1 1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 1 1 1

10 1 1 -1 1 1 1 -1 1 1 -1 1 1 -1 -1 1

11 1 1 1 -1 1 1 1 -1 1 1 -1 1 -1 1 -1

12 1 1 1 1 -1 1 1 1 -1 1 1 -1 1 -1 -1

13 1 -1 -1 -1 1 -1 -1 -1 1 1 1 -1 1 -1 -1

14 1 -1 -1 1 -1 -1 -1 1 -1 1 -1 1 -1 1 -1

15 1 -1 1 -1 -1 -1 1 -1 -1 -1 1 1 -1 -1 1

16 -1 -1 1 1 1 1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 1 1 1

17 -1 1 -1 -1 -1 -1 1 1 1 -1 -1 -1 1 1 1

18 -1 1 -1 1 1 -1 1 -1 -1 -1 1 1 -1 -1 1

19 -1 1 1 -1 1 -1 -1 1 -1 1 -1 1 -1 1 -1

20 -1 1 1 1 -1 -1 -1 -1 1 1 1 -1 1 -1 -1

21 -1 -1 -1 -1 1 1 1 1 -1 1 1 -1 1 -1 -1

22 -1 -1 -1 1 -1 1 1 -1 1 1 -1 1 -1 1 -1

23 -1 -1 1 -1 -1 1 -1 1 1 -1 1 1 -1 -1 1

24 1 -1 1 1 1 -1 1 1 1 -1 -1 -1 1 1 1

25 1 1 -1 -1 -1 1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 1 1 1

26 1 1 -1 1 1 1 -1 1 1 -1 1 1 -1 -1 1

27 1 1 1 -1 1 1 1 -1 1 1 -1 1 -1 1 -1

28 1 1 1 1 -1 1 1 1 -1 1 1 -1 1 -1 -1

29 1 -1 -1 -1 1 -1 -1 -1 1 1 1 -1 1 -1 -1

30 1 -1 -1 1 -1 -1 -1 1 -1 1 -1 1 -1 1 -1

31 1 -1 1 -1 -1 -1 1 -1 -1 -1 1 1 -1 -1 1

32 1 -1 1 1 1 -1 1 1 1 -1 -1 -1 1 1 1

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CPT CPM CPB CTM CTB CMB PTM PTB PMB TMB CPTM CPTB CTMB CPMB PTMB CPTMB

1 1 1 -1 -1 -1 1 1 1 -1 -1 -1 1 -1 -1 1

1 -1 -1 1 1 -1 -1 -1 1 -1 1 -1 1 -1 -1 1

-1 1 -1 1 -1 1 -1 1 -1 -1 1 1 1 1 -1 1

-1 -1 1 -1 1 1 1 -1 -1 -1 -1 1 1 1 -1 1

-1 -1 1 -1 1 1 -1 1 1 1 1 -1 -1 -1 -1 1

-1 1 -1 1 -1 1 1 -1 1 1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 1

1 -1 -1 1 1 -1 1 1 -1 1 -1 1 -1 1 -1 1

-1 -1 -1 1 1 1 -1 -1 -1 1 -1 -1 1 -1 -1 -1

-1 -1 -1 1 1 1 1 1 1 -1 1 1 -1 1 -1 -1

-1 1 1 -1 -1 1 -1 -1 1 -1 -1 1 -1 1 -1 -1

1 -1 1 -1 1 -1 -1 1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1

1 1 -1 1 -1 -1 1 -1 -1 -1 1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1

1 1 -1 1 -1 -1 -1 1 1 1 -1 1 1 1 -1 -1

1 -1 1 -1 1 -1 1 -1 1 1 1 1 1 1 -1 -1

-1 1 1 -1 -1 1 1 1 -1 1 1 -1 1 -1 -1 -1

1 1 1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 1 1 1 -1 1 -1 1

1 1 1 -1 -1 -1 1 1 1 -1 -1 -1 1 -1 -1 1

1 -1 -1 1 1 -1 -1 -1 1 -1 1 -1 1 -1 -1 1

-1 1 -1 1 -1 1 -1 1 -1 -1 1 1 1 1 -1 1

-1 -1 1 -1 1 1 1 -1 -1 -1 -1 1 1 1 -1 1

-1 -1 1 -1 1 1 -1 1 1 1 1 -1 -1 -1 -1 1

-1 1 -1 1 -1 1 1 -1 1 1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 1

1 -1 -1 1 1 -1 1 1 -1 1 -1 1 -1 1 -1 1

-1 -1 -1 1 1 1 -1 -1 -1 1 -1 -1 1 -1 -1 -1

-1 -1 -1 1 1 1 1 1 1 -1 1 1 -1 1 -1 -1

-1 1 1 -1 -1 1 -1 -1 1 -1 -1 1 -1 1 -1 -1

1 -1 1 -1 1 -1 -1 1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1

1 1 -1 1 -1 -1 1 -1 -1 -1 1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1

1 1 -1 1 -1 -1 -1 1 1 1 -1 1 1 1 -1 -1

1 -1 1 -1 1 -1 1 -1 1 1 1 1 1 1 -1 -1

-1 1 1 -1 -1 1 1 1 -1 1 1 -1 1 -1 -1 -1

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-1 -1 -1 1 1 1 -1 -1 -1 1 -1 -1 1 -1 -1 -1

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Appendix B. All Mediation Analysis Results.

C = Coaching Calls

T = Text Messages

B = Buddy Training

M = Meal

P = PCP

Mediator Variable Estimate

Type Estimate S.E. Est./S.E. p-

value

Facilitation COACHING CALLS

Total 0.407 0.473 0.861 0.389

Facilitation COACHING CALLS

Indirect -0.21 0.165 -1.274 0.203

Facilitation COACHING CALLS

Direct 0.618 0.448 1.378 0.168

Facilitation TEXT MESSAGES

Total 0.397 0.47 0.846 0.398

Facilitation TEXT MESSAGES

Indirect -0.246 0.165 -1.495 0.135

Facilitation TEXT MESSAGES

Direct 0.644 0.444 1.45 0.147

Facilitation BUDDY TRAINING

Total -0.929 0.472 -1.966 0.049

Facilitation BUDDY TRAINING

Indirect -0.377 0.167 -2.256 0.024

Facilitation BUDDY TRAINING

Direct -0.552 0.448 -1.232 0.218

Facilitation MEAL Total 0.015 0.474 0.031 0.975

Facilitation MEAL Indirect 0.022 0.162 0.138 0.89

Facilitation MEAL Direct -0.008 0.446 -0.017 0.986

Facilitation PCP Total 0.022 0.47 0.047 0.962

Facilitation PCP Indirect -0.146 0.161 -0.912 0.362

Facilitation PCP Direct 0.169 0.442 0.382 0.703

Facilitation CXT Total -0.447 0.472 -0.948 0.343

Facilitation CXT Indirect -0.007 0.162 -0.041 0.967

Facilitation CXT Direct -0.441 0.444 -0.992 0.321

Facilitation CXB Total -0.34 0.471 -0.722 0.47

Facilitation CXB Indirect -0.009 0.162 -0.053 0.957

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Facilitation CXB Direct -0.332 0.444 -0.747 0.455

Facilitation CXM Total -0.236 0.474 -0.498 0.618

Facilitation CXM Indirect -0.1 0.163 -0.614 0.539

Facilitation CXM Direct -0.136 0.449 -0.303 0.762

Facilitation CXP Total -0.268 0.472 -0.568 0.57

Facilitation CXP Indirect -0.049 0.162 -0.305 0.761

Facilitation CXP Direct -0.219 0.444 -0.493 0.622

Facilitation TXB Total 0.471 0.474 0.994 0.32

Facilitation TXB Indirect 0.01 0.162 0.061 0.951

Facilitation TXB Direct 0.461 0.447 1.033 0.302

Facilitation TXM Total 0.375 0.471 0.796 0.426

Facilitation TXM Indirect 0.142 0.162 0.874 0.382

Facilitation TXM Direct 0.234 0.444 0.526 0.599

Facilitation TXP Total -0.267 0.473 -0.565 0.572

Facilitation TXP Indirect -0.194 0.165 -1.178 0.239

Facilitation TXP Direct -0.073 0.45 -0.162 0.872

Facilitation BXM Total -0.006 0.472 -0.013 0.99

Facilitation BXM Indirect -0.055 0.163 -0.338 0.735

Facilitation BXM Direct 0.049 0.444 0.111 0.912

Facilitation BXP Total -0.675 0.474 -1.426 0.154

Facilitation BXP Indirect -0.02 0.162 -0.126 0.899

Facilitation BXP Direct -0.655 0.446 -1.468 0.142

Facilitation MXP Total -0.032 0.474 -0.068 0.946

Facilitation MXP Indirect -0.056 0.162 -0.349 0.727

Facilitation MXP Direct 0.024 0.446 0.055 0.956

Facilitation CXTXB Total -0.028 0.472 -0.059 0.953

Facilitation CXTXB Indirect 0.03 0.163 0.184 0.854

Facilitation CXTXB Direct -0.058 0.445 -0.13 0.896

Facilitation CXTXM Total -0.101 0.47 -0.215 0.83

Facilitation CXTXM Indirect -0.142 0.162 -0.88 0.379

Facilitation CXTXM Direct 0.041 0.44 0.094 0.926

Facilitation CXTXP Total -0.24 0.475 -0.505 0.613

Facilitation CXTXP Indirect 0.06 0.162 0.369 0.712

Facilitation CXTXP Direct -0.3 0.447 -0.671 0.502

Facilitation CXBXM Total 0.04 0.475 0.084 0.933

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Facilitation CXBXM Indirect 0.074 0.163 0.453 0.65

Facilitation CXBXM Direct -0.034 0.446 -0.076 0.94

Facilitation CXBXP Total 0.303 0.475 0.639 0.522

Facilitation CXBXP Indirect -0.069 0.162 -0.428 0.669

Facilitation CXBXP Direct 0.373 0.447 0.834 0.405

Facilitation CXMXP Total 0.765 0.474 1.613 0.107

Facilitation CXMXP Indirect 0.068 0.164 0.416 0.677

Facilitation CXMXP Direct 0.697 0.447 1.559 0.119

Facilitation TXBXM Total -0.333 0.474 -0.702 0.482

Facilitation TXBXM Indirect 0.076 0.162 0.469 0.639

Facilitation TXBXM Direct -0.409 0.445 -0.919 0.358

Facilitation TXBXP Total 1.052 0.473 2.222 0.026

Facilitation TXBXP Indirect 0.113 0.161 0.698 0.485

Facilitation TXBXP Direct 0.939 0.447 2.101 0.036

Facilitation TXMXP Total -0.214 0.471 -0.454 0.65

Facilitation TXMXP Indirect 0.018 0.163 0.109 0.913

Facilitation TXMXP Direct -0.231 0.443 -0.522 0.602

Facilitation BXMXP Total 0.276 0.472 0.585 0.558

Facilitation BXMXP Indirect 0.112 0.163 0.685 0.493

Facilitation BXMXP Direct 0.164 0.445 0.369 0.712

Facilitation CTBM Total -0.133 0.474 -0.282 0.778

Facilitation CTBM Indirect -0.222 0.164 -1.355 0.175

Facilitation CTBM Direct 0.089 0.446 0.2 0.842

Facilitation CTBP Total -1.199 0.473 -2.538 0.011

Facilitation CTBP Indirect -0.184 0.166 -1.112 0.266

Facilitation CTBP Direct -1.015 0.445 -2.278 0.023

Facilitation CTMP Total 0.32 0.473 0.676 0.499

Facilitation CTMP Indirect 0.148 0.162 0.913 0.361

Facilitation CTMP Direct 0.172 0.445 0.386 0.699

Facilitation CBMP Total -0.537 0.472 -1.138 0.255

Facilitation CBMP Indirect -0.19 0.166 -1.139 0.255

Facilitation CBMP Direct -0.348 0.444 -0.782 0.434

Facilitation TBMP Total 0.022 0.473 0.047 0.963

Facilitation TBMP Indirect 0.078 0.162 0.481 0.63

Facilitation TBMP Direct -0.056 0.445 -0.125 0.9

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Facilitation CTBMP Total -0.315 0.47 -0.67 0.503

Facilitation CTBMP Indirect -0.269 0.167 -1.605 0.108

Facilitation CTBMP Direct -0.046 0.451 -0.103 0.918

SELF-EFFICACY, DIETING

COACHING CALLS

Total 0.407 0.473 0.86 0.39

SELF-EFFICACY, DIETING

COACHING CALLS

Indirect 0.123 0.108 1.137 0.255

SELF-EFFICACY, DIETING

COACHING CALLS

Direct 0.284 0.463 0.614 0.539

SELF-EFFICACY, DIETING

TEXT MESSAGES

Total 0.397 0.47 0.846 0.398

SELF-EFFICACY, DIETING

TEXT MESSAGES

Indirect 0.081 0.106 0.769 0.442

SELF-EFFICACY, DIETING

TEXT MESSAGES

Direct 0.316 0.458 0.69 0.49

SELF-EFFICACY, DIETING

BUDDY TRAINING

Total -0.929 0.472 -1.966 0.049

SELF-EFFICACY, DIETING

BUDDY TRAINING

Indirect -0.284 0.119 -2.392 0.017

SELF-EFFICACY, DIETING

BUDDY TRAINING

Direct -0.644 0.465 -1.384 0.166

SELF-EFFICACY, DIETING

MEAL Total 0.014 0.474 0.03 0.976

SELF-EFFICACY, DIETING

MEAL Indirect 0.027 0.106 0.255 0.798

SELF-EFFICACY, DIETING

MEAL Direct -0.013 0.463 -0.027 0.978

SELF-EFFICACY, DIETING

PCP Total 0.023 0.47 0.049 0.961

SELF-EFFICACY, DIETING

PCP Indirect -0.088 0.107 -0.819 0.413

SELF-EFFICACY, DIETING

PCP Direct 0.111 0.457 0.242 0.809

SELF-EFFICACY, DIETING

CXT Total -0.447 0.472 -0.948 0.343

SELF-EFFICACY, DIETING

CXT Indirect 0.04 0.106 0.381 0.703

SELF-EFFICACY, DIETING

CXT Direct -0.488 0.461 -1.057 0.291

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SELF-EFFICACY, DIETING

CXB Total -0.34 0.471 -0.722 0.471

SELF-EFFICACY, DIETING

CXB Indirect -0.024 0.105 -0.224 0.822

SELF-EFFICACY, DIETING

CXB Direct -0.316 0.461 -0.687 0.492

SELF-EFFICACY, DIETING

CXM Total -0.236 0.474 -0.498 0.618

SELF-EFFICACY, DIETING

CXM Indirect -0.065 0.105 -0.619 0.536

SELF-EFFICACY, DIETING

CXM Direct -0.171 0.463 -0.369 0.712

SELF-EFFICACY, DIETING

CXP Total -0.268 0.472 -0.568 0.57

SELF-EFFICACY, DIETING

CXP Indirect 0.01 0.106 0.092 0.927

SELF-EFFICACY, DIETING

CXP Direct -0.278 0.46 -0.604 0.546

SELF-EFFICACY, DIETING

TXB Total 0.471 0.474 0.994 0.32

SELF-EFFICACY, DIETING

TXB Indirect 0.141 0.11 1.281 0.2

SELF-EFFICACY, DIETING

TXB Direct 0.331 0.465 0.71 0.478

SELF-EFFICACY, DIETING

TXM Total 0.375 0.471 0.796 0.426

SELF-EFFICACY, DIETING

TXM Indirect -0.038 0.106 -0.357 0.721

SELF-EFFICACY, DIETING

TXM Direct 0.413 0.46 0.897 0.369

SELF-EFFICACY, DIETING

TXP Total -0.267 0.473 -0.565 0.572

SELF-EFFICACY, DIETING

TXP Indirect 0.107 0.108 0.997 0.319

SELF-EFFICACY, DIETING

TXP Direct -0.374 0.461 -0.812 0.417

SELF-EFFICACY, DIETING

BXM Total -0.006 0.472 -0.013 0.99

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SELF-EFFICACY, DIETING

BXM Indirect -0.134 0.107 -1.245 0.213

SELF-EFFICACY, DIETING

BXM Direct 0.128 0.461 0.277 0.782

SELF-EFFICACY, DIETING

BXP Total -0.675 0.474 -1.425 0.154

SELF-EFFICACY, DIETING

BXP Indirect -0.001 0.105 -0.013 0.99

SELF-EFFICACY, DIETING

BXP Direct -0.674 0.462 -1.457 0.145

SELF-EFFICACY, DIETING

MXP Total -0.032 0.474 -0.067 0.946

SELF-EFFICACY, DIETING

MXP Indirect 0.02 0.106 0.192 0.848

SELF-EFFICACY, DIETING

MXP Direct -0.052 0.463 -0.113 0.91

SELF-EFFICACY, DIETING

CXTXB Total -0.028 0.472 -0.06 0.953

SELF-EFFICACY, DIETING

CXTXB Indirect -0.083 0.107 -0.776 0.438

SELF-EFFICACY, DIETING

CXTXB Direct 0.055 0.46 0.119 0.905

SELF-EFFICACY, DIETING

CXTXM Total -0.101 0.47 -0.215 0.83

SELF-EFFICACY, DIETING

CXTXM Indirect 0 0.105 0.004 0.997

SELF-EFFICACY, DIETING

CXTXM Direct -0.101 0.46 -0.221 0.825

SELF-EFFICACY, DIETING

CXTXP Total -0.24 0.475 -0.505 0.613

SELF-EFFICACY, DIETING

CXTXP Indirect -0.067 0.106 -0.632 0.527

SELF-EFFICACY, DIETING

CXTXP Direct -0.173 0.465 -0.372 0.71

SELF-EFFICACY, DIETING

CXBXM Total 0.04 0.475 0.085 0.933

SELF-EFFICACY, DIETING

CXBXM Indirect -0.228 0.115 -1.984 0.047

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SELF-EFFICACY, DIETING

CXBXM Direct 0.269 0.465 0.578 0.563

SELF-EFFICACY, DIETING

CXBXP Total 0.304 0.475 0.64 0.522

SELF-EFFICACY, DIETING

CXBXP Indirect -0.085 0.107 -0.798 0.425

SELF-EFFICACY, DIETING

CXBXP Direct 0.389 0.465 0.837 0.403

SELF-EFFICACY, DIETING

CXMXP Total 0.765 0.474 1.614 0.107

SELF-EFFICACY, DIETING

CXMXP Indirect -0.072 0.106 -0.677 0.498

SELF-EFFICACY, DIETING

CXMXP Direct 0.837 0.462 1.811 0.07

SELF-EFFICACY, DIETING

TXBXM Total -0.333 0.474 -0.702 0.483

SELF-EFFICACY, DIETING

TXBXM Indirect -0.046 0.106 -0.431 0.667

SELF-EFFICACY, DIETING

TXBXM Direct -0.287 0.463 -0.62 0.535

SELF-EFFICACY, DIETING

TXBXP Total 1.052 0.473 2.222 0.026

SELF-EFFICACY, DIETING

TXBXP Indirect 0.094 0.107 0.88 0.379

SELF-EFFICACY, DIETING

TXBXP Direct 0.957 0.464 2.064 0.039

SELF-EFFICACY, DIETING

TXMXP Total -0.214 0.471 -0.454 0.65

SELF-EFFICACY, DIETING

TXMXP Indirect -0.015 0.105 -0.139 0.89

SELF-EFFICACY, DIETING

TXMXP Direct -0.199 0.459 -0.433 0.665

SELF-EFFICACY, DIETING

BXMXP Total 0.276 0.472 0.585 0.558

SELF-EFFICACY, DIETING

BXMXP Indirect 0.047 0.107 0.441 0.659

SELF-EFFICACY, DIETING

BXMXP Direct 0.229 0.461 0.497 0.619

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SELF-EFFICACY, DIETING

CTBM Total -0.133 0.474 -0.282 0.778

SELF-EFFICACY, DIETING

CTBM Indirect 0.053 0.106 0.496 0.62

SELF-EFFICACY, DIETING

CTBM Direct -0.186 0.463 -0.402 0.688

SELF-EFFICACY, DIETING

CTMP Total 0.32 0.473 0.676 0.499

SELF-EFFICACY, DIETING

CTMP Indirect -0.077 0.106 -0.723 0.47

SELF-EFFICACY, DIETING

CTMP Direct 0.397 0.461 0.86 0.39

SELF-EFFICACY, DIETING

CTBP Total -1.199 0.473 -2.538 0.011

SELF-EFFICACY, DIETING

CTBP Indirect -0.001 0.105 -0.01 0.992

SELF-EFFICACY, DIETING

CTBP Direct -1.198 0.461 -2.597 0.009

SELF-EFFICACY, DIETING

CBMP Total -0.538 0.472 -1.139 0.255

SELF-EFFICACY, DIETING

CBMP Indirect -0.035 0.106 -0.336 0.737

SELF-EFFICACY, DIETING

CBMP Direct -0.502 0.46 -1.091 0.275

SELF-EFFICACY, DIETING

TBMP Total 0.023 0.473 0.049 0.961

SELF-EFFICACY, DIETING

TBMP Indirect 0.141 0.108 1.31 0.19

SELF-EFFICACY, DIETING

TBMP Direct -0.118 0.465 -0.254 0.799

SELF-EFFICACY, DIETING

CTBMP Total -0.315 0.47 -0.67 0.503

SELF-EFFICACY, DIETING

CTBMP Indirect -0.016 0.106 -0.148 0.882

SELF-EFFICACY, DIETING

CTBMP Direct -0.299 0.46 -0.652 0.515

SELF-EFFICACY, EXERCISE

COACHING CALLS

Total 0.487 0.499 0.976 0.329

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SELF-EFFICACY, EXERCISE

COACHING CALLS

Indirect 0.19 0.124 1.533 0.125

SELF-EFFICACY, EXERCISE

COACHING CALLS

Direct 0.297 0.485 0.612 0.54

SELF-EFFICACY, EXERCISE

TEXT MESSAGES

Total 0.493 0.513 0.961 0.336

SELF-EFFICACY, EXERCISE

TEXT MESSAGES

Indirect -0.023 0.119 -0.196 0.845

SELF-EFFICACY, EXERCISE

TEXT MESSAGES

Direct 0.516 0.498 1.036 0.3

SELF-EFFICACY, EXERCISE

BUDDY TRAINING

Total -0.913 0.485 -1.884 0.06

SELF-EFFICACY, EXERCISE

BUDDY TRAINING

Indirect -0.037 0.111 -0.335 0.738

SELF-EFFICACY, EXERCISE

BUDDY TRAINING

Direct -0.876 0.471 -1.86 0.063

SELF-EFFICACY, EXERCISE

MEAL Total -0.008 0.486 -0.017 0.986

SELF-EFFICACY, EXERCISE

MEAL Indirect 0.207 0.123 1.683 0.092

SELF-EFFICACY, EXERCISE

MEAL Direct -0.215 0.476 -0.451 0.652

SELF-EFFICACY, EXERCISE

PCP Total 0.046 0.495 0.092 0.927

SELF-EFFICACY, EXERCISE

PCP Indirect 0.013 0.11 0.119 0.905

SELF-EFFICACY, EXERCISE

PCP Direct 0.033 0.487 0.067 0.947

SELF-EFFICACY, EXERCISE

CXT Total -0.461 0.512 -0.9 0.368

SELF-EFFICACY, EXERCISE

CXT Indirect -0.078 0.111 -0.704 0.481

SELF-EFFICACY, EXERCISE

CXT Direct -0.383 0.499 -0.767 0.443

SELF-EFFICACY, EXERCISE

CXB Total -0.337 0.499 -0.676 0.499

SELF-EFFICACY, EXERCISE

CXB Indirect 0.093 0.109 0.849 0.396

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SELF-EFFICACY, EXERCISE

CXB Direct -0.43 0.486 -0.884 0.376

SELF-EFFICACY, EXERCISE

CXM Total -0.323 0.502 -0.644 0.519

SELF-EFFICACY, EXERCISE

CXM Indirect -0.085 0.114 -0.742 0.458

SELF-EFFICACY, EXERCISE

CXM Direct -0.239 0.486 -0.491 0.624

SELF-EFFICACY, EXERCISE

CXP Total -0.334 0.499 -0.671 0.502

SELF-EFFICACY, EXERCISE

CXP Indirect 0.086 0.117 0.732 0.464

SELF-EFFICACY, EXERCISE

CXP Direct -0.42 0.486 -0.864 0.388

SELF-EFFICACY, EXERCISE

TXB Total 0.543 0.492 1.104 0.27

SELF-EFFICACY, EXERCISE

TXB Indirect -0.026 0.114 -0.233 0.816

SELF-EFFICACY, EXERCISE

TXB Direct 0.57 0.474 1.202 0.23

SELF-EFFICACY, EXERCISE

TXM Total 0.32 0.487 0.657 0.511

SELF-EFFICACY, EXERCISE

TXM Indirect 0.006 0.111 0.056 0.955

SELF-EFFICACY, EXERCISE

TXM Direct 0.314 0.476 0.659 0.51

SELF-EFFICACY, EXERCISE

TXP Total -0.294 0.498 -0.59 0.555

SELF-EFFICACY, EXERCISE

TXP Indirect -0.116 0.118 -0.984 0.325

SELF-EFFICACY, EXERCISE

TXP Direct -0.178 0.486 -0.367 0.714

SELF-EFFICACY, EXERCISE

BXM Total 0.03 0.509 0.058 0.953

SELF-EFFICACY, EXERCISE

BXM Indirect -0.106 0.115 -0.919 0.358

SELF-EFFICACY, EXERCISE

BXM Direct 0.135 0.495 0.274 0.784

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SELF-EFFICACY, EXERCISE

BXP Total -0.705 0.51 -1.382 0.167

SELF-EFFICACY, EXERCISE

BXP Indirect 0.049 0.111 0.447 0.655

SELF-EFFICACY, EXERCISE

BXP Direct -0.755 0.495 -1.524 0.128

SELF-EFFICACY, EXERCISE

MXP Total -0.034 0.498 -0.068 0.946

SELF-EFFICACY, EXERCISE

MXP Indirect -0.126 0.113 -1.111 0.267

SELF-EFFICACY, EXERCISE

MXP Direct 0.092 0.486 0.189 0.85

SELF-EFFICACY, EXERCISE

CXTXB Total -0.114 0.486 -0.236 0.814

SELF-EFFICACY, EXERCISE

CXTXB Indirect 0.023 0.114 0.202 0.84

SELF-EFFICACY, EXERCISE

CXTXB Direct -0.138 0.475 -0.289 0.772

SELF-EFFICACY, EXERCISE

CXTXM Total -0.134 0.511 -0.262 0.793

SELF-EFFICACY, EXERCISE

CXTXM Indirect -0.175 0.115 -1.522 0.128

SELF-EFFICACY, EXERCISE

CXTXM Direct 0.041 0.497 0.083 0.934

SELF-EFFICACY, EXERCISE

CXTXP Total -0.275 0.49 -0.562 0.574

SELF-EFFICACY, EXERCISE

CXTXP Indirect -0.177 0.121 -1.464 0.143

SELF-EFFICACY, EXERCISE

CXTXP Direct -0.099 0.481 -0.205 0.837

SELF-EFFICACY, EXERCISE

CXBXM Total -0.016 0.488 -0.032 0.974

SELF-EFFICACY, EXERCISE

CXBXM Indirect -0.013 0.107 -0.125 0.901

SELF-EFFICACY, EXERCISE

CXBXM Direct -0.002 0.481 -0.005 0.996

SELF-EFFICACY, EXERCISE

CXBXP Total 0.261 0.48 0.544 0.586

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SELF-EFFICACY, EXERCISE

CXBXP Indirect -0.076 0.113 -0.674 0.5

SELF-EFFICACY, EXERCISE

CXBXP Direct 0.338 0.464 0.727 0.467

SELF-EFFICACY, EXERCISE

CXMXP Total 0.772 0.492 1.568 0.117

SELF-EFFICACY, EXERCISE

CXMXP Indirect 0.106 0.118 0.893 0.372

SELF-EFFICACY, EXERCISE

CXMXP Direct 0.666 0.476 1.399 0.162

SELF-EFFICACY, EXERCISE

TXBXM Total -0.4 0.472 -0.848 0.397

SELF-EFFICACY, EXERCISE

TXBXM Indirect -0.095 0.111 -0.859 0.39

SELF-EFFICACY, EXERCISE

TXBXM Direct -0.305 0.459 -0.665 0.506

SELF-EFFICACY, EXERCISE

TXBXP Total 1.121 0.493 2.274 0.023

SELF-EFFICACY, EXERCISE

TXBXP Indirect -0.013 0.112 -0.116 0.908

SELF-EFFICACY, EXERCISE

TXBXP Direct 1.134 0.48 2.363 0.018

SELF-EFFICACY, EXERCISE

TXMXP Total -0.138 0.489 -0.283 0.777

SELF-EFFICACY, EXERCISE

TXMXP Indirect -0.058 0.107 -0.537 0.591

SELF-EFFICACY, EXERCISE

TXMXP Direct -0.081 0.485 -0.167 0.868

SELF-EFFICACY, EXERCISE

BXMXP Total 0.292 0.48 0.608 0.543

SELF-EFFICACY, EXERCISE

BXMXP Indirect 0.102 0.112 0.908 0.364

SELF-EFFICACY, EXERCISE

BXMXP Direct 0.19 0.467 0.407 0.684

SELF-EFFICACY, EXERCISE

CTBM Total -0.089 0.49 -0.182 0.855

SELF-EFFICACY, EXERCISE

CTBM Indirect -0.079 0.117 -0.674 0.501

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SELF-EFFICACY, EXERCISE

CTBM Direct -0.011 0.477 -0.022 0.982

SELF-EFFICACY, EXERCISE

CTMP Total 0.33 0.492 0.671 0.502

SELF-EFFICACY, EXERCISE

CTMP Indirect -0.109 0.112 -0.968 0.333

SELF-EFFICACY, EXERCISE

CTMP Direct 0.439 0.48 0.914 0.361

SELF-EFFICACY, EXERCISE

CTBP Total -1.13 0.484 -2.336 0.019

SELF-EFFICACY, EXERCISE

CTBP Indirect -0.118 0.112 -1.055 0.291

SELF-EFFICACY, EXERCISE

CTBP Direct -1.012 0.469 -2.156 0.031

SELF-EFFICACY, EXERCISE

CBMP Total -0.562 0.484 -1.161 0.246

SELF-EFFICACY, EXERCISE

CBMP Indirect -0.032 0.11 -0.29 0.772

SELF-EFFICACY, EXERCISE

CBMP Direct -0.53 0.473 -1.12 0.263

SELF-EFFICACY, EXERCISE

TBMP Total 0.051 0.498 0.103 0.918

SELF-EFFICACY, EXERCISE

TBMP Indirect 0.071 0.114 0.62 0.535

SELF-EFFICACY, EXERCISE

TBMP Direct -0.02 0.484 -0.04 0.968

SELF-EFFICACY, EXERCISE

CTBMP Total -0.215 0.502 -0.428 0.669

SELF-EFFICACY, EXERCISE

CTBMP Indirect -0.09 0.12 -0.754 0.451

SELF-EFFICACY, EXERCISE

CTBMP Direct -0.125 0.482 -0.258 0.796

Restraint COACHING CALLS

Total 0.407 0.477 0.854 0.393

Restraint COACHING CALLS

Indirect 0.103 0.09 1.138 0.255

Restraint COACHING CALLS

Direct 0.305 0.47 0.648 0.517

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Restraint TEXT MESSAGES

Total 0.397 0.477 0.833 0.405

Restraint TEXT MESSAGES

Indirect 0.039 0.087 0.447 0.655

Restraint TEXT MESSAGES

Direct 0.358 0.47 0.763 0.446

Restraint BUDDY TRAINING

Total -0.929 0.477 -1.948 0.051

Restraint BUDDY TRAINING

Indirect -0.004 0.087 -0.046 0.963

Restraint BUDDY TRAINING

Direct -0.925 0.469 -1.972 0.049

Restraint MEAL Total 0.015 0.478 0.031 0.976

Restraint MEAL Indirect 0.066 0.088 0.748 0.454

Restraint MEAL Direct -0.051 0.47 -0.11 0.913

Restraint PCP Total 0.023 0.477 0.048 0.962

Restraint PCP Indirect -0.125 0.092 -1.354 0.176

Restraint PCP Direct 0.147 0.471 0.312 0.755

Restraint CXT Total -0.447 0.477 -0.938 0.348

Restraint CXT Indirect 0.183 0.098 1.878 0.06

Restraint CXT Direct -0.631 0.472 -1.336 0.182

Restraint CXB Total -0.34 0.477 -0.713 0.476

Restraint CXB Indirect -0.043 0.088 -0.486 0.627

Restraint CXB Direct -0.298 0.469 -0.634 0.526

Restraint CXM Total -0.236 0.477 -0.495 0.621

Restraint CXM Indirect 0.137 0.093 1.473 0.141

Restraint CXM Direct -0.373 0.47 -0.794 0.427

Restraint CXP Total -0.268 0.478 -0.562 0.574

Restraint CXP Indirect -0.169 0.096 -1.759 0.079

Restraint CXP Direct -0.099 0.473 -0.21 0.834

Restraint TXB Total 0.471 0.477 0.988 0.323

Restraint TXB Indirect 0.09 0.09 1.005 0.315

Restraint TXB Direct 0.381 0.47 0.812 0.417

Restraint TXM Total 0.375 0.477 0.786 0.432

Restraint TXM Indirect 0.075 0.089 0.842 0.4

Restraint TXM Direct 0.3 0.47 0.639 0.523

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Restraint TXP Total -0.267 0.477 -0.56 0.575

Restraint TXP Indirect 0.106 0.091 1.167 0.243

Restraint TXP Direct -0.373 0.47 -0.794 0.427

Restraint BXM Total -0.006 0.478 -0.012 0.99

Restraint BXM Indirect -0.125 0.092 -1.358 0.175

Restraint BXM Direct 0.119 0.471 0.253 0.8

Restraint BXP Total -0.675 0.477 -1.415 0.157

Restraint BXP Indirect -0.091 0.09 -1.011 0.312

Restraint BXP Direct -0.585 0.469 -1.245 0.213

Restraint MXP Total -0.032 0.477 -0.067 0.947

Restraint MXP Indirect 0.03 0.087 0.344 0.731

Restraint MXP Direct -0.062 0.469 -0.132 0.895

Restraint CXTXB Total -0.028 0.477 -0.059 0.953

Restraint CXTXB Indirect -0.106 0.09 -1.168 0.243

Restraint CXTXB Direct 0.078 0.471 0.165 0.869

Restraint CXTXM Total -0.101 0.478 -0.212 0.832

Restraint CXTXM Indirect -0.039 0.088 -0.448 0.654

Restraint CXTXM Direct -0.062 0.47 -0.132 0.895

Restraint CXTXP Total -0.24 0.477 -0.503 0.615

Restraint CXTXP Indirect -0.018 0.087 -0.21 0.833

Restraint CXTXP Direct -0.222 0.469 -0.472 0.637

Restraint CXBXM Total 0.04 0.477 0.084 0.933

Restraint CXBXM Indirect 0.033 0.087 0.382 0.703

Restraint CXBXM Direct 0.007 0.469 0.014 0.989

Restraint CXBXP Total 0.303 0.477 0.636 0.525

Restraint CXBXP Indirect 0.149 0.094 1.585 0.113

Restraint CXBXP Direct 0.155 0.471 0.328 0.743

Restraint CXMXP Total 0.765 0.477 1.603 0.109

Restraint CXMXP Indirect 0.178 0.097 1.839 0.066

Restraint CXMXP Direct 0.587 0.471 1.245 0.213

Restraint TXBXM Total -0.333 0.478 -0.697 0.486

Restraint TXBXM Indirect 0.132 0.093 1.423 0.155

Restraint TXBXM Direct -0.465 0.47 -0.989 0.323

Restraint TXBXP Total 1.052 0.477 2.204 0.027

Restraint TXBXP Indirect 0.168 0.096 1.755 0.079

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Restraint TXBXP Direct 0.884 0.471 1.877 0.061

Restraint TXMXP Total -0.214 0.477 -0.448 0.654

Restraint TXMXP Indirect 0.059 0.088 0.673 0.501

Restraint TXMXP Direct -0.273 0.47 -0.581 0.561

Restraint BXMXP Total 0.276 0.477 0.579 0.563

Restraint BXMXP Indirect 0.212 0.101 2.103 0.035

Restraint BXMXP Direct 0.064 0.472 0.136 0.892

Restraint CTBM Total -0.133 0.478 -0.279 0.78

Restraint CTBM Indirect 0.004 0.087 0.048 0.962

Restraint CTBM Direct -0.138 0.47 -0.293 0.77

Restraint CTMP Total 0.32 0.477 0.671 0.502

Restraint CTMP Indirect 0.012 0.087 0.135 0.893

Restraint CTMP Direct 0.308 0.469 0.657 0.511

Restraint CTBP Total -1.199 0.477 -2.515 0.012

Restraint CTBP Indirect -0.017 0.087 -0.194 0.846

Restraint CTBP Direct -1.182 0.469 -2.521 0.012

Restraint CBMP Total -0.537 0.477 -1.127 0.26

Restraint CBMP Indirect 0.117 0.091 1.285 0.199

Restraint CBMP Direct -0.655 0.47 -1.393 0.164

Restraint TBMP Total 0.023 0.477 0.047 0.962

Restraint TBMP Indirect -0.095 0.09 -1.055 0.292

Restraint TBMP Direct 0.117 0.469 0.25 0.802

Restraint CTBMP Total -0.315 0.477 -0.66 0.509

Restraint CTBMP Indirect 0.148 0.094 1.578 0.115

Restraint CTBMP Direct -0.463 0.472 -0.983 0.326

Therapeutic Alliance COACHING CALLS

Total 0.407 0.473 0.86 0.39

Therapeutic Alliance COACHING CALLS

Indirect -0.085 0.077 -1.099 0.272

Therapeutic Alliance COACHING CALLS

Direct 0.492 0.471 1.046 0.296

Therapeutic Alliance TEXT MESSAGES

Total 0.397 0.47 0.846 0.398

Therapeutic Alliance TEXT MESSAGES

Indirect -0.02 0.074 -0.267 0.79

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Therapeutic Alliance TEXT MESSAGES

Direct 0.417 0.464 0.899 0.369

Therapeutic Alliance BUDDY TRAINING

Total -0.929 0.472 -1.966 0.049

Therapeutic Alliance BUDDY TRAINING

Indirect -0.082 0.077 -1.069 0.285

Therapeutic Alliance BUDDY TRAINING

Direct -0.846 0.467 -1.814 0.07

Therapeutic Alliance MEAL Total 0.015 0.474 0.031 0.975

Therapeutic Alliance MEAL Indirect 0.041 0.074 0.561 0.575

Therapeutic Alliance MEAL Direct -0.027 0.467 -0.058 0.954

Therapeutic Alliance PCP Total 0.023 0.47 0.048 0.961

Therapeutic Alliance PCP Indirect -0.064 0.076 -0.844 0.398

Therapeutic Alliance PCP Direct 0.087 0.464 0.187 0.851

Therapeutic Alliance CXT Total -0.447 0.472 -0.948 0.343

Therapeutic Alliance CXT Indirect -0.086 0.078 -1.103 0.27

Therapeutic Alliance CXT Direct -0.362 0.467 -0.774 0.439

Therapeutic Alliance CXB Total -0.34 0.471 -0.722 0.47

Therapeutic Alliance CXB Indirect 0.037 0.074 0.497 0.619

Therapeutic Alliance CXB Direct -0.377 0.465 -0.81 0.418

Therapeutic Alliance CXM Total -0.236 0.474 -0.498 0.618

Therapeutic Alliance CXM Indirect -0.148 0.081 -1.827 0.068

Therapeutic Alliance CXM Direct -0.088 0.471 -0.188 0.851

Therapeutic Alliance CXP Total -0.268 0.472 -0.568 0.57

Therapeutic Alliance CXP Indirect -0.057 0.075 -0.766 0.444

Therapeutic Alliance CXP Direct -0.211 0.465 -0.453 0.651

Therapeutic Alliance TXB Total 0.471 0.474 0.994 0.32

Therapeutic Alliance TXB Indirect 0.081 0.076 1.062 0.288

Therapeutic Alliance TXB Direct 0.391 0.468 0.835 0.404

Therapeutic Alliance TXM Total 0.375 0.471 0.796 0.426

Therapeutic Alliance TXM Indirect 0.088 0.075 1.167 0.243

Therapeutic Alliance TXM Direct 0.287 0.464 0.619 0.536

Therapeutic Alliance TXP Total -0.267 0.473 -0.565 0.572

Therapeutic Alliance TXP Indirect -0.109 0.079 -1.388 0.165

Therapeutic Alliance TXP Direct -0.158 0.466 -0.339 0.735

Therapeutic Alliance BXM Total -0.006 0.472 -0.013 0.99

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Therapeutic Alliance BXM Indirect -0.168 0.088 -1.903 0.057

Therapeutic Alliance BXM Direct 0.162 0.465 0.348 0.728

Therapeutic Alliance BXP Total -0.675 0.474 -1.426 0.154

Therapeutic Alliance BXP Indirect 0.021 0.074 0.287 0.774

Therapeutic Alliance BXP Direct -0.696 0.468 -1.489 0.137

Therapeutic Alliance MXP Total -0.032 0.474 -0.067 0.946

Therapeutic Alliance MXP Indirect -0.021 0.073 -0.28 0.78

Therapeutic Alliance MXP Direct -0.011 0.467 -0.025 0.98

Therapeutic Alliance CXTXB Total -0.028 0.472 -0.059 0.953

Therapeutic Alliance CXTXB Indirect 0.048 0.075 0.637 0.524

Therapeutic Alliance CXTXB Direct -0.076 0.468 -0.161 0.872

Therapeutic Alliance CXTXM Total -0.101 0.47 -0.215 0.83

Therapeutic Alliance CXTXM Indirect -0.062 0.074 -0.838 0.402

Therapeutic Alliance CXTXM Direct -0.039 0.462 -0.085 0.932

Therapeutic Alliance CXTXP Total -0.24 0.475 -0.505 0.613

Therapeutic Alliance CXTXP Indirect -0.005 0.073 -0.068 0.946

Therapeutic Alliance CXTXP Direct -0.235 0.469 -0.501 0.616

Therapeutic Alliance CXBXM Total 0.04 0.475 0.084 0.933

Therapeutic Alliance CXBXM Indirect -0.025 0.073 -0.348 0.728

Therapeutic Alliance CXBXM Direct 0.065 0.468 0.14 0.889

Therapeutic Alliance CXBXP Total 0.303 0.475 0.639 0.523

Therapeutic Alliance CXBXP Indirect -0.044 0.073 -0.596 0.551

Therapeutic Alliance CXBXP Direct 0.347 0.467 0.743 0.457

Therapeutic Alliance CXMXP Total 0.765 0.474 1.613 0.107

Therapeutic Alliance CXMXP Indirect -0.022 0.074 -0.305 0.76

Therapeutic Alliance CXMXP Direct 0.787 0.468 1.683 0.092

Therapeutic Alliance TXBXM Total -0.333 0.474 -0.702 0.482

Therapeutic Alliance TXBXM Indirect 0.076 0.074 1.017 0.309

Therapeutic Alliance TXBXM Direct -0.408 0.467 -0.874 0.382

Therapeutic Alliance TXBXP Total 1.052 0.473 2.222 0.026

Therapeutic Alliance TXBXP Indirect 0.002 0.073 0.028 0.977

Therapeutic Alliance TXBXP Direct 1.05 0.467 2.249 0.025

Therapeutic Alliance TXMXP Total -0.214 0.471 -0.454 0.65

Therapeutic Alliance TXMXP Indirect 0.142 0.087 1.626 0.104

Therapeutic Alliance TXMXP Direct -0.356 0.468 -0.76 0.447

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Therapeutic Alliance BXMXP Total 0.276 0.472 0.585 0.559

Therapeutic Alliance BXMXP Indirect 0.041 0.073 0.557 0.577

Therapeutic Alliance BXMXP Direct 0.235 0.465 0.506 0.613

Therapeutic Alliance CTBM Total -0.133 0.474 -0.281 0.778

Therapeutic Alliance CTBM Indirect 0.085 0.077 1.104 0.27

Therapeutic Alliance CTBM Direct -0.218 0.469 -0.465 0.642

Therapeutic Alliance CTBP Total -1.199 0.473 -2.537 0.011

Therapeutic Alliance CTBP Indirect -0.127 0.081 -1.574 0.115

Therapeutic Alliance CTBP Direct -1.072 0.465 -2.304 0.021

Therapeutic Alliance CTMP Total 0.32 0.473 0.676 0.499

Therapeutic Alliance CTMP Indirect 0.016 0.074 0.22 0.826

Therapeutic Alliance CTMP Direct 0.304 0.467 0.65 0.515

Therapeutic Alliance CBMP Total -0.537 0.472 -1.138 0.255

Therapeutic Alliance CBMP Indirect -0.02 0.074 -0.271 0.787

Therapeutic Alliance CBMP Direct -0.517 0.466 -1.11 0.267

Therapeutic Alliance TBMP Total 0.023 0.473 0.048 0.962

Therapeutic Alliance TBMP Indirect 0.218 0.092 2.363 0.018

Therapeutic Alliance TBMP Direct -0.195 0.468 -0.417 0.676

Therapeutic Alliance CTBMP Total -0.315 0.47 -0.67 0.503

Therapeutic Alliance CTBMP Indirect -0.011 0.074 -0.144 0.885

Therapeutic Alliance CTBMP Direct -0.305 0.464 -0.656 0.512

Autonomous Motiv. COACHING CALLS

Total 0.407 0.473 0.861 0.389

Autonomous Motiv. COACHING CALLS

Indirect -0.003 0.07 -0.038 0.97

Autonomous Motiv. COACHING CALLS

Direct 0.41 0.468 0.876 0.381

Autonomous Motiv. TEXT MESSAGES

Total 0.397 0.47 0.846 0.397

Autonomous Motiv. TEXT MESSAGES

Indirect 0.046 0.072 0.64 0.522

Autonomous Motiv. TEXT MESSAGES

Direct 0.351 0.465 0.755 0.45

Autonomous Motiv. BUDDY TRAINING

Total -0.929 0.472 -1.967 0.049

Autonomous Motiv. BUDDY TRAINING

Indirect -0.13 0.076 -1.699 0.089

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Autonomous Motiv. BUDDY TRAINING

Direct -0.799 0.469 -1.704 0.088

Autonomous Motiv. MEAL Total 0.015 0.474 0.031 0.976

Autonomous Motiv. MEAL Indirect -0.033 0.072 -0.453 0.65

Autonomous Motiv. MEAL Direct 0.047 0.469 0.101 0.92

Autonomous Motiv. PCP Total 0.023 0.47 0.048 0.962

Autonomous Motiv. PCP Indirect -0.1 0.075 -1.323 0.186

Autonomous Motiv. PCP Direct 0.122 0.467 0.262 0.793

Autonomous Motiv. CXT Total -0.447 0.472 -0.948 0.343

Autonomous Motiv. CXT Indirect 0.055 0.071 0.775 0.439

Autonomous Motiv. CXT Direct -0.502 0.468 -1.073 0.283

Autonomous Motiv. CXB Total -0.34 0.471 -0.722 0.47

Autonomous Motiv. CXB Indirect 0.154 0.084 1.845 0.065

Autonomous Motiv. CXB Direct -0.495 0.47 -1.052 0.293

Autonomous Motiv. CXM Total -0.236 0.474 -0.499 0.618

Autonomous Motiv. CXM Indirect -0.029 0.071 -0.41 0.682

Autonomous Motiv. CXM Direct -0.207 0.469 -0.442 0.659

Autonomous Motiv. CXP Total -0.268 0.472 -0.569 0.569

Autonomous Motiv. CXP Indirect 0.001 0.07 0.015 0.988

Autonomous Motiv. CXP Direct -0.269 0.467 -0.578 0.564

Autonomous Motiv. TXB Total 0.471 0.474 0.994 0.32

Autonomous Motiv. TXB Indirect 0.027 0.071 0.381 0.703

Autonomous Motiv. TXB Direct 0.444 0.468 0.95 0.342

Autonomous Motiv. TXM Total 0.375 0.471 0.796 0.426

Autonomous Motiv. TXM Indirect -0.045 0.072 -0.633 0.527

Autonomous Motiv. TXM Direct 0.421 0.466 0.903 0.366

Autonomous Motiv. TXP Total -0.267 0.473 -0.565 0.572

Autonomous Motiv. TXP Indirect -0.085 0.074 -1.151 0.25

Autonomous Motiv. TXP Direct -0.182 0.467 -0.389 0.697

Autonomous Motiv. BXM Total -0.006 0.472 -0.013 0.99

Autonomous Motiv. BXM Indirect -0.007 0.07 -0.107 0.915

Autonomous Motiv. BXM Direct 0.001 0.467 0.003 0.998

Autonomous Motiv. BXP Total -0.675 0.474 -1.426 0.154

Autonomous Motiv. BXP Indirect 0.049 0.07 0.692 0.489

Autonomous Motiv. BXP Direct -0.724 0.469 -1.544 0.123

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Autonomous Motiv. MXP Total -0.032 0.474 -0.067 0.946

Autonomous Motiv. MXP Indirect -0.031 0.071 -0.438 0.662

Autonomous Motiv. MXP Direct -0.001 0.469 -0.002 0.998

Autonomous Motiv. CXTXB Total -0.028 0.472 -0.059 0.953

Autonomous Motiv. CXTXB Indirect -0.003 0.07 -0.041 0.967

Autonomous Motiv. CXTXB Direct -0.025 0.468 -0.054 0.957

Autonomous Motiv. CXTXM Total -0.101 0.47 -0.215 0.83

Autonomous Motiv. CXTXM Indirect 0.003 0.07 0.044 0.965

Autonomous Motiv. CXTXM Direct -0.104 0.465 -0.224 0.823

Autonomous Motiv. CXTXP Total -0.24 0.475 -0.505 0.614

Autonomous Motiv. CXTXP Indirect 0.02 0.071 0.275 0.784

Autonomous Motiv. CXTXP Direct -0.259 0.47 -0.552 0.581

Autonomous Motiv. CXBXM Total 0.04 0.475 0.084 0.933

Autonomous Motiv. CXBXM Indirect -0.079 0.072 -1.107 0.268

Autonomous Motiv. CXBXM Direct 0.119 0.474 0.252 0.801

Autonomous Motiv. CXBXP Total 0.303 0.475 0.639 0.523

Autonomous Motiv. CXBXP Indirect -0.026 0.071 -0.372 0.71

Autonomous Motiv. CXBXP Direct 0.33 0.469 0.703 0.482

Autonomous Motiv. CXMXP Total 0.765 0.474 1.613 0.107

Autonomous Motiv. CXMXP Indirect 0.013 0.07 0.192 0.848

Autonomous Motiv. CXMXP Direct 0.752 0.469 1.603 0.109

Autonomous Motiv. TXBXM Total -0.333 0.474 -0.703 0.482

Autonomous Motiv. TXBXM Indirect 0.103 0.079 1.307 0.191

Autonomous Motiv. TXBXM Direct -0.436 0.472 -0.924 0.355

Autonomous Motiv. TXBXP Total 1.052 0.473 2.223 0.026

Autonomous Motiv. TXBXP Indirect 0.05 0.07 0.709 0.478

Autonomous Motiv. TXBXP Direct 1.002 0.471 2.129 0.033

Autonomous Motiv. TXMXP Total -0.214 0.471 -0.454 0.65

Autonomous Motiv. TXMXP Indirect 0.039 0.071 0.546 0.585

Autonomous Motiv. TXMXP Direct -0.253 0.466 -0.542 0.587

Autonomous Motiv. BXMXP Total 0.276 0.472 0.585 0.559

Autonomous Motiv. BXMXP Indirect 0.04 0.071 0.568 0.57

Autonomous Motiv. BXMXP Direct 0.236 0.467 0.505 0.614

Autonomous Motiv. CTBM Total -0.133 0.474 -0.281 0.779

Autonomous Motiv. CTBM Indirect -0.128 0.08 -1.608 0.108

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Autonomous Motiv. CTBM Direct -0.005 0.466 -0.01 0.992

Autonomous Motiv. CTMP Total 0.32 0.473 0.676 0.499

Autonomous Motiv. CTMP Indirect 0 0.07 0.001 0.999

Autonomous Motiv. CTMP Direct 0.32 0.468 0.684 0.494

Autonomous Motiv. CTBP Total -1.199 0.473 -2.538 0.011

Autonomous Motiv. CTBP Indirect -0.017 0.07 -0.24 0.81

Autonomous Motiv. CTBP Direct -1.182 0.468 -2.525 0.012

Autonomous Motiv. CBMP Total -0.537 0.472 -1.139 0.255

Autonomous Motiv. CBMP Indirect 0.041 0.071 0.58 0.562

Autonomous Motiv. CBMP Direct -0.579 0.468 -1.236 0.216

Autonomous Motiv. TBMP Total 0.023 0.473 0.048 0.962

Autonomous Motiv. TBMP Indirect -0.059 0.072 -0.817 0.414

Autonomous Motiv. TBMP Direct 0.082 0.468 0.175 0.861

Autonomous Motiv. CTBMP Total -0.315 0.47 -0.67 0.503

Autonomous Motiv. CTBMP Indirect -0.042 0.072 -0.591 0.555

Autonomous Motiv. CTBMP Direct -0.273 0.466 -0.584 0.559

Autonomy Support COACHING CALLS

Total 0.407 0.473 0.861 0.39

Autonomy Support COACHING CALLS

Indirect -0.082 0.061 -1.342 0.18

Autonomy Support COACHING CALLS

Direct 0.489 0.48 1.018 0.308

Autonomy Support TEXT MESSAGES

Total 0.397 0.47 0.846 0.398

Autonomy Support TEXT MESSAGES

Indirect 0.033 0.044 0.744 0.457

Autonomy Support TEXT MESSAGES

Direct 0.364 0.467 0.78 0.436

Autonomy Support BUDDY TRAINING

Total -0.929 0.472 -1.966 0.049

Autonomy Support BUDDY TRAINING

Indirect -0.043 0.047 -0.903 0.367

Autonomy Support BUDDY TRAINING

Direct -0.886 0.469 -1.888 0.059

Autonomy Support MEAL Total 0.015 0.474 0.031 0.975

Autonomy Support MEAL Indirect 0.043 0.048 0.898 0.369

Autonomy Support MEAL Direct -0.029 0.473 -0.061 0.951

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Autonomy Support PCP Total 0.023 0.47 0.048 0.961

Autonomy Support PCP Indirect -0.097 0.064 -1.506 0.132

Autonomy Support PCP Direct 0.119 0.471 0.254 0.8

Autonomy Support CXT Total -0.447 0.472 -0.948 0.343

Autonomy Support CXT Indirect -0.012 0.043 -0.285 0.776

Autonomy Support CXT Direct -0.435 0.47 -0.926 0.354

Autonomy Support CXB Total -0.34 0.471 -0.722 0.47

Autonomy Support CXB Indirect 0.047 0.05 0.939 0.348

Autonomy Support CXB Direct -0.388 0.47 -0.825 0.409

Autonomy Support CXM Total -0.236 0.474 -0.498 0.618

Autonomy Support CXM Indirect -0.094 0.059 -1.59 0.112

Autonomy Support CXM Direct -0.142 0.475 -0.3 0.764

Autonomy Support CXP Total -0.268 0.472 -0.568 0.57

Autonomy Support CXP Indirect -0.039 0.046 -0.85 0.395

Autonomy Support CXP Direct -0.229 0.47 -0.487 0.626

Autonomy Support TXB Total 0.471 0.474 0.994 0.32

Autonomy Support TXB Indirect 0.055 0.05 1.108 0.268

Autonomy Support TXB Direct 0.416 0.471 0.883 0.377

Autonomy Support TXM Total 0.375 0.471 0.796 0.426

Autonomy Support TXM Indirect 0.077 0.055 1.39 0.164

Autonomy Support TXM Direct 0.298 0.471 0.633 0.526

Autonomy Support TXP Total -0.267 0.473 -0.565 0.572

Autonomy Support TXP Indirect -0.057 0.05 -1.145 0.252

Autonomy Support TXP Direct -0.21 0.47 -0.447 0.655

Autonomy Support BXM Total -0.006 0.472 -0.013 0.99

Autonomy Support BXM Indirect -0.092 0.06 -1.524 0.128

Autonomy Support BXM Direct 0.086 0.468 0.183 0.855

Autonomy Support BXP Total -0.675 0.474 -1.426 0.154

Autonomy Support BXP Indirect 0.014 0.043 0.314 0.753

Autonomy Support BXP Direct -0.689 0.472 -1.459 0.145

Autonomy Support MXP Total -0.032 0.474 -0.067 0.946

Autonomy Support MXP Indirect 0.008 0.043 0.176 0.86

Autonomy Support MXP Direct -0.04 0.472 -0.084 0.933

Autonomy Support CXTXB Total -0.028 0.472 -0.059 0.953

Autonomy Support CXTXB Indirect 0.007 0.043 0.171 0.864

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Autonomy Support CXTXB Direct -0.035 0.471 -0.075 0.94

Autonomy Support CXTXM Total -0.101 0.47 -0.215 0.83

Autonomy Support CXTXM Indirect -0.047 0.046 -1.028 0.304

Autonomy Support CXTXM Direct -0.054 0.466 -0.116 0.907

Autonomy Support CXTXP Total -0.24 0.475 -0.505 0.613

Autonomy Support CXTXP Indirect 0.028 0.044 0.629 0.529

Autonomy Support CXTXP Direct -0.268 0.472 -0.567 0.571

Autonomy Support CXBXM Total 0.04 0.475 0.084 0.933

Autonomy Support CXBXM Indirect 0.003 0.043 0.068 0.946

Autonomy Support CXBXM Direct 0.037 0.473 0.078 0.937

Autonomy Support CXBXP Total 0.304 0.475 0.64 0.522

Autonomy Support CXBXP Indirect 0.011 0.043 0.248 0.804

Autonomy Support CXBXP Direct 0.293 0.473 0.619 0.536

Autonomy Support CXMXP Total 0.765 0.474 1.613 0.107

Autonomy Support CXMXP Indirect 0.013 0.043 0.309 0.757

Autonomy Support CXMXP Direct 0.752 0.472 1.594 0.111

Autonomy Support TXBXM Total -0.333 0.474 -0.702 0.482

Autonomy Support TXBXM Indirect 0.056 0.049 1.135 0.256

Autonomy Support TXBXM Direct -0.388 0.472 -0.823 0.41

Autonomy Support TXBXP Total 1.052 0.473 2.222 0.026

Autonomy Support TXBXP Indirect 0.003 0.043 0.076 0.94

Autonomy Support TXBXP Direct 1.049 0.471 2.226 0.026

Autonomy Support TXMXP Total -0.214 0.471 -0.454 0.65

Autonomy Support TXMXP Indirect 0.048 0.049 0.984 0.325

Autonomy Support TXMXP Direct -0.262 0.468 -0.559 0.576

Autonomy Support BXMXP Total 0.276 0.472 0.585 0.558

Autonomy Support BXMXP Indirect 0.041 0.045 0.897 0.37

Autonomy Support BXMXP Direct 0.235 0.468 0.502 0.615

Autonomy Support CTBM Total -0.133 0.474 -0.281 0.778

Autonomy Support CTBM Indirect 0.031 0.045 0.696 0.486

Autonomy Support CTBM Direct -0.164 0.472 -0.348 0.728

Autonomy Support CTBP Total -1.199 0.473 -2.538 0.011

Autonomy Support CTBP Indirect -0.091 0.058 -1.576 0.115

Autonomy Support CTBP Direct -1.108 0.47 -2.36 0.018

Autonomy Support CTMP Total 0.32 0.473 0.676 0.499

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Autonomy Support CTMP Indirect 0.04 0.047 0.849 0.396

Autonomy Support CTMP Direct 0.28 0.471 0.595 0.552

Autonomy Support CBMP Total -0.537 0.472 -1.138 0.255

Autonomy Support CBMP Indirect -0.003 0.043 -0.071 0.943

Autonomy Support CBMP Direct -0.534 0.47 -1.137 0.256

Autonomy Support TBMP Total 0.023 0.473 0.048 0.962

Autonomy Support TBMP Indirect 0.072 0.053 1.344 0.179

Autonomy Support TBMP Direct -0.049 0.473 -0.104 0.917

Autonomy Support CTBMP Total -0.315 0.47 -0.67 0.503

Autonomy Support CTBMP Indirect -0.025 0.045 -0.559 0.576

Autonomy Support CTBMP Direct -0.29 0.469 -0.618 0.536