60
Understanding and Using Public Policy Polling Data Karen Shanton National Conference of State Legislatures

Understanding and Using Public Policy Polling Data and Using Public Policy Polling Data Karen Shanton National Conference of State Legislatures

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: Understanding and Using Public Policy Polling Data and Using Public Policy Polling Data Karen Shanton National Conference of State Legislatures

Understanding and Using Public Policy Polling Data

Karen Shanton

National Conference of State Legislatures

Page 2: Understanding and Using Public Policy Polling Data and Using Public Policy Polling Data Karen Shanton National Conference of State Legislatures

Source: Real Clear Politics

Obama

Romney

Page 3: Understanding and Using Public Policy Polling Data and Using Public Policy Polling Data Karen Shanton National Conference of State Legislatures
Page 4: Understanding and Using Public Policy Polling Data and Using Public Policy Polling Data Karen Shanton National Conference of State Legislatures
Page 5: Understanding and Using Public Policy Polling Data and Using Public Policy Polling Data Karen Shanton National Conference of State Legislatures
Page 6: Understanding and Using Public Policy Polling Data and Using Public Policy Polling Data Karen Shanton National Conference of State Legislatures
Page 7: Understanding and Using Public Policy Polling Data and Using Public Policy Polling Data Karen Shanton National Conference of State Legislatures
Page 8: Understanding and Using Public Policy Polling Data and Using Public Policy Polling Data Karen Shanton National Conference of State Legislatures

10 percent do not have the ID they would need

to vote

Page 9: Understanding and Using Public Policy Polling Data and Using Public Policy Polling Data Karen Shanton National Conference of State Legislatures

10 percent say they do not have the ID they would need to vote

Page 10: Understanding and Using Public Policy Polling Data and Using Public Policy Polling Data Karen Shanton National Conference of State Legislatures

10 percent say they do not have the ID they would need to vote

Page 11: Understanding and Using Public Policy Polling Data and Using Public Policy Polling Data Karen Shanton National Conference of State Legislatures

x percent say z

Page 12: Understanding and Using Public Policy Polling Data and Using Public Policy Polling Data Karen Shanton National Conference of State Legislatures
Page 13: Understanding and Using Public Policy Polling Data and Using Public Policy Polling Data Karen Shanton National Conference of State Legislatures
Page 14: Understanding and Using Public Policy Polling Data and Using Public Policy Polling Data Karen Shanton National Conference of State Legislatures

Source: Reuters

Page 15: Understanding and Using Public Policy Polling Data and Using Public Policy Polling Data Karen Shanton National Conference of State Legislatures

Source: FairVote

Page 16: Understanding and Using Public Policy Polling Data and Using Public Policy Polling Data Karen Shanton National Conference of State Legislatures

Source: FairVote

Registered Voters

Eligible Voters

Page 17: Understanding and Using Public Policy Polling Data and Using Public Policy Polling Data Karen Shanton National Conference of State Legislatures

Source: FairVote

Eligible Voters

Eligible Voters

13.5%

Page 18: Understanding and Using Public Policy Polling Data and Using Public Policy Polling Data Karen Shanton National Conference of State Legislatures

x percent of y say z

Page 19: Understanding and Using Public Policy Polling Data and Using Public Policy Polling Data Karen Shanton National Conference of State Legislatures

Source: Weldon Cooper Center for Public Service

Page 20: Understanding and Using Public Policy Polling Data and Using Public Policy Polling Data Karen Shanton National Conference of State Legislatures

x percent of a sample of y say z

Page 21: Understanding and Using Public Policy Polling Data and Using Public Policy Polling Data Karen Shanton National Conference of State Legislatures

40%

n=50

+/-14%

60%

Page 22: Understanding and Using Public Policy Polling Data and Using Public Policy Polling Data Karen Shanton National Conference of State Legislatures

26%

74%

Page 23: Understanding and Using Public Policy Polling Data and Using Public Policy Polling Data Karen Shanton National Conference of State Legislatures

46% 54%

Page 24: Understanding and Using Public Policy Polling Data and Using Public Policy Polling Data Karen Shanton National Conference of State Legislatures
Page 25: Understanding and Using Public Policy Polling Data and Using Public Policy Polling Data Karen Shanton National Conference of State Legislatures

Source: American Association for Public Opinion Research

*Assumes 95% confidence interval for populations of 10,000 or more

Page 26: Understanding and Using Public Policy Polling Data and Using Public Policy Polling Data Karen Shanton National Conference of State Legislatures
Page 27: Understanding and Using Public Policy Polling Data and Using Public Policy Polling Data Karen Shanton National Conference of State Legislatures

Source: Food Network

Page 28: Understanding and Using Public Policy Polling Data and Using Public Policy Polling Data Karen Shanton National Conference of State Legislatures

Source: Makebetterfood.com

Page 29: Understanding and Using Public Policy Polling Data and Using Public Policy Polling Data Karen Shanton National Conference of State Legislatures

Source: Food Network Source: Makebetterfood.com

Option 1 Option 2

Page 30: Understanding and Using Public Policy Polling Data and Using Public Policy Polling Data Karen Shanton National Conference of State Legislatures
Page 31: Understanding and Using Public Policy Polling Data and Using Public Policy Polling Data Karen Shanton National Conference of State Legislatures

Source: Amazon.com

Page 32: Understanding and Using Public Policy Polling Data and Using Public Policy Polling Data Karen Shanton National Conference of State Legislatures
Page 33: Understanding and Using Public Policy Polling Data and Using Public Policy Polling Data Karen Shanton National Conference of State Legislatures
Page 34: Understanding and Using Public Policy Polling Data and Using Public Policy Polling Data Karen Shanton National Conference of State Legislatures
Page 35: Understanding and Using Public Policy Polling Data and Using Public Policy Polling Data Karen Shanton National Conference of State Legislatures

x percent of a sample of y say z

Page 36: Understanding and Using Public Policy Polling Data and Using Public Policy Polling Data Karen Shanton National Conference of State Legislatures

Question 1

WHO was asked?

Page 37: Understanding and Using Public Policy Polling Data and Using Public Policy Polling Data Karen Shanton National Conference of State Legislatures
Page 38: Understanding and Using Public Policy Polling Data and Using Public Policy Polling Data Karen Shanton National Conference of State Legislatures

Source: Roper Center

Page 39: Understanding and Using Public Policy Polling Data and Using Public Policy Polling Data Karen Shanton National Conference of State Legislatures
Page 40: Understanding and Using Public Policy Polling Data and Using Public Policy Polling Data Karen Shanton National Conference of State Legislatures

x percent of a sample of y say z

at time t

Page 41: Understanding and Using Public Policy Polling Data and Using Public Policy Polling Data Karen Shanton National Conference of State Legislatures

Question 2

WHEN were they asked?

Page 42: Understanding and Using Public Policy Polling Data and Using Public Policy Polling Data Karen Shanton National Conference of State Legislatures
Page 43: Understanding and Using Public Policy Polling Data and Using Public Policy Polling Data Karen Shanton National Conference of State Legislatures
Page 44: Understanding and Using Public Policy Polling Data and Using Public Policy Polling Data Karen Shanton National Conference of State Legislatures

Homosexuals Gay Men & Lesbians

Do you favor or oppose ____ serving openly in the military?

44%

58%

Page 45: Understanding and Using Public Policy Polling Data and Using Public Policy Polling Data Karen Shanton National Conference of State Legislatures

44%

Source: CBS News/ New York Times Poll

58%

Page 46: Understanding and Using Public Policy Polling Data and Using Public Policy Polling Data Karen Shanton National Conference of State Legislatures

43%

Source: CBS News/ New York Times Poll

79%

Page 47: Understanding and Using Public Policy Polling Data and Using Public Policy Polling Data Karen Shanton National Conference of State Legislatures
Page 48: Understanding and Using Public Policy Polling Data and Using Public Policy Polling Data Karen Shanton National Conference of State Legislatures

Question 3

HOW were they asked?

Page 49: Understanding and Using Public Policy Polling Data and Using Public Policy Polling Data Karen Shanton National Conference of State Legislatures

x percent say z

Page 50: Understanding and Using Public Policy Polling Data and Using Public Policy Polling Data Karen Shanton National Conference of State Legislatures

x percent of a sample of y say z

at time t when asked q

Page 51: Understanding and Using Public Policy Polling Data and Using Public Policy Polling Data Karen Shanton National Conference of State Legislatures

10 percent say they do not have the ID they would need to vote

Page 52: Understanding and Using Public Policy Polling Data and Using Public Policy Polling Data Karen Shanton National Conference of State Legislatures
Page 53: Understanding and Using Public Policy Polling Data and Using Public Policy Polling Data Karen Shanton National Conference of State Legislatures

10 percent say they do not have the ID they would need to vote

Page 54: Understanding and Using Public Policy Polling Data and Using Public Policy Polling Data Karen Shanton National Conference of State Legislatures

Between 6 and 10 percent of voting age Americans say that they do not have a driver’s license or state issued non-driver’s photo

ID today

Page 55: Understanding and Using Public Policy Polling Data and Using Public Policy Polling Data Karen Shanton National Conference of State Legislatures

Between 6 and 10 percent of voting age Americans say that they do not have a driver’s license or state issued non-driver’s photo

ID today

Page 56: Understanding and Using Public Policy Polling Data and Using Public Policy Polling Data Karen Shanton National Conference of State Legislatures

Between 6 and 10 percent of voting age Americans say that they do not have a driver’s license or state issued non-driver’s photo

ID today

Page 57: Understanding and Using Public Policy Polling Data and Using Public Policy Polling Data Karen Shanton National Conference of State Legislatures

Between 6 and 10 percent of voting age Americans say that they do not have a driver’s license or state issued non-driver’s photo

ID today

Page 58: Understanding and Using Public Policy Polling Data and Using Public Policy Polling Data Karen Shanton National Conference of State Legislatures

1. Who was asked?

2. When were they asked?

3. How were they asked?

Page 59: Understanding and Using Public Policy Polling Data and Using Public Policy Polling Data Karen Shanton National Conference of State Legislatures

1. Who was asked?

2. When were they asked?

3. How were they asked?

What do you want to know?

Page 60: Understanding and Using Public Policy Polling Data and Using Public Policy Polling Data Karen Shanton National Conference of State Legislatures

"There are lies, damned

lies and statistics."