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UNCONVENTIONAL RESERVES –POTENTIAL,
DEVELOPMENT PROSPECTS
(BY THE EXAMPLE OF JSC “GAZPROM NEFT ”)
Khanty-Mansiysk May 2013
2
SHALE GAS AND TIGHT OIL RESOURCES OF RUSSIA
Note: -resources are given in parenthesis (Tight Oil mln.t/shale gas in mlrd.m3)
(-/2974)
Sources: А.Zharkov, МРР, 3, 2011 ; JSC “VNIIZARUBEZHGEOLOGIA”
Shale saturation
Mainly gas
Mainly oil
Oil and gas
Norwegian sea
Barents sea
Arctic Ocean
West Siberian Sea
Laptev Sea
Kara Sea
Sea of Okhotsk
Bering Sea
PA
CIF
IC O
CEA
N
China
Mongolia
Kazakhstan
Ukrain
Norway Sweden
Finland
Fore- Caucasus
Kamchatka
Sakhalin
Baltic states
Domanic suite
Russian plate East
Siberia Bazhenov suite
West Siberia
Khadumskaya suite
Kuanamskaya suite
3
SHALE OIL (TIGHT OIL) PRODUCTION IN THE USA
100
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
mln. t/year (K2)
(D3-C1)
(P2)
(P1)
(N1)
(D3)
(K2)
(P1)
(K2)
Pla
ys
2012 – 94.3 mln.t
(29.5% of oil production in the USA)
“shale revolution” - 2
Bakken
Forecast: 2015 – 180 (45%), 2020 – 260 (59%), 2025 – 330 (69%), 2030 – 380 (72%)
Sources: EIA, 03.2013; JSC “VNIIZARUBEZHGEOLOGIA”
4
REGIONAL SPREAD OF BAZHENOV SUITE WITHIN KHMAD Petroleum district with initial total in-place
resources density, thous. t/km2
Legend
Cities
License areas in operation
Bazhenov suite deposits
JSC GAZPROM
JSC GAZPROM NEFT
JSC NK TOMSK NEFT
JSC NGK SLAVNEFT
JSC NK ROSNEFT JSC SURGUTNEFTEGAZ
JSC NK LUKOIL
JSC TNK-BP
JSC NOVATECH
Other subsoil users
Yamalo-Nenets Autonomous district
Tomsk region
Omsk region
Tyumen region Sverdlov region
Khanty-Mansiysk Autonomous district
5
Analogical facial, physical and structural features of suites
High scientific, technological and staff potential
New methods of production of “hard to recover” oil (including horizontal drilling using
multizone hydraulic fracturing (MZST)
Developed oil and gas infrastructure
Bakken/Eagle-Ford, USA Bazhenov suite/Tyumen
suite
production methods of hard to recover reserves have great
potential to be applied successfully
Tax recession for hard-to-recover oil development
KEY FUNDAMENTAL FACTORS FOR SUCCESS
Source: LLC ”Siberian NTC NiG”
6 Source: IPNG RAN
OIL SHALE COMPOSITION
Green River field (USA)
Shale oil
Organic matter 13.80% Mineral matter 86.20%
Liquid hydrocarbon
2.78% Kerogene 11.04 %
calcite, dolomite - 1.28% feld spar – 16.40% pyrite – 0.86% montmorillonite – 8.60% analcite – 4.30 % plagioclase, Illite – 12.90% siliceous earth – 40.00%
Bazhenov suite (Russia)
Shale oil
Water 0.37%
Organic matter 14.61% Mineral matter 85.02%
Liquid hydrocarbon
2.68%
Kerogene 11.93 %
calcite – 10.30% dolomite - 2.30% feld spar – 2.80% pyrite – 4.80% montmorillonite – 4.00% hydromica – 14.30 % kaolinite – 3.70% khlorite – 1.40% siliceous earth – 39.60%
7
RUSSIAN VERTICALLY INTEGRATED OIL COMPANIES ARE ALREADY
EXPLORING UNCONVENTIONAL RESERVES
Lukoil:
• RITECH has launched the pilot project
of Galyanovsky and Sredne-
Nazymskoye fields;
• The company is carrying out pilot
production of Bazhenov suite at Ay-
Pimskoye field;
• Test projects concerning
Kamymsky, Ulyanovsky,
Maslikhovsky, Alekhinsky,3-
Sakhalinsky, Rogozhnikovsky fields;
• As of September 2010 there were
drilled near 600 prospecting and
exploration wells per Bazhenov
suite
Rosneft
Sources: Wall Street Journal (http://online.wsj.com/article/
SB10001424052702303822204577468512279332228.html)
Presentation “Current development state of program for involving Bazhenov suite
reservoirs by JSC “NK”Rosneft”
Surgutneftegaz
Sources: Presentation “Oil shale, Bazhenov in Western Siberia”. By company
“Royal Dutch Shell”
Presentation “Geological knowledge of Bazhenov suite within the activity area
of “Surgutneftegaz”
Lukoil
Sources: Presentation “Oil shale, Bazhenov in Western Siberia”. By company
“Royal Dutch Shell”
• 15 June 2012 - creation of joint
venture with ExxonMobil for
commingled production of shale oil
reserves
• Bazhen is one of the priority
investment direction according to
innovative development Program
Certificate;
• As of September 2010 there were
drilled near 200 wells per bed Ю0
TNK-BP
• Pilot project has been launched at
S-Khokhryakovsky field (production
well was drilled in April 2012);
• There are detected 7 high priority
development areas;
• TNK-BP tried to enter the joint
venture for shale production in
Ukrain, declaring its readiness to
invest up to $7 mlrd
Sources: Presentation “Oil shale, Bazhenov in Western Siberia”. By company
“Royal Dutch Shell”
Business Information Network. Ukrain
(http://bin.ua/news/economics/faec/128175-tnk-vr-gotova-vlozhit-7-mlrd-v-
techenie-30-let-v.html)
TNK-BP
Oil bearing capacity of ЮСо bed on RN-Yuganskneftegaz activity area
Priobskoye “Dry”
Oil flow >100t/24 h
Oil flow from 50-100t/24 h
Oil flow from 20-50t/24 h
Oil flow from 5-20t/24 h
Oil flow < 5t/24 h
Oil + water
Water
Fields with unallocated reserves
Fields with state balance reserves
No estimation of ЮСо reserves
Near 200 wells were tested in ЮС0 bed
Maximum productivity of wells at Salym and Prirazlomnoye fields
Petroleum potential map of Bazhenov suite on JSC “Surgutneftegaz” activity area
Legend High potential area
Prospective area
Low potential area
Not prospective zone
JSC Surgutneftegaz” license areas
High potential and potential areas is 16.8 thous. km2 with hydrocarbon resources of 20.3 mlrd.t
8
GENERAL INFORMATION ON TRIZ PROJECT
Project perimeter: Fields of JSC “Gazpromneft-NNG”, affiliate
“GPN-Muravlenko”, LLC “GPN-Khantos”, LLC “GPN-Vostok”
Project area: Yamalo-Nenets Autonomous District, Khanty-
Mansiysk Autonomous District, Tomsk region
Project objective: involvement of reserves enclosed in beds and
reservoirs of complicated structure. Feature low potential well flow
rate and recovery rate.
Object for 2013: Transition from pilot production to industrial
introduction
Reserves ranking
Reserves type
Hard to recover
reserves, thous. tons
Rank, N
Pilot production program,
thous. tons
% of total reserves volume
Total 4 subsidiaries and affiliates
(30 complex projects)
Low reservoir properties
High water content (ineffective development)
Small oil thickness
Undersaturated reserves (low values Koilgas)
C2 reserves (unproved reserves)
TRIZ distribution by affiliates and
subsidiaries
GPN-NNG
GPN-Muravlenko
GPN-Khantos
GPN-Vostok
Tomsk region
Yamalo-Nenets Autonomous
District
Khanty-Mansiysk
Autonomous District
Reserves distribution
Low reservoir properties
High water content (production history)
Small oil thickness
Undersaturated reserves
C2 reserves (reserves might be unproved)
No
9
IN ORDER TO GET ACCESS TO SHALE OIL RESERVES THERE WAS
CHOSEN A PARTNER AND PROJECT “SHALE” WAS INITIATED
“Shale” Project: Creation of joint venture with Shell in order to get access to shale oil reserves for further
development
Partner: “Royal Dutch Shell” company
Partners roles: - GPN: Expertise in participation in RF tenders and auctions - Shell: Expertise in shale reserves development and regional geologic studies of shale in Khanty-Mansiysk Autonomous District
Partners share in joint venture: 50 / 50
Partnership area: (1) Khanty-Mansiysk Autonomous District (2) Shale beds
Partnership objectives: - Reserves: 8,3 mlrd t
- Cumulative production: near 300 mln t
10
GPN’S PROJECT STRATEGIC OBJECTIVE CONSISTS OF OBTAINING
ACCESS TO NEW RESOURCES, ACQUIRING EXPERIENCE AND
CREATING SHAREHOLDER VALUE
Access to new resources
• Considerable reserves volume:
up to 8,3 mlrd. t*
• Significant output: up to 5,5 mln tons (maximum level)
• Small horizon: 3-6 years before production start
Acquiring experience
• Acquiring experience in
development of shale reserves
and using it at other projects in
Russia and abroad
Creation of shareholder value
• Expecting of RF government
decree on tax concession for
Development of Theory of
Inventive Problem Solving
• Obtaining of cost effective areas
• “New life” of existing assets
•Volume of shale in-situ reserves of Khanty-Mansiysk Autonomous District which can be accessible (excluding risk); 100% joint venture.
11
KHANTY-MANSIYSK AUTONOMOUS DISTRICT IS
A PROSPECTIVE REGION FROM SEVERAL POINTS OF VIEW
• High potential of shale reserves in
Khanty-Mansiysk Autonomous District
(Bazhenov suite);
• High extent of subsoil maturation;
• Possibility to get access to shale reserves
through competitions and auctions, and by
acquiring finished assets with reserves;
• Both partners are present in the region as
operators and subsoil users and
consequently have a relevant experience;
•Developed market of service contractors
which is clear for partners
Reasons to choose Khanty-
Mansiysk as a partnership area
Bazhenov suite area in Khanty- Mansiysk Autonomous
District and license areas
Prospective partnership area prospective oil bearing area small subsoil users
tender areas
Bazhenov suite deposits
Active license areas
JSC GAZPROM JSC GAZPROM NEFT JSC NK TOMSKNEFT
JSC NGK SLAVNEFT JSC NK ROSNEFT
JSC SURGUTSKAYA NK JSC NK LUKOIL
JSC TNK-BP JSC NK RUSSNEFT JSC BASHKIRSKAYA TK
Small subsoil users
Tender areas Prospective oil bearing area of Bazhenov suite
12
PARTNERS COOPERATION ZONE IS SPECIFIED IN
AGREEMENT ON JOINT ACTIVITY AREA (AJAA)
Priobskoye field
(southern part)
and Zimneye
field
Palyanovskaya area
of Krasnoleninskoye field
SPD’s field
License areas of LLC “GPN-Khantos” with license for Ю0
License areas of LLC “GPN-Khantos” without license for Ю0
License areas of Salym Petroleum Development N.V. with license for Ю0
Bazhenov suite spread zone (Ю0)
Joint activity area:
Area boundaries:
• lateral: Khanty-Mansiysk Autonomous District
• vertical:
• Black shale of Abalak and Bazhenov suites
• Dense terrigenous rock of Achimov and Frolov suite
Areas:
• Areas nominated for tender / auction by RF Ministry of Natural Resources
;
• Areas nominated for tender / auction by partners
• Distributed reserves areas
All areas are divided into 2 categories:
• Areas with mostly unconventional reserves;
• Areas with profitably to develop traditional oil resources;
Areas with mostly unconventional reserves shall be accessible only in a joint
manner;
Any party is entitled to acquire areas with profitably to develop traditional oil
resources independently;
The license for new acquired areas with profitable traditional reserves can be
held only by a dedicated legal body with no other assets/obligations;
Stratigraphic column of Khanty-
Mansiysk Autonomous District
Gro
up
Sys
tem
Ep
och
Sta
ge
Mez
ozo
ic
Cre
tace
ou
s
Lo
wer
Hau
teriv
ian
Fro
lov
suit
e
Val
angi
nian
B
erria
sian
Jura
ssic
Up
per
Kim
mer
idg
ian
Oxf
ord
Tith
onia
n
Baz
hen
ov
suit
e (Ю
0)
Kim
mer
idgi
an
Ab
alak
su
ite
Oxf
ord
Inte
rmed
iate
Cal
lovi
an
Bat
honi
an
Bazhenov suite spread in Khanty-Mansiysk
Autonomous District
Yamalo-Nenets Autonomous District
Khanty-Maniysk Autonomous District
Sverdlov region
Tyumen region Tomsk region
13
BAZHENOV PROJECT STARTUP
SELECTION ESTIMATE Preliminary estimate/
ACCESS
Analogs review
Basin and regional modeling
Geologic and technological assessment
Technical and economic assessment Conceptual geological model
Geomechanical modeling
Core study
Geochemical oil study
Special processing of 3D seismic
Paleotectonic reconstruction
Geological model
Exploitation concept
Infrastructure development concept
Selection of well design
Preparation of project document
Selection of completion options and multi-stage hydraulic fracturing
Economic model
Cycle 3 - 5 years
NTC
Administration for geologic exploration
and resources base development,
Bazhen project
Exploration Administration of TRIZ
Process band for 3-5 years
1. Creation of competence center (core) in NTC
2. Creation of process band, competence development in
scientific organizations and service companies on long-term
basis
1 year Up to 2 years Up to 2 years
14
INNOVATIONS USED AT FIELDS WITH HARD TO RECOVER
RESERVES
Salym Petroleum Development (bazhen) Palyanovsky project (bazhen, abalak) Shell (bazhen)
Geology
• 3D of high density
• Fractured area forecast based on 3D data
• Integrated approach to regional modeling using geomechanical modeling
• Development of hypotheses for spread and localization of producing areas of Bazhenov and Abalak
suites
Development • Development system with irregular grids adapted for distribution of reservoir properties on the field
area
Drilling
• Horizontal wells orientation based on fracturing direction
• Using intellectual liners
• Drilling at controllable pressure
• Horizontal wells with multistage hydraulic fracturing
Infrastructure
development
• Necessary to make separate accounting
• Designing and building infrastructure for abnormally high formation pressure
0
30
60
90
120
150
180
210
240
270
300
330
0.00.51.01.52.02.53.03.54.04.55.05.5
0.00.51.01.52.02.53.03.54.04.55.05.5
HIGH VARIETY
BASED ON FACILITIES
POWER
PH
ASE
P
HA
SE
PH
ASE
P
HA
SE
15
WELL 153Р OF PALYANOVSKY AREA OF
KRASNOLENINSKOYE FIELD
Completed on 15.02.2013
Brought into production:
13.03.2013, Qliq/Qoil –
100m3/82t
As of 17.05.2013 :
∑ Qliq/ ∑Qoil 4009m3/3302t;
Qliq/Qoil– 98m3/80t