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UNCONVENTIONAL RESERVES POTENTIAL, DEVELOPMENT PROSPECTS (BY THE EXAMPLE OF JSC “GAZPROM NEFT ”) Khanty-Mansiysk May 2013

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UNCONVENTIONAL RESERVES –POTENTIAL,

DEVELOPMENT PROSPECTS

(BY THE EXAMPLE OF JSC “GAZPROM NEFT ”)

Khanty-Mansiysk May 2013

2

SHALE GAS AND TIGHT OIL RESOURCES OF RUSSIA

Note: -resources are given in parenthesis (Tight Oil mln.t/shale gas in mlrd.m3)

(-/2974)

Sources: А.Zharkov, МРР, 3, 2011 ; JSC “VNIIZARUBEZHGEOLOGIA”

Shale saturation

Mainly gas

Mainly oil

Oil and gas

Norwegian sea

Barents sea

Arctic Ocean

West Siberian Sea

Laptev Sea

Kara Sea

Sea of Okhotsk

Bering Sea

PA

CIF

IC O

CEA

N

China

Mongolia

Kazakhstan

Ukrain

Norway Sweden

Finland

Fore- Caucasus

Kamchatka

Sakhalin

Baltic states

Domanic suite

Russian plate East

Siberia Bazhenov suite

West Siberia

Khadumskaya suite

Kuanamskaya suite

3

SHALE OIL (TIGHT OIL) PRODUCTION IN THE USA

100

90

80

70

60

50

40

30

20

10

mln. t/year (K2)

(D3-C1)

(P2)

(P1)

(N1)

(D3)

(K2)

(P1)

(K2)

Pla

ys

2012 – 94.3 mln.t

(29.5% of oil production in the USA)

“shale revolution” - 2

Bakken

Forecast: 2015 – 180 (45%), 2020 – 260 (59%), 2025 – 330 (69%), 2030 – 380 (72%)

Sources: EIA, 03.2013; JSC “VNIIZARUBEZHGEOLOGIA”

4

REGIONAL SPREAD OF BAZHENOV SUITE WITHIN KHMAD Petroleum district with initial total in-place

resources density, thous. t/km2

Legend

Cities

License areas in operation

Bazhenov suite deposits

JSC GAZPROM

JSC GAZPROM NEFT

JSC NK TOMSK NEFT

JSC NGK SLAVNEFT

JSC NK ROSNEFT JSC SURGUTNEFTEGAZ

JSC NK LUKOIL

JSC TNK-BP

JSC NOVATECH

Other subsoil users

Yamalo-Nenets Autonomous district

Tomsk region

Omsk region

Tyumen region Sverdlov region

Khanty-Mansiysk Autonomous district

5

Analogical facial, physical and structural features of suites

High scientific, technological and staff potential

New methods of production of “hard to recover” oil (including horizontal drilling using

multizone hydraulic fracturing (MZST)

Developed oil and gas infrastructure

Bakken/Eagle-Ford, USA Bazhenov suite/Tyumen

suite

production methods of hard to recover reserves have great

potential to be applied successfully

Tax recession for hard-to-recover oil development

KEY FUNDAMENTAL FACTORS FOR SUCCESS

Source: LLC ”Siberian NTC NiG”

6 Source: IPNG RAN

OIL SHALE COMPOSITION

Green River field (USA)

Shale oil

Organic matter 13.80% Mineral matter 86.20%

Liquid hydrocarbon

2.78% Kerogene 11.04 %

calcite, dolomite - 1.28% feld spar – 16.40% pyrite – 0.86% montmorillonite – 8.60% analcite – 4.30 % plagioclase, Illite – 12.90% siliceous earth – 40.00%

Bazhenov suite (Russia)

Shale oil

Water 0.37%

Organic matter 14.61% Mineral matter 85.02%

Liquid hydrocarbon

2.68%

Kerogene 11.93 %

calcite – 10.30% dolomite - 2.30% feld spar – 2.80% pyrite – 4.80% montmorillonite – 4.00% hydromica – 14.30 % kaolinite – 3.70% khlorite – 1.40% siliceous earth – 39.60%

7

RUSSIAN VERTICALLY INTEGRATED OIL COMPANIES ARE ALREADY

EXPLORING UNCONVENTIONAL RESERVES

Lukoil:

• RITECH has launched the pilot project

of Galyanovsky and Sredne-

Nazymskoye fields;

• The company is carrying out pilot

production of Bazhenov suite at Ay-

Pimskoye field;

• Test projects concerning

Kamymsky, Ulyanovsky,

Maslikhovsky, Alekhinsky,3-

Sakhalinsky, Rogozhnikovsky fields;

• As of September 2010 there were

drilled near 600 prospecting and

exploration wells per Bazhenov

suite

Rosneft

Sources: Wall Street Journal (http://online.wsj.com/article/

SB10001424052702303822204577468512279332228.html)

Presentation “Current development state of program for involving Bazhenov suite

reservoirs by JSC “NK”Rosneft”

Surgutneftegaz

Sources: Presentation “Oil shale, Bazhenov in Western Siberia”. By company

“Royal Dutch Shell”

Presentation “Geological knowledge of Bazhenov suite within the activity area

of “Surgutneftegaz”

Lukoil

Sources: Presentation “Oil shale, Bazhenov in Western Siberia”. By company

“Royal Dutch Shell”

• 15 June 2012 - creation of joint

venture with ExxonMobil for

commingled production of shale oil

reserves

• Bazhen is one of the priority

investment direction according to

innovative development Program

Certificate;

• As of September 2010 there were

drilled near 200 wells per bed Ю0

TNK-BP

• Pilot project has been launched at

S-Khokhryakovsky field (production

well was drilled in April 2012);

• There are detected 7 high priority

development areas;

• TNK-BP tried to enter the joint

venture for shale production in

Ukrain, declaring its readiness to

invest up to $7 mlrd

Sources: Presentation “Oil shale, Bazhenov in Western Siberia”. By company

“Royal Dutch Shell”

Business Information Network. Ukrain

(http://bin.ua/news/economics/faec/128175-tnk-vr-gotova-vlozhit-7-mlrd-v-

techenie-30-let-v.html)

TNK-BP

Oil bearing capacity of ЮСо bed on RN-Yuganskneftegaz activity area

Priobskoye “Dry”

Oil flow >100t/24 h

Oil flow from 50-100t/24 h

Oil flow from 20-50t/24 h

Oil flow from 5-20t/24 h

Oil flow < 5t/24 h

Oil + water

Water

Fields with unallocated reserves

Fields with state balance reserves

No estimation of ЮСо reserves

Near 200 wells were tested in ЮС0 bed

Maximum productivity of wells at Salym and Prirazlomnoye fields

Petroleum potential map of Bazhenov suite on JSC “Surgutneftegaz” activity area

Legend High potential area

Prospective area

Low potential area

Not prospective zone

JSC Surgutneftegaz” license areas

High potential and potential areas is 16.8 thous. km2 with hydrocarbon resources of 20.3 mlrd.t

8

GENERAL INFORMATION ON TRIZ PROJECT

Project perimeter: Fields of JSC “Gazpromneft-NNG”, affiliate

“GPN-Muravlenko”, LLC “GPN-Khantos”, LLC “GPN-Vostok”

Project area: Yamalo-Nenets Autonomous District, Khanty-

Mansiysk Autonomous District, Tomsk region

Project objective: involvement of reserves enclosed in beds and

reservoirs of complicated structure. Feature low potential well flow

rate and recovery rate.

Object for 2013: Transition from pilot production to industrial

introduction

Reserves ranking

Reserves type

Hard to recover

reserves, thous. tons

Rank, N

Pilot production program,

thous. tons

% of total reserves volume

Total 4 subsidiaries and affiliates

(30 complex projects)

Low reservoir properties

High water content (ineffective development)

Small oil thickness

Undersaturated reserves (low values Koilgas)

C2 reserves (unproved reserves)

TRIZ distribution by affiliates and

subsidiaries

GPN-NNG

GPN-Muravlenko

GPN-Khantos

GPN-Vostok

Tomsk region

Yamalo-Nenets Autonomous

District

Khanty-Mansiysk

Autonomous District

Reserves distribution

Low reservoir properties

High water content (production history)

Small oil thickness

Undersaturated reserves

C2 reserves (reserves might be unproved)

No

9

IN ORDER TO GET ACCESS TO SHALE OIL RESERVES THERE WAS

CHOSEN A PARTNER AND PROJECT “SHALE” WAS INITIATED

“Shale” Project: Creation of joint venture with Shell in order to get access to shale oil reserves for further

development

Partner: “Royal Dutch Shell” company

Partners roles: - GPN: Expertise in participation in RF tenders and auctions - Shell: Expertise in shale reserves development and regional geologic studies of shale in Khanty-Mansiysk Autonomous District

Partners share in joint venture: 50 / 50

Partnership area: (1) Khanty-Mansiysk Autonomous District (2) Shale beds

Partnership objectives: - Reserves: 8,3 mlrd t

- Cumulative production: near 300 mln t

10

GPN’S PROJECT STRATEGIC OBJECTIVE CONSISTS OF OBTAINING

ACCESS TO NEW RESOURCES, ACQUIRING EXPERIENCE AND

CREATING SHAREHOLDER VALUE

Access to new resources

• Considerable reserves volume:

up to 8,3 mlrd. t*

• Significant output: up to 5,5 mln tons (maximum level)

• Small horizon: 3-6 years before production start

Acquiring experience

• Acquiring experience in

development of shale reserves

and using it at other projects in

Russia and abroad

Creation of shareholder value

• Expecting of RF government

decree on tax concession for

Development of Theory of

Inventive Problem Solving

• Obtaining of cost effective areas

• “New life” of existing assets

•Volume of shale in-situ reserves of Khanty-Mansiysk Autonomous District which can be accessible (excluding risk); 100% joint venture.

11

KHANTY-MANSIYSK AUTONOMOUS DISTRICT IS

A PROSPECTIVE REGION FROM SEVERAL POINTS OF VIEW

• High potential of shale reserves in

Khanty-Mansiysk Autonomous District

(Bazhenov suite);

• High extent of subsoil maturation;

• Possibility to get access to shale reserves

through competitions and auctions, and by

acquiring finished assets with reserves;

• Both partners are present in the region as

operators and subsoil users and

consequently have a relevant experience;

•Developed market of service contractors

which is clear for partners

Reasons to choose Khanty-

Mansiysk as a partnership area

Bazhenov suite area in Khanty- Mansiysk Autonomous

District and license areas

Prospective partnership area prospective oil bearing area small subsoil users

tender areas

Bazhenov suite deposits

Active license areas

JSC GAZPROM JSC GAZPROM NEFT JSC NK TOMSKNEFT

JSC NGK SLAVNEFT JSC NK ROSNEFT

JSC SURGUTSKAYA NK JSC NK LUKOIL

JSC TNK-BP JSC NK RUSSNEFT JSC BASHKIRSKAYA TK

Small subsoil users

Tender areas Prospective oil bearing area of Bazhenov suite

12

PARTNERS COOPERATION ZONE IS SPECIFIED IN

AGREEMENT ON JOINT ACTIVITY AREA (AJAA)

Priobskoye field

(southern part)

and Zimneye

field

Palyanovskaya area

of Krasnoleninskoye field

SPD’s field

License areas of LLC “GPN-Khantos” with license for Ю0

License areas of LLC “GPN-Khantos” without license for Ю0

License areas of Salym Petroleum Development N.V. with license for Ю0

Bazhenov suite spread zone (Ю0)

Joint activity area:

Area boundaries:

• lateral: Khanty-Mansiysk Autonomous District

• vertical:

• Black shale of Abalak and Bazhenov suites

• Dense terrigenous rock of Achimov and Frolov suite

Areas:

• Areas nominated for tender / auction by RF Ministry of Natural Resources

;

• Areas nominated for tender / auction by partners

• Distributed reserves areas

All areas are divided into 2 categories:

• Areas with mostly unconventional reserves;

• Areas with profitably to develop traditional oil resources;

Areas with mostly unconventional reserves shall be accessible only in a joint

manner;

Any party is entitled to acquire areas with profitably to develop traditional oil

resources independently;

The license for new acquired areas with profitable traditional reserves can be

held only by a dedicated legal body with no other assets/obligations;

Stratigraphic column of Khanty-

Mansiysk Autonomous District

Gro

up

Sys

tem

Ep

och

Sta

ge

Mez

ozo

ic

Cre

tace

ou

s

Lo

wer

Hau

teriv

ian

Fro

lov

suit

e

Val

angi

nian

B

erria

sian

Jura

ssic

Up

per

Kim

mer

idg

ian

Oxf

ord

Tith

onia

n

Baz

hen

ov

suit

e (Ю

0)

Kim

mer

idgi

an

Ab

alak

su

ite

Oxf

ord

Inte

rmed

iate

Cal

lovi

an

Bat

honi

an

Bazhenov suite spread in Khanty-Mansiysk

Autonomous District

Yamalo-Nenets Autonomous District

Khanty-Maniysk Autonomous District

Sverdlov region

Tyumen region Tomsk region

13

BAZHENOV PROJECT STARTUP

SELECTION ESTIMATE Preliminary estimate/

ACCESS

Analogs review

Basin and regional modeling

Geologic and technological assessment

Technical and economic assessment Conceptual geological model

Geomechanical modeling

Core study

Geochemical oil study

Special processing of 3D seismic

Paleotectonic reconstruction

Geological model

Exploitation concept

Infrastructure development concept

Selection of well design

Preparation of project document

Selection of completion options and multi-stage hydraulic fracturing

Economic model

Cycle 3 - 5 years

NTC

Administration for geologic exploration

and resources base development,

Bazhen project

Exploration Administration of TRIZ

Process band for 3-5 years

1. Creation of competence center (core) in NTC

2. Creation of process band, competence development in

scientific organizations and service companies on long-term

basis

1 year Up to 2 years Up to 2 years

14

INNOVATIONS USED AT FIELDS WITH HARD TO RECOVER

RESERVES

Salym Petroleum Development (bazhen) Palyanovsky project (bazhen, abalak) Shell (bazhen)

Geology

• 3D of high density

• Fractured area forecast based on 3D data

• Integrated approach to regional modeling using geomechanical modeling

• Development of hypotheses for spread and localization of producing areas of Bazhenov and Abalak

suites

Development • Development system with irregular grids adapted for distribution of reservoir properties on the field

area

Drilling

• Horizontal wells orientation based on fracturing direction

• Using intellectual liners

• Drilling at controllable pressure

• Horizontal wells with multistage hydraulic fracturing

Infrastructure

development

• Necessary to make separate accounting

• Designing and building infrastructure for abnormally high formation pressure

0

30

60

90

120

150

180

210

240

270

300

330

0.00.51.01.52.02.53.03.54.04.55.05.5

0.00.51.01.52.02.53.03.54.04.55.05.5

HIGH VARIETY

BASED ON FACILITIES

POWER

PH

ASE

P

HA

SE

PH

ASE

P

HA

SE

15

WELL 153Р OF PALYANOVSKY AREA OF

KRASNOLENINSKOYE FIELD

Completed on 15.02.2013

Brought into production:

13.03.2013, Qliq/Qoil –

100m3/82t

As of 17.05.2013 :

∑ Qliq/ ∑Qoil 4009m3/3302t;

Qliq/Qoil– 98m3/80t

16

THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION