UK; Rainwater Harvesting Model Development - Bradford University

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

  • 8/3/2019 UK; Rainwater Harvesting Model Development - Bradford University

    1/34

    A Whole Life Costing Approach for Rainwater Harvesting SystemsRichard Roebuck PhD, Bradford University

    Rainwater harvesting software from:www.SUDSolutions.com

    217

    5.0 Rainwater Harvesting Model Development

    5.1 Introduction

    This chapter describes the development of a model for predicting the financial

    performance of RWH systems using a whole life costing approach. It has been

    implemented as a spreadsheet application using Microsoft Excel and is a

    deterministic model based on discrete timesteps of one day. It contains both

    empirical and process model elements. The water saving reliability is predicted

    using a mass-balance transfer model based on the YAS reservoir operating

    algorithm described by Latham (1983), as discussed in chapter three. The

    model was developed using the concepts and information presented in chapters

    two, three and four.

    This chapter is divided into two sections. The first provides an overview of the

    modelling tool and describes its main features, scope, analysis capabilities, data

    requirements and limitations. The second provides details on the underlying

    algorithms that drive the hydrological and financial analysis engine.

    Referring to the flowchart presented previously in figure 3.1, this chapter can be

    considered to cover the following model development stages: formulation of

    equations (where these have not already been presented), creation of model

    structure, formulation of methods for solving and formulation of computational

    methods.

  • 8/3/2019 UK; Rainwater Harvesting Model Development - Bradford University

    2/34

    A Whole Life Costing Approach for Rainwater Harvesting SystemsRichard Roebuck PhD, Bradford University

    Rainwater harvesting software from:www.SUDSolutions.com

    218

    5.2 Model overview

    The spreadsheet developed during this research is a mass-balance transfer

    model that represents RWH systems which supply non-potable water to

    residential, commercial, industrial and institutional buildings. The primary

    purpose of the application is to provide an assessment of the hydrological and

    WLC performance of these systems for individual buildings. The model

    simulates and then compares two scenarios: a building with a mains-only

    supply and the same building with a RWH system plus mains top-up function.

    This allows the user to judge the relative cost effectiveness of a proposed RWH

    system compared to relying solely on mains-only water. It is also possible to

    predict its technical performance under a range of operating conditions and

    configurations. For example, a range of tank sizes (and associated

    costs/benefits) can be assessed and the results compared in order to determine

    which size optimises the financial performance under a given set of

    circumstances.

    5.3 Model scope

    A daily timestep has been employed and simulations can be run for up to 100

    years. This upper limit was chosen as it represents a long enough time period

    over which to judge the performance of any system, and in any case for

    reasons of practicality most financial assessments would not be conducted on

    timescales of this length. The selection of a daily timestep was discussed and

    justified previously in chapter three. Any RWH system can be assessed

    providing that the configuration does not vary significantly from that shown later

    in figure 5.3. This configuration corresponds to most contemporary systems and

  • 8/3/2019 UK; Rainwater Harvesting Model Development - Bradford University

    3/34

    A Whole Life Costing Approach for Rainwater Harvesting SystemsRichard Roebuck PhD, Bradford University

    Rainwater harvesting software from:www.SUDSolutions.com

    219

    virtually all domestic ones. A range of key input parameters have been identified

    and most are user-definable, for example rainfall patterns, catchment size,

    storage tank capacity, water demand profiles, pump and UV unit characteristics

    (including electricity costs). Mains supply and sewerage systems are included

    as boundary conditions and only the volume of water passing to and from these

    is considered, along with any associated costs.

    Both new-build and retro fit systems can be modelled, although this thesis only

    considers new-build situations.

    Operating costs can be entered on a yearly basis and these include water

    supply and sewerage charges, electricity costs and the discount rate. This

    allows gradual long-term changes in costs to be taken into account. For

    instance there is a general trend of increasing water supply and sewerage

    charges in real terms. The same is also true of energy costs (see chapter four).

    These increases can be modelled in detail and it does not have to be assumed

    that prices remain static over time, a trait that was deemed to be a limitation of

    many of the existing models reviewed in the previous chapter. Maintenance

    activities and associated costs can be modelled on a temporal scale of at least

    one month, although costs for a given year are aggregated to give an overall

    annual expenditure. Maintenance activities can be programmed so that they

    occur only once or repeatedly at a specified time interval, e.g. once at five

    years, once every six months. It is possible to exclude a given financial cost

    from the analysis if it is not required, e.g. decommissioning costs.

  • 8/3/2019 UK; Rainwater Harvesting Model Development - Bradford University

    4/34

    A Whole Life Costing Approach for Rainwater Harvesting SystemsRichard Roebuck PhD, Bradford University

    Rainwater harvesting software from:www.SUDSolutions.com

    220

    5.4 Model structure

    To recap from chapter three, the hydrological components explicitly modelled

    consist of rainfall depth, catchment surface (runoff characteristics), first flush

    diverter, coarse filter, pump, UV unit, potable (mains) water supply and

    sewerage systems (volumes to and from), storage tank and non-potable supply

    and demand. To this can be added the associated financial parameters

    identified in chapter four which consist of capital and decommissioning costs,

    volumetric water supply and standing charges, volumetric sewerage disposal

    and standing charges, electricity supply, maintenance frequencies plus

    associated expenses and the selected discount rate and discount period. Figure

    5.1 shows a picture of the main navigation screen from which the rest of the

    application is accessed.

    Figure 5.1 RWH system model: main navigation screen

  • 8/3/2019 UK; Rainwater Harvesting Model Development - Bradford University

    5/34

    A Whole Life Costing Approach for Rainwater Harvesting SystemsRichard Roebuck PhD, Bradford University

    Rainwater harvesting software from:www.SUDSolutions.com

    221

    The application is modular in design and broadly consists of three types of

    modules: input, analysis and computational. The input modules are where the

    user enters the data required by the program to perform an analysis. These can

    be further divided into hydrological and financial input modules and each has its

    own set of associated parameters that require user input, as shown in tables 5.1

    and 5.2. In total there are 7 hydrological and 4 financial input modules.

    Table 5.1 Hydrological input modules and associated parameters

    Module Associated parameters UnitsRainfall profiles Historic daily rainfall data

    UKCIP-02 scenarios1mm/daymm/day

    Catchment surfacedetails

    Catchment (plan) areaInitial lossesRunoff coefficientFirst-flush device

    m2mm-litres

    Coarse rainwater filter Filter coefficient -

    Storage tank Tank storage capacityInitial degree of fillingMains top-up location

    (storage tank or in-buildingheader tank)Drain-down intervals

    m3%-

    Date

    Pump Pump installed? (yes/no)Power ratingPumping capacity

    -kWlitres/min

    UV unit UV unit installed (yes/no)Power ratingOperating time

    -Whrs/day

    Water demand Daily demand m3/day1Climate change scenarios generated from historic data usingUKCIP (2002b) methodology

  • 8/3/2019 UK; Rainwater Harvesting Model Development - Bradford University

    6/34

    A Whole Life Costing Approach for Rainwater Harvesting SystemsRichard Roebuck PhD, Bradford University

    Rainwater harvesting software from:www.SUDSolutions.com

    222

    Table 5.2 Financial input modules and associated parameters

    Module Associated parameters Units

    Capital/decommissioningexpenses

    Capital costsDecommissioning costs

    Water and seweragecharges

    Volumetric supply chargeSupply standing chargeVolumetric seweragechargeSewerage standing chargeHarvested water disposalcharge1

    /m3

    /yr/m3

    /yr/m3

    Operating expenses Electricity costDiscount rate2

    p/kWhr%

    Maintenance activities3 Activity frequencyAssociated cost

    Months/years/activity

    1

    Not yet applicable in the UK but this situation may change in the future2Selected discount rate applies to allcost components including mains-only system3Specify up to 20 maintenance activities and associated costs/frequencies

    There are three separate analysis modules available that allow the user to

    conduct a range of investigations of increasing complexity (and therefore of

    increasing data requirements). A range of analysis options was included

    because the user may not wish to perform a detailed assessment at the outset,

    which would require a large amount of data to be gathered. At first they may

    wish to perform a simpler scoping exercise in order to determine the feasibility

    of a system in terms of its ability meet a given set of design criteria, e.g. be able

    to supply a minimum amount of water or be financially viable. Once the

    feasibility of a system has been confirmed then time and resources can be

    dedicated to collecting the information required to perform a more detailed

    analysis. The available analysis modules are summarised in table 5.3.

  • 8/3/2019 UK; Rainwater Harvesting Model Development - Bradford University

    7/34

    A Whole Life Costing Approach for Rainwater Harvesting SystemsRichard Roebuck PhD, Bradford University

    Rainwater harvesting software from:www.SUDSolutions.com

    223

    Table 5.3 Description of available analysis modules

    Module Description Parameters requiring dataAssess tanksizes

    For a given system,predicts the percentage of

    demand likely to be met byassessing the performanceof a range of tank sizes(0.1-1000m3)

    Analysis time horizon, tank sizes,rainfall profile, catchment area, initial

    losses, runoff coefficient, coarse filtercoefficient, water demand and first-flush volume

    Assess savings As above but also predictsthe WLC of both the RWHsystem and an equivalentmains-only system andcalculates the financialsavings associated with arange of tank sizes

    As above plus capital anddecommissioning costs, water supplyand sewerage charges, discount rate,electricity charge, pump power ratingand capacity, UV unit power ratingand operating time and maintenanceitems (frequency and associatedcosts)

    Detailed analysis Similar to the assesssavings module but onlyassesses one system at atime. However, results areavailable in much greaterdetail

    Same as for assess savings module

    The assess savings module determines the WLC performance of a range of

    tanks during the same simulation run. That is, for a given building and set of

    conditions (climate, building characteristics, water demand) the module will

    perform a comparative simulation for different tank sizes and their associated

    capital/decommissioning costs. All other costs are assumed to be the same, for

    instance water supply and sewerage charges, maintenance requirements,

    electricity costs. This allows the user to optimise the financial performance of

    the RWH system by selecting the most cost effective tank size from the

    available range. Figure 5.2 shows the results from an analysis conducted for a

    proposed school system in the West Yorkshire region. The graph clearly shows

    an initially increasing profitability as tank size increases but this peaks at about

    30m3 and then declines for all tank sizes after that. The optimisation results

    would therefore indicate that, under the assumptions used in the analysis, a

  • 8/3/2019 UK; Rainwater Harvesting Model Development - Bradford University

    8/34

    A Whole Life Costing Approach for Rainwater Harvesting SystemsRichard Roebuck PhD, Bradford University

    Rainwater harvesting software from:www.SUDSolutions.com

    224

    tank size of approximately 30m3 represents the best investment from a financial

    perspective.

    Figure 5.2 Example of a WLC optimisation analysis

    0

    2,000

    4,000

    6,000

    8,000

    10,000

    12,000

    14,000

    16,000

    18,000

    0 10 20 30 40 50 60

    Tank size (cu.m)

    Saving

    s@N

    PV()

    Notes: results are for school building with 200 male and 200 female pupils, harvestedwater uses were urinal and toilet flushing, yearly demand = 1,226m3, roof area =1,150m2, runoff and filter coefficients = 0.9, mains water supply and sewerage charges

    as described in chapter four. Discount rate = 3.5%, discount period = 50 years

    Once the optimum tank size has been determined then the associated

    capital/decommissioning costs are transferred to the detailed analysis module,

    if a more in-depth study is required. This module outputs assessment results as

    a series of performance indicators. The primary indicators consist of the total

    water demand over a systems lifetime and percentage of demand met by

    harvested water, WLC of the RWH system at present value, WLC of an

    equivalent mains-only system at present value, financial savings (if any) of the

    RWH system compared to the equivalent mains-only system, and the pay-back

    period (if any). It is also possible to examine system performance in greater

    detail than with the other modules. For example a detailed breakdown of the

  • 8/3/2019 UK; Rainwater Harvesting Model Development - Bradford University

    9/34

    A Whole Life Costing Approach for Rainwater Harvesting SystemsRichard Roebuck PhD, Bradford University

    Rainwater harvesting software from:www.SUDSolutions.com

    225

    WLC contribution from each maintenance item is available whereas in the

    assess savings module maintenance costs are aggregated each year into a

    single figure. More hydrological performance details are also available, e.g.

    number of overflows, overflow volume, number of empty tank days, maximum

    consecutive empty tank days, total water to tank, water utilised as percentage of

    total catchment runoff.

    There is one computational module plus associated Visual Basic for

    Applications (VBA) code. This can be considered as the engine of the model

    as it links the other modules together and contains the algorithms that represent

    the physical components of the RWH system. The operation of the

    computational module is covered in greater detail later in this chapter.

    5.5 Model limitations

    There are a number of limitations with the current version of the model. It does

    not explicitly take account of water quality although it does include a

    representation of components that are known to improve it, such as coarse

    filters and UV units. It was shown in chapter two that coarse filtration is

    considered sufficient treatment for most non-potable applications. The addition

    of UV sterilisation would further reduce any associated risks but would also

    increase costs. The assumption therefore is that the harvested water will always

    be of sufficient quality for the non-potable uses considered during this research

    project.

  • 8/3/2019 UK; Rainwater Harvesting Model Development - Bradford University

    10/34

    A Whole Life Costing Approach for Rainwater Harvesting SystemsRichard Roebuck PhD, Bradford University

    Rainwater harvesting software from:www.SUDSolutions.com

    226

    There is an implicit assumption that mains top-up water will always be available

    for those times that the RWH storage tank runs empty. This is a reasonable

    supposition as the literature review showed that the vast majority of

    contemporary systems located in urban areas have a mains top-up function.

    5.6 Assessment procedure

    The model consists of two analysis components. One assesses the hydrological

    performance and the other the financial performance. Both the proposed RWH

    system and an equivalent mains-only system are simulated. For a given time

    period tthe hydrological performance is evaluated first. The model operates on

    a daily time-step and, for the RWH system, simulates the water fluxes

    associated with the storage tank in a 24 hour period. In order to keep the

    volume of data produced to manageable levels the application was

    programmed so that it performs a single years worth of daily analysis and then

    aggregates the outputs and records the key daily results from that current year,

    e.g. percentage of demand met, volume of mains top-up required. Daily results

    for the current year are then deleted before proceeding to the next year. The

    equivalent mains-only system is modelled in a similar fashion. However, the

    process is less complex than for the RWH variant and it is simply assumed that

    all non-potable demand is met by mains supply water.

    The financial aspects are evaluated on an annual basis after the hydrological

    calculations have been performed and aggregated for a particular year. Some

    financial components are dependant on the results from the hydrological

    analysis whilst others are affected only by the passage of time, i.e. costs are

  • 8/3/2019 UK; Rainwater Harvesting Model Development - Bradford University

    11/34

    A Whole Life Costing Approach for Rainwater Harvesting SystemsRichard Roebuck PhD, Bradford University

    Rainwater harvesting software from:www.SUDSolutions.com

    227

    incurred on a daily basis or on a specific calendar date regardless of

    hydrological performance. The former include pump operating, mains top-up

    and harvested water disposal costs. The latter include capital, decommissioning

    and UV operating costs, supply and sewerage standing charges as well as any

    maintenance activities.

    This process is repeated until the number of years simulated have reached the

    value specified by the user, up to a maximum of 100 years. Figures 5.3-5.5

    show schematic representations of the hydrological and financial components

    and demonstrate how they are linked to produce a complete systems model.

    Figure 5.3 Schematic representation of the hydrological model

    RtILt + RLt

    ERt

    FFLt

    FLtQt

    Mt

    A

    Ot

    DDt

    S Vt

    Dt

    F

    Building

    FF

    FFt

    Yt

    Pu

    Tank

  • 8/3/2019 UK; Rainwater Harvesting Model Development - Bradford University

    12/34

    A Whole Life Costing Approach for Rainwater Harvesting SystemsRichard Roebuck PhD, Bradford University

    Rainwater harvesting software from:www.SUDSolutions.com

    228

    Where:

    A = Effective catchment (roof) area (m2) Qt = tank inflow in time t(m3)

    Rt = rainfall depth in time t(m) S = storage capacity of tank (m3)

    ILt = Initial losses in time t(m) Vt = storage content in time t(m3)

    RLt = runoff losses in time t(m3 /day) Mt = mains top-up in time t(m

    3)*

    ERt = effective runoff in time t(m3) Ot = overflow in time t(m

    3)

    FF = first flush filter DDt = drain-down in time t(m3)

    FFt = first flush pass forward flow in t(m3) Pu = pump unit

    FFLt = first-flush losses in time t(m3) Yt = yield in time t(m

    3)

    F = coarse filter Dt = water demand in time t(m3)

    FLt = coarse filter losses in time t(m3)

    *Mains top-up can also occur in the in-building header tank, location is user-definable

    Unless otherwise stated the time interval t refers to one day, y denotes the

    current simulation year and nis the analysis time horizon in years

    Figure 5.4 Schematic representation of mains-only financial model

    Where:

    MSYSTEM = mains (public) water supply system

    MSUPPLIED = volume of mains water supplied (m3/yr)

    MSUPCOST/YR = volumetric mains water supply cost (/yr)

    MDISPOSED = volume of mains water discharged to sewer system (m3/yr)

    SupSC = mains water supply standing charge (/yr)

    SewSYSTEM = public sewer system

    SewCOST/YR = volumetric sewerage disposal cost (/yr)

    SewSC = sewerage standing charge (/yr)

    r = discount rate (%)

    SewSYSTEM

    MSUPPLIED

    MDISPOSED

    MSUPCOST/YR

    SewCOST/YR

    MSYSTEM

    SupSC

    SewSC

    r

    Financial model boundary

  • 8/3/2019 UK; Rainwater Harvesting Model Development - Bradford University

    13/34

    A Whole Life Costing Approach for Rainwater Harvesting SystemsRichard Roebuck PhD, Bradford University

    Rainwater harvesting software from:www.SUDSolutions.com

    229

    Figure 5.5 Schematic representation of RWH system financial model

    Where:

    RWHSYSTEM = rainwater harvesting system

    RWHCAPCOST = capital cost ()

    RWHMACOST/YR = maintenance cost (/yr)

    RWHDECOST = decommissioning cost ()1

    PuEnt = pump energy usage (kWhrs)

    PuCOST/YR = pump operating cost (/yr)UVEnt = UV unit energy usage (kWhrs)

    UVCOST/YR = UV unit operating cost (/yr)

    RWHDISPOSED = volume of harvested water discharged to sewer (m3/yr)

    RWHDISCOST/YR = disposal charge for RWHDISPOSED (/yr)

    MTOP-UP = annual volume of mains top-up required (m3/yr)

    MTOP-DIS = annual volume of mains top-up to sewer system (m3/yr)

    1Assumed to occur at end of analysis period (year n)

    The other terms are as previously defined.

    SewSYSTEM

    SewCOST/YR

    Financial model boundary

    MSYSTEM

    MTOP-UP

    MTOP-DIS

    MSUPCOST/YR

    RWHSYSTEM

    PuEntPuCOST/YR

    UVEntUVCOST/YR

    RWHDISPOSEDRWHDISCOST/YR

    RWHCAPCOST

    RWHMACOST/YR

    RWHDECOST

    SupSC

    SewSC

    r

  • 8/3/2019 UK; Rainwater Harvesting Model Development - Bradford University

    14/34

    A Whole Life Costing Approach for Rainwater Harvesting SystemsRichard Roebuck PhD, Bradford University

    Rainwater harvesting software from:www.SUDSolutions.com

    230

    5.7 Hydrological model algorithms

    The underlying principles of the selected hydrological modelling approaches

    were discussed in chapter three. This section details their inclusion within the

    developed model in terms of the algorithms used to implement them.

    Figure 5.6 is a flowchart that demonstrates the order in which the hydrological

    calculations are conducted. Note that the arrangement of inflow/outflow fluxes

    associated with the storage tank correspond to those of a YAS operating

    algorithm (Jenkins et al, 1978). Different algorithms, for instance YBS, would

    have a different order of operations. The numbered boxes on the flowchart refer

    to equations presented later in this chapter and demonstrate how the equations

    are linked to form a complete model.

  • 8/3/2019 UK; Rainwater Harvesting Model Development - Bradford University

    15/34

    A Whole Life Costing Approach for Rainwater Harvesting SystemsRichard Roebuck PhD, Bradford University

    Rainwater harvesting software from:www.SUDSolutions.com

    231

    Figure 5.6 Flowchart demonstrating order of hydrological operations

    109

    8

    7

    6

    5

    4

    3

    1 2

    Collect andinput data

    Read rainfalldepth for

    current day

    Startsimulation( =1, t=1)

    Notation Keyn= analysis period in years

    y= current yeart= current day in year y

    Subtract initial lossesfrom daily rainfall

    depth

    Effective rainfalldepth and runofffrom catchment

    Initial and coefficientlosses (depression

    storage etc)

    First-flush filterFirst-flush losses

    Coarse (leaf) filterCoarse filter losses

    Storage Tank(YAS)

    1) Determine yield2) Inflow3) Overflow4) Extract yieldOverflow losses

    Read waterdemand forcurrent day

    Pump unit

    Water use anddisposal / losses

    In storagetank

    In headertank

    Mains top-up(if required)

    y+ 1

    Foul sewer systemand / or garden

    t= 365?

    y= n?

    Yes

    t+ 1

    Simulation ends

    YesNo

    t= 1

    t= 365AND

    y= n?

    No Yes

    No

  • 8/3/2019 UK; Rainwater Harvesting Model Development - Bradford University

    16/34

    A Whole Life Costing Approach for Rainwater Harvesting SystemsRichard Roebuck PhD, Bradford University

    Rainwater harvesting software from:www.SUDSolutions.com

    232

    5.7.1 Initial losses

    The user is required to input the initial loss value in mm for a given catchment

    material (e.g. roof tiles). Since the model works on a daily timestep the initial

    losses are also calculated at this time scale. The program compares the initial

    loss value with the rainfall depth occurring on a given day. If the rainfall depth is

    greater than the initial losses then subtract the initial loss value to give the

    effectiverainfall depth. See equation 5.1.

    tt

    tttt

    t

    ILR

    ILRILR

    RE

    if0

    if

    (5.1)

    where:

    REt = effective rainfall depth in time t(m)

    Rt = rainfall depth in time t(m)ILt = initial losses (m)

    5.7.2 Effective runoff and runoff losses

    The effective runoff is the volume of rain falling on a catchment (plan) area that

    can be collected and routed into the RWH system. A coefficient is used to

    represent the volume of rainfall that is lost from the system, for example due to

    processes such as depression storage, surface wetting and evaporation (these

    are in addition to the initial losses described in section 5.7.1). Equation 5.2

    shows the algorithm employed in the model.

    Rtt CARER (5.2)

  • 8/3/2019 UK; Rainwater Harvesting Model Development - Bradford University

    17/34

    A Whole Life Costing Approach for Rainwater Harvesting SystemsRichard Roebuck PhD, Bradford University

    Rainwater harvesting software from:www.SUDSolutions.com

    233

    where:

    ERt = effective runoff in time t(m3)

    Rt = rainfall depth in time t(m)

    A = effective catchment area (m

    2

    )CR = catchment runoff coefficient

    5.7.3 First flush device

    First flush devices capture a predefined volume of the effective runoff

    originating from the catchment surface. It is possible for the effective runoff

    volume to be less than that of the first flush volume (such as on a day with little

    or no rainfall) and this condition requires evaluation. The first flush pass forward

    flow (volume of water bypassing the device) is given by equation 5.3.

    0if0

    0if

    VOLt

    VOLtVOLt

    t

    FFER

    FFERFFER

    FF (5.3)

    where:

    FFt = first flush pass forward flow in time t(m3)

    FFVOL = first flush volume (m3)

    5.7.4 Coarse filter

    The volume of water passing into the storage tank via the coarse filter is

    represented by a coefficient as shown in equation 5.4. It is assumed that no

    further components exist between the coarse filter and the storage tank and so

    the cleaned water from the filter is routed directly to the tank (equation 5.5).

    Ftt CEFF (5.4)

  • 8/3/2019 UK; Rainwater Harvesting Model Development - Bradford University

    18/34

    A Whole Life Costing Approach for Rainwater Harvesting SystemsRichard Roebuck PhD, Bradford University

    Rainwater harvesting software from:www.SUDSolutions.com

    234

    tt FQ (5.5)

    where:

    Ft = course filter pass forward flow in time t(m3)

    CF = coarse filter coefficient

    Qt = inflow to storage tank in time t(m3)

    5.7.5 Storage tank water fluxes

    The operation of the storage tank was modelled using the generalised

    YAS/YBS algorithm described by Latham (1983). The storage operating

    parameter was set to zero, meaning that the model behaved the same as the

    YAS variant. A more detailed explanation of the YAS/YBS operating rules can

    be found in chapter three. The generalised YAS/YBS algorithm is shown here in

    equations 5.6 and 5.7.

    tt

    t

    t

    QV

    DY min (5.6)

    t

    tttt

    t

    YS

    YYQVV

    )1(

    )1()(min

    1

    (5.7)

    where:

    Yt = yield from system in time t(m3)

    Dt = demand from system in time t(m3)

    Vt = storage content in time t(m3)

    Vt-1 = storage content in time t-1 (m3)

    = Storage operating parameter coefficient

  • 8/3/2019 UK; Rainwater Harvesting Model Development - Bradford University

    19/34

    A Whole Life Costing Approach for Rainwater Harvesting SystemsRichard Roebuck PhD, Bradford University

    Rainwater harvesting software from:www.SUDSolutions.com

    235

    Note that in equation 5.6 the daily demand Dt is automatically extracted from the

    Demand Generator module (see chapter three).

    5.7.6 Overflow

    An overflow algorithm was developed using the same principles as that used by

    Latham (1983) to derive the generalised YAS/YBS equations, as shown in

    equation 5.8.

    SYQV

    O

    ttt

    t

    1

    0

    max (5.8)

    where:

    Ot = overflow in time t(m3)

    5.7.7 Mains top-up

    The volume of mains top-up required is determined by subtracting the yield

    obtained on a given day, Yt, from the demand occurring on the same day, Dt.

    The difference between the two parameters is the daily shortfall which is

    assumed to be compensated for by mains top-up water (equation 5.9).

    ttt YDM (5.9)

    where:

    Mt = mains top-up in time t(m3)

  • 8/3/2019 UK; Rainwater Harvesting Model Development - Bradford University

    20/34

    A Whole Life Costing Approach for Rainwater Harvesting SystemsRichard Roebuck PhD, Bradford University

    Rainwater harvesting software from:www.SUDSolutions.com

    236

    5.7.8 Pump unit

    Pump unit operating time per day is given in equation 5.10. The volume of water

    which requires pumping can be affected by the location of the mains top-up

    function (storage tank or in-building header tank) and so this condition requires

    evaluation.

    tankheaderinup-topif

    tankstorageinup-topif

    CAP

    t

    CAP

    tt

    TIME

    PuY

    Pu

    MY

    PU (5.10)

    where:

    PUTIME = pump operating period in time t(hrs)

    PUCAP = pump capacity (m3/hr)

    5.8 Financial model algorithms

    The underlying principles of the selected financial modelling approaches were

    discussed in chapter four. This section details their inclusion within the model in

    terms of the algorithms used to implement them.

    The selected financial assessment method is fundamentally a comparison

    between two possible options: one in which a building uses a metered mains

    supply to satisfy potable and non-potable demand, and one in which a RWH

    system with mains top-up is used to satisfy some (or potentially all) of the non-

    potable demand. In the latter case water is still drawn from the mains for

    potable uses. Both options have associated costs. For the metered mains-only

    scenario water supply and sewerage charges are incurred, as are standing

  • 8/3/2019 UK; Rainwater Harvesting Model Development - Bradford University

    21/34

    A Whole Life Costing Approach for Rainwater Harvesting SystemsRichard Roebuck PhD, Bradford University

    Rainwater harvesting software from:www.SUDSolutions.com

    237

    charges. These may also apply to the RWH system due to the use of mains top-

    up water. The rainwater system also incurs expenses that the mains-only

    system does not and these consist of capital, operation, maintenance and

    (possibly) decommissioning costs. The financial analysis procedure for both the

    mains-only and RWH systems are demonstrated in figures 5.7 and 5.8. The

    numbered boxes refer to equations from this chapter and demonstrate how they

    are linked.

    Figure 5.7 Flowchart demonstrating order of financial operations for

    mains-only system

    11

    11

    11

    12

    11

    Collect andinput cost data

    Startsimulation

    ( y= 1)

    Notation Keyn= analysis period in yearsy= current yeart= current day in year yPV = present value

    Sum daily waterdemand volumes fort=1 to 365 inclusive

    y+ 1 y= n?

    Simulation ends

    Yes

    No

    Annual demand xvolumetric supply &sewerage charges

    Sum costs to givetotal annual cost at

    current prices

    Yearly supply andsewerage standing

    charges

    Calculate and record

    PV of costs for yeary

    Daily waterdemandvalues

    Sum present valuesfor all years to givemains-system WLC

    Vol. seweragecharges, account for

    non-return losses

  • 8/3/2019 UK; Rainwater Harvesting Model Development - Bradford University

    22/34

    A Whole Life Costing Approach for Rainwater Harvesting SystemsRichard Roebuck PhD, Bradford University

    Rainwater harvesting software from:www.SUDSolutions.com

    238

    Figure 5.8 Flowchart demonstrating order of financial operations for

    RWH system

    24 23

    19

    17

    15

    13

    Start

    simulation( = 1)

    Collect andinput data

    y+ 1

    Simulation ends

    Yes

    Supply andseweragecharges

    y= 1?Add capital cost toRWH system WLC

    sum

    Calculate and recorddecommission cost

    at PV

    No

    Calculate and recordpump operating cost

    at PV

    Sum pump annualoperating time and

    energy usage

    Calculate and recordUV operating cost at

    PV

    Sum UV annualoperating time and

    energy usage

    Calculate and recordmains top-up costs

    at PV

    Calculate volume ofmains top-up

    required

    Electricityunit charges

    Calculate and recordharvested water

    disposal cost at PV

    Calculate volume ofharvested water to

    public sewer

    Maintenanceactivitiesand costs

    Calculate and recordyearly maintenance

    cost at PV

    y= n?

    Yes

    No

    Notation Keyn= analysis period in yearsy= current yeart= current day in year yPV = present value

    21

    14, 16, 18,20, 22, 25,26

    Sum present valuesfor all years to giveRWH system WLC

  • 8/3/2019 UK; Rainwater Harvesting Model Development - Bradford University

    23/34

    A Whole Life Costing Approach for Rainwater Harvesting SystemsRichard Roebuck PhD, Bradford University

    Rainwater harvesting software from:www.SUDSolutions.com

    239

    All future costs are related back to their equivalent present values using

    standard discounting techniques.

    5.9 Mains-only system financial calculations

    Mains-only system costs are limited to the non-potable fraction which harvested

    water is intended to substitute, for example the volume of mains water used to

    flush the WC, wash clothes and/or irrigate the garden. The costs of other non-

    potable and potable uses are not included in the analysis since they are

    independent of the RWH system. The algorithms that calculate the yearly cost

    and total WLC of the mains-only system are given in equations 5.11 and 5.12.

    )()]1[(

    )()(

    %

    %/

    SCSCUNITCOSTLOSSESSUPPLIED

    SCSCUNITCOSTSUPPLIEDYRCOST

    SewSewSewSewM

    SupSupMMM

    (5.11)

    ny

    y

    YRPVCOSTNPV MM1

    / (5.12)

    where:

    MCOST/YR = annual mains water cost (/yr)

    MSUPPLIED = annual volume of mains water supplied (m3/yr)

    MUNITCOST = volumetric supply charge for mains water (/m3)

    SupSC = supply standing charge (/yr)

    SupSC% = fraction of supply standing charge applicable

    SewLOSSES = fraction of non-return to sewer losses

    SewUNITCOST = volumetric disposal charge for sewerage (/m3)

    SewSC = sewerage standing charge (/yr)

    SewSC% = fraction of sewerage standing charge applicable

    MNPV = discounted NPV value of mains supply over nyears ()

    MPVCOST/YR = discounted annual mains water costs (/yr)

  • 8/3/2019 UK; Rainwater Harvesting Model Development - Bradford University

    24/34

    A Whole Life Costing Approach for Rainwater Harvesting SystemsRichard Roebuck PhD, Bradford University

    Rainwater harvesting software from:www.SUDSolutions.com

    240

    It would have been technically acceptable to disregard the supply and sewerage

    standing charges since these apply equally to both the mains-only and RWH

    systems. The selected WLC approach allows costs that are common to all

    options to be ignored since ultimately they do not affect the WLC difference

    between the modelled scenarios. However, it can still be useful to include the

    standing charges since this gives a better indication of the total cost of each

    system and also the true unit cost of water supplied from each, not just the

    difference between the two.

    Supply and sewerage standing charges were assigned to the RWH system by

    estimating the totalwater demand (potable plus non-potable) of a building, and

    then calculating the percentage of the total demand that could potentially be

    met by harvested rainwater. The same percentage of the supply and sewerage

    standing charges were then assigned to the RWH system. For example if half of

    all water demand could met by harvested water then 50% of the supply and

    sewerage charges would be assigned to the RWH system costs. In all cases

    the daily per capita internal water use was assumed to be 120 litres (see

    chapter three).

    5.10 RWH system financial calculations

    The key RWH system cost components include capital, operating, maintenance

    and decommissioning costs. The operating costs consist of pump and UV

    electricity charges as well as any main top-up required.

  • 8/3/2019 UK; Rainwater Harvesting Model Development - Bradford University

    25/34

  • 8/3/2019 UK; Rainwater Harvesting Model Development - Bradford University

    26/34

    A Whole Life Costing Approach for Rainwater Harvesting SystemsRichard Roebuck PhD, Bradford University

    Rainwater harvesting software from:www.SUDSolutions.com

    242

    ny

    y

    YRMACOSTNPV RWHMa1

    / (5.14)

    where:

    RWHMACOST/YR = annual RWH system maintenance cost (/yr)

    MaiCOST/YR = annual maintenance cost for item i, where i= 1-20

    MaNPV = discounted NPV of total maintenance costs over nyears ()

    5.10.3 Decommissioning costs

    Decommissioning is assumed to occur during the final year of the selected

    analysis period. The user is required to input the estimated decommissioning

    costs at current prices in the Decommissioning Cost module. During analysis of

    the final simulation year (y=n) the program calculates the present value of the

    decommissioning cost and adds this to the WLC of the RWH system.

    5.10.4 Pump operating costs

    The operating (electricity) cost of the pump is related to the energy usage,

    which in turn is dependant on the pump operating time and power rating. The

    determination of pump operating time was given previously in this chapter

    (equation 5.10). Pump power usage was covered in chapter three (equation

    3.5). Equations 5.15 and 5.16 below demonstrate how annual and lifetime pump

    operating costs were calculated.

    365

    1

    /

    100

    t

    t

    UNITCOSTtYRCOST

    ElPuEnPu (5.15)

  • 8/3/2019 UK; Rainwater Harvesting Model Development - Bradford University

    27/34

    A Whole Life Costing Approach for Rainwater Harvesting SystemsRichard Roebuck PhD, Bradford University

    Rainwater harvesting software from:www.SUDSolutions.com

    243

    ny

    y

    YRCOSTNPV PuPu1

    / (5.16)

    where:

    PuEnt = pump energy usage in time t(kWhrs)

    ElUNITCOST = unit cost of electricity (p/kWhr)

    PuNPV = discounted NPV of pump operating costs over nyears ()

    5.10.5 UV unit operating costs

    The operating (electricity) cost of the UV unit is related to the energy usage,

    which in turn is dependant on the units operating time and power rating .

    Equations 5.17, 5.18 and 5.19 below demonstrate how the energy usage,

    annual and lifetime UV operating costs were calculated in the model.

    UVEnt= UVPOWx UVTIME (5.17)

    365

    1

    /

    100

    t

    t

    UNITCOSTtYRCOST

    ElUVEnUV (5.18)

    ny

    y

    YRCOSTNPV UVUV1

    / (5.19)

    where:

    UVEnt = UV unit energy usage in time t(kWhrs)

    UVPOW = lamp power rating (kW)

    UVTIME = UV unit operating time (usually 24 hours/day) (hrs)

    UVCOST/YR = UV unit operating cost (/yr)

    ElUNITCOST = unit cost of electricity (p/kWhr)

    UVNPV = discounted NPV of UV unit operating costs over nyears ()

  • 8/3/2019 UK; Rainwater Harvesting Model Development - Bradford University

    28/34

    A Whole Life Costing Approach for Rainwater Harvesting SystemsRichard Roebuck PhD, Bradford University

    Rainwater harvesting software from:www.SUDSolutions.com

    244

    5.10.6 Harvested water disposal costs

    A disposal charge can be applied to any harvested water discharged to the foul

    sewer system and this in effect replicates the volumetric sewerage charge

    associated with mains supply water. Currently no UK water utility charges for

    harvested water discharged to the sewer system but it is not inconceivable that

    this situation may change in the future if the use of RWH systems were to

    become more widespread. Water utilities are required to cover their operating

    costs and with zero harvested water disposal charge they are essentially

    treating a portion of a customers foul flow without recovering their own costs.

    The algorithm used in the model allows the user to route only a fraction of used

    harvested water into the sewer system. This enables the model to take into

    account situations in which not all of the harvested water goes to the sewer, for

    example where non-potable uses include an element of garden watering.

    However, this does require an estimation to be made regarding the percentage

    of water that will remain outside of the sewer system and it is unlikely that the

    selected value will be completely accurate. Equations 5.20 and 5.21

    demonstrate how the disposal volume and associated costs are calculated.

    UNITCOST

    t

    t

    DIStYRDISCOST DisSewYRWH365

    1

    %/ (5.20)

    ny

    y

    YRDISCOSTNPV RWHDis1

    / (5.21)

  • 8/3/2019 UK; Rainwater Harvesting Model Development - Bradford University

    29/34

  • 8/3/2019 UK; Rainwater Harvesting Model Development - Bradford University

    30/34

    A Whole Life Costing Approach for Rainwater Harvesting SystemsRichard Roebuck PhD, Bradford University

    Rainwater harvesting software from:www.SUDSolutions.com

    246

    yearly cost to supply MTOP-UP is calculated as shown in equation 5.25 and the

    total mains top-up cost over the whole analysis period, at NPV, is given in

    equation 5.26.

    365

    1

    t

    t

    tUPTOP MM (5.24)

    )]1[(

    )(/

    UNITCOSTLOSSESUPTOP

    UNITCOSTUPTOPYRTOPCOST

    SewSewM

    MMM(5.25)

    ny

    y

    YRTOPCOSTNPV MTopUp1

    / (5.26)

    where:

    MTOP-UP = annual volume of mains top-up required (m3/yr)MTOPCOST/YR = annual mains top-up cost (/yr)

    TopUpNPV = discounted NPV of mains top-up over nyears ()

    5.10.9 Net present value of RWH system

    The NPV of the RWH system is given by summing the NPV of the individual

    cost items presented in sections 5.10.1 to 5.10.8, as shown in equation 5.27.

    DECOSTNPVNPV

    NPVNPVNPVNPVCAPCOSTNPV

    RWHTopUpSC

    DisUVPuMaRWHRWH

    (5.27)

    where:

    RWHNPV = discounted NPV of RWH system over nyears ()

  • 8/3/2019 UK; Rainwater Harvesting Model Development - Bradford University

    31/34

    A Whole Life Costing Approach for Rainwater Harvesting SystemsRichard Roebuck PhD, Bradford University

    Rainwater harvesting software from:www.SUDSolutions.com

    247

    5.11 WLC comparison between mains-only and RWH systems

    Once the discounted WLC of the mains-only and RWH systems have been

    calculated then the cost effectiveness of the latter can be evaluated. The model

    is able to do this in a number of ways as described below.

    5.11.1 Determination of WLC difference

    This determines the long-term financial cost/benefit. The WLC of the mains-only

    system is calculated as per equation 5.12. This equation gives the discounted

    net present value of the mains-only system, i.e. this is the amount of money that

    would be required now in order to meet the predicted costs of the mains-only

    system as they arise over the selected analysis time horizon. The WLC of the

    RWH system with mains top-up is calculated as per equation 5.27. This

    equation gives the discounted net present value of the RWH system, i.e. it is the

    amount of money that would be required nowin order to meet the costs of the

    RWH system as they arise over the selected analysis period.

    Knowing these two values allows the relative cost effectiveness of the RWH

    system to be determined. Subtract the WLC of the RWH system from that of the

    mains-only system (equation 5.28). If the result is positive then this represents

    the financial saving arising due to the RWH system, at present value. If the

    result is negative then this is the financial loss due to the RWH system, at

    present value. The positive/negative sign can be used as a decision rule, as can

    the magnitude of the savings achievable.

    NPVNPVFCB RWHMRWH (5.28)

  • 8/3/2019 UK; Rainwater Harvesting Model Development - Bradford University

    32/34

    A Whole Life Costing Approach for Rainwater Harvesting SystemsRichard Roebuck PhD, Bradford University

    Rainwater harvesting software from:www.SUDSolutions.com

    248

    where:

    RWHFCB = RHW system long-term financial cost/benefit ()

    It should be noted that whether the result is positive or negative can be

    dependant on the selected discount rate, especially in situations where the NPV

    is close to zero. In these cases care should be taken when using the NPV as a

    decision rule as changing the model assumptions may give a different result. It

    would be advisable to conduct a sensitivity analysis of the results in all cases.

    5.11.2 Calculate average incremental cost (AIC)

    This approach normalises the WLC of both systems and gives the results on a

    cost per unit benefit basis, which in this case is the average discounted unit

    cost of water measured in /m3 (equations 5.29 and 5.30). The RWH system

    can be considered to be cost effective if the associated AIC is lower than that

    for the mains-only system, or not cost effective if the reverse is true. The AIC

    results can be used as decision rule regarding whether or not to implement the

    rainwater harvesting system.

    ny

    yyr

    NPVAIC

    D

    RWHRWH

    1

    (5.29)

    ny

    y

    yr

    NPVAIC

    D

    MM

    1

    (5.30)

  • 8/3/2019 UK; Rainwater Harvesting Model Development - Bradford University

    33/34

    A Whole Life Costing Approach for Rainwater Harvesting SystemsRichard Roebuck PhD, Bradford University

    Rainwater harvesting software from:www.SUDSolutions.com

    249

    where:

    RWHAIC = RWH system average incremental cost (/m3)

    Dyr = annual demand (m3/yr)

    MAIC = mains-only system average incremental cost (/m

    3

    )

    A further advantage of this method is that it also allows the cost effectiveness of

    RWH systems to be compared against various other demand measures where

    AIC values are available, for instance low flush WCs, urinal controllers,

    showers, rainwater butts, water efficient washing machines, water audits,

    metering schemes, greywater recycling and industrial re-use schemes (National

    Rivers Authority, 1995; Howarth, 1998; White & Howe, 1998; Foxon et al, 2000;

    Grant, 2003).

    5.11.3 Payback period

    The initial (financial year zero) cost of a RWH system will usually be greater

    than that of an equivalent mains-only system due to the required capital

    expenditure. Providing that the RWH system has lower operating and

    maintenance costs than the mains-only alternative then over time the cost

    difference between the two will narrow and may converge. This is the payback

    period, the point at which the WLC of the RWH system becomes equal to that of

    the mains-only equivalent. This condition is evaluated in the spreadsheet model

    once an analysis is complete and the results have been compiled. It is possible

    that payback is never achieved, for example if the running costs of the rainwater

    system are always higher than that of the mains-only system. In this case

    payback can never be achieved and the model returns a value of N/A. This

  • 8/3/2019 UK; Rainwater Harvesting Model Development - Bradford University

    34/34

    A Whole Life Costing Approach for Rainwater Harvesting SystemsRichard Roebuck PhD, Bradford University

    result is also given if payback is possible but lies outside the selected analysis

    time horizon.

    5.12 RWH model development: summary

    This chapter has explained the structure, functioning, purpose and limitations of

    the RWH assessment model developed as part of this research project. The key

    underlying hydrological and financial algorithms have been presented and

    described. Methods for comparing the cost performance of a RWH system and

    equivalent mains-only system were given and it was shown how these can be

    used as a decision rule when deciding whether or not to implement a rainwater

    system.

    In the next chapter the model is used to assess the WLC performance of a

    range of domestic systems under a variety of operating conditions in order to

    provide insights into the cost effectiveness of domestic rainwater harvesting in

    the UK.