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UCITS Risk Reporting 1 July to 31 December 2018
2 / 18
UCITS Risk Reporting - 31 December 2018
Contents
1 - General description of the population 3
1.1 - Overall UCITS population and full reporting scope 3
1.2 - Coverage rate by investment policy type and by global exposure calculation method 3
2 - Overall UCITS population 4
2.1 - Main characteristics 4 a) Net assets 4 b) Investment policy types 4 c) Global Exposure calculation methods 4
2. 2 - Realised leverage 5 a) Realised gross leverage by investment policy type and by global exposure calculation method (all UCITS) 5 b) Funds under the commitment approach 5 c) Funds under the VaR approach 5
3 - UCITS in the full reporting scope 6
3.1 - Main characteristics 6
3.2 - Global exposure and leverage 7 a) Funds under the Commitment approach 7 b) Funds under the VaR approach 7 c) Usage of leverage 8 d) Value-at-Risk (VaR) 8
3.3 - Stress testing and other risk indicators 9 a) Univariate stress test results 9 b) Realised volatility 10
3.4 - Efficient portfolio management (EPM) techniques 10 a) Evolution of volumes and number of active funds by EPM type 10 b) Main active Investment Fund Managers (IFMs) per EPM type 11 c) EPM volumes by investment strategy 11 d) Securities Lending: Use of Agent lenders & indemnification against borrower default 12
3.5 - Counterparty risk and collateral in relation to EPM techniques / OTC and traded derivatives 12
3.6 - Liquidity 14 a) Portfolio liquidity at semester-end in normal market conditions 14 b) Portfolio liquidity at semester-end in normal market conditions (bond funds) 15 c) Portfolio liquidity at semester-end in stressed market conditions 16 d) Portfolio liquidity at semester-end in stressed market conditions (bond funds) 17 e) Liquidity Management Tools 17
3.7 – Credit 18 a) Aggregate credit exposure by internal ratings and by credit spreads 18
3 / 18
1 - General description of the population
1.1 - Overall UCITS population and full reporting scope
In the context of the UCITS Risk Reporting, all Luxembourg domiciled UCITS1 authorised by the CSSF are required to provide some general information/basic functional data including the global exposure calculation method and the realised level of leverage, as well as, for UCITS under a VaR approach, the expected level of leverage. In addition, detailed information on risks is requested for UCITS falling in the “full reporting scope", i.e. UCITS fulfilling at least one of the following two criteria:
- net assets above EUR 500 million; - use of VaR for the calculation of global exposures covered by Article 42(3) of the 2010 Law with an average
gross leverage during the semester greater than 250%2.
1.2 - Coverage rate by investment policy type3 and by global exposure calculation method
1 In this report, the terms “UCITS” and “fund” will be used both for an entity in the case of a non-umbrella UCITS and for each sub-fund in the case of an umbrella UCITS. 2 In accordance with the rules set out in the applicable regulation, the gross leverage is calculated as the notional sum of the derivatives used. 3 Fund classifications are based on the BCL investment policy types. The category “Hedge funds” includes funds that implement alternative strategies while respecting the UCITS regulatory framework (often referred to as “liquid alternative funds”).
Not in the reporting scope
25% 825 Bn€
TNA >= 500M€70%
2 354 Bn€TNA >= 500M€ and real.
levg >= 250%4%
148 Bn€
Realised lvg >= 250%1%
43 Bn€
In the reporting scope75%
2 544 Bn€
Overall UCITS Population and UCITS falling in the reporting scope (in terms of net assets)
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
0200400600800
1.0001.2001.400
Cov
erag
e (in
term
s of
ass
ets)
TNA
(Bn
€)
Coverage rate by investment policy type
All UCITS Coverage
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
0
500
1.000
1.500
2.000
2.500C
over
age
(in te
rms
of a
sset
s)
TNA
(Bn
€)
Coverage rate by global exposure calculation method
All UCITS Coverage
4 / 18
2 - Overall UCITS population
2.1 - Main characteristics
a) Net assets
b) Investment policy types
c) Global Exposure calculation methods
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
prop
ortio
n of
fund
s (bl
ue) /
% o
f tot
al n
et a
sset
s (o
rang
e)
Breakdown by net asset value
units net assets
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
% o
f tot
al n
et a
sset
s
number of funds
Market concentration
1.153,1 bn€34%
1.099,4 bn€33%
663,7 bn€20%
141,9 bn€4%
23,7 bn€1%
287,9 bn€8%
Investment policy types (in terms of net assets)
Bond funds Equity funds Mixed fundsHedge funds Other funds MMF
3.048 28%
3.995 36%
2.860 26%
594 5%
493 4%
110 1%
Investment policy types (in terms of units)
Bond funds Equity funds Mixed fundsHedge funds Other funds MMF
2.104 bn€62%
556 bn€17%
709 bn€21%
Global exposure calculation methods (in terms of net assets)
Commitment Absolute VaR Relative VaR
7.602 69%
1.689 15%
1.809 16%
Global exposure calculation methods (in terms of units)
Commitment Absolute VaR Relative VaR
5 / 18
2. 2 - Realised leverage
a) Realised gross leverage by investment policy type and by global exposure calculation method (all UCITS)
Methodology note : for the purpose of this sub-section, the realised leverage level is - for funds under a VaR approach, the semester-average value; - for funds under the commitment approach and TNA above 500M EUR, the semester-end value; and - for funds under the commitment approach and with TNA below 500M EUR, the TNA-weighted average of the
semester-end leverage of all funds in the same category under the commitment approach and with TNA above 500M EUR.
b) Funds under the commitment approach
c) Funds under the VaR approach4
4 By convention, where several levels of leverage are disclosed in the prospectus (for example an expected and a maximum or a range with minimum and maximum), the expected gross leverage reported in this analysis is based on the highest number.
90%
15%
102%
347%
89%
2%0%
50%
100%
150%
200%
250%
300%
350%
400%
Aver
age
real
ised
leve
rage
(TN
A w
eigh
ted)
Average TNA-weighted realised gross leverage
Dec 2016 June 2017 Dec 2017 June 2018 Dec 2018
24%
74%
240%
70%
0%
50%
100%
150%
200%
250%
300%
Aver
age
real
ised
leve
rage
(TN
A w
eigh
ted)
Average TNA-weighted realised gross leverage
Dec 2016 June 2017 Dec 2017 June 2018 Dec 2018
0%
20%
40%
60%
0% 0-25% 25-50% 50-75% 75-100% >100%
Realised leverage of commitment funds
units net assets
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Prop
ortio
n of f
unds
Realised leverage
Realised leverage of VaR funds
units
net assets
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Prop
ortio
n of f
unds
Expected leverage
Expected leverage of VaR funds
units
net assets
6 / 18
3 - UCITS in the full reporting scope
3.1 - Main characteristics
LongShort
Long-ShortMarket-neutral
ArbitrageUnconstrained/Multi-strategy
0
200
400
600
800
1.000
net a
sset
s (B
n€)
Net assets by principal asset class and investment strategy
1.380 bn€54%638 bn€
25%
137 bn€5%
10 bn€1%
380 bn€15%
Investment regions(in terms of net assets)
Multiple Region EuropeAsia & Pacific Central & South AmericaNorth America
1.073 60%452
25%
100 6%
9 0%
157 9%
Investment regions (in terms of units)
Multiple Region EuropeAsia & Pacific Central & South AmericaNorth America
1.456 bn€57%
760 bn€30%
328 bn€13%
Investment markets(in terms of net assets)
Developed Mixed Emerging
963 54%608
34%
220 12%
Investment markets(in terms of units)
Developed Mixed Emerging
7 / 18
3.2 - Global exposure and leverage
a) Funds under the Commitment approach
b) Funds under the VaR approach
Note: As per the guidelines, “positive” interest rate and credit spread duration correspond to long exposure on bonds. It represents exposures such as fixed rate receiver of an IRS or protection seller of a CDS.
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
Gross leverage per derivative category (Commitment funds)
Futures Swaps Forwards Options
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
Gross leverage per risk factor (Commitment funds)
Equity IR Credit FX Other (incl TRS)
0%
50%
100%
150%
200%
Gross leverage per derivative category (VaR funds)
Futures Swaps Forwards Options
0%
50%
100%
150%
200%
Gross leverage per risk factor (VaR funds)
Equity IR Credit FX Other (incl TRS)
-25% -15% -5% 5% 15% 25%
Equity
Fixed Inc / Int rates <3M
Fixed Inc / Int rates 3-12M
Fixed Inc / Int rates 1-5Y
Fixed Inc / Int rates >5Y
Credit
Commodity
VolatilityGross leverage by risk factors (ex-FX and "other")
Dec 2018 Short / neg duration Dec 2018 Long / pos durationJun 2018 Short / neg duration Jun 2018 Long / pos duration
8 / 18
c) Usage of leverage5
d) Value-at-Risk (VaR)6
Net assets and average TNA-weighted VaR by principal asset class and principal investment strategy7
5 For the purpose of this report, the usage of leverage is defined as the ratio of the realised to the regulatory limit for funds under the commitment approach, respectively the ratio of the realised to the expected level of gross leverage disclosed in the prospectus for funds under the VaR approach. 6 Value-at-risk for a confidence interval of 99% and holding period of 1 month (20 days). For the avoidance of doubt, the graph is based on the absolute VaR levels of both UCITS under an absolute and a relative VaR approach. 7 In the “heatmap” graph each fund category is represented by a rectangle whose size is proportional to its net assets and whose colour reflects its average absolute VaR.
787
83
39
27
1
839
64
22
12
0
0% 50% 100%
0 - 25%
25% - 50%
50% - 75%
75% - 100%
> 100%
% of the population
Usa
ge (%
of T
NA)
Usage of leverage (funds under the commitment approach)
Average
Maximum
184
103
132
161
136
138
250
159
197
119
95
34
0% 10% 20% 30% 40%
0 - 25%
25% - 50%
50% - 75%
75% - 100%
100% - 150%
> 150%
% of the population
Usa
ge (%
of T
NA)
Usage of leverage (funds under the VaR approach)
Average
Maximum
9 / 18
3.3 - Stress testing and other risk indicators
a) Univariate stress test results8
8 As set out in the guidelines, the univariate stress test results should not take into account dependencies/correlations between risk factors. For the sake of readability, Bond funds and MMF (resp. Equity funds) are excluded from the graph illustrating the univariate stress test on equities (resp. on interest rates and on credit spreads).
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%Average VaR (TNA-weighted)
Bond funds Equity funds Mixed fundsHedge funds Other funds MMF
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
< -35%
-35% to -25%
-25% to -15%
-15% to -5%
-5% to 0%
0%
0% to 5%
>= 5%
% of funds
Resu
lt as
% o
f net
ass
ets
Univariate Stress tests results (Equity -30%)
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
< -35%
-35% to -25%
-25% to -15%
-15% to -5%
-5% to 0%
0%
0% to 5%
>= 5%
% of funds
Resu
lt as
% o
f net
ass
ets
Univariate Stress tests results (Interest rates +200 bps)
10 / 18
b) Realised volatility
3.4 - Efficient portfolio management (EPM) techniques
a) Evolution of volumes and number of active funds by EPM type
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
< -35%
-35% to -25%
-25% to -15%
-15% to -5%
-5% to 0%
0%
0% to 5%
>= 5%
% of funds
Resu
lt as
% o
f net
ass
ets
Univariate Stress tests results (Credit spreads +100%)
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%Realised volatility (TNA-weighted)
Bond funds Equity funds Mixed fundsHedge funds Other funds MMF
2,4
35,6
80,8
0,1
118,0
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
Repos ReverseRepos
SecuritiesLending
SecuritiesBorrowing
TOTAL
Volumes by EPM type (in Bn€)
Dec 2016 June 2017 Dec 2017 June 2018 Dec 2018
31 83
574
1
622
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
Repos ReverseRepos
SecuritiesLending
SecuritiesBorrowing
TOTAL (atleast one
EPM type)
Number of funds engaged in EPM transactions
Dec 2016 June 2017 Dec 2017 June 2018 Dec 2018
11 / 18
b) Main active Investment Fund Managers (IFMs) per EPM type9
c) EPM volumes by investment strategy
9 The graphs represent the IFMs with the largest aggregate UCITS exposures arising from the use of EPM transactions at semester-end.
Securities lending (total 80,8 Bn€)
IFM 1
IFM 2
IFM 3
Reverse Repos (total 35,6 Bn€)
IFM 2
IFM 1
Repos (total 2,4 Bn€)
IFM 1
IFM 2
IFM 3
47
248
33
-
10
20
30
40
50
60
Bn €
EPM volumes by investment strategy
Sec Lending Sec Borrowing Repos Reverse Repos
12 / 18
d) Securities Lending: Use of Agent lenders & indemnification against borrower default
3.5 - Counterparty risk and collateral in relation to EPM techniques / OTC and traded derivatives
Methodology note: The graph represents the biggest counterparties of UCITS in terms of (positive and negative) net counterparty exposure of UCITS in the full reporting scope. More specifically, the main counterparties are determined based on the sum of the absolute values of the net exposures of all UCITS in the full reporting scope to their three counterparties with the largest positive net exposure and their three counterparties with the largest negative net exposure at semester-end. It is determined at group rather than at legal entity level.
26% 21 bn€
44%35 bn€
30%24 bn€
74%60 bn€
Sec Lending (in volume, Bn €)
No use of agent lenders or other intermediarieswith indemnificationwithout indemnification
18%101
65% 372
17%95
82%467
Sec Lending (in units)
No use of agent lenders or other intermediarieswith indemnificationwithout indemnification
491 bn€27%
231 bn€13%
1.074 bn€60%
1.305 bn€73%
Trading and clearing of financial derivative instruments (based on gross assets)
Listed OTC - CCP cleared OTC - Bilaterally cleared
Ctpy 1
Ctpy 2
Ctpy 3
Main counterparties (ctpy) on EPM and OTC derivatives transactions
13 / 18
1009
110
43
13
14
52
617
2
0
1
1
1
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
0% - 1%
1% - 2%
2% - 3%
3% - 4%
4% - 5%
>= 5%
% of funds engaged in OTC derivatives / EPM transactions
expo
sure
in %
of n
et a
sset
sOverall net positive counterparty exposure on OTC derivatives /
EPM transactions
EPM
OTC
91%117 Bn€
7% / 9 Bn€
1% / 2 Bn€ 1% / 1 Bn€
0% / 1 Bn€
9%12 Bn€
Collateral received on EPM and OTC derivative transactions and reinvestment of cash collateral (in Bn €)
Non cash collateral Deposits Govt bonds Rev repos Short-Term MMF
14 / 18
3.6 - Liquidity
a) Portfolio liquidity at semester-end in normal market conditions10
10 The figures are based on the self-assessment of the IFMs on the time to liquidate of their funds under normal market conditions and appear relatively over-optimistic.
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
% o
f net
ass
ets
Time to liquidate (normal market conditions)
All funds Bond funds Equity funds Mixed fundsHedge funds Other funds MMF
81% 83%88%
93%85% 88%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Evolution of 7-days liquidity (normal market conditions)
Dec 2016 June 2017 Dec 2017 June 2018 Dec 2018
15 / 18
b) Portfolio liquidity at semester-end in normal market conditions (bond funds)
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Asse
t Liq
uidi
ty in
% o
f net
ass
ets
Time to liquidate (normal market conditions)focus on bond funds
All funds Investment Grade Bonds General BondsEmerging Markets Bonds High Yield Bonds
84% 88%81% 81%
67%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Evolution of 7-days liquidity (normal market conditions)
Dec 2016 June 2017 Dec 2017 June 2018 Dec 2018
16 / 18
c) Portfolio liquidity at semester-end in stressed market conditions11
11 As per the guidelines, this sub-section is optional and was filled in by a minority of funds (about 25% of the full reporting scope, more specifically in terms of number of funds per category: 254 Bond, 158 Equity, 68 Mixed, 40 Hedge, 3 Other and 20 MMF funds). It is critical to stress that the results are based on different methodologies and/or assumptions.
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Asse
t Liq
uidi
ty in
% o
f net
ass
ets
Time to liquidate (stressed market conditions)
All funds Bond funds Equity funds Mixed fundsHedge funds Other funds MMF
66%59% 64%
83%
100%
79%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
Evolution of 7-days liquidity (stressed market conditions)
Dec 2016 June 2017 Dec 2017 June 2018 Dec 2018
17 / 18
d) Portfolio liquidity at semester-end in stressed market conditions (bond funds)
e) Liquidity Management Tools
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Asse
t Liq
uidi
ty in
% o
f net
ass
ets
Time to liquidate (stressed market conditions)focus on bond funds
All funds Investment Grade Bonds General BondsEmerging Markets Bonds High Yield Bonds
68%74% 73%
60%
40%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Evolution of 7-days liquidity (stressed market conditions)
Dec 2016 June 2017 Dec 2017 June 2018 Dec 2018
89%
62%
19%
98%
1%0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Available liquidity management tools (TNA-weighted)
Dec 2016 June 2017 Dec 2017 June 2018 Dec 2018
0%
33%
2%0%0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Usage of liquidity management tools (at least once)
Dec 2016 June 2017 Dec 2017 June 2018 Dec 2018
18 / 18
3.7 – Credit
a) Aggregate credit exposure by internal ratings12 and by credit spreads13
12 As per the guidelines, exposures to debt securities should be broken down by credit rating from 1 to 10 with reference to an internal assessment of the credit quality of the said instruments, whereby rating 1 is deemed to be the upper credit rating (i.e. the highest quality) and 10 relates to defaulted securities. 13 According to the guidelines, this sub-section is only applicable, with a few exceptions (e.g. funds of funds), to UCITS within the full reporting scope which have a total debt portfolio exposure (direct or indirect) at semester-end greater than or equal to 50% of the UCITS total net assets.
-
200
400
600
800
1.000
1.200
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
Num
ber o
f fun
ds
% o
f net
ass
ets
Aggregate credit exposures by internal ratings
rating = 1 rating = 2 rating = 3 rating = 4 rating = 5 rating = 6
rating = 7 rating = 8 rating = 9 rating = 10 sample size
-
200
400
600
800
1.000
1.200
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
Num
ber o
f fun
ds
% o
f net
ass
ets
Aggregate credit exposures by credit spreads
cr spread < 100 bps cr spread > 100 and < 350 bps cr spread > 350 and < 1000 bps
cr spread > 1000 bps sample size