UC Davis CCEP Policy Brief Youth Vote

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    Policy Brief Issue 9 January 2015 Page 1

    In the November 2014 general elecons, voter

    turnout was abysmal across the naon, producing

    the lowest U.S. turnout rates in decades.

    Californias previous record for low turnout was

    broken by nearly a half dozen percentage points.

    Voter turnout is typically lower in mid-term

    elecons, but fall 2014 marked a major fallo

    from the states general elecon turnout in 2012,

    resulng in even less representaon of voters. 1

    In California, parcipaon of youth (age 18-

    24) was dramacally lower in 2014, starng

    with a nearly non-existent showing in the June

    2014 primary, followed by a poor showing in

    November. Typically, mid-term elecons bring out

    an electorate that is older, more educated, higher-

    income, and less racially and ethnically diverse

    than the electorate in presidenal elecons. Low

    voter turnout also usually means an even less

    diverse electorate, which usually means fewe

    young voters. 2

    In this brief, we examine youth electoral

    parcipaon in the November 2014 general

    elecon and explore the impact of the youth

    on the current and future electoral landscape

    California.

    Using the California Civic Engagement Project

    analysis of the California Secretary of States

    voter records, we address the following resea

    quesons: 3

    1. How did the November 2014 youth vote

    dier from that of the rest of the electora

    2. How will youth vong impact the states

    electoral landscape in the future?

    3. What can be done to improve youth vote

    turnout in California and elsewhere?

    Only 30.9% of Californias eligible voters (cizens over age 18) turned out to vote in th

    November 2014 elecon. The previous record low for eligible voter turnout in a gener

    elecon, 36.1%, was set in 2002.

    This record-low eligible voter turnout followed a relavely strong showing in 2010. Th

    years general elecon saw 43.7% of eligible voters cast a ballot, the highest eligible vo

    turnout since 1994.

    Highlights:

    Only 8.2% of eligible

    California youth turned

    out to vote in the

    November 2014 general

    election.

    Youth were only 3.9% of

    all voters in this election.

    A total of 36% of

    California youth

    registered No PartyPreference (NPP) nearly

    the same percentage

    as those who registered

    Democratic.

    For the rst time in a

    statewide election, the

    percentage of California

    youth who registered

    Republican fell below

    20%.

    Over the next 20 years,

    the youth share of

    the California vote is

    projected to steadily

    decrease.

    Increasing low youth voter

    turnout is a key step to

    increasing future turnout

    for California, as a whole.

    Author:

    Mindy Romero , Ph.D.

    Founding Director,

    California Civic

    Engagement Project

    Californias New Polical Realies: The Impact ofthe Youth Vote on Our Electoral Landscape

    California CivEngagement Proje

    1. How did the November 2014 youth vote dier from

    that of the rest of the electorate?

    Policy Brief Issue 9 January 2

    Eligible Voter Turnout by Age Cohort

    2014 General Electon

    California Civic Engagement Project

    18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75+ Total

    0.0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    PercentageofCizensWhoVoted

    Data Source: California Secretary of State, 2014

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    Policy Brief Issue 9 January 2015 Page 2California Civic Engagement Project

    Youth turnout in California was the lowest for all age groups in the November 2014 elecon. Only 8.2% of Californias

    ligible youth voted, as compared to 18.5% in the 2010 general elecon. This translated into only 285,000 of 3.5 million

    ligible youth who cast a ballot.

    Due to low voter turnout, youth were once again underrepresented among general elecon voters in 2014. Youth made

    only 3.9% of those who voted in November, but were 14.5% of the eligible vong populaon. In the same elecon, vote

    ged 55 and older were overrepresented compared to their proporon of eligible voters. Voters aged 65-74 (the age gro

    most overrepresented among voters) constuted 19.4% of all voters in the November general elecon, but only 10.4% oll those eligible to vote.

    County Variaon

    very county in California

    xperienced lower turnout

    n the 2014 midterm general

    lecon than in the 2010

    eneral elecon, although

    ome counes did not set

    ew records. Disparies in

    ligible voter turnout by

    ge were present across

    ll counes. Youth had the

    owest turnout in the San

    oaquin Valley, Los Angeles

    nd North State regions.

    hese are areas where

    outh also experience some

    f the poorest outcomes in

    heir economic and social

    well-being anywhere in

    he state (as measured by

    igh school drop-out rates,

    nemployment, family

    ncome levels).4

    or the 2014 midterm general elecon, youth were registered to vote at the lowest rate of any age group, at 52%, compared to abo

    0% for all other age groups. The number of youth registered to vote in 2010 and 2014 was about the same. The big dierence lay

    who went to the polls. The absolute number of youth who actually voted dropped an astonishing 50% in four years.

    outh registered voter turnout in the 2014 general elecon was 15.8% compared with 34.1% in 2010s general elecon - a decline

    8 percentage points. In the general elecon of 2010, registered voter turnout for all ages was 59.6%, declining to 42% in 2014. Th

    record low for registered voter turnout in a statewide California general elecon.

    Voter Registraon Rates by Age Cohort

    2014 General Elecon

    California Civic Engagement Project

    18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75+ Total

    0.0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    70%

    80%

    90%

    PercentageofCizensWhoR

    egisteredtoVote

    Data Source: California Secretary of State, 2014

    Esmang voter turnout based on the number of registered voters can can conceal the degree of underrepresenta

    of youth among voters. To get a clear picture of youth electoral parcipaon, it is important to look at how many

    people voted of all those eligible, and not just of how many registered.

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    Policy Brief Issue 9 January 2015 Page 3

    Declining Youth

    Party Registraonor the November 2014 elecon, 43.1% of

    egistered voters registered Democrac,

    8% Republican and 23.6% as No Party

    reference (NPP).5There was signicant

    ariaon in party aliaon by age. Younger

    egistrants idencaon with the states two

    major pares declined, with large numbers

    egistering as NPP. A total of 36.7% of youth

    egistered as Democrats, closely followed by

    5.6% who registered NPP. This made 18-24

    ear-olds the only age group with less than

    40% Democrac aliaon. The gure was

    ven lower for Republicans, with 19.4% youth

    egistering for the GOP, the lowest percentage

    or all age groups.

    his has potenally sweeping implicaons for

    he future of the California polical landscape.

    outh comprise a large percentage of new registrants. Twenty-ve percent of the people who registered to vote since the 2012 general

    lecon are youth.6 If current trends connue, more newly registered young voters will spell declining percentages of both registered

    Democrats and Republicans. In short, youth registrants are a key factor in the decline in idencaon with the states two major par

    nd the growth of NPP registraon in the state.

    Lower Turnout Rates of

    Voters Registered as NPPIn the November 2014 general elecon, the

    turnout of registered Republicans was 51.2while Democrac turnout was 42.8%. Thos

    registered as No Party Preference (NPP) tur

    out at only 30.8%, and turnout for those

    registered as Other (i.e., those registered

    with other, smaller pares) was 34.7%. Vot

    registered as Republican had the highest

    turnout in every age group.

    Youth turnout rates, by party aliaon, we

    far lower than the party turnout of the gen

    electorate. Youth Republican turnout was

    20.4%, Democrac was 17.1% and NPP wa11.9%. Combined youth turnout for Other

    pares was 15.3%. This lower turnout for y

    NPP registrants of concern considering the

    percentage of youth (35.6%) who registere

    NPP in the 2014 general elecon.

    California Civic Engagement Project

    18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75+ Total0%

    5%

    10%

    15%

    20%

    25%

    30%

    35%

    40%

    45%

    50%

    PercentageofRegistered

    Vo

    tersbyParty

    Democra

    Republic

    NPP

    Other

    Data Source: California Secretary of State, 2014

    Voter Registraon by Age and Party Affiliaon

    2014 General Elecon

    Democrat

    Republican

    NPP

    Other

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    70%

    80%

    Data Source: California Secretary of State, 2014

    California Civic Engagement Project

    18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75+ Total

    Voter Turnout by Age and Party Affilaon

    2014 General Elecon

    PercentageofRegisteredVotersWhoVoted

    Note: For a complete discussion of youth registraon and voter turnout in the 2012 General Elecon, see CCEP Policy Brief Issue Fi

    Californias 2012 Youth Voter Turnout: Disparate Growth and Remaining Challenges.

    Considering the high percentage of youth (35.6%) who registered as NPP in the 2014 general elecon, further resear

    needs to be conducted to idenfy the impact of increased NPP registraon on overall youth turnout rates.

    California Civic Engagement Project

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    Policy Brief Issue 9 January 2015 Page 4

    2. What can be done to improve youth voter turnout in California and elsewher

    Potenal Youth Impact on 201

    EleconsFuture populaon shis will be a factor in the

    strength of Californias youth vote. The youthproporon of the states cizen vong-age

    populaon (as well as the states total popula

    is projected to decline steadily over the next 18

    years from 14.5% in 2014 to 12.5% by 2032. T

    youth proporon of the states cizen vong-a

    populaon is not projected to increase again u

    aer 2032.

    The youth populaon will also experience a

    decline in absolute numbers unl about 2020.

    Despite this decline, from 2014 ll about 2020

    youth are projected to connue to constute alarger share of the eligible voter populaon th

    that of 65-74 year-olds.

    Decline in the youth cizen vong-age populaon will occur for each of the largest racial and ethnic groups in California. However,

    anos will experience the greatest decline in the youth proporon of their cizen vong-age populaon, from 24% in 2014 to 15.8

    y 2040.7

    A decline in the youth share of the eligible vong

    opulaon in California will bring changes in the

    omposion of the states youth vote.

    o assess the impact of declining populaonroporons on Californias youth vote, the California

    Civic Engagement Project (CCEP) projects the change

    n the composion of Californias youth voters

    hrough the presidenal elecon of 2040. For ease

    f discussion, the CCEP projects the youth vote

    lizing the 2012 general elecon eligible turnout

    ate for youth (a general elecon to general elecon

    omparison).8

    Assuming youth maintain their 2012 eligible turnout

    ate (30.2%) constant through the 2040 generallecon, we project a steady decrease in the youth

    hare of Californias vote, from 8.1% in 2012 to 6.9%

    n 2040. In contrast, 65-74 year-olds are projected to

    ncrease their share of the states vote, from 12.9%

    n 2012 to 16.8% in 2040, assuming their 2012 turnout rate (73%) holds constant. Unl 2032, these two age groups will be moving

    pposite direcons with regard to vote share.

    Due to their much lower eligible voter turnout rates compared to those of older age groups, youth are projected to connue to be

    nderrepresented in the states vote share through 2040. If youth eligible turnout rates are lower in future elecons, then youth w

    xperience even greater underrepresentaon.

    8.1%

    7.9%

    7.3%

    6.8%

    6.9%

    12.9%

    14.9%

    16.7%

    18.4%

    16.8%

    0%

    2%

    4%

    6%

    8%

    10%

    12%

    14%

    16%

    18%

    20%

    2012 2016 2020 2032 2040

    Age 18-24

    Age 64-75

    California Civic Engagement Project

    PercentageofActualVoters

    Projected Share of the Vote by Age Cohorts: 2012-2014

    California General Electons

    Data Source: California Secretary of State, 2014

    Note: For a discussion of projected youth eligible voter turnout in midterm elecons through 2038, see CCEP Policy Brief Issue Eight,

    Californias 2014 Youth Voter Turnout: Decline and Future Opportunies

    2014-2040 Projected Cizen Vong-Age Populaon by Age

    California

    Data Source: California Department of Finance Population ProjectionsUC Davis California Civic Engagement Project - CCEP

    California Civic Engagement Project

    18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75+

    0.0%

    5%

    10%

    15%

    20%

    2014

    2016

    2020

    2032

    2040

    PercentageofTotalCizen

    VongAgePo

    pulaon

    California Civic Engagement Project

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    Policy Brief Issue 9 January 2015 Page 5

    Understanding the historical context of todays voter turnout in California can aid us when considering how to address low youth

    urnout in the state.

    Historical Context:

    California Turnout Lower

    than U.S. TurnoutHistorically, California eligible voter turnout was higher

    han that of the U.S. as a whole in both midterm and

    presidenal elecons. When examining historical data

    rom the United States Elecons Project, we can see that,

    beginning in 2002, California fell below the U.S. in turnout

    of eligible voters (with the excepon of the 2010 midterm

    elecon). By 2014, California ranked in the boom 20% of

    U.S. states with regard to eligible voter turnout, with the

    tates youth voter turnout likely among the lowest in the

    naon. This electoral underperformance of California hasbeen occurring, at varying levels, throughout most of the

    ast decade.9

    The Center for Informaon and Research on Civic Learning and Engagement at Tus University has found that turnout of 18-29

    ear-olds has declined in midterms since 1982 for both California and the U.S. Turnout is presidenal elecons for this group has a

    declined in the U.S. while uctuang greatly in California during the same me period. 10

    The Challenge of Midterm Elecons for YouthMidterm elecon turnout in California and the U.S. as a whole has remained lower than presidenal elecon turnout. Non-

    presidenal elecons typically invite less media aenon and voter outreach, contribung to low turnout. Low turnout in midtermelecons disadvantages underrepresented groups in the electorate, i.e., those groups that are ordinarily less likely to vote. Youth in

    parcular experience even lower turnout in midterm elecons than in presidenal elecons, and an even larger gap between thei

    urnout and the turnout of older age groups. In other words, youth are even less represented in their share of voters in midterm

    elecons compared to presidenal elecons.

    Since 2000, turnout in presidenal elecons has b

    on the rise for both California and the U.S, while

    California midterm elecon turnout has seen a ste

    decline over the last three decades. It appears the

    dierence in turnout in presidenal versus midterm

    elecons may be widening more in California thanthe rest of the naon. If this trend connues, then

    state will see elecon cycles that will mobilize die

    sets of voter interests from one elecon cycle to th

    next. This may also produce greater parsan swin

    (in elected representaves) than might be expecte

    given the large proporon of registered Democrat

    the state. This also means that youth would see a

    even greater variaon in the extent of their electo

    parcipaon from elecon cycle to elecon cycle,

    with youth vong becoming extremely low in midt

    cycles, as seen in the 2014 elecon.

    3. What can be done to increase Californias youth voter turnout?

    1982-2014 Eligible Voter Turnout

    Midterm Elecons

    Data Source: United States Election Project, 2015

    California Civic Engagement Project

    1986 1990 1994 1998 2002 2006 2010 2014

    United Sta

    California

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    70%

    80%

    90%

    100%

    PercentageofEligibleVotersWhoVot

    ed

    1980-2012 Eligible Voter Turnout

    Presidenal Elecons

    Data Source: United States Election Project, 2015

    California Civic Engagement Project

    1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012

    United States

    California

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    70%

    80%

    90%

    100%

    PercentageofEligibleVotersWhoVoted

    California Civic Engagement Project

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    Why is Turnout so Low for Youth?U.S. youth are reporng high levels of dissasfacon and distrust in our polical system. The Harvard Instute for Polics recen

    eported that 18-29 year-olds are experiencing a ve-year low in their trust in public instuons, while their cynicism about the

    olical process has never been higher. Perhaps not surprisingly, the same study reports, young peoples enthusiasm for vong

    onnues to decline.11

    However, negave atudes toward the polical process are not the only or even the main reason why young people dont vote

    According to The Center for Informaon and Research on Civic Learning and Engagement at Tus University, in the 2014 genera

    lecon, a third of young registered voters reported that they did not vote because schedule conicts prevented them from go

    o the polls, a problem reported by 25.2% of voters above the age of 30. Today, young people are increasingly mobile and/or wo

    n jobs that provide less exibility for vong. Another 17.2 % did not vote because they were not interested and/or felt that the

    ote would not count. Finally, 10.2%, said they were out of town/ away from home at elecon me, or forgot to vote.12

    Mobilizaon is crical to generang voter parcipaon. This is parcularly true for youth. Outreach and contact can help overco

    eelings of dissasfacon and alienaon, and encourage young people to set aside me to vote. Youth who are contacted by an

    rganizaon or a campaign are more likely to vote.13Despite this fact, many youth, including even registered youth voters, are

    en le o contact lists. Because of their historically low voter turnout, youth are oen ignored or given only token aenon

    y campaigns and polical pares, who oen see them as an ineecve investment. This lack of contact then helps ensure you

    urnout in low numbers.

    t is important to note that many young people are not apathec about the issues of the day, especially issues that directly impa

    heir communies. Many youth are more likely to volunteer than older Americans. Yet this civic awareness and interest is not

    eing translated into an interest in the ballot box. Fewer youth than in the past see vong as a way to have a voice and make an

    mpact.14

    What Can Be Done About Low Youth Turnout?

    Electoral SystemRestricve registraon and vong requirements make it harder for youth to vote. Young people need to receive accurate and cl

    nformaon on when and how to register. The structure of Californias current voter registraon system connues to be a challe

    or our states youth, as well as other groups unfamiliar with the registraon and vong process. Registraon calls on young

    egistrants to navigate the system using deadlines and ID requirements. Removing barriers to youth registraon in Californias v

    egistraon system is a crical step to increasing youth involvement in the states polical arena.15If these barriers remain, the

    ystem will likely connue to generate a low percentage of youth voters, who do not fully represent the actual number of youth

    he states cizen populaon.

    reregistraon of youth can increase turnout among young voters, parcularly those who are non-white and low-income. Califo

    s already one of a handful of states that does allow pre-registraon for 17 year-olds, though this remains a lile-known and un

    lized opon.16Furthermore, research shows that school involvement in preregistraon can be quite eecve. Naonally, exi

    reregistraon programs have been most successful when voter registraon was included in school acvies, providing student

    with welcome guidance on the vong process.17

    Outreachncreasing youth electoral parcipaon requires more than just voter registraon. Follow up outreach is oen crically needed

    o ensure that young, registered voters will actually cast ballots. Contact by peers can be parcularly powerful in geng youth

    nterested and mobilized, especially for those who experience greater barriers to parcipaon, such as youth of color and youth

    rom low-income families. Californias county elecon oces also play a key role in mobilizing youth. Californias county elecon

    ces also play a key role in mobilizing youth. Oces conduct outreach directly to high schools and college campuses, but the

    requency and reach of these eorts is limited due to resources. Addional funding to expand these eorts would help connect

    more youth to the electoral process.

    California Civic Engagement Project

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    The Impact of SchoolsHigh schools can be key partners in educang youth about the civic process and helping them become acve parcipants in our

    lectoral system. High school youth who learn why vong is relevant to their lives, and learn how to actually register and vote, are

    more likely to cast ballots when they turn 18.18Connecng with youth at high schools also means reaching a wide demographic

    epresentaon of youth.

    Voter registraon outreach programs for high school students were established by California Elecons Code 2131 and the HelpAmerica Vote Act of 2002. However, the resources dedicated to registraon outreach vary greatly by county, and many county elec

    ces can oer only limited assistance.

    wo new laws provide avenues through which communies and advocates can work with schools to increase youth voter

    arcipaon:

    Assembly Bill 700 (2013) requires the Instruconal Quality Commission to ensure that voter educaon informaon is included

    the American Government and Civics curriculum in all California high schools. This bill was developed to increase civic parcipa

    and educaon among our youth.

    Assembly Bill 1817 (2014) encourages voter parcipaon among high school students, allowing students to register or preregisqualied classmates on high school campuses to vote in upcoming elecons. This bill amends current Educaon Code 49040,

    which established High School Voter Educaon Weeks during the last two weeks in April and September of a school year.

    Other forms of high school civic educaon are also linked to voter parcipaon and polical awareness. Young people who recall h

    uality civic educaon experiences in school are more likely to vote, form polical opinions, grasp campaign issues, and know gene

    acts about the U.S. polical system.19

    uch civic educaon opportunies range from social studies classes, to student elecons, to project-based learning, to developing

    media literacy, and discussing current events. Unfortunately, many youth do not have these civic educaon opportunies.

    Research has shown that students in schools in high-income communies and with few youth of color are more likely to have thes

    pportunies. Youth who are less likely to vote (including low-income youth and youth of color) tend to have fewer civic opportunin their schools and communies.20

    here is an opportunity now in California to revitalize civic educaon. Currently, California is undergoing signicant reforms in

    urriculum standards and school funding formulas (Common Core Standards and Local Control Funding Formula). A recent report b

    he California Task Force on K-12 Civic Learning put forth recommendaons on how to improve the civic learning of all children and

    outh in the state. Recommended acons include:

    Revise the California History-Social Science Content Standards and accompanying curriculum frameworks to incorporate an

    emphasis on civic learning, starng in kindergarten.

    Integrate civic learning into state assessment and accountability standards for students, schools and districts.

    Improve professional learning experiences for teachers and administrators to help them implement civic learning in schools.Provide incenves for local school districts to fund civic learning in Local Control Accountability Plans under the new LCFF.21

    New Approacheshe state of voter turnout in California and the naon suggests that addional approaches to engaging voters need to be explored

    we are to signicantly improve parcipaon. Individuals and communies need to be connected to civic and polical structures an

    ee them as relevant to their daily lives. This is parcularly important for youth. As the way we communicate and share informao

    hanges, we should examine how our civic instuons should themselves be modied to beer connect with the young people the

    re charged with serving. The implementaon of online voter registraon in California has already made registraon more accessib

    or youth and other age groups. More reforms and creave pathways are needed. Low turnout rates tell us that our electoral syste

    n its current form, is not serving our democracy well.

    California Civic Engagement Project

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    Upcoming Brief:

    Examining civic opportunies for youth in our communies

    Why Does

    Youth Vong Maer?

    oung people are a major subset of the

    lectorate and their voices maer. In

    California, 3.5 million youth (age 18-24)

    re eligible to vote, but the overwhelmingmajority do not do so. Youth currently

    make up 14.5% of Californias eligible

    ong populaon and, in many

    ommunies in the state, they make up

    n even higher proporon of the eligible

    opulaon. This is a huge number of non-

    oters who could play a signicant role in

    ur democrac system. This role could be

    reater than the role currently played by

    oters over 65.

    Bringing youth into the electorate does

    ot merely benet youth. Vong is habit-

    orming. When young people learn about

    he vong process and cast their ballots,

    hey are more likely to parcipate in the

    lectoral process as they grow older. If

    ndividuals are mobilized to caste a ballot

    when they are young, they are more

    kely to keep heading there later in life.

    Geng young people to vote early is key

    o creang a new generaon of voters thatwill later populate older vong age groups.

    As seen in the November 2014 elecon,

    ow turnout is a problem for all ages.

    Higher turnout among Californias youth

    means higher turnout among the enre

    lectorate down the road. Increasing youth

    urnout is therefore crical to boosng

    Californias low turnout overall.

    California Civic Engagement Project

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    See the California Secretary of States Oce website for previous elecon data: hp://www.sos.ca.gov/elecons/prior-elecons/

    See CCEP Policy Brief Issue Eight, Californias 2014 Youth Voter Turnout: Decline and Future Opportunies. hp://regionalchange.ucd

    edu/ourwork/projects/ccep/ucdavisyouthvotebrief8

    Voter records were acquired from the California Secretary of States Oce and aggregated to the county and state level. These data a

    the actual registraon records and not representave samples.

    Regions are dened as follows, and include the following counes. LA Region: Los Angeles, Orange, Riverside, San Bernardino, Ventur

    San Joaquin Valley: San Joaquin, Stanislaus, Merced, Madera, Fresno, Kings, Kern, Tulare; North State: Bue, Del Norte, Lassen, ModoSiskiyou, Humboldt, Shasta.

    No Party Preference (NPP) includes all registrants idened in the California Secretary of States registraon records as having decline

    to state a party preference, or having no party preference. Other includes all registrants idened in the California Secretary of States

    registraon records as having any of the following party aliaons: American Independent Party, American Elect Party, Green Party,

    Libertarian Party, Peace and Freedom Party and Other.

    See CCEP Policy Brief Issue Eight, Californias 2014 Youth Voter Turnout: Decline and Future Opportunies.hp://regionalchange.ucd

    edu/ourwork/projects/ccep/ucdavisyouthvotebrief8

    The CVAP analysis is based on straight line cizen vong age populaon (CVAP) projecons developed by the California Department

    Finance for the California Civic Engagement Project. If immigraon rates change beyond what is currently expected, these assumpo

    may over or understate populaon growth. If there are any signicant changes in immigraon, birth, or death rates, projecons will n

    to be adjusted accordingly. For more informaon on the CVAP projecons, see the CCEP website: hp://regionalchange.ucdavis.edu/

    ccep. For more informaon on the base populaon projecons, please consult: hp://www.dof.ca.gov/research/demographic/reporprojecons/P-1/documents/Projecons_Methodology_2013.pdf.

    CCEP youth voter projecons ulized straight line CVAP projecons developed by the California Department of Finance for the Califo

    Civic Engagement Project (CCEP). Baseline eligible voter turnout rates were generated by CCEP analysis of California county voter

    registraon data. These projecons dier somewhat from the presidenal elecon projecons we published in January 2014. This is

    to the dierent data source we use in this study.

    Michael P. McDonald. 2015. United States Elecons Project. Voter Turnout: Naonal Rates, date accessed January 10, 2014. hp://w

    electproject.org/home/voter-turnout/voter-turnout-data0 Center for Informaon and Research on Civic Learning and Engagement: Quick Facts about Young Voters in California See: hp://ww

    civicyouth.org/maps/elecons/PDF/CA.pdf1 Instute of Polics, Harvard University: Survey of Young Americans Atudes toward Polics and Public Service: 25th Edion. 2014. S

    hp://www.iop.harvard.edu/sites/default/les_new/Harvard_ExecSummarySpring2014.pdf2 Center for Informaon and Research on Civic Learning and Engagement: Why (Some) Registered Youth Dont Vote. See: hp://www

    civicyouth.org/2014-midterms-why-some-registered-youth-dont-vote/12 Center for Informaon and Research on Civic Learning and

    Engagement: Youth Vong.3 Center for Informaon and Research on Civic Learning and Engagement: Youth Vong See: hp://www.civicyouth.org/quick-facts/yo

    vong/ See: hp://www.civicyouth.org/quick-facts/youth-vong/4 The Associated Press Poll: Young Generaon No Slouches at Volunteering. See: hp://www.nymes.com/aponline/2014/12/29/us/

    polics/ap-us-ap-poll-young-volunteers.html5 For a discussion of barriers to voter registraon within Californias voter registraon system, see: Future of California Elecons, Jam

    Irvine Foundaon (2012).6 hp://ccrec.ucsc.edu/sites/default/les/ccrec_policy_brief_1_nal_apr2012_color_0.pdf7 Project Vote Legislave Brief: Expanding the Youth Electorate through Preregistraon, March 2010. See:

    hp://www.whatkidscando.org/youth_on_the_trail_2012/pdf/2010%20Legislave%20Brief%20-%20Preregistraon.pdf.8 Kahne, J. and Sporte, S. (2008). Developing Cizens: The Impact of Civic Learning Opportunies on Students Commitment to Civic

    Parcipaon. American Educaonal Research Journal, 45(3), 738-766.9 Center for Informaon and Research on Civic Learning and Engagement: High School Civic Educaon Linked to Vong Parcipaon a

    Polical Knowledge, No Eect on Parsanship or Candidate Selecon. See: hp://www.civicyouth.org/high-school-civic-educaonlink

    to-vong-parcipaon-and-polical-knowledge-no-eect-on-parsanship-or-candidate-selecon/0 Joseph Kahne and Ellen Middaugh. 2008. Democracy for Some: The Civic Opportunity Gap in High School, Center for Informaon and

    Research on Civic Learning and Engagement Working Paper 59. See:

    hp://www.civicyouth.org/PopUps/WorkingPapers/WP59Kahne.pdf1 The California Task Force on K-12 Civic Learning: Revitalizing K-12 Civic Learning in California: A Blueprint For Acon, 2014, See: hp:/

    www.cde.ca.gov/eo/in/documents/clnalreport.pdf11. Center for Informaon and Research on Civic Learning and Engagement: Vo

    Registraon among Young People in 2008, November. See: hp://www.civicyouth.org/wp-content/uploads/2012/11/2012-Exit-Poll-b

    Ed-Aainment-Final.pdf

    NOTES

    California Civic Engagement Project

  • 8/9/2019 UC Davis CCEP Policy Brief Youth Vote

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    Policy Brief Issue 9 January 2015 Page 10

    For more informaon about this research study and the California Civic Engagement Project,

    contact Mindy Romero, CCEP Director, at 530-665-3010 or [email protected].

    Visit our website at: hp://regionalchange.ucdavis.edu/ccep

    Author: Mindy Romero , Ph.D Founding Director, UC Davis California Civic Engagement Project

    Research assistance by Sco Brunstein

    About the California Civic Engagement Project (CCEP):n 2011, the UC Davis Center for Regional Change established the California Civic

    ngagement Project (CCEP) to inform the public dialogue on representave governance

    n California. The CCEP is working to improve the quality and quanty of publicly

    vailable civic engagement data by collecng and curang data from a broad range

    of sources for public access and use. The CCEP is engaging in pioneering research to

    denfy disparies in civic parcipaon across place and populaon. It is well posioned

    o inform and empower a wide range of policy and organizing eorts in California

    o reduce disparies in state and regional paerns of well-being and opportunity.

    Key audiences include public ocials, advocacy groups, polical researchers and

    ommunies themselves. To learn about the CCEPs naonal and state advisory

    ommiee, or review the extensive coverage of the CCEPs work in Californias media,isit our website at: hp://regionalchange.ucdavis.edu/ccep

    About the Center for Regional ChangeThe CRC is a catalyst for innovave, collaborave,

    acon-oriented research. It brings together facult

    and students from dierent disciplines, and builds

    bridges between university, policy, advocacy, busi

    philanthropy and other sectors. The CRCs goal is

    support the building of healthy, equitable, prospe

    and sustainable regions in California and beyond.

    more! Visit the CRC website at: hp://regionalcha

    ucdavis.edu

    Acknowledgments:We would like to thank the following people for their help in making this brief possible by providing their careful review and feedback on of its

    ontents: Dr. Peter Levine, Dr. Jonathan Fox, Dr. Dave Campbell, Dr. Krystyna von Henneberg, and Dr. Jonathan London.

    California Civic Engagement Project

    California Civic Engagement Project

    Kim AlexanderPresident and FounderCalifornia Voter Foundaon

    Ma A. BarretoDirector, Washington Instute for the Study of Ethnicity and RaceWISER)

    Associate Professor, Department of Polical ScienceUniversity of Washington

    onathan FoxProfessorSchool of Internaonal ServiceAmerican University

    Luis R. FragaArthur Foundaon Endowed Professor of Transformave LanoLeadershipProfessor of Polical ScienceUniversity of Notre Dame

    Lisa Garcia BedollaChancellors Professor of Educaon and Polical ScienceUniversity of California, Berkeley

    Bruce HaynesAssociate Professor, Department of SociologyUniversity of California, Davis

    ongho LeeAssociate Professor, Department of Polical ScienceWestern Illinois University

    Peter Levine

    Lincoln Filene Professor of Cizenship & Public AairsDirector of CIRCLE: The Center for Informaon & Research on CivicLearning & EngagementJonathan M. Tisch College of Cizenship and Public Service TusUniversity

    James MuldavinExecuve DirectorCalifornia Center for Civic Parcipaon and Youth Development

    Karthick RamakrishnanAssociate Professor, Department of Polical ScienceUniversity of California, Riverside

    Ricardo RamirezAssociate Professor, Department of Polical ScienceUniversity of Notre Dame

    Jason Reece

    Director of ResearchKirwan Instute

    Cruz ReynosoProfessor of Law EmeritusUniversity of California, Davis

    CCEP Advisory Commiee