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UBS Conference May 2006

UBS Conference May 2006 - Home - Firstrand · MOMENTUM`S Growth strategy Attacking the fast growing middle market Adding load to distribution • Short-term insurance • Health

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Page 1: UBS Conference May 2006 - Home - Firstrand · MOMENTUM`S Growth strategy Attacking the fast growing middle market Adding load to distribution • Short-term insurance • Health

UBS Conference May 2006

Page 2: UBS Conference May 2006 - Home - Firstrand · MOMENTUM`S Growth strategy Attacking the fast growing middle market Adding load to distribution • Short-term insurance • Health

UBS

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ce

South Africa enjoys a very positive macro

environment

Page 3: UBS Conference May 2006 - Home - Firstrand · MOMENTUM`S Growth strategy Attacking the fast growing middle market Adding load to distribution • Short-term insurance • Health

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ceConfidence and growth at all time high!

-5

-3

-1

1

3

5

7

Jan-86 Jan-88 Jan-90 Jan-92 Jan-94 Jan-96 Jan-98 Jan-00 Jan-02 Jan-04 Jan-060

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100Real GDP growth (y-o-y) Lhs RMB Business Confidence Index Rhs

Page 4: UBS Conference May 2006 - Home - Firstrand · MOMENTUM`S Growth strategy Attacking the fast growing middle market Adding load to distribution • Short-term insurance • Health

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ceReasons for the economic boom

Economic reforms of late 1990’s

Political stability

Fiscal discipline

Effective monetary policy

Emerging Black consumer

Sound institutional framework

Government policy – Go for Growth

Page 5: UBS Conference May 2006 - Home - Firstrand · MOMENTUM`S Growth strategy Attacking the fast growing middle market Adding load to distribution • Short-term insurance • Health

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ceStrong evidence of a structural shift

Higher trend GDP growth…with lower volatility

Lower real interest rates...with lower volatility

Lower inflation ...with lower volatility

Page 6: UBS Conference May 2006 - Home - Firstrand · MOMENTUM`S Growth strategy Attacking the fast growing middle market Adding load to distribution • Short-term insurance • Health

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ceThe South African ”growth” themes

1. Lower interest rates

2. Emerging Black consumer

3. Black Economic Empowerment (BEE)

4. Infrastructure finance

Page 7: UBS Conference May 2006 - Home - Firstrand · MOMENTUM`S Growth strategy Attacking the fast growing middle market Adding load to distribution • Short-term insurance • Health

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ceLower interest rates

Higher asset values

More disposable income

Higher levels of borrowing

Lower levels of bad debts

Page 8: UBS Conference May 2006 - Home - Firstrand · MOMENTUM`S Growth strategy Attacking the fast growing middle market Adding load to distribution • Short-term insurance • Health

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ceLower interest rates driving growth in

lending

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

Jan-99 Jan-00 Jan-01 Jan-02 Jan-03 Jan-04 Jan-05 Jan-06

Prime interest rate

Y-o-y growth in asset backed lending

%

Page 9: UBS Conference May 2006 - Home - Firstrand · MOMENTUM`S Growth strategy Attacking the fast growing middle market Adding load to distribution • Short-term insurance • Health

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ceSouth African growth themes

Lower interest rates

Emerging Black consumer

Black Economic Empowerment (BEE)

Infrastructure finance

Page 10: UBS Conference May 2006 - Home - Firstrand · MOMENTUM`S Growth strategy Attacking the fast growing middle market Adding load to distribution • Short-term insurance • Health

UBS

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ceRising income levels in Black market

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

1996 2004

SAARF and Unilever Institute

Lower income categories (LSM 1-5)

Higher income categories (LSM 6-10)

• Employment growth • Tax and interest rate cuts

• Economic growth• Employment equity

Page 11: UBS Conference May 2006 - Home - Firstrand · MOMENTUM`S Growth strategy Attacking the fast growing middle market Adding load to distribution • Short-term insurance • Health

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ceSouth African growth themes

Lower interest rates

Emerging Black consumer

Black Economic Empowerment (BEE)

Infrastructure finance

Page 12: UBS Conference May 2006 - Home - Firstrand · MOMENTUM`S Growth strategy Attacking the fast growing middle market Adding load to distribution • Short-term insurance • Health

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ceValue BEE deals last two years - $17 bn

-

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

Feb-0

4Apr

-04Ju

n-04

Aug-04

Oct-04

Dec-04

Feb-0

5Apr

-05Ju

n-05

Aug-05

Oct-05

Dec-05

$ m

illio

n

Source – RMB internal analysis

Page 13: UBS Conference May 2006 - Home - Firstrand · MOMENTUM`S Growth strategy Attacking the fast growing middle market Adding load to distribution • Short-term insurance • Health

UBS

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ceSouth African growth themes

Lower interest rates

Emerging Black consumer

Black Economic Empowerment (BEE)

Infrastructure finance

Page 14: UBS Conference May 2006 - Home - Firstrand · MOMENTUM`S Growth strategy Attacking the fast growing middle market Adding load to distribution • Short-term insurance • Health

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ceUS$ 67 bn infrastructure spend

anticipated…

Energy

Rail and roads

2010 Soccer World Cup

Schools & hospitals

Page 15: UBS Conference May 2006 - Home - Firstrand · MOMENTUM`S Growth strategy Attacking the fast growing middle market Adding load to distribution • Short-term insurance • Health

UBS

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ceUS$ 6 bn committed for Public Private

Partnerships (PPP`s)

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006F 2007F 2008F

$ million

Process Risk

Page 16: UBS Conference May 2006 - Home - Firstrand · MOMENTUM`S Growth strategy Attacking the fast growing middle market Adding load to distribution • Short-term insurance • Health

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BRIC…S ?

Page 17: UBS Conference May 2006 - Home - Firstrand · MOMENTUM`S Growth strategy Attacking the fast growing middle market Adding load to distribution • Short-term insurance • Health

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How is FirstRand positioned?

Our Business Philosophy

Page 18: UBS Conference May 2006 - Home - Firstrand · MOMENTUM`S Growth strategy Attacking the fast growing middle market Adding load to distribution • Short-term insurance • Health

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ceBusiness philosophy

Niche playerJuggernaut

• Focussed

Guerrilla platoon

• Flexible• Talent• Empowered

• Concentrated risk• Small balance sheet• Sub scale

• Bureaucratic

Conventional army

• Slow• Mediocrity• Command and control

• Diversified• Large balance sheet• Scale

Page 19: UBS Conference May 2006 - Home - Firstrand · MOMENTUM`S Growth strategy Attacking the fast growing middle market Adding load to distribution • Short-term insurance • Health

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ceBusiness philosophy

Niche playerJuggernaut

The BEST of both worlds!

• Focussed

Guerrilla platoon

• Flexible• Talent• Empowered

• Concentrated risk• Small balance sheet• Sub scale

• Bureaucratic

Conventional army

• Slow• Mediocrity• Command and control

• Diversified• Large balance sheet• Scale

A juggernaut with a niche market mentality

Page 20: UBS Conference May 2006 - Home - Firstrand · MOMENTUM`S Growth strategy Attacking the fast growing middle market Adding load to distribution • Short-term insurance • Health

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Chunk into many profit centres, therefore lots

of growth stories

Multi-branding

Centre’s role is not to make decisions, but

rather to facilitate good decision making

Employee centric: consistently at top of “Best

company to work for” survey

Culture shaped by entrepreneurial roots

FirstRand Business Philosophy

Page 21: UBS Conference May 2006 - Home - Firstrand · MOMENTUM`S Growth strategy Attacking the fast growing middle market Adding load to distribution • Short-term insurance • Health

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Short-termInsurance

OUTsurance

45%

30%

FirstRand

WesBank

First National Bank

FirstRand Bank

HealthInsurance

LifeInsurance

DiscoveryMomentum

65%100%100%

RMBH

Rand Merchant Bank

Page 22: UBS Conference May 2006 - Home - Firstrand · MOMENTUM`S Growth strategy Attacking the fast growing middle market Adding load to distribution • Short-term insurance • Health

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Integrated financial services group

Earnings (June 2005) $1.25bn

Assets under management $80bn

Total advances $37bn

NAV $5.5bn

Market cap $18bn

Page 23: UBS Conference May 2006 - Home - Firstrand · MOMENTUM`S Growth strategy Attacking the fast growing middle market Adding load to distribution • Short-term insurance • Health

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Balance sheet Corporate culture

The role of the centreThe role of the centre

Cap

ital

m

anag

emen

t

Bal

ance

shee

tm

anag

emen

t

Ris

k M

anag

emen

t

Innova

tion

Ow

ner

-man

ager

Colla

bora

tion

Page 24: UBS Conference May 2006 - Home - Firstrand · MOMENTUM`S Growth strategy Attacking the fast growing middle market Adding load to distribution • Short-term insurance • Health

UBS

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Balance sheet Corporate culture

The role of the centreThe role of the centre

Cap

ital

m

anag

emen

t

Bal

ance

shee

tm

anag

emen

t

Ris

k M

anag

emen

t

Innova

tion

Ow

ner

-man

ager

Colla

bora

tion

Page 25: UBS Conference May 2006 - Home - Firstrand · MOMENTUM`S Growth strategy Attacking the fast growing middle market Adding load to distribution • Short-term insurance • Health

UBS

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ceUtilising a bigger balance sheet

Leverage, credit rating and cost of equity

Rand Merchant Bank A

ssets

$ b

ln

Impact of the balance sheet on leverage

$ 3bn

$ 9bn

$ 18bn

3

6

10

13

16

20

Page 26: UBS Conference May 2006 - Home - Firstrand · MOMENTUM`S Growth strategy Attacking the fast growing middle market Adding load to distribution • Short-term insurance • Health

UBS

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ce”Top-down” positioning of the

balance sheet

-2%

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

16%

Jan-0

2 - Ju

n-02

Jul-0

2 - D

ec-02

Jan-0

3 - Ju

n-03

Jul-0

3 - D

ec-03

Jan-0

4 - Ju

n-04

Jul-0

4 - D

ec-04

Jan-0

5 - Ju

n-05

Jul-0

5 - D

ec-05

Jan-0

6 - M

ar-06

Yiel

d (%

)

Alpha Overnight Overnight + hedges

Page 27: UBS Conference May 2006 - Home - Firstrand · MOMENTUM`S Growth strategy Attacking the fast growing middle market Adding load to distribution • Short-term insurance • Health

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Balance sheet Corporate culture

The role of the centreThe role of the centre

Cap

ital

m

anag

emen

t

Bal

ance

shee

tm

anag

emen

t

Ris

k M

anag

emen

t

Innova

tion

Ow

ner

-man

ager

Colla

bora

tion

Page 28: UBS Conference May 2006 - Home - Firstrand · MOMENTUM`S Growth strategy Attacking the fast growing middle market Adding load to distribution • Short-term insurance • Health

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ceCapital – optimise or return?

Capital management principles• Key pillar of our growth strategy

• Mobility of capital

Applying the principles• Capitalise the group to meet targeted credit rating

• Charge business units for the use of capital

• Allocate capital on a portfolio basis to maximiserisk-adjusted returns

Page 29: UBS Conference May 2006 - Home - Firstrand · MOMENTUM`S Growth strategy Attacking the fast growing middle market Adding load to distribution • Short-term insurance • Health

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ce 0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

Return on Equity Cost of Equity

Obsession with ROE

Page 30: UBS Conference May 2006 - Home - Firstrand · MOMENTUM`S Growth strategy Attacking the fast growing middle market Adding load to distribution • Short-term insurance • Health

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How well are we positioned to exploit

growth themes?

Page 31: UBS Conference May 2006 - Home - Firstrand · MOMENTUM`S Growth strategy Attacking the fast growing middle market Adding load to distribution • Short-term insurance • Health

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ceAll our businesses are well positioned

Lower interest

rates

Infrastructure finance

BEE transactions

Emerging Black

consumer

Page 32: UBS Conference May 2006 - Home - Firstrand · MOMENTUM`S Growth strategy Attacking the fast growing middle market Adding load to distribution • Short-term insurance • Health

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ceAll our businesses well positioned

Rated no.1 Investment Bank in South Africa

PBT $313m

• Structured &Project Finance• Mergers & Acquisitions• Securities Trading• Private Equity • Asset Management ($30 bln)

Page 33: UBS Conference May 2006 - Home - Firstrand · MOMENTUM`S Growth strategy Attacking the fast growing middle market Adding load to distribution • Short-term insurance • Health

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Major source of business for investment bank RMB

RMB well positioned for BEE

BEEBEE

Private Equity Corporate Finance

Structured Finance

• Investment • Advisory• Equity Raising

• Structuring• Lending

Page 34: UBS Conference May 2006 - Home - Firstrand · MOMENTUM`S Growth strategy Attacking the fast growing middle market Adding load to distribution • Short-term insurance • Health

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ceHow does RMB make money from

infrastructure finance?

Participation Advisory Arranging &

Underwriting

Equity /

Sponsorship

RMB Positioning

Opportunity to acquire assets

Page 35: UBS Conference May 2006 - Home - Firstrand · MOMENTUM`S Growth strategy Attacking the fast growing middle market Adding load to distribution • Short-term insurance • Health

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ceRMB strongly positioned

8610Grand total

001Accommodation

112Prisons

111Hospitals

111Power stations

535Toll roads

Deals in which RMB has

participated

Deals led by RMB

Total number of

deals

RMB has dominated the PPP market

Page 36: UBS Conference May 2006 - Home - Firstrand · MOMENTUM`S Growth strategy Attacking the fast growing middle market Adding load to distribution • Short-term insurance • Health

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ceAll our businesses well positioned

Most innovative commercial bank in South Africa

PBT $682m

Mass marketHigh networthCompanies / Government5 million customers704 branches4535 ATMs

Page 37: UBS Conference May 2006 - Home - Firstrand · MOMENTUM`S Growth strategy Attacking the fast growing middle market Adding load to distribution • Short-term insurance • Health

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ceLower interest rates drive borrowing

Asset values• Rising Asset and Property values – increase

loan amounts• Improve security esp the “in force book”

Higher levels of borrowing• Advances +26% to June 2005• Growth in all Retail markets

Lower levels of bad debts

Page 38: UBS Conference May 2006 - Home - Firstrand · MOMENTUM`S Growth strategy Attacking the fast growing middle market Adding load to distribution • Short-term insurance • Health

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ceInnovation - key to capture emerging

Black consumer

Using low cost distribution channels• Mini ATMs• Cell phone banking

Products• Affordable housing• Pension-backed Home Loans• Micro loans• Mzansi account – low cost account for

mass market• InContact – sms confirmation

Page 39: UBS Conference May 2006 - Home - Firstrand · MOMENTUM`S Growth strategy Attacking the fast growing middle market Adding load to distribution • Short-term insurance • Health

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ceAll our businesses well positioned

1 in 3 cars financed by Wesbank in South Africa

PBT $231m

• Dominates Point of Sale

• JV with 5 of 10 motor manufacturers

• Originates in over 30 JV brands

Page 40: UBS Conference May 2006 - Home - Firstrand · MOMENTUM`S Growth strategy Attacking the fast growing middle market Adding load to distribution • Short-term insurance • Health

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%

Forecast 40% ”Black book” by 2010

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

1998 2005 2010F

White Black

WESBANK book

Page 41: UBS Conference May 2006 - Home - Firstrand · MOMENTUM`S Growth strategy Attacking the fast growing middle market Adding load to distribution • Short-term insurance • Health

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ceAll our businesses well positioned

Rated no.1 provider of investment products

PBT $158m

• Investment Products

• Risk Products

Page 42: UBS Conference May 2006 - Home - Firstrand · MOMENTUM`S Growth strategy Attacking the fast growing middle market Adding load to distribution • Short-term insurance • Health

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ceMOMENTUM`S Growth strategy

Attacking the fast growing middle market

Adding load to distribution• Short-term insurance• Health

Page 43: UBS Conference May 2006 - Home - Firstrand · MOMENTUM`S Growth strategy Attacking the fast growing middle market Adding load to distribution • Short-term insurance • Health

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ceAll our businesses well positioned

Fastest growing short-term insurer in South Africa

PBT $62m

• Auto

• Homeowners & Householders

• Small Commercial

Page 44: UBS Conference May 2006 - Home - Firstrand · MOMENTUM`S Growth strategy Attacking the fast growing middle market Adding load to distribution • Short-term insurance • Health

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ceOUTsurance’s winning recipe

Most recognised short-term insurance brand in South Africa after only 8 years

Differentiates itself with the OUTbonus

“Direct’’ distribution model

World class actuarial risk modeling

Exportable value proposition

Page 45: UBS Conference May 2006 - Home - Firstrand · MOMENTUM`S Growth strategy Attacking the fast growing middle market Adding load to distribution • Short-term insurance • Health

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ceAll our businesses well positioned

No.1 health insurance group in South Africa

PBT $147m

Health plus life insuranceVitality loyalty schemeDestiny in the USJV with Prudential in the UK

Page 46: UBS Conference May 2006 - Home - Firstrand · MOMENTUM`S Growth strategy Attacking the fast growing middle market Adding load to distribution • Short-term insurance • Health

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ceAfter 13 years, as big as the rest

combined

0

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

700,000

800,000

900,000

Discovery Top 10

Total scheme membership

Page 47: UBS Conference May 2006 - Home - Firstrand · MOMENTUM`S Growth strategy Attacking the fast growing middle market Adding load to distribution • Short-term insurance • Health

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ceFirstRand’s international strategy

At divisional level vs group level

Divisions expand geographically in different markets

Only expand if there’s a clear competitive advantage

Africa a focus ($100m PBT), but also other emerging markets

Page 48: UBS Conference May 2006 - Home - Firstrand · MOMENTUM`S Growth strategy Attacking the fast growing middle market Adding load to distribution • Short-term insurance • Health

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What have we delivered to shareholders?

Page 49: UBS Conference May 2006 - Home - Firstrand · MOMENTUM`S Growth strategy Attacking the fast growing middle market Adding load to distribution • Short-term insurance • Health

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ceSuperior value creation

Economic Profit

-500

1,0001,5002,0002,5003,0003,5004,0004,500

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

• Compound annual growth rate - 45% (SA Rand)

• Adjusted for constant cost of equity - 26%*

*COE held constant at 19%

Page 50: UBS Conference May 2006 - Home - Firstrand · MOMENTUM`S Growth strategy Attacking the fast growing middle market Adding load to distribution • Short-term insurance • Health

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ceConclusion

Expect boom to last until 2010

FirstRand units focused in growing niches

Business philosophy empowers divisions –many growth stories

FirstRand uses centre/”bigness” to enhance performance

Is big better? YES, if you have a niche market mentality!