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UBS Conference May 2006
UBS
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ce
South Africa enjoys a very positive macro
environment
UBS
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ceConfidence and growth at all time high!
-5
-3
-1
1
3
5
7
Jan-86 Jan-88 Jan-90 Jan-92 Jan-94 Jan-96 Jan-98 Jan-00 Jan-02 Jan-04 Jan-060
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100Real GDP growth (y-o-y) Lhs RMB Business Confidence Index Rhs
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ceReasons for the economic boom
Economic reforms of late 1990’s
Political stability
Fiscal discipline
Effective monetary policy
Emerging Black consumer
Sound institutional framework
Government policy – Go for Growth
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ceStrong evidence of a structural shift
Higher trend GDP growth…with lower volatility
Lower real interest rates...with lower volatility
Lower inflation ...with lower volatility
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ceThe South African ”growth” themes
1. Lower interest rates
2. Emerging Black consumer
3. Black Economic Empowerment (BEE)
4. Infrastructure finance
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ceLower interest rates
Higher asset values
More disposable income
Higher levels of borrowing
Lower levels of bad debts
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ceLower interest rates driving growth in
lending
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
Jan-99 Jan-00 Jan-01 Jan-02 Jan-03 Jan-04 Jan-05 Jan-06
Prime interest rate
Y-o-y growth in asset backed lending
%
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ceSouth African growth themes
Lower interest rates
Emerging Black consumer
Black Economic Empowerment (BEE)
Infrastructure finance
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ceRising income levels in Black market
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
1996 2004
SAARF and Unilever Institute
Lower income categories (LSM 1-5)
Higher income categories (LSM 6-10)
• Employment growth • Tax and interest rate cuts
• Economic growth• Employment equity
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ceSouth African growth themes
Lower interest rates
Emerging Black consumer
Black Economic Empowerment (BEE)
Infrastructure finance
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ceValue BEE deals last two years - $17 bn
-
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
Feb-0
4Apr
-04Ju
n-04
Aug-04
Oct-04
Dec-04
Feb-0
5Apr
-05Ju
n-05
Aug-05
Oct-05
Dec-05
$ m
illio
n
Source – RMB internal analysis
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ceSouth African growth themes
Lower interest rates
Emerging Black consumer
Black Economic Empowerment (BEE)
Infrastructure finance
UBS
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ceUS$ 67 bn infrastructure spend
anticipated…
Energy
Rail and roads
2010 Soccer World Cup
Schools & hospitals
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ceUS$ 6 bn committed for Public Private
Partnerships (PPP`s)
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006F 2007F 2008F
$ million
Process Risk
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ce
BRIC…S ?
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How is FirstRand positioned?
Our Business Philosophy
UBS
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ceBusiness philosophy
Niche playerJuggernaut
• Focussed
Guerrilla platoon
• Flexible• Talent• Empowered
• Concentrated risk• Small balance sheet• Sub scale
• Bureaucratic
Conventional army
• Slow• Mediocrity• Command and control
• Diversified• Large balance sheet• Scale
UBS
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ceBusiness philosophy
Niche playerJuggernaut
The BEST of both worlds!
• Focussed
Guerrilla platoon
• Flexible• Talent• Empowered
• Concentrated risk• Small balance sheet• Sub scale
• Bureaucratic
Conventional army
• Slow• Mediocrity• Command and control
• Diversified• Large balance sheet• Scale
A juggernaut with a niche market mentality
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Chunk into many profit centres, therefore lots
of growth stories
Multi-branding
Centre’s role is not to make decisions, but
rather to facilitate good decision making
Employee centric: consistently at top of “Best
company to work for” survey
Culture shaped by entrepreneurial roots
FirstRand Business Philosophy
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Short-termInsurance
OUTsurance
45%
30%
FirstRand
WesBank
First National Bank
FirstRand Bank
HealthInsurance
LifeInsurance
DiscoveryMomentum
65%100%100%
RMBH
Rand Merchant Bank
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Integrated financial services group
Earnings (June 2005) $1.25bn
Assets under management $80bn
Total advances $37bn
NAV $5.5bn
Market cap $18bn
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Balance sheet Corporate culture
The role of the centreThe role of the centre
Cap
ital
m
anag
emen
t
Bal
ance
shee
tm
anag
emen
t
Ris
k M
anag
emen
t
Innova
tion
Ow
ner
-man
ager
Colla
bora
tion
UBS
conf
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ce
Balance sheet Corporate culture
The role of the centreThe role of the centre
Cap
ital
m
anag
emen
t
Bal
ance
shee
tm
anag
emen
t
Ris
k M
anag
emen
t
Innova
tion
Ow
ner
-man
ager
Colla
bora
tion
UBS
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ceUtilising a bigger balance sheet
Leverage, credit rating and cost of equity
Rand Merchant Bank A
ssets
$ b
ln
Impact of the balance sheet on leverage
$ 3bn
$ 9bn
$ 18bn
3
6
10
13
16
20
UBS
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ce”Top-down” positioning of the
balance sheet
-2%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
Jan-0
2 - Ju
n-02
Jul-0
2 - D
ec-02
Jan-0
3 - Ju
n-03
Jul-0
3 - D
ec-03
Jan-0
4 - Ju
n-04
Jul-0
4 - D
ec-04
Jan-0
5 - Ju
n-05
Jul-0
5 - D
ec-05
Jan-0
6 - M
ar-06
Yiel
d (%
)
Alpha Overnight Overnight + hedges
UBS
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Balance sheet Corporate culture
The role of the centreThe role of the centre
Cap
ital
m
anag
emen
t
Bal
ance
shee
tm
anag
emen
t
Ris
k M
anag
emen
t
Innova
tion
Ow
ner
-man
ager
Colla
bora
tion
UBS
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ceCapital – optimise or return?
Capital management principles• Key pillar of our growth strategy
• Mobility of capital
Applying the principles• Capitalise the group to meet targeted credit rating
• Charge business units for the use of capital
• Allocate capital on a portfolio basis to maximiserisk-adjusted returns
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ce 0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Return on Equity Cost of Equity
Obsession with ROE
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ce
How well are we positioned to exploit
growth themes?
UBS
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ceAll our businesses are well positioned
Lower interest
rates
Infrastructure finance
BEE transactions
Emerging Black
consumer
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ceAll our businesses well positioned
Rated no.1 Investment Bank in South Africa
PBT $313m
• Structured &Project Finance• Mergers & Acquisitions• Securities Trading• Private Equity • Asset Management ($30 bln)
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Major source of business for investment bank RMB
RMB well positioned for BEE
BEEBEE
Private Equity Corporate Finance
Structured Finance
• Investment • Advisory• Equity Raising
• Structuring• Lending
UBS
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ceHow does RMB make money from
infrastructure finance?
Participation Advisory Arranging &
Underwriting
Equity /
Sponsorship
RMB Positioning
Opportunity to acquire assets
UBS
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ceRMB strongly positioned
8610Grand total
001Accommodation
112Prisons
111Hospitals
111Power stations
535Toll roads
Deals in which RMB has
participated
Deals led by RMB
Total number of
deals
RMB has dominated the PPP market
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ceAll our businesses well positioned
Most innovative commercial bank in South Africa
PBT $682m
Mass marketHigh networthCompanies / Government5 million customers704 branches4535 ATMs
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ceLower interest rates drive borrowing
Asset values• Rising Asset and Property values – increase
loan amounts• Improve security esp the “in force book”
Higher levels of borrowing• Advances +26% to June 2005• Growth in all Retail markets
Lower levels of bad debts
UBS
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ceInnovation - key to capture emerging
Black consumer
Using low cost distribution channels• Mini ATMs• Cell phone banking
Products• Affordable housing• Pension-backed Home Loans• Micro loans• Mzansi account – low cost account for
mass market• InContact – sms confirmation
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ceAll our businesses well positioned
1 in 3 cars financed by Wesbank in South Africa
PBT $231m
• Dominates Point of Sale
• JV with 5 of 10 motor manufacturers
• Originates in over 30 JV brands
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%
Forecast 40% ”Black book” by 2010
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
1998 2005 2010F
White Black
WESBANK book
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ceAll our businesses well positioned
Rated no.1 provider of investment products
PBT $158m
• Investment Products
• Risk Products
UBS
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ceMOMENTUM`S Growth strategy
Attacking the fast growing middle market
Adding load to distribution• Short-term insurance• Health
UBS
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ceAll our businesses well positioned
Fastest growing short-term insurer in South Africa
PBT $62m
• Auto
• Homeowners & Householders
• Small Commercial
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ceOUTsurance’s winning recipe
Most recognised short-term insurance brand in South Africa after only 8 years
Differentiates itself with the OUTbonus
“Direct’’ distribution model
World class actuarial risk modeling
Exportable value proposition
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ceAll our businesses well positioned
No.1 health insurance group in South Africa
PBT $147m
Health plus life insuranceVitality loyalty schemeDestiny in the USJV with Prudential in the UK
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ceAfter 13 years, as big as the rest
combined
0
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
700,000
800,000
900,000
Discovery Top 10
Total scheme membership
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ceFirstRand’s international strategy
At divisional level vs group level
Divisions expand geographically in different markets
Only expand if there’s a clear competitive advantage
Africa a focus ($100m PBT), but also other emerging markets
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ce
What have we delivered to shareholders?
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ceSuperior value creation
Economic Profit
-500
1,0001,5002,0002,5003,0003,5004,0004,500
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
• Compound annual growth rate - 45% (SA Rand)
• Adjusted for constant cost of equity - 26%*
*COE held constant at 19%
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ceConclusion
Expect boom to last until 2010
FirstRand units focused in growing niches
Business philosophy empowers divisions –many growth stories
FirstRand uses centre/”bigness” to enhance performance
Is big better? YES, if you have a niche market mentality!