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    Chapter Two 1

    CHAPTER 2

    The Data of Macroeconomics

    A PowerPointTutorial

    To Accompany

    MACROECONOMICS, 6th. ed.N. Gregory Mankiw

    By

    Mannig J. Simidian

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    Chapter Two 3

    Two ways

    of viewing GDP

    Total income of everyone in the economy

    Total expenditure on the economys

    output of goods and services

    Households Firms

    Income $

    Labor

    Goods

    Expenditure $

    For the economy as a whole, income must equal expenditure.

    GDP measures the flow of dollars in the economy.

    Income, Expenditure,

    And the Circular Flow

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    Chapter Two 4

    1) To compute the total value of different goods and services, thenational income accounts use market prices.

    Thus, if

    $0.50 $1.00

    GDP = (Price ofapples v Quantity ofapples)

    + (Price oforanges v Quantity oforanges)

    = ($0.50 v 4)+ ($1.00 v 3)

    GDP = $5.00

    2) Used goods are not included in the calculation of GDP.3) The treatment of inventories depends on if the goods are stored or

    if they spoil. If the goods are stored, their value is included in GDP.

    If they spoil, GDP remains unchanged. When the goods are finally sold

    out of inventory, they are considered used goods (and are not counted).

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    Chapter Two 5

    4) Intermediate goods are not counted in GDP only the value offinal goods. Reason: the value of intermediate goods is already

    included in the market price. Value addedof a firm equals the

    value of the firms output less the value of the intermediate goods

    the firm purchases.

    5) Some goods are not sold in the marketplace and therefore dont

    have market prices. We must use theirimputed value as an estimate

    of their value. For example, home ownership and government services.

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    Chapter Two 6

    The value of final goods and services measured at current prices is called

    nominal GDP. It can change over time, either because there is a change

    in the amount (real value) of goods and services or a change in the prices

    of those goods and services.

    Hence, nominal GDP Y= Pvy, wherePis the price level andy is real

    outputand remember we use output and GDP interchangeably.

    Real GDPor,y = YzPis the value of goods and services measured usinga constant set of prices.This distinction between real and nominal can also be applied to other

    monetary values, like wages. Nominal (or money) wages can be denoted

    by Wand decomposed into a real value (w) and a price variable (P).

    Hence, W= nominal wage =P ww = real wage = w/P

    This conversion from nominal to real units allows us to eliminate the

    problems created by having a measuring stick (dollar value) that

    essentially changes length over time, as the price level changes.

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    Chapter Two 7

    Lets see how real GDP is computed in ourapple and

    orange economy.

    For example, if we wanted to compare output in 2006 and outputin 2007, we would obtain base-year prices, such as 2006prices.

    Real GDP in 2006 would be:

    (2006 Price ofApples v 2006 Quantity ofApples)+

    (2006 Price ofOranges v 2006 Quantity ofOranges).

    Real GDP in 2007 would be:

    (2006 Price ofApples v 2007 Quantity ofApples)+

    (2006 Price ofOranges v 2007 Quantity ofOranges).

    Real GDP in 2008 would be:

    (2006 Price ofApples v 2008 Quantity ofApples)+(2006 Price ofOranges v 2008 Quantity ofOranges).

    Note that 2006prices are used to compute real GDP for all three

    years. Because prices are held constant from year to year, real

    GDP varies only when the quantities vary.

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    Chapter Two 8

    Nominal GDPmeasures the current dollar value of the output of

    the economy.

    Real GDPmeasures output valued at constant prices.

    The GDP deflator, also called the implicit price deflator for GDP,

    measures the price of output relative to its price in the base year. It

    reflects whats happening to the overall level of prices in the economy.

    GDP Deflator = Nominal GDP

    Real GDP

    THE IMPLICIT PRICE DEFLATOR FOR GDP

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    Chapter Two 9

    In some cases, it is misleading to use base-year prices thatprevailed 10 or 20 years ago (i.e., computers and

    college). In 1995, the Bureau of Economic Analysis

    decided to use chain-weightedmeasures of

    real GDP. The base year changes continuously

    over time. This new chain-weightedmeasure is better than the more

    traditional measure because it

    ensures that prices will not be

    too out of date.

    Average prices in 2006

    and 2007 are used to measure

    real growth from 2006 to 2007.

    Average prices in 2007 and 2008

    are used to measure real growth from

    2007 to 2008, and so on. These growth

    rates are united to form a chain that is

    used to compare output between any two

    dates.

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    Chapter Two 10

    Government

    purchases of goods

    and services

    Y= C + I + G + NXY= C + I + G + NX

    Total demand

    for domestic

    output (GDP)

    is composed

    of

    Consumptionspending by

    households

    Investment

    spending by

    businesses and

    households Net exports

    or net foreign

    demand

    This is the called the national income accounts identity.

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    Chapter Two 11

    To see how the alternative measures of income relate to one

    another, we start with GDP and add or subtract various quantities.

    To obtaingross national product (GNP), we add receipts of factor

    income (wages, profit, and rent) from the rest of the world and

    subtract payments of factor income to the rest of the world.

    GNP= GDP+ Factor Payments from Abroad - Factor Payments to AbroadWhereas GDP measures the total income produced domestically, GNP

    measures the total income earned by nationals (residents of a nation).

    To obtain net national product (NNP), we subtract the depreciation of

    capitalthe amount of the economys stock of plants, equipment, andresidential structures that wears out during the year:

    NNP = GNP - Depreciation

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    Chapter Two 12

    The Consumer Price Index (CPI) turns the prices

    of many goods and services into a single index

    measuring the overall level of prices. The Bureau

    of Labor Statistics weighs different items by

    computing the price of a basket of goods andservices produced by a typical customer. The CPI

    is the price of this basket of goods relative to the

    price of the same basket in some base year.

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    Chapter Two 13

    Lets see how the CPI would be computed in our

    apple and orange economy.

    For example, suppose that the typical consumer buys 5 apples and 2

    oranges every month. Then the basket of goods consists of 5 apples

    and 2 oranges, and the CPI is:

    CPI = ( 5 v Current Price ofApples)+ (2 v Current Price ofOranges)

    ( 5 v 2006 Price ofApples)+ (2 v 2006 Price ofOranges)

    In this CPI calculation, 2006 is the base year. The index tells how

    much it costs to buy 5 apples and 2 oranges in the current year relative

    to how much it cost to buy the same basket of fruit in 2006.

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    Chapter Two 14

    The GDP deflator measures the prices of all goods produced, whereas

    the CPI measures prices of only the goods and services bought by

    consumers. Thus, an increase in the price of goods bought only by firms

    or the government will show up in the GDP deflator, but not in the CPI.

    Also, another difference is that the GDP deflator includes only those

    goods and services produced domestically. Imported goods are not a

    part of GDP and therefore dont show up in the GDP deflator.

    The final difference is the way the two aggregate the prices in the

    economy. The CPI assigns fixed weights to the prices of different

    goods, whereas the GDP deflator assigns changing weights.

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    Chapter Two 15

    The laborforce is defined as the sum of the employed and

    unemployed, and the unemployment rate is defined as the

    percentage of the labor force that is unemployed.

    The labor-force participation rate is the percentage of the adultpopulation who are in the labor force.

    Unemployment Rate = Number of Unemployed

    Labor Forcev 100

    Labor-Force Participation Rate = Labor Force

    Adult Populationv 100

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    Chapter Two 16

    The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) computes these statistics for the

    overall population and for groups within the population: men

    and women, whites and blacks, teenagers, and prime-age workers.

    Labor Force = 147.4 million

    Unemployment rate = 5.5%

    Labor-Force Participation Rate = 66.0%

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    Chapter Two 17

    The BLS conducts two surveys of labor market,and therefore produces two measures of total

    employment. The establishment survey estimates the

    number of workers firms have on their payrolls.

    The household survey estimates the number of people whosay they are working.

    Two measures of employment are not necessarily identical,

    although positively correlated. The reason? The surveys

    measure different things and the surveys in general, areimperfect.

    Some economists believe that the establishment survey is

    more accurate because it has a larger sample size. Bottom

    line: all economic statistics are imperfect!

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    Chapter Two 18

    National income accounts identity

    Consumption

    Investment

    Government purchases

    Net exports

    Labor force Labor-

    force participation rate

    Gross domestic product (GDP)

    Consumer Price Index (CPI)

    Unemployment rate

    National income accountingStocks and flows

    Value added

    Imputed value

    Nominal versus real GDP

    GDP deflator