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Turkey

Acknowledgments

The (I)NDC Content Briefs were produced by the Climate Policy

Team of the World Bank Climate Change Group. The team was led

by Sebastian Wienges and Ana Bucher under the supervision of

Stephen Alan Hammer. Detail analysis of country (I)NDC was

provided by Tom Witt, Jiawei Song, Karan Chouksey (mitigation

components), Yin Qiu, Yunziyi Lang, and Prajwal Baral (adaptation

components). The team is grateful for all comments and

suggestions received from regional and sector specialists

regarding the presentation and synthesis of relevant information.

© 2016 International Bank for Reconstruction and Development/The World Bank 1818 H Street NW Washington DC 20433, U.S.A. Internet: www.worldbank.org

Climate Policy Team | World Bank Group

EUROPE AND CENTRAL ASIA | Turkey | (Intended) Nationally Determined Contribution

Introduction      In response to a growing interest in understanding (Intended) Nationally DeterminedContributions ((I)NDCs) and with regard to the ultimate goal of supporting countries'implementation of their national climate targets, the World Bank Climate Policy Team (WB­CPT) has

reviewed all developing countries (I)NDCs' submitted to the UNFCCC. The (I)NDC Content Brief

aims to provide a summary analysis of existing and instead country mitigation and adaptation

policies and plans, commitments and targets, implementation strategies and sector priorities,

associated costs and conditionalities, and stated gaps and needs, among other issues. 

      The (I)NDC content briefs are created solely on the basis of information from submitted(I)NDCs and makes no inferences about robustness, quality, or viability of intended policiesor actions. 

The (I)NDCs review will help implementing organizations like the World Bank Group (WBG) identify

and familiarize with a range of country priorities in terms of sectoral engagement, and needs in

terms of capacity building, technology transfer, and financing. Based on this comprehensive

mapping exercise, the WBG will develop a useful, easy­to­use, and interactive database and briefs

of all (I)NDCs to inform a wide range of WBG initiatives and client engagement processes, including

the development of Systematic Country Diagnostics (SCDs) and Country Partnership Frameworks

(CPFs), and at a later stage respond to the more specific requests from all WBG Global Practices

(GPs), regions, and country units for the identification of potential development opportunities,

analytical studies and technical assistance to support countries' implementation of planned policies

and actions. In­depth summaries of (I)NDCs by sectors and regions will be prepared at a later stage. 

      In regards to Adaptation, although no global adaptation mechanism is established, the ParisAgreement parties are required to engage in adaptation planning and implementation of actions

which include preparation of adaptation plans. The Adaptation section of a large number of

submitted (I)NDCs, aims to increase development planning and scale the ability of countries to

adapt to the adverse impacts of climate change and foster climate resilience and low greenhouse

gas emissions development, in a manner that does not threaten sustainable development. In

addition to requested finance, the implementation of country commitments is largely tied to

significant amounts of external assistance to support development and execution of adaptation

plans. Although subsequent (I)NDCs are not explicitly required to have an adaptation component,

the process will ensure increased resilience is recognized under the UNFCCC and climate finance

mobilization is enhanced with an aim to achieve a balance between adaptation and mitigation flows.

Climate Policy Team | World Bank Group

EUROPE AND CENTRAL ASIA | Turkey | (Intended) Nationally Determined Contribution

Table of Contents

I Overall Planning and Preparation Process 

II  Mitigation

  Economy­wide Targets

  Economy­wide Policies

  Mitigation Actions and Policies

III  Adaptation

  Adaptation Targets

  Adaptation Context

  Adaptation Actions and Policies

Acronyms

BAU Business as Usual NAMA Nationally Appropriate MitigationActions

CIF­PPCR Climate Investment Funds ­ PilotProgram for Climate Resilience

NAP National Adaptation Plan

DRM Disaster Risk Management NAPA National Adaptation Programmesof Action

INDC Intended Nationally DeterminedContributions

REDD+ Reducing emissions fromdeforestation and forestdegradation and the role ofconservation, sustainablemanagement of forests andenhancement of forest carbonstocks in developing countries

LEDS Low Emission DevelopmentStrategy

LULUCF Land Use and Land Use Changeand Forestry

|

|

|

Climate Policy Team | World Bank Group

EUROPE AND CENTRAL ASIA | Turkey | (Intended) Nationally Determined Contribution

Overall Planning and

Preparation Process

How reliable is the prioritization of the (I)NDC? How serious is thegovernment about implementing policies and actions to achieve the (I)NDCtargets?

Political decision of adoption of INDC at:Head of state level

Interministerial level

Parliament

Ministry Level

Technical development of INDC through a participatory processStakeholder involvement YES

Multisector commision

Have development benefits been assessed and considered in the planningprocess?

Are there climate policies and actions already in place/under development?

LEDS YES

NAMAS

NAPA

Climate Policy Team | World Bank Group

$N/A

(in Billion USD)

TOTAL COST OF

IMPLEMENTATION (mitigation and adaptation)

EUROPE AND CENTRAL ASIA | Turkey | (Intended) Nationally Determined Contribution

Existing policies:

Has the INDC development been supported by a development partner?Technical support

Financial support

Implementation Plans and Needs

Specific requests for international provision of means of implementation:

Technology Transfer

Financial support

Capacity Building

Does the INDC intend the private sector to be involved in theimplementation of the NDC?

Are carbon pricing/international market mechanisms intended?YES

Are there any barriers identified?FINANCIAL AND TECHNOLOGICAL CONSTRAINTS

Link list:• Climate Action Tracker ­­ Turkey (assessment of Turkey's INDC):  http://www.climate­energy­college.net/files/site1/factsheets/Turkey_INDCFactsheet_UoM­PRIMAP_GWPAR4.pdf

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EUROPE AND CENTRAL ASIA | Turkey | (Intended) Nationally Determined Contribution

Mitigation

ECONOMY-WIDE TARGETS

Conditionality: INDC page link

Unconditional part of mitigation target:Estimated costs for implementation:

Conditional part of mitigation target:Estimated costs for implementation:

Coverage of Gases: CO , CH , N O, HFCs, PFCs, SF , NF

Other Targets:

POLICIES:

Promote the use of renewable energy sources (loans, tax reduction, etc.)

Energy Performance Certificates

TARGET YEAR

2030TARGET TYPE

-21%Relative Emission Reduction

Compared to BAU (%)

N/A(in Billion USD)

COST OFIMPLEMENTATION

2 4 2 6 3

Climate Policy Team | World Bank Group

EUROPE AND CENTRAL ASIA | Turkey | (Intended) Nationally Determined Contribution

MITIGATION ACTIONS AND POLICIESENERGY Plans:

Energy: General   P. 2

Renewable Energy: Hydro   P. 3

Supply-Side Efficiency: Power Generation Efficiency Improvement: Rehabilitation   P. 3

Supply-Side Efficiency: Power Generation Efficiency Improvement: Cogeneration Plants   P. 3

Demand-Side Efficiency: Industries   P. 3

Renewable Energy: Waste-to-Energy   P. 3

Renewable Energy

Renewable Energy: Solar

Renewable Energy: Wind

Supply-Side Efficiency: Grid/Energy Loss Reduction

Demand-Side Efficiency: Buildings   P. 4

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EUROPE AND CENTRAL ASIA | Turkey | (Intended) Nationally Determined Contribution

MITIGATION ACTIONS AND POLICIES

DEMAND-SIDE

EFFICIENCY:

INDUSTRIES

Plans: INDC page link

Increasing energy efficiency in industrial installations and providingfinancial support to energy efficiency projects

P. 3

Estimated total costs for implementation:

Capacity building needs:

Technology needs:

Unconditional part of mitigation target:

Estimated costs for implementation:

Conditional part of mitigation target:

Estimated costs for implementation:

Emission reduction potential:

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EUROPE AND CENTRAL ASIA | Turkey | (Intended) Nationally Determined Contribution

MITIGATION ACTIONS AND POLICIES

RENEWABLE

ENERGY: WASTE-

TO-ENERGY

Plans: INDC page link

Studies to increase use of waste as an alternative fuel P. 3

Estimated total costs for implementation:

Capacity building needs:

Technology needs:

Unconditional part of mitigation target:

Estimated costs for implementation:

Conditional part of mitigation target:

Estimated costs for implementation:

Emission reduction potential:

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EUROPE AND CENTRAL ASIA | Turkey | (Intended) Nationally Determined Contribution

MITIGATION ACTIONS AND POLICIES

RENEWABLE

ENERGYPolicies: INDC page link

Promote the use of renewable energy sources (loans, tax reduction, etc.) P. 4

Estimated total costs for implementation:

Capacity building needs:

Technology needs:

Unconditional part of mitigation target:

Estimated costs for implementation:

Conditional part of mitigation target:

Estimated costs for implementation:

Emission reduction potential:

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EUROPE AND CENTRAL ASIA | Turkey | (Intended) Nationally Determined Contribution

MITIGATION ACTIONS AND POLICIES

RENEWABLE

ENERGY: SOLARTargets: INDC page link

Reach 10 GW solar electricity generation capacity by 2030 P. 3

Estimated total costs for implementation:

Capacity building needs:

Technology needs:

Unconditional part of mitigation target:

Estimated costs for implementation:

Conditional part of mitigation target:

Estimated costs for implementation:

Emission reduction potential:

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EUROPE AND CENTRAL ASIA | Turkey | (Intended) Nationally Determined Contribution

MITIGATION ACTIONS AND POLICIES

RENEWABLE

ENERGY: WINDTargets: INDC page link

Reach 16 GW wind electricity generation capacity by 2030 P. 3

Estimated total costs for implementation:

Capacity building needs:

Technology needs:

Unconditional part of mitigation target:

Estimated costs for implementation:

Conditional part of mitigation target:

Estimated costs for implementation:

Emission reduction potential:

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EUROPE AND CENTRAL ASIA | Turkey | (Intended) Nationally Determined Contribution

MITIGATION ACTIONS AND POLICIES

SUPPLY-SIDE

EFFICIENCY:

GRID/ENERGY LOSS

REDUCTION

Targets: INDC page link

Reduce losses to 15% by 2030 P. 3

Estimated total costs for implementation:

Capacity building needs:

Technology needs:

Unconditional part of mitigation target:

Estimated costs for implementation:

Conditional part of mitigation target:

Estimated costs for implementation:

Emission reduction potential:

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EUROPE AND CENTRAL ASIA | Turkey | (Intended) Nationally Determined Contribution

MITIGATION ACTIONS AND POLICIES

DEMAND-SIDE

EFFICIENCY:

BUILDINGS

Policies: INDC page link

Energy Performance Certificates P. 4

Estimated total costs for implementation:

Capacity building needs:

Technology needs:

Unconditional part of mitigation target:

Estimated costs for implementation:

Conditional part of mitigation target:

Estimated costs for implementation:

Emission reduction potential:

Plans: INDC page link

Construct new energy efficient residential buildings and service buildings P. 4

Estimated total costs for implementation:

Capacity building needs:

Technology needs:

Unconditional part of mitigation target:

Estimated costs for implementation:

Conditional part of mitigation target:

Estimated costs for implementation:

Emission reduction potential:

Climate Policy Team | World Bank Group

EUROPE AND CENTRAL ASIA | Turkey | (Intended) Nationally Determined Contribution

MITIGATION ACTIONS AND POLICIESINDUSTRIES Plans:

Industries: General   P. 2

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EUROPE AND CENTRAL ASIA | Turkey | (Intended) Nationally Determined Contribution

MITIGATION ACTIONS AND POLICIES

ROAD SECTORPlans: INDC page link

Reduce share, emissions and fuel consumption of road transport P. 4

Estimated total costs for implementation:

Capacity building needs:

Technology needs:

Unconditional part of mitigation target:

Estimated costs for implementation:

Conditional part of mitigation target:

Estimated costs for implementation:

Emission reduction potential:

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EUROPE AND CENTRAL ASIA | Turkey | (Intended) Nationally Determined Contribution

MITIGATION ACTIONS AND POLICIES

RAILPlans: INDC page link

Increase share; high speed railway projects P. 4

Estimated total costs for implementation:

Capacity building needs:

Technology needs:

Unconditional part of mitigation target:

Estimated costs for implementation:

Conditional part of mitigation target:

Estimated costs for implementation:

Emission reduction potential:

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EUROPE AND CENTRAL ASIA | Turkey | (Intended) Nationally Determined Contribution

MITIGATION ACTIONS AND POLICIES

MARITIMEPlans: INDC page link

Increase share; green port projects P. 4

Estimated total costs for implementation:

Capacity building needs:

Technology needs:

Unconditional part of mitigation target:

Estimated costs for implementation:

Conditional part of mitigation target:

Estimated costs for implementation:

Emission reduction potential:

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EUROPE AND CENTRAL ASIA | Turkey | (Intended) Nationally Determined Contribution

MITIGATION ACTIONS AND POLICIES

TRANSPORTATION

FUELSPlans: INDC page link

Promoting alternative fuels P. 4

Estimated total costs for implementation:

Capacity building needs:

Technology needs:

Unconditional part of mitigation target:

Estimated costs for implementation:

Conditional part of mitigation target:

Estimated costs for implementation:

Emission reduction potential:

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EUROPE AND CENTRAL ASIA | Turkey | (Intended) Nationally Determined Contribution

MITIGATION ACTIONS AND POLICIES

PUBLIC

TRANSPORTPlans: INDC page link

Urban rail P. 4

Estimated total costs for implementation:

Capacity building needs:

Technology needs:

Unconditional part of mitigation target:

Estimated costs for implementation:

Conditional part of mitigation target:

Estimated costs for implementation:

Emission reduction potential:

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EUROPE AND CENTRAL ASIA | Turkey | (Intended) Nationally Determined Contribution

MITIGATION ACTIONS AND POLICIES

AVIATIONPlans: INDC page link

Green airport projects P. 4

Estimated total costs for implementation:

Capacity building needs:

Technology needs:

Unconditional part of mitigation target:

Estimated costs for implementation:

Conditional part of mitigation target:

Estimated costs for implementation:

Emission reduction potential:

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EUROPE AND CENTRAL ASIA | Turkey | (Intended) Nationally Determined Contribution

MITIGATION ACTIONS AND POLICIES

VEHICLE FLEETPlans: INDC page link

Reduce the number of old cars; Promoting clean vehicles P. 4

Estimated total costs for implementation:

Capacity building needs:

Technology needs:

Unconditional part of mitigation target:

Estimated costs for implementation:

Conditional part of mitigation target:

Estimated costs for implementation:

Emission reduction potential:

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EUROPE AND CENTRAL ASIA | Turkey | (Intended) Nationally Determined Contribution

MITIGATION ACTIONS AND POLICIESAGRICULTURE Plans:

Soils   P. 4

Agriculture: General   P. 4

Fertilizers   P. 4

Agricultural Waste

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EUROPE AND CENTRAL ASIA | Turkey | (Intended) Nationally Determined Contribution

MITIGATION ACTIONS AND POLICIES

FERTILIZERSPlans: INDC page link

Control the use of fertilizers P. 4

Estimated total costs for implementation:

Capacity building needs:

Technology needs:

Unconditional part of mitigation target:

Estimated costs for implementation:

Conditional part of mitigation target:

Estimated costs for implementation:

Emission reduction potential:

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EUROPE AND CENTRAL ASIA | Turkey | (Intended) Nationally Determined Contribution

MITIGATION ACTIONS AND POLICIES

AGRICULTURAL

WASTEPlans: INDC page link

Study utilization of wastes generated from breeding farms and poultryfarms

Estimated total costs for implementation:

Capacity building needs:

Technology needs:

Unconditional part of mitigation target:

Estimated costs for implementation:

Conditional part of mitigation target:

Estimated costs for implementation:

Emission reduction potential:

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EUROPE AND CENTRAL ASIA | Turkey | (Intended) Nationally Determined Contribution

MITIGATION ACTIONS AND POLICIES

SOLID WASTEPlans: INDC page link

Solid wastes to managed landfill sites; Rehabilitation of unmanaged wastesites

P. 4

Estimated total costs for implementation:

Capacity building needs:

Technology needs:

Unconditional part of mitigation target:

Estimated costs for implementation:

Conditional part of mitigation target:

Estimated costs for implementation:

Emission reduction potential:

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EUROPE AND CENTRAL ASIA | Turkey | (Intended) Nationally Determined Contribution

MITIGATION ACTIONS AND POLICIES

RECYCLING, REUSE,

REDUCEPlans: INDC page link

Alternative raw material or alternative fuel from waste P. 4

Estimated total costs for implementation:

Capacity building needs:

Technology needs:

Unconditional part of mitigation target:

Estimated costs for implementation:

Conditional part of mitigation target:

Estimated costs for implementation:

Emission reduction potential:

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EUROPE AND CENTRAL ASIA | Turkey | (Intended) Nationally Determined Contribution

MITIGATION ACTIONS AND POLICIES

WASTE-TO-ENERGYPlans: INDC page link

Bio-drying, bio-methanization, composting, advanced thermal processes orincineration; Recovery of methane gas from landfills

P. 4

Estimated total costs for implementation:

Capacity building needs:

Technology needs:

Unconditional part of mitigation target:

Estimated costs for implementation:

Conditional part of mitigation target:

Estimated costs for implementation:

Emission reduction potential:

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EUROPE AND CENTRAL ASIA | Turkey | (Intended) Nationally Determined Contribution

MITIGATION ACTIONS AND POLICIESLULUCF/FORESTRY Plans:

Afforestation

LULUCF/Forestry: General   P. 2

Sustainable Land Management   P. 4

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EUROPE AND CENTRAL ASIA | Turkey | (Intended) Nationally Determined Contribution

MITIGATION ACTIONS AND POLICIES

SUSTAINABLE

LAND

MANAGEMENT

Plans: INDC page link

Action Plan on Forestry Rehabilitation and National Afforestation Campaign P. 4

Estimated total costs for implementation:

Capacity building needs:

Technology needs:

Unconditional part of mitigation target:

Estimated costs for implementation:

Conditional part of mitigation target:

Estimated costs for implementation:

Emission reduction potential:

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EUROPE AND CENTRAL ASIA | Turkey | (Intended) Nationally Determined Contribution

MITIGATION ACTIONS AND POLICIES

BUILDINGSPlans: INDC page link

Green Building, passive energy, zero-energy house design P. 4

Estimated total costs for implementation:

Capacity building needs:

Technology needs:

Unconditional part of mitigation target:

Estimated costs for implementation:

Conditional part of mitigation target:

Estimated costs for implementation:

Emission reduction potential:

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EUROPE AND CENTRAL ASIA | Turkey | (Intended) Nationally Determined Contribution

Adaptation

ADAPTATION TARGETS

ADAPTATION CONTEXT

Existing National Development/Resilience Policies and Plans

National Communications

NAPs

NAPAS

CIF-PPCRs

Sectoral Strategies

NATIONAL STRATEGY ONINDUSTRYSTRATEGY ON ENERGYEFFICIENCYNATIONAL STRATEGY AND ACTIONPLAN ON RECYCLINGNATIONAL SMARTTRANSPORTATION SYSTEMSSTRATEGY DOCUMENT (2014-2023)

Cross-cutting

"NATIONAL STRATEGY ON CLIMATECHANGE10TH NATIONAL DEVELOPMENTPLANNATIONAL CLIMATE CHANGEACTION PLANNATIONAL LEGISLATION ONMONITORING

Conditionality:

Unconditional part of adaptation implementation

Conditional part of adaptation implementation

Conditional upon international provision of meansof implementation

TARGET YEAR

N/AN/A

(in Billion USD)

COST OFIMPLEMENTATION

Climate Policy Team | World Bank Group