Tunis, Tunisia, 28 January 2014

Assessment of the impact of new ICTs on human capital

Dr. Prof. Viliam Sarian, Director of Science & Education Center, FSUE

NIIR, Russiasarian@niir.ru

ITU Workshop on “ICT Innovations in Emerging Economies”

(Tunis, Tunisia, 28 January 2014)

Tunis, Tunisia, 28 January 2014 2

Recent ITU study on problems of ICT development

ITU-D SG 2 (Information and communication infrastructure and technology development, emergency telecommunications and climate-change adaptation)Focus Group “Bridging the Gap: From Innovation to Standards”Various workshops, e.g. “Future Networks standardization” (June, 2012)

Tunis, Tunisia, 28 January 2014 3

Stages of information society (IS) development

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Basis for the 5th stage of IS development

The success in NGNs, WSNs, IoT development and their convergence;The achievements in the area of cognitive- and nanotechnologies, i. e. public access to positioning and navigation technologies, and also to geoinformational technologies;Big Data organizing, etc.Involving “smart things” (ST) and “smart environment” (SE) in the communication process

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Problems of the 5th stage of IS development

resources scarcity,risk society entering,ecological situation,man-made environment pressure growth,the increase of pace of life and population mobility,globalization processes, demographic problemsextension of social inequality

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The 6th Technological Stage

Milliards of new objects – Internet of ThingsCustomized production and individual consumption developmentRaise of production’s flexibilitySharp decrease in power-consuming and materials consumptionConstruction of materials and organisms with preset qualities

Tunis, Tunisia, 28 January 2014 7

ICT development problems of 6th Technological Stage

Standardization gap: low involvement of developing countries in the work on creation new standards and recommendationsManufacturers do not take into account need of developing countriesLag between investments and return on them is too long for developing countries (more than technology obsolescence period)

Tunis, Tunisia, 28 January 2014 8

The main obstacle to adopt socioeconomical standards

Bitrate, time delay, …

Mean service provision time, mean time between failures,…

Human capital

Conclusions and Recommendations

Compared to other fields ICT has the strongest possibility of receiving data that can be utilized for social analysisThe 6th Technological Stage brings new possibilities and new problemsFor the 6th Technological Stage it is necessary to develop a framework for connection of technical indicators and human capital metrics

Tunis, Tunisia, 28 January 2014 9

Tunis, Tunisia, 28 January 2014

Thank you!

Dr. Prof. Viliam Sarian, Director of Science & Education Center, FSUE

NIIR, Russiasarian@niir.ru