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Tsunami-affected Scandinavian tourists: Disaster exposure and post-traumatic stress symptoms TROND HEIR, SUSANNE ROSENDAL, KERSTIN BERGH-JOHANNESSON, PER-OLOF MICHEL, ERIK L. MORTENSEN, LARS WEISÆTH, HENRIK S. ANDERSEN, CHRISTINA M. HULTMAN Heir T, Rosendal S, Bergh-Johannesson K, Michel P-O, Mortensen EL, Weisæth L, Andersen HS, Hultman CM. Tsunami-affected Scandinavian tourists: Disaster exposure and post-traumatic stress symptoms. Nord J Psychiatry 2011;65:9–15. Background: Studies of short- and long-term mental effects of natural disasters have reported a high prevalence of post-traumatic stress. Less is known about disaster-exposed tourists repatri- ated to stable societies. Aims: To examine the association between exposure to the 2004 South- east Asian tsunami and symptoms of post-traumatic stress in three Scandinavian tourist populations. Methods: Postal survey of Norwegian, Danish and Swedish Southeast Asia tourists registered by the police when arriving at national airports. Follow-up time was 6 (Norway), 10 (Denmark) and 14 months (Sweden) post-disaster; 6772 individuals were included and catego- rized according to disaster exposure: danger exposed (caught or chased by the waves), non- danger exposed (other disaster-related stressors) and non-exposed. Outcome measures were the Impact of Event Scale—Revised (IES-R) and Post Traumatic Stress Disorder Check List (PCL). Results: Danger exposed reported more post-traumatic stress than non-danger exposed, and the latter reported more symptoms than non-exposed (each P0.001). Comparison of the Norwegian and Swedish data suggested that symptoms were attenuated at 14 months follow-up ( P0.001). Female gender and low education, but not age, predicted higher levels of symp- toms. Conclusions: Disaster-exposed tourists repatriated to unaffected home environments show long-term post-traumatic stress disorder symptoms related to the severity of exposure. Natural disasters, Psychological distress, Stress disorders, Posttraumatic stress. Trond Heir, Norwegian Centre for Violence and Traumatic Stress Studies, University of Oslo, Kirkeveien 166, building 48, N-0407 Oslo, Norway, E-mail: [email protected]; Accepted 16 March 2010. T he Southeast Asian earthquake-tsunami is one of the largest human tragedies caused by natural disaster in recent history. On the morning of 26 December 2004, the tsunami hit the coast of 13 countries around the Indian Ocean, causing damage and suffering in many regions. It is estimated that over 2 million people were affected by the tsunami, with over 230,000 dead and hundreds of thousands of people injured. The majority of casualties were among the local population. However, since South- east Asia is a very popular vacation destination, a large number of foreign tourists were in the area. It is esti- mated that about 18,000 adult Scandinavian citizens, many with children, were on Christmas holiday in South- east Asia when the tsunami hit. Most were in tourist areas along the coast, mainly in Thailand. The disaster was thus exceptional in terms of the number of individuals involved at a very distant site. A high number of Scandinavian cit- izens perished in the tsunami: 543 from Sweden, 84 from Norway and 46 from Denmark. Studies of short- and long-term mental effects of floods, mudslides, hurricanes and earthquakes have reported a high prevalence of PTSD and comorbid depression in survivors (1–3). Studies of adult local Thai survivors after the tsu- nami have reported similar findings (4–6). Many Thai victims of the tsunami—like victims of other natural disasters—also lost their homes and livelihood, and were unable to return to their normal environment. Therefore, the psychological consequences might be associated with both the level of disaster exposure per se and with the societal disruption and loss of normal life in the period © 2011 Informa Healthcare DOI: 10.3109/08039481003786394 Nord J Psychiatry Downloaded from informahealthcare.com by University of Melbourne on 03/16/13 For personal use only.

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Tsunami-affected Scandinavian tourists: Disaster exposure and post-traumatic stress symptoms

TROND HEIR , SUSANNE ROSENDAL , KERSTIN BERGH-JOHANNESSON , PER-OLOF MICHEL , ERIK L. MORTENSEN , LARS WEIS Æ TH , HENRIK S. ANDERSEN , CHRISTINA M. HULTMAN

Heir T, Rosendal S, Bergh-Johannesson K, Michel P-O, Mortensen EL, Weis æ th L, Andersen HS, Hultman CM. Tsunami-affected Scandinavian tourists: Disaster exposure and post-traumatic stress symptoms. Nord J Psychiatry 2011;65:9–15.

Background: Studies of short- and long-term mental effects of natural disasters have reported a high prevalence of post-traumatic stress. Less is known about disaster-exposed tourists repatri-ated to stable societies. Aims: To examine the association between exposure to the 2004 South-east Asian tsunami and symptoms of post-traumatic stress in three Scandinavian tourist populations. Methods: Postal survey of Norwegian, Danish and Swedish Southeast Asia tourists registered by the police when arriving at national airports. Follow-up time was 6 (Norway), 10 (Denmark) and 14 months (Sweden) post-disaster; 6772 individuals were included and catego-rized according to disaster exposure: danger exposed (caught or chased by the waves), non-danger exposed (other disaster-related stressors) and non-exposed . Outcome measures were the Impact of Event Scale — Revised (IES-R) and Post Traumatic Stress Disorder Check List (PCL). Results: Danger exposed reported more post-traumatic stress than non-danger exposed , and the latter reported more symptoms than non-exposed (each P � 0.001). Comparison of the Norwegian and Swedish data suggested that symptoms were attenuated at 14 months follow-up ( P � 0.001). Female gender and low education, but not age, predicted higher levels of symp-toms. Conclusions: Disaster-exposed tourists repatriated to unaffected home environments show long-term post-traumatic stress disorder symptoms related to the severity of exposure.

Natural disasters, Psychological distress, Stress disorders, Posttraumatic stress .•

Trond Heir , Norwegian Centre for Violence and Traumatic Stress Studies , University of Oslo, Kirkeveien 166 , building 48 , N-0407 Oslo , Norway , E-mail: [email protected]; Accepted 16 March 2010.

The Southeast Asian earthquake-tsunami is one of the

largest human tragedies caused by natural disaster in

recent history. On the morning of 26 December 2004, the

tsunami hit the coast of 13 countries around the Indian

Ocean, causing damage and suffering in many regions. It

is estimated that over 2 million people were affected by

the tsunami, with over 230,000 dead and hundreds of

thousands of people injured. The majority of casualties

were among the local population. However, since South-

east Asia is a very popular vacation destination, a large

number of foreign tourists were in the area. It is esti-

mated that about 18,000 adult Scandinavian citizens,

many with children, were on Christmas holiday in South-

east Asia when the tsunami hit. Most were in tourist areas

along the coast, mainly in Thailand. The disaster was thus

exceptional in terms of the number of individuals involved

at a very distant site. A high number of Scandinavian cit-

izens perished in the tsunami: 543 from Sweden, 84 from

Norway and 46 from Denmark.

Studies of short- and long-term mental effects of fl oods,

mudslides, hurricanes and earthquakes have reported a high

prevalence of PTSD and comorbid depression in survivors

(1 – 3). Studies of adult local Thai survivors after the tsu-

nami have reported similar fi ndings (4 – 6). Many Thai

victims of the tsunami — like victims of other natural

disasters — also lost their homes and livelihood, and were

unable to return to their normal environment. Therefore,

the psychological consequences might be associated with

both the level of disaster exposure per se and with the

societal disruption and loss of normal life in the period

© 2011 Informa Healthcare DOI: 10.3109/08039481003786394

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T HEIR ET AL.

10 NORD J PSYCHIATRY·VOL 65·NO 1·2011

excluded because of missing or inconsistent data: 40

for exposure data, 272 for the outcome variable Impact

of Event Scale — Revised (IES-R) or the Post Traumatic

Stress Disorder Check List (PCL), and fi ve for age or

gender. For the 6455 respondents included (Table 1),

the number of replies to individual exposure questions

varied between 92% and 99%. Comparing the respon-

dents with the non-respondents revealed only slight dif-

ferences. Respondents in all three countries had a small

overrepresentation of women, while no differences were

found with regard to age distribution. A study of non-

responders in the Norwegian study population showed

that non-responders were less likely to have been

exposed to the tsunami and had lower levels of post-

traumatic stress than those who responded (9).

Study questionnaire A comprehensive questionnaire was initially developed by

the Norwegian research group. In Norway and Sweden, the

22-item IES-R (10) was incorporated in the questionnaire,

following the disaster. Furthermore, generalization of

fi ndings is complicated by the fact that natural disasters

often strike populations with diffi cult and unfavorable

life-circumstances. The poorest countries are most severely

affected (7), and the poorest and most disadvantaged

members of a disaster-affected community are likely to

experience the most serious consequences (8). In contrast,

the Scandinavian tourists who were struck by the tsunami

represented a reasonably well-to-do population on vaca-

tion. They were hit by a single, unexpected and danger-

ous natural disaster and were rapidly repatriated to their

stable societies and generally favorable life-circumstances.

Consequently, this population offers a unique opportunity

to evaluate the effects of being exposed to a sudden-onset

natural disaster, but without experiencing the secondary

disaster stressors.

Initiated by the Norwegian Centre for Violence and

Traumatic Stress Studies, a Scandinavian multi-centre col-

laboration was established to assess the mental health con-

sequences of the tsunami disaster. The aim of the present

study was to examine the association between exposure

to the tsunami and symptoms of post-traumatic stress in

three large Scandinavian tourist populations. An impor-

tant research question was whether exposure to the tsu-

nami that included danger to one ’ s own life was a stronger

predictor of post-traumatic stress symptoms than other

types of disaster experiences. In addition, the study offered

the opportunity to illuminate the possible bearing of the

time interval between exposure to the tsunami and the dif-

ferent follow-up periods on symptom severity.

Subjects and Methods Participants Scandinavian tourists from the tsunami-affected parts of

South-East Asia were repatriated in the days following

the tsunami. The national police in each of the three

countries registered and made lists of their citizens upon

their arrival at Scandinavian airports during the fi rst 3

weeks after the disaster, a total of 2640 Norwegian, 2254

Danes and 12840 Swedes over the age of 18. Figure 1

presents a chart of the population of interest, i.e. all

registered individuals with the minimum age of 18. The

Norwegian and Danish study populations represent all

registered citizens. In Sweden, for formal reasons, the 21

national healthcare regions were asked to take part in the

study. Ten regions accepted, three major and seven minor

regions, accounting for 75% (9614 individuals) of those

12,840 totally registered. The fi nal study populations

comprised 2468 Norwegian, 2174 Danish and 9592 Swed-

ish citizens.

A total of 6772 returned the questionnaire. The

response rates in the three countries are presented in

Figure 1. From this sample, a total of 317 respondents

(55 Norwegians, 175 Danes and 87 Swedes) were

Scandinavian evacuees (>18 years old) registered by the national police when arrival to their home countries from Southeast Asia:

2640 Norwegian, 2254 Danes, 12840 Swedes*

The final study population: Norwegians: 2468 Danes: 2174 Swedes: 9592

Not traceable: Norwegian: 172 Danes: 80 Swedes: 22

Response: 899(36%)

Response: 1055(49%)

Response: 4818(50%)

6 months post

disaster 14 months

post disaster

10 months post

disaster

The Tsunami Disaster 26 December 2004

Dead among Scandinavian citizens: 84 Norwegians, 46 Danes, 543 Swedes

*Of whom 9614 evacuees belonged to the health care regions that participated in the study

Fig. 1. The Scandinavian study population.

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NORD J PSYCHIATRY·VOL 65·NO 1·2011 11

all ” to “ extremely ” regarding their experience with the

tsunami (IES-R items were scored 0 – 4 and PCL 1 – 5).

Scandinavian versions of the IES-R and the PCL have

been translated and back-translated, and a panel of

researchers has approved the fi nal versions. The IES-R

has been used in Norway and Sweden as a research

instrument for many years, and several studies have been

published showing high scale construct validity (12, 13).

The IES-R and the PCL scales were not scored for

individuals with 30% or more unanswered items. Other-

wise, missing data were replaced by the mean value of

the other items. The IES-R mean item score and the

PCL sum score were used as semi-continuous measures

of PTSD symptom severity.

Data analysis The association between the three exposure levels and

PTSD symptoms was analyzed for each country. First,

one-way analyses of variance (ANOVAs) with logarithmic

transformation of the scores and subsidiary Bonferroni-

corrected post hoc t -tests were performed to compare

symptom scores between groups within each country.

Second, a linear regression model was used to adjust for

age, gender and education. The beta coeffi cient value

( β -value) in the regression model was used as measure of

the association, i.e. the difference in the outcome variable

related to a one-step/categorical change in the exposure

variable with other variables kept constant. Education was

included as a binary (high and low) measure, using 13

years ’ education as cut-off. Also, IES-R scores in identi-

cal Norwegian and Swedish exposure groups were com-

pared using t -tests. To enable an illustrative comparison

of symptom levels between all three countries, the Nor-

wegian and Swedish IES-R scores and the Danish PCL

scores were linearly transformed to a scale with a mean

while the Danish study preferred the 17-item PCL (11).

The current study focuses on the relationship between

disaster exposure and post-traumatic stress symptoms.

The questionnaire was mailed to the three Scandina-

vian study populations at three different points in time

after the tsunami. In Norway, the questionnaire was

mailed 6 months, in Denmark 10 months and in Sweden

14 months after the disaster. One reminder was mailed

to non-respondents after 2 – 3 weeks. For the back recep-

tion of questionnaires, the mean number of months since

trauma were 6.4 in Norway, 10.4 in Denmark and 14.5

in Sweden.

Assessment of exposure The questionnaires included detailed registration of expo-

sure to stressful aspects of the tsunami. For the present

analysis, the sample of each country was classifi ed into

three exposure groups: danger exposure , non-danger expo-sure and no exposure . Participants were classifi ed as “ not

exposed ” if they had no contact with the waves or the

fl ood, no physical injuries to themselves or a close rela-

tive, no fear for the safety of relatives and had not wit-

nessed death or suffering others. “ Non-danger exposed ”

was defi ned as having had some of the above-mentioned

disaster-related exposure, but without danger to self.

“ Danger exposed ” was defi ned as having been caught,

touched or chased by waves, which also included possi-

ble exposure to other aspects of the disaster.

Assessment of tsunami effects The presence and intensity of the PTSD symptoms

intrusion, avoidance, numbness and arousal were exam-

ined over the past week (IES-R) or month (PCL). The

participants were instructed to respond to each item,

based on a 5-point Likert scale ranging from “ not at

Table 1. Number of respondents, mean age, gender and educational level of Norwegian, Swedish and Danish tourists classifi ed into three subgroups according to disaster exposure.

Norwegian Swedish Danish

No exposure (group 1) n�124 n�1284 n�149

46.4 years 44.5 years 45.6 years

44.4% women 52.2% women 53.7% women

64.1% high education 41.5% high education 49.0% high education

Non-danger exposure (group 2) n�434 n�1478 n�435

42.6 years 42.9 years 43.2 years

56.0% women 56.2% women 51.5% women

58.5% high education 43.7% high education 51.7% high education

Danger exposure (group 3) n�286 n�1969 n�296

43.6 years 43.3 years 43.8 years

52.8% women 56.4% women 50.0% women

61.1% high education 43.7% high education 57.8% high education

Total n�844 n�4731 n�880

43.5 years 43.5 years 43.8 years

53.2% women 55.2% women 51.4% women

60.2% high education 43.1% high education 53.3% high education

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T HEIR ET AL.

12 NORD J PSYCHIATRY·VOL 65·NO 1·2011

the waves, and those exposed to severe disaster stres-

sors other than danger. Our fi ndings suggest a strong

relationship between severity of exposure and PTSD

symptoms at 6, 10 and 14 months follow-up independent

of age, gender and education. This pattern was observed

in all three Scandinavian study populations assessed at

different follow-up intervals and with two different symp-

tom assessment instruments. Our data included control

populations of Scandinavian tourists visiting places in the

Southeast Asia not directly hit by the tsunami, but simul-

taneously repatriated. While the control populations had

similar levels of distress symptoms irrespective of follow-

up time, the severity of PTSD symptoms was related to

follow-up time in the exposed populations.

The published peer-reviewed literature (14 – 17, 21) is

consistent in showing that the extent of exposure to a

disaster is probably the most important risk factor for the

development of post-traumatic stress. In this respect, our

fi ndings resemble those in a substantial number of stud-

ies that have been conducted in the aftermath of natural

disasters (1, 22), technological disasters (17, 23) and

mass violence (24).

For the tourists, the tsunami was a totally unexpected

natural fl ood disaster with an extreme suddenness of onset

and a high intensity of impact. It is unusual that natural

disasters are categorized as high-impact disasters, with the

exception of some disasters that have caused extraordinary

destruction and disruption (1, 25). What makes the tourist

population ’ s experiences with the tsunami quite different

and unique is the time-limited stress exposure that con-

trasts with the experience of the indigenous Southeast

Asian population (4 – 6) and of victims of other natural

disasters that have been studied (26). Rapid repatriation of

tourists to stable societies and unaffected home environ-

ments makes their disaster exposure more like large-scale

accidents, human-made or technological disasters such as

shipwrecks, oil rig breakdowns, factory explosions, large

fi res, etc. (17, 27 – 30). These disasters types have high

mortality, are geographically circumscribed and time-

limited, and occur within intact communities.

An evident limitation in the epidemiology of psycho-

traumatology is that a variety of instruments have been

of 0 and a standard deviation of 1 for each country ( Z -

score transformation). Regression analyses were repeated

on the transformed symptom scores. All tests were two-

tailed, and differences were considered signifi cant if

P � 0.05. The statistical analysis was performed using the

software package SPSS version 14.0.

Results Table 2 presents the mean IES-R or PCL scores for the

three exposure groups in each country. In all three coun-

tries, respondents who had been exposed to danger reported

more PTSD symptoms than the non-danger exposure

group, and the latter reported more symptoms than the no exposure group (each P � 0.001).

When comparing the Norwegian and Swedish samples,

similar IES-R scores were found in the no exposure

groups. Among participants in the danger and non-danger

exposure groups, however, the symptom scores were

higher in the Norwegian 6-months data than in the Swed-

ish 14-months data (Table 2).

The differences in PTSD symptoms between no exposure and exposure groups remained similar after

adjusting for age, gender and education (Table 3). The

symptom level was higher in women than in men and

higher among those with lower education. Effects of

gender and education were similar across national popu-

lations and follow-up time. The effects of age were

slight and not consistent.

Adjusted effect sizes of exposure after Z -score trans-

formation of symptom scores showed highly signifi cant

differences between the countries: Norway 6 months (non-

danger 0.77, 95% CI 0.59 – 0.95; and danger 1.26, 1.06 –

1.45), Denmark 10 months (non-danger 0.58, 0.41 – 0.75;

and danger 1.14, 0.96 – 1.33) and Sweden 14 months (non-

danger 0.50, 0.43 – 0.56; and danger 0.96, 0.89 – 1.02).

Discussion This multi-centre study of a Scandinavian tourist popu-

lation has shown substantial differences in aftermath

reactions between those who were caught or chased by

Table 2. Post-disaster stress in Norwegian, Swedish and Danish tourists classifi ed in three subgroups according to disaster exposure.

Time after disaster

Norwegian, n�844

6 months

Swedish, n�4731

14 months

Danish, n�880

10 months

IES-R mean score, 5 point scale: 0–4 IES-R mean score, 5 point scale: 0–4 PCL sum score Sum range: 17–85

Non-danger exposure (group 1) 0.39 (0.47) 0.40 (0.48) 19.3 (5.0)

Non-danger exposure (group 2) 1.07 (0.80)∗ 0.80 (0.72)∗‡ 26.5 (11.2)∗Danger exposure (group 3) 1.47 (0.80)∗† 1.17 (0.86)∗†‡ 33.6 (14.7)∗†

The different national populations are assessed at different times after the tsunami. The Norwegian and Swedish population are assessed by IES-R mean

item scores; the Danish by PCL sum score. Results are given as mean values with standard deviations in brackets.

∗Signifi cant difference for group 2 or 3 vs. group 1, P�0.001.

†Signifi cant difference also for group 3 vs. group 2, P�0.001.

‡Signifi cant diff. for the Swedish vs. the corresponding Norwegian exposure group, P�0.001.

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NORD J PSYCHIATRY·VOL 65·NO 1·2011 13

As in most postal surveys of disaster victims, we

achieved response rates close to 50% or lower (14 – 16).

The respondents and non-respondents were similar as

regards age and gender. However, the questionnaires were

focused on exposure to the tsunami, and this resulted in

relatively low response rates among tourists with low or

no direct exposure (9). The most frequently reported rea-

sons for not participating in the study were lack of inter-

est or time and not being directly affected by the disaster

(9). The low response rate among tourists with low or no

direct exposure is more likely to affect estimates of the

frequency of the different types of exposure than the esti-

mates of the differences in PTSD symptom levels between

exposure groups. A biased direction or magnitude of the

effect would imply that the exposed non-respondents

should have shown the opposite pattern provided they had

taken part in the study (18).

Our study is based on a large sample size, comprising

a total of 6455 tourists, presumably healthy before the

disaster, from three Scandinavian countries, and offers

the possibility of evaluating the effect of disaster

exposure without the additional effect of disruption of

home environment and broken societal infra-structure.

While the sheer size of the study population strength-

ens the survey fi ndings, it precluded detailed clinical

examinations at the fi rst follow-up. Accordingly, we have

refrained from estimating the diagnostic prevalence of

PTSD and other trauma-related disorders.

The study includes appropriate no exposure control

groups. The two categories of exposed individuals were

defi ned according to whether they had been exposed to

danger or not. We used a priori defi ned objective criteria

of danger exposure (caught, touched or chased by the

waves) to minimize self-report and recall bias. Non-dan-ger exposure versus no exposure was likewise defi ned on

the basis of what may be considered objective events.

However, exposure to a natural disaster like the tsunami

will typically include a many-faceted disaster impact, and

it is likely that many individuals within the two exposed

applied for the assessment of post-traumatic distress during

the past decades (21, 26). The IES-R and PCL are both

constructed to measure the core symptoms of PTSD and

have been shown to have good psychometric properties

(10, 11). However, they have only been available for a

relatively short time and have not been applied in many

studies of disaster survivors. The interpretation of previ-

ous research is also challenged by the large differences in

sampling strategies and follow-up times, which compli-

cate cross-study comparisons (21). Taking these limita-

tions into consideration, the level of PTSD symptoms

estimated in our danger-exposed group seems to be some-

what lower than among treatment-seeking motor vehicle

accident survivors (31), temporarily relocated earthquake

survivors (32) or Vietnam veterans (19).

The fi ndings suggesting an overall attenuation in PTSD

symptoms between 6 and 14 months are consistent with

the general rule for victim samples to improve as time

passes. In general, longitudinal data suggest that the fi rst

year is the time of peak symptoms or effects (3, 33 – 35).

However, the relatively high burden of PTSD symptoms

observed at 14 months could be a manifestation of pos-

sible long-lasting psychiatric morbidity, which has been

reported after some very high-impact technological disas-

ters (23, 28, 29).

Methodological considerations Two different instruments were used to measure PTSD

symptoms, and demonstrated very consistent and simi-

lar associations with exposure. Although IES-R and

PCL have somewhat different time frames, they share

similar items and conceptual backgrounds and they

have been reported to be highly correlated in compari-

son studies (19, 20). After standardization of the out-

come measures, the effect of exposure declined from

the Norwegian 6-month assessment to the Swedish

14-month assessment with the Danish 10-month assess-

ment in between.

Table 3. Adjusted differences in IES-R or PCL according to exposure group, age, gender and education in Scandinavian tsunami victims.

Time after disaster

Norwegiann�844

6 months

Swedishn�4731

14 months

Danishn�880

10 months

β of IES-R mean score β of IES-R mean score β of PCL sum score

Non-danger exposure(vs. no exposure) 0.65 (0.39)∗∗(0.50–0.80) 0.37 (0.22)∗∗(0.32–0.41) 7.37 (0.29)∗∗(5.19–9.55)

Danger exposure(vs. no exposure) 1.05 (0.60)∗∗(0.90–1.21) 0.76 (0.47)∗∗(0.71–0.81) 14.63 (0.54)∗∗(12.32–16.94)

Age (increase of 10 years) 0.05 (0.75)∗(0.01–0.09) 0.01 (0.12)(–0.01–0.02) –0.13 (–0.14)(–0.74–0.48)

Gender (women vs. men) 0.29 (0.17)∗∗(0.19–0.39) 0.31 (0.19)∗∗(0.26–0.35) 3.35 (0.13)∗∗(1.76–4.93)

Education (low vs. high) 0.21 (0.13)∗∗(0.10–0.31) 0.21 (0.13)∗∗(0.17–0.25) 2.15 (0.11)∗(0.50–3.80)

Results are given as β-values, standardized beta and 95% confi dence intervals of β, according to multiple linear regression performed in each country

population separately.

∗Signifi cant association, P�0.05.

∗∗Signifi cant association, P�0.001.

Adjusted R-square�0.22 (Norwegian), 0.20 (Swedish) and 0.17 (Danish sample).

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14 NORD J PSYCHIATRY·VOL 65·NO 1·2011

Clinical examinations are needed to establish the

prevalence of PTSD and other disaster-related disorders

in the tsunami-exposed tourist population. Repeated

follow-up surveys are necessary to examine recovery

rates and factors that may infl uence prognosis.

Conclusion Disaster-exposed tourists repatriated to unaffected home

environments show long-term PTSD symptoms related to

the severity of exposure. There was a strong relationship

between severity of exposure and PTSD symptoms. Also,

female gender and low education predicted higher levels

of symptoms. Screening for danger exposure would have

been a possible method for implementing a preventive

strategy against high risk.

Declaration of interest : The authors report no confl icts of

interest. The authors alone are responsible for the content

and writing of the paper.

Funding The Norwegian Directorate of Health and Social Welfare,

The Danish Ministry of Interior and Health and the

Swedish National Board of Health and Welfare funded

this study. The funders had no involvement in the research

process.

Ethical approval The Medical Ethical Board in Uppsala and Oslo. Not

required in Denmark.

Data protection Approval given from the Norwegian, Swedish and Danish

Data Protection Agencies.

References Ironson G, Wynings C, Schneiderman N, Baum A, Rodriguez M, 1. Greenwood D, et al. Posttraumatic stress symptoms, intrusive thoughts, loss, and immune function after Hurricane Andrew. Psychosom Med 1997;59:128 – 41. Basoglu M, Kilic C, Salcioglu E, Livanou M. Prevalence of post-2. traumatic stress disorder and comorbid depression in earthquake survivors in Turkey: An epidemiological study. J Trauma Stress 2004;17:133 – 41. Norris FH, Murphy AD, Baker CK, Perilla JL. Postdisaster PTSD 3. over four waves of a panel study of Mexico ’ s 1999 fl ood. J Trauma Stress 2004;17:283 – 92. Tang CS. Positive and negative postdisaster psychological adjust-4. ment among adult survivors of the Southeast Asian earthquake-tsunami. J Psychosom Res 2006;61:699 – 705. Tang CS. Trajectory of traumatic stress symptoms in the aftermath 5. of extreme natural disaster: A study of adult Thai survivors of the 2004 Southeast Asian earthquake and tsunami. J Nerv Ment Dis 2007;195:54 – 9.

categories had experienced several stressful aspects of

the disaster. Although we are unable to estimate the

effect of single disaster stressors, our analysis suggests

that exposure to danger is an important predictor of

PTSD symptoms at follow-up.

Cultural and social differences among the Scandina-

vian countries are relatively small. The symptom level

was similar in Norwegian and Swedish tourists who had

not been directly exposed. Thus, it is likely that the

observed differences between the Norwegian and Swed-

ish victims who had been exposed to the tsunami —

whether this included danger or not — are related to the

follow-up periods of 6 or 14 months.

Implications The documentation of long-term stress reactions after

the tsunami indicates that the return of citizens to sta-

ble societies, unaffected environments and everyday life

in no way eliminates the impact of such a disaster on

mental health. Even a good recovery environment does

not secure a spontaneous recovery in all of the exposed.

This has implications both for clinicians who should be

aware of possible long-term symptoms in survivors and

for policy makers who should be prepared for future

events. Although natural disasters are increasing in fre-

quency and in terms of number of people affected,

developed countries seem to have reduced the risk to

life by means of solid buildings, warning systems and

evacuation procedures (36). The enormous difference

between industrial countries and the third world in the

number of people killed in the same type of natural

disaster demonstrates this possibility of controlling the

consequences of harmful events (37). Nevertheless,

large numbers of citizens from developed countries may

be exposed to life-threatening disasters through the

extensive and rapidly increasing tourist industry that

often favors destinations in poor countries. Thus, it is

important that national health services have knowledge

and resources to deal with victims of international

disasters.

In all Scandinavian countries, the police and health

services mobilized at the national airports to receive the

repatriated tourists. While their physical health was exam-

ined, no screening was conducted with regard to disaster

stress exposure or stress reactions. The Norwegian Minis-

ter of Health directed the Regular General Practitioners to

contact persons on their patient lists who had been regis-

tered as repatriated. Although the strategy was well

received by the majority of those who were contacted, the

effectiveness of the outreach was reduced because no

high-risk group had been defi ned (38). Screening for dan-

ger exposure upon arrival at national airports would have

been a possible method for implementing a preventive

strategy against high risk.

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