Tsinghua Principles of Economics Lecture 1

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    MacroeconomicsMichael Kratsios

    Lecture 1

    03.08.10

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    IntroductionAcademics, Work Experience, and Interests

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    About me

    Graduated Princeton University in2008

    AB in Politics, magna cum laude

    Concentration in American PoliticsCertificates in Political Economyand Hellenic Studies

    Carolyn M. Picard Prize in Politicsand the Hellenic Studies SeniorThesis Prize for Economics andVoting in the Third Hellenic

    Republic

    Interests: Economic Voting, VoteChoice, Ethics

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    Work Experience

    Barclays Capital

    Consumer/Retail IBD

    Real Estate IBD

    Lyford Group International

    Discretionary Macro

    Hedge Fund

    Business Today

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    GoalsDiscoveryExtension

    ApplicationParticipation

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    Earthquake in HaitiResulting changes in labor market

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    Devastating Tragedy

    230,000 people dead

    300,000 injured

    1,000,000 homeless

    250,000 residencesdestroyed

    30,000 commercialbuildings collapsed

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    Unprecedented Relief

    USA

    $665mm

    Clinton/Bush Fund5,000 soldiers

    Greece

    !200,00025 healthcareprofessionals

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    Effect of Relief on Business

    Since earthquake, Haitian streetvendors & small business are suffering

    Blame relief effort rather than decline indemand

    "I have fewer customers now becausethey are handing out free food downthe street."

    Usually only about 5% of the budgetsof humanitarian agencies is spent

    locally (Peace Dividend Trust, CanadianNGO)

    Priority is getting relief supplies inquickly

    WSJ, 3/3/10

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    Effect on

    Labor Market Wage

    Quantity of Labor

    D1

    S1

    What happens to the price of

    outputs?

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    Effect on Labor Market

    Price of goods fall since there

    is a very cheap (free)

    alternative to consumers

    Labor demand shifts left

    Equilibrium wage falls

    This change reflects a change

    in the value of the MPL. Firmcan only be profitable by

    lowering wage and hiring less

    workers

    Wage

    Quantity of Labor

    D1

    D2

    S1

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    Price GougingEthics and Economics

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    What is Price Gouging?

    Conditions:

    1. Emergency situation

    2. Necessary good

    (ex: water, gas, ice)

    3. Prices raised in response tosupply shock

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    US Congress takes up issue

    S. 1520: Price Gouging Act of

    2007, sponsored by Ben Nelson

    (D-NE)

    The term `price gouging' means

    the charging of an

    unconscionably excessive price

    by a supplier in an affected area.

    What is unconscionably

    excessive or necessary?

    Never became law

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    Is Price Gouging Legislation

    a Mistake?Price, when set by the

    market, allocates the goods

    to those who value themmost.

    If price cannot be raised

    following a supply shock, firms

    must ration.

    Firms must resort to queuing,merit, nepotism, or black market.

    Ex: NY landlords and rent

    controlled apartments.

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    Additional Considerations

    But what about the poor?

    Solution: Give them subsidies andthus those who value the scarcegood the most will have the same

    ability to pay for it (at the marketclearing price) as the rich would.

    Key takeaway: Price-controls do not

    eliminate the scarcity.

    Legislation discourages privateenterprise from investing in disasterreadiness.

    Potential profits from selling thesescarce goods disappears.

    Private companies can moreefficiently move goods.

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    QuestionsEconomics, Princeton, Wall Street, Greece,anything...