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Tropical Rainforests in the Pleistocene

Tropical Rainforests in the Pleistocenecourses.botany.wisc.edu/botany_422/Lecture/pdf/TropicRefuge1.pdf · INAMBARI IMERI GUIANA BELEM RONDONIA THE REFUGIA Tropical Rainforests in

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Page 1: Tropical Rainforests in the Pleistocenecourses.botany.wisc.edu/botany_422/Lecture/pdf/TropicRefuge1.pdf · INAMBARI IMERI GUIANA BELEM RONDONIA THE REFUGIA Tropical Rainforests in

Tropical Rainforests in the Pleistocene

Page 2: Tropical Rainforests in the Pleistocenecourses.botany.wisc.edu/botany_422/Lecture/pdf/TropicRefuge1.pdf · INAMBARI IMERI GUIANA BELEM RONDONIA THE REFUGIA Tropical Rainforests in

Tropical Rainforests in the Pleistocene

• tropics stable during Pleistocene?

• 1° C temperature drop based on 1976 CLIMAP study of warm vs. cold loving forams (vs. 10°C in North Atlantic)

Page 3: Tropical Rainforests in the Pleistocenecourses.botany.wisc.edu/botany_422/Lecture/pdf/TropicRefuge1.pdf · INAMBARI IMERI GUIANA BELEM RONDONIA THE REFUGIA Tropical Rainforests in

• pollen analysis points to 4-6°C cooling in Pleistocene (Hawaii, Bolivia)

• snow line altitudes in Andean and Hawaiian mountains show lowering during Pleistocene

• various chemical signatures (CaCO3, noble gases in water)

• re-analysis of 1976 CLIMAP data indicates 3-4°C drop

Paleothermometers have since pointed to colder and drier tropics

Pollen analysis of Mauna Loa cores over the last 40,000 years (Hotchkiss 2001)

Tropical Rainforests in the Pleistocene

Page 4: Tropical Rainforests in the Pleistocenecourses.botany.wisc.edu/botany_422/Lecture/pdf/TropicRefuge1.pdf · INAMBARI IMERI GUIANA BELEM RONDONIA THE REFUGIA Tropical Rainforests in

• vegetation zones in mountains shifted down and up during glacial - interglacial cycles

• well characterized events in temperate montane systems

Grand Canyon elevation shifts

North Great Basin elevation shift

Tropical Rainforests in the Pleistocene

Page 5: Tropical Rainforests in the Pleistocenecourses.botany.wisc.edu/botany_422/Lecture/pdf/TropicRefuge1.pdf · INAMBARI IMERI GUIANA BELEM RONDONIA THE REFUGIA Tropical Rainforests in

• vegetation zones in mountains shifted down and up during glacial - interglacial cycles

• well characterized events in temperate montane systems

Core habitat is receding upwards in elevation and will shift 750 km NW under conservative climate estimates

North Great Basin elevation shift

Tropical Rainforests in the Pleistocene

“Nowhere to go but up”

Page 6: Tropical Rainforests in the Pleistocenecourses.botany.wisc.edu/botany_422/Lecture/pdf/TropicRefuge1.pdf · INAMBARI IMERI GUIANA BELEM RONDONIA THE REFUGIA Tropical Rainforests in

• palynological data for Central and South America mountains indicate similar shifts (repeatedly?) during Pleistocene and Holocene

Tropical Rainforests in the Pleistocene

Paramo – risk of extinction?

Páramo is the world’s fastest evolving and coolest biodiversity hotspot

Page 7: Tropical Rainforests in the Pleistocenecourses.botany.wisc.edu/botany_422/Lecture/pdf/TropicRefuge1.pdf · INAMBARI IMERI GUIANA BELEM RONDONIA THE REFUGIA Tropical Rainforests in

• how zones shifted is still debated

Tropical Rainforests in the Pleistocene• palynological data for Central and South America mountains indicate similar shifts (repeatedly?) during Pleistocene and Holocene

Page 8: Tropical Rainforests in the Pleistocenecourses.botany.wisc.edu/botany_422/Lecture/pdf/TropicRefuge1.pdf · INAMBARI IMERI GUIANA BELEM RONDONIA THE REFUGIA Tropical Rainforests in

• repeated shifts probably presented montane species with cycles of sympatry in glacialsand allopatry in interglacials —speciation pump in e.g. paramo species or cloud forest species

Lisianthius species complexCentral Panama

Tropical Rainforests in the Pleistocene

sympatry

allopatry

Page 9: Tropical Rainforests in the Pleistocenecourses.botany.wisc.edu/botany_422/Lecture/pdf/TropicRefuge1.pdf · INAMBARI IMERI GUIANA BELEM RONDONIA THE REFUGIA Tropical Rainforests in

Evidence is pointing to cooler tropics during glacials

But what impact on the biogeography of tropical lowland plants and animals?

Tropical Rainforests in the Pleistocene

Page 10: Tropical Rainforests in the Pleistocenecourses.botany.wisc.edu/botany_422/Lecture/pdf/TropicRefuge1.pdf · INAMBARI IMERI GUIANA BELEM RONDONIA THE REFUGIA Tropical Rainforests in

• observed that present distribution of rainfall over South America gives rise to both forested and non-forested areas

• and that areas > 1500 mm rainfall linked with present day centers of diversity and biogeographical patterns of distribution

— the Refugia Hypothesis

Jurgen Haffer, geologist and “birder,”proposed “Refugia” hypothesis in 1969 (Science, July 11)

Rainfall levels

Wettest areas

Tropical Rainforests in the Pleistocene

Page 11: Tropical Rainforests in the Pleistocenecourses.botany.wisc.edu/botany_422/Lecture/pdf/TropicRefuge1.pdf · INAMBARI IMERI GUIANA BELEM RONDONIA THE REFUGIA Tropical Rainforests in

— the Refugia Hypothesis

Jurgen Haffer, geologist and “birder,”proposed “Refugia” hypothesis in 1969 (Science, July 11)

Rainfall levels

Wettest areas

Tropical Rainforests in the Pleistocene

• Hypothesis: Speciation of birds in the Amazon had been produced by cycles of expansion and contraction of forest environments during the Pleistocene

• During glacial periods, reduced temperature and humidity in the lowlands of South America left relatively small “islands” - refuges - of tropical rainforests surrounded by xeric habitats

Page 12: Tropical Rainforests in the Pleistocenecourses.botany.wisc.edu/botany_422/Lecture/pdf/TropicRefuge1.pdf · INAMBARI IMERI GUIANA BELEM RONDONIA THE REFUGIA Tropical Rainforests in

Jurgen Haffer, geologist and “birder,”proposed “Refugia” hypothesis in 1969 (Science, July 11)

— the Refugia Hypothesis

• allopatric speciation would lead to “species pump”

Refugia

Tropical Rainforests in the Pleistocene

sympatry

allopatry

Page 13: Tropical Rainforests in the Pleistocenecourses.botany.wisc.edu/botany_422/Lecture/pdf/TropicRefuge1.pdf · INAMBARI IMERI GUIANA BELEM RONDONIA THE REFUGIA Tropical Rainforests in

Haffer, J. 1969. Speciation in Amazonian forest birds

NAPO

INAMBARI

IMERI

GUIANA

BELEM

RONDONIATHE REFUGIA

Tropical Rainforests in the Pleistocene

Page 14: Tropical Rainforests in the Pleistocenecourses.botany.wisc.edu/botany_422/Lecture/pdf/TropicRefuge1.pdf · INAMBARI IMERI GUIANA BELEM RONDONIA THE REFUGIA Tropical Rainforests in

• recent speciation of birds in the Amazon fits his model

• species centered over these proposed “tropical forest refugia”

Toucan “sibling species”in Amazon basin

— the Refugia Hypothesis

Tropical Rainforests in the Pleistocene

Page 15: Tropical Rainforests in the Pleistocenecourses.botany.wisc.edu/botany_422/Lecture/pdf/TropicRefuge1.pdf · INAMBARI IMERI GUIANA BELEM RONDONIA THE REFUGIA Tropical Rainforests in

• pictured-winged Heliconid butterflies suggested same pattern of correlation of sibling species and tropical forest refugia

— the Refugia Hypothesis

Tropical Rainforests in the Pleistocene

Page 16: Tropical Rainforests in the Pleistocenecourses.botany.wisc.edu/botany_422/Lecture/pdf/TropicRefuge1.pdf · INAMBARI IMERI GUIANA BELEM RONDONIA THE REFUGIA Tropical Rainforests in

• Sir Ghillean Prance provided many examples of Amazonian plant taxa that supported the “tropical forest refugia” hypothesis

Distribution of Chrysobalanaceae in wet tropical forests

Tropical Rainforests in the Pleistocene— the Refugia Hypothesis

Page 17: Tropical Rainforests in the Pleistocenecourses.botany.wisc.edu/botany_422/Lecture/pdf/TropicRefuge1.pdf · INAMBARI IMERI GUIANA BELEM RONDONIA THE REFUGIA Tropical Rainforests in

• Prance proposed 26 refugia based on plants alone

Plant “tropical forest refugia” based on centers of plant diversity are correlated with areas of wet conditions during dry periods

Tropical Rainforests in the Pleistocene— the Refugia Hypothesis

• Sir Ghillean Prance provided many examples of Amazonian plant taxa that supported the “tropical forest refugia” hypothesis

Page 18: Tropical Rainforests in the Pleistocenecourses.botany.wisc.edu/botany_422/Lecture/pdf/TropicRefuge1.pdf · INAMBARI IMERI GUIANA BELEM RONDONIA THE REFUGIA Tropical Rainforests in

The elegance of the model was the congruent refugial maps for butterflies, frogs, lizards, and families of plants

Tropical Rainforests in the Pleistocene

Page 19: Tropical Rainforests in the Pleistocenecourses.botany.wisc.edu/botany_422/Lecture/pdf/TropicRefuge1.pdf · INAMBARI IMERI GUIANA BELEM RONDONIA THE REFUGIA Tropical Rainforests in

Tabebuia ochracea(Bignoniaceae)

Distribution of this savanna tree

• “Reverse refugia” were also found for savanna trees like Tabebuia

• Savanna refugia were in areas <1500 mm rainfall

Tropical Rainforests in the Pleistocene

Page 20: Tropical Rainforests in the Pleistocenecourses.botany.wisc.edu/botany_422/Lecture/pdf/TropicRefuge1.pdf · INAMBARI IMERI GUIANA BELEM RONDONIA THE REFUGIA Tropical Rainforests in

Opposition to the Refugia Model

• collecting data biased for refugia areas –“museum model”

Collecting intensity of plant taxa used in the construction of refugial arguments

Tropical Rainforests in the Pleistocene

Page 21: Tropical Rainforests in the Pleistocenecourses.botany.wisc.edu/botany_422/Lecture/pdf/TropicRefuge1.pdf · INAMBARI IMERI GUIANA BELEM RONDONIA THE REFUGIA Tropical Rainforests in

• ecological reasons for concentration of species in putative “refugia”

• soil• local climate

• vegetation type

• rainfall

• geology• river boundaries

Coincidence of range of major zones of habitat uniformity and postulated refugia

Opposition to the Refugia Model

Tropical Rainforests in the Pleistocene

Page 22: Tropical Rainforests in the Pleistocenecourses.botany.wisc.edu/botany_422/Lecture/pdf/TropicRefuge1.pdf · INAMBARI IMERI GUIANA BELEM RONDONIA THE REFUGIA Tropical Rainforests in

Colinvaux et al. 1996

Hoorn C. 1997

Palynological Evidence

“Western Amazon was forested in the Pleistocene as it is now”

“Palynological data give no indication of major vegetational changes in the drainage basin” (of the Amazon)(Amazon Fan)

(One site in north-western Amazon)

Opposition to the Refugia Model

Tropical Rainforests in the Pleistocene

Page 23: Tropical Rainforests in the Pleistocenecourses.botany.wisc.edu/botany_422/Lecture/pdf/TropicRefuge1.pdf · INAMBARI IMERI GUIANA BELEM RONDONIA THE REFUGIA Tropical Rainforests in

Pollen data from modern Amazonian river muds (upper panel) and from ice age deposits of the Amazon Fan

• Sediment cores from the Amazon fan provide an insight on the past vegetation of Amazonia at the scale of that landscape and do not support the assumption that large areas of savanna replaced forest

Opposition to the Refugia Model

Tropical Rainforests in the Pleistocene

Page 24: Tropical Rainforests in the Pleistocenecourses.botany.wisc.edu/botany_422/Lecture/pdf/TropicRefuge1.pdf · INAMBARI IMERI GUIANA BELEM RONDONIA THE REFUGIA Tropical Rainforests in

• Phylogeographic analysis of Amazonian birds based on DNA does not support Refugia model based on either proximity of refugia in area cladogram nor recency of speciation

• clocks indicate Pre-Pleistocene events!

Opposition to the Refugia Model

Tropical Rainforests in the Pleistocene

Page 25: Tropical Rainforests in the Pleistocenecourses.botany.wisc.edu/botany_422/Lecture/pdf/TropicRefuge1.pdf · INAMBARI IMERI GUIANA BELEM RONDONIA THE REFUGIA Tropical Rainforests in

Opposition to the Refugia Model — the winner?

Tropical Rainforests in the Pleistocene

Paul Colinvaux

Amazon Expeditions: My Quest for the Ice-Age Equator

Yale Univ Press, 2008

Page 26: Tropical Rainforests in the Pleistocenecourses.botany.wisc.edu/botany_422/Lecture/pdf/TropicRefuge1.pdf · INAMBARI IMERI GUIANA BELEM RONDONIA THE REFUGIA Tropical Rainforests in

Gracious losers?

Tropical Rainforests in the Pleistocene

Page 27: Tropical Rainforests in the Pleistocenecourses.botany.wisc.edu/botany_422/Lecture/pdf/TropicRefuge1.pdf · INAMBARI IMERI GUIANA BELEM RONDONIA THE REFUGIA Tropical Rainforests in

Good read![see lecture webpage for pdf]

Tropical Rainforests in the Pleistocene

Page 28: Tropical Rainforests in the Pleistocenecourses.botany.wisc.edu/botany_422/Lecture/pdf/TropicRefuge1.pdf · INAMBARI IMERI GUIANA BELEM RONDONIA THE REFUGIA Tropical Rainforests in

Tropical Rainforests in the Pleistocene

• But the debate does NOT go away – especially in African tropics!

Page 29: Tropical Rainforests in the Pleistocenecourses.botany.wisc.edu/botany_422/Lecture/pdf/TropicRefuge1.pdf · INAMBARI IMERI GUIANA BELEM RONDONIA THE REFUGIA Tropical Rainforests in

Tropical Rainforests in the Pleistocene

Page 30: Tropical Rainforests in the Pleistocenecourses.botany.wisc.edu/botany_422/Lecture/pdf/TropicRefuge1.pdf · INAMBARI IMERI GUIANA BELEM RONDONIA THE REFUGIA Tropical Rainforests in

Tropical Rainforests in the Pleistocene• sampling across the region including 4 postulated upland forest refugia

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Tropical Rainforests in the Pleistocene• Bayesian clustering using 10 microsatellite loci identify 4 genetic groups

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Tropical Rainforests in the Pleistocene• Bayesian clustering using 10 microsatellite loci identify 4 genetic groups

• Distributions match that of forest refugiapostulated from patterns of species richness and endemism

• Results cannot be explained on the basis of present-day ecological conditions

Page 33: Tropical Rainforests in the Pleistocenecourses.botany.wisc.edu/botany_422/Lecture/pdf/TropicRefuge1.pdf · INAMBARI IMERI GUIANA BELEM RONDONIA THE REFUGIA Tropical Rainforests in

Tropical Rainforests in the Pleistocene

• Similar study done with mtDNA and nuclear DNA on 4 subspecies of African gorillas

Page 34: Tropical Rainforests in the Pleistocenecourses.botany.wisc.edu/botany_422/Lecture/pdf/TropicRefuge1.pdf · INAMBARI IMERI GUIANA BELEM RONDONIA THE REFUGIA Tropical Rainforests in

Elisa Bonaccorso

The University of Kansas &Universidad Tecnológica Indoamérica –Quito, Ecuador

New biogeographic tests — Pleistocene history of Amazonian birds as reconstructed by Ecological Niche Modeling

Tropical Rainforests in the Pleistocene

Page 35: Tropical Rainforests in the Pleistocenecourses.botany.wisc.edu/botany_422/Lecture/pdf/TropicRefuge1.pdf · INAMBARI IMERI GUIANA BELEM RONDONIA THE REFUGIA Tropical Rainforests in

Collection locality data

Ecological data

Distributional prediction in the present

Ecological Niche Modeling: GARP (MaxEnt now used)

Projection to past scenario

GARPGenetic Algorithm of Rule-set Prediction

Page 36: Tropical Rainforests in the Pleistocenecourses.botany.wisc.edu/botany_422/Lecture/pdf/TropicRefuge1.pdf · INAMBARI IMERI GUIANA BELEM RONDONIA THE REFUGIA Tropical Rainforests in

Campephilus rubricollisFormicarius colmaPhylidor pyrrhodesAutomolus infuscatusPipra coronataTangara mexicana

Forest species

Data Set – rainfall, temperature, elevation

Page 37: Tropical Rainforests in the Pleistocenecourses.botany.wisc.edu/botany_422/Lecture/pdf/TropicRefuge1.pdf · INAMBARI IMERI GUIANA BELEM RONDONIA THE REFUGIA Tropical Rainforests in

Forest: All Species

Haffer’s Refugia

NAPO

INAMBARI

IMERI

GUIANA

BELEM

RONDONIAWas Haffer correct after all?

Potential Distribution 21,000 Years Ago

Present Distribution