Trends in the Global Development

LandscapeOctober 2016

The current state of the world?

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Increasing number of refugees and all-time highs in migration flows

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Reducing Poverty Through Growth

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Gapminder poll: In the last twenty years, the proportion of the global population living in extreme poverty has…

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The reality is that there has been huge progress in both the total number of poor and the proportion living in poverty

Progress has been seen across a variety of other development indicators as well

Progress is not limited to one region, but Africa still lags behind

20051.36 billion

2013767 million

2025~450 million?

A shrinking problem – but perhaps a more difficult one?

From this trend also emerges a very MCC-specific conundrum

LMIC (Scorecard definition)

LIC (Scorecard definition)

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113 113 108104

98 9590 89

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75 82 81 79 75 7363 63 60 56 56 54 53

32 3433 31

35 32 30 33 27 29 28

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FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16

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The confluence of these two trends provides a two-headed problem for MCC

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How should MCC engage (or not) with the fragile states that are being left behind?

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How should MCC approach the problem of a shrinking candidate pool?

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Can MCC work with a more diverse range of country partners while staying true to its model?

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What do you think?

These trends profoundly impact the potential pool of partners for MCC. How should we be

thinking about this?

The trend points to continued progress… but will the trend continue?

The Sustainable Development Goals provide an ambitious roadmap for where we want to be in 2030

There are huge financing gaps associated with these goals however…

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…fortunately, development financing has never been higher or more diverse

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Domestic resources are the largest source of financing – both public and commercial

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Domestic resources are lowest where depth of poverty is highest

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Low income countries are particularly dependent on official flows

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Other trends: climate change

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Other trends: demographic dividend

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Other trends: urbanization

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Other trends: access to technology

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Are these trends surprising? What else are you tracking? What is missing?

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What is MCC’s competitive advantage? How should we be thinking about these trends differently?

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What are the implications for MCC? How can we better engage on these issues?

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What do you think?

These are just a few trends that could potentially affect our work.