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© BALance 2019 WP6 WORKSHOP ON SHIPBUILDING AND THE MARINE EQUIPMENT INDUSTRY 11/2019 Trends in Marine Supplies Industries Industry Dimension Industry Structure Demand Patterns Joachim Brodda, BALance Technology Consulting © BALance 2019

Trends in Marine Supplies Industries Industry Dimension Industry ... · 5.Systems/Equipment – Ship Operation (steering gear, anchor, deck machinery, life saving equipment, MARPOL

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Page 1: Trends in Marine Supplies Industries Industry Dimension Industry ... · 5.Systems/Equipment – Ship Operation (steering gear, anchor, deck machinery, life saving equipment, MARPOL

© BALance 2019WP6 WORKSHOP ON SHIPBUILDING AND THE MARINE EQUIPMENT INDUSTRY 11/2019

Trends in Marine Supplies Industries

Industry DimensionIndustry StructureDemand PatternsJoachim Brodda,BALance Technology Consulting

© BALance 2019

Page 2: Trends in Marine Supplies Industries Industry Dimension Industry ... · 5.Systems/Equipment – Ship Operation (steering gear, anchor, deck machinery, life saving equipment, MARPOL

© BALance 2019WP6 WORKSHOP ON SHIPBUILDING AND THE MARINE EQUIPMENT INDUSTRY 11/2019

Customers:Shipping Companies, Offshore-Operators,

Navies, Private Customers, Energy Firms, Authorities

Global Maritime Technoloy Market Dimension

© BALance Analytics 2017

Page 3: Trends in Marine Supplies Industries Industry Dimension Industry ... · 5.Systems/Equipment – Ship Operation (steering gear, anchor, deck machinery, life saving equipment, MARPOL

© BALance 2019WP6 WORKSHOP ON SHIPBUILDING AND THE MARINE EQUIPMENT INDUSTRY 11/2019

World Shipbuilding Model by Value (Shipyards + Suppliers)Va

lue

Chai

n Co

mpa

rison

(201

0 –

2014

)

Page 4: Trends in Marine Supplies Industries Industry Dimension Industry ... · 5.Systems/Equipment – Ship Operation (steering gear, anchor, deck machinery, life saving equipment, MARPOL

© BALance 2019WP6 WORKSHOP ON SHIPBUILDING AND THE MARINE EQUIPMENT INDUSTRY 11/2019

Global Trade Balance marine supplies (2010 – 2014)

Note: trade balance of 1st and 2nd tier suppliers without intra EU import/export

Page 5: Trends in Marine Supplies Industries Industry Dimension Industry ... · 5.Systems/Equipment – Ship Operation (steering gear, anchor, deck machinery, life saving equipment, MARPOL

© BALance 2019WP6 WORKSHOP ON SHIPBUILDING AND THE MARINE EQUIPMENT INDUSTRY 11/2019

Swap of manufacturing from Europe to Asia is obvious

Source: BALance Analytics, MarED 11/2019

EU Marine Equipment Directive

Page 6: Trends in Marine Supplies Industries Industry Dimension Industry ... · 5.Systems/Equipment – Ship Operation (steering gear, anchor, deck machinery, life saving equipment, MARPOL

© BALance 2019WP6 WORKSHOP ON SHIPBUILDING AND THE MARINE EQUIPMENT INDUSTRY 11/2019

Swap of manufacturing from Europe to Asia is obvious – Driving Countries

Source: BALance Analytics, MarED 11/2019

EU Marine Equipment Directive

Page 7: Trends in Marine Supplies Industries Industry Dimension Industry ... · 5.Systems/Equipment – Ship Operation (steering gear, anchor, deck machinery, life saving equipment, MARPOL

© BALance 2019WP6 WORKSHOP ON SHIPBUILDING AND THE MARINE EQUIPMENT INDUSTRY 11/2019

Globally >11.500 marine supplies companies exist based on analysis of certificates

Source: BALance Analytics, MarED 2014

0

200

400

600

800

1.000

1.200

1.400

1.600

N° of Companies in top 20 Countries

Source: BALance TC calculations

Page 8: Trends in Marine Supplies Industries Industry Dimension Industry ... · 5.Systems/Equipment – Ship Operation (steering gear, anchor, deck machinery, life saving equipment, MARPOL

© BALance 2019WP6 WORKSHOP ON SHIPBUILDING AND THE MARINE EQUIPMENT INDUSTRY 11/2019

Industry Structure

© Fotos Raytheon, BALance

Page 9: Trends in Marine Supplies Industries Industry Dimension Industry ... · 5.Systems/Equipment – Ship Operation (steering gear, anchor, deck machinery, life saving equipment, MARPOL

© BALance 2019WP6 WORKSHOP ON SHIPBUILDING AND THE MARINE EQUIPMENT INDUSTRY 11/2019

1.External services and subcontracts - engineering, design and consulting services2.Materials – Steel (half raw materials, subassemblies)3.Materials – Pipes and Ducts (half raw materials, subassemblies)4.Materials – Paint, Coating (paints, painting services)5.Systems/Equipment – Ship Operation (steering gear, anchor, deck machinery, life

saving equipment, MARPOL equipment, general outfitting components)6.Systems/Equipment - Cargo Handling Equipment and Special Cargo Plants7.Systems/Equipment – Accommodation (cabins, public rooms, functional rooms)8.Systems/Equipment – Propulsion Plants and Chains, Power Generation9.Systems/Equipment - Auxiliary Systems10.Systems/Equipment - Electrical Plants and Electronic Systems, Navigation,

Entertainment

Basic Marine Supplies Structure

Page 10: Trends in Marine Supplies Industries Industry Dimension Industry ... · 5.Systems/Equipment – Ship Operation (steering gear, anchor, deck machinery, life saving equipment, MARPOL

© BALance 2019WP6 WORKSHOP ON SHIPBUILDING AND THE MARINE EQUIPMENT INDUSTRY 11/2019

vertical, pyramidal co-operation

Horizontal co-operation

Shipyard AShipyard B,

module factory

„1st tier supplier“

Supplier Subcontractor

Material Component Systems

Manu -

facturing

Assembly

Engineering

Design

Supplier Subcontractor

Material Component Systems

Manu -

facturing

Assembly

Engineering

Design

Supplier Subcontractor

Material Component Systems

Manu -

facturing

Assembly

Engineering

Design

Supplier Subcontractor

Material Component Systems

Manu -

facturing

Assembly

Engineering

Design

Supplier Subcontractor

Material Component Systems

Manu -

facturing

Assembly

Engineering

Design

„2nd tier supplier“

„market level“

Horizontal and vertical co-operation of shipyards and suppliers

Page 11: Trends in Marine Supplies Industries Industry Dimension Industry ... · 5.Systems/Equipment – Ship Operation (steering gear, anchor, deck machinery, life saving equipment, MARPOL

© BALance 2019WP6 WORKSHOP ON SHIPBUILDING AND THE MARINE EQUIPMENT INDUSTRY 11/2019

Pattern of Supply Chains changing

Page 12: Trends in Marine Supplies Industries Industry Dimension Industry ... · 5.Systems/Equipment – Ship Operation (steering gear, anchor, deck machinery, life saving equipment, MARPOL

© BALance 2019WP6 WORKSHOP ON SHIPBUILDING AND THE MARINE EQUIPMENT INDUSTRY 11/2019

Increasing Globalisation of Supply Chains

Page 13: Trends in Marine Supplies Industries Industry Dimension Industry ... · 5.Systems/Equipment – Ship Operation (steering gear, anchor, deck machinery, life saving equipment, MARPOL

© BALance 2019WP6 WORKSHOP ON SHIPBUILDING AND THE MARINE EQUIPMENT INDUSTRY 11/2019

Increasing Globalisation of Supply Chains

Can have a bigmeaning for the Value of nationalmaritime industries!

Page 14: Trends in Marine Supplies Industries Industry Dimension Industry ... · 5.Systems/Equipment – Ship Operation (steering gear, anchor, deck machinery, life saving equipment, MARPOL

© BALance 2019WP6 WORKSHOP ON SHIPBUILDING AND THE MARINE EQUIPMENT INDUSTRY 11/2019

Supplies have different impact on supply chains and products

Page 15: Trends in Marine Supplies Industries Industry Dimension Industry ... · 5.Systems/Equipment – Ship Operation (steering gear, anchor, deck machinery, life saving equipment, MARPOL

© BALance 2019WP6 WORKSHOP ON SHIPBUILDING AND THE MARINE EQUIPMENT INDUSTRY 11/2019

Meaning of supplies varies, Shiptype values show significant differences

25.000

20.000

15.000

10.000

5.000

0

(USD/GT)0 0,5 1,0 1,5 2,0 2,5 3,0 3,5DWT/GT

Merchant Shipbuilding forecast 2016-2025, BALance Analytics 2017

LNG=

Liqu

id N

atur

al G

as, L

PG=L

iqui

d Pe

trol

Gas

, PX=

Pass

enge

r, M

/H=M

ultih

ull,

NCC

V=N

on C

argo

Car

ryin

gVe

ssel

s, O

F=O

ffsho

re, A

HT/S

=Anc

hor H

andl

ing

Tug

and

Supp

ly V

esse

l,O

SV=O

ffhor

eSu

pply

Ves

sel,

Expl

& C

ons=

Expl

orat

ion

and

Cons

utru

ctio

nVe

ssel

Page 16: Trends in Marine Supplies Industries Industry Dimension Industry ... · 5.Systems/Equipment – Ship Operation (steering gear, anchor, deck machinery, life saving equipment, MARPOL

© BALance 2019WP6 WORKSHOP ON SHIPBUILDING AND THE MARINE EQUIPMENT INDUSTRY 11/2019

Meaning of supplies varies, Shiptype values show significant differences

25.000

20.000

15.000

10.000

5.000

0

(USD/GT)0 0,5 1,0 1,5 2,0 2,5 3,0 3,5DWT/GT

Merchant Shipbuilding forecast 2016-2025, BALance Analytics 2017

LNG=

Liqu

id N

atur

al G

as, L

PG=L

iqui

d Pe

trol

Gas

, PX=

Pass

enge

r, M

/H=M

ultih

ull,

NCC

V=N

on C

argo

Car

ryin

gVe

ssel

s, O

F=O

ffsho

re, A

HT/S

=Anc

hor H

andl

ing

Tug

and

Supp

ly V

esse

l,O

SV=O

ffhor

eSu

pply

Ves

sel,

Expl

& C

ons=

Expl

orat

ion

and

Cons

utru

ctio

nVe

ssel

More sophisticatedMore systemsMore tradesMore qualityMore playersMore dataMore Integration

Page 17: Trends in Marine Supplies Industries Industry Dimension Industry ... · 5.Systems/Equipment – Ship Operation (steering gear, anchor, deck machinery, life saving equipment, MARPOL

© BALance 2019WP6 WORKSHOP ON SHIPBUILDING AND THE MARINE EQUIPMENT INDUSTRY 11/2019

Demand Patterns

© BALance 2019

Page 18: Trends in Marine Supplies Industries Industry Dimension Industry ... · 5.Systems/Equipment – Ship Operation (steering gear, anchor, deck machinery, life saving equipment, MARPOL

© BALance 2019WP6 WORKSHOP ON SHIPBUILDING AND THE MARINE EQUIPMENT INDUSTRY 11/2019

World market for marine supplies – merchant shipbuilding only

Merchant Shipbuilding forecast 2016-2025, BALance Analytics 2015

Page 19: Trends in Marine Supplies Industries Industry Dimension Industry ... · 5.Systems/Equipment – Ship Operation (steering gear, anchor, deck machinery, life saving equipment, MARPOL

© BALance 2019WP6 WORKSHOP ON SHIPBUILDING AND THE MARINE EQUIPMENT INDUSTRY 11/2019

World Market Marine Supplies (Forecast 2016-2025)

[mil USD]

Mer

chan

t Shi

pbui

ldin

g fo

reca

st 2

016-

2025

, BAL

ance

Ana

lytic

s 201

5

Page 20: Trends in Marine Supplies Industries Industry Dimension Industry ... · 5.Systems/Equipment – Ship Operation (steering gear, anchor, deck machinery, life saving equipment, MARPOL

© BALance 2019WP6 WORKSHOP ON SHIPBUILDING AND THE MARINE EQUIPMENT INDUSTRY 11/2019

World Market Marine Supplies (Forecast 2016-2025)

[mil USD]

Mer

chan

t Shi

pbui

ldin

g fo

reca

st 2

016-

2025

, BAL

ance

Ana

lytic

s 201

5

Page 21: Trends in Marine Supplies Industries Industry Dimension Industry ... · 5.Systems/Equipment – Ship Operation (steering gear, anchor, deck machinery, life saving equipment, MARPOL

© BALance 2019WP6 WORKSHOP ON SHIPBUILDING AND THE MARINE EQUIPMENT INDUSTRY 11/2019

Marine supplies are differently critical – depending on shiptypes

Merchant Shipbuilding forecast 2016-2025, BALance Analytics 2015

Page 22: Trends in Marine Supplies Industries Industry Dimension Industry ... · 5.Systems/Equipment – Ship Operation (steering gear, anchor, deck machinery, life saving equipment, MARPOL

© BALance 2019WP6 WORKSHOP ON SHIPBUILDING AND THE MARINE EQUIPMENT INDUSTRY 11/2019

Europe and Japan are strong in critical and strategic supplies, but have to follow markets

EuropeJapan

EuropeJapan

EuropeJapan

EuropeJapan

Note: dark blue = strong position of suppliers in these supplies classes

Page 23: Trends in Marine Supplies Industries Industry Dimension Industry ... · 5.Systems/Equipment – Ship Operation (steering gear, anchor, deck machinery, life saving equipment, MARPOL

© BALance 2019WP6 WORKSHOP ON SHIPBUILDING AND THE MARINE EQUIPMENT INDUSTRY 11/2019

Korea is good at critical supplies but has shortcomings in some strategic supplies

Korea Korea

KoreaKorea

Note: dark red = strong position of suppliers in these supplies classes

Page 24: Trends in Marine Supplies Industries Industry Dimension Industry ... · 5.Systems/Equipment – Ship Operation (steering gear, anchor, deck machinery, life saving equipment, MARPOL

© BALance 2019WP6 WORKSHOP ON SHIPBUILDING AND THE MARINE EQUIPMENT INDUSTRY 11/2019

China has shortcomings in strategic and critical suppliesand has to create attractive market conditions

China China

ChinaChina

Note: dark red = strong position of suppliers in these supplies classes

Page 25: Trends in Marine Supplies Industries Industry Dimension Industry ... · 5.Systems/Equipment – Ship Operation (steering gear, anchor, deck machinery, life saving equipment, MARPOL

© BALance 2019WP6 WORKSHOP ON SHIPBUILDING AND THE MARINE EQUIPMENT INDUSTRY 11/2019

China has shortcomings in strategic and critical suppliesand has to create attractive market conditions

Note: dark red = strong position of suppliers in these supplies classes

MIIT - Action Plan 2016-2020 – “Boosting Capabilities of Marine Equipment Industry” (status 10/2016)QuotesTargets for the next decade

By 2020 a world class level of marine component industry shall be achieved in respect of power system, deck machinery, navigation/communication system, IT technology for marine application. The ratioof localisation of marine components shallbe more than 80% for conventional vesselssuch as tanker, bulker and container vessel.

Page 26: Trends in Marine Supplies Industries Industry Dimension Industry ... · 5.Systems/Equipment – Ship Operation (steering gear, anchor, deck machinery, life saving equipment, MARPOL

© BALance 2019WP6 WORKSHOP ON SHIPBUILDING AND THE MARINE EQUIPMENT INDUSTRY 11/2019

Technological challenges will bring new kids on the block

Markets for SuppliesShipbuildingBoatbuildingRepair + RetrofittingOffshore Wind/EnergyOffshore Oil & GasOffshore MineralsShippingHarboursNaviesFishingMaricultureMarine SciencesSovereign Tasks…

Page 27: Trends in Marine Supplies Industries Industry Dimension Industry ... · 5.Systems/Equipment – Ship Operation (steering gear, anchor, deck machinery, life saving equipment, MARPOL

© BALance 2019WP6 WORKSHOP ON SHIPBUILDING AND THE MARINE EQUIPMENT INDUSTRY 11/2019

Future Trends influencing supplies and supply chains

• Consolidation of suppliers – from components to systems and multi systems suppliers

• Digitalisation – all ship systems have an IT dimensions – sensors and networks – new regulatory regime required including certification and classification

• Sustainability – zero emission vessels - new ships with new technologies

• Autonomous sustainable ships as ultimate (long term?) challenge

• Digitalisation – ships to become integral parts of logistical supply chain

• World fleet decarbonisation - increasing demand of retrofitting

• Faster retrofitting cycles in order to cope with regulatory updating – advanced life cycle management with suppliers and new services involved

• 3D-Printing – Central design and marketing - local manufacturing and certification

Page 28: Trends in Marine Supplies Industries Industry Dimension Industry ... · 5.Systems/Equipment – Ship Operation (steering gear, anchor, deck machinery, life saving equipment, MARPOL

© BALance 2019WP6 WORKSHOP ON SHIPBUILDING AND THE MARINE EQUIPMENT INDUSTRY 11/2019

Die maritime Branche wächst zusammenAdvanced Marine Supplies

are a vital elementfor innovative global

shipbuilding

© Foto Siem Offshore

ContactJoachim BroddaBALance Technology Consulting [email protected]