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Trends in Major Important Regions Latin America Mario Barbosa Independent Consultant, MB Consultoria GPCA FERTILIZER CONVENTION 18-20 September 2018, Muscat, OMAN

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Page 1: Trends in Major Important Regions - Home - GPCA Fertilizer ... · Trends in Major Important Regions Latin America Mario Barbosa Independent Consultant, MB Consultoria GPCA FERTILIZER

Trends in Major Important RegionsLatin America

Mario Barbosa

Independent Consultant, MB Consultoria

GPCA FERTILIZER CONVENTION

18-20 September 2018, Muscat, OMAN

Page 2: Trends in Major Important Regions - Home - GPCA Fertilizer ... · Trends in Major Important Regions Latin America Mario Barbosa Independent Consultant, MB Consultoria GPCA FERTILIZER

0 20000 40000 60000 80000 100000

Western and Central Europe

East Asia

Latin America and the Caribbean

Africa

Eastern Europe and Central Asia

South Asia

West Asia

North America

Oceania

Production Imports Exports Consumption

77285962

Nitrogen Activities by Region of the World in 2015 (in mil t of nutrients)

Data Source: IFA; Developed by ANDA

2925

Page 3: Trends in Major Important Regions - Home - GPCA Fertilizer ... · Trends in Major Important Regions Latin America Mario Barbosa Independent Consultant, MB Consultoria GPCA FERTILIZER

Phosphate Activities by Region of the World in 2015 (in mil t of nutrients)

Data Source: IFA; Developed by ANDA

26704211 6170

0 10000 20000 30000 40000 50000

Western and Central Europe

East Asia

Latin America and the Caribbean

Africa

Eastern Europe and Central Asia

South Asia

West Asia

North America

Oceania

Production Imports Exports Consumption

Page 4: Trends in Major Important Regions - Home - GPCA Fertilizer ... · Trends in Major Important Regions Latin America Mario Barbosa Independent Consultant, MB Consultoria GPCA FERTILIZER

Potassium Activities by Region of the World in 2015 (in mil t of nutrients)

Data Source: IFA; Developed by ANDA

1508 6739 6710

0 10000 20000 30000 40000

Western and Central Europe

East Asia

Latin America and the Caribbean

Africa

Eastern Europe and Central Asia

South Asia

West Asia

North America

Oceania

Production Imports Exports Consumption

Page 5: Trends in Major Important Regions - Home - GPCA Fertilizer ... · Trends in Major Important Regions Latin America Mario Barbosa Independent Consultant, MB Consultoria GPCA FERTILIZER

Total of Nutrients Activities by Region of the World in 2015 (in mil t of nutrients)

Data Source: IFA; Developed by ANDA

0 20000 40000 60000 80000 100000 120000 140000 160000 180000

Western and Central Europe

East Asia

Latin America and the Caribbean

Africa

Eastern Europe and Central Asia

South Asia

West Asia

North America

Oceania

Production Imports Exports Consumption

Page 6: Trends in Major Important Regions - Home - GPCA Fertilizer ... · Trends in Major Important Regions Latin America Mario Barbosa Independent Consultant, MB Consultoria GPCA FERTILIZER

Latin America Fertilizer Imports in 2015

Data Source: IFA, Developed by ANDA

Total in Mt of Nutrients: 5.962

4,3%

7,7%

13,9%

48%

4,3%

4,2%

3,7%

3,2%

2,7%

1,7%

1,5%

1,2%

1,0%

1,0%

0,9%

0,7%

Page 7: Trends in Major Important Regions - Home - GPCA Fertilizer ... · Trends in Major Important Regions Latin America Mario Barbosa Independent Consultant, MB Consultoria GPCA FERTILIZER

Latin America Fertilizer Imports in 2015

Data Source: IFA, Developed by ANDA

Total in Mt of Nutrients: 4.211

4,5%

5,7%

9,0%

62,7%

3,8%

3,2%

2,7%

1,9%

1,9%

1,1%

1,0%

0,7%

0,6%

0,4%

0,4%

0,4%

Phosphate

Page 8: Trends in Major Important Regions - Home - GPCA Fertilizer ... · Trends in Major Important Regions Latin America Mario Barbosa Independent Consultant, MB Consultoria GPCA FERTILIZER

Latin America Fertilizer Imports in 2015

Data Source: IFA, Developed by ANDA

2,9%

4,0%

5,4%

75,8%

2,0%

1,6%

1,5%

1,3%

1,3%

1,3%

0,7%

0,6%

0,6%

0,4%

0,4%

0,2%

Page 9: Trends in Major Important Regions - Home - GPCA Fertilizer ... · Trends in Major Important Regions Latin America Mario Barbosa Independent Consultant, MB Consultoria GPCA FERTILIZER

Fertilizer Imports in Latin America in 2015

Data Source: IFA, Developed by ANDA

(𝑵 + 𝑷𝟐𝑶𝟓 + 𝑲𝟐𝐎)

Total in Mt of Nutrients: 16.912

2,0%

2,5%

3,6%

4,0%

6,0%

7,9%

62,7%

1,2%

0,7%

0,6%

0,6%

0,5%

2,0%

1,7%

1,7%

2,0%

Page 10: Trends in Major Important Regions - Home - GPCA Fertilizer ... · Trends in Major Important Regions Latin America Mario Barbosa Independent Consultant, MB Consultoria GPCA FERTILIZER

NPK Part.(%) 𝑵 Part.(%) 𝑷𝟐𝑶𝟓Part.(%) 𝑲𝟐𝑶 Part.(%)

World Ranking(in 2015)

1º China 27,8 China 26,3 China 32,3 China 25,9

2º India 14,5 India 16,7 Índia 15,0 Brazil 15,3

3º USA 11,5 USA 11,7 Brazil 9,5 USA 14,2

4º Brazil 7,1 Brazil 3,4 USA 9,2 Índia 7,1

World Total Consumption 184,2 103,9 46,5 33,7(Mi t of Nutrients)

Brazilian Share (%) in relation to the World:

Consumption 7,1 3,4 9,5 15,3

Import 12,0 7,4 14,2 16,2

Production 1,6 0,7 4,6 0,7

The Importance of the Brazilian Fertilizer Market in the WorldBrazil accounts for only 1,6% of world NPK production, being a significant importer. In terms of Potassium,

for example, the country has an important role due its large planted area with soybean and Sugarcane.

There is an important space to increase the nitrogen consumption with possible increase of the maize

productivity.

Data Source: IFA; Developed by por ANDA

𝑻𝒐𝒕𝒂𝒍 𝒐𝒇 𝒏𝒖𝒕𝒓𝒊𝒆𝒏𝒕𝒔 = 𝑵𝑷𝑲 = (𝑵 + 𝑷𝟐𝑶𝟓 +𝑲𝟐𝑶)

Page 11: Trends in Major Important Regions - Home - GPCA Fertilizer ... · Trends in Major Important Regions Latin America Mario Barbosa Independent Consultant, MB Consultoria GPCA FERTILIZER

NPK Part.(%) 𝑵 Part.(%) 𝑷𝟐𝑶𝟓Part.(%) 𝑲𝟐𝑶 Part.(%)

Latin America Ranking (in 2015)

1º Brazil 63,5 Brazil 45,7 Brasil 71,3 Brazil 76,9

2º Mexico 9,9 Mexico 18,1 Argentina 7,1 Colombia 4,8

3º Argentina 5,4 Colombia 8,0 Mexico 5,9 Mexico 4,1

4º Colombia 5,0 Argentina 6,0 Colombia 3,8 Ecuador 1,7

LA Total Consumption 20608 7728 6170 6710(Mil t of Nutrients)

Brazilian Share (%) in relation to the Latin America:

Consumption 63,5 45,7 71,3 76,9

Import 62,7 48,0 62,7 75,8

Production 43,5 27,0 75,7 18,5

The Importance of the Brazilian Fertilizer Market in Latin America

Brazil has a relevant role in Latin America consumption, representing 63,5% of the Total of Nutrients.

The same occurs for the Imports, representing 62,7% of the Total of Nutrients.

Data Source: IFA; Developed by ANDA

𝑻𝒐𝒕𝒂𝒍 𝒐𝒇 𝑵𝒖𝒕𝒓𝒊𝒆𝒏𝒕𝒔 = 𝑵𝑷𝑲 = (𝑵 + 𝑷𝟐𝑶𝟓 +𝑲𝟐𝑶)

Page 12: Trends in Major Important Regions - Home - GPCA Fertilizer ... · Trends in Major Important Regions Latin America Mario Barbosa Independent Consultant, MB Consultoria GPCA FERTILIZER

Overview on Nitrogen in Latin America

Share for the Four Major Markets in 2015 in t of nutrients

2925 mil t 5962 mil t

700 mil t

Data Source: IFA, Developed by ANDA

7728 mil tConsumption

Page 13: Trends in Major Important Regions - Home - GPCA Fertilizer ... · Trends in Major Important Regions Latin America Mario Barbosa Independent Consultant, MB Consultoria GPCA FERTILIZER

Overview on Phosphate in Latin America

Share for the Four Major Markets in 2015 in t of nutrients

2670 mil t 4211 mil t

511 mil t6170 mil t

Data Source: IFA, Developed by ANDA

Consumption

Page 14: Trends in Major Important Regions - Home - GPCA Fertilizer ... · Trends in Major Important Regions Latin America Mario Barbosa Independent Consultant, MB Consultoria GPCA FERTILIZER

Overview on Potassium in Latin America

Share for the Four Major Markets in 2015 in t of nutrients

1508 mil t

1129 mil t

6739 mil t

Data Source: IFA, Developed by ANDA

6710 mil tConsumption

Page 15: Trends in Major Important Regions - Home - GPCA Fertilizer ... · Trends in Major Important Regions Latin America Mario Barbosa Independent Consultant, MB Consultoria GPCA FERTILIZER

Overview on Total of Nutrients (𝑵𝑷𝑲 = 𝑵 + 𝑷𝟐𝑶𝟓 + 𝑲𝟐𝑶) in Latin America

Share for the Four Major Markets in 2015 in t of nutrients

7103 mil t 16912 mil t

2340 mil t

Data Source: IFA, Developed by ANDA

20608 mil tConsumption

Page 16: Trends in Major Important Regions - Home - GPCA Fertilizer ... · Trends in Major Important Regions Latin America Mario Barbosa Independent Consultant, MB Consultoria GPCA FERTILIZER

BRAZIL Map

Data Source: ResearchGate, Developed by ANDA

Page 17: Trends in Major Important Regions - Home - GPCA Fertilizer ... · Trends in Major Important Regions Latin America Mario Barbosa Independent Consultant, MB Consultoria GPCA FERTILIZER

Fertilizer Deliveries by State in Brazil in 2017 Fertilizer Use by Crop in Brazil in 2017

Data Source: ANDA, Developed by ANDA Data Source: ANDA, IBGE/LSPA/CEPAGRO, Developed by ANDA

Total Planted Area in Mha: 93.572Total in Mt of Nutrients: 15.356Total in Mt of Products: 34.439 (%)

Page 18: Trends in Major Important Regions - Home - GPCA Fertilizer ... · Trends in Major Important Regions Latin America Mario Barbosa Independent Consultant, MB Consultoria GPCA FERTILIZER

The Contribution of Agricultural Inputs to Sustainability in Brazil

Data Source: CONAB, Developed by ANDA

Saved Area

Planted Area with Fertilizer

Planted Area without Fertilizer

Planted Area without Fertilizer Planted Area with Fertilizer

Planted Area without Fertilizer

Planted Area with Fertilizer

Grain Prodcution 4,16

Planted Area 0,98

Fertilzer Comsumption 4,47

Productivity 3,15

TGCA (% per year)

76/77 to 16/17

Fertilizer Consumption

Page 19: Trends in Major Important Regions - Home - GPCA Fertilizer ... · Trends in Major Important Regions Latin America Mario Barbosa Independent Consultant, MB Consultoria GPCA FERTILIZER

TOTAL IN MILLION TONS OF PRODUCTS: 26.305

-

Data Source: Map modified from ANTAQ; Port Data: SIACESP, Developed by ANDA

Fertilizer Imports by Port in Brazil in 2017

B.Coqueiros

Page 20: Trends in Major Important Regions - Home - GPCA Fertilizer ... · Trends in Major Important Regions Latin America Mario Barbosa Independent Consultant, MB Consultoria GPCA FERTILIZER

Forecasting for the Four Main Markets (in Mil t of Nutrients)

TGCA (2006 to 2015) in % per year

0,7 % per year

6,1 % per year 3,0 % per year

Data Source: IFA, Developed by MB Consultoria

- 0,8 % per year 2,7 % per year

Nitrogen Consumption Forecast

Page 21: Trends in Major Important Regions - Home - GPCA Fertilizer ... · Trends in Major Important Regions Latin America Mario Barbosa Independent Consultant, MB Consultoria GPCA FERTILIZER

Forecasting for the Four Main Markets (in Mil t of Nutrients)

TGCA (2006 to 2015) in % per year

Data Source: IFA, Developed by MB Consultoria

3,1% per year- 0,2 % per year

5,9 % per year

Phosphate Consumption Forecast

-2,7 % per year

- 1,3 % per year 5,4% per year

Phosphate Imports Forecast

Page 22: Trends in Major Important Regions - Home - GPCA Fertilizer ... · Trends in Major Important Regions Latin America Mario Barbosa Independent Consultant, MB Consultoria GPCA FERTILIZER

Data Source: IFA, Developed by MB Consultoria

Forecasting for the Four Main Markets (in Mil t of Nutrients)

TGCA (2006 to 2015) in % per year

2,3% per year 4,3 % per year

Ecu =2,3% per year

2,6% per year 4,7 % per year

Ven = 2,0% per year

Page 23: Trends in Major Important Regions - Home - GPCA Fertilizer ... · Trends in Major Important Regions Latin America Mario Barbosa Independent Consultant, MB Consultoria GPCA FERTILIZER

Data Source: IFA, Developed by MB Consultoria

Forecasting for the Four Main Markets (in Mil t of Nutrients)

TGCA (2006 to 2015) in % per year

3,4% per year

-0,5 % per year

3,9% per year0,2% per year 5,4% per year

-2,5 % per year

Page 25: Trends in Major Important Regions - Home - GPCA Fertilizer ... · Trends in Major Important Regions Latin America Mario Barbosa Independent Consultant, MB Consultoria GPCA FERTILIZER

USE OF LAND IN BRAZIL’S

FARMING SYSTEM

Page 26: Trends in Major Important Regions - Home - GPCA Fertilizer ... · Trends in Major Important Regions Latin America Mario Barbosa Independent Consultant, MB Consultoria GPCA FERTILIZER

Source: USDA, 2017 - Foreign Agricultural Service http: // apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/. Notice: 2015/2017 season and 2017 forecast for meats. Developed by: ABAG

17% 30% 15% 8% 3% 19,5 MMton/ year

55% 21% 34% 6,5%

1o 1o 1o 2o 2o 3o 3o 4o 1o 5o

20% 39% 35% 18% 8% 13,1 MMton/ year

77% 45% 28% 10,8%

1o 1o 1o 2o 2o 1o 3o 4o 1o 3o

Orange Juice

Sugar Coffee Beef Soybeans Poultry Corn SuinePulp

(hardwood) Cotton

PR

OD

UC

TIO

NE

XP

OR

TS

Agribusiness global leadershipBRAZIL

Page 27: Trends in Major Important Regions - Home - GPCA Fertilizer ... · Trends in Major Important Regions Latin America Mario Barbosa Independent Consultant, MB Consultoria GPCA FERTILIZER

FUTURE OUTLOOK ACCORDING TO FAO

• According to the UN, by 2050 the world population will reach 9.7 bi

• Developing countries with the highest population growth

• Fast pace of urbanization

• Increase of average per capita income

• Changes in consumer patterns

• Food production shall increase by 60%

• Demand for cereals, for both food and animal feed uses is projected to reach some 3 billion tons by 2050, up from today´s nearly 2.1 billion.

• Beef production will have to grow by over 200 million tons

• BRAZIL – second largest food exporter (in volume)

Referências: https://esa.un.org/unpd/wpp/Publications/Files/WPP2017_KeyFindings.pdfhttps://nacoesunidas.org/fao-se-o-atual-ritmo-de-consumo-continuar-em-2050-mundo-precisara-de-60-mais-alimentos-e-40-mais-agua/http://www.fao.org/fileadmin/templates/wsfs/docs/Issues_papers/HLEF2050_Global_Agriculture.pdf

Page 28: Trends in Major Important Regions - Home - GPCA Fertilizer ... · Trends in Major Important Regions Latin America Mario Barbosa Independent Consultant, MB Consultoria GPCA FERTILIZER

Thank you for the opportunityMario Barbosa

Independent Consultant, MB Consultoria

GPCA FERTILIZER CONVENTION

18-20 September 2018, Muscat, OMAN

Page 29: Trends in Major Important Regions - Home - GPCA Fertilizer ... · Trends in Major Important Regions Latin America Mario Barbosa Independent Consultant, MB Consultoria GPCA FERTILIZER

ANNEXES

Page 30: Trends in Major Important Regions - Home - GPCA Fertilizer ... · Trends in Major Important Regions Latin America Mario Barbosa Independent Consultant, MB Consultoria GPCA FERTILIZER

Overview on Nitrogen in Latin America

Share for the Four Major Markets in 2015 (in %)

Data Source: IFA, Developed by ANDA

Page 31: Trends in Major Important Regions - Home - GPCA Fertilizer ... · Trends in Major Important Regions Latin America Mario Barbosa Independent Consultant, MB Consultoria GPCA FERTILIZER

Overview on Nitrogen in Latin America

Share for the Four Major Markets in 2015 (in Mil t of nutrients)

Data Source: IFA, Developed by ANDA

Page 32: Trends in Major Important Regions - Home - GPCA Fertilizer ... · Trends in Major Important Regions Latin America Mario Barbosa Independent Consultant, MB Consultoria GPCA FERTILIZER

Overview on Phosphate in Latin America

Share for the Four Major Markets in 2015 (in %)

Data Source: IFA, Developed by ANDA

Page 33: Trends in Major Important Regions - Home - GPCA Fertilizer ... · Trends in Major Important Regions Latin America Mario Barbosa Independent Consultant, MB Consultoria GPCA FERTILIZER

Overview on Phosphate in Latin America

Share for the Four Major Markets in 2015 (in Mil t of nutrients)

Data Source: IFA, Developed by ANDA

Page 34: Trends in Major Important Regions - Home - GPCA Fertilizer ... · Trends in Major Important Regions Latin America Mario Barbosa Independent Consultant, MB Consultoria GPCA FERTILIZER

Overview on Potassium in Latin America

Share for the Four Major Markets in 2015 (in %)

Data Source: IFA, Developed by ANDA

Page 35: Trends in Major Important Regions - Home - GPCA Fertilizer ... · Trends in Major Important Regions Latin America Mario Barbosa Independent Consultant, MB Consultoria GPCA FERTILIZER

Overview on Potassium in Latin America

Share for the Four Major Markets in 2015 (in Mil t of nutrients)

Data Source: IFA, Developed by ANDA

Page 36: Trends in Major Important Regions - Home - GPCA Fertilizer ... · Trends in Major Important Regions Latin America Mario Barbosa Independent Consultant, MB Consultoria GPCA FERTILIZER

Overview on Total of Nutrients (𝑵𝑷𝑲 = 𝑵 + 𝑷𝟐𝑶𝟓 + 𝑲𝟐𝑶) in Latin America

Share for the Four Major Markets in 2015 (in Mil t of nutrients)

Data Source: IFA, Developed by ANDA

Page 37: Trends in Major Important Regions - Home - GPCA Fertilizer ... · Trends in Major Important Regions Latin America Mario Barbosa Independent Consultant, MB Consultoria GPCA FERTILIZER

Overview on Total of Nutrients (𝑵𝑷𝑲 = 𝑵 + 𝑷𝟐𝑶𝟓 + 𝑲𝟐𝑶) in Latin America

Share for the Four Major Markets in 2015 (in %)

Data Source: IFA, Developed by ANDA

Page 38: Trends in Major Important Regions - Home - GPCA Fertilizer ... · Trends in Major Important Regions Latin America Mario Barbosa Independent Consultant, MB Consultoria GPCA FERTILIZER

The Power of the New Agricultural Frontier in Brazil

Data Source: ANDA, Developed by ANDA MATOPIBA means Maranhão, Tocantins, Piauí and Bahia

0500,000

1,000,0001,500,0002,000,0002,500,0003,000,0003,500,0004,000,0004,500,0005,000,0005,500,0006,000,0006,500,0007,000,0007,500,000

19

89

19

90

19

91

19

92

19

93

19

94

19

95

19

96

19

97

19

98

19

99

20

00

20

01

20

02

20

03

20

04

20

05

20

06

20

07

20

08

20

09

20

10

20

11

20

12

20

13

20

14

20

15

20

16

20

17

Deliveries of Fertilizers from 1989 to 2017 in t of products

SÃO PAULO MATO GROSSO MATOPIBA

Page 39: Trends in Major Important Regions - Home - GPCA Fertilizer ... · Trends in Major Important Regions Latin America Mario Barbosa Independent Consultant, MB Consultoria GPCA FERTILIZER

Period ImportNational

ProductionConsumption

1989 to 1999 11,54 3,41 6,18 3,4

1989 to 2017 8,20 1,83 5,39 4,5

2000 to 2017 5,57 0,50 4,16 11,1

Ratio

(I/NP)

TGCA (% per year)

National Production, Imports and Fertilizer Consumption in Brazil

76,4%

Data Source: ANDA, Developed by ANDA

23,6%

Page 40: Trends in Major Important Regions - Home - GPCA Fertilizer ... · Trends in Major Important Regions Latin America Mario Barbosa Independent Consultant, MB Consultoria GPCA FERTILIZER

23,5% of domestic GDP (R$ 6.6 Tri)

45% of exports (US$ 213 Bi)

19% of jobs

DISTRIBUTION OF AGRIBUSINESS GDB IN THE CHAIN

Inputs industry

12%

Agriculture

30%

Agri-industry

27%

Services

31%

IN THE BRAZILIAN ECONOMY

2017

AGRIBUSINESS

*For the last 43 years - Source: MBAgro - 2018

Reduction in the relative prices of food

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AGRIBUSINESSExports of main agriculture products (US$ Bi)

25.42

14.21

11.3410.24

5.47

31.37

15.47

12.2311.52

5.27

Soybean Complex

Meats Sugar & Alcohol

Complex

Forestry Products

Café

2016 2017

Source: MAPA, 2016

Page 42: Trends in Major Important Regions - Home - GPCA Fertilizer ... · Trends in Major Important Regions Latin America Mario Barbosa Independent Consultant, MB Consultoria GPCA FERTILIZER

21 24 2531

3944

4958

7265

76

95 96100 97

88 85

96

-6 -5 -4 -5 -5 -5 -7 -9 -12 -10 -13-18 -16 -17 -17 -13 -14 -14

15 19 2026

3439

4350

60 5563

7779 83 80 75

7282

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17

Exports Imports Balance of Trade

AGRIBUSINESS BALANCE

of Trade in Brazil (US$ Bi)

Source: Ministry of Agriculture (MAPA, 2017) http://www.agricultura.gov.br/internacional/indicadores-e-estatisticas/balanca-comercialDeveloped by: Abag

Page 43: Trends in Major Important Regions - Home - GPCA Fertilizer ... · Trends in Major Important Regions Latin America Mario Barbosa Independent Consultant, MB Consultoria GPCA FERTILIZER

BRAZILIAN BALANCE of Trade (US$ Bi)

Source: Ministry of Agriculture (MAPA, 2017) http://www.agricultura.gov.br/internacional/indicadores-e-estatisticas/balanca-comercialDeveloped by: Abag

Page 44: Trends in Major Important Regions - Home - GPCA Fertilizer ... · Trends in Major Important Regions Latin America Mario Barbosa Independent Consultant, MB Consultoria GPCA FERTILIZER

Data Source: IFA, Developed by David Roquetti Filho and updated from his Master´s Thesis

World Fertilizer Overview (1989 to 2015) – Four Major Market Shares

Shares in 2015Share

(%)RK

TGCA

(%a.a.)RK

Share

(%)RK

TGCA

(%a.a.)RK

Share

(%)RK

TGCA

(%a.a.)RK

Share

(%)RK

TGCA

(%a.a.)RK

China 32,1 1ª 4,3 1ª 24,0 1ª 28,2 1ª 26,3 1ª 1,5 3ª

Russia 6,5 4ª 2,7 2ª 13,2 2ª 3,6 4ª

India 11,9 2ª 2,4 3ª 13,2 2ª 8,9 2ª 16,7 2ª 3,4 2ª

EUA 8,0 3ª -0,9 4ª 15,2 1ª 4,3 3ª 11,7 3ª 0,6 4ª

Brazil 0,7 23ª -0,01 7,4 3ª 12,1 1ª 0,1 53ª -2,7 3,4 4ª 6,4 1ªQatar 6,1 3ª 8,5 2ª

France 4,7 4ª 1,2 4ª

Saudi Arabia 5,4 4ª 7,0 3ª

World (mil t) 113061 1,8 38523 2,9 40486 3,1 103933 1,4

China 39,26 1ª 6,67 1ª 32,3 1ª 24,3 1ª 32,3 1ª 3,9 3ª

Russia 6,85 4ª 3,62 2ª 13,4 3ª 3,4 2ª

India 10,06 3ª 3,06 3ª 15,6 1ª 6,3 4ª 15,0 2ª 4,1 2ª

EUA 11,94 2ª -1,68 4ª 5,6 3ª 7,1 3ª 14,5 2ª -3,1 4ª 9,2 4ª 0,03 4ª

Indonesia 4,3 4ª 13,0 2ª

Brazil 4,59 6ª 2,70 14,2 2ª 13,7 1ª 0,6 20ª 11,1 9,5 3ª 5,4 1ªMorocco 10,0 4ª 3,0 3ª

Word (mil t) 43992 1,41 18567 1,9 17673 1,7 46533 1,4

China 14,5 4ª 22,1 1ª 19,1 1ª 3,3 3ª 25,9 1ª 6,5 1ª

Russia 19,1 2ª 4,5 2ª 22,3 2ª 6,3 2ª

India 6,6 4ª 3,9 2ª 7,1 4ª 4,4 3ª

USA 14,1 3ª -0,3 4ª 14,2 3ª -0,4 4ª

Belarus 15,2 3ª 2,5 3ª 17,0 3ª 4,8 3ª

Brazil 0,7 13ª 4,7 16,2 2ª 6,1 1ª 0,2 19ª 13,9 15,3 2ª 5,9 2ªCanada 27,2 1ª 1,2 4ª 31,2 1ª 1,2 1ª

Germany 8,4 4ª -0,7 4ª

World (mil t) 42224 2,1 31476 1,9 33694 2,3 33741 1,5

China 30,0 1ª 5,3 1ª 7,4 4ª -3,2 4ª 16,8 1ª 27,5 1ª 27,8 1ª 2,6 3ª

Russia 9,3 2ª 3,5 2ª 16,6 2ª 4,6 3ª

India 9,0 3ª 2,6 3ª 11,4 3ª 6,2 2ª 14,5 2ª 3,7 2ª

USA 12,8 1ª 1,9 3ª 11,5 3ª 0,2 4ª

Belarus 7,0 4ª 4,7 2ª

Brazil 1,6 11ª 2,0 12,0 2ª 8,5 1ª 0,2 41ª 4,6 7,1 4ª 5,9 1ªCanada 7,7 4ª 1,0 4ª 13,3 3ª 0,9 4ª

World (mil t) 199277 1,8 88566 2,3 91810 2,5 184169 1,4

EXPORT CONSUMPTIONPRODUCTION IMPORTCOUNTRYNUTRIENT

RK = Ranking; % a.a. means % per year

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Latin America Fertilizer Overview (2011 to 2015) – Four Major Market Shares in 2015

Data Source: IFA, Developed by David Roquetti Filho

Share

(%)RK

TGCA

(%a.a.)RK

Share

(%)RK

TGCA

(%a.a.)RK

Share

(%)RK

TGCA

(%a.a.)RK

Share

(%)RK

TGCA

(%a.a.)RK

Brazil 27,0 1ª -1,7 2ª 48,0 1ª 2,4 2ª 6,4 5ª 12,5 45,7 1ª 2,2 3ª

Mexico 22,0 2ª 10,2 1ª 13,90 2ª 1,9 3ª 9,5 3ª -13,9 3ª 18,1 2ª 6,1 1ª

Trinidad & Tobago 17,5 3ª -6,3 3ª 34,8 1ª -5,1 1ª

Venezuela 14,9 4ª -8,6 4ª 32,5 2ª -13,0 2ª

Colombia 7,7 3ª 8,6 1ª 6,0 4ª 5,1 3ª

Argentina 8,2 4ª -18,5 4ª 8,0 3ª -4,8 4ª

Peru 4,3 4ª 1,0 4ª

Latin America (mil t) 2925 -2,2 5962 1,6 700 -11,1 7728 2,2

Brazil 75,7 1ª -0,8 2ª 62,7 1ª 5,7 3ª 19,8 2ª 0,4 3ª 71,3 1ª 3,6 3ª

Mexico 17,2 2ª -3,0 3ª 5,7 3ª 8,7 1ª 67,7 1ª -5,7 4ª 5,9 3ª 7,6 1ª

Colombia 3,0 3ª 12,2 1ª 4,5 4ª 6,3 2ª 5,3 3ª 16,1 2ª 3,8 4ª 7,0 2ª

Argentina 2,7 4ª -6,2 4ª 9,0 2ª -6,8 4ª 2,5 4ª 26,8 1ª 7,1 2ª -9,4 4ª

Latin America (mil t) 2670 -0,1 4211 4,0 511 -2,4 6170 2,5

Brazil 18,5 2ª -5,9 2ª 75,8 1ª 4,6 2ª 5,4 2ª -3,3 3ª 76,9 1ª 4,2 3ª

Chile 81,5 1ª 5,9 1ª 90,0 1ª 5,4 2ª

Colombia 5,4 2ª 5,3 1ª 2,4 3ª 30,5 1ª 4,8 2ª 8,7 1ª

Venezuela 2,0 4ª -1,1 3ª 0,9 4ª -4,7 4ª

Mexico 4,0 3ª -2,0 4ª 4,1 3ª -2,6 4ª

Equador 1,7 4ª 6,3 2ª

Latin America (mil t) 1508 3,1 6739 5,1 1129 5,8 6710 4,9

Brazil 43,5 1ª -1,6 3ª 62,7 1ª 4,3 2ª 8,8 5ª 1,1 63,5 1ª 3,4 3ª

Chile 17,3 2ª 3,0 2ª 44,3 1ª 2,4 1ª

Mexico 15,5 3ª 3,8 1ª 7,9 2ª 2,3 3ª 17,6 2ª -7,3 3ª 9,9 2ª 5,1 2ª

Trinidad & Tobago 7,2 4ª -6,3 4ª 10,4 3ª -5,1 2ª

Colombia 6,0 3ª 6,9 1ª 5,0 4ª 6,6 1ª

Argentina 4,0 4ª -8,0 4ª 5,4 3ª -6,2 4ª

Venezuela 10,6 4ª -11,4 4ª

Latin America (mil t) 7103 -6,3 16912 3,5 2340 -2,2 20608 3,1

EXPORT CONSUMPTIONPRODUCTION IMPORTCOUNTRYNUTRIENT

N

RK = Ranking; % a.a. means % per year

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Total in Mt of Nutrients: 5.962 Total in Mt of Nutrients: 4.211 Total in Mt of Nutrients: 6.739

Latin America Fertilizer Imports in 2015

Data Source: IFA, Developed by ANDA

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Latin America Fertilizer Imports in 2015

Total in Mt of Nutrients: 5.962

Data Source: IFA, Developed by ANDA

Total in Mt of Nutrients: 4.211 Total in Mt of Nutrients: 6.739

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TGCA

(%a.a.)RK

TGCA

(%a.a.)RK

TGCA

(%a.a.)RK

TGCA

(%a.a.)RK

Brazil -1,7 2ª 2,4 2ª 12,5 2,2 3ª

Mexico 10,2 1ª 1,9 3ª -13,9 3ª 6,1 1ª

Trinidad & Tobago -6,3 3ª -5,1 1ª

Venezuela -8,6 4ª -13,0 2ª

Colombia 8,6 1ª 5,1 3ª

Argentina -18,5 4ª -4,8 4ª

Peru 1,0 4ª

Latin America (mil t) -2,2 1,6 -11,1 2,2

Export ConsumptionProduction ImportCOUNTRYNUTRIENT

N

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TGCA

(%a.a.)RK

TGCA

(%a.a.)RK

TGCA

(%a.a.)RK

TGCA

(%a.a.)RK

Brazil -0,8 2ª 5,7 3ª 0,4 3ª 3,6 3ª

Mexico -3,0 3ª 8,7 1ª -5,7 4ª 7,6 1ª

Colombia 12,2 1ª 6,3 2ª 16,1 2ª 7,0 2ª

Argentina -6,2 4ª -6,8 4ª 26,8 1ª -9,4 4ª

Latin America (mil t) -0,1 4,0 -2,4 2,5

Export ConsumptionProduction ImportCOUNTRYNUTRIENT

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TGCA

(%a.a.)RK

TGCA

(%a.a.)RK

TGCA

(%a.a.)RK

TGCA

(%a.a.)RK

Brazil -5,9 2ª 4,6 2ª -3,3 3ª 4,2 3ª

Chile 5,9 1ª 5,4 2ª

Colombia 5,3 1ª 30,5 1ª 8,7 1ª

Venezuela -1,1 3ª -4,7 4ª

Mexico -2,0 4ª -2,6 4ª

Equador 6,3 2ª

Latin America (mil t) 3,1 5,1 5,8 4,9

Export ConsumptionProduction ImportCOUNTRYNUTRIENT

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TGCA

(%a.a.)RK

TGCA

(%a.a.)RK

TGCA

(%a.a.)RK

TGCA

(%a.a.)RK

Brazil -1,6 3ª 4,3 2ª 1,1 3,4 3ª

Chile 3,0 2ª 2,4 1ª

Mexico 3,8 1ª 2,3 3ª -7,3 3ª 5,1 2ª

Trinidad & Tobago -6,3 4ª -5,1 2ª

Colombia 6,9 1ª 6,6 1ª

Argentina -8,0 4ª -6,2 4ª

Venezuela -11,4 4ª

Latin America (mil t) -6,3 3,5 -2,2 3,1

Export ConsumptionProduction ImportCOUNTRYNUTRIENT

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Period ImportNational

ProductionConsumption

1989 to 1999 11,54 3,41 6,18 3,4

1989 to 2017 8,20 1,83 5,39 4,5

2000 to 2017 5,57 0,50 4,16 11,1

Ratio

(I/NP)

TGCA (% per year)