Trans Air Pollution in Quetta

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    Transboundary Air Pollution

    Badar Ghauri, Director, SUPARCO

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    Whos Air Do We Breathe?

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    Introduction

    Pollution is a global problem

    There are no boundaries

    Satellite Remote Sensing is the only way to mapglobal distribution of air pollution

    This talk will highlight various tools available to

    track global/Transboundary pollution

    Regional and intercontinental aerosol pollution willbe discussed

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    Country-to-country source-receptor matrix

    Source:Foell et.al, December, 1995(Final report submitted to The World Bank)

    The columns represent the source country while the rows represent the

    receptor country. Shown is the total annual sulfur deposition expressed intones S/yr

    Source/Receptor

    Bangladesh Bhutan India Nepal Pakistan Sri Lanka

    Bangladesh

    1.77E+04 1.27E+00 1.64E+04 1.77E+02 2.30E+02

    4.34E-03

    Bhutan3.83E+02 1.63E+02 8.14E+03 4.37E+02 8.65E+01

    5.57E-18

    India1.58E+04 7.14E+01 1.06E+06 5.26E+03 1.88E+04

    5.49E+02

    Nepal3.22E+02 1.78E+00 4.06E+04 2.21E+04 1.04E+03

    1.92E-20

    Pakistan 0.00E+00 3.46E-09 1.73E+04 3.97E+00 1.16E+05 0.00E+00

    Sri Lanka6.72E+00 4.99E-07 2.97E+03 5.70E-01 6.63E-01

    8.15E+03

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    Countries with Renewable EnergyTargets in the Region

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    Strategy on Transboundary AirPollution

    Adequacy of data compiled

    Pollutants of concern (additional pollutants)

    SOx, NOx, Ozone, etc (NOx shows significant increase) Compatibility of information collected

    QA/QC issues

    Common monitoring protocol (such as EANET technical manual)

    Adequacy of monitoring network (strengthening in terms of no. ofstations/ parameters, frequency)

    National baseline studies

    Integration of Monitoring data on a sub-regional basis

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    Strategy on Transboundary AirPollution

    Comparison of methodologies used for different pollutants

    Aim for a common approach

    Use of emission factors

    First preference: Local emission factors for various

    activities

    Else use emission factors such as from WB rapid

    emission inventory

    Undertake emission factors development (where ever

    deemed necessary)

    Subsequent refinements/ updating of emission inventories

    Transparency in the development of inventory

    Capacity Building

    Analysis and refinement of National emission inventories

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    Strategy on Transboundary AirPollution

    Identification of appropriate tools/ models

    Model acceptability and ownership - focal centre

    Integrated assessment model - effects based approach

    Input data compilation -

    emissions/meteorology/database on critical loads

    Validation: model prediction vs observed data

    Capacity Building

    Strengthening of regional modeling capabilities

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    Strategy on Transboundary AirPollution

    Regional cooperation in cleaner energysources (hydel, alternative energies)

    Fuel quality improvement (eg., reduced S indiesel)

    Improvement in energy efficiency

    Sharing of information and cooperation inadoption of clean process technologies as wellas EOP control technologies

    Strategies to minimize air pollution

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    Strategy on Transboundary AirPollution

    Damage to human health

    Impacts on crop productivity, forests, etc

    Related economic analysis

    These would assist in formulating

    appropriate policy response

    Studies on the impact assessment

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    Strategy on Transboundary AirPollution

    Involve relevant stakeholders

    Industry, NGOs, research institutes, media

    Dissemination of tools, methodologies, and data

    Information sharing

    Stakeholder involvement and information dissemination

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    Strategy on Transboundary AirPollution

    Policy issues

    Financial assistance for tackling TAP:

    Multilateral (UNEP/SACEP), National

    funds, others

    Scientific process to aid policy making :

    Leading to signing of Agreement/

    Protocol

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    Intergovernmental meeting, stakeholders meeting cum

    coordination meeting

    Participating countries should initiate the process of

    understanding issues arising from TAP

    Air pollution related initiatives in South Asia need to be

    encouraged to participate

    National Advisory Committee and National Stakeholders should

    coordinate activities at the national and international levels

    Regional Cooperation

    Male Declaration

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    Male declaration on control & prevention of airpollution & its likely transboundary effects

    Declaration approved on April 22, 1998

    Aims: intergovernmental cooperation to address TAP

    and consequential impacts

    Sets an institutional framework linking scientific

    research and policy formulation

    To draw up and implement national and regional

    action plan and protocols based on fullerunderstanding of TAP

    India, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Nepal, Sri Lanka,

    Bhutan, Maldives and Iran

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    Development March 1998: Policy Dialogue

    April 1998: Adoption of the Declaration

    Implementation Phase I: Awareness and preparation of the baseline information

    Phase II: Local capacity development for monitoring and analysis

    Member states

    Male Declaration

    Bhutan

    Nepal

    Bangladesh

    Sri Lanka

    Iran

    Pakistan

    India

    Maldives

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    Strengthen the regional cooperation and stakeholders participation

    under the Mal Declaration;

    Strengthen the capacity building programmes initiated

    Enhance the capacity of NIAs on emission inventory development

    and Integrated Assessment Modeling

    Enhance the analytical and impact assessment capability at thenational level through integration of findings from local pollution

    studies and conducting assessment studies;

    Provide decision support information for policy formulation and airpollution prevention ;

    Raise awareness for action through targeted dissemination

    Objectives (April 1998)

    Male Declaration

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    Terra

    Aqua

    Satellite Measurement Capability

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    Aerosol Optical Thickness (AOT) is the degree to which aerosols

    prevent the transmission of light. Aerosol Optical Thickness alsoreferred to as optical depth or optical thickness depends upon the

    physical constitution, the form and concentration of aerosols.

    The transmissivity, which is the ratio of amount of solar radiation

    incident on the surface of the earth to the amount of solar

    radiation incident at the top of the atmosphere, has a value

    between 0 and 1, is an indication of Aerosol optical thickness.

    The smaller the transmissivity, the larger the aerosol optical

    thickness. When the transmissivity is 0 the atmosphere is

    perfectly opaque, and when the transmissivity is 1 the

    atmosphere is perfectly transparent.

    Aerosol Optical Thickness

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    From AOT to Air Quality

    Using satellite AOT to assess air quality categories

    IndexValues

    Category Cautionary StatementsPM2.5

    (ug/m3)PM10

    (ug/m3)

    0-50 Good 0-15.4 0-54

    51-100 ModerateUnusually sensitive peopleshould consider reducing

    prolonged or heavy exertion

    15.5-40.4 55-154

    101-150

    Unhealthyfor

    SensitiveGroups

    Sensitive groups should reduceprolonged or heavy exertion

    40.5-65.4 155-254

    151-200 Unhealthy

    Sensitive groups should avoid

    prolonged or heavy exertion;everyone else should reduceprolonged or heavy exertion

    65.5-150.4 255-354

    201-300VeryUnhealth

    y

    Sensitive groups should avoidall physical activity outdoors;

    everyone else should avoid

    prolonged or heavy exertion

    150.5-250.4 355-424

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    Northern India, Pakistan,Nepal, and Bangladesh Air

    Quality Event

    Case Study 1:

    Map of the Air Quality Event Region

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    Map of the Air Quality Event RegionNorthern India, Pakistan, Nepal, and Bangladesh

    (http://worldatlas.com/webimage/countrys/asia/lgcolor/incolor.htm)

    Region of Air

    Quality Event

    MODIS-Aqua True Color Image

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    MODIS-Aqua True Color ImageNorthern India, Pakistan, Nepal, and Bangladesh

    February 5, 2006(http://rapidfire.sci.gsfc.nasa.gov/gallery/?2006036-0205)

    A l O ti l D th (AOD) I

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    Aerosol Optical Depth (AOD) ImageNorthern India, Pakistan, Nepal, and Bangladesh

    (Prepared by Battelle from MODIS-Aqua data using ArcView GIS processing software)

    The AOD scale in this image is similar to the U.S. EPA Air Quality Index (AQI)

    scale, such that red-colored regions indicate unhealthy air.

    T C l d AOD I A il bl

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    True Color and AOD Images Available onthe Internet

    True Color Images

    MODIS instrument:http://rapidfire.sci.gsfc.nasa.gov/subsets/

    Click on region of interest. Click on the display alternate dates available for this subset link. Select date of interest (dates are in Julian date format).

    Repeat for all overlapping regions of interest.

    True Color and AOD Images

    MODIS instrument:http://ladsweb.nascom.nasa.gov/browse_images/l2_browser.html

    Select Terra or Aqua satellite Select appropriate month,day, and year. Select parameter from pull-down menu; RGB = true color images

    Parasol satellite:http://www-icare.univ-lille1.fr/parasol/browse/ Click the box next to Aerosol Optical Thickness over land to view aerosol images.

    AOD Images

    OMI instrument:http://toms.gsfc.nasa.gov/aerosols/aerosols_v8.html

    Scroll to the bottom of the page to select images. Select global image from Choose output pull-down menu. Select OMI: 8/17/2004 Present from coverage satellite pull-down menu. Select appropriate Date to be studied.

    http://rapidfire.sci.gsfc.nasa.gov/subsets/http://ladsweb.nascom.nasa.gov/browse_images/l2_browser.htmlhttp://www-icare.univ-lille1.fr/parasol/browse/http://toms.gsfc.nasa.gov/aerosols/aerosols_v8.htmlhttp://toms.gsfc.nasa.gov/aerosols/aerosols_v8.htmlhttp://www-icare.univ-lille1.fr/parasol/browse/http://www-icare.univ-lille1.fr/parasol/browse/http://www-icare.univ-lille1.fr/parasol/browse/http://www-icare.univ-lille1.fr/parasol/browse/http://www-icare.univ-lille1.fr/parasol/browse/http://ladsweb.nascom.nasa.gov/browse_images/l2_browser.htmlhttp://rapidfire.sci.gsfc.nasa.gov/subsets/
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    Meteorological Information Availableon the Internet

    Hourly Weather Observations (temperature,winds, visibility, etc.)

    Weather Underground:http://www.wunderground.com/

    Type India in the box at the top of the page, and hitenter.

    Scroll down to the list of cities and click on Patna.

    Select the date of interest under History andAlmanac.

    Repeat for Lahore Pakistan

    Repeat for Kolkata (Calcutta), India.

    Repeat for Dhaka Bangladesh.

    http://www.wunderground.com/http://www.wunderground.com/
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    Ground-Based Particulate Measurements

    Indian National Air Quality Monitoring Programme (NAMP)

    Central Pollution Control Board:http://www.cpcb.nic.in/index.php

    Click on Air in the menu on the left side of the page.

    Learn about Indian air quality monitoring by clicking on the different links in theAir section.

    Currently, no data are archived for 2006, but you can get an idea of the trends inIndian air quality.

    Nepal Ministry of Environment, Science and TechnologyAir Quality Monitoring Results:http://www.ncit.gov.np/pollution/pollution.php

    24-hour average PM10 concentrations in mg m-3 for 6 sites in Nepal

    Click on General Search in menu on right-hand side of screen to search archived

    data.

    Pak EPA Environmental Monitoring Program (EMS)

    http://www.cpcb.nic.in/index.phphttp://www.ncit.gov.np/pollution/pollution.phphttp://www.ncit.gov.np/pollution/pollution.phphttp://www.cpcb.nic.in/index.php
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    Long-Range Transportation of ParticulateMatter (PM) and Trajectory

    PM10 and PM2.5 can travel over 100 to 1000

    kilometers downwind depending on themeteorological condition

    This long-range transported PM always mixes

    with the local emissions and affects ambient air

    PM10 and PM2.5 levels

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    A trajectory is the time integration of the position of a

    parcel of air as it is transported by the wind.

    The parcel's passive transport by the wind is

    computed/reconstructed by the Hybrid Single ParticleLagrangian Integrated Trajectory (HYSPLIT) modelwhere the velocity vectors used are interpolated in both

    space and time. (Draxler, R.R. and Rolph, G.D., 2003)

    Trajectories may be integrated both forward andbackward in time

    What is a trajectory?

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    HYSPLIT Back Trajectory

    Backward trajectories are commonly used to identifyair pollution source regions and specific sources byback computation starting from the receptor

    This long-range transported PM always mixes with thelocal emissions and affects ambient air PM10 andPM2.5 levels

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    Sources of Satellite Data and Imagery

    Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) description: http://modis-

    atmos.gsfc.nasa.gov/

    MODIS Rapid Response System: http://rapidfire.sci.gsfc.nasa.gov/

    MODIS direct broadcast site: http://eosdb.ssec.wisc.edu/modisdirect/

    MODIS Level 2 LAADS data browser:

    http://ladsweb.nascom.nasa.gov/browse_images/l2_browser.html

    The Smog Blog: http://alg.umbc.edu/usaq/NASA Earth Observatory: http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/

    NASA Visible Earth: http://visibleearth.nasa.gov/

    NASA Giovanni: http://daac.gsfc.nasa.gov/techlab/giovanni

    European Space Agency (ESA) Observing the Earth: http://www.esa.int/esaEO/index.html

    Tropospheric Emission Monitoring Internet Service (European): http://www.temis.nl/

    Satellite Products for Europe (German Remote Sensing Data Center):

    http://www.dlr.de/caf/en/desktopdefault.aspx/tabid-2683/4049_read-6052/

    India Meteorological Department Satellite Images and Products (INSAT satellite):

    http://www.imd.ernet.in/section/satmet/dynamic/insat.htm

    EUMETSAT Image Gallery (Europe and Africa):http://www.eumetsat.int/Home/Main/Image_Gallery/Real-time_Images/index.htm

    True color 05-02-2006

    http://modis-atmos.gsfc.nasa.gov/http://modis-atmos.gsfc.nasa.gov/http://rapidfire.sci.gsfc.nasa.gov/http://eosdb.ssec.wisc.edu/modisdirect/http://ladsweb.nascom.nasa.gov/browse_images/l2_browser.htmlhttp://alg.umbc.edu/usaq/http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/http://visibleearth.nasa.gov/http://daac.gsfc.nasa.gov/techlab/giovannihttp://www.esa.int/esaEO/index.htmlhttp://www.temis.nl/http://www.dlr.de/caf/en/desktopdefault.aspx/tabid-2683/4049_read-6052/http://www.imd.ernet.in/section/satmet/dynamic/insat.htmhttp://www.eumetsat.int/Home/Main/Image_Gallery/Real-time_Images/index.htmhttp://www.eumetsat.int/Home/Main/Image_Gallery/Real-time_Images/index.htmhttp://www.eumetsat.int/Home/Main/Image_Gallery/Real-time_Images/index.htmhttp://www.eumetsat.int/Home/Main/Image_Gallery/Real-time_Images/index.htmhttp://www.imd.ernet.in/section/satmet/dynamic/insat.htmhttp://www.dlr.de/caf/en/desktopdefault.aspx/tabid-2683/4049_read-6052/http://www.dlr.de/caf/en/desktopdefault.aspx/tabid-2683/4049_read-6052/http://www.dlr.de/caf/en/desktopdefault.aspx/tabid-2683/4049_read-6052/http://www.dlr.de/caf/en/desktopdefault.aspx/tabid-2683/4049_read-6052/http://www.dlr.de/caf/en/desktopdefault.aspx/tabid-2683/4049_read-6052/http://www.temis.nl/http://www.esa.int/esaEO/index.htmlhttp://daac.gsfc.nasa.gov/techlab/giovannihttp://visibleearth.nasa.gov/http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/http://alg.umbc.edu/usaq/http://ladsweb.nascom.nasa.gov/browse_images/l2_browser.htmlhttp://eosdb.ssec.wisc.edu/modisdirect/http://rapidfire.sci.gsfc.nasa.gov/http://modis-atmos.gsfc.nasa.gov/http://modis-atmos.gsfc.nasa.gov/http://modis-atmos.gsfc.nasa.gov/
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    True color 05-02-2006

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    AOT, 05-02-2006

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    MODIS Terra 28-01-2007

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    Transboundary fog

    In winter season widespread fog and often thick fog occursin eastern India and northeastern Pakistan (especially theLahore Region)

    The wide spread nature of the fog can be seen using

    remote sensing satellite data

    Fog extends approximately an area of 1500-2000 sq.kmextending from eastern India to northeastern Pakistan.

    During the fog visibility reduces to ~100 m.

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    Transboundary fog

    India ranks fourth among countries producing SO2emissions

    This part is the most industrialized part of subcontinent

    During winter this region is generally in the influence ofhigh pressure system resulting in dry seasons and low windspeeds

    Analysis of the aerosols samples were performed in 1999onwards

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    METEOSAT IMAGE SHOWING FOG OVER INDIAAND NORTHERN PAKISTAN

    INDIAPAKISTAN

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    Major Thermal Power Plants inIndia

    According to CentralElectricity Authority ofIndia, there are 83 coalfired thermal powerplants

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    Experimental Methods

    The aerosol samples are collected on Whatman 41 filterpapers using high volume samplers.

    The samples are collected at Lahore from 8 A.M to 8 PM

    and from 8 PM to 8 A.M

    The flow rate was controlled with Sieria mass flowcontroller at a rate of 0.7 m3/min.

    An aliquot of the filter was extracted in double distilled

    deionized water and analyzed for SO42- NO3- by ion-chromatograph using a Dionex Model 500 equipped withPeaknet software

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    SO42-

    NO3-

    Se x 103

    As x 103

    Sb x 103

    No. of Days

    Concentrations in ug/m3 of SO42- , NO3

    - , Se, As, and

    Sb in 12 hour samples at Lahore, Pakistan.

    1 2 3 4 5 610

    40

    70

    100

    35

    20

    50

    6

    10

    14

    5

    15

    25

    0

    20

    40

    60

    Sb x 103

    FogClear

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    As x 103

    NO3-

    SO4-2

    Se x 103

    SO4-2/Se

    No. of Days

    Concentrations in ug/m3 of SO4 2, NO

    3

    -, Se and SO4

    - 2/Se ratios inaerosol samples at Lahore, Pakistan.

    FogFog Clear

    Concentrationg/m3

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    The SO4-2 / Se ratios were suggestive of long-range

    transport from several hundred kms away inneighbouring India.

    Such high concentrations pose a serious health

    risk and require a more detailed study on long-termbasis.

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    The SO4-2 concentration varied from 7.29 ug/m3 to 41.89

    ug/m3

    with an average 18.98 ug/m3

    for the period. Se concentration varied from below the detection limit (