55
Traffic Air Pollution and Cancer Annie J. Sasco, MD, Dr PH 1,2 Ann Olsson, MPH 1 1 Unit of Epidemiology for Cancer Prevention International Agency for Research on Cancer - World Health Organization 2 Director of research, Institut National de la Santé et la Recherche Médicale Mireille Chiron, MD & Patrice Reungoat Institut National de Recherche sur les Transports et leur Sécurité Lyon, France The opinions expressed in this talk only represent those of

Traffic Air Pollution and Cancer Annie J. Sasco, MD, Dr PH 1,2 Ann Olsson, MPH 1 1 Unit of Epidemiology for Cancer Prevention International Agency for

  • View
    215

  • Download
    1

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: Traffic Air Pollution and Cancer Annie J. Sasco, MD, Dr PH 1,2 Ann Olsson, MPH 1 1 Unit of Epidemiology for Cancer Prevention International Agency for

Traffic Air Pollution and Cancer

Annie J. Sasco, MD, Dr PH 1,2

Ann Olsson, MPH1

1 Unit of Epidemiology for Cancer PreventionInternational Agency for Research on Cancer - World Health Organization

2 Director of research, Institut National de la Santé et la Recherche Médicale

Mireille Chiron, MD & Patrice ReungoatInstitut National de Recherche sur les Transports et leur Sécurité

Lyon, France

The opinions expressed in this talk only represent those of the speaker (AJS) and should not be considered as official views of either IARC, WHO, INSERM or INRETS

Page 2: Traffic Air Pollution and Cancer Annie J. Sasco, MD, Dr PH 1,2 Ann Olsson, MPH 1 1 Unit of Epidemiology for Cancer Prevention International Agency for

Why me on this topic?

• Cancer epidemiologist – Chief of the Unit of Epidemiology for Cancer Prevention at IARC

– Deeply concerned about environmental issues

– Member of ISEE, SER, SPER, IEA, ADELF

• Having been previously involved at the European (and international) level as expert on issues such as – tobacco

– use of hormones as growth promoters in animal husbandry

– hormonal treatments (OC, HRT, tamoxifene)

– screening for cancer

Page 3: Traffic Air Pollution and Cancer Annie J. Sasco, MD, Dr PH 1,2 Ann Olsson, MPH 1 1 Unit of Epidemiology for Cancer Prevention International Agency for

But...

• Not currently working on traffic air pollution and cancer.

• Concentrating on two main domains:

– tobacco, cannabis and cancer

– breast cancer and pesticides

Page 4: Traffic Air Pollution and Cancer Annie J. Sasco, MD, Dr PH 1,2 Ann Olsson, MPH 1 1 Unit of Epidemiology for Cancer Prevention International Agency for

Measurement from the national ATMO index, built from 3 pollutant levels: Measurement from the national ATMO index, built from 3 pollutant levels: sulphur dioxide, nitrogen dioxide, ozone, without taking into account other sulphur dioxide, nitrogen dioxide, ozone, without taking into account other

important pollutants such as particulate mattersimportant pollutants such as particulate matters.

1413

8

5 54 4 4

32

Lyo

n

Stra

sbou

rg

St-E

tien

ne

Bor

deau

x

Par

is

Rou

en

Gre

nobl

e

Le

Hav

re

Mar

seil

le

Cle

rmon

t

Source: Agence de l’Environnement et de la Maîtrise de l’Energie, 1998

Page 5: Traffic Air Pollution and Cancer Annie J. Sasco, MD, Dr PH 1,2 Ann Olsson, MPH 1 1 Unit of Epidemiology for Cancer Prevention International Agency for

Expected death rate potentially avoidable by a Expected death rate potentially avoidable by a reduction of 50% of the levels of indicators for reduction of 50% of the levels of indicators for atmospheric pollution in the 9 agglomerations studied*atmospheric pollution in the 9 agglomerations studied*

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

Bordeaux Le Havre Lille Lyon Marseille Paris Rouen Strasbourg Toulouse

Total mortality

Cardiovascular mortality

Respiratory mortality

Annual rate for 100 000 inhabitants

* The results for Bordeaux do not take into account pollution by photo oxidant as the indicators were not available

Page 6: Traffic Air Pollution and Cancer Annie J. Sasco, MD, Dr PH 1,2 Ann Olsson, MPH 1 1 Unit of Epidemiology for Cancer Prevention International Agency for

How did I prepare for this talk?

• Usual way: Medline– not much

• Call the experts (in the French setting)

– Dr. Mireille Chiron, INRETS

– Prof. Denis Zmirou, AFSSE

Page 7: Traffic Air Pollution and Cancer Annie J. Sasco, MD, Dr PH 1,2 Ann Olsson, MPH 1 1 Unit of Epidemiology for Cancer Prevention International Agency for

• Consult important reports:– EPA: Health Assessment Document for Diesel Exhaust (2002)– HEI: Health Effects of Acute Exposure to Air Pollution (2002)– HEI: Research on Diesel Exhaust (1999)– SFSP: La pollution atmosphérique d’origine automobile et la

santé publique (1996)– IARC: IARC Monographs on the evaluation of carcinogenic risks

to humans. Volume 46. Diesel and Gasoline Engine Exhausts and Some Nitroarenes (1989)

– WHO: Transport, Environment and Health (2000)– WHO-IARC: World Cancer Report (2003)

• Rely on the IARC Monographs Programme List of IARC Evaluations

http://www-cie/monoeval/grlist.html

Page 8: Traffic Air Pollution and Cancer Annie J. Sasco, MD, Dr PH 1,2 Ann Olsson, MPH 1 1 Unit of Epidemiology for Cancer Prevention International Agency for

How did I really get into it?

• Enlisted the active participation of one of my trainees, Ann Olsson

• Went back to some historical work I did in 1979

• Drew a parallel between

smoking // air pollution and cancer from the 1930´s to post 2000

Page 9: Traffic Air Pollution and Cancer Annie J. Sasco, MD, Dr PH 1,2 Ann Olsson, MPH 1 1 Unit of Epidemiology for Cancer Prevention International Agency for

Back to history

• Early studies on air pollution and mortality/morbidity

– Firket (1931): Sur les causes des accidents survenus dans la

vallée de la Meuse, lors des brouillards de Décembre 1930

– Schenk et al. (1949): Air pollution, Donora, Pennsylvania.

Epidemiology of the unusual smog episode of October 1948

– Ministry of Health, UK (1954): Mortality and morbidity

during the London fog of December 1952

Page 10: Traffic Air Pollution and Cancer Annie J. Sasco, MD, Dr PH 1,2 Ann Olsson, MPH 1 1 Unit of Epidemiology for Cancer Prevention International Agency for

At the same time

• First major studies on tobacco and lung cancer– Wynder and Grahams (1950). Tobacco smoking as a

possible etiologic factor in bronchiogenic carcinoma

– Doll and Hill (1950). Smoking and carcinoma of the lung

– Schwartz et al. (1961). Results of a French survey on the role of tobacco, particularly inhalation, in different cancer sites

• Setting-up of prospective studies– British doctors in the UK

– American Cancer Society volunteers in the USA

Page 11: Traffic Air Pollution and Cancer Annie J. Sasco, MD, Dr PH 1,2 Ann Olsson, MPH 1 1 Unit of Epidemiology for Cancer Prevention International Agency for

Since then

• Hundreds of studies on tobacco

• Few studies on air pollution

Why such difference?

• Difficult to study validly the long term effects of air pollution

Page 12: Traffic Air Pollution and Cancer Annie J. Sasco, MD, Dr PH 1,2 Ann Olsson, MPH 1 1 Unit of Epidemiology for Cancer Prevention International Agency for

Knowledge about specific compounds

based on the IARC Monographs

on the Evaluation of

Carcinogenic Risks to Humans

Page 13: Traffic Air Pollution and Cancer Annie J. Sasco, MD, Dr PH 1,2 Ann Olsson, MPH 1 1 Unit of Epidemiology for Cancer Prevention International Agency for

Main pollutants resulting from engine exhausts

• Carbon dioxide (CO2)

• Carbon monoxide (CO)

• Nitrous oxides (NOX), in particular NO and NO2

• Particles

• Organic volatile compounds: hydrocarbons (alcanes, alcenes, aromatic monocyclic, in particular benzene and toluene), oxygenated compounds (aldehydes, acids, ketones, ethers…)

• Aromatic polycyclic hydrocarbons(benzo[a]pyrene, benzo[k]fluoranthene, benzo[b]fluoranthene, benzo[g,h,i]perylene, benz[a]anthracene

• Sulphur dioxide (SO2)

• Metals, lead in particular

Page 14: Traffic Air Pollution and Cancer Annie J. Sasco, MD, Dr PH 1,2 Ann Olsson, MPH 1 1 Unit of Epidemiology for Cancer Prevention International Agency for

Diesel and Gasoline Engine Exhausts

• Vol. 46 (1989)

• Diesel engine exhaust Group 2A (probably

carcinogenic)

• Engine exhaust, gasoline Group 2B (possibly

carcinogenic)

• Contain thousands of gaseous and particulate

substances ( 1 is individually classified in Group 1, 6 in

Group 2A and 16 in Group 2B)

Page 15: Traffic Air Pollution and Cancer Annie J. Sasco, MD, Dr PH 1,2 Ann Olsson, MPH 1 1 Unit of Epidemiology for Cancer Prevention International Agency for

Benzene

• Vol. 29 (1982) & Suppl. 7 (1987)

• Group 1 (Carcinogenic to humans)

• Increased incidence of various types of

leukemia among workers exposed to

benzene

Page 16: Traffic Air Pollution and Cancer Annie J. Sasco, MD, Dr PH 1,2 Ann Olsson, MPH 1 1 Unit of Epidemiology for Cancer Prevention International Agency for

Group 2A (probably carcinogenic to humans)

• 1,3 - Butadiene (106-99-0) Vol. 71; 1999

• Benz[a]anthracene (56-55-3) Suppl. 7 ; 1987

• Benzo[a]pyrene (50-32-8) Suppl. 7 ; 1987

• Dibenz[a,h]anthracene (53-70-3) Suppl. 7 ; 1987

• Ethylene dibromide (106-93-4) Vol. 71 ; 1999

• Formaldehyde (50-00-0) Vol. 62 ; 1995

Page 17: Traffic Air Pollution and Cancer Annie J. Sasco, MD, Dr PH 1,2 Ann Olsson, MPH 1 1 Unit of Epidemiology for Cancer Prevention International Agency for

Group 2B (possibly carcinogenic to humans)

• Acetaldehyde (75-07-0) Vol. 71 ; 1999

• Dibenz[a,h]acridine (226-36-8) Suppl. 7 ; 1987

• Dibenz[a,j]acridine (224-42-0) Suppl. 7 ; 1987

• 1,2-Dichloroethane (107-06-02) Vol. 71 ; 1999

• Lead (7439-92-1) and lead compounds, inorganic Suppl. 7 ; 1987

• 1,6-Dinitropyrene (42397-64-8) Vol. 46 ; 1989

• 1,8-Dinitropyrene (42397-65-9) Vol. 46 ; 1989

Page 18: Traffic Air Pollution and Cancer Annie J. Sasco, MD, Dr PH 1,2 Ann Olsson, MPH 1 1 Unit of Epidemiology for Cancer Prevention International Agency for

• 2-Nitrofluorene (607-57-8) Vol. 46 ; 1989• 1-Nitropyrene (5522-43-0) Vol. 46 ; 1989• Polycyclic aromatic compounds

– Benzo[b]fluoranthene (205-99-2) Suppl. 7 ; 1987– Benzo[j]fluoranthene (205-82-3) Suppl. 7 ; 1987– Benzo[k]fluoranthene (207-08-9) Suppl. 7 ; 1987– Dibenzo[a,e]pyrene (192-65-4) Suppl. 7 ; 1987– Dibenzo[a,h]pyrene (189-64-0) Suppl. 7 ; 1987– Indeno[1,2,3-cd]pyrene (193-39-5] Suppl. 7 ; 1987– 5-Methylchrysene (3697-24-3) Suppl. 7 ; 1987

Group 2B (possibly carcinogenic to humans)

Page 19: Traffic Air Pollution and Cancer Annie J. Sasco, MD, Dr PH 1,2 Ann Olsson, MPH 1 1 Unit of Epidemiology for Cancer Prevention International Agency for

Methyl tert-Butyl Ether (MTBE)

• Vol. 73 (1999) • Volatile synthetic chemical CAS no 1634-04-4

• Fuel additive in motor gasoline

• Produced in very large quantities since 1979 to replace lead as an octane enhancer

• Group 3 (not classifiable as to its carcinogenicity to

humans)

Page 20: Traffic Air Pollution and Cancer Annie J. Sasco, MD, Dr PH 1,2 Ann Olsson, MPH 1 1 Unit of Epidemiology for Cancer Prevention International Agency for

Agents or Exposures proposed for Evaluation or Re-evaluation in

future IARC Monographs

Priority

• Diesel engine exhaust (2A) High

• Gasoline engine exhaust (2B) High

• Ozone High

• Air pollution (some air pollutants) High

Page 21: Traffic Air Pollution and Cancer Annie J. Sasco, MD, Dr PH 1,2 Ann Olsson, MPH 1 1 Unit of Epidemiology for Cancer Prevention International Agency for

International Trends...• Concentrations of sulphur dioxide (SO2)and

suspended particulate matter are decreasing in developed countries, while those of Nitrogen oxides (NOX)and Ozone (O3) are either constant or increasing.

• Effective legislation

• Improved technology

• Increasing traffic

Page 22: Traffic Air Pollution and Cancer Annie J. Sasco, MD, Dr PH 1,2 Ann Olsson, MPH 1 1 Unit of Epidemiology for Cancer Prevention International Agency for

...International Trends

• In developing countries, concentrations of SO2, NOX and O3 and suspended particulate matter are raising.

• Increasing traffic and industrial emissions

• Weak legislation

• Poor technology

Page 23: Traffic Air Pollution and Cancer Annie J. Sasco, MD, Dr PH 1,2 Ann Olsson, MPH 1 1 Unit of Epidemiology for Cancer Prevention International Agency for

Pollutants of current interest

• Ground-Level Ozone the prime ingredient of smog

– cause acute respiratory problems– impair the body’s immune system

• Particulate Matter (PM) is the term used for a mixture of solid particles and liquid droplets in the air– The size varies, from a few nm to tens of µm (PM10, PM2.5)– Health concern because they easily reach the deepest recesses of

the lungs and other tissues

• Nitrogen dioxide serves (in most circumstances) as a surrogate for all traffic-related combustion products

Page 24: Traffic Air Pollution and Cancer Annie J. Sasco, MD, Dr PH 1,2 Ann Olsson, MPH 1 1 Unit of Epidemiology for Cancer Prevention International Agency for

In brief...

• Pollution of air, water and soil is estimated to account for 1-4% of all cancers (WHO-IARC, 2003)

• However, uncertainties are many,

notably because cancer takes decades to develop...

Page 25: Traffic Air Pollution and Cancer Annie J. Sasco, MD, Dr PH 1,2 Ann Olsson, MPH 1 1 Unit of Epidemiology for Cancer Prevention International Agency for

Epidemiological approaches

Page 26: Traffic Air Pollution and Cancer Annie J. Sasco, MD, Dr PH 1,2 Ann Olsson, MPH 1 1 Unit of Epidemiology for Cancer Prevention International Agency for

Comparison of morbidity/mortality between

“exposed” regions and “non-exposed” regions

Difficulties: – Adequate reference population?– Population movements?– Confounding factors?

Interpretation:– “Negative” results: Not possible to exclude increased risk– “Positive “ results: Chance?

1. Cross sectional studies

Page 27: Traffic Air Pollution and Cancer Annie J. Sasco, MD, Dr PH 1,2 Ann Olsson, MPH 1 1 Unit of Epidemiology for Cancer Prevention International Agency for

2. Case-control studies

Comparison of exposures for cases and controls

Difficulties:– Choice of pathology?– Does pertinent exposure data exist?

Page 28: Traffic Air Pollution and Cancer Annie J. Sasco, MD, Dr PH 1,2 Ann Olsson, MPH 1 1 Unit of Epidemiology for Cancer Prevention International Agency for

3. Cohort studies

An exposed population followed over time

Difficulties: – Low risk– Rare diseases– Logistic difficulties? Follow a specific population

over a long period– Comparisons?

Page 29: Traffic Air Pollution and Cancer Annie J. Sasco, MD, Dr PH 1,2 Ann Olsson, MPH 1 1 Unit of Epidemiology for Cancer Prevention International Agency for

Difficult to estimate health and ecological consequences:

– Lack of information on type and level of

current exposures

– Lack of information on past exposures

– Complex models of estimating and

predicting “uncertain risks”

Page 30: Traffic Air Pollution and Cancer Annie J. Sasco, MD, Dr PH 1,2 Ann Olsson, MPH 1 1 Unit of Epidemiology for Cancer Prevention International Agency for

Lack of power in epidemiological surveillance

• Small study sizes

• Population “at risk” not well identified

• Pertinent exposures

– Not well identified

– Multiple

– Unknown levels

Page 31: Traffic Air Pollution and Cancer Annie J. Sasco, MD, Dr PH 1,2 Ann Olsson, MPH 1 1 Unit of Epidemiology for Cancer Prevention International Agency for

Lack of power in epidemiological

surveillance• Risk level : Low

• Pathology outcome – Vague– Non specific– Rare

…difficult to interpret the results

… correct parallel:

passive smoking // air pollution

Page 32: Traffic Air Pollution and Cancer Annie J. Sasco, MD, Dr PH 1,2 Ann Olsson, MPH 1 1 Unit of Epidemiology for Cancer Prevention International Agency for

Is air pollution dangerous to health?

• The answer is: YES– Contains well documented toxic compounds

• How dangerous is it? It depends…– Characteristics of exposure

• Type

• Amount

• Distance to population

– Individual characteristics

Page 33: Traffic Air Pollution and Cancer Annie J. Sasco, MD, Dr PH 1,2 Ann Olsson, MPH 1 1 Unit of Epidemiology for Cancer Prevention International Agency for

LIFE STYLE

•Smoking

•Nutrition

•Physical Activity

Individual characteristics

OCCUPATION

•Work title

•Specific exposures

ENVIRONMENTAL

•The concentration of specific components vary greatly with locality and time

GENETIC SUCEPTIBILITY

•Heredity

Cumulative long-term effects of exposure to multiple Cumulative long-term effects of exposure to multiple compounds at varying levels remain to be evaluatedcompounds at varying levels remain to be evaluated

Page 34: Traffic Air Pollution and Cancer Annie J. Sasco, MD, Dr PH 1,2 Ann Olsson, MPH 1 1 Unit of Epidemiology for Cancer Prevention International Agency for

Occupational exposure to diesel exhaust and lung cancer risk

• 14 cohort mortality studiesfrom 1981 onwardsUK, Canada, USA, Sweden, DenmarkMostly occupational but also general cohorts

• 13 case-control studiesfrom 1984 onwardsUSA, Sweden, France, UK, Denmark, Germany. Mostly population based

• Most (but not all) studies are slightly positive, with in several evidence for a dose response relationship

Page 35: Traffic Air Pollution and Cancer Annie J. Sasco, MD, Dr PH 1,2 Ann Olsson, MPH 1 1 Unit of Epidemiology for Cancer Prevention International Agency for
Page 36: Traffic Air Pollution and Cancer Annie J. Sasco, MD, Dr PH 1,2 Ann Olsson, MPH 1 1 Unit of Epidemiology for Cancer Prevention International Agency for
Page 37: Traffic Air Pollution and Cancer Annie J. Sasco, MD, Dr PH 1,2 Ann Olsson, MPH 1 1 Unit of Epidemiology for Cancer Prevention International Agency for

Potential target cancer sites

• Lung cancer in adults

• Childhood cancers

• Other: breast, melanoma

General population exposure to air pollution

Page 38: Traffic Air Pollution and Cancer Annie J. Sasco, MD, Dr PH 1,2 Ann Olsson, MPH 1 1 Unit of Epidemiology for Cancer Prevention International Agency for

Lung Cancer• A small proportion of lung cancer is attributable to outdoor

air pollution by industrial effluent, engine exhaust products and other toxins

• Several studies have provided evidence for an increased risk of lung cancer among residents in areas with higher levels of air pollution

• Has been studied more extensively than other cancer types because of an a priori biologic hypothesis

• Other cancer types have a partly unknown etiology and therefore more research is necessary to refute or strengthen causal relationships with urban air pollution

Page 39: Traffic Air Pollution and Cancer Annie J. Sasco, MD, Dr PH 1,2 Ann Olsson, MPH 1 1 Unit of Epidemiology for Cancer Prevention International Agency for

Reference: Dockary DW et al. 1993

Type of study: Prospective cohort study, 14-16 year follow-up,8111 adults from six U.S. cities

Exposure: Fine Particles (FP) <2.5 µm, inhalable particles, SO2, O3, suspended sulphates

Results: Comparison: most/least polluted city Overall mortality: 1.26 (1.08-1.47)Lung cancer: 1.37 (0.81-2.31)

Comment: All cause mortality is increased in various models adjusting for smoking, education, BMI, occupation. Mortality

most strongly associated with FP, including sulphates

Overall mortality and lung cancer in the USA

Page 40: Traffic Air Pollution and Cancer Annie J. Sasco, MD, Dr PH 1,2 Ann Olsson, MPH 1 1 Unit of Epidemiology for Cancer Prevention International Agency for

Air pollution and lung cancer in Trieste, Italy

Reference: Biggeri A et al. 1996

Type of study: Case-control study of deceased men

755 cases, 755 controls from local autopsy registry

Exposure: Distance from sources and air particulates Results: The risk of lung cancer was highly related to city

center (p=0.0243), with an excess relative risk at zero distance of 2.2 and a smooth decrease moving away from the source (-0.015)

1.4 (1.1-1.8) for air particulates >0.298 g/m2/day

Comment: Model adjust for subject-specific confounders

Comments:

Page 41: Traffic Air Pollution and Cancer Annie J. Sasco, MD, Dr PH 1,2 Ann Olsson, MPH 1 1 Unit of Epidemiology for Cancer Prevention International Agency for

Lung cancer incidence in the USAReference: Beeson LW et al. 1998

Type of study: Prospective cohort study, followed 1977-19926338 non-smoking, non-Hispanic white adultsCalifornia, U.S.A.

Exposure: Monthly air pollution data

O3 (Interquartile range increase in 100 ppb)

PM10 (Interquartile range increase <10 µm)

SO2 (Interquartile range increase <10 µm)

Results: Men O3 RR 3.56 (1.35-9.42)

PM10 RR 5.21 (1.94-13.99) SO2 RR 2.66 (1.62-4.39)

Women PM10 RR 1.21 (0.55-2.66) (>50 µm /m3) SO2

RR 2.14 (1.36-3.37)

Comment: Sex differences partially due to differences in exposures

Page 42: Traffic Air Pollution and Cancer Annie J. Sasco, MD, Dr PH 1,2 Ann Olsson, MPH 1 1 Unit of Epidemiology for Cancer Prevention International Agency for

Lung cancer in Sweden

Reference: Nyberg F et al. 2000

Type of study: Population based case-control study

Men 40-75 years, stable residents of Stockholm county

1042 cases, 2364 population controls

Exposure: Retrospective models of estimating NOX/NO2 and SO2,

Results: 1.2 (0.8-1.6) for top NO2 decile

1.4 (1.0-2.0) (for 20 years previously)

Comment: Controlled confounding for smoking, radon, socioeconomic grouping, work in risky occupations and occupational

exposure

to diesel exhaust , other combustion products and asbestos

Page 43: Traffic Air Pollution and Cancer Annie J. Sasco, MD, Dr PH 1,2 Ann Olsson, MPH 1 1 Unit of Epidemiology for Cancer Prevention International Agency for

Overall, cardiopulmonary and lung cancer mortality in the USA

Reference: Pope CA et al. 2002

Type of study: Prospective cohort study500 000 adults among 1.2 million American Cancer

Society volunteers (CPS II)

Exposure: National data sources related to addressParticules (PM10;PM2.5), SO2, NO2,...

Results: Adjusted mortality relative risk associated with a 10 µm /m3 change in PM2.5

Overall mortality: 1.06 (1.02-1.11)Lung cancer: 1.14 (1.04-1.23)

Comment: Controlled confounding for smoking, education. marital status, BMI and alcohol consumption

Page 44: Traffic Air Pollution and Cancer Annie J. Sasco, MD, Dr PH 1,2 Ann Olsson, MPH 1 1 Unit of Epidemiology for Cancer Prevention International Agency for

Overall mortality and lung cancer in the Netherlands

Reference: Hoek G et al. 2002

Type of study: Prospective cohort study followed from 1986 to 1994

5000 adults 55-69 years

Exposure: Estimated from home address (black smoke and NO2)

Results: Overall mortality: 1.41 (0.94-2.12) for living near a major road

Lung cancer: 1.06 (0.43-2.63) for black smoke

1.25 (0.42-3.72) for NO2

Comment: Results obtained after adjustment for potential confounders

Page 45: Traffic Air Pollution and Cancer Annie J. Sasco, MD, Dr PH 1,2 Ann Olsson, MPH 1 1 Unit of Epidemiology for Cancer Prevention International Agency for

Leukemia

• Occupational exposure to benzene is associated with acute myeloid leukemia in adults

• Studies suggest an association between proximal high traffic streets and leukemia among children.

• Note: results are not unanimous

Page 46: Traffic Air Pollution and Cancer Annie J. Sasco, MD, Dr PH 1,2 Ann Olsson, MPH 1 1 Unit of Epidemiology for Cancer Prevention International Agency for

Childhood cancer in the U.S.A.Reference: Savitz DA & Feingold L 1989Type of study: Population based case-control study

Children 0-14 years, U.S.A.328 cases, 262 controls

Exposure: Traffic density of street of residence

Results: Reference: < 500 vehicles /dayAll cancers: 1.7 (1.0-2.8)

Leukaemias: 2.1 (1.1-4.0)

Brain cancer: 1.7 (0.8-3.9)

Soft tissue: 1.4 (0.5-4.4)

with dose response : All cancers Leukaemias 500-4999 v/d1.6 (0.7-3.5) 1.2 (0.4-3.9)> 5000 v/d 1.8 (0.9-3.3) 2.7 (1.3-5.9)> 10000 v/d 3.1 (1.2-8.0) 4.7 (1.6-13.5)

Comment: Adjustments for age, sex, year of diagnosis, type of residence and geographic zone do not change results

Page 47: Traffic Air Pollution and Cancer Annie J. Sasco, MD, Dr PH 1,2 Ann Olsson, MPH 1 1 Unit of Epidemiology for Cancer Prevention International Agency for

Childhood cancer in Sweden

Reference: Feychting M et al. 1998

Type of study: Case-control study nested in a population of children having lived for at least a year within 300m of 220 and 440k lines in Sweden during 1960-1985

142 cases, 568 controls

Exposure: Estimated NO2 concentration based on home address

Results: All cancers Leukaemia CNS<39µm/m3 1 1 140-49 1.3 (0.4-4.3) 1.7 (0.2-14.6) 1.0 (0.1-12.7)>50 2.7 (0.9-8.5) 2.7 (0.3-20.6) 5.1 (0.4-61.2)

Comment: Adjustments are made for EMF and confounders

Page 48: Traffic Air Pollution and Cancer Annie J. Sasco, MD, Dr PH 1,2 Ann Olsson, MPH 1 1 Unit of Epidemiology for Cancer Prevention International Agency for

Childhood leukaemia in the UKReference: Harrisson RM et al. 1999

Type of study: Case control and incidence ratio study West Midlands, UK

Children 0-15 years old with leukemia (130 cases) or solid tumors (251 controls) diagnosed between 1990-

1994

Exposure: Distance of home from main road and petrol stationcase-control IR

Results: analysis analysis< 100 m main road 1.61 (0.90-2.87) 1.16 (0.74-1.72)

< 100 m petrol station 1.99 (0.73-5.43) 1.48 (0.65-2.93) both 5.91 (0.61-57.3) 0.81 (0.16-2.38)

Comment: Adjustments are made for age and sex

Page 49: Traffic Air Pollution and Cancer Annie J. Sasco, MD, Dr PH 1,2 Ann Olsson, MPH 1 1 Unit of Epidemiology for Cancer Prevention International Agency for

Leukaemia and childhood cancer in the U.S.A.

Reference: Pearson RL et al. 2000

Type of study: Case-control study

Children 0-14 years living in Denver, U.S.A.

320 cases, 259 controls

Exposure: Weighted traffic density at home address

Results: All cancers 5.90 (1.69-20.56)

Leukemia 8.28 (2.09-32.80)

( for > 20000 vehicles/day)

Page 50: Traffic Air Pollution and Cancer Annie J. Sasco, MD, Dr PH 1,2 Ann Olsson, MPH 1 1 Unit of Epidemiology for Cancer Prevention International Agency for

Childhood cancer in DenmarkReference: Raaschou-Nielsen O et al. 2001

Type of study: Case-control study

Children from the Danish Cancer Registry diagnosed with cancer (leukemia, tumor of the central nervous system, or malignant lymphoma) before 15 years of age between 1968-1991

1989 cases, 5506 population controls

Exposure: Advanced model of estimated NO2 and benzene

exposure from traffic intensity in utero and during childhood

Page 51: Traffic Air Pollution and Cancer Annie J. Sasco, MD, Dr PH 1,2 Ann Olsson, MPH 1 1 Unit of Epidemiology for Cancer Prevention International Agency for

Results:Results: All cancersAll cancers Leukaemias CNS Leukaemias CNS LymphomasLymphomas

Pregnancy500-4999 veh/d 1.0 (0.9-1.1) 0.9 (0.8-1.0) 1.0 (0.9-1.2) 1.0 (0.8-1.4)

5000-99990.9 (0.7-1.2) 0.8 (0.6-1.2) 0.7 (0.5-1.2) 1.7 (1.0-2.8)

>10000 0.7 (0.5-1.1) 0.8 (0.5-1.3) 0.6 (0.3-1.1) 1.2 (0.5-3.0)

Childhood500-4999 veh/d 0.9 (0.8-1.0) 0.9 (0.8-1.1) 0.9 (0.7-1.0) 0.9 (0.7-1.2)

5000-99990.8 (0.6-1.1) 0.8 (0.5-1.2) 0.6 (0.4-1.1) 1.5 (0.8-3.0)

>10000 1.0 (0.7-1.6) 1.1 (0.6-2.2) 0.9 (0.4-1.8) 1.3 (0.4-4.8)

Hodgkin’s diseaseHodgkin’s disease

Benzene NO2

0.5-1.2* 1.7 (0.8-3.8) 1.5-2.9* 1.5 (0.7-3.2)

>1.3* 4.3 (1.5-12.4) >3.0* 6.7 (1.7-26.0)*in 1000 ppb - days

Page 52: Traffic Air Pollution and Cancer Annie J. Sasco, MD, Dr PH 1,2 Ann Olsson, MPH 1 1 Unit of Epidemiology for Cancer Prevention International Agency for

Breast cancer in the U.S.A.Reference: Lewis-Michl EL et al. 1996

Type of study: Case-control studyWomen 20-79 years old, Nassau and Suffolk

counties, Long Island, U.S.A.1420 cases, 1420 controls (derived from NY

driving license registry)

Exposure: Residential proximity to industrial facilities and traffic

Results: High traffic intensity and post menopausal breast cancerNassau Suffolk

Adjusted OR 1.29 (0.77-2.15) 0.89 (0.40-1.99)

Comment: Adjustments are made for age, occupation, education

Page 53: Traffic Air Pollution and Cancer Annie J. Sasco, MD, Dr PH 1,2 Ann Olsson, MPH 1 1 Unit of Epidemiology for Cancer Prevention International Agency for

Melanoma

• Chloroflourocarbons cause destruction of the ozone layer and enhance the risk of skin cancer through increased ultraviolet radiation

Page 54: Traffic Air Pollution and Cancer Annie J. Sasco, MD, Dr PH 1,2 Ann Olsson, MPH 1 1 Unit of Epidemiology for Cancer Prevention International Agency for

For increased power in epidemiological surveillance...

• Epidemiology– Identification of compounds and “true” exposure levels – Identification of “exposed” people– Precise choice of pathology – Test dose-response relationships – Biological markers of exposure and effects

• …for surveillance • …for epidemiology

• Prevention– Exposure surveillance – Intervention

Page 55: Traffic Air Pollution and Cancer Annie J. Sasco, MD, Dr PH 1,2 Ann Olsson, MPH 1 1 Unit of Epidemiology for Cancer Prevention International Agency for

Conclusion

Overall, there is an association between lung cancer in adults and some childhood tumours and air pollution, including but not limited to the one coming from traffic.

Even if the relative risk is of limited magnitude, the extent of the population exposed is large and therefore prevention is warranted.