Totten Riding Perfect Storm Slides 02-08-2012 Totten 200ppt

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    !"#$%$&' )*+ ,$%%-+./&0#1+ 2345

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    6787 93#:)* ;0+&43$#

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    Asia Will Account for 70% of Worlds

    !%%+% =45$)4- ;)#0> ?+):++& [email protected]

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    Asias march to prosperity will

    !" $"% !& ' "()*)+,"-. /

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    !

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    Asias urban population will double by 2050

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    This youth bulge wraps itself around the center of the globe,

    with nearly 90 % of todays young people growing up in developing

    0#C&)3$+< :*+3+ ?433$+3< )# #55#3)C&$)D 3+14$& *$'*K

    The worlds current youth cohort PK6 ?$--$#& D#C&'

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    92

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    Q3#N+0)$#& !

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    9+) C

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    9+))$&' )# R+

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    08.02.2012 23Source: Gundimeda and Sukhdev, D1 TEEB

    Indonesia India Brazil

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    99 million 352 million 20 millionEcosystem servicesdependency

    Ecosystem services

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    -()./(0 #(2*)(0 (&' 2$3"/)4 /"'.#)*$&

    Ecosystem services as a% of classical GDP

    Ecosystem services as a% of GDP of the Poor

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    Ocea

    ns

    Acidify

    ing

    55 million years since oceans as acidicbusiness-as-usual emissions growththreaten collapse of marine life food web

    :"1*," "6 0$9 /;

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    ,#3+ B3+WC+&)I

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    ,#3+ B3+WC+&)I

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    ,#3+ B3+WC+&)I

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    O01$ P)$I". E Q -0 R0*--)*. R)>0* L)(I-61)S+. D"1 T$--)*. U6"3>"* L9 O013"*6"1. P9 U6?016 O>03,* HHH. E**"MU)3>," O1"V3,*. B1"6(>"* C0,$&. WX"$$ C0*"$$. R)*0- Y!!"--)*. K>)+0- Y$+G2,-6. Z,(6)1B0$0N. P1"%1,I J)!"17. J0Q*- [,$--)*. \"*1,I TS -6"1!$)+. Y$,*)1 T-61)+. E Q -0 D"1--)*. B011& D"6"1-)*. U6"3>"* D)$0-I&. ],$$ U6"55"*. :1,0* ]0$I"1. P10*("- ]"-6$"&. L"()**"(6,*7 6) 6>"

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    Resource

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    ResourceWars &

    Conflicts

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    E C"(0%" )5 H++"*-" P,*0*(,0$ F)--.

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    Whats Left?

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    What s Left?

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    JJ[. J?$$"1. J"*%"$-)>* 0*% [)1%>0?-. Y*2,1)*+"*60$ E(()?*6,*7 5)1 D)$$?6,)* ,* 6>" fUE. E+"1,(0* Y()*)+,(-L"2,"8. /;

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    LINFEN, CHINA

    the most polluted city onearth. Where, if one putslaundry out to dry, it will

    turn black before finishingdrying. Spending one dayin Linfen is equivalent to

    smoking 3 packs ofcigarettes

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    ;.%(&+ 2.) (+ %.#6 *&)$ )6" ()%$+26"/"

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    Clima

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    Negative Tipping Points

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    http://www.pnas.org/http://www.pnas.org/
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    =\/,!2A $& a

    Bumper Stickers

    Your grandchildrens

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    Your grandchildrens

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    f@87 551 is Possible, But

    A

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    Where the world needs to go:energy-related CO2 emissions per capita

    Source: WDR, adapted from NRC (National Research Council). 2008. The National Academies Summit on Americas Energy Future: Su++"#, -. " !))$%&/0("12%&/$-&3 456 7"$%-&"8 9:";)+%)1

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    Examples of uncertainties identified in each of 3k l d l i hi f k l d

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    S?L:N =68 !3 !=;::;9L3 455)3 !7P=?8 = ?9:=>;76=: B76B9@> 7E L6B9?>=;6>M& =U7L> V67P;6< >77 :;>>:9N V67P;6< >778;EE9?96>:MN =68 =BB9@>;6< 67> >7 V67P3 !"#$#%& ()* +#",-.& /01234 (53 W76:;69X Y-I& A>>@&OOPPP39B7:7M37?(5O

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    7-)8

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    Half to 75% of all natural resource consumptionbecomes pollution and waste within 12 months.

    L0 !"$$2)J1 )$ "80 !"# %#& "( )* +,(&)-. @AAA JJJ0J#%0-# K

    CLOSING THE LOOP Reducing Use of Virgin Resources, IncreasingReuse of Waste Nutrients, Green Chemistry, Biomimicry

    ,(-&.#$#%& / -$12&34" 6+ / 7 +"

    http://www.wri.org/http://www.wri.org/
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    through Innovative Policies

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    You cant just keep doing what works one time. Everythingaround you is changing. To succeed, stay out in front of change.

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