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Today’s Pipeline is Your Q1 Forecast Paul Dilger Marketing Director, The TAS Group

Todays Pipeline Is Your Q1 Forecast

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This presentation from The TAS Group looks forward to next year and gives progressive selling organizations the insight on where they need to be right now so they’re where they want to be on January 1st 2010.

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Page 1: Todays Pipeline Is Your Q1 Forecast

Today’s Pipeline is Your Q1 Forecast

Paul DilgerMarketing Director, The TAS Group

Page 2: Todays Pipeline Is Your Q1 Forecast

© The TAS Group 20092

Agenda

What Makes Forecast and Pipeline Analysis Difficult

The 10 Truths of Pipeline Management

Getting Confidence and Accuracy into Your Forecast

What To Do Now

Q&A

Page 3: Todays Pipeline Is Your Q1 Forecast

© The TAS Group 20093

Poll 1 – Pipeline Accuracy

A: I’m feeling good about the accuracy of our pipeline today

B: I’m not feeling good about the accuracy of our pipeline today

Page 4: Todays Pipeline Is Your Q1 Forecast

© The TAS Group 20094

Poll 2 – Attitudes to 2010

A: I’m feeling good about our Q1 2010

B: I’m not feeling good about our Q1 2010

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© The TAS Group 20095

The Difficulties of Forecast & Pipeline Analysis

• Confusion of pipeline and forecast

• Subjectivity

• Poor system compliance

• Lack of a sales process

• A sense of time

• Health of your pipeline

• Shape of your pipeline

Page 6: Todays Pipeline Is Your Q1 Forecast

© The TAS Group 20096

Sales Leader Challenges

Page 7: Todays Pipeline Is Your Q1 Forecast

© The TAS Group 20097

Sales Leader Challenges

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© The TAS Group 20098

Sales Leader Challenges

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© The TAS Group 20099

Ten Truths of Pipeline Management

1. A strong pipeline avoids the quarter-end crunch

2. Pipeline velocity is more important than pipeline volume

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© The TAS Group 200910

Ten Truths of Pipeline Management

3. Pipeline is a better predicter of the medium to long term than forecast

4. Too many stages in the pipeline is counter-productive

5. You can’t measure pipeline using weighted average

Page 11: Todays Pipeline Is Your Q1 Forecast

© The TAS Group 200911

Ten Truths of Pipeline Management

6. Marketing can’t fill the funnel for you

7. A healthy pipeline has the right balance of deals, size-wise

8. Pipeline sales stages have no inherent value

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© The TAS Group 200912

Ten Truths of Pipeline Management

9. You need an algorithmic measure to truly determine if you are going to make the quarter

10.Inactive deals give a falsely rosy picture of your pipeline health

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© The TAS Group 200913

Accurate Sales Forecasts

Page 14: Todays Pipeline Is Your Q1 Forecast

© The TAS Group 200914

Accurate Sales Forecasts

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© The TAS Group 200915

Accurate Pipeline

Page 16: Todays Pipeline Is Your Q1 Forecast

© The TAS Group 200916

Accurate Pipeline

Page 17: Todays Pipeline Is Your Q1 Forecast

© The TAS Group 200917

Accurate Performance Indicators

Page 18: Todays Pipeline Is Your Q1 Forecast

© The TAS Group 200918

Accurate Performance Indicators

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© The TAS Group 200919

What To Do Now

• Qualify opportunities into the pipeline all the time

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

The Best Time to Prospect

The Best Time to Prospect

The Worst Time to Prospect

Page 20: Todays Pipeline Is Your Q1 Forecast

© The TAS Group 200920

What To Do Now

• Clearly understand your customer’s buying process

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© The TAS Group 200921

What To Do Now

• Understand differences between selling activities and time management

Prospect &

Qualify

Develop &

Define

Prove&

Complete

Close &

Deploy

Priority #1Priority

#2Priority

#3

Pipeline

Forecast

Page 22: Todays Pipeline Is Your Q1 Forecast

© The TAS Group 200922

What To Do Now

• Understand differences between selling activities and time management

Prospect &

Qualify

Develop &

Define

Prove&

Complete

Close &

Deploy

TimeAllocation

2Time

Allocation 3

TimeAllocation

1

Pipeline

Forecast

Page 23: Todays Pipeline Is Your Q1 Forecast

© The TAS Group 200923

What To Do Now

• Focus on pipeline velocity, not volume

• Invest in Dealmaker now for 2010

40 x $200K x 25%= $1m

per mth2 months

44 x $220K x 27.5%=

$1.48m per mth1.8 months

44 x $220K x 27.5%=

$887k per mth3 months

Page 24: Todays Pipeline Is Your Q1 Forecast

© The TAS Group 200924

Summary

Forecast and Pipeline Analysis is difficult

Ten truths of pipeline management will help you

Dealmaker Sales Performance Automation will help you uphold the ten truths give you more confidence from accurate analysis and predictability

Act NOW to fix Q1 2010

Questions?

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© The TAS Group 200925

Follow-up Resources

• www.thetasgroup.com• US 866 570 3836

• UK 01189 253 251

• International +353 1 631 6140

[email protected]

• White Papers and Archived Webinars

• Twitter id @thetasgroup

• www.sales20network.com• Discussion group on Sales 2.0 matters

• Twitter id @sales20network