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China Chamber of Commerce for Import & Export of Medicines and Health Products
To Jointly Create an Ecosystem for Value-based Medicines
Xu Ming PhD
Vice President, China Chamber of Commerce for Import & Export ofMedicines & Health Products
China Chamber of Commerce for Import & Export of Medicines and Health Products
Outline
3. To play a more active part as a major supplier----What can China contribute?
2. To create an ecosystem for more value-based medicines
1. To explore the nature of medicines
China Chamber of Commerce for Import & Export of Medicines and Health Products
1. To explore the nature of medicines
A public good is a good that is both non-excludable and non-rivalrous in that individuals cannot be effectively excludedfrom use and where use by one individual does not reduceavailability to others.
The consumption of it by one individual does not actually orpotentially reduce the amount available to be consumed byanother individual. It also can be described as somethingthat is useful for the entire population.
Many public goods may at times be subject to excessive useresulting in negative externalities affecting all users.
Are medicines public or private goods?
China Chamber of Commerce for Import & Export of Medicines and Health Products
Public goods may also become subject to restrictions onaccess and may then be considered to be club goods,exclusion mechanisms include copyright, patents, etc.
Club goods are sometimes classified as a subtype of publicgoods that are excludable but non-rivalrous.
James M. Buchanan developed club theory in economics inhis 1965 paper, "An Economic Theory of Clubs". He wrotethat there was an "awesome Samuelson gap between thepurely private and purely public good ".
1. To explore the nature of medicines
Are medicines public or private goods?
China Chamber of Commerce for Import & Export of Medicines and Health Products
1. To explore the nature of medicines
Pareto efficiency, is a state of allocation of resources in whichit is impossible to make any one individual better off withoutmaking at least one individual worse off.
Can we achieve Pareto efficiency?
China Chamber of Commerce for Import & Export of Medicines and Health Products
1. To explore the nature of medicines
The result only holds under the restrictive assumptionsnecessary for the proof: (In the absence of perfectinformation or complete markets, outcomes will genericallybe Pareto inefficient).
Can we achieve Pareto efficiency?
markets exist for all possible goods so there are no externalities;
all markets are in full equilibrium;
markets are perfectly competitive;
transaction costs are negligible;
market participants have perfect information.
China Chamber of Commerce for Import & Export of Medicines and Health Products
1. To explore the nature of medicines
Foregone conclusions
A: There is always Pareto improvement in the use of medicines which bear the bear the characteristics of club goods even under a presumed sound healthcare healthcare system.
B: The final "solution" will be normally located at any one of the sub-infinity points sub-infinity points on the Pareto welfare surface short of actually maximizing the maximizing the benefit of all stakeholders.
C: Both invisible hand and visible hand must be used towards the goal to strike a proper goal to strike a proper balance between fairness and efficiency.
China Chamber of Commerce for Import & Export of Medicines and Health Products
Preface
Ecosystem in the Healthcare Sector
2. To create an ecosystem for more value-based medicines
patientspatients
governmentgovernment
hospitalshospitals other medical institutions
other medical institutions
healthcare ®ulatory
systems
healthcare ®ulatory
systemsmedicinesmedicines equipmentequipment diagnosisdiagnosis othersothers
pharma companies
medical device&
Eqipmentcompanies
bio companies CROs
capitalcapital
universities & academic institutions
universities & academic institutions
R&D, production alliance
Products& related services
public & privatepublic & private
Medical treatment
China Chamber of Commerce for Import & Export of Medicines and Health Products
2. To create an ecosystem for more value-based medicines
3 major features of the pharmaceutical industry
innovation driven
quality assured
highly regulated
China Chamber of Commerce for Import & Export of Medicines and Health Products
• Evidence-based medicine (EBM) – quantitative patient clinical data solely in treatment setting(not total patient value or societal benefit);
• Value-based medicine (VBM) – quantitative patient clinical data + additional value parameters =quantitated total value and pharmacoeconomic benefit from a patient and societal perspective.
Source: Oncology drug development and value-based medicine, Quintiles
2. To create an ecosystem for more value-based medicines
The evolution from evidence-based to value based
China Chamber of Commerce for Import & Export of Medicines and Health Products
Source: Oncology drug development and value-based medicine, Quintiles
The evolving drivers for assessing the “value”of a drug
2. To create an ecosystem for more value-based medicines
China Chamber of Commerce for Import & Export of Medicines and Health Products
2. To create an ecosystem for more value-based medicines
China Chamber of Commerce for Import & Export of Medicines and Health Products
Innovation of medicines
Access to innovative medicines
be kept?
Can
2. To create an ecosystem for more value-based medicines
China Chamber of Commerce for Import & Export of Medicines and Health Products
2. To create an ecosystem for more value-based medicines
The development of value -based medicines requires a closer and earlier convergence of all relevant plannings.
Clinical
Societal
Regulatory
Commercial
China Chamber of Commerce for Import & Export of Medicines and Health Products
2. To create an ecosystem for more value-based medicines
How different alternatives or priorities should be ranked?
How an appraisal system of medicines or other mechanisms can be devised to maximize the benefits of relevant stakeholders?
How a concerted effort can be made to keep the ecosystem for value-based medicines functioning?
China Chamber of Commerce for Import & Export of Medicines and Health Products
Overview of China’s healthcare industry
187 219 252306 345
442526
654
843
1038
1256
1570
1815
2059
2332
2563
23 26 30 37 4255
67
90
123
152
190
243
288
332
380
411
0
100
200
300
400
500
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Health Care Industrial Output Value(Bn RMB)
Health Care Industrial Output Value(Bn USD)
*Source: MIIT
3. To play a more active part as a major supplier ----What can China contribute?
Around 6,500 pharmaceutical manufacturing companies.
Able to produce 1,500 kinds of APIs and has the biggest production capacity of formulations.
China Chamber of Commerce for Import & Export of Medicines and Health Products
Principles guiding the policies of the Chinese government towards the healthcare industry
3. To play a more active part as a major supplier ----What can China contribute?
• Advancement of technology and upgrading of products;
• Increase of the consolidation rate;
• Policies to encourage the development of international trade and investment;
China Chamber of Commerce for Import & Export of Medicines and Health Products
Prospects of the development of China’s healthcare Industry under the 13th Five-Year Plan
3. To play a more active part as a major supplier ----What can China contribute?
Industrial output 10% Annual Growth Rate
Industrial output 10% Annual Growth Rate
Industrial output 2016 as starting point
¥ 2,900billion / $440billion
Industrial output 2016 as starting point
¥ 2,900billion / $440billion
GOAL
China Chamber of Commerce for Import & Export of Medicines and Health Products
Experience in China’s drug regulation
3. To play a more active part as a major supplier ----What can China contribute?
• New GMP revised based on WHO & EU standard adopted in 2011.
• New GSP adopted in 2013 to achieve all supply chain compliance.
• Drug equivalence evaluation is being implemented.• Drug Administration Law of China is being revised to be more
aligned with international regulatory standards:- Introduction of MAH
- Speeding up of approval drugs and encouragement of IMCT- Introduction of data exclusivity, possibility to join the PIC/S,
ICH, etc.
China Chamber of Commerce for Import & Export of Medicines and Health Products
1
3
4
5
6
7
2
1. Financial support
2. Product marketing
3. Government procurement
4. Registration reform
5. Human resources
Technology innovation
Quality improvement
Upgrading of products
Modern distribution
International cooperation
Further the Healthcare reform
New industrial format
6. Cooperative supervision
Policy support Key targets
Guidance to promote the healthy development of China’s Healthcare Industry
3. To play a more active part as a major supplier ----What can China contribute?
*released by the State Council on 4th March 2016
China Chamber of Commerce for Import & Export of Medicines and Health Products
• Self-audit by applicants
• CROs inspection
①Improve quality of
review and approval process
⑤Increase
transparency of review and
approval process
④Encourage innovation
③Improve quality of generics
②Eliminate
review backlog
Application timeline
Innovator drug application requirement
Generics applicationReduce
nonqualified applications
• Eliminate all backlog by 2016
• Achieve review time target set out in regulation by 2018
• Dedicated innovation drugs review channel
• IMCT data will be accepted to support filing
• Pilot MAH scheme
• Bio-equivalent testing changed from application to notification
• Potentially unified application process
• Enforce originator as reference
5 pillars of reform review and approval
system for drugs and medical devices
Targeted Results
3. To play a more active part as a major supplier ----What can China contribute?
China Chamber of Commerce for Import & Export of Medicines and Health Products
Implications of the policy changes
Internationalized registration and approval
Shortened application timeline
China’s more involvement in IMCT
Internationalized drug manufacturing
Innovation by Chinese companies
Transparent innovation drug application
3. To play a more active part as a major supplier ----What can China contribute?
China Chamber of Commerce for Import & Export of Medicines and Health Products
3.An internationalized player, going global strategy of the Chinese companies
Rapid growth of the international trade in China’s healthcare industry
4.6 5.2 6.7 8.3 9.8
10.9 13.9
16.7 18.7
20.5
28.8
33.4
38.8
43.1
46.2
5.8 7.5
9.4 11.8
15.3
19.2
24.4
31.7 32.0
39.7
44.5
47.9
51.2
55.0 56.4
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Import(USbn)
Export(Usbn)
3. To play a more active part as a major supplier ----What can China contribute?
China Chamber of Commerce for Import & Export of Medicines and Health Products
3. To play a more active part as a major supplier ----What can China contribute?Imp.&Exp.of Pharmaceuticals between China& EU in 2015
(source: China Customs unit:100 m US dollars,%)
Category
Import and Export Import Export
SurplusYear-on-
year(%)Volume
Year-on-year(%)
Percentage Volume
Year-on-year(%)
Percentage Volume
Year-on-year(%)
Percentage
Pharmaceuticals 235.84 5.89 67.88 161.20 9.30 72.97 74.64 -0.80 58.99 -86.55 -19.82 APIs 96.71 1.21 27.83 32.51 6.45 14.72 64.20 -1.25 50.73 31.69 -8.07 Amino acids and derivatives 6.80 2.64 1.96 3.35 12.51 1.52 3.45 -5.40 2.73 0.11 -84.22 Aminoglycosides 0.35 2.11 0.10 <0.01 41.46 0.00 0.35 2.11 0.28 0.35 2.11 Macrolides antibiotics 0.50 28.22 0.15 <0.01 -29.16 0.00 0.50 29.02 0.40 0.50 29.84 APIs for Respiratory Diseases 0.01 9.45 0.00 <0.01 - 0.00 0.01 9.38 0.01 0.01 9.32 Sulfonamides 0.14 26.82 0.04 <0.01 -25.67 0.00 0.14 26.84 0.11 0.14 26.86 Steroids 2.89 -8.42 0.83 0.28 67.39 0.13 2.61 -12.62 2.06 2.33 -17.32 Antipyretic Analgesics 0.78 -20.98 0.22 0.01 -1.96 0.00 0.77 -21.13 0.61 0.76 -21.28 Lincomycin 0.56 -3.08 0.16 0.00 - 0.00 0.56 -3.08 0.45 0.56 -3.08 Chloramphenicols 0.33 15.35 0.09 <0.01 - 0.00 0.33 15.35 0.26 0.33 15.34 Narcotic APIs 0.07 -16.24 0.02 0.04 -16.52 0.02 0.04 -15.96 0.03 <0.01 -1.46 Other Anti-infectives 2.85 -37.79 0.82 0.61 -70.59 0.28 2.24 -10.34 1.77 1.62 299.67 Other APIs 63.29 -3.90 18.22 20.88 -12.58 9.45 42.42 1.03 33.52 21.54 19.01 Penicillins 1.61 0.76 0.46 <0.01 -99.06 0.00 1.61 1.12 1.27 1.61 1.49 Tetracyclines 1.40 -11.45 0.40 0.07 144.36 0.03 1.33 -14.29 1.05 1.26 -17.23 Cephalosporins 0.83 -2.66 0.24 0.42 -11.96 0.19 0.41 9.39 0.32 -0.02 83.95 Vitamins 7.25 -7.68 2.09 0.49 -22.81 0.22 6.76 -6.34 5.34 6.27 -4.75 APIs for Digestive system 0.1 -14.79 0.03 0.05 -17.82 0.02 0.05 -11.28 0.04 <0.01 59.65 APIs for Cardiovascular system 6.35 4281.28 1.83 6.3 4247.93 2.85 0.05 - 0.04 -6.25 -4214.59 APIs for CNS 0.58 56.99 0.17 <0.01 34.70 0 0.57 57.14 0.45 0.57 57.29
Formulations 100.84 9.19 29.02 95.57 8.66 43.26 5.27 19.76 4.17 -90.3 -8.07 Hormones 22.08 31.86 6.35 20.79 28.42 9.41 1.29 131.71 1.02 -19.49 -24.73 Other Anti-infectives 5.46 4.31 1.57 4.56 -0.21 2.06 0.9 35.54 0.71 -3.67 6.25 Other Formulations 69.93 6.21 20.13 67.43 6.49 30.52 2.5 -0.77 1.97 -64.94 -6.79 Penicillins 0.24 -66.16 0.07 0.12 -78.00 0.05 0.12 -24.85 0.09 <0.01 99.36 Cephalosporins 1.53 -24.36 0.44 1.19 -28.14 0.54 0.34 -6.99 0.27 -0.86 34.03 Vitamins 1.61 -11.30 0.46 1.48 -11.35 0.67 0.13 -10.69 0.1 -1.34 11.42
Bio-chemical drugs 38.29 9.98 11.02 33.12 14.26 14.99 5.17 -11.28 4.09 -27.94 -20.69 Enzymes and Coenzymes 2.48 14.74 0.71 1.59 8.95 0.72 0.88 26.90 0.7 -0.71 7.33 Others 35.81 9.67 10.31 31.52 14.54 14.27 4.29 -16.46 3.39 -27.23 -21.65
China Chamber of Commerce for Import & Export of Medicines and Health Products
International Registration
CEPs (China VS India)
DMFs (China VS India)• 1500+DMFs;• 560+ valid CEP;• WHO PQ:
28APIs, 16FPPs, 3 Vaccines
• 40+ ANDA;• 50+GMPs of
USA, EU, Japan and WHO.
3. To play a more active part as a major supplier ----What can China contribute?
China Chamber of Commerce for Import & Export of Medicines and Health Products
Case study
3. To play a more active part as a major supplier ----What can China contribute?
China Chamber of Commerce for Import & Export of Medicines and Health Products来源:BioSpectrum,2015.9
3. To play a more active part as a major supplier ----What can China contribute?
Year Registered clinical trial worldwide
2000 5635
2001 6984
2002 8573
2003 10237
2004 12024
2005 24931
2006 35862
2007 49260
2008 66280
2009 83436
2010 101172
2011 119402
2012 139042
2013 159488
2014 182773
2015.8 196811
CountryRegistered clinical trial
(as of the end of August 2015)
China 6501
Korea 6483
Chinese Taiwan 4062
Hong Kong 1010
India 2688
Pakistan 310
Bangladesh 202
Cambodia 57
Indonesia 277
Malaysia 780
The Philippines 747
Singapore 1485
Thailand 1760
Australia 4801
New Zealand 1253
China Chamber of Commerce for Import & Export of Medicines and Health Products
In 2014,China’s CRO market amounted to 3.9 billion USD with annual growth rate of 25%。As of April in 2014, there are
550 clinical trial institutes in China.
3. To play a more active part as a major supplier ----What can China contribute?
China Chamber of Commerce for Import & Export of Medicines and Health Products
Determining factors for the process of internationalization
R&D Alliances
Internationalresources
Marketing tactics
Reductionof cost
Legal preparation
Compliance
Global strategy
3. To play a more active part as a major supplier ----What can China contribute?
China Chamber of Commerce for Import & Export of Medicines and Health Products
International Registration
3. To play a more active part as a major supplier ----What can China contribute?
If everyone is moving forward together,then success takes care of itself.
---- Henry Ford
China Chamber of Commerce for Import & Export of Medicines and Health Products
Thank You !
Contact Details:
Dr. Xu MingAdd: 11-12 F, Beijing INN
NO.3, Nanzhuganhutong,Chaoyangmennei St. Dongcheng Dis. , Beijing, China
Tel:0086-10-58036220E-mail: [email protected]