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TM 13- pyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. What is Money? Money is any commodity or token that is generally acceptable as the means of payment. A means of payment is a method of settling a debt.

TM 13-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. What is Money? Money is any commodity or token that is generally acceptable as the means of payment

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Page 1: TM 13-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. What is Money? Money is any commodity or token that is generally acceptable as the means of payment

TM 13-1Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

What is Money?

• Money is any commodity or token that is generally acceptable as the means of payment.

• A means of payment is a method of settling a debt.

Page 2: TM 13-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. What is Money? Money is any commodity or token that is generally acceptable as the means of payment

TM 13-2Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

What Money Does?

• functions of Money

1) Medium of exchange

2) Unit of account

3) Store of value

Page 3: TM 13-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. What is Money? Money is any commodity or token that is generally acceptable as the means of payment

TM 13-3Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

Measures of Money?

• Official Measures of Money

1) M1 consists of currency and traveler’s checks plus checking deposits.

• Includes accounts held by individuals and businesses, but does not include currency held by banks, or currency and checking deposits owned by the U.S. government

Page 4: TM 13-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. What is Money? Money is any commodity or token that is generally acceptable as the means of payment

TM 13-4Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

Measures of Money?

• Official Measures of Money

2) M2 consists of M1 plus saving deposits and time deposits

Page 5: TM 13-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. What is Money? Money is any commodity or token that is generally acceptable as the means of payment

TM 13-5Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

Measures of Money?

• Official Measures of Money

3) M3 consists of M2 plus large-scale time deposits and term deposits

Page 6: TM 13-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. What is Money? Money is any commodity or token that is generally acceptable as the means of payment

TM 13-6Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

Two Measures of Money

Page 7: TM 13-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. What is Money? Money is any commodity or token that is generally acceptable as the means of payment

TM 13-7Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

Financial Intermediaries

• Financial intermediaries are firms that take deposits from households and firms and makes loans to other households and firms.

Page 8: TM 13-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. What is Money? Money is any commodity or token that is generally acceptable as the means of payment

TM 13-8Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

Financial Intermediaries

• Four Types of Financial Intermediaries

1) Commercial banks

2) Savings and loan associations

3) Savings banks and credit unions

4) Money market mutual funds

Page 9: TM 13-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. What is Money? Money is any commodity or token that is generally acceptable as the means of payment

TM 13-9Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

Financial Intermediaries

• Commercial Banks

• A commercial bank is a firm, licensed by the Comptroller of the Currency or by a state agency to receive deposits and make loans.

Page 10: TM 13-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. What is Money? Money is any commodity or token that is generally acceptable as the means of payment

TM 13-10Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

Financial Intermediaries

• Commercial Banks

• Their balance sheet is described by the following formula:

Liabilities + Net Worth = Assets

Page 11: TM 13-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. What is Money? Money is any commodity or token that is generally acceptable as the means of payment

TM 13-11Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

Financial Intermediaries

• Reserves and Loans

• Banks divide their funds into two parts:• Reserves are cash in a bank’s vault plus its deposits

at Federal Reserve banks

• Loans

Page 12: TM 13-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. What is Money? Money is any commodity or token that is generally acceptable as the means of payment

TM 13-12Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

Financial Intermediaries

• Three Types of Assets Held by Banks

1) Liquid assets are U.S. government Treasury bills and commercial bills

2) Investment securities are longer-term U.S. government bonds and other bonds

3) Loans are commitments of fixed amounts of money for agreed- upon periods of time

Page 13: TM 13-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. What is Money? Money is any commodity or token that is generally acceptable as the means of payment

TM 13-13Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

Financial Intermediaries (FI)

• The Economic Functions of FI

1) Creating Liquidity

2) Minimizing the cost of borrowing

3) Minimizing the cost of monitoring borrowers

4) Pooling Risk

Page 14: TM 13-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. What is Money? Money is any commodity or token that is generally acceptable as the means of payment

TM 13-14Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

How Banks Create Money

• Reserves: Actual and Required

• The reserve ratio is the fraction of a bank’s total deposits that are held in reserves.

• The required reserve ratio is the ratio of reserves to deposits that banks are required, by regulation, to hold.

• Excess reserves are actual reserves minus required reserves.

Page 15: TM 13-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. What is Money? Money is any commodity or token that is generally acceptable as the means of payment

TM 13-15Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

How Banks Create Money

• Creating Deposits by Making loans in a One-Bank Economy

Let’s see an example of howbanks create money.

Page 16: TM 13-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. What is Money? Money is any commodity or token that is generally acceptable as the means of payment

TM 13-16Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

Reserves $100 Deposits $400

Loans $300

Total $400 Total $400

Creating Money at theOne-and-Only Bank

Balance sheet on January 1

Assets(millions of dollars)

Liabilities(millions of dollars)

Page 17: TM 13-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. What is Money? Money is any commodity or token that is generally acceptable as the means of payment

TM 13-17Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

Reserves $101 Deposits $401

Loans $300

Total $401 Total $401

Creating Money at theOne-and-Only Bank

Balance sheet on January 2

Assets(millions of dollars)

Liabilities(millions of dollars)

Page 18: TM 13-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. What is Money? Money is any commodity or token that is generally acceptable as the means of payment

TM 13-18Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

Reserves $101 Deposits $404

Loans $303

Total $404 Total $404

Creating Money at theOne-and-Only Bank

Balance sheet on January 3

Assets(millions of dollars)

Liabilities(millions of dollars)

Page 19: TM 13-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. What is Money? Money is any commodity or token that is generally acceptable as the means of payment

TM 13-19Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

How Banks Create Money

• The Deposit Multiplier

reservesinChange

depositsinChangemultiplierDeposit

Page 20: TM 13-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. What is Money? Money is any commodity or token that is generally acceptable as the means of payment

TM 13-20Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

How Banks Create Money

• Creating Deposits by Making Loans with Many Banks

Let’s see how the

banking system creates money

Page 21: TM 13-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. What is Money? Money is any commodity or token that is generally acceptable as the means of payment

TM 13-21Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

The Multiple Creationof Bank Deposits

The sequence The running tallyReserves Loans Deposits

Page 22: TM 13-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. What is Money? Money is any commodity or token that is generally acceptable as the means of payment

TM 13-22Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

The Multiple Creationof Bank Deposits

The sequence The running tally

Deposit$100,000

Reserves Loans Deposits

Page 23: TM 13-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. What is Money? Money is any commodity or token that is generally acceptable as the means of payment

TM 13-23Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

The Multiple Creationof Bank Deposits

The sequence The running tally

Deposit$100,000

Reserves Loans Deposits

$25,000

$75,000 $25,000

$75,000 $100,000Loan

$75,000Reserve$25,000

Page 24: TM 13-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. What is Money? Money is any commodity or token that is generally acceptable as the means of payment

TM 13-24Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

The Multiple Creationof Bank Deposits

The sequence

Deposit$100,000

Loan$75,000

Deposit$75,000

Reserve$25,000

The running tallyReserves Loans Deposits

$25,000

$75,000 $25,000

$75,000 $100,000

Page 25: TM 13-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. What is Money? Money is any commodity or token that is generally acceptable as the means of payment

TM 13-25Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

The Multiple Creationof Bank Deposits

The sequence The running tally

Deposit$100,000

Reserves Loans Deposits

$25,000

$75,000 $25,000

$75,000 $100,000Loan

$75,000

Deposit$75,000

Reserve$25,000

Loan$56,250

Reserve$18,750 $43,750 $131,250 $175,000

Page 26: TM 13-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. What is Money? Money is any commodity or token that is generally acceptable as the means of payment

TM 13-26Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

The Multiple Creationof Bank Deposits

The sequence

Deposit$56,250

The running tallyReserves Loans Deposits

Page 27: TM 13-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. What is Money? Money is any commodity or token that is generally acceptable as the means of payment

TM 13-27Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

The Multiple Creationof Bank Deposits

The sequence The running tallyReserves Loans Deposits

$43,750 $131,250 $175,000

Deposit$56,250

Loan$42,187

Reserve$14,063 $57,813 $173,437 $231,250

Page 28: TM 13-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. What is Money? Money is any commodity or token that is generally acceptable as the means of payment

TM 13-28Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

The Multiple Creationof Bank Deposits

The sequence The running tallyReserves Loans Deposits

Deposit$56,250

Loan$42,187

Reserve$14,063

Deposit$42,187

$43,750 $131,250 $175,000

$57,813 $173,437 $231,250

Page 29: TM 13-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. What is Money? Money is any commodity or token that is generally acceptable as the means of payment

TM 13-29Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

The Multiple Creationof Bank Deposits

The sequence The running tallyReserves Loans Deposits

$68,360 $205,077 $273,437

Loan$31,640

Reserve$10,547

Page 30: TM 13-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. What is Money? Money is any commodity or token that is generally acceptable as the means of payment

TM 13-30Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

The Multiple Creationof Bank Deposits

The sequence The running tallyReserves Loans Deposits

$68,360 $205,077 $273,437

Loan$31,640

Reserve$10,547

andso on...

$100,000 $300,000 $400,000

Page 31: TM 13-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. What is Money? Money is any commodity or token that is generally acceptable as the means of payment

TM 13-31Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

The Fed controls the money supply by adjusting the reserves of the banking system.

Page 32: TM 13-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. What is Money? Money is any commodity or token that is generally acceptable as the means of payment

TM 13-32Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

The Fed controls the money supply by adjusting the reserves of the banking system. These reserves are controlled by three tools available to the Fed.

Page 33: TM 13-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. What is Money? Money is any commodity or token that is generally acceptable as the means of payment

TM 13-33Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

1) Required reserve ratios

Page 34: TM 13-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. What is Money? Money is any commodity or token that is generally acceptable as the means of payment

TM 13-34Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

1) Required reserve ratios

2) Discount rate

Page 35: TM 13-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. What is Money? Money is any commodity or token that is generally acceptable as the means of payment

TM 13-35Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

1) Required reserve ratios

2) Discount rate

3) Open market operations

Page 36: TM 13-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. What is Money? Money is any commodity or token that is generally acceptable as the means of payment

TM 13-36Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

• Required Reserve Ratios

• The Fed determines a required reserve ratio for each type of deposit.• In 1997, banks were required to keep 3 percent of

checking deposits up to $49 million and 10 percent of deposits in excess of $49 million.

• Other deposits had no reserve requirement.

Page 37: TM 13-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. What is Money? Money is any commodity or token that is generally acceptable as the means of payment

TM 13-37Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

• Discount Rate

• The discount rate is the interest rate at which the Fed stands ready to lend reserves to commercial banks.

Page 38: TM 13-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. What is Money? Money is any commodity or token that is generally acceptable as the means of payment

TM 13-38Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

• Open Market Operations

• Open market operations are the purchase or sale of government securities by the Federal Reserve System on the open market.

Page 39: TM 13-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. What is Money? Money is any commodity or token that is generally acceptable as the means of payment

TM 13-39Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

Money, Real GDP, andthe Price Level

• We are going to study the effect the money supply has on real GDP, the price level, and the inflation rate.

Page 40: TM 13-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. What is Money? Money is any commodity or token that is generally acceptable as the means of payment

TM 13-40Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

Money, Real GDP, andthe Price Level

• The Short-Run Effects of a Change in the Quantity of Money

• Let’s study how a change in the quantity of money effects these factors by examining the aggregate supply-aggregate demand model.

Page 41: TM 13-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. What is Money? Money is any commodity or token that is generally acceptable as the means of payment

TM 13-41Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

Short-Run Effects ofChange in Quantity of Money

Real GDP (trillions of 1992 dollars)

Pri

ce le

vel

(GD

P d

efla

tor,

199

2 =

100

)

100

110

130

140

6.6 7.0 7.2 7.6

120

107

6.8 7.4

Page 42: TM 13-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. What is Money? Money is any commodity or token that is generally acceptable as the means of payment

TM 13-42Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

Short-Run Effects ofChange in Quantity of Money

Real GDP (trillions of 1992 dollars)

Pri

ce le

vel

(GD

P d

efla

tor,

199

2 =

100

)

100

110

130

140

AD0

6.6 7.0 7.2 7.6

120

107

6.8 7.4

LAS

SAS

AD1

Page 43: TM 13-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. What is Money? Money is any commodity or token that is generally acceptable as the means of payment

TM 13-43Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

Short-Run Effects ofChange in Quantity of Money

Real GDP (trillions of 1992 dollars)

Pri

ce le

vel

(GD

P d

efla

tor,

199

2 =

100

)

100

110

130

140

AD0

6.6 7.0 7.2 7.6

120

107

6.8 7.4

LAS

SAS

AD1

Page 44: TM 13-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. What is Money? Money is any commodity or token that is generally acceptable as the means of payment

TM 13-44Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

Short-Run Effects ofChange in Quantity of Money

Real GDP (trillions of 1992 dollars)

Pri

ce le

vel

(GD

P d

efla

tor,

199

2 =

100

)

100

110

130

140

6.6 7.0 7.2 7.6

120

107

6.8 7.4

LAS

SAS

AD1

Page 45: TM 13-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. What is Money? Money is any commodity or token that is generally acceptable as the means of payment

TM 13-45Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

Long-Run Effects ofChange in Quantity of Money

Real GDP (trillions of 1992 dollars)

Pri

ce le

vel

(GD

P d

efla

tor,

199

2 =

100

)

100

110

130

140

6.6 7.0 7.2 7.6

121

6.8 7.4

Page 46: TM 13-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. What is Money? Money is any commodity or token that is generally acceptable as the means of payment

TM 13-46Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

Long-Run Effects ofChange in Quantity of Money

Real GDP (trillions of 1992 dollars)

Pri

ce le

vel

(GD

P d

efla

tor,

199

2 =

100

)

100

110

130

140

6.6 7.0 7.2 7.6

121

6.8 7.4

LAS

AD1

SAS1

Page 47: TM 13-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. What is Money? Money is any commodity or token that is generally acceptable as the means of payment

TM 13-47Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

Long-Run Effects ofChange in Quantity of Money

Real GDP (trillions of 1992 dollars)

Pri

ce le

vel

(GD

P d

efla

tor,

199

2 =

100

)

100

110

130

140

6.6 7.0 7.2 7.6

121

6.8 7.4

LAS

113

AD1

SAS1

AD2

Page 48: TM 13-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. What is Money? Money is any commodity or token that is generally acceptable as the means of payment

TM 13-48Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

Long-Run Effects ofChange in Quantity of Money

Real GDP (trillions of 1992 dollars)

Pri

ce le

vel

(GD

P d

efla

tor,

199

2 =

100

)

100

110

130

140

6.6 7.0 7.2 7.6

121

6.8 7.4

LAS

113

AD1

SAS1

AD2

Page 49: TM 13-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. What is Money? Money is any commodity or token that is generally acceptable as the means of payment

TM 13-49Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

Long-Run Effects ofChange in Quantity of Money

Real GDP (trillions of 1992 dollars)

Pri

ce le

vel

(GD

P d

efla

tor,

199

2 =

100

)

100

110

130

140

6.6 7.0 7.2 7.6

121

6.8 7.4

LAS

113

AD1

SAS1

AD2

SAS2

Page 50: TM 13-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. What is Money? Money is any commodity or token that is generally acceptable as the means of payment

TM 13-50Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

Long-Run Effects ofChange in Quantity of Money

Real GDP (trillions of 1992 dollars)

Pri

ce le

vel

(GD

P d

efla

tor,

199

2 =

100

)

100

110

130

140

6.6 7.0 7.2 7.6

121

6.8 7.4

LAS

113

AD2

SAS2

Page 51: TM 13-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. What is Money? Money is any commodity or token that is generally acceptable as the means of payment

TM 13-51Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

Learning Objectives (cont.)

• Explain how banks create money

• Explain why the quantity of money is an important economic magnitude

• Explain the quantity theory of money

Page 52: TM 13-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. What is Money? Money is any commodity or token that is generally acceptable as the means of payment

TM 13-52Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

Money, Real GDP, andthe Price Level

• The Quantity Theory of Money

• The quantity theory of money is the proposition that in the long run, an increase in the quantity of money brings an equal percentage increase in the price level.

• This theory is based upon the velocity of circulation and the equation of exchange.

Page 53: TM 13-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. What is Money? Money is any commodity or token that is generally acceptable as the means of payment

TM 13-53Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

Money, Real GDP, andthe Price Level

• The Quantity Theory of Money

• The velocity of circulation is the average number of times a dollar of money is used annually to buy goods and services that make up GDP.

Page 54: TM 13-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. What is Money? Money is any commodity or token that is generally acceptable as the means of payment

TM 13-54Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

Money, Real GDP, andthe Price Level

• GDP equals the price level (P) times real GDP (Y), or:

GDP = PY

Page 55: TM 13-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. What is Money? Money is any commodity or token that is generally acceptable as the means of payment

TM 13-55Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

Money, Real GDP, andthe Price Level

• Make the quantity of money M, and the velocity of circulation V is determined by:

V = PY/M

Page 56: TM 13-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. What is Money? Money is any commodity or token that is generally acceptable as the means of payment

TM 13-56Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

The Velocity of Circulation in the United States: 1930–1996

Page 57: TM 13-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. What is Money? Money is any commodity or token that is generally acceptable as the means of payment

TM 13-57Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

Money, Real GDP, andthe Price Level

• The equation of exchange states that the quantity of money (M) multiplied by the velocity of circulation (V) equals GDP, or

MV=PY

Page 58: TM 13-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. What is Money? Money is any commodity or token that is generally acceptable as the means of payment

TM 13-58Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

Money, Real GDP, andthe Price Level

• We can convert the equation of exchange into the quantity theory of money by making two assumptions:

1) The velocity of circulation is not influenced by the quantity of money.

2) Potential GDP is not influenced by the quantity of money.

Page 59: TM 13-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. What is Money? Money is any commodity or token that is generally acceptable as the means of payment

TM 13-59Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

Money, Real GDP, andthe Price Level

• Assuming this is true, the equation of exchange tells us that a change in the quantity of money causes an equal proportional change in the price level.

Page 60: TM 13-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. What is Money? Money is any commodity or token that is generally acceptable as the means of payment

TM 13-60Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

Money, Real GDP, andthe Price Level

• This can be shown by using the equation of exchange to solve for the price level.

P = (V/Y)M

Page 61: TM 13-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. What is Money? Money is any commodity or token that is generally acceptable as the means of payment

TM 13-61Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

Money, Real GDP, andthe Price Level

• In the long run, real GDP equals potential GDP, so the relationship between the change in the price level and the quantity of money is:

MYVP )/(

Page 62: TM 13-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. What is Money? Money is any commodity or token that is generally acceptable as the means of payment

TM 13-62Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

Money, Real GDP, andthe Price Level

• Dividing this equation by an earlier one, P = (V/Y)M, gives us

MMPP //

Page 63: TM 13-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. What is Money? Money is any commodity or token that is generally acceptable as the means of payment

TM 13-63Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

Money, Real GDP, andthe Price Level

• This equation shows that the proportionate change in the price level equals the proportionate change in the quantity of money.

• This gives us the quantity theory of money:

• In the long run, the percentage increase in the price level equals the percentage increase in the quantity of money.

Page 64: TM 13-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. What is Money? Money is any commodity or token that is generally acceptable as the means of payment

TM 13-64Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

Money, Real GDP, andthe Price Level

• The AS-AD model predicts the same outcome as the quantity theory of money.

• It also predicts a less precise relationship between the quantity of money and the price level in the short run than in the long run.

Page 65: TM 13-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. What is Money? Money is any commodity or token that is generally acceptable as the means of payment

TM 13-65Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

Money, Real GDP, andthe Price Level

• Historical Evidence on the Quantity Theory of Money

• The data are broadly consistent with the quantity theory of money, but the relationship is not precise.

• The relationship is stronger in the long run than in the short run.

Page 66: TM 13-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. What is Money? Money is any commodity or token that is generally acceptable as the means of payment

TM 13-66Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

Money Growth andInflation in the United States

Page 67: TM 13-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. What is Money? Money is any commodity or token that is generally acceptable as the means of payment

TM 13-67Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

Money Growth andInflation in the United States

Page 68: TM 13-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. What is Money? Money is any commodity or token that is generally acceptable as the means of payment

TM 13-68Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

Money Growth andInflation in the World Economy

Page 69: TM 13-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. What is Money? Money is any commodity or token that is generally acceptable as the means of payment

TM 13-69Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

Money Growth andInflation in the World Economy

Page 70: TM 13-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. What is Money? Money is any commodity or token that is generally acceptable as the means of payment

TM 13-70Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

Money, Real GDP, andthe Price Level

• Correlation, Causation, and Other Influences

• The evidence shows that money growth and inflation are correlated.

Page 71: TM 13-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. What is Money? Money is any commodity or token that is generally acceptable as the means of payment

TM 13-71Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

Money, Real GDP, andthe Price Level

• Correlation, Causation, and Other Influences

• This does not represent causation.• Does money growth cause inflation, or does

inflation cause money growth?

• Does some other factor cause inflation (deficit spending)?