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Time is Money….and Money is Time: What conflicted superannuation governance is costing fund members Presentation to Conference of Major Super Funds (CMSF) 24th March 2014 Chris Angus, Nigel Douglas, Mike Rafferty

Time is Money….and Money is Time Dr Mike Rafferty.pdf · Chris Angus, Nigel Douglas, Mike Rafferty . 10 things you already knew about Super… … but just didn’t realise how

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Page 1: Time is Money….and Money is Time Dr Mike Rafferty.pdf · Chris Angus, Nigel Douglas, Mike Rafferty . 10 things you already knew about Super… … but just didn’t realise how

Time is Money….and Money is Time:

What conflicted superannuation governance is costing fund members

Presentation to Conference of Major Super Funds (CMSF) 24th March 2014

Chris Angus, Nigel Douglas, Mike Rafferty

Page 2: Time is Money….and Money is Time Dr Mike Rafferty.pdf · Chris Angus, Nigel Douglas, Mike Rafferty . 10 things you already knew about Super… … but just didn’t realise how

10 things you already knew about Super…… but just didn’t realise how important they were

What we know - Superannuation funds have different characteristics Many of these differences are aesthetic or insignificant. But superannuation is an

industry rather than a market.

Therefore some of these internal fund differences turn out to be very important. The important differences can be thought of in 3 dimensions: 1. Governance and business models 2. Distribution 3. Performance

Differences in these areas mean that people in different funds will have very different retirement outcomes.

Page 3: Time is Money….and Money is Time Dr Mike Rafferty.pdf · Chris Angus, Nigel Douglas, Mike Rafferty . 10 things you already knew about Super… … but just didn’t realise how

What we didn’t know

Members of Not For Profit Representative Trustee funds will save much more and be able to retire much earlier than members of For Profit Appointed Trustee funds.

You may be surprised to learn just how much difference in time and money we are talking about

(hint its big).

Page 4: Time is Money….and Money is Time Dr Mike Rafferty.pdf · Chris Angus, Nigel Douglas, Mike Rafferty . 10 things you already knew about Super… … but just didn’t realise how

1. Fund Governance & Business Models*

*Source for governance data: APRA 2008

Page 5: Time is Money….and Money is Time Dr Mike Rafferty.pdf · Chris Angus, Nigel Douglas, Mike Rafferty . 10 things you already knew about Super… … but just didn’t realise how

Two basic superannuation fund types: 1. Derived from the old insurance industry business model

- Vertically integrated financial firms - For Profit - Sales/Advice product distribution driven distribution - Appointed Trustees

2. Derived from industrial agreements

- Free standing fund, contracts out most services - Co-operative/Not for profit - Industrial Agreement and award-based - Representative Trustees

These two fund types behave differently in important ways

Page 6: Time is Money….and Money is Time Dr Mike Rafferty.pdf · Chris Angus, Nigel Douglas, Mike Rafferty . 10 things you already knew about Super… … but just didn’t realise how

Key Governance differences - Representative NFP Trustees have:

1. more diverse backgrounds 2. much less likely to be employed by the fund or a service provider 3. hold fewer additional directorships 4. spend more time on individual board matters 5. have fewer direct relationships to the fund or related service

providers 6. direct fewer service contracts with parent or closely related

providers 7. invest more of their retirement savings in the fund they are a board

member

Page 7: Time is Money….and Money is Time Dr Mike Rafferty.pdf · Chris Angus, Nigel Douglas, Mike Rafferty . 10 things you already knew about Super… … but just didn’t realise how

Primary Employer of Trustee/Director

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%

Retail

Industry

Public

CorporateA fund service providerCurrent fund

Page 8: Time is Money….and Money is Time Dr Mike Rafferty.pdf · Chris Angus, Nigel Douglas, Mike Rafferty . 10 things you already knew about Super… … but just didn’t realise how

Method of board appointment

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Corporate

Public

Industry

Retail

Member elected Employer elected Government appointedUnion appointed Appointed internally Appointed through executive searchAppointed through personal contact

Page 9: Time is Money….and Money is Time Dr Mike Rafferty.pdf · Chris Angus, Nigel Douglas, Mike Rafferty . 10 things you already knew about Super… … but just didn’t realise how

Trustee/Director- Type of board representation

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Corporate

Public

Industry

Retail

Fund member Industry union Employer sponsor Government Professional advisor None of the above

Page 10: Time is Money….and Money is Time Dr Mike Rafferty.pdf · Chris Angus, Nigel Douglas, Mike Rafferty . 10 things you already knew about Super… … but just didn’t realise how

Number of other Trustee/Directorships currently held

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 Morethan15

RetailIndustryPublicCorporate

Page 11: Time is Money….and Money is Time Dr Mike Rafferty.pdf · Chris Angus, Nigel Douglas, Mike Rafferty . 10 things you already knew about Super… … but just didn’t realise how

Skin in the Game ? - Per cent of trustee/director super invested in this fund

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

0 1-10% 11-50% 51-90% 91-100%

As %

of D

irect

ors

sect

or

Corporate Public Industry Retail

Page 12: Time is Money….and Money is Time Dr Mike Rafferty.pdf · Chris Angus, Nigel Douglas, Mike Rafferty . 10 things you already knew about Super… … but just didn’t realise how

Average number of trustee director hours spent per fund per year

0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400

Retail

Industry

Public

Corporate

Page 13: Time is Money….and Money is Time Dr Mike Rafferty.pdf · Chris Angus, Nigel Douglas, Mike Rafferty . 10 things you already knew about Super… … but just didn’t realise how

Service providers to fund & their relationship to the fund

0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400

Corporate

Public

Industry

Retail

No relationship Provider is the parent company of the trusteeProvider and trustee have common parent company Provider is a wholly owned subsidiary of the trusteeTwo of the above Other relationship

Page 14: Time is Money….and Money is Time Dr Mike Rafferty.pdf · Chris Angus, Nigel Douglas, Mike Rafferty . 10 things you already knew about Super… … but just didn’t realise how

Service Provider relationship with trustee directors

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Corporate

Public

Industry

Retail

Provider has trustee director(s) in paid employment Provider and trustee have common director(s)Shareholders of the provider include trustee director(s) Two of the aboveAll of the above None of the above

0 50 100 150 200

Corporate

Public

Industry

Retail

Frequency of relationship where there is 1 or more

Page 15: Time is Money….and Money is Time Dr Mike Rafferty.pdf · Chris Angus, Nigel Douglas, Mike Rafferty . 10 things you already knew about Super… … but just didn’t realise how

2. Fund Distribution Methods*

*Source for governance data: Rainmaker Information and APRA 2008

Page 16: Time is Money….and Money is Time Dr Mike Rafferty.pdf · Chris Angus, Nigel Douglas, Mike Rafferty . 10 things you already knew about Super… … but just didn’t realise how

Distribution models

Retail Funds currently anchored in the old insurance distribution (sales/advice) product distribution model - Currently own 72% of the advice industry

Industry funds remain anchored in the industrial award and agreement benefit management system - Not-for-profit super fund owned adviser groups account for 2% of the industry Source: Rainmaker 2014

Page 17: Time is Money….and Money is Time Dr Mike Rafferty.pdf · Chris Angus, Nigel Douglas, Mike Rafferty . 10 things you already knew about Super… … but just didn’t realise how

3. Fund Performance*

*Source for fund performance data: Rainmaker Information 2013

Page 18: Time is Money….and Money is Time Dr Mike Rafferty.pdf · Chris Angus, Nigel Douglas, Mike Rafferty . 10 things you already knew about Super… … but just didn’t realise how

A couple more things you already knew:

For profit (FP) or retail funds tend to be part of large vertically integrated financial conglomerates, and as a consequence:

8. NFP Representative funds are lower cost than FP (Retail) funds

9. NFP Representative funds have consistently outperformed FP funds in returns to members

Page 19: Time is Money….and Money is Time Dr Mike Rafferty.pdf · Chris Angus, Nigel Douglas, Mike Rafferty . 10 things you already knew about Super… … but just didn’t realise how

Annual cost of balanced funds by fund type

Fund Type Balanced fund cost ($) Balanced fund cost (%)

2006 2008 2006 2008 Retail (Employer sponsored)

$988 $1,015 1.88% 1.93%

Retail (Personal funds)

$1,121 $1,113 2.13% 2.12%

Industry funds $387 $447 0.74% 0.85% Public sector funds $340 $473 0.65% 0.90% Corporate funds na $400 na 0.76% Source: Credit Suisse estimates 2008,

Note: based on scenario of Balanced Fund with $50,000 AuM and $5,000 of contribution during the year, fees are before tax rebates as disclosed in sample PDSs

Page 20: Time is Money….and Money is Time Dr Mike Rafferty.pdf · Chris Angus, Nigel Douglas, Mike Rafferty . 10 things you already knew about Super… … but just didn’t realise how

The Retail Fund Management Value (extraction) Chain

Source: Credit Suisse 2011

Page 21: Time is Money….and Money is Time Dr Mike Rafferty.pdf · Chris Angus, Nigel Douglas, Mike Rafferty . 10 things you already knew about Super… … but just didn’t realise how

Superannuation Fund Performance by Business model Type – Crediting rates by market segment 1988 to 2013 & average over total period

8.45% 6.61%

-15.0%

-10.0%

-5.0%

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

87-88

88-89

89-90

90-91

91-92

92-93

93-94

94-95

95-96

96-97

97-98

98-99

99-00

00-01

01-02

02-03

03-04

04-05

05-06

06-07

07-08

08-09

09-10

10-11

11-12

12-13Not-for-profit super funds Retail balanced super NFP Average FP Average

Page 22: Time is Money….and Money is Time Dr Mike Rafferty.pdf · Chris Angus, Nigel Douglas, Mike Rafferty . 10 things you already knew about Super… … but just didn’t realise how

Sector Performance Averages from 1987 – 1999, 2000 – 2013 & 1987-2013

10.97%

5.92%

8.45%

9.19%

4.02%

6.61%

1.78% 1.90% 1.84%

0.00%

2.00%

4.00%

6.00%

8.00%

10.00%

12.00%

1987 - 1999 2000 - 2013 1987 - 2013

NFP Averages FP Averages Difference

Page 23: Time is Money….and Money is Time Dr Mike Rafferty.pdf · Chris Angus, Nigel Douglas, Mike Rafferty . 10 things you already knew about Super… … but just didn’t realise how

4. Outcomes for member retirement*

*Source for outcome modelling: Rainmaker Information 2013

Page 24: Time is Money….and Money is Time Dr Mike Rafferty.pdf · Chris Angus, Nigel Douglas, Mike Rafferty . 10 things you already knew about Super… … but just didn’t realise how

One last thing you already knew:

10. Better performance by NFP funds means more retirement savings for members

But …these differences are much larger than we have

generally understood (e.g. ‘ISNs compare the pair’ Mk I or II)

These differences are very costly in terms of foregone savings

They are also very costly in terms of extra time required to save for retirement

Page 25: Time is Money….and Money is Time Dr Mike Rafferty.pdf · Chris Angus, Nigel Douglas, Mike Rafferty . 10 things you already knew about Super… … but just didn’t realise how

4.1 Difference in final amount

Page 26: Time is Money….and Money is Time Dr Mike Rafferty.pdf · Chris Angus, Nigel Douglas, Mike Rafferty . 10 things you already knew about Super… … but just didn’t realise how

Scenario 1: Initial investment of $1000 in 1987, Annual crediting rates compounded, balanced & default funds - 1988 to 2013

$7,774.01

$4,967.63

$0

$1,000

$2,000

$3,000

$4,000

$5,000

$6,000

$7,000

$8,000

$9,000

87-88

88-89

89-90

90-91

91-92

92-93

93-94

94-95

95-96

96-97

97-98

98-99

99-00

00-01

01-02

02-03

03-04

04-05

05-06

06-07

07-08

08-09

09-10

10-11

11-12

12-13

NFP

FP

Page 27: Time is Money….and Money is Time Dr Mike Rafferty.pdf · Chris Angus, Nigel Douglas, Mike Rafferty . 10 things you already knew about Super… … but just didn’t realise how

Scenario 1: Initial investment of $1000 in 1987, Annual crediting rates compounded, balanced & default funds - 1988 to 2013

$2,806.38

36%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

$0

$500

$1,000

$1,500

$2,000

$2,500

$3,000

87-88

88-89

89-90

90-91

91-92

92-93

93-94

94-95

95-96

96-97

97-98

98-99

99-00

00-01

01-02

02-03

03-04

04-05

05-06

06-07

07-08

08-09

09-10

10-11

11-12

12-13

$ Difference -NFP vs FP% Difference -NFP vs FP

Page 28: Time is Money….and Money is Time Dr Mike Rafferty.pdf · Chris Angus, Nigel Douglas, Mike Rafferty . 10 things you already knew about Super… … but just didn’t realise how

Scenario 2: Initial investment of $1000 in 1987 +$1000 added each year, Annual crediting rates compounded, balanced & default funds - 1988 to 2013

$76,444.02

$57,981.75

$0

$10,000

$20,000

$30,000

$40,000

$50,000

$60,000

$70,000

$80,000

$90,000

87-88

88-89

89-90

90-91

91-92

92-93

93-94

94-95

95-96

96-97

97-98

98-99

99-00

00-01

01-02

02-03

03-04

04-05

05-06

06-07

07-08

08-09

09-10

10-11

11-12

12-13

NFP

FP

Page 29: Time is Money….and Money is Time Dr Mike Rafferty.pdf · Chris Angus, Nigel Douglas, Mike Rafferty . 10 things you already knew about Super… … but just didn’t realise how

Scenario 2: Initial investment of $1000 in 1987 +$1000 added each year, Annual crediting rates compounded, balanced & default funds - 1988 to 2013

$18,462.27

24%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

$0

$2,000

$4,000

$6,000

$8,000

$10,000

$12,000

$14,000

$16,000

$18,000

$20,000

87-8888-8989-9090-9191-9292-9393-9494-9595-9696-9797-9898-9999-0000-0101-0202-0303-0404-0505-0606-0707-0808-0909-1010-1111-1212-13

$ Difference -NFP vs FP% Difference -NFP vs FP

Page 30: Time is Money….and Money is Time Dr Mike Rafferty.pdf · Chris Angus, Nigel Douglas, Mike Rafferty . 10 things you already knew about Super… … but just didn’t realise how

4.2 Difference in time taken to save

Page 31: Time is Money….and Money is Time Dr Mike Rafferty.pdf · Chris Angus, Nigel Douglas, Mike Rafferty . 10 things you already knew about Super… … but just didn’t realise how

Scenario 1 - Initial $1000 lump sum plus crediting rates compounded, 1987-2013

$7,774.01

$4,967.63

$0

$1,000

$2,000

$3,000

$4,000

$5,000

$6,000

$7,000

$8,000

$9,000

87-88

88-89

89-90

90-91

91-92

92-93

93-94

94-95

95-96

96-97

97-98

98-99

99-00

00-01

01-02

02-03

03-04

04-05

05-06

06-07

07-08

08-09

09-10

10-11

11-12

12-13

NFP FP

Point at which NFP reaches the same value as FP at term end (8 years earlier)

Page 32: Time is Money….and Money is Time Dr Mike Rafferty.pdf · Chris Angus, Nigel Douglas, Mike Rafferty . 10 things you already knew about Super… … but just didn’t realise how

Scenario 2 - Initial $1000 + $1000 yearly plus crediting rates from 1987-2013

$76,444.02

$57,981.75

$0

$10,000

$20,000

$30,000

$40,000

$50,000

$60,000

$70,000

$80,000

$90,000

87-88

88-89

89-90

90-91

91-92

92-93

93-94

94-95

95-96

96-97

97-98

98-99

99-00

00-01

01-02

02-03

03-04

04-05

05-06

06-07

07-08

08-09

09-10

10-11

11-12

12-13

NFP FP

Point at which NFP reaches the same value as FP at term end (6 years earlier)

Page 33: Time is Money….and Money is Time Dr Mike Rafferty.pdf · Chris Angus, Nigel Douglas, Mike Rafferty . 10 things you already knew about Super… … but just didn’t realise how

$62,619.18

$26,134.59

$0

$10,000

$20,000

$30,000

$40,000

$50,000

$60,000

$70,000

Age

21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47 49 51 53 55 57 59 61 63 65 67 69

NFP FP

Point at which NFP reaches the same value as FP at term end (11 years earlier)

Initial $1000 lump sum over 50 years using average crediting rates from 1987-2013

Page 34: Time is Money….and Money is Time Dr Mike Rafferty.pdf · Chris Angus, Nigel Douglas, Mike Rafferty . 10 things you already knew about Super… … but just didn’t realise how

Initial $1000 + $1000 yearly over 50 years using average crediting rates from 1987-2013

$790,840.24

$405,518.35

$0

$100,000

$200,000

$300,000

$400,000

$500,000

$600,000

$700,000

$800,000

$900,000

Age21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47 49 51 53 55 57 59 61 63 65 67 69

NFP FP

Point at which NFP reaches the same value as FP at term end (8 years earlier)