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TIC sector: a corporate finance perspective
CEOC General Assembly - 14 May 2012
Agenda
1. Introduction
2.
3.
The outlook for the TIC 1) sector is good
Consolidation set to continue
4. How to value a TIC company?
5. Typical transaction structures
Q&A Session
Notes: 1) TIC: Testing, Inspection, Certification
ABN AMRO at a glance
Robbert Claassen
Managing Director, Corporate Finance
Tel. +31 (20) 6282200
Mob. +31 (6) 51478238
E-mail [email protected]
Corporate Finance & Equity Capital Markets
• The Corporate Finance & Capital Markets division of ABN AMRO consists of ~95 financial professionals with the majority of its execution power driven from the Amsterdam office
Product expertise
• ABN AMRO CFCM is also present in France, Germany and the USA with dedicated Corporate Finance teams, and is currently extending its network and presence in other relevant markets
• CFCM is supported by dedicated Sector Teams of Equity Capital Markets and ABN AMRO’s global network of Private Banking and Corporate Banking professionals who jointly offer access to major corporates and investors as well as their key decision makers
• Debt Solutions (acquisition & leveraged finance, export & project finance, loan syndications, debt capital markets, asset securitisation, structured finance, capital structuring & advisory)
• Corporate Finance & Capital Markets• Private Equity
• All other core products including trade, finance, treasury, cash management and insurance
New York
Amsterdam
ParisFrankfurt
1 2 43 5
AUD 198,600,000
Rights Issue
October 2009Australia
TIC sector deals
AUD 445,000,000
Acquisition of Amdel
May 2008Australia
USD 730,000,000
Sale to Investcorp
April 2011UK
EUR 1,078,000,000
Initial Public Offering
October 2007France
USD 552,000,000
Project Financing
August 2007Turkey
EUR 64,000,000
Sale to Applus
February 2005Denmark
Undisclosed
Acquisition finance Bodycote
August 2008UK
Undisclosed
Sale of Inspecta to 3i
August 2007Finland
AUD 41,000,000
Takeover offer for CCI
February 2005Denmark
Undisclosed
Sale of subsidiary to Bridgepoint
January 2006Finland
1 2 43 5
Org revenue growth
EBITDA Margin
˜11% +220bps
9-12% +100-150bps
7-9% +100-150bps
Continued growth expected in most TIC segments
Outlook
Growing revenues at 3-6x GDP
Larger players target 7-10% organic revenue growth
Annual 100-200bps margin increase through:• Back office off-shoring
and rationalisation• Use of scalability• More value added
services• Lean management
Marine
Consumer products
Construction
Commodities
Gov. services
Industry
IVS
Certification
3
7
26
5
4
15
10
4
2010E Market
size (EUR bn)
Market growth trends
07-11 12-15
1 2 43 5
12-15
Profitability
Segment outlook
Notes: period mentioned in most recent strategic updatesSource: Bureau Veritas, SGS, Intertek
1)
2)
3)
TIC market benefits from strong fundamental growth drivers
Global increase QHSE demand Increasing regulation Trend to outsourcing
Full-Service concept Meet international client demand
Consolidation potential
1 2 43 5
TIC sector attractiveness: cash generation and defensiveness
High and resilient cash flow generation
Low cyclicality
Substantial barriers to
entry
Diversified and sticky client base
Scalable business
model
1 2 43 5
Entry barriers:• Brand• Network• Accreditations• Reputation• Capital requirements• Expertise
Largest client <3% of revenues at BV and SGS
e.g. 90-95% retention rate in classification and management certification
Scalability predominately in lab testing and IT systems
EBITDA margins 18-27% of top 6 listed players
Cash conversion ratio’s of top 3 players typically reach > 80%
None of the global top 3 has reported organic revenue declines in any year since 2000, although some segments are cyclical
2
1
5
4
3
1
2
34
5
Source: Company info, ABN AMRO analysis, annual reports
Attractiveness acknowledged by stock market
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
1-May-07 1-May-08 1-May-09 1-May-10 1-May-11 1-May-12
TIC Sector CompositeFTSE 350 Support Services FTSE 350
1 2 43 5
5 year share price performance (indexed)
1) TIC sector composite based on: SGS, BV, Intertek, SAI Global, Eurofins, CampbellSource: date as of May 11, 2012; Factset, Company info, ABN AMRO analysis
1)
TIC Sector best performing segment in Business Services …
Share price performance (2005-2012 YTD)
-29%
-17%
13%
14%
26%
54%
57%
63%
154%
214%
General staffing
Distribution
Security services
SpecialistStaffing
BPO/ HR
General BPO
FacilityManagement
Financialoutsourcing
BPO/ IT
TIC
1 2 43 5
1) TIC sector companies included are: SGS, BV, Intertek, SAI Global, Eurofins, CampbellSource: date as of May 11, 2012; Factset, Company info, ABN AMRO analysis
1)
0.2x
0.6x
0.7x
0.7x
0.8x
1.1x
1.8x
1.8x
2.3x
2.3x
Generalstaffing
Distributors
Securtityservices
SpecialistStaffing
FacilityManagement
General BPO
BPO/ HR
BPO/ IT
Financialoutsourcing
TIC
TIC Sector valuation multiples are the highest
EV/ Sales (2012E) EV/EBITDA (2012E)
6.2x
6.3x
6.5x
7.4x
7.7x
8.2x
8.6x
9.9x
9.9x
11.0x
Securtityservices
Generalstaffing
FacilityManagement
BPO/ HR
General BPO
BPO/ IT
Distributors
SpecialistStaffing
Financialoutsourcing
TIC
1 2 43 5
1) TIC sector companies included are: SGS, BV, Intertec, SAI Global, Eurofins and ApplusSource: date as of May 11, 2012; Factset, Company info, ABN AMRO analysis
1)
• Some 15 active consolidators exist with strong M&A pipelines
• Pursuing M&A actively, with often dedicated M&A departments
• 50/50 organic/external growth typically for top 3
• Small to medium sized targets mainly (90% < EUR 30m revenues)
• Deal size increases however (Moody, Inspectorate)
• M&A focus on commodity sectors and industrial sectors recently
• Also M&A focus exist on filling the gaps: i.e. add missing segments or (emerging) countries
705
767
829
842
855
896
923
1,108
1,296
1,417
1,678
1,749
1,859
3,359
3,993
The TIC market is still fragmented and is consolidating
1
Similar M&A strategy at key consolidatorsRevenue 2011 (EUR m) – largest players
1
1
1
Top 3 players represent less than
30% of global
outsourced TIC market 2
1 2 43 5
Notes: 1) 2010 figures; 2) broker comments 3) estimateSource: Company info, Annual reports, ABN AMRO analysis
3
M&A activity coming back from slower 2009
Estimated number of transactions in the global TIC market
5461 63 66
37
59
43
18
84
0
20
40
60
80
100
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012YTD
Bureau Veritas and SGS most active in M&A historically, both with large global networks, covering most segments (“verticals”)
No industry transforming acquisitions (yet) between players in top 15
Deal size increases Since financial crisis,
strategic buyers are more active, compared to 2005-2009 period, where PE players dominated the TIC M&A market
1 2 43 5
EUR 130m EUR 193m EUR 265m EUR 74m EUR 542m EUR 522m
RTDSoluziona
Increasing deal size of transactions
La
rge
st
de
al
EUR 250-300mEUR 1480m
Macquarie
Itevelesa
EUR 500m
Highlights
M&A expected to continue, as clear benefits exist
Clear economies of scale and
synergy potential
Benefits of a global network,
especially in inspection services
Addition of fast growing new
niches to the portfolio of services
2
1
3“For an industry that carries clear economies of scale, TIC remains remarkably fragmented. […] But with some cyclical deceleration and an increasingly ripe ownership structure, deal activity looks set to accelerate, we believe.”Broker research
The group had already made four acquisitions for a total consideration closed to £30m so far in 2010. Given the current economic climate, we would expect Intertek to slow its external growth strategy in order to benefit from potentially lower prices in the months ahead”
HSBC on Intertek
“Bureau Veritas has been a prolific acquirer of small and medium-size TIC businesses and appears well-placed to continue this. We see opportunities for growth across its current businesses, especially in currently smaller-scale areas such as commodities testing”
RBS on Bureau Veritas
“TIC sector expertise, knowledge and skills can be leveraged across different geographical regions. Newly acquired services / skills can be redeployed across the network international” Intertek
1 2 43 5
Market watchers expect continuation of M&A M&A drivers in TIC are threefold
Clear economies of scale and synergy potential
“We believe that size is an advantage in the testing and verification business as economies of scale can lead to better utilisation of networks. Furthermore, global companies like to work with the company offering the largest and densest laboratory/office network internationally” Source: Pictet on SGS
Within “verticals” labtesting segments: Efficiency and scalability exist predominantly in the
laboratory intensive testing business, so often within the same vertical market (e.g. Environmental, Clinical, Food labs) as utilisation rates are relevant
Less efficiency gains possible in more people intensive inspection segments, although local dominance relevant in e.g. non-destructive testing
Synergies between “verticals”: IT systems and IT platform unification Network optimisation: TIC sector expertise,
knowledge and skills can be leveraged across different geographical regions
Extract the potential inter-disciplinary synergies of a diversified services portfolio
Cost and overhead rationalisation
We believe that margins around 13% are achievable based on economies of scale […] “Acquisitions in all other divisions could lead to synergies and lead to higher margins after integration”
Source: Julius Baer on SGS
1 2 43 51
Strong global network: proximity to clients and projects
“TÜV Süd acquired Technical Inspection unit of Dow Olefinverbund. The takeover strengthens the position of TÜV SÜD in Germany and opens new perspectives for driving internationalization.”Source: TÜV Süd press release
“The group is now actively considering larger acquisitions. […] Something that would give the group greater reach globally and in an area where we are currently not the leading player”Source: CEO Intertek interview, MergerMarket
SGS is pleased to announce the acquisition of Correl Rail Limited, Birmingham, UK. "This acquisition enlarges the SGS Industrial Services offering. Through its unbeatable network, SGS will further develop these activities in Europe and abroad"
Chris Kirk, CEO of SGS; June 2011
“Bureau Veritas has built a network of mineral testing services following completion of 4 acquisitions over the past 18 months. This enables the company to provide laboratory testing services to its clients wherever they are. Source: Bureau Veritas press release
International network an increasing barrier to entry Although often local business, network is key Offering a large and dense global network is vital
(e.g. Automotive suppliers) in more segments Geographical leverage, one-stop shopping also e.g.
In management certification Large contract execution (e.g. Shell Pernis), limited
number of TIC players are preferred suppliers
Other barriers to entry: Extensive expertise needed Reputations/ integrity/ brands Significant investments in accreditations HR management skills Access to highly skilled, experienced and
specialized staff Harmonization of regulation benefits larger players Price pressure in segments drives efficiency
1 2 43 52
Adding technology, accreditations, expertise, segments
“Amdel brings the technical expertise and commercial base to assist the group in becoming a leading global player in minerals testing and inspection services. The acquisition perfectly complements that of CCI Holdings and Cesmec.”
CEO Bureau Veritas, May 2008
“Trough this acquisition DEKRA, leading testing organization in Europe, is significantly expanding its position in the area of product testing and certification. For instance, DEKRA is acquiring an internationally recognized testing brand: KEMA-KEUR. KEMA Quality holds a big variety of accreditations that cover all relevant standards”
CEO DEKRA, August 2009
Fill the gaps (some 12-15 TIC segments exist) Newly acquired technology/expertise can be
redeployed across the (international) network Adjacent services and markets Understanding processes; e.g. efficient design of
laboratories can be applied to several testing segments
Balanced portfolio - reduce exposure to specific different markets / cycles increasing resilience
Some look for niche segments with fragmented, local competition
1 2 43 53
“The combination of Moody and Intertek provides a platform for the enlarged group to further develop its service offerings and network within the oil and gas industries specifically, but also to the wider energy and industrial markets. Intertek will now have a leading position in providing quality and safety services to the assets, processes and products for the energy market”
Wolfhart Hauser, Chief Executive Officer of Intertek; March 2011
Some detailed examples of recent transactions
Target • General de Servicios ITV SA • Stork materials Technology • Stewart Holdings Group Limited • Kiwa
Acquirer • SGS Group • 3i • Campbell Brothers Ltd • NPM Capital
Seller • Fomento de Construcciones y Contratas
• Stork industry Services • Close Brothers Private Equity • ABN AMRO Participaties
Description • ITV Spain business currently manages 43 vehicle inspection centers and has 600 employees, whereas ITV Argentina operates 32 vehicle inspection centres and has employs 173 people
• Provides support for every kind of industry with accredited materials testing, product testing, failure analysis and consulting
• Based in US and Europe
• Provides inspection and analysis of metals, minerals, ores, solid fuels and recycling scrap, and the provision of geochemical services to the mining and exploration industry
• Operates 270 labs and has 900 staff in North America, Africa, Asia and Europe
• Certification, training, inspection, consultancy, research and technological services
• Present in Europe and China
Transaction date • 29 December 2010 • Announced: 24 November 2010 • Announced: 30 June 2011 • Announced: 11 July 2011
Deal value • EUR 180m • EUR 150m • GBP 146m • EUR 220m (estimate)
Target financials • Sales 2010: EUR 64m • Sales LTM: EUR 88m
• EBITDA LTM: EUR 15m
• n/a • Sales LTM: EUR 132m
• EBITDA LTM: EUR 16m (20m)
Transaction multiples
• EV / Sales 2010: 2.8x • EV / Sales LTM: appr. 1.7x
• EV / EBITDA LTM: appr. 10.3x
• n/a • EV / Sales LTM: appr. 1.7x
• EV / EBITDA LTM: 13.8x (ca 11x)
Source: Mergermarket, ABN AMRO estimates
More level playing field between strategics and PE? PE deals up to EUR 250m typically financed by local banks via club deals; PE still important player in bidding for platform acquisitions with clear buy and build potential
1 2 43 5
How to value a TIC company ?
Typically used by financial buyersTypically used by strategic buyers
Comparable Transactions Analysis
(CTA)
Comparable Company Analysis
(CCA)
Discounted Cash Flow Analysis
(DCF)
Leveraged Buy-Out Analysis
(LBO)
Value Drivers • EBITDA growth• NWC/Capex need• ROIC vs WACC• Competitive advantage
period
• EBITDA growth (organic / acquisitive)
• Financing • Entry / exit multiples
• Historical transactions • Focus on sales /
EBITDA multiples • Often control premium
or synergies included
• PER or PEG ratio• Sales / EBIT(DA) focus• No control premium or
synergies in multiples • FY0/FY1/FY2
Valuation based on IRR calculations assuming a certain (LBO) debt package available
Valuation based on the main multiples of recent and relevant comparable transactions
Valuation based on the main trading multiples of comparable (listed) companies, e.g. SGS, BV, Sai Global
Valuation based on the discounted free cash flows of the company over the period generating abnromal returns
Description
1 2 43 5
21 3 4
DCF: given long term growth and stable, high returns 1 2 43 5
Intertek Bureau Veritas SGS
Levered Equity Beta (ABN AMRO analysis) 0.65 0.61 0.75
Levered Equity Beta (Bloomberg) 0.88 0.45 0.79
Levered cost of equity 6.7% 6.9% 4.8%
Unlevered cost of equity (in peer's currency) 6.0% 6.3% 4.5%
Peer company
1
Source: Company info, Annual reports, ABN AMRO analysis
Predicting free cash flows
Measuring the opportunity cost of capital
Forecasts needed for revenue growth and profitability margins Measure free cash flows after necessary investments, e.g. lab-equipment, inspection instruments, premises, net working
capital, technology Understand period of competitiveness specific TIC segment (using e.g. Porter analysis)
Listed TIC players’ multiples are back to historic averages
EV/Sales 2012E EV/ EBITDA 2012E
9.4x
10.7x
10.9x
11.3x
11.4x
12.1x
1 2 43 5
1.9x
2.3x
2.3x
2.4x
2.4x
2.4x
2
Valuation multiples highly dependent on transaction size
Smaller targets
(Mar ‘11)
(May ‘08)
(Nov ‘10)
(Sep ‘08)
(Jun ‘10)
(May ’10)
(Dec ‘07)
(Jul ‘07)
(Jun ‘’07)
(Dec ‘06) 10.4x
13.5x
11.8x
10.9x
8.6x
11.1x
12.9x
10.9x
10.3x
12.8x
• Deal size EUR 1-50m
• EV/EBITDA 5-8x
Large size transactions
Target Firm EV/ EBITDA
EV/EBITDA 8.6x – 13.5x
1 2 43 53
10.2x
7.6x
7.2x
5.4x
7.6x
7.5x
5.5x
5.1x
5.0x
2.8x
(Nov '04)
(Nov '04)
(Jan '06)
(Jan '07)
(Jul '07)
(Aug '07)
(Dec '07)
(Aug '08)
(Sep '08)
(Nov '10)
(Jul '11)
Fewer LBO/ MBO deals in TIC, available debt levels down
PE sponsors substantial TIC sector
experience
Debt MultipleTarget Firm
1 2 43 54
Different transaction options exist
Trade Sale
• Bilateral• Limited auction• Full Auction
IPO
• Sizeable deals (Intertek, BV)• Brings visibility, access equity capital
markets; Floating of Applus 13-14 ?
Joint Venture/ Alliance / Merger
• Complementing geography or subsectors
• Equal size; “verein”, “stiftung”
(Secondary) LBO/ MBO;
• Popular sector for financial sponsors due to specific value drivers
• More limited benefit from leverage
1 2 43 5
ExamplesTransaction options
More experienced in M&A processes, as buying and selling companies is their business
Unlikely to waste time in the process, in general no motive to prolong process – e.g. to gain access to commercially sensitive information
If already invested in the sector – may be able to act as a strategic buyer
May put a new management team in place that can help with various management issues
Have capital to invest – recent lack of opportunities mean that increasingly PE investors have funds available
Private equity vs. strategic buyers: some considerations
Tend to be able to pay a higher acquisition price because of revenue or cost-based synergies
Can move more quickly in due diligence because they have industry expertise
May be able to pay cash or equity and have little need or risk of raising debtP
ros
Have multiple considerations when buying a company, whereas financial buyers are purely focused on return on investments (IRR and money multiple)
May have a more complex internal governance review processes
May lack experience in M&A, this could delay execution process
Co
ns
Strategic buyers
May lack synergies resulting in lower price
May have much shorter investment horizon, possibly leading to short term (3-5yrs) strategic decisions
If first investment in relevant sector, may take time post acquisition to understand the business thoroughly
If existing management is not strong, might be replaced by PE’s own management team – may lead to substantial initial dislocation internally
May use substantial debt leverage, need for strong financial discipline
Private equity
x
xx
x
x
x
x
1 2 43 5
x
Thank you !