Threat Evaluation & Weapon Assignment Centre of Excellence Jaco Roux* & JH van Vuuren* 27 November 2008 STELLENBOSCH UNIVERSITY LEDGER Conference ‘08

Threat Evaluation & Weapon Assignment Centre of Excellence

Jaco Roux* & JH van Vuuren*

27 November 200827 November 2008

STELLENBOSCH UNIVERSITYSTELLENBOSCH UNIVERSITY

LEDGER Conference ‘08LEDGER Conference ‘08

STELLENBOSCH UNIVERSITY 2

OVERVIEW

• Context of Work• TEWA Decision Support• Collaborators• Past & Current Activities• Future Activities• Medium Term Objectives


Context of Work (GBAD)

Targets

RadarSensors

Weapon Systems

HQ

Assets


What is TEWA?

STELLENBOSCH UNIVERSITY

Collaborators

5


Centre of Excellence

TFDC

UDDC

MilitaryAcademy


2 x Honours Projects

• Design of a weapon assignment system

– Francois du Toit– Completed October 2006

• The assignment problem– Grant van Dieman– Completed October 2006

6

Francois du Toit Grant van Dieman


Masters Project 1

• Real-time TE of Fixed Wing Aircraft in the GBAD environment

– Jaco Roux– Completed April 2006

7


Masters Project 2

• Measuring the Threat Value of Fixed Wing Aircraft in a Ground Based Air Defence Environment

– Andries Heyns– Completed March 2008

8


Masters Project 3

• Real-time Weapon Assignment in a Ground Based Air Defence Environment

– Cobus Potgieter– Completed March 2008

9


Masters Project 4

• The Dynamic Weapon Target Assignment Problem in a Ground Based Air Defence Environment

– Francois du Toit– To submit December 2008

10


Masters Project 5

• Modeling Rigid Body Kinematics with Splines

– Jacques du Toit– To submit December 2008

11


Masters Project 6

• Solution methodologies for the classical assignment problem

– Grant van Dieman– To submit February 2009

12


Masters Project 8

• Aircraft Membership Estimation in a Ground Based Air Defense Environment

– Willa Lotz– To submit September 2009

13


Contract Research

[1] Roux JN & van Vuuren JH, 2007, Threat evaluation and weapon assignment decision support: A review of the state of the art, ORiON, 23(2), pp. 151-187.

[2] Roux JN & van Vuuren JH, 2008, Real-time threat evaluation in a ground based air defence environment, ORiON, 24(1), pp. 75-101.

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Conferences

• ORSSA 2004 (1 presentation)• ORSSA 2005 (5 presentations)• LEDGER 2005 (1 presentation)• LEDGER 2006 (4 presentations)• ORSSA 2007 (8 presentations)• LEDGER 2007 (4 presentations)• IFORS 2008 (5 presentations)

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Workshops I

• Attack Technique Workshops– TFDC/OTB Workshop (2006)

• Presented TEWA work• Lecture Lance Wellington• Obtained flight profile data

– US Workshop I (2007)• Presented TEWA work• Presentations by Jan Durandt• Sensitizing of flight profile data

– Langebaanweg Workshop (2007)• Introduction to simulator• Informal discussion pilot

– US Workshop II (2008)• Lecture John Erasmus

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TFDC

MilitaryAcademy


Workshops II

• Asset Assessment Workshops– RRS Workshop (2006)– UDDC Workshop (2006)

• Scenario Workshops– RRS Workshops (2005-2008)– DPSS Workshops (2006-2008)– UDDC Workshops (2008)

• Operator in the Loop Workshops– IMT/Ergotec Workshop

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UDDC


Future Masters Project 1

• Evaluation of a fully fledged TEWA system in a GBADS environment

– Basie Kok– To submit Junie 2009

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Future Masters Topics

• Masters 2 (2009/10): Topic: Data management and pattern recognition in an AWARENET environment

– Management, filtering and evaluation of intelligence data.

• Masters 3 (2009/10): Topic: Threat evaluation with respect to poaching in a marine and coastal management environment

– The design of a decision support system to recognize poaching activities.

• Masters 4 (2010/11): Topic: Design of a resource assignment decision support system in a law enforcement environment

– Implementation of a decision support system to aid the law enforcement authorities with the assignment of resources.

• Masters 5 (2011/12): Topic: Design of a resource assignment system on ADA regiment level

– Use of utility and assignment theory to design a decision support system for operators on ADA regiment level.

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Future PhD Project 1

• The Design of a TE Subsystem– Jaco Roux– To submit September 2009

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Future PhD Topics

• PhD 2 (2009/10/11): Topic: Design of a weapon assignment system in the GBAD environment

– A decision support system is designed to propose possible engagement between threats and effectors in real-time.

• PhD 3 (2010/11/12): Topic: Design of a multi-timescale threat evaluation decision support system with respect to drug trafficking and poaching in a marine and coastal management environment

– The design of a system to monitor and identify threats during real-time or larger periods of time (i.e. 1 month)

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Other Future Activates (2009-2012)

• Contract Research & Interest Development Projects– Further build Centre of Excellence

• Computing Facilities– Postgraduate research laboratory containing 12 workstations– Maintain and update equipment

• Workshops– Workshops with various military partners– Workshops with various industry partners

• Conferences– LEDGER 2009-2012– ORSSA 2009-2012– IFORS 2011


Medium Term Objectives

• Medium term planning, 4 years, to create a sustainable centre of excellence

• Main objective, in cooperation with RRS, to develop the first South African TEWA DSS product for future GBADS phases (Ph2+)

• Secondary objectives to develop or support development of DSSs:– TEWA on higher levels of ADA– TEWA or TERA in the JAD environment– TE DSS during Operations Other Than War (OOTW)

• Soccer World Cup 2010• Peace Keeping

– Task force assignment of SAP– TE DS for coastal surveillance

Documents

Threat Evaluation & Weapon Assignment Centre of Excellence Jaco Roux* & JH van Vuuren* 27 November 2008 STELLENBOSCH UNIVERSITY LEDGER Conference ‘08