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Divergence Trading Workshop Day One presented by Thomas Wood | MicroQuant SM Pivot Trend Setups

Thomas Wood | MicroQuant Divergence Trading Pivot Trend Setups · 2015-12-02 · Trading Micro Trends • All a micro-trend is doing is identifying consolidation points within the

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Page 1: Thomas Wood | MicroQuant Divergence Trading Pivot Trend Setups · 2015-12-02 · Trading Micro Trends • All a micro-trend is doing is identifying consolidation points within the

Divergence Trading

Workshop

Day One

presented by

Thomas Wood | MicroQuantSM

Pivot Trend Setups

Page 2: Thomas Wood | MicroQuant Divergence Trading Pivot Trend Setups · 2015-12-02 · Trading Micro Trends • All a micro-trend is doing is identifying consolidation points within the

Risk Disclaimer

Trading or investing carries a high level of risk, and is not suitable for all persons. Before deciding to trade or invest you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and ability to tolerate risk. This content is subject to change at any time without notice, and is provided for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. ValueCharts.com has taken reasonable measures to ensure the accuracy of the information contained herein; however, ValueCharts.com does not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or from an inability to access such information or any delay in or failure of the transmission or the receipt of any instruction or notification in connection therewith. Any past performance results are shown for illustration and example only, are hypothetical and as such have many inherent limitations. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Page 3: Thomas Wood | MicroQuant Divergence Trading Pivot Trend Setups · 2015-12-02 · Trading Micro Trends • All a micro-trend is doing is identifying consolidation points within the

CFTC Rule 4.41 (Hypothetical Disclaimer)

U.S. Government Required Disclaimer - Commodity Futures Trading Commission Futures and Options trading has large potential rewards, but also large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in the futures and options markets. Don't trade with money you can't afford to lose. This is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures, stocks or options on the same. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

CFTC RULE 4.41 - HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.

NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL, OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE DISCUSSED WITHIN THIS SITE, SUPPORT AND TEXTS. OUR COURSE(S), PRODUCTS AND SERVICES SHOULD BE USED AS LEARNING AIDS ONLY AND SHOULD NOT BE USED TO INVEST REAL MONEY. IF YOU DECIDE TO INVEST REAL MONEY, ALL TRADING DECISIONS SHOULD BE YOUR OWN.

Page 4: Thomas Wood | MicroQuant Divergence Trading Pivot Trend Setups · 2015-12-02 · Trading Micro Trends • All a micro-trend is doing is identifying consolidation points within the

What Settings to Use with MQ Pivot

Trend

Page 5: Thomas Wood | MicroQuant Divergence Trading Pivot Trend Setups · 2015-12-02 · Trading Micro Trends • All a micro-trend is doing is identifying consolidation points within the

Reading the MQ Pivot Trend Indicator

• The MQ Pivot Trend plots a green dot on the pivot if we have an up trend.

• It will plot a red dot on the pivot if we have a down trend.

• And If we are not in a trend, so we are in consolidation or reversing, it will plot a blue dot on the pivot.

Page 6: Thomas Wood | MicroQuant Divergence Trading Pivot Trend Setups · 2015-12-02 · Trading Micro Trends • All a micro-trend is doing is identifying consolidation points within the

Reading the MQ Pivot Trend Indicator

Page 7: Thomas Wood | MicroQuant Divergence Trading Pivot Trend Setups · 2015-12-02 · Trading Micro Trends • All a micro-trend is doing is identifying consolidation points within the

Pivot Trend Settings

• There are two settings that you may need to adjust with the MQ Pivot Trend, these are “Left Strength” and “Right Strength”

• The left strength setting will determine how many bars up/down the market will have to go on the left side of the “mountain”

• The right strength setting will determine how many bars up/down the market will have to go on the right side of the “mountain”

Page 8: Thomas Wood | MicroQuant Divergence Trading Pivot Trend Setups · 2015-12-02 · Trading Micro Trends • All a micro-trend is doing is identifying consolidation points within the

Pivot Trend Settings

• For 5min charts I like using a 3/3 setting • For 2min charts I like a 5/5 setting • Longer timeframes I prefer using a slightly

shorter setting, such as 2/2 or 3/3

Page 9: Thomas Wood | MicroQuant Divergence Trading Pivot Trend Setups · 2015-12-02 · Trading Micro Trends • All a micro-trend is doing is identifying consolidation points within the

Pivot Trend Settings

• If we adjust the left strength to a lower number, we can catch smaller bounces for trailing our stop in fast moving markets.

Page 10: Thomas Wood | MicroQuant Divergence Trading Pivot Trend Setups · 2015-12-02 · Trading Micro Trends • All a micro-trend is doing is identifying consolidation points within the

Pivot Trend Settings

Bullish Engulfing – Bullish

Page 11: Thomas Wood | MicroQuant Divergence Trading Pivot Trend Setups · 2015-12-02 · Trading Micro Trends • All a micro-trend is doing is identifying consolidation points within the

Pivot Trend Settings

• The best way to determine what setting to use for each market and timeframe is, once you have learned the setups in today’s workshop, go back and look at how many of the setups occurred. If you see them happening, then your settings are correct, if you cannot see any of the setups, then you need to adjust your settings.

Page 12: Thomas Wood | MicroQuant Divergence Trading Pivot Trend Setups · 2015-12-02 · Trading Micro Trends • All a micro-trend is doing is identifying consolidation points within the

Trading Micro Trends

Page 13: Thomas Wood | MicroQuant Divergence Trading Pivot Trend Setups · 2015-12-02 · Trading Micro Trends • All a micro-trend is doing is identifying consolidation points within the

Trading Micro Trends

• All a micro-trend is doing is identifying consolidation points within the context of the underlying trend.

• The ideal micro trend, within the context of a down trend, is going to have a red pivot, followed by a higher low blue (neutral) pivot.

• Once we see this higher low pivot, then we draw a trendline connecting the red pivot to the blue pivot. This provides our breakout entry point.

Page 14: Thomas Wood | MicroQuant Divergence Trading Pivot Trend Setups · 2015-12-02 · Trading Micro Trends • All a micro-trend is doing is identifying consolidation points within the

Trading Micro Trends

• Our first entry opportunity occurs 2-5 ticks below the trendline. The reason we do not enter immediately after the trendline is broken, is because we want to avoid a run on the stops.

• The second entry opportunity is on the break of the neutral support created from the higher pivot low. Many times this will be within 1-2 ticks of the first entry opportunity.

Page 15: Thomas Wood | MicroQuant Divergence Trading Pivot Trend Setups · 2015-12-02 · Trading Micro Trends • All a micro-trend is doing is identifying consolidation points within the

Trading Micro Trends

Page 16: Thomas Wood | MicroQuant Divergence Trading Pivot Trend Setups · 2015-12-02 · Trading Micro Trends • All a micro-trend is doing is identifying consolidation points within the

Trading Micro Trends

Page 17: Thomas Wood | MicroQuant Divergence Trading Pivot Trend Setups · 2015-12-02 · Trading Micro Trends • All a micro-trend is doing is identifying consolidation points within the

Trading Micro Trends

Page 18: Thomas Wood | MicroQuant Divergence Trading Pivot Trend Setups · 2015-12-02 · Trading Micro Trends • All a micro-trend is doing is identifying consolidation points within the

Trading Micro Trends

• A micro trend can also occur within the context of an overall up trend. Ideally we will have a green pivot, followed by a lower blue (neutral) pivot.

• We trade this the exact same way we trade the micro trend within the context of a down trend. Wait 2-5 ticks on the trendline break, or enter on the break of the neutral pivot.

Page 19: Thomas Wood | MicroQuant Divergence Trading Pivot Trend Setups · 2015-12-02 · Trading Micro Trends • All a micro-trend is doing is identifying consolidation points within the

Trading Micro Trends

Page 20: Thomas Wood | MicroQuant Divergence Trading Pivot Trend Setups · 2015-12-02 · Trading Micro Trends • All a micro-trend is doing is identifying consolidation points within the

Trading Micro Trends

Page 21: Thomas Wood | MicroQuant Divergence Trading Pivot Trend Setups · 2015-12-02 · Trading Micro Trends • All a micro-trend is doing is identifying consolidation points within the

Trading Micro Trends

Page 22: Thomas Wood | MicroQuant Divergence Trading Pivot Trend Setups · 2015-12-02 · Trading Micro Trends • All a micro-trend is doing is identifying consolidation points within the

Trading Micro Trends

• DO NOT CHANGE INDICATOR TO AGREE WITH YOUR IDEA OF SETUP!

• We do not want to look at a chart, then go “there should be a pivot there for a trade!” and adjust the indicator until we see a pivot, then justify the trade to ourselves because the indicator showed it. Find your settings while you are not trading, then do not change the settings.

Page 23: Thomas Wood | MicroQuant Divergence Trading Pivot Trend Setups · 2015-12-02 · Trading Micro Trends • All a micro-trend is doing is identifying consolidation points within the

Questions on Trading Micro Trends?

Page 24: Thomas Wood | MicroQuant Divergence Trading Pivot Trend Setups · 2015-12-02 · Trading Micro Trends • All a micro-trend is doing is identifying consolidation points within the

Trading Long+Short Term Pivots

Page 25: Thomas Wood | MicroQuant Divergence Trading Pivot Trend Setups · 2015-12-02 · Trading Micro Trends • All a micro-trend is doing is identifying consolidation points within the

Intro to Candlesticks

• One great way of identifying short-term consolidation within the context of an overall trend, is by adding two copies of the pivot trend indicator to your chart.

• Then adjust one set of pivots to short-term (3/3, 2/2) and one to longer-term (5/5, 6/6)

• It is also easier to identify the breakout setups if you change the colors of the dots being plotted.

Page 26: Thomas Wood | MicroQuant Divergence Trading Pivot Trend Setups · 2015-12-02 · Trading Micro Trends • All a micro-trend is doing is identifying consolidation points within the

Intro to Candlesticks

• Watch larger pivots for underlying trend and for significant support/resistance. Then use smaller pivots for breakout entries within the context of the underlying trend.

Page 27: Thomas Wood | MicroQuant Divergence Trading Pivot Trend Setups · 2015-12-02 · Trading Micro Trends • All a micro-trend is doing is identifying consolidation points within the

Trading Long+Short Term Pivots

Page 28: Thomas Wood | MicroQuant Divergence Trading Pivot Trend Setups · 2015-12-02 · Trading Micro Trends • All a micro-trend is doing is identifying consolidation points within the

Trading Long+Short Term Pivots

Page 29: Thomas Wood | MicroQuant Divergence Trading Pivot Trend Setups · 2015-12-02 · Trading Micro Trends • All a micro-trend is doing is identifying consolidation points within the

Trading Long+Short Term Pivots

Page 30: Thomas Wood | MicroQuant Divergence Trading Pivot Trend Setups · 2015-12-02 · Trading Micro Trends • All a micro-trend is doing is identifying consolidation points within the

Trading Long+Short Term Pivots

Page 31: Thomas Wood | MicroQuant Divergence Trading Pivot Trend Setups · 2015-12-02 · Trading Micro Trends • All a micro-trend is doing is identifying consolidation points within the

Questions About Long+Short Term

Pivots?