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Text of This presentation premiered at WaterSmart Innovations€¦ · Determining landscape characteristics...

  • This presentation premiered at WaterSmart Innovations

    watersmartinnovations.com

    http://watersmartinnovations.com/

  • City of Phoenix Water Services Department

    EVALUATING WATER CONSERVATION

    POTENTIAL WITHIN THE MULTIFAMILY

    SECTOR

  • Why study multifamily water demand?

    Background of multifamily developments in Phoenix Types and Trends

    Multifamily Data Analysis Data obstacles and complexitiesWater use analysis

    What we learned and what is the next phase of research?

    OVERVIEW

  • To gain a better understanding of multifamily water use Needed a better understanding of basic information (per unit use over time) Information for tracking multifamily is complicated - not just the one-to-one

    relationship like single family (one meter to one residence)

    Where were we at? Water consumption trends for existing multifamily developments (pre-1995)

    Where are we at? Changes in water consumption for existing multifamily developments Water consumption for newer multifamily developments (post-1995)

    How low can we go? High efficiency indoor and outdoor fixtures Landscape changes – lush vegetation to xeriscape

    Inform our future water demand forecasts and projections for water resource planning

    WHY STUDY MULTIFAMILY WATER DEMAND?

  • Average annual rainfal l 7-8 inches

    Total Population– 1,502,287

    Service Area – 540 square miles

    Approximately 2450 developments in database Rental Units – 1500 developments Condominiums – 950 developments

    Mult ifamily housing sector accounts for roughly 15% of total water use for Phoenix

    PHOENIX CHARACTERISTICS

    LegendCity of Phoenix

  • DEVELOPMENT TYPES

  • ICI sectors have similar end use characteristics Hospitality (extended stay) Retirement Communities Timeshare Dormitories Correctional Facilities Mixed-use (residential/retail)

    POTENTIAL MULTIFAMILY SUBSECTORS

  • DEVELOPMENTS TYPESMARICOPA COUNTY ASSESSOR DATA

    CATEGORIES

    Rental Units

    5-24 Units

    25-99 Units

    100+ Units

    Duplex, Triplex, Fourplex

    Mobile Homes

    Condo

    Multifamily

    Townhouses

    Condo/Townhouses

    Condo/Townhouse built as separate SF

    Condo(High Rise)

    Categories used by Phoenix for analysis

  • Rental Units Unified ownership – records aggregated to development Communal space – pool, clubhouse, laundry facility (newer have in-unit

    laundry), landscaped areas, playgrounds Master metered properties Developments with pools 48 % of rental units – some developments have multiple pools

    Development with cooling towers 4% of rental units - median build age 45 years old (tend to be older or high rise)

    Condominiums Owner-occupied – individual records Combination of townhouse, row houses, patio homes and high-rise Both communal and private space – can have a combination of private and

    common pools/landscape within a development Both individually and master metered properties Developments with cooling towers – generally high rise 3% of condominium developments

    Developments with pools 75% of condominiums – some development have both common and private pools

    DEVELOPMENT CHARACTERISTICS

  • DEVELOPMENT TRENDS

    Developments Built by Decade

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    35

    Pre-1940 1940-1949 1950-1959 1960-1969 1970-1979 1980-1989 1990-1999 2000-2009 2010-2015

    Perc

    ent D

    evel

    opm

    ent

    Condo Rental

    95% of Condo’s were built between 1960-2009

    79% of Rental’s were built between 1960-1989

  • DEVELOPMENT TRENDS

    Number of Units by Decade

    0

    5000

    10000

    15000

    20000

    25000

    30000

    35000

    40000

    45000

    50000

    Pre-1940 1940's 1950's 1960's 1970's 1980's 1990's 2000's

    Units

    Condo Rental

    Large inventory –overbuild of rental units

    in the 1980’s

  • DEVELOPMENT TRENDS

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    80

    90

    100

    Pre-1940 1940-1949 1950-1959 1960-1969 1970-1979 1980-1989 1990-1999 2000-2009 2010-2015

    PER

    CEN

    T O

    F D

    EVEL

    OPM

    ENTS

    5-9 Units 10-15 Units 16-50 Units 51-100 Units 100-200 Units 200+

    Rental Unit Type by DecadeNewer rental development consist of more units.

    Existing rental developments consist of fewer units.

  • DEVELOPMENT TREND BY AVERAGE UNIT SIZE

    0

    500

    1,000

    1,500

    2,000

    2,500

    3,000

    Standard Unit Size (60’s to 80’s)

    Sample of Developments (post-1998) in Phoenix

    Uni

    t Siz

    e (s

    q. ft

    .)

  • DEVELOPMENT TREND BY PLUMBING FIXTURE COUNT

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    Old Expected MF Count

    Expected Single Family Count

    Num

    ber o

    f Fix

    ture

    s

    Sample of Developments (post-1998) in Phoenix

  • Data Complexities Multiple Sources different structures and formats

    Association between parcels, water meters and multifamily developments Different types of relationships between parcels and meters One to one, one to many, many to many

    DATA COMPLEXITIES

    One to One One to Many Many to Many

  • DATA OBSTACLESUSING GIS TO CREATE

    MULTIFAMILY DEVELOPMENTS

    Meters not associated with all

    parcels in development

    Dissolved into single

    development

    Individual Parcels

  • WATER USE TRENDS

    Number of Units versus Aggregate Water Use (Rental Units)

    0

    20000

    40000

    60000

    80000

    100000

    120000

    140000

    0

    1000

    2000

    3000

    4000

    5000

    6000

    7000

    8000

    9000

    10000

    Num

    ber o

    f Uni

    ts

    Mill

    ion

    Gal

    lons

    Total Water Use Units

  • WATER USE TRENDS

    0

    1000

    2000

    3000

    4000

    5000

    6000

    0

    10000

    20000

    30000

    40000

    50000

    60000

    Mill

    ions

    Gal

    lons

    Num

    ber o

    f Uni

    ts

    Total Water Use Units

    Number of Units versus Aggregate Water Use (Condo’s)

  • WATER USE TRENDS

    0

    50

    100

    150

    200

    250

    300

    1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

    GPD

    per

    Uni

    t

    Pre-1995

    Historical Average Water Use (Multifamily Developments pre-1995)

  • LANDSCAPE ANALYSIS

    Multifamily Landscapes

  • LANDSCAPE ANALYSIS

    Landscapes are changing over time Shift from turf to more

    arid landscape Shift from pool to no

    pools

    How many developments are changing and at what rate?

    Is the transition in landscape more dominant in different multifamily development types?

    2010 2014

    Lush vegetation with turf Arid landscape with a few trees

  • LANDSCAPE ANALYSISEVALUATING LANDSCAPE TRANSITIONS

    Determining landscape characteristics using aerial imagery – remote sensing/visual interpretation Multiple year, high resolution, 4-band imagery

    Categorizing based on landscape characteristics Vegetation amount, vegetation type, presence/size of pool

    • Turf = 279 m2

    • Trees = 46 m2

    • Pools = 44 m2

    • Parcel = 1669 m2

  • LANDSCAPE ANALYSIS

    Evaluating Landscapes in Multifamily over Time

    0

    100000

    200000

    300000

    400000

    500000

    600000

    700000

    800000

    900000

    2010 2013

    m2

    Total Turf Area

    0

    500000

    1000000

    1500000

    2000000

    2500000

    3000000

    3500000

    4000000

    2010 2013

    CCF

    Total Water Consumption

    *Preliminary data for overall trend – still calibrating methods and analyzing data

    Sample of 580 multifamily developments rental and

    condominium

    Using the calculated vegetation area from remote sensing to compare overall trends temporally and

    spatially

  • Include site specific data Site visits/audits

    occupancy rates, number of residents, types of fixtures, amenities (pools, laundry, etc.)

    Datalogging Differentiate fixture types

    Landscape characteristics landscape classification

    Imagery analysis/coding system

    Expand inventory for multifamily subsectors

    Refine water demand forecasts

    ONGOING/FUTURE RESEARCH

  • What we know? Majority of multifamily developments are older (in age), smaller (average unit

    size) and have fewer total number of units (50 or less units)

    Newer developments tend to be larger (average unit size), more total number of units per development (100+) and generally have more efficient fixtures (due to efficiency standards)

    Multifamily water consumption is gradually declining even with an increase in the number of units and/or developments

    Existing developments (pre-1995) have a higher GPD per unit than newer developments (post-1995)

    New developments tend to have less water intensive landscapes (more arid/sparse)

    Existing developments appear to be transitioning from more water intensive to less intensive landscapes

    WHAT WE KNOW?

  • What’s Next? Delve deeper into the key drivers of water decline Appliances, fixtures, landscaping

    How fast are existing developments replacing inefficient fixtures?

    How fast are developments changing to even more efficient standards (products on the market that exceed current efficiency standards)?

    What are the drivers behind the transition to less water intensive landscapes (arid)?

    WHAT IS THE NEXT PHASE?

  • City of Phoenix Water Services Department

    EVALUATING WATER CONSERVATION

    POTENTIAL WITHIN THE MULTIFAMILY

    SECTOR

    Jamie Campbell Planner II

    [email protected]

    Evaluating Water conservation Potential within the multifamily sectoroverviewWhy Study Multifamily water DemAND?Phoenix Characteristicsdevelopment TypesPotential multifamily subsectorsdevelopments Types�Maricopa County Assessor Data Categoriesdevelopment characteristicsDevelopment TrendsDevelopment trendsDevelopment trendsDevelopment Trend �by Average Unit SizeDevelopment trend �by Plumbing Fixture countData Complexities Data OBSTACLES�Using GIS to create �Multifamily developmentsWater Use TrendsWater use Trendswater use trendsLandscape AnalysisLandscape AnalysisLandscape Analysis�Evaluating Landscape transitionsLandscape AnalysisOngoing/Future �ResearchWhat we know?What is the next phase?Evaluating Water conservation Potential within the multifamily sectorCover Page.pdfWSI Cover SheetSlide Number 1

    PoolEvapStudy-WSIThe Southern Nevada Water Authority’s Pool Evaporation Assessment StudyWhat is SNWA?BackgroundEvaporation EstimationLimitations of Estimated EvaporationRebates and conservation ObjectivesRecruitmentMethodologyMethodologyMethodologyResultsSlide Number 13Slide Number 14Slide Number 15Slide Number 16Slide Number 17Slide Number 18Slide Number 19Slide Number 20ConclusionsThe End