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This presentation premiered at WaterSmart Innovations watersmartinnovations.com

This presentation premiered at WaterSmart …...Current Drought Map 16 | FEDERAL ENERGY MANAGEMENT PROGRAM femp.energy.gov Drought Impacts 1895-1995 17 | FEDERAL ENERGY MANAGEMENT

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Page 1: This presentation premiered at WaterSmart …...Current Drought Map 16 | FEDERAL ENERGY MANAGEMENT PROGRAM femp.energy.gov Drought Impacts 1895-1995 17 | FEDERAL ENERGY MANAGEMENT

This presentation premiered at WaterSmart Innovations

watersmartinnovations.com

Page 2: This presentation premiered at WaterSmart …...Current Drought Map 16 | FEDERAL ENERGY MANAGEMENT PROGRAM femp.energy.gov Drought Impacts 1895-1995 17 | FEDERAL ENERGY MANAGEMENT

1 | FEDERAL ENERGY MANAGEMENT PROGRAM femp.energy.gov

FEDERAL ENERGY MANAGEMENT PROGRAM

National Water Rate Escalation Elisabeth Giever Pacific Northwest National Lab [email protected]

October 6, 2011

Page 3: This presentation premiered at WaterSmart …...Current Drought Map 16 | FEDERAL ENERGY MANAGEMENT PROGRAM femp.energy.gov Drought Impacts 1895-1995 17 | FEDERAL ENERGY MANAGEMENT

Federal Energy Management Program

The mission of the Federal Energy Management Program is to facilitate the Federal Government’s implementation of sound, cost-effective energy management and investment practices to enhance the Nation’s energy security and environmental stewardship.

Page 4: This presentation premiered at WaterSmart …...Current Drought Map 16 | FEDERAL ENERGY MANAGEMENT PROGRAM femp.energy.gov Drought Impacts 1895-1995 17 | FEDERAL ENERGY MANAGEMENT

3 | FEDERAL ENERGY MANAGEMENT PROGRAM femp.energy.gov

Agenda

• Increased water rates

– Escalation rates

– Example

• Rate increases by region

• Rate increases by water source

• Rate increases by historical drought tendencies

Page 5: This presentation premiered at WaterSmart …...Current Drought Map 16 | FEDERAL ENERGY MANAGEMENT PROGRAM femp.energy.gov Drought Impacts 1895-1995 17 | FEDERAL ENERGY MANAGEMENT

4 | FEDERAL ENERGY MANAGEMENT PROGRAM femp.energy.gov

Study Cities

• Selection based on distance to Department of Energy

facilities

• Data from voluntary surveys to Ernst & Young, Raftelis

Financial Consultants, and American Water Works

Association

• Survey years: 1994, 2002, 2008

• Non-manufacturing and industrial rates analyzed

Page 6: This presentation premiered at WaterSmart …...Current Drought Map 16 | FEDERAL ENERGY MANAGEMENT PROGRAM femp.energy.gov Drought Impacts 1895-1995 17 | FEDERAL ENERGY MANAGEMENT

5 | FEDERAL ENERGY MANAGEMENT PROGRAM femp.energy.gov

Study Cities

Page 7: This presentation premiered at WaterSmart …...Current Drought Map 16 | FEDERAL ENERGY MANAGEMENT PROGRAM femp.energy.gov Drought Impacts 1895-1995 17 | FEDERAL ENERGY MANAGEMENT

6 | FEDERAL ENERGY MANAGEMENT PROGRAM femp.energy.gov

Escalation Rate

Time between

Years 1 and 2

Year 2 water cost

Year 1 water cost

Escalation Rate

Escalation Rate = e(ln(Y2/Y1)/n)-1

Page 8: This presentation premiered at WaterSmart …...Current Drought Map 16 | FEDERAL ENERGY MANAGEMENT PROGRAM femp.energy.gov Drought Impacts 1895-1995 17 | FEDERAL ENERGY MANAGEMENT

7 | FEDERAL ENERGY MANAGEMENT PROGRAM femp.energy.gov

Escalation Rate = 3.9%

14 years

$84.30

$49.50

Water Rate Escalation Example

Page 9: This presentation premiered at WaterSmart …...Current Drought Map 16 | FEDERAL ENERGY MANAGEMENT PROGRAM femp.energy.gov Drought Impacts 1895-1995 17 | FEDERAL ENERGY MANAGEMENT

8 | FEDERAL ENERGY MANAGEMENT PROGRAM femp.energy.gov

Rate Escalation Results

Page 10: This presentation premiered at WaterSmart …...Current Drought Map 16 | FEDERAL ENERGY MANAGEMENT PROGRAM femp.energy.gov Drought Impacts 1895-1995 17 | FEDERAL ENERGY MANAGEMENT

9 | FEDERAL ENERGY MANAGEMENT PROGRAM femp.energy.gov

Study Cities by Region Cities by Region

Page 11: This presentation premiered at WaterSmart …...Current Drought Map 16 | FEDERAL ENERGY MANAGEMENT PROGRAM femp.energy.gov Drought Impacts 1895-1995 17 | FEDERAL ENERGY MANAGEMENT

10 | FEDERAL ENERGY MANAGEMENT PROGRAM femp.energy.gov

Regional Trends

Page 12: This presentation premiered at WaterSmart …...Current Drought Map 16 | FEDERAL ENERGY MANAGEMENT PROGRAM femp.energy.gov Drought Impacts 1895-1995 17 | FEDERAL ENERGY MANAGEMENT

11 | FEDERAL ENERGY MANAGEMENT PROGRAM femp.energy.gov

Study Cities by Water Source

Purchased Surface Mixed Ground

Cities by Water Source

Page 13: This presentation premiered at WaterSmart …...Current Drought Map 16 | FEDERAL ENERGY MANAGEMENT PROGRAM femp.energy.gov Drought Impacts 1895-1995 17 | FEDERAL ENERGY MANAGEMENT

12 | FEDERAL ENERGY MANAGEMENT PROGRAM femp.energy.gov

Water Source Trends

Page 14: This presentation premiered at WaterSmart …...Current Drought Map 16 | FEDERAL ENERGY MANAGEMENT PROGRAM femp.energy.gov Drought Impacts 1895-1995 17 | FEDERAL ENERGY MANAGEMENT

13 | FEDERAL ENERGY MANAGEMENT PROGRAM femp.energy.gov

Drought Impacts

• Palmer Drought Severity Index

• 1895-1995 long range historical drought conditions

• 1996-2010 short range historical drought conditions

• 3 month forecast drought conditions

Page 15: This presentation premiered at WaterSmart …...Current Drought Map 16 | FEDERAL ENERGY MANAGEMENT PROGRAM femp.energy.gov Drought Impacts 1895-1995 17 | FEDERAL ENERGY MANAGEMENT

14 | FEDERAL ENERGY MANAGEMENT PROGRAM femp.energy.gov

Palmer Drought Severity Index

• Established to compare meteorological moisture conditions of climate regions

• Positive Palmer numbers indicate excess moisture – flooding

• Negative Palmer number indicate lack of moisture – drought

Page 16: This presentation premiered at WaterSmart …...Current Drought Map 16 | FEDERAL ENERGY MANAGEMENT PROGRAM femp.energy.gov Drought Impacts 1895-1995 17 | FEDERAL ENERGY MANAGEMENT

15 | FEDERAL ENERGY MANAGEMENT PROGRAM femp.energy.gov

Current Drought Map

Page 17: This presentation premiered at WaterSmart …...Current Drought Map 16 | FEDERAL ENERGY MANAGEMENT PROGRAM femp.energy.gov Drought Impacts 1895-1995 17 | FEDERAL ENERGY MANAGEMENT

16 | FEDERAL ENERGY MANAGEMENT PROGRAM femp.energy.gov

Drought Impacts 1895-1995

Page 18: This presentation premiered at WaterSmart …...Current Drought Map 16 | FEDERAL ENERGY MANAGEMENT PROGRAM femp.energy.gov Drought Impacts 1895-1995 17 | FEDERAL ENERGY MANAGEMENT

17 | FEDERAL ENERGY MANAGEMENT PROGRAM femp.energy.gov

Drought Impacts 1996-2010

Page 19: This presentation premiered at WaterSmart …...Current Drought Map 16 | FEDERAL ENERGY MANAGEMENT PROGRAM femp.energy.gov Drought Impacts 1895-1995 17 | FEDERAL ENERGY MANAGEMENT

18 | FEDERAL ENERGY MANAGEMENT PROGRAM femp.energy.gov

Drought Tendency Trends 1895-1995

75%

35%

58%

119%

32% 47%

62%

162%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

120%

140%

160%

180%

0-5 5-10 10-15 15-20Perc

enta

ge In

crea

se fr

om 1

993-

2007

Percentage of 1895-1995 Spent in Drought Conditions

non-manufacturing/commercial industrial

Page 20: This presentation premiered at WaterSmart …...Current Drought Map 16 | FEDERAL ENERGY MANAGEMENT PROGRAM femp.energy.gov Drought Impacts 1895-1995 17 | FEDERAL ENERGY MANAGEMENT

19 | FEDERAL ENERGY MANAGEMENT PROGRAM femp.energy.gov

Drought Tendency Trends 1996-2010

50% 40%

52%

140%

57%

17%

88%

163%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

120%

140%

160%

180%

0-5 5-10 10-15 15-20

Pere

ntag

e In

crea

se fr

om 1

993-

2007

Percentage of 1996-2010 Spent in Drought Conditions

non-manufacturing/commercial industrial

Page 21: This presentation premiered at WaterSmart …...Current Drought Map 16 | FEDERAL ENERGY MANAGEMENT PROGRAM femp.energy.gov Drought Impacts 1895-1995 17 | FEDERAL ENERGY MANAGEMENT

20 | FEDERAL ENERGY MANAGEMENT PROGRAM femp.energy.gov

National Water Rate Escalation

Questions?

Elisabeth Giever [email protected] 509-372-6179 www.pnnl.gov FEMP Water Efficiency Program http://www1.eere.energy.gov/femp/program/waterefficiency.html