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Text of This presentation premiered at WaterSmart …...Current Drought Map 16 | FEDERAL ENERGY MANAGEMENT...

  • This presentation premiered at WaterSmart Innovations

    watersmartinnovations.com

    http://watersmartinnovations.com/

  • 1 | FEDERAL ENERGY MANAGEMENT PROGRAM femp.energy.gov

    FEDERAL ENERGY MANAGEMENT PROGRAM

    National Water Rate Escalation Elisabeth Giever Pacific Northwest National Lab [email protected]

    October 6, 2011

  • Federal Energy Management Program

    The mission of the Federal Energy Management Program is to facilitate the Federal Government’s implementation of sound, cost-effective energy management and investment practices to enhance the Nation’s energy security and environmental stewardship.

  • 3 | FEDERAL ENERGY MANAGEMENT PROGRAM femp.energy.gov

    Agenda

    • Increased water rates

    – Escalation rates

    – Example

    • Rate increases by region

    • Rate increases by water source

    • Rate increases by historical drought tendencies

  • 4 | FEDERAL ENERGY MANAGEMENT PROGRAM femp.energy.gov

    Study Cities

    • Selection based on distance to Department of Energy

    facilities

    • Data from voluntary surveys to Ernst & Young, Raftelis

    Financial Consultants, and American Water Works

    Association

    • Survey years: 1994, 2002, 2008

    • Non-manufacturing and industrial rates analyzed

  • 5 | FEDERAL ENERGY MANAGEMENT PROGRAM femp.energy.gov

    Study Cities

  • 6 | FEDERAL ENERGY MANAGEMENT PROGRAM femp.energy.gov

    Escalation Rate

    Time between

    Years 1 and 2

    Year 2 water cost

    Year 1 water cost

    Escalation Rate

    Escalation Rate = e(ln(Y2/Y1)/n)-1

  • 7 | FEDERAL ENERGY MANAGEMENT PROGRAM femp.energy.gov

    Escalation Rate = 3.9%

    14 years

    $84.30

    $49.50

    Water Rate Escalation Example

  • 8 | FEDERAL ENERGY MANAGEMENT PROGRAM femp.energy.gov

    Rate Escalation Results

  • 9 | FEDERAL ENERGY MANAGEMENT PROGRAM femp.energy.gov

    Study Cities by Region Cities by Region

  • 10 | FEDERAL ENERGY MANAGEMENT PROGRAM femp.energy.gov

    Regional Trends

  • 11 | FEDERAL ENERGY MANAGEMENT PROGRAM femp.energy.gov

    Study Cities by Water Source

    Purchased Surface Mixed Ground

    Cities by Water Source

  • 12 | FEDERAL ENERGY MANAGEMENT PROGRAM femp.energy.gov

    Water Source Trends

  • 13 | FEDERAL ENERGY MANAGEMENT PROGRAM femp.energy.gov

    Drought Impacts

    • Palmer Drought Severity Index

    • 1895-1995 long range historical drought conditions

    • 1996-2010 short range historical drought conditions

    • 3 month forecast drought conditions

  • 14 | FEDERAL ENERGY MANAGEMENT PROGRAM femp.energy.gov

    Palmer Drought Severity Index

    • Established to compare meteorological moisture conditions of climate regions

    • Positive Palmer numbers indicate excess moisture – flooding

    • Negative Palmer number indicate lack of moisture – drought

  • 15 | FEDERAL ENERGY MANAGEMENT PROGRAM femp.energy.gov

    Current Drought Map

  • 16 | FEDERAL ENERGY MANAGEMENT PROGRAM femp.energy.gov

    Drought Impacts 1895-1995

  • 17 | FEDERAL ENERGY MANAGEMENT PROGRAM femp.energy.gov

    Drought Impacts 1996-2010

  • 18 | FEDERAL ENERGY MANAGEMENT PROGRAM femp.energy.gov

    Drought Tendency Trends 1895-1995

    75%

    35%

    58%

    119%

    32% 47%

    62%

    162%

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    100%

    120%

    140%

    160%

    180%

    0-5 5-10 10-15 15-20Per

    cent

    age

    Incr

    ease

    from

    199

    3-20

    07

    Percentage of 1895-1995 Spent in Drought Conditions

    non-manufacturing/commercial industrial

  • 19 | FEDERAL ENERGY MANAGEMENT PROGRAM femp.energy.gov

    Drought Tendency Trends 1996-2010

    50% 40%

    52%

    140%

    57%

    17%

    88%

    163%

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    100%

    120%

    140%

    160%

    180%

    0-5 5-10 10-15 15-20

    Pere

    ntag

    e In

    crea

    se fr

    om 1

    993-

    2007

    Percentage of 1996-2010 Spent in Drought Conditions

    non-manufacturing/commercial industrial

  • 20 | FEDERAL ENERGY MANAGEMENT PROGRAM femp.energy.gov

    National Water Rate Escalation

    Questions?

    Elisabeth Giever [email protected] 509-372-6179 www.pnnl.gov FEMP Water Efficiency Program http://www1.eere.energy.gov/femp/program/waterefficiency.html

    mailto:[email protected]://www.pnnl.gov/http://www1.eere.energy.gov/femp/program/waterefficiency.htmlhttp://www1.eere.energy.gov/femp/program/waterefficiency.html

    FEDERAL ENERGY MANAGEMENT PROGRAMSlide Number 2AgendaStudy CitiesStudy CitiesEscalation RateWater Rate Escalation ExampleRate Escalation ResultsStudy Cities by RegionRegional TrendsStudy Cities by Water SourceWater Source TrendsDrought ImpactsPalmer Drought Severity IndexCurrent Drought MapDrought Impacts 1895-1995Drought Impacts 1996-2010Drought Tendency Trends 1895-1995Drought Tendency Trends 1996-2010National Water Rate EscalationWSI Cover Sheet.pdfSlide Number 1