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THINKING ABOUT IMPEDIMENTS TO REALIZATION OF THE AMERICAN DREAM BY WALTER RUSSELL MEAD, WHO IS JAMES CLARKE CHACE PROFESSOR OF HUMANITIES AND POLITICAL STUDIES AT BARD COLLEGE Do you believe that a real social crisis in the United States in the words of Walter Russell Mead, is “the anxiety and disappointment about the darkening prospects” of everyone except the tiny minority who are “making pots of money”? Yes No Don’t know Explanation of Walter Russell Mead’s viewpoint on the first American dream centered on the family farm of the 19 th and early 20 th Centuries. ”The contemporary crisis of the middle strata in American society is perhaps best compared to the long and painful decline of the family farm. The American dream we know in our time—a good job and a nice house in a decent suburb with good schools—is not the classic version. The dream that animated the mass of colonists, that drove the Revolution and that drew millions of immigrants to the United States during the first century of independence, was the dream of owning one’s own farm. Up until the 20 th century, most American lived in rural communities. Well into the 20 th century, agriculture was by far the most important occupation in which Americans were engaged (to say nothing of the rest of the world).” p. 17 A slow process of agricultural decline and dispossession started in the 1870s and culminated in the disasters of the Great Depression. Essentially, popular demand for the American dream of a family farm led the government into policies that encouraged a farm bubble. Americans overinvested in farms even as family farms were becoming less sustainable. Over time they sought various forms of government subsidy and income support as they clung to the only American dream they knew. But the laws of economics could not be gainsaid, and the independent family farmer, the class Thomas Jefferson believed above all guaranteed the future of the American republic, gradually decayed and largely disappeared into the maw of contemporary agribusiness. “ p. 18 The death of the old American dream and the birth of a new one in the middle years of the 20 th Century “So the old American dream died, but Franklin Roosevelt and Harry Truman reunited urban progressives with the American masses to recast the dream in a new form. In the old dream, property and production were allied. The American was a property owner, and that property produced the livelihood that made Americans prosperous and independent. In the 20 th century, America shifted from a nation of independent farmers to a nation of homeowners. They were still property owners, but they no longer derived their income from the homestead. American families used to have a farm; now they had a home and a job.” p. 18

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THINKINGABOUTIMPEDIMENTSTOREALIZATIONOFTHEAMERICANDREAMBYWALTERRUSSELLMEAD,WHOISJAMESCLARKECHACEPROFESSOROFHUMANITIESANDPOLITICALSTUDIESATBARDCOLLEGEDoyoubelievethatarealsocialcrisisintheUnitedStatesinthewordsofWalterRussellMead,is“theanxietyanddisappointmentaboutthedarkeningprospects”ofeveryoneexceptthetinyminoritywhoare“makingpotsofmoney”?YesNoDon’tknowExplanationofWalterRussellMead’sviewpointonthefirstAmericandreamcenteredonthefamilyfarmofthe19thandearly20thCenturies.”ThecontemporarycrisisofthemiddlestratainAmericansocietyisperhapsbestcomparedtothelongandpainfuldeclineofthefamilyfarm.TheAmericandreamweknowinourtime—agoodjobandanicehouseinadecentsuburbwithgoodschools—isnottheclassicversion.Thedreamthatanimatedthemassofcolonists,thatdrovetheRevolutionandthatdrewmillionsofimmigrantstotheUnitedStatesduringthefirstcenturyofindependence,wasthedreamofowningone’sownfarm.Upuntilthe20thcentury,mostAmericanlivedinruralcommunities.Wellintothe20thcentury,agriculturewasbyfarthemostimportantoccupationinwhichAmericanswereengaged(tosaynothingoftherestoftheworld).”p.17Aslowprocessofagriculturaldeclineanddispossessionstartedinthe1870sandculminatedinthedisastersoftheGreatDepression.Essentially,populardemandfortheAmericandreamofafamilyfarmledthegovernmentintopoliciesthatencouragedafarmbubble.Americansoverinvestedinfarmsevenasfamilyfarmswerebecominglesssustainable.OvertimetheysoughtvariousformsofgovernmentsubsidyandincomesupportastheyclungtotheonlyAmericandreamtheyknew.Butthelawsofeconomicscouldnotbegainsaid,andtheindependentfamilyfarmer,theclassThomasJeffersonbelievedaboveallguaranteedthefutureoftheAmericanrepublic,graduallydecayedandlargelydisappearedintothemawofcontemporaryagribusiness.“p.18ThedeathoftheoldAmericandreamandthebirthofanewoneinthemiddleyearsofthe20thCentury“SotheoldAmericandreamdied,butFranklinRooseveltandHarryTrumanreunitedurbanprogressiveswiththeAmericanmassestorecastthedreaminanewform.Intheolddream,propertyandproductionwereallied.TheAmericanwasapropertyowner,andthatpropertyproducedthelivelihoodthatmadeAmericansprosperousandindependent.Inthe20thcentury,Americashiftedfromanationofindependentfarmerstoanationofhomeowners.Theywerestillpropertyowners,buttheynolongerderivedtheirincomefromthehomestead.Americanfamiliesusedtohaveafarm;nowtheyhadahomeandajob.”p.18

ThecontributiontotheAmericandreamofaregulatedeconomy“Aregulatedeconomy,mostlyconsistingofstablelargemonopolies(likeAT&T)oroligopolies(liketheBigThreemedianetworksandtheBigThreeautocompanies),providedgoodandlastingjobsatgoodwagestoblue-aswellaswhite-collarAmericanworkers.Scientistandengineerswouldcomeupwithtechnologicaladvancesthatraisedproductivityandallowedagenerallyrisinglivingstandard.Aprofessionalcivilserviceregulatedbusinessintheinterestofthe‘littleman’.”p.18-19“…thesocialmobilitywassuchthatitwasnotfar-fetchedtosupposethatthesonofaplumberoranautomechaniccouldbecomeadoctororalawyer,andthatthesonofauniversityprofessorcouldbecomeausedcarsalesman.”p.19QuestionfortheE8ClassWhatisthecontributiontoarealizationoftheAmericandreamoftheU.S.economyoftheearly21stCentury?Responsibilityofadministratorsandprofessionals(andtheU.S.Congress)toregulatefinancialmarkets.Theadministratorsandprofessionalweresupposedtoregulatefinancialmarketstopreventwildcrashes.Theydidn’t;WallStreetcausedahugemessbutforthemostpartdidnotsufferfromitnearlyasmuchasthoseonandaroundMainStreet.TheyweresupposedtoprovideanintellectualframeworkforAmericantradepolicythatensuredthatthemiddleclasswouldbenefitfromthegainsresultingfromtrade.Theydidn’t;Americanshavebeenabletobuyalotofcheapimportsbutlargelyattheexpenseofthemanufacturingjobsthemiddleclassdependedon.sTheyweresupposedtomanagethehousingsystemtomakeitpartofastable,sensibleandprudentmechanismthatgeneratedwealthforthemiddleclass.Theydidn’t;insteadtheyabettedabubble.Theyweresupposedtoexerciseadignifiedrestraintintheirpursuitofmoney.Theymostlydidn’t;insteadtheyforgottheirresponsibilitytothegeneralgoodastheyengagedenthusiasticallyinaprivatescrambleofwealth.”p.20ProfessorWhiteley’scommentary–TheproperroleandscopeofregulationbythegovernmentisacontentiousissueinAmericansociety.ItisparticularlyevidentbeyondtheAmericandreamissuesintheareasoftheprotectionoftheenvironmentcoveredbyE8.AprominentexampleofthisdisputeovertheproperroleofgovernmentiswhetherornottheEnvironmentalProtectionAgency(EPA)hastheauthorityandshouldregulatethegreenhousegasemissionswhichareaprimarycauseofabruptclimatewarming.DuringtheBushadministration,theEPAhaddeclinedtoexercisetheauthoritytoregulatewhichhadbeengrantedbytheU.S.Congress.InMassachusettsv.EPA,theStateofMassachusettsfiledalawsuitintendedtorequireenforcement.TheU.S.SupremeCourtruledinfavoroftheStateofMassachusetts.TheproperregulatoryroleoftheEPAinenforcingenvironmentalregulationisatissueintheupcomingelectionofNovemberof2012.

THINKINGABOUTIMPEDIMENTSTOREALIZATIONOFTHEAMERICANDREAMBYFRANCISFUKUYAMA,WHOISOLIVIERNOMELLINISENIORFELLOWATTHEFREEMANSPOGIINSTITUTEOFSTANFORDUNIVERSITY,ANDAUTHOROF“THEENDOFHISTORYANDTHELASTMANSTANDING”Fukuyamaasksandanswersafundamentalquestions:Question:

“DothewealthyhavedisproportionatepoliticalinfluenceintheUnitedStates?”Answer:

“…theanswerisobviously‘yes,’andthatanswerwouldqualifyasoneofthemostunsurprisingimaginable.Wealthypeoplehavehaddisproportionateinfluenceinmostpoliciesatmosttimesinhistory.”

IfthewealthyhaveadisproportionatepoliticalinfluenceintheUnitedStates,andifthatpoliticalinfluenceisattheexpenseofopportunitytorealizetheAmericandreamfortherestofsociety,thenthreequestionsfollow:

1. HowdothewealthyexertwhatFukuyamameansby“notjustrulebytherich,butrulebyandfortherich”?HecitesbywayofanswertothisquestiontheargumentdevelopedbyAdamGarfinklein“TermsofContention”whichexplorestherelationshipbetweentheinequalityarisingfromthepredominantlymarket-basedAmericaneconomyandtheequalityprincipleembeddedinAmericanpoliticalculture.“…therichinfluencegovernmentinsuchawayastoprotectandexpandtheirownwealthandinfluence,oftenattheexpenseofothers.Astheintroductoryessaytothisissueshows,thisinfluencemaybeexercisedinfourbasicways:lobbyingtoshiftregulatorycostsandotherburdensawayfromcorporationsandontothepublicatlarge;lobbyingtoaffectthetaxcodesothatthewealthypayless;lobbyingtoallowthefullestpossibleuseofcorporatemoneyinpoliticalcampaigns;andabovealllobbyingtoenablelobbyingtogoonwiththefewestrestrictions.Ofthese,thesecondhasperhapsthedeepesthistoricallegacy.”p22

2. WhatistherelationshipofmoneyandpowerincontemporaryAmerica?

Thebroadercontextforthisquestionistheconceptof“TreasonoftheState”usedbyMikeDavisin“PlanetofSlums”toexplaintheplightoftheonebillionpeopleoutofaglobalpopulationofsevenbillionwhoinhabitthe200,000slumsintheworld:“Themostdysfunctionalsocietiesinthedevelopingworldarethosewhoseelitessucceedeitherinlegallyexemptingthemselvesfromtaxation,orintakingadvantageoflaxenforcementtoevadethem,therebyshiftingtheburdenofpublicexpenditureontotherestofsociety.”

TheissueforE8iswhetherornotincomeinequalityhasincreasedsubstantiallyinAmericanSocietyinrecentdecades,therebyshiftingthecostofsocietyintothelesswealthyandtherebyerodingtheiropportunitytorealizetheAmericandream.“ItiswellestablishedthatincomeinequalityhasincreasedsubstantiallyintheUnitedStatesoverthepastthreedecades,thatgainsfromtheprolongedperiodofeconomicgrowththatendedin2007-08havegonedisproportionatelytotheupperendoftherichestlayerofsociety.AstudybyThomasPikettyandEmmanuelSaezshowsthatbetween1978and2007,theshareofU.S.incomeaccruingtothetop1percentofAmericanfamiliesjumpedfrom9to23.5percentofthetotal.ThesedatapointclearlytothestagnationofworkingclassincomesintheUnitedStates;Realincomesformaleworkerspeakedsometimebackinthe1980sandhavenotrecoveredsince.

3. Didthefinancialcrisisof2008-2009negativeimpacttheprospectstorealizetheir

Americandreamofthisgenerationofcollegestudents?“ThecrisislaidbaresomeunpleasantfactsaboutAmericancapitalism.Thebankingindustrylobbiedheavilyinthe1990stofurtherfreeitselffromregulation,atrendthatbeganinearnestwiththevDepositoryInstitutionsandDeregulationandMonetaryControlactof1980.Thisresultedin,amongotherthings,the1999Gramm;Leach;BlileyAct,whichenabledtheemergenceoflarge“universal”banksandnon-transparentmarketinderivatives.BeforethebustintheU.S.housingmarket,therapidlyexpandingfinancialsectortookhomesome40percentofallcorporateprofits,andyetiswasresponsibleforanimplosionthatnotonlywipedoutthebanksthemselvesbutimposedhugecostsoninnocentbystandersbothintheUnitedStatesandabroad.ItalsocostU.S.taxpayersanenormoussuminbailouts.Whatwastrulytroubling,however,wasthatthecollapseunderminedthefundamentalmoraljustificationformaterialinequalityinapoliticallyegalitariansociety.Basictothelegitimacyofmarketcapitalismistheefficientmarkethypothesis—thatis,thenotionthatinatrulycompetitivemarketeveryoneearnssomethingclosetohisorher“social”rateofreturn.Thismeans,inotherwords,thatifyourinvestmentbankerearns100,000timesasmuchasyourplumberit’sbecauseheorsheiscontributingroughly100,000timesasmuchtosociety’stotalpoolofwealth.Thecrisismadeitglaringlyobviousthattheefficientmarkethypothesiswaswrong:Oversizedreturnswereflowingtoinnovativefinancialentrepreneurswho,intheiraviditytocreatenewandmorecomplexfinancialinstrumentsandproducts,weredestroyingratherthancreatingvalueforsocietyasawhole.“

ProfessorWhiteley’scommentary:ThetrillionsofdollarsofstilllostequityintheU.S.housingmarketandthecurrentlongtermlargescaleunemploymentandunderemploymentinAmericansociety

unquestionableerodetheopportunitytorealizetheirAmericandreamformanyofthisgenerationofcollegestudents.Fukuyamacommentsthe“Financiersproudlyseethemselvesas“valuecreators,”notashighbrowpickpockersofwidowsandorphans.AnemployeeofGoldmanSachs,aNewYorkinvestmentbankknownasthe“FabulousFab”willbeintroducedinclassaspartofanexplanationbyauthorMichaelLewisofthedynamicsofthefinancialcrisiscausedbythemeltdowninthesubprimemortgagemarketanditscontinuingnegativeconsequencesforrealizingtheAmericandream.Thefollowingchartfromanarticleentitled“TheInequalitythatMatters”byTylerCowenillustratestheMagnitudeofcontinuinginequality.